USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Market Outlook Sab ko Good Morning aur aapka Sunday behtareen guzre! USD/JPY ke sellers apne pehle ke losses ko cover kar rahe hain aur pair ko 146.66 zone tak niche le aaye hain. Yeh movement market me strong bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan sellers control wapas le rahe hain aur price ko neeche le ja rahe hain. Is trend ko dekhte hue, kal se pehle ek aur sell position kholna, jiska short target 146.42 ho, ek acha strategy lagta hai. Yeh target ongoing downward momentum ko capitalize karne ke liye strategically set kiya gaya hai, jo realistic profit opportunity offer karta hai aur market sentiment ke saath align karta hai. Economic indicators, central bank decisions, aur geopolitical developments bhi pair ke movement par significant impact daal sakte hain. Traders ko updated rehne se timely adjustments karne ka mauka milega aur unki strategies naye information ke saath relevant bani rahengi. Umeed hai ke price agle dino me sellers ke favor me rahegi aur recent trend of recovery ko extend karegi. Isliye USD/JPY ka market sentiment samajhna is environment me successfully navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai. Sentiment tezhi se shift ho sakta hai, aur traders ko changes ke response ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye. Yeh potential reversal ya broader market trend me shift ke signs ko recognize karna bhi shamil hai jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakta hai. Market updates aur sentiment ko accurately interpret karne se traders apne aapko opportunities ka faida uthane ya risks ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar position kar sakte hain. Waise, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne losses cover karne me significant progress ki hai aur 146.66 zone tak pahunche hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 146.42 hai recommend kiya jata hai, lekin news aur sentiment ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake evolving market conditions ke saath aligned raha ja sake. Stay Blessed and Stay Safe!

The Story in the Charts: USD/JPY
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. Is currency pair ke senior weekly chart par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke price pichle kuch hafton mein tezi se gir gayi hai. Yeh girawat zyadatar technical indicators ki wajah se hai, khaaskar MACD indicator par bearish divergence ke zariye. CCI indicator ne bhi chhoti scale par bearish divergence signal kiya hai. Is girawat ke peeche kuch fundamental factors bhi hain. Bank of Japan apni currency ke lagatar kamzor hone se pareshan thi, aur billion dollars market mein inject karne ke bawajood koi asar nahi hua, isliye unhe interest rates barhane par majboor hona pada. Is move ne ek significant decline ka silsila shuru kar diya. Is downturn ke doran, 151.91 level tak pohnchna mumkin tha, uske baad ascending trend line ka breakdown hua. Price ne 140.26 ke support level ke nazdeek pohnch kar thoda kamzor hota hua dekha. Ek correction aayi, aur price ne neeche se broken ascending line ko touch kiya, jo ek aur downward move ki possibility ko darshata hai.




Agar price mein ek deeper pullback upward hota hai, to H4 chart par price action ko observe karna zaroori hai taake yeh dekha ja sake ke kya further growth ke signs hain ya phir ek naye decline ki umeed hai. Yeh situation do taraf se hai; buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan chances hain. Week ke shuru mein corrective rise ke baad, price midweek par stagnant ho gayi aur sideways move karna shuru kar diya. Ek range aur accumulation zone ban gaya, jo random entries lene ke liye trading environment ko challenging bana deta hai. Is scenario mein, hume breakout ki ummeed karni chahiye, chahe wo neeche ho ya upar. Agar 147.74 ka resistance level upar ki taraf break hota hai, to buying ke liye entry point hoga, provided yeh breakout ke baad upar se ho. Is case mein, target daily chart par noted 151.91 level tak pohnchne ka hoga.

USD/JPY Price Direction
Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main sirf 143.01 ke recent low se buy karna pasand karta hoon. Pound aur euro ke charts ke muqablay mein, jahan current price ke nazdeek upward trend ka continuation ho sakta hai, 145.85 level strong buy entry ke liye kaafi risky lagta hai. Main 143.01 tak girawat ka intezar karunga aur favorable conditions ke tahat 149.89 par profit book karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Yeh clear hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai, lekin pair ko abhi bhi 145.96-145.90 ke resistance zone ke upar position secure karni hai. Iske madde nazar, do scenarios ban sakte hain: ya to USD/JPY pair agle haftay downward movement continue kare ya phir is resistance ke upar stabilize ho kar 151.85 ki taraf barhe. Is waqt, market me enter karne ke liye koi compelling opportunity nazar nahi aa rahi, isliye main agle haftay tak intezar karunga taake situation ko dobara assess kiya ja sake.




145.85 par buy karna ka koi faida nahi hai, jahan significant support September options contract par zaroori hai, khas kar ke jab 145.73-145.49 ke range ke aas paas kai outstanding obligations hain. Yeh support break hone ke mumkin hai. Lekin, 0.0068 strikes (150.04 Forex) par ek essential short-term liquidity flood hui hai, jahan Forex par liquidity ka trading range 150.92-145.84 hai. Isliye, 145.84 abhi contract ka primary support hai. Yeh level se thoda niche ja sakta hai, lekin agar yeh level nahi pakarta, to price upar move kar sakti hai. Agar 145.84 ke neeche consolidation hoti hai aur 145.72 par strike hota hai, to price 144.67 tak test karne ke liye niche aa sakti hai. September contract ka OI boundary 147.85-155.83 hai, isliye growth tabhi expect ki jaani chahiye jab yeh 147.85 ke upar stabilize ho. Contract 147.85 se do strikes niche khula aur 146.78 strike ke neeche close hua, isliye ab priority yeh hai ke 146.78+- se retest ke baad 145.72 aur shayad 144.67 tak decrease ho.

USD/JPY H-1
Aaj USD/JPY trading 147.23 par khuli. Agar aap H1 timeframe dekhein, to candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully penetrate hota hai, to USD/JPY upar ki taraf aur bhi barhega. Lekin, agar resistance area se guzarna na ho sake, to USD/JPY phir se neeche aa jayega. Pichle Thursday, USD/JPY girne ke baad phir upar chala gaya. Yeh tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt iska movement bhi kaafi high tha kyunki yeh lagbhag 150 pips upar chala gaya tha.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jaane ka mauka hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin, aapko savdhaan rehna hoga kyunki candle MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Wahan ek rebound ho sakta hai jo aakhir mein girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke price distribution ke liye ek option ke roop mein kaam karna shuru ho jaye, agar market ke majority participants ko yeh convince kar diya jaye ke current general south se corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab yeh pair bechna shuru karna chahiye. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price upar nahi jaati, to market participants soch rahe hain ke price ab yahan se neeche minimum tak gir sakti hai.




H1 moving average line ek trend indicator ke roop mein kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to bullish trend continuation ka signal hai. Lekin, agar sustained trading is moving average ke neeche hoti hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka indication ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ke recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test is pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai. Traders ko is level ke aas paas pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future price movements ke liye significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, jo technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko incorporate kare, agle dino mein USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

U.S. Dollar Aur Yen Ka Hal
Hafte ke doran U.S. dollar tezi se gir gaya, 142 yen se neeche chala gaya lekin phir se upar gaya. Yeh retracement yeh indicate karta hai ke hafta ek hammer candle chart mein khatam ho sakta hai, jo aam tor par bullish signal hota hai. Ab sabse important sawaal yeh hai ke kya yeh steady uptrend ki shuruat hai ya sirf ek temporary uptrend hai jo phir se girawat ke liye badal jayega. Filhal, market do speed dynamics mein nazar aa rahi hai. Long term mein, Japanese yen ki value significantly gir sakti hai, lekin in long-term changes ka timing abhi dekhna baaki hai.

Short term mein, market participants shayad Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ke possibility par react kar rahe hain, jabke Japan shayad apne rates barhaye, khaaskar Bank of Japan ki bond purchases kam hone ki wajah se. Iske bawajood, yeh zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan indefinitely tight monetary policy nahi rakh sakta. Isliye, yeh chances hain ke market eventually dekhe ke U.S. dollar phir se sharply yen ke against appreciate karega.

Agar dollar 148.50 yen ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh steady uptrend ki shuruat ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar dollar current candle ke lows se niche girta hai, to yeh deeper decline ka indication ho sakta hai. Pichle mahine ke doran yen mein significant volatility dekhi gayi hai, lekin chart par overall pattern zyada different nahi hai jo humne pehle bade pullbacks mein dekha hai.

Summary mein, jabke nazdeek future mein thodi volatility ho sakti hai, long-term outlook suggest karta hai ke yen kamzor reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar U.S. dollar recovery kar sakta hai aur major resistances ko push kar sakta hai. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh aane wale market movements ke liye tone set kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY Analysis D1 Time Frame
Main ab USD/JPY pair ko D1 time frame par dekh raha hoon, jahan price Thursday ko tezi se girkar 144.40 tak aa gayi. Lekin, yeh lagta nahi ke yeh 146.50 se neeche gir jayegi. Iske ilawa, US dollar index Ukraine aur Russia ke crisis ki wajah se tezi se barh gaya hai. Thursday ko, USD/JPY 145.50 supply zone ke upar recovery karne ki ummeed hai, jahan long-term bulls ko faida ho sakta hai. Is wajah se, USD/JPY ke upar jane ke chances hain. Agar buyers price ko supply level ke upar settle kar dete hain, to price January high 146.40 tak barh sakti hai. Main Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels ko target kar raha hoon: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Aaj bulls ne pehle bearish trend line ko surpass kar diya, jo buying volume ke increase ka indication hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 par rehta hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ka signal hoga. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario ke saath align hoti hai, to main decline ko prioritize karunga, expect karte hue ke Bollinger Bands mein girawat aayegi.

30-minute chart ki technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai aur histogram ek uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price, jo 141.86 ke minimum tak pohnch gayi thi, ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh green zone se guzar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke roop mein use kar sakti hai. Price green zone ko puri tarah navigate kar sakti hai aur pehle ke sideways range mein wapas aa sakti hai jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 hai.

Filhal, prices weekly lows ke nazdeek tezi se gir rahi hain. Important support areas abhi tak test nahi huye hain lekin abhi bhi strong hain, jo downside ko significant banata hai. Is waqt corrective recovery ki phase apne continuation potential ko 145.81 level par exhaust kar chuki hai, jahan abhi main resistance zone border par hai. Is level ka retest aur uske baad downward reversal ek naye wave ke liye raste ko khol sakta hai jo 137.72 aur 135.18 areas ko target karega.

hain. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran. Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein

USD/JPY joṛi par bara asar daalenge. US mein GDP growth, employment data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions important hain. Japan mein GDP figures, employment statistics, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policy updates bhi zaroori hain. Dono mulkon ke economic performance ke darmiyan differences exchange rate ko drive kar sakte hain. Federal Reserve aur BoJ ke monetary policy decisions pivotal hain. Interest rate changes ya policy shifts ke indications market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. Traders ko in central banks ke statements aur policy reports closely monitor karni chahiye taake future actions ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Political events, including US fiscal policies aur geopolitical tensions,

USD/JPY joṛi mein volatility introduce kar sakte hain. Significant political developments market reactions ko abruptly influence kar sakti hain, jo pair ki direction ko affect kar sakti hain.
Maujooda bearish sentiment ko dekhte hue, traders USD/JPY joṛi ko resistance levels par short karne ka soch sakte hain, jaise daily Pivot (156.98) ya opening level (156.90). Ye approach bearish trend ke continuation ko leverage karta hai.
Agar price support levels ke aas-paas 156.00 ya 155.50 tak pahunchti hai, traders ko potential reversal patterns ya strong buying interest dekhni chahiye jo bounce ka indication de sakti hai. In levels ki historical significance inhe critical points banati hai.
Effective risk management crucial hai. Recent resistance levels ke upar stop-loss orders set karna, jaise 156.98, potential losses ko limit karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Position sizing individual risk tolerance aur prevailing market conditions par based honi chahiye.
In conclusion, USD/JPY currency pair ki current trading dynamics ek strong bearish sentiment ko underscore karti hai, jahan price key levels ke neeche aur technical indicators downward trend ko confirm karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine kar ke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue aur risks ko appropriately manage karte hue.

USD/JPY Ka Jora: Mazboot Bullish Momentum
USD/JPY ka currency pair filhal mazboot bullish momentum dikhata hai. Haal ki price movements ne ek triangle pattern bana diya hai, jo aam tor par consolidation ke baad potential breakout ka ishara hota hai. Maujooda bullish jazbaat ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke jora upar ki taraf breakout kare, jo 50 se 80 pips ke beech ho sakta hai. Yeh breakout USD ka broader bullish trend ke sath milta hai, jo traders ko currency ki strength ka faida uthane ka mauka deta hai.

Nigrani Ke Liye Ahem Levels

Triangle pattern ka upper boundary traders ke liye ek aham level hai jahan se expected breakout ka signal mil sakta hai, jo buying opportunities ka ishara ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair apne current levels se girna shuru ho jata hai, toh traders 153.50 level par ek achha re-entry point dhoondh sakte hain. Yeh level ek significant support zone hai jo further drops ko rok sakta hai aur long positions ke liye ek favorable entry provide kar sakta hai.

Risk Management Strategies

Risk ko effectively manage karne aur unexpected market fluctuations se bachne ke liye, 153.83 level par strategically stop-loss orders lagana behtaar hai. Stop-loss levels ko support zone ke thoda niche set karne se, traders potential losses ko kam kar sakte hain aur anticipated upward movement se maximum earnings hasil kar sakte hain.

Overall Market Dynamics

Maujooda setup USD/JPY pair ke liye daily (D1) timeframe par bullish trend se faida uthane ka aik behtareen mauka provide karta hai, lekin short-term fluctuations se bachne ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Monday night ko trades initiate ki gayi thi, aur currency pair ka situation stagnant raha hai, July 25 se sideway move kar raha hai.




Behtareen clarity aur visual analysis ke liye, maine hourly (H1) timeframe ka istemal kiya hai, horizontal lines ko local resistance aur support levels dikhane ke liye draw kiya hai, jo scalpers ke liye faidemand hai. Fibonacci levels ka istemal karte hue bhi ek comparable situation dekhi ja sakti hai; trading opportunities limited ho sakti hain jab tak 100 level breach nahi hota. Intraday traders ko apni strategies mein ek reasonable internal distance rakhna chahiye, aur naye positions ko adequate stop-loss measures ke sath open karna chahiye.

Economic Calendar Overview

Filhal economic calendar ne traders ke liye koi naya information introduce nahi kiya, kyun ke Japan aur USA se teen-star statistical data ki kami hai. Is waqt, hum 153 figure ko breach karne ki doosri koshish dekh rahe hain, market mein bullish impulses ke sath. Lekin, sirf candle wicks upar ki taraf push kar rahi hain, jabke bodies elevated hain, jo is stage par cautious outlook ko indicate karta hai.

USD/JPY Ek Ahem Mor Par: Bearish Pressure Aur Potential Rebound
USD/JPY currency pair is waqt aik complex aur pivotal phase se guzra hai, jahan contrasting forces iska trajectory significantly influence kar sakti hain. Ek taraf, badhta hua bearish pressure hai, jo largely Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki increasingly hawkish stance ki wajah se hai. Aakhri kuch mahino mein, BOJ ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy se shift hone ka ishaara diya hai, aur inflationary pressures ke badhne ke saath tightening measures ka hint diya hai. Is hawkish outlook ne yen ko mazboot kiya hai, kyunke investors Japan mein higher interest rates ki ummeed kar rahe hain, jo yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein zyada attractive bana raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Federal Reserve ki dovish outlook aik counterforce create kar rahi hai jo USD/JPY ko upar ki taraf momentum de sakti hai. U.S. economy ke cooling aur inflation ke moderate hone ke signs dekhte hue, Fed ne apne rate-hiking cycle ko pause ya khatam karne ka ishaara diya hai. Yeh dovish stance, aur broader U.S. economic outlook ke concerns, dollar ko kamzor bana rahe hain, jo ke otherwise USD/JPY ko upar push kar sakta tha. In opposing forces ke darmiyan ka interplay aik aisi situation create kar raha hai jahan currency pair ya toh apni downward trend ko continue karega ya technical rebound ke liye catalyst dhoondhega.




Technical perspective se, USD/JPY key support levels ke qareeb hai, jo iske agle move ko determine karne mein critical role play kar sakte hain. Agar pair in levels ko hold karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh technical rebound mumkin hai, khas kar agar market yen ki recent strength ko overextended samjhe. Traders ise dip buy karne ka ek mauka dekh sakte hain, khas kar agar Fed ki dovishness se dollar kamzor ho jaye jo apni current weakness ko maintain nahi kar paaye.

Lekin, further breakdown ka risk bhi significant hai, khaaskar agar BOJ zyada aggressive tightening measures apnaati hai ya agar U.S. economic data disappoint karta hai. Aise scenario mein, USD/JPY current support levels ko breach kar sakta hai, jo zyada pronounced bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Is uncertain environment ko dekhte hue, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko evolving market conditions ke hisaab se adapt karna chahiye. BOJ aur Fed ke policy shifts ko monitor karna, aur key economic indicators par nazar rakhna crucial hoga taake USD/JPY currency pair ke potential volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake. Flexibility aur technical aur fundamental signals par keen nazar rakhna informed trading decisions ke liye essential hoga is critical juncture par.

USD/JPY: Uptrend Channel Aur Stochastic Indicator Se Umeed
USD/JPY currency pair filhal bullish traders ke liye ek favorable nazar aa raha hai, jahan technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair ke mazeed faida uthane ke chances hain. Is waqt ki setup ki ek key feature yeh hai ke pichle hafton mein ek uptrend channel established ho gaya hai. Yeh channel, jo higher highs aur higher lows se characterized hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term fluctuations ke bawajood, overall trend USD/JPY ke liye upward hai. Jab tak pair is channel mein rahega, trend ki bias further appreciation ko favor karegi, jo buying opportunities ko potentially profitable bana sakta hai.

Yeh uptrend broader market sentiment aur technical analysis se support hota hai, khaaskar stochastic indicator ki position se. Stochastic oscillator, jo price movements ke momentum ko measure karta hai, ab critical 25 levels se upar hai. Jab stochastic is threshold se upar chala jata hai, to yeh aksar market mein badhti hui optimism ka signal hota hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke recent price action ke paas mazeed faida uthane ki jagah ho sakti hai. Yeh bullish momentum imply karta hai ke market filhal USD ki strength ko yen ke muqablay mein favor kar raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed buying pressure ko encourage kar sakta hai.

Is uptrend channel ke andar price action aur stochastic indicator se bullish signals ka alignment milkar ek strong technical argument create karta hai ke upward trajectory ko continue rakha jaye. Traders aksar indicators ke is tarah ke convergence ko apni trading strategies confirm karne ke liye dekhte hain, aur is case mein, trend aur momentum indicators dono USD/JPY mein potential gains ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Jab pair channel ke andar move karta hai, to key resistance levels test ho sakte hain, aur in levels ke upar breakout se uptrend tez ho sakta hai, traders ko mazeed appreciation se faida uthane ka mauka de sakta hai.



Lekin, cautious rehna aur potential risks ko dekhna zaroori hai. Jabke current technical setup bulls ko favor karta hai, external factors jaise ke U.S. ya Japanese economic policies mein achanak changes ya geopolitical events trend ko disrupt kar sakte hain. Additionaly, agar stochastic indicator overbought territory (usually above 80) mein chala jaye, to yeh signal kar sakta hai ke pair ko pullback ya consolidation phase ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

In conclusion, USD/JPY pair ka uptrend channel ke andar position aur stochastic indicator ka positive reading bullish trend ke continuation ka suggest karte hain, jo buying options ko potentially profitable bana sakta hai. Traders ko in technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur kisi bhi aise development ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo currency pair ke trajectory ko impact kar sakti hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y

Good morning trading friends on the MT5 forum. Aaj maine USD/JPY pair ka analysis kiya hai. Analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair abhi 146.60 par trade kar raha hai. Is chart se yeh nazar aata hai ke sellers buyers se zyada strong hain, jo ke directional movement aur indicators se confirm hota hai. Analysis dikhata hai ke market niche ja rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko show karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator trend ki strength ko represent karta hai. RSI indicator abhi 42.7018 par float kar raha hai, jo ke strong price trend ko dikhata hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne niche movement ki aur phir horizontal movement shuru ki hai. Yeh indicator abhi tak confirm nahi hua, isliye is par nazar rakhni hogi.




Market ka price abhi 20 EMA aur 50 EMA ke moving average ke niche hai. Agar price resistance level 149.39 ko cross kar jaye, to agla obstacle 156.66 hoga. Market ka increase primary resistance zone 149.39 ko tod sakta hai. Uske baad, market ka upside trend resistance level 156.66 tak pahunch sakta hai, aur agla target 162.66 hoga jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, primary aur secondary support jo ke 145.76 aur 141.79 par hain, market price ke girne se destroy ho sakte hain. Iske baad, market ka bearish trend third level of support area 135.87 ko breach kar sakta hai.

Main apne doston ka shukriya ada karna nahi bhoolta jo apna valuable time nikal kar apne trading analyses mere journal mein share karte hain.

USD/JPY H-1 142.01
Pichle do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne bohot si significant fluctuations dekhi hain jo ke mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se hain. 5 August ko, yen ne saat mahine ki highest level par qoomi, jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya aur kareeb 5.53 trillion yen currency ko support karne ke liye kharch kiya. Yeh intervention partially is wajah se thi ke 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield 0.8% se neeche aa gayi thi, kyun ke Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations barh gayi thi, especially weak US jobs data ke baad.

Usi din, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne aik achanak rate hike ka elan kiya, benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur agar economic conditions supportive rahe, to rates ko aur barhane ka iraada bhi dikhaya. Yeh step Japan ki economic challenges, jaise ke declining private consumption aur contracting economy ke bawajood liya gaya.

USD/JPY H-1 142.01



M30 chart par, USD/JPY pair ek steady downtrend mein hai. Haal hi mein, price ek significant level se neeche gir gayi, jo ke do daily supports 146.36 par thi, aur inko resistances mein tabdeel kar diya. Uske baad, hum daily support level 142.01 se door ho gaye aur corrective upward move shuru kiya, pehle se todhe hue level ko ulte side se test kiya. Is test ke doran, price ne do downward bounces dekhe aur pin bars ke sath retrace kiya, jo ke strong sellers ki mojoodgi ko signal karta hai. Pullback ke bawajood, price daily aur weekly growth levels se intersect hui, jo ke is level par resistance ko mazid barhata hai. Arrow indicator bhi continued decline ko support karta hai. Isliye, current market conditions sales ke liye favorable nazar aati hain, aur target 142.01 ka support level hai.

USD/JPY/H4
Filhal main USD/JPY ke pair ko D1 time frame pe dekh raha hoon, jahan iska price Thursday ko 144.40 tak tez gir gaya. Magar, 146.50 ke niche girna mushkil lagta hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar index Ukraine aur Russia ke crisis ki wajah se tezi se barh gaya hai. Thursday ko, USD/JPY ka price 145.50 ke supply zone se upar nikalne ke imkaan hai, jahan long-term buyers ko faida ho sakta hai. Isliye, USD/JPY ka price barhne ka imkaan hai. Agar buyers price ko 147.10 ke supply level ke upar settle karte hain, to price January ke high 146.40 tak barh sakti hai




Main Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels ko 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 tak target kar raha hoon. Aaj ke din bulls ne pehle ke bearish trend line ko paar kar diya, jo ke buying volume ke barhne ka ishaara hai. Magar, agar bearish sell level 142.901 par rehta hai, to yeh bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario ke saath align hoti hai, to main decline ko priority dunga aur Bollinger Bands ke girne ki umeed karunga. 30-minute chart ka technical analysis dikhaata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, aur histogram uptrend pe hai. Price ne 141.86 tak minimum reach kiya aur ab upar ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh green zone se guzarti hai aur red zone ko support level ke taur par use kar sakti hai. Price green zone ko poora navigate kar sakti hai aur apne pehle ke sideways range me wapas aa sakti hai jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 hai.

Prices filhal weekly lows ke paas sharp girawat de rahi hain. Important support areas abhi tak test nahi hue hain, lekin abhi bhi hold ho rahe hain, jo ke downside ko significant banata hai. Current corrective recovery phase apni continuation ki potential khatam kar chuki hai 145.81 level pe, jahan abhi main resistance zone expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur phir reversal down hota hai, to ek nayi wave aane ki sambhavana hai jo 137.72 aur 135.18 areas ko target kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY/H4: 144.694
USD/JPY: US Dollar - Japanese Yen. Technical outlook ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ke liye southern trend ka continuation dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator se wazeh hai. Yeh downward movement Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary indicators jaise Laguerre aur RSI se bhi support hoti hai, jo ke overbought zone mein hain aur short selling opportunities ka indication deti hain.

Jab bears abhi strong aur active hain, meri plan yeh hai ke open position ko -23.6% Fibonacci target tak pohnchnay par close kar doon, jo ke price level 144.694 par hai. Risk ko kam karne ke liye, main order ko breakeven par shift kar dunga jab yeh positive territory mein enter karega. Yeh approach bearish momentum ka faida uthata hai aur potential reversals se bachav bhi karta hai.



USD/JPY ki price US labor market ke data release ke baad niche chali gayi. Hello Dmitry, profit ka bag. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke pair ki price yahin ruk jayegi, Japanese yen vertically zyada strong nahi ho paayega. Phir sab kuch settle ho jayega. Ek flat market hoga, north aur south dono directions mein. Lekin American dollar ko ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Agle Fed meeting tak ek mahina hai aur is waqt ke doran is pair ki price kaafi badh sakti hai (dollar ka growth abhi tak cancel nahi hua hai). Aaj ke data ke baad (jo ke elections se pehle rate kam karne ke liye ministries ke zariye banaya gaya tha), kya hoga yeh kehna mushkil hai. American officials sab kuch jhoot bol rahe hain, sab elections aur Democratic Party ke candidate ki victory ke liye. Lekin voters American fund ke girawat ko maaf nahi kar sakte. Mere taraf se, maine geisha se break lene ka faisla kiya hai, mere paas itni headaches hain ke uski zarurat nahi hai. Dekhte hain.