USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Japanese yen ne doosray din musalsal US dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki hai, jo ke ziada tar umeedon ki wajah se hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) sood ki shara mein izafa kar sakta hai. Ye tabdeeli is baad ke baad ayi hai jab Japan ne doosray quarter mein musbat GDP growth report ki, jo ke BoJ ke zyada sakht monetary policy ke liye case ko mazid mazboot kar rahi hai. Saath hi, yen ko geopolitical tensions ke badhawa denay ke baad safe-haven demand ka faida mila hai, jab Hamas ne ceasefire ka tajwez rad kar diya aur Ukraine ne Russia par aham hamla kiya. Dosri taraf, US dollar kamzor hua hai Federal Reserve ke officials ke series of dovish comments ki wajah se, jis ne market expectations ko barhawa diya hai ke September mein sood ki shara mein kami ho sakti hai. Ye outlook halia ma'ashi data se mazid supported hai, jo ke inflation mein slow down ko zahir karte hain, jese ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI). Federal Reserve ke officials, jin mein San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly aur Chicago Fed ke President Austin Goolsbee shamil hain, ne intehaai sakht monetary policies ko dair tak barqarar rakhne ke khilaf ehtiyat ki salahiyat di hai USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis se short-term bearish trend zahir hota hai, jismein pair apne nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche position mein hai. Pair ke liye support levels takriban saat mahine ke neeche level 141.69 aur ek potential "rebound support" level 140.25 par situated hain. Uper ki taraf, resistance ki umeed nine-day EMA ke qareeb 147.60 par hai, aur mazid potential resistance levels 50-day EMA ke 152.78 aur peechlay pullback resistance jo support ban gaya tha 154.50 par hain. Overall, Japanese yen ki taqat ki waja BoJ ke zyada sakht outlook, geopolitical concerns ke darmiyan safe-haven demand, aur US dollar ki kamzori hai jo ke dovish Fed rhetoric aur inflationary pressures mein kami ki wajah se hai

USD/JPY Price Review

Chalo baat karte hain ke kis tarah USD/JPY currency pair ka price behave kar raha hai aur iska kya analysis ho sakta hai. Mein weekly USD/JPY chart dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh sirf visual insights hi dey raha hai aur trading ke liye zyada potential nahi hai. Diagram mein zig-zag upar ki taraf movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo growth ka izhaar kar rahi hai, shayad 150.0 mark tak, aur hatta ke 151.89 bhi dimagh mein aa raha hai. Lekin USD/JPY ke paas na toh koi khas decline ka momentum hai aur na hi koi strong rally ka, kyunke candlestick shadows inconsistent ho rahi hain. Pehle humne 140.26 ka zikr kiya tha, lekin woh kaafi pehle ki baat hai. Last week ka local low 141.68 tha. Agar yeh pair 147.0 mark ko break karta hai aur 141.68 ko test karta hai, toh yeh shayad 140.26 ko cross kar jaye aur aur zyada bearish ho jaye. Mera current strategy yeh hai ke short trades se door rehna hai aur sirf bohat ehtiyaat ke saath buying opportunities dekhna hai.




Daily Chart Analysis

Daily chart pe USD/JPY do key levels dikhata hai jo ke ongoing decline se rebound kar sakte hain. Pehla hai 147.19; aur sab se zyada important weekly level hai 146.29, jiske neeche koi significant weekly price consolidation nahi hui. Agar market is level ki weakness pe react karta hai, toh bearish trend unpredictable tareeke se continue ho sakta hai. Mein dekhoonga ke jab naya trading week khulega toh market in levels pe kaise react karta hai taake current market direction ko samajh saku aur trading decisions ko zyada informed bana saku. Lagta hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi barqarar rahega, aur last week ki bullish correction sirf ek temporary rebound thi jo daily price chart ke qareeb hui. Pair ne Friday ko aggressively 150.0 resistance zone se bounce kiya, Thursday ki daily candle ko absorb karte hue. Yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke aur downward movement ho sakti hai, shayad support 141.73 ko break karte hue, kyunke lower moving average ek bearish continuation ka izhaar kar raha hai.

USD/JPY Pair ka Jaiza

Monday ko USD/JPY pair ne kaafi taqat dikhayi aur U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein khaas izafa dekhne ko mila. Pair ne apni recent low 141.71 se pull back karte hue 147.57 ke qareeb trading ki. Ye upward momentum market ke dynamics ka izhaar hai, jahan U.S. dollar ki relative strength barh rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke mazeed interest rate hikes ke intezaar ki wajah se hai. Iske baraks, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka ultra-loose monetary policy abhi tak barqarar hai.

U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat mila hai strong economic data ki wajah se, jisme mazboot employment figures aur consumer spending shamil hain, jis se lagta hai ke Federal Reserve apna monetary tightening ka silsila jaari rakhega. Dosri taraf, BoJ ka low-interest rate maintain karna economic recovery ko support karne ke liye yen ko pressure mein rakhta hai. Ye monetary policy ka farq hi USD/JPY pair ke izafe ka ek bada sabab bana hua hai.

Lekin, yen ki tezi se girti hui qeemat Japan mein fikar ka sabab ban rahi hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ka matlab hai ke imports, khaaskar energy aur raw materials, mehngay ho rahe hain, jo inflationary pressures ko barha rahe hain. In challenges ko door karne ke liye, Japanese authorities ne foreign exchange market mein mudakhlat ka ishara diya hai, jisse yen ko stabilize kiya ja sake aur ziyada volatility se bachaya ja sake. Ye mudakhlat direct market actions ke zariye ho sakti hai, jaise ke U.S. dollars bechna aur yen khareedna, ya phir indirect measures, jese ke verbal interventions aur policy adjustments.

**Market ki Nazar**

Market ke log ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya Japanese government ya BoJ koi intervention karte hain. Jab pehli baar yen mein itni significant depreciation hui thi, to Japanese authorities ne faisla kun karwai ki thi jisse yen ko thodi si relief mili thi. Agar yen mazeed kamzor hoti hai aur kuch critical thresholds cross karti hai, to intervention ki likelihood barh sakti hai, jisse USD/JPY pair mein volatility barh sakti hai.




Agle kuch arse mein, traders ehtiyaat se kaam lete hue USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafe ke potential aur intervention ke risk ko balance karenge. Key levels jo dekhne walay hain unme 147.57 ka mark shamil hai, jo ek khaas resistance level ban sakta hai, aur 141.71 ko support level ke taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar monetary policy ya intervention measures ke hawale se koi naya development hota hai, to pair ki trajectory par iska khaas asar par sakta hai aane wale dino mein.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Ab waqt qareeb hai ke market phir se buyers ki taraf laut aaye, jab ke bears apna corrective phase mukammal kar chuke hain. Agar hum cloud mein chale jayein, to hum bears ki taraf se aane wali tamam lehrein cancel kar sakte hain aur ek reversal ke zariye pur sukoon tarike se highs par wapas aa sakte hain. Pichle saal bhi is level ke sath ek aaina ki tarah ka manzar tha, lekin us waqt yeh resistant tha. Ab jab ke bears is level ko break karne mein nakam ho gaye hain, market smoothly buyers ki taraf move karega aur hum cloud ke ooper uthenge. Jese jese hum uper ki taraf lautenge, hum progress karenge. Buyers pehle hi is izafe ko guarantee kar sakte hain baghair kisi tezi ke harkat ke. Unhein absorption ki zarurat nahi hai ek confirmed level par, kyunke dollar ki fundamental strength mojood hai. Halankeh dollar kamzor hai, lekin yeh phir bhi JPY se zyada taqatwar hai. Market mein kai log samajhte hain ke dollar ruble ke muqablay mein gir gaya hai aur ab yeh ek kamzor currency hai, lekin yeh baat durust nahi hai.





Russians ki Mehngayi ka Sabab

Russians ko ab tamam maal aur khidmaat ke liye zyada paisa dena pad raha hai aur yeh isi wajah se hai. Hamari price is liye barhegi kyun ke ruble ne dollar ke muqablay mein izafa kiya hai. Iske bawajood, hum kisi bhi surat mein economically superior rahenge. Dollar ab bhi apni ahmiyat rakhta hai, isliye mein 1.1 long-term target se highs tak khareedari jaari rakhoonga. Qareebi goals ko 150-210 points par adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Agar aap "kahin" grow karte hain to isay finish karna mumkin hai. Agar top levels mein se koi bhi aapki tawajju nahi khainchta, to aap Fibonacci grid ko chart par laa sakte hain.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis ka Khulasa

USD/JPY ka exchange rate is waqt barqarar bullish momentum dikha raha hai, aur ek triangle pattern banaya hai jo aksar consolidation phase ko zahir karta hai, jo ke potential breakout se pehle hota hai. Maujooda bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke pair ek upward breakout ka tajurba kare, jo takreeban 50-80 pips ka movement dikha sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath mutabiqat mein hoga aur traders ke liye ek acha moka ho sakta hai ke USD ki taqat ko JPY ke muqablay mein cash kar sakein.

Key Levels Jo Dekhne Chahiyein

Traders ko triangle pattern ki upper boundary par ghaur karna chahiye, kyunke yeh ek important level hai jo ek anticipated breakout ka ishara de sakta hai, jo clear buy signals paida karega. Agar pair apne current levels se downward move karta hai, to 153.50 ka level ek strong re-entry ka moka de sakta hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone hai jo aage girawat ko rok sakta hai aur long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point faraham kar sakta hai.

Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye, traders ko 153.83 level par stop-loss lagane ka sochna chahiye. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss lagane se traders apne potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain, jab ke anticipated upward movement se faida uthane ka moka barqarar rahega.

Maujooda Market Sentiment

D1 timeframe par USD/JPY ka overall setup traders ke liye ek behtareen moka paish karta hai jo ongoing bullish trend se faida uthana chahte hain, lekin short-term fluctuations ko samajhne mein ehtiyaat zaruri hai.

Doosri taraf, pair ke downward trajectory ka bhi ek imkaan hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur upcoming U.S. labor market data pair ke direction ka taayun karne mein ahm kirdar ada karenge. Agar bullish sentiment wapas aata hai, to 155.50 ka resistance level crucial hoga. Agar 145.00 ka key support level toot gaya, to mazeed girawat aasakti hai. Market ke participants ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

Natija

USD/JPY pair kai bearish signals dikha raha hai jo ke mukhtalif technical indicators aur chart patterns ke zariye support hotay hain. Halankeh ek pullback mumkin hai, lekin overall sentiment bearish hi rahega. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur agar support levels breach hotay hain to further declines ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.




Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur recent market activity se support hota nazar aata hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases se waqif rehna aane wale hafton mein is market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

U.S. dollar mein Wednesday subha mein tezi se izafa hua, aur yeh qareebi 149 yen tak pohanch gaya, jo kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh currency pehlay key trend se ubhar gayi hai, jo ooper ke side par resistance create kar raha tha. Yeh izafa U.S. mein retail sales ke umeed se char guna behtar honay ki wajah se aya, jo kafi ziada thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment data bhi umeed se behtar aya, aur doosray economic indicators ne bhi surprise diya. Yeh surat-e-haal bulls aur bears ke darmiyan medium aur long-term market trends ke liye confusion paida kar sakti hai.

In developments ke baad, ab tawajju phir se Bank of Japan aur yen ki girti hui qeemat par uski reaction par ho sakti hai. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates cut karne ka faisla bhi karay, toh bhi U.S. Treasury aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq 4.5% aur 4.75% ke darmiyan rahega. Yeh bara farq in dono funds ko rakhne ko attractive banata hai, kyunke investors ko inhe rakhne par paisa milta hai—aik aisa factor jo in dono ko long term mein mazeed ooper le ja sakta hai.

Agar dollar 150 yen ke level ko tor sakta hai, toh yeh mazeed buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ke ek global “carry trade” ko bara sakta hai. Markets har session ke end par profit-producing trajectories mein wapas aane ke liye bechain hain, hum aise trades mein dobara interest dekh rahe hain.

Khulasay ke tor par, U.S. dollar ka yen ke muqable mein izafa behtar hota ja raha hai, U.S. strong economic conditions se support kar raha hai aur interest rate ka farq kam hota ja raha hai. 150 yen ke ooper market ka matlab ahmiyat rakhne wale faide ho sakte hain aur global automotive market mein jaan dal sakti hai, kyunke investors un favourable conditions ka faida uthana chah rahe hain.

USD/JPY ki price movement ka analysis karte hain. Yeh pair Bank of Japan ke intervention ke baad 161.31 ke level se aage nikal gaya, jahan unhone market mein dollars flood kar diye, lagbhag 160 ki tarah. Market ne shayad is baat ki anticipation ki thi, lekin 161 ke aas paas growth expected nahi thi, kyun ke koi bhi predictions is baat ki taraf ishaara nahi kar rahi thi. Baad mein yeh pair gira jab yen ki appreciation hui, jo ke rate hike ke baad hui aur carry trades unwind hone lage. Lekin 148 se jo rise hui, wo ab tak clear nahi hai—shayad Bank of Japan ke deputy chairman ke statements ki wajah se hui ho. Phir bhi, yeh baat zahir hai ke rate increase ki zaroorat nahi thi, kyun ke USD/JPY lagbhag 2000 points ke aas paas short term mein surge kiya. Agar currency 10-15% ke andar girti hai kuch hafton mein, to kisi ko bhi faida nahi hoga. Lekin technically, agar hum 147.91 par sell karte hain, to falling channel ke upar growth ho sakti hai aur yeh 152-154 ki taraf rise karega, jo ke promising lagta hai pehle ke likely decline se. Bank of Japan shayad yen ko significant drop karne ki ijazat na de, kyun ke yeh unke liye faida mand nahi hoga. Unhe zyada stable trading conditions pasand aa sakti hain.

Technical outlook se lagta hai ke pair ka upward trend jaari rahega, jaise ke TMA channel indicator ne dikhaya. Zigzag aur auxiliary MACD aur RSI indicators bhi bullish movement ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh oversold zone mein position hain, jo ke long buy trades ki potential signal karte hain. Bulls ki strength aur activity dekh ke, mein plan kar raha hoon ke ek open position secure karoon jab Fib target 61.8%, jo ke 154.214 ka price level hai, hit ho jaye. Lekin gains ko safeguard karne ke liye, mein order ko breakeven par shift kar doonga jese hi yeh positive hota hai. Filhaal, 4-hour chart par, bulls apni position maintain kiye hue hain, halanke unki activity thodi kam hui hai. Iska matlab yeh nahi ke bullish correction ke attempts khatam ho gaye hain, kyun ke chances hain ke further upward movement ya downside se attempts abhi baki hain. EMA(13/6) aur MACD se lagbhag corrective signals aa rahe hain. Is liye, mein thodi consolidation ke baad northern move anticipate karta hoon.

Hamara focus is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka evaluation karna hai. USD/JPY price apne current level se neeche ja sakti hai, lekin meri nazar mein ab tak jo upward correction hui hai, woh itni significant nahi thi. Price ne bohot tez drop kiya, lekin uski recovery ab tak minimal rahi hai. Ye meri rai hai, aur market aksar apna alag rasta le leta hai jo shayad meri rai se match kare ya na kare (is baar shayad match kare). Hum bearish trend expect kar sakte hain—isse koi shak nahi. Lekin agle hafte ya do ya teen hafton mein, yeh faida mand hoga agar price 150.01 se upar push kare aur ye impression de ke upward trend shayad continue ho sakta hai. Badi market mein, agar US dollar thoda strengthen ho, toh yeh faida mand hoga. Ek trading method ke mutabiq jo Fibonacci grid use karta hai, ye logical hoga ke price 156.65 (9%) tak upar jaye phir neeche 132.46 (50%) tak aaye.


Jumay ko, pair ne kuch selling pressure ka samna kiya. Mein Monday ki movement ka andaza lagaunga, ye dekhte huye ke bearish trend continue karega ya koi alternate scenario unfold ho sakta hai. Iske liye, chaliye technical analysis par nazar daalte hain aur recommendations review karte hain. Moving averages selling suggest kar rahe hain, technical indicators strongly selling recommend kar rahe hain, aur overall conclusion ye hai ke sell karna chahiye. Ye technical analysis bearish direction ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Ab dekhte hain ke Monday ko pair ke liye koi significant news releases hain ya nahi. Japan se koi badi news nahi aane wali, khas tor par isliye ke Monday ko holiday hai. US se kuch important news aayegi, lekin filhal uska forecast neutral hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte huye, lagta hai ke pair sideways move karega. Sales price ko neeche support level 145.46 tak le ja sakti hain jabke buying usay resistance level 147.91 tak upar le ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY EMA50 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo agar kamiyabi se break ho gaya, toh ek bari bullish movement ka mauqa zaroor mil sakta hai. Lekin, buyers ko bohot ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe mein phir se overbought position main aa chuka hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh

jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh hai

Chhoti timeframe yani H1 main, kal USD/JPY ne girne ka ek mauqa hasil kiya tha jab price EMA50 H1 ke neeche chala gaya tha, lekin USD/JPY ki taqat ne usay sambhalne diya aur yeh dubara American session ke dauran upar chala gaya. Yeh move aaj subha tak barqarar raha aur ab yeh pair 147.7 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jahan se is pair ke liye ek aur bada upward movement ka chance ban sakta hai.
Abhi price 147.25 par trade ho raha hai aur yeh MA120 hourly period ke average moving line aur XamaSystem indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers ko sellers par priority mil rahi hai. Is liye, aaj meri umeed hai ke price XamaSystem indicator ke hourly period ke lower border, yani 169.69 ya phir MA120 ke around 146.08 tak halka sa rollback karega. Iske baad mujhe rebound aur reversa

currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Halaankeh daily movement kam hai, lekin bullish trend abhi bhi qayam hai, jis se buying ko behtar strategy samjha ja raha hai. Hum dekhte hain ke price peechlay din ke high tak pohnch chuki hai, lekin phir se bearish ho gayi hai. Yeh pattern yeh batata hai ke is waqt sellers aur buyers dono apni apni taqat mein hain. Magar teen din pehle buyers ne apni hukoomat qaim ki thi, lekin sellers abhi bhi in se takra rahe hain. Aik impulse move, jo ke zyada mumkin hai ke upar ki taraf hoga, nazar aa raha hai. Is point par, pair ke barhne ke chances zyada hain bajaye neeche janay ke. Halaankeh bullish move mumkin hai, market kisi bhi direction mein shift ho sakta hai, yeh bearish bhi ho sakta hai ya phir 151.945 ke upar ja sakta hai. Direction ka daromadar aanay wali khabaron par aur pehli ahem daily candle ke form hone par hai jo corrective exit ke baad banti hai.
Ek deep, bullish correction ziada tar sharp, bearish movement ke baad hoti hai, jo ke ek aggressive trend se mark hoti hai. Daily hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair weekly price action ke dauran ek sideways zone bana raha hai. Abhi resistance 148.01 par hai, jo aik strong level hai jise pair break karne mein hichkichata hua lagta hai, aur yeh is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke aik deeper bullish correction ki likelihood hai. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, yeh expect karna reasonable hai ke 141.73 support zone ka retest hoga, jo ke hal hi mein ek significant volatility ke sath reach hua tha. Yeh zone lower Bollinger Band ke sath align hota hai, jo ke bottom price range ko mark karta hai. Jab yeh area pohncha jaye, to ek double-bottom pattern ubhar sakta hai, jo ke aik technical rebound aur bullish direction ki taraf turn ko trigger kar sakta hai. Japan ke interest rate ka is asset ki pricing par gehra asar raha hai, aur is ka future influence abhi tak uncertain hai.

US Dollar ne Yen ke muqable mein naye 38-saal ke highs ko continue kia hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki persistently accommodative monetary policy se driven hai. Halaankeh Japanese officials ke repeated verbal warnings ke bawajood ke wo foreign exchange markets mein interventions kar sakte hain, Yen abhi bhi pressure mein hai. Japan ke near-zero interest rates aur doosri badi currencies ke sath significant interest rate differential, Yen ke struggles ko aur zyada kar raha hai.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki June 11-12 meeting ke doran, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ne apne data-driven approach to monetary policy ko underlined kiya. Unhoon ne interest rate cuts ka commitment karne se ijtenaab kia, aur mazeed observation ki zaroorat par zor dia. Kuch Fed members ne rates ko kam karne mein ehtiyat baratne ka izhar kia, jabke doosron ne yeh indicate kiya ke agar inflation pressures dobara ubharte hain to mazeed hikes zaroori ho sakti hain

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke present pricing behavior ka analysis aur discussion kar rahay hain. Buyers abhi tak 146.49 resistance level ke upar control establish nahi kar sake, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh pair shayad ek correction phase se guzar raha hai before doosri koshish. Technical indicators bhi correction phase ka signal de rahe hain. Yeh pair kal resistance ko break kar sakta hai, magar main expect kar raha hoon ke price 144.99 se 146.89 ke range mein flat hi rahe, kyun ke bullish momentum abhi bhi weak hai aur bearish trend solidify nahi hua. Four-hour chart par current situation interesting hai, kyun ke sellers ne price ko lower drive kiya hai, lekin unka influence kam hota nazar aa raha hai, jo buyers ko ground gain karne ka mauqa de raha hai. Is context mein, 143.995 ke price point par buying ka ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, jahan 149.738 resistance level ek reasonable profit target ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair aaj notable bearish pressure mein hai, aur four-hour chart par kaafi strong sell signals nazar aa rahe hain. Correction line ka breakdown aur Ichimoku cloud ka breach yeh sab downtrend ka continuation point karte hain. 15-minute chart par ek ascending wedge pattern form ho chuki hai, jo aam tor par current trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai, matlab ke downward breakout ho sakta hai. Magar, exceptions bhi hoti hain jahan price wedge se upward exit kar jata hai, jo short-term reversal ka sabab banta hai. Filhal, sab se zyada likely scenario yeh hai ke decline ka resumption hoga, is liye main buying ke liye abhi cautious hoon. Price 146.79 tak rise kar sakti hai pehle ke naye selling wave ko trigger kare ya current levels se breakdown ho jaye. U.S. markets ki aaj low activity ki wajah se, day ka end flat ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pair pehle hi ek significant move dekh chuka hai, jisme 299-point drop aur phir 149-point correction hui, isliye kal ke session ka wait karna zyada prudent ho sakta hai taake zyada precise trading opportunities mil sakein

USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing behavior par discussion aur analysis ke mutabiq, buyers ab tak 146.49 resistance level ke upar control establish nahi kar sake. Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair shayad correction phase se guzar raha hai aur phir se attempt karega. Technical indicators bhi correction phase ka signal de rahe hain. Kal tak pair shayad resistance break kar le, magar mera khayal hai ke flat movement ka silsila 144.99 se 146.89 range ke beech mein barqarar rahega, kyun ke bullish momentum weak hai aur bearish trend ab tak solid nahi hua.

Four-hour chart par current situation interesting hai, kyun ke sellers ne price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, magar ab unka influence kam ho raha hai, jis se buyers ko ground mil raha hai. Iss context mein, agar 143.995 price point par buying ki jaye to yeh ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, jahan se 149.738 resistance level tak profit target reasonable lagta hai.



USD/JPY pair par aaj notable bearish pressure hai aur four-hour chart par kuch strong sell signals nazar aa rahe hain. Correction line ka breakdown aur Ichimoku cloud ka breach, dono downtrend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 15-minute chart par ek ascending wedge pattern form ho gaya hai, jo aam tor par current trend ke continuation ka signal hota hai, yani ke downward breakout ki possibility hai. Lekin kabhi kabar price wedge se upward bhi exit kar sakta hai, jo ke short-term reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Filhal, ziada likely scenario yeh hai ke decline ka silsila dobara shuru hoga, is liye main buying mein filhal ihtiyaat kar raha hoon. Price 146.79 tak rise kar sakti hai phir selling ka new wave trigger kar sakti hai, ya phir current levels se hi breakdown ho sakta hai. Aaj U.S. markets ki low activity ke madde nazar, aaj ka din flat movement mein guzarna mumkin hai. USD/JPY pair mein pehle hi significant move dekhne ko mila hai, jahan 299-point ka drop hua tha aur phir 149-point ki correction aayi thi. Is liye behtari yeh hai ke kal ke session ka intezar kiya jaye taake ziada precise trading opportunities mil sakein.

USD/JPY ki qeemat pehle upar gayi lekin phir neeche ki taraf chali gayi, jisse ek uncertainty candle bani jo thodi bearish thi. Yeh candle aakhir mein support level, jo ke 154.36 hai, ke neeche hi rahi. Iss support level ke aas paas do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke agar qeemat 154.36 support level ke neeche reh jati hai, toh ho sakta hai ke downward movement ka silsila jaari rahe. Iss ka matlab hoga ke bearish pressure itna zyada hai ke qeemat is important level ke neeche hi rahi. Aise mein traders aur zyada selling pressure ke signs dekhenge, jo qeemat ko aur neeche le jaa sakti hai. Phir yeh lower support levels test karne tak baat pahunch sakti hai, jo ke further technical analysis se identify kiye ja sakte hain.

Doosra scenario yeh hai ke agar qeemat 154.36 support level ke upar chali jati hai aur wahan par stable rehti hai, toh upward movement ka silsila jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hoga ke bearish pressure temporary tha aur buyers wapas market mein aa gaye hain. Agar aisa hota hai, toh qeemat upar ki taraf barhti rahegi jab tak ke agla resistance level, jo ke 154.53 aur 155.00 ke darmiyan hai, tak nahi pahunchtai. Yeh range is liye aham hai kyun ke yeh agla barrier hai jo price ko sustain upward trend ke liye overcome karna hoga.

Agar qeemat 154.36 resistance level ke upar stable reh jati hai, toh mein intezar karunga ke qeemat apna northward movement jaari rakhe. Target 154.53 se 155.00 ka resistance range hoga. Yeh area important hai kyunki agar qeemat isse break kar jati hai, toh yeh stronger bullish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Traders increased buying pressure ke signs dekhenge aur shayad long positions ke liye entry points dhoondhenge.

Iss range mein price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga. Agar 154.53-155.00 ke aas paas hesitation ya reversal ke signs milte hain, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke resistance mazboot hai aur qeemat phir se neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai. Aise mein traders apni positions reconsider karenge aur shayad ek possible retracement ke liye prepare honge

USD/JPY Currency Pair ki Analysis

Recent Price Movement

Mere recent analysis mein, main ne USD/JPY currency pair ki significant decline 144.40 par dekhi last Thursday ko daily (D1) timeframe par. Lekin main ye samajhta hoon ki price 146.50 se neeche nahi jayegi. US dollar index mein sharp increase dekhi gayi hai, jo Ukraine aur Russia ke beech ongoing geopolitical tensions se attributed hai.

Recovery Expectations

Main anticipate karta hoon ki USD/JPY currency pair 145.50 supply zone se above recover karega, jo long-term bullish investors ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai. Agar buyers is supply level se above settle karte hain, to price potentially January high 146.40 par rise kar sakta hai. Moreover, main key resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 par nazr rakhta hoon, saath hi Bollinger Bands ko further insights ke liye.

Technical Indicators aur Trend Analysis

Analysis par, main ne dekha ki bulls ne previous bearish trend line ko breach kiya hai, jo buying volume mein increase ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar price bearish sell level 142.901 par hit karta hai, to bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Agar price retrace karta hai aur is bearish scenario se align karta hai, to main decline ki expectation karta hoon, potentially Bollinger Bands se neeche drop kar sakta hai.

30-Minute Chart Analysis

30-minute chart ki analysis se, main ne dekha ki oscillator current mein oversold territory mein hai, aur histogram uptrend ka beginning ko suggest karta hai. Price ne low 141.86 par dip kiya lekin recover hone laga hai. Ye current mein green zone se guzar raha hai aur red zone mein support find kar sakta hai. Price green zone se previous sideways range mein advance kar sakta hai, support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 ke aaspaas.

Current Market Conditions

Current mein, prices significantly lower trading kar rahe hain aur weekly lows ke aaspaas hain. Key support areas test nahi kiye gaye hain, lekin wo strong holding kar rahe hain, jo considerable downside potential ko indicate karta hai. Is corrective recovery phase mein, main potential resistance level 145.81 par identify karta hoon. Is level ka retest, followed by reversal, new downtrend ke liye stage set kar sakta hai, target areas 137.72 aur 135.18 ke aaspaas