USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Dollar/yen ka joda kal 147.30 support satah se ooper mustahkam hone me nakam raha. Pullback ke dauran, isne Jumah ki kam tarin satah ko tod diya. Is se 145.20 supoort satah ki taraf ek reversal aur islah hone chahiye tha, jis se mujhe ummid thi (aur ab bhi tawaqqo hai) keh jodi 150.30 muzahmati satah tak badh jayegi. Filhal, joda 145.20 ki taraf pullback me hai, lekin yah abhi tak is support satah tak nahin pahuncha hai, aur niche ki taraf movement jari hai, jaisa keh maine kal andazah lagaya tha.



Ab jodi gir rahi hai. Halankeh, 145.20 ki taraf badhne se pahle, 147.30 muzahmati satah tak pullback ki koshish ho sakti hai. Agar joda tootne me nakam ho jata hai to, iske 145.20 tak niche jane ka imkan hai, jahan mai ek reversal aur 148.60 tak ucchal ki tawaqqo karta hun. Agar qimat is satah ko tod deti hai to, yah Jonub ki taraf bade reversal se pahle 150.30 tak pahunch sakti hai. Halankeh, agar 145.20 support toot jata hai to, joda beghair ruke apne girawat jari rakh sakta hai, 142.80 support satah tak. Wahan se, 145.20 tak pullback mumkin hai, iske bad 140.00 tak gahri girawat.
Agar pullback ke dauran joda 147.30 ko tod deta hai to, yah 148.60 par wapas aa sakta hai. Is bar, mujhe yaqin hai keh yah 150.30 tak pullback ke sath, niche ki raftar ko taraqqi dene ke liye tashih mukammal karega. Iske bad, mai 140.00 se niche ko hadaf banate hue, bade downward cycle me reversal par gaur karunga.

USDJPY trading ka aaghaz 147.23 ke price par hua. Agar aap H1 timeframe mein dekhein, toh candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully breach ho jata hai, toh USDJPY mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin, doosri taraf, agar resistance area paar nahi hota, toh USDJPY dobara neeche ja sakta hai. Guzishta Jumeerath ko, USDJPY ke girne ke baad, iski movement dobara upar chali gayi thi. Yeh us waqt hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt iski movement kaafi tezi se hui thi kyunki yeh karib 150 pips upar chala gaya tha.

Mere upar diye gaye analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke USDJPY ke barhne ke chances ab bhi hain kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko successfully cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko ehtiyaat bhi karni hogi kyunki candle abhi tak MA50 line ko breach nahi kar paayi hai. Wahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo isay girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein, yeh option kaam kar sakta hai aur is trading instrument ke further price distribution ke liye yeh kaar gar saabit ho sakta hai agar yahan par market ka puppeteer zyadatar market participants ko yeh yakeen dilane mein kamyab ho jata hai ke current general south se corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur ab yahan se is pair ko sell karna zaroori hai. Kyunki price upar jane mein zyada interested nahi lagti, shayad kai market participants soch rahe hain ke price yahan se neeche gir sakti hai jo ke formed minimum se bhi neeche ho sakti hai.



Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair directly yahan se bina kisi rollback ke barh kar 159.13 tak ja sakti hai, aur agar yeh waqai hota hai, toh us level se 159.13 se neeche gir kar formed minimum se bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Main khud predict karta hoon ke USDJPY barhni jari rahegi kyunki H1 support 145.88 par abhi tak break nahi hua. Isliye, main aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade kar rahe hain yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance par 151.20 ke price par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support par 145.45 ke price par rakh sakte hain

sab invest social members. Umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur is site ka lutf utha rahe hain. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain

**NZD/USD Analysis**

**Time Frame H4:**

Sab ko acha mood chahiye! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, isliye lagta hai buyers active hain. Main soch raha hoon kharidne ka, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ki lower limit, yani 0.60205, tak pahunchega, tab main kharidne ke bare mein sochunga. Market ke khilaf short trades lena nahi chahta aur jab tak channel barh raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa hai correction ka intezar karna lower limit se. Aisa entry se false entry ke loss ko minimize kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke har trader ko suffer karna padta hai. Channel ka upper limit 0.60438 par determine hoga, aur iske baad upper part ko dekhte hue correction ke liye sochna padega. Correction ka basis wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par bhi linear regression channel H4 ki direction ko follow kar raha hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai.



Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy ki hai. Selling ke conditions nahi ban rahi. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ka niche dekhnay ki zaroorat hai, phir short trades ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Lekin jaise ke pictures mein dekha ja sakta hai, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo short trades ka chance nahi deti. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye lower border of the channel, yani 0.60024, se join karna zyada sahi hoga. Is point ke neeche sales start ho jayengi aur purchases flow hoti rahengi. Main plan kar raha hoon ki channel ki upper part 0.60465 tak barhun. Peaks par kaam karte hue, bull apne benchmark ko reach karega, aur phir decline ho sakti hai. Main is decline ko pass karunga aur phir decline se purchases ki taraf dekhunga, growth ke direction mein.

Forex ke Samajh ke Sath USD/JPY Prices

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko real time mein dekh raha tha. Main dollar-yen pair ko four-hour chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Pair ne growth dekhi jab buyer ne second profit-taking ki, jo ke actively apne profits ko le raha tha jese jese price barh rahi thi. Lekin, previous correction highs ko update karne ke baad koi significant profit-taking nahi hui. Iske bajaye, pair ne restraint ke baghair growth ki, jise ke week ke end mein ek zyada substantial pullback follow kiya. Pair support level 160.756 tak pohanchi, jo is baat ka ishara tha ke yeh support se rise karte hue resistance 164.318 tak ja sakti hai. Maine accurately bearish pullback ko predict kiya jo ke resistance line se ascending channel ke breakdown area tak, kareeb 160.115, Friday ke din hua tha. Lekin, ek short position open karne ke liye, maine pehle "bullish doji" ka intezar kiya jo ke channel ki resistance line ki taraf tha, ek possible puncture aur uske baad pullback ko anticipate karte hue.

Maine ek theory ko samjha jo yeh suggest karti hai ke market mein latecomers ke long positions open karne se trend ke sath aur long positions ki recruitment hoti hai. Market ke is perspective ke base par aur channel resistance zone mein bearish divergence ke dauran, maine apni sell limit ko chhupa liya aur trading setup ka intezar kiya. Badqismati se, expected movement materialize nahi hui, aur market ne channel resistance strength ko test kiye baghair pullback ke liye reverse kiya. Maine jaldbazi mein market mein enter nahi kiya aur ehtiyat se kaam liya. Natija yeh raha ke, Friday ko bearish pullback ko correctly identify karte hue, maine is par trade nahi kiya aur poori decline ko market ke bahar se observe kiya. Mujhe is baat ka afsos hai ke maine 160.06 level ke neeche price ko secure nahi kiya. Lekin, main yeh maan raha hoon ke shayad maine zyada intezar kiya, aur sab kuch swiftly unfold nahi hua. Isliye, main apne downward movement ke outlook par barqarar hoon, aur yeh maan raha hoon ke humein ab growth cycle (154.57 se 161.97) mein ek corrective movement par focus karna chahiye. Agar yeh reasoning theek hai, to humein 38.2 level (159.14) ka test dekhna chahiye.

**USD/JPY Prices ke Zariye Market Movements ka Tajziya**

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya humari guftagu ka markazi mawzu hoga. USD/JPY currency pair ne trading week ka ikhtitam 146.69 ke area ke qareeb ek correction ke sath kiya, aur apni upward trend ko jaari rakha. Moving averages ke bearish trend ki nishandahi ke bawajood, prices 145.01 mark se upar hain, jo US dollar par intense buyer pressure aur maujooda satah se izafi growth ki potential ko zahir karta hai. Iss waqt hum ek mumkin price correction ki tawwaqo kar sakte hain, jisme support level 145.01 ke qareeb test kiya jayega. Agar phir se rebound hota hai, to pair ki growth 150.01 level se aage barh sakti hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 level se neeche toot jata hai, to ye girawat ke jaari rehne ka indication hoga, aur mumkin target 142.01 area se neeche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne trend line break hone ke baad control dubara haasil karne ki koshish ki, magar unki koshishen sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdood rahi, baghair kisi significant breakthrough ke.

Doosri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko phir se break karke uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to ye global trend ki restoration ka signal ho sakta hai. Aam tor par, average prices ki movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend mein hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ki control line ne correction ko support kiya tha, magar ab daily candle patterns ye dikhate hain ke sellers dhire dhire momentum haasil kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, downward turn lene lage hain, halaanke dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi kiya. Junior RSI bhi dhire dhire downward shift ho raha hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hi hain, downward trend ke sath aligned. Agle downward move mein price kitni neeche jayegi is waqt predict karna mushkil hai, magar qarib tareen target 145.51 hai. Iske aage, direction abhi bhi uncertain hai.

USD/JPY ne rekord high pa kar liya hai, jis se rapid increase aur potential profit-taking opportunities ka pata chalta hai. US session se pehle decline hone ka bhi chance hai. Moving averages aur bullish channel se breakout hone se bearish pressure ka pata chalta hai. Hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute charts ke mutabiq, decline hone ka chance hai kyunki moving average current price se upar hai, jis se USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish trend ka continuation hone ka chance hai, potentially higher zone mein jaane ka chance hai. Is week ke trend pattern se pata chalta hai ki uptrend narrow range mein hai. Modest upward rally ke baad, ye increase next week tak ja sakti hai, prices ko uptrend maintain karne ka chance hai. Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average se upar close kiya, jis se market trends mein rise ka pata chalta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar sakte hain, to USD/JPY trend line se upar trading kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko darshata hai aur support line ka kaam karta hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ki buyers ko 162.15 resistance ko break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko khol dega aur bulls ko apna movement continue karne ka chance dega. First target supply zone 160.47 hai, jahan sellers ne historically price ko neeche kiya hai.



Reverse movement short side ki taraf bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jo often bounce-back zone hota hai. Bears ki strength ka confirmation price ki consolidation broken level 160.31 se neeche hone par hoga, jo price weakness ko darshata hai. Ye particularly evident tha recent trading session mein Wednesday ko jab price ne significant downward movement experience kiya. Smaller timeframes par price position ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur ye current 50-period Simple Moving Average se upar hai, slight upward correction ke saath. Ye possible hai ki today ka price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area mein consolidate ho, aisi conditions often Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions ko analyze karne par pata chalta hai ki market current downward phase mein hai, lekin range nahin bahut wide hai. Is week ke trend slightly bearish raha hai, USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ke baad July 2024se

اگست 14 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

ین بتدریج ایک مثلث کی تشکیل کے منظر نامے سے دور ہوتا جا رہا ہے۔ 146.50 کی سطح سے اوپر کی قیمت کا تین دن کا استحکام 148.82 کی قریب ترین سطح کی طرف اوپر کی حرکت کے تسلسل اور ممکنہ طور پر 150.83-151.23 کی ہدف کی حد میں آگے بڑھنے کی تجویز کرتا ہے۔



146.50 سے نیچے قیمت میں کمی 144.30-145.08 کی ہدف کی حد کو کھول دے گی اور مثلث کی تشکیل کے منظر نامے کو بحال کرے گی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر روزانہ چارٹ میں ترقی کے لیے مقرر ہے۔ ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 146.50 کی سطح سے اوپر اور اشارے کی لکیروں کو مضبوط کرتی ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر نے زیرو لائن کے ذریعے کام کیا ہے اور اس سے اوپر کی طرف مڑ سکتا ہے، یا اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے (145.93 سے نیچے) ٹوٹ جاتی ہے تو یہ منفی علاقے میں مزید گہرائی میں جا سکتی ہے۔ اس کے بعد قیمت 144.30-145.08 کی سپورٹ رینج کو توڑنے کی کوشش کرے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action par analysis kafi interesting hai. Aaj USD/JPY pair ne chothi martaba resistance level 147.76 ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se nakam raha. Bears ne foran control hasil kiya aur pair ko downward push kiya. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke price ek narrow side channel mein trap ho rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pressure barh raha hai aur jaldi hi ek breakout ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ka maanna hai ke kal ki significant news is breakout ko trigger kar sakti hai.

147.76 resistance ko cross na kar pane ke bawajood, kuch indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bears yen ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, jahan support level 145.95 ya isse bhi neeche pohanchne ka imkan hai. Daily chart par pair ka sideways pattern nazar aa raha hai aur aaj ka movement bhi issi range mein hai. Yeh abhi clear nahi hai ke yeh sideways trend continue karega ya phir koi shift aane wala hai.

Technical analysis ki baat ki jaye to moving averages sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain. Iska matlab hai ke ek bearish move ke imkanat zyada hain. Aaj US se kuch important news expected hai, khaaskar crude oil inventories ke hawalay se, jiska bias negative hai. Japan se koi significant news expected nahi hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, pair ka trend bearish direction mein dikhai deta hai, jahan sales 145.59 support level tak ja sakti hain. Lekin buying ka bhi ek chance hai jo 147.99 resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is liye, main anticipate karta hoon ke movement bearish trend par based hoga, magar yeh current sideways range mein reh sakta hai.

Doosray din bhi lagatar, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein (USD/JPY) oopar chadne ki koshish ki taake apne haali mein hue nuqsan ka izala kar sake jo usay 141.68 ki support level tak le gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Yeh girawat is liye hui kyun ke Japanese yen ne dosray baray currency bazaaron mein mazeed taqat hasil ki, khaaskar US dollar ke muqable mein. Haal hi mein rebound hone se gains 147.89 level tak pahunch gaye.
Yeh aakhri rebound Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor, Shinichi Uchida ke is bayan ke baad aya ke agar bazaar bechain rahe, toh woh interest rates nahi barhayenge. Lekin, bazaaron ka khayal hai ke Japanese central bank interest rates mazeed barhane ka iraada rakhta hai kyun ke mulk mein barhte hue domestic wages ke wajah se inflation mein izafa ho raha hai. Itwaar ke din yen apne saat mahinon ke sabse unche level par pahunch gaya, jab ke Tokyo ke taraf se recent currency interventions aur Bank of Japan ke sakht monetary policy mein tabdeeli ne yen trading mein bara hilchal paida kar diya.

Isi dauran, US mein mandi ke barhte hue khauf aur disappointing tech earnings ne global bazaar mein riskier assets ki sale mein izafa kar diya, jis se log is ummed mein hain ke US Federal Reserve ek emergency rate cut karega. Lekin, bazaaron ka jazba tab se thoda behtar hua hai, aur analysts ka kehna hai ke recent global sell-off shayad zarurat se zyada this

Ek aur pareshani jo investor sentiment ke liye samney ayi… Japan ke 10 saalon ke benchmark government bond ka yield budh ke din taqriban 0.86% tak gir gaya jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne yeh kaha ke agar bazaar bechain rahe, toh woh interest rates nahi barhayenge. Lekin, bazaaron ka khayal hai ke central bank mazeed rates barha sakta hai kyun ke mulk mein barhte hue domestic wages ke wajah se inflation mein izafa ho raha hai. Haal hi ke data ke mutabiq Japan ne June mein pehli dafa 27 mahinon mein real wages mein izafa dekha kyun ke nominal wage growth ne inflation ko peeche chhod diya

USD/JPY
### **Muqadma**
USD/JPY currency pair duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale pairs mein se aik hai. Yeh pair US Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko zahir karta hai. USD/JPY pair mein utar chadhav na sirf in dono economies ke economic factors, balki global financial markets aur geopolitics ke ahwal par bhi mabni hota hai.

### **Economic Indicators ka Asar**

USD/JPY pair mein economic indicators ka aham kirdar hota hai. US economy ke indicators jaise GDP growth, unemployment rate, aur inflation rate USD ki qeemat par asar daalte hain. Japan mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki policies, inflation rate, aur export data JPY ki strength ko mutasir karte hain. Agar US economy strong hoti hai aur Japan ki economy mein kamzori hoti hai, to USD/JPY pair ki qeemat barh sakti hai.

### **Interest Rates aur Central Bank Policies**

Interest rates aur central bank policies USD/JPY pair par baray asar daalti hain. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions is pair ke traders ke liye aham hoti hain. Agar Fed apni interest rates barhata hai aur BoJ apni rates low rakhta hai, to USD ki demand barh sakti hai, jis se USD/JPY pair ki qeemat bhi barh jati hai. Central banks ki future policies ke hawalay se market expectations bhi is pair mein trading decisions ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

### **Safe Haven Status**

Japanese Yen ko aik "safe haven" currency mana jata hai. Yeh maani hoti hai ke jab global financial markets mein uncertainty ya instability hoti hai, to investors JPY mein apni investment karte hain. Is wajah se USD/JPY pair mein Yen ka role aik stability ka symbol hota hai. Agar global markets mein kisi qism ka turmoil hota hai, to investors USD se JPY mein shift kar sakte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ki qeemat neeche gir sakti hai.

### **Technical Analysis**

USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis bhi trading ke liye zaroori hota hai. Moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur MACD jaise tools traders ko potential price movements ka andaza lagane mein madad dete hain. For example, agar USD/JPY pair apne 50-day moving average se upar trade kar raha hota hai, to yeh aik bullish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. RSI indicator agar overbought condition show kar raha ho, to yeh pair mein reversal ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai.

### **Nateeja**

USD/JPY pair trading ke liye mukhtalif factors ka mutalea karna hota hai. Economic indicators, interest rates, aur global financial conditions is pair ki qeemat par aham asar daalte hain. Technical analysis ke tools ka istemal karke traders short-term aur long-term trading strategies tayar kar sakte hain. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke traders global geopolitical developments par bhi nazar rakhein, taake unki trading decisions zyada precise aur profitable hoon.

USD/JPY ki Technical Analysis
Pichlay haftay ki trading mai Japanese yen ne local highs ko touch karnay kay baad rollback kiya. Price 141.88 par significant support mili, jahan se bounce back hua aur 147.45 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh scenario expected tha ke price mai kami hogi, magar yeh abhi tak nahi hua aur continue kar raha hai. Ab price chart super trendy green zone mai enter kar gaya hai, jo yeh indicate kar raha hai ke buyers apni activity reduce kar rahay hain.

Abhi markets inflation data ka wait kar rahay hain jo aglay haftay aayega, kyun ke US mai price declines expect kiye ja rahay hain. Agla hafta teen major indicators release honay walay hain jo US consumers ki halat par roshni dalain gay: US producer prices, US consumer prices, aur US wholesale price inflation index. Market expectations hain ke CPI, jo in indicators mai se sab se important hai, woh 3.00% tak gir sakta hai.



Is waqt prices clearly weekly highs kay qareeb rise kar rahi hain. Key support area test ho raha hai aur significant pressure mai hai, lekin abhi tak quotes ko upar janay se roknay mai kamyab raha hai, jis ki wajah se downward vector retain ho raha hai. Issi waqt, current phase of corrective recovery ne pair ko 147.45 par growth sustain karne ka chance nahi diya aur 145.81 se neeche break karte huay downward intentions ko confirm kar diya hai, jahan par key resistance ki boundaries hai. Agar yeh level retest hota hai aur wahan se reversal hoti hai, toh 140.80 aur 137.72 kay darmiyan new wave ka target ban sakta hai.

Agar rally continue hoti hai aur price finally reversal level 149.19 ko break kar deti hai, toh yeh current scenario cancel honay ka signal ho ga.

Trading Wisdom: USD/JPY Prices
Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing ke baray mein ho rahi hai. 141.74 support zone tak tezi se girawat ne un logon ke liye risk ko highlight kiya jo risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue, jaldi munafa hasil karna chahte hain, jo ke baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Japan ki economy par important reports ke release hone ke baad, jab central bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, toh Japanese yen mein remarkable mazbooti dekhi gayi, jis ne us ke mukabil currencyon mein significant decline paida kiya. Technical standpoint se, is high-volatility instrument ki forecasting mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur potential impact ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart pe 148.01 level ke qareeb sideways trend form hua hai, aur price ne chhatvi dafa is mark ko break karne mein kamiyaabi hasil nahi ki. Aik bara player ki mojoodgi zahir hai, aur is cheez ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye, kyunki agar current resistance zone se breakout hota hai toh significant price move aasakta hai

Isliye, mein recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko choti lot sizes ke saath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake possible losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation tezi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, aaj humne hourly chart pe ek decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hua jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gaya. Is breakout ne 151.644 resistance level ko target karte hue ek buy signal generate kiya. Lekin yeh signal ghalat tha, kyunki price Friday ko is level se neechay gir gaya. False breakout tab hua jab price ne is resistance ko upar se gir kar cross kiya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal samne aaya, jo dobara 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne is target ko hasil kar liya. Baad mein, Tuesday ko yeh level par retrace kar gaya, dobara upward movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level par wapas aagaya. Breakout confirm ho gaya, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set kiya gaya hai

USD/JPY Currency Pair ki Technical Analysis
USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke downward trend jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se zahir hota hai. Yeh southward movement Zigzag indicator ke zariye bhi support hoti hai, aur saath hi Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jese auxiliary technical tools jo ke abhi overbought zone mein hain, short-selling ke moqay ka ishara karte hain
Current Market Sentiment
Is waqt market mein bearish sentiment hai. Analyst ka plan yeh hai ke open positions ko -23.6% Fibonacci support level par close karein, jo ke 144.694 ke price par hai. Risk ko kam karne ke liye, analyst ka irada yeh hai ke jab position profitable territory mein pohanch jaye, to stop-loss order ko breakeven level par shift kar diya jaye. Yeh approach traders ko bearish momentum ka faida uthane ka moqa deti hai, jabke potential price reversals se bachati hai
US Labor Market Data ka Asar
US labor market data ke recent release ne USD/JPY price ko downward move karne par majboor kar diya hai. Yeh development trader Dmitry ke liye acchi khabar hai, jo ke is bearish trend se faida utha raha hai. Lekin, analyst ka yeh maan'na hai ke Japanese yen lambi muddat mein strong nahi rahegi, aur price akhar stabil ho sakti hai, jis se possible consolidation ya northward move ho sakti hai
US Dollar ke Liye Considerations
Haalan ke current bearish sentiment hai, lekin analysts US dollar ki resilience ko dismiss nahi karte. American currency apni strength ke liye jani jati hai aur kisi bhi waqt comeback kar sakti hai, chahe yeh USD/JPY pair mein reversal ke zariye ho ya doosre currency pairs mein strength ke zariye. Analysts market conditions ko closely monitor karenge aur trading strategies ko adjust karenge taake potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake
Risk Awareness aur Market Strategy
Foreign exchange market mein trading karte waqt risks ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. Investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur investment decisions lene se pehle professional guidance leni chahiye. Federal Reserve ki agle meeting tak aik mahina baqi hai, aur is currency pair mein abhi bhi significant price increases ho sakti hain. Yeh is wajah se hai ke dollar ki strength ke peeche driving factors, jese ke US economy ki robust performance aur Fed ka hawkish stance on monetary policy, ab tak fundamentally nahi badlay hain despite recent economic data releases. Kuch log yeh bhi speculate karte hain ke government agencies shayad data ko manipulate karti hain for political gains, khaaskar elections ke waqt, lekin dollar ka long-term trajectory bullish hi rehne ki umeed hai

USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi ke unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barhaya, jo ke aik aham tabdeeli hai positive territory mein. Is action ne pair ko taqreeban 901 points neeche girne par majboor kar diya, jo ke critical level 149.99 se kaafi neeche hai.
Iske ilawa, kamzor U.S. labour market data jo kal release hui thi, ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeedon ko barhaya jo September mein ho sakti hai, jisne pair par neeche ka pressure aur barhaya. Natija ye hua ke crucial sloping support 148.14 ke qareeb break ho gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Ye support level zyada dair tak nahi rahega, aur price likely neeche ki taraf continue karegi towards round number aur support 145.01 par, jahan se aik substantial rebound upside ki taraf ho sakta hai.
Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehti hai. Jumme ko, pair ne girawat ka silsila jaari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary ko nahi pohoch saka. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak jaari rahegi, aur shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohoch sake. Jab ye target hit ho jaye, to aik reversal ho sakta hai, aur price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke 147.40 tak pohoch sakti hai. Girawat linearly hui, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 meet hui, jo ke senior trend line ke saath ek deviation ko dikhata hai. Aik pullback mirror level tak mumkin hai, jo ke 151.84 ke qareeb hai. Lekin
Summary me, US dollar initially upar jane ki koshish kar raha tha magar selling pressure aur weaker-than-expected jobs news ne uske efforts ko blow kar diya. Ye further declines ke liye stage set kar raha hai, likely targeting 141 yen. Market critical point pe pohanch gaya hai, aur yen global financial problems ke amid security-seeking behavior se benefit ho sakta hai.Kya hasil hoga? Price descending channel se break out kar gaya, lekin local channel me move karta raha aur calculated supports me se ek tak gir gaya. Us level pe, yeh dekhna interesting hai ke Bulls ne apni zone mistakes me consistently buy kiya. Ek aur cheez thodi kam, lekin zyada important hai, magar girawat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Trend channel abhi tak break nahi hua, average prices decline karte ja rahe hain aur oscillators abhi tak upar ki taraf reverse nahi hue. Linear SSI me choti choti increments abhi tak calculate nahi hui hain. Filhal, local correction upper border of the channel pe ho sakti hai aur phir decline continue ho sakta hai lower calculation zone me 145.00 tak. Aur phir dekhte hain ke price kya karta hai.