usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka exchange rate aakhri kuch dinon mein thoda stabilize hua hai, aur kuch traders dips par buy karna jaari rakhe hue hain. Reliable trading platform ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ne Monday ko 141.77 ka low hit kiya, apne kuch losses ko recover karte hue 147 tak upar gaya. Magar, yeh pair ab bhi pichle mahine ke high 161.87 se kaafi neeche hai.
USD/JPY ka exchange rate sharply reverse hua hai. Bohat arsey se, United States aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rates ka ek wide gap tha. Hal hi mein, US ka interest rate 5.50% tha, jabke Japanese interest rate -0.10% tha. Yeh range exciting interest rate trading opportunities create karti thi, jisme kai investors ne heavily borrow karke doosri countries mein invest kiya, khaaskar United States mein. Ab pendulum shift ho chuka hai, aur Bank of Japan ne negative interest rates se agay barh kar interest rates ko 25 basis points tak raise kar diya hai. Yeh unhone inflation se larna ke liye kiya, jo ke recent months mein 2% se zyada rahi hai.

Doosri taraf, Fed ne kaha ke woh doosre central banks, jaise Bank of England (BoE), European Central Bank (ECB), aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke saath mil kar US interest rates ko reduce karna shuru karega. Kul mila kar, US mein rate cut ki likelihood recent weeks mein barh gayi hai jabke US ne mixed economic data release kiya. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke mutabiq, mulk ki inflation rate aakhri teen consecutive months se girti hui dikhai di hai. Aur Fed ke dual mandate ka doosra hissa, labor market, bhi weaken ho raha hai, aur unemployment rate barh kar 4.3% ho gaya hai. Tareekhi tor par, jab bhi unemployment rate paanch consecutive months ke liye barhta hai, economy recession mein gir gayi hai. Labor productivity, manufacturing output, aur industrial production se mutaliq doosre economic data bhi weaker than expected rahe hain.

Daily chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY exchange rate July mein 161.87 par peak kiya tha aur recent weeks mein sharply gira hai. Yeh decline us waqt aaya jab Bank of Japan ne interest rates raise karne aur foreign exchange market mein intervene karna shuru kiya. Trading data ke mutabiq, pair 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se neeche gir gaya hai aur bearish crossover ke verge par hai. Zyadatar cases mein, yeh pattern market mein sabse bearish hota hai. ke sharp drop ke baad, pair 141 se 147 tak recover kar gaya. Yeh pullback tab hua jab pair ne ek hammer candle form ki, jo ek bullish reversal ka sign hota

pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran. Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days.

Market Movements USD/JPY Prices Ke Zariye

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajzia hamari guftagu ka ahem mawzu hoga. USD/JPY currency pair ne trading week ko 146.69 area ke qareeb correction ke sath khatam kiya, apne upward trend ko jari rakhte hue. Moving averages ke bawajood ke yeh bearish trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, prices abhi bhi 145.01 mark ke upar hain, jo US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko signal karte hain aur current levels se mazid growth ke potential ko dikhate hain. Is waqt humein ek potential price correction ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo 145.01 ke aas paas support level ko test kar sakta hai. Ek subsequent rebound pair ke growth ko 150.01 level se upar le ja sakta hai. Magar, agar pair girti hai aur 145.01 level ke neeche break hoti hai, to yeh decline ke jari rehne ko suggest kare ga, jiska possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne trend line break hone ke baad control dobara hasil karne ki koshish ki, magar unki koshishain sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdood reh gayi aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.

Dusri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain aur uske upar apni position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki bahali ko signal kar sakta hai. General movement of average prices downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downtrend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support kar rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns suggest karte hain ke sellers dheere dheere momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, including dynamic RSI, neeche ki taraf move karna shuru ho gaye hain, halan ke dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ke upper limit se neeche cross nahi hua. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho raha hai, jab ke day aur week RSI bottom par hain, downward trend ke sath aligned hain. Yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke agle downward move mein price kitna neeche jaye gi, magar najdeek ka target 145.51 hai. Iske aage direction abhi tak uncertain hai.

ka ma'zu USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka mutaala hai. Main kuch ishaara nahi kar raha, lekin in currency market ke hissay mein in geo-political masail par baat karte karte thak gaya hoon. Lekin raat ke dauran Middle East mein izafa ke naye asaar samnay aaye hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ke market ke khulay par is instrument ke liye kuch surprises ho sakte hain. Lekin har surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazbooti ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Bearish trend ab bhi mojuud hai, aur agar Monday ko quotes 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jati, toh shayad iss price se selling market mein dakhil hone ke baare mein socha ja sakta hai. Lekin hum weekend ke baad iss soch par ghour karenge taake sab fundamental factors ko sahi tor par samajh sakain. Agar hum USD/JPY pair ke poore downward impulse ko 100% samjhein, toh agla downward wave already 133rd figure ke area mein expected hai, jahan qareeb 138th Fibonacci level waqe hai. Yeh wahi jagah hai jahan upward correction ke baad yen ke aane ki umeed hai. Baat yeh hai ke trend line ke neeche breakout aur consolidation ka signal mila hai, jo ke mazeed southern zigzag banane ki buniyad hai. Agar aap hourly chart par dekhein, toh humein 146.30 ka aik acha support level nazar aata hai, jo ke pichlay Mangal ka high tha, aur price ne is se ek dafa bounce bhi kiya hai, aur aam tor par hafta is level ke kareeb band hua. Toh mere khayal mein agle trading week mein is level se long positions kholne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Aise positions ka maqsaad yeh hoga ke USD/JPY currency pair 161st Fibonacci grid level tak, jo ke lagbhag 151.70 hai, barh sakta hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay humein 148.53 ya kam az kam 200 points milenge. Main aapko apni trading strategy ke mutabiq aise plan ko dobara check karne ki tajweez doonga. Economic calendar mein 3 star category ki khaasi khabrein Japan aur USA, dono se mutawaqqa hain, toh foundation bhi yahan price movement par asar andaz hogi

Good morning sab invest social members. Umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur is site ka lutf utha rahe hain. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai.
Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya humari guftagu ka markazi mawzu hoga. USD/JPY currency pair trading week ke aakhir mein 146.69 ke aas-paas correction ke saath band hui hai, jo apne upward trend ko jaari rakhti hai. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend ka ishara de rahi hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hain, jo US dollar par intense buyer pressure aur continued growth ki potential ko signal de raha hai. Is waqt, hum ek mumkinah price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo 145.01 ke support level ko test karega. Ek ba'ad mein rebound se pair ki growth 150.01 ke level ko par kar sakti hai. Lekin, agar pair girti hai aur 145.01 ke level ko break karti hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka ishara dega, jiska mumkinah target 142.01 ke niche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne control regain karne ki koshish ki trend line break hone ke ba'ad, lekin unki koshish sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdood rahi, bina kisi significant breakthrough ke.

Doosri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko dobara break karke uske upar ek position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ke wapas aane ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aam taur par average prices ka movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend mein hai. Pehlay, dynamic filter ki control line ne correction ko support kiya, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh dikhate hain ke sellers dheere-dheere momentum hasil kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, including dynamic RSI, bhi downward hone lage hain, magar dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ke upper limit ko cross nahi kiya. Junior RSI bhi dheere-dheere downward shift ho raha hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hain, downward trend ke sath aligned hain. Agle downward move mein price kitni neeche gir sakti hai yeh predict karna mushkil hai is waqt, lekin nearest target 145.51 hai. Uske aage, direction abhi tak uncertain hai.

USD/JPY Analysis Forecast

Weekly Timeframe

Is hafte ke shuru mein, W1 period chart par USDJPY currency pair ko dekhte hain. Ye senior period chart weekends par dekhna kaafi munasib hai. Aur is senior weekly chart par, aap dekh sakte hain ke pichle kuch hafton mein price tezi se niche gir gayi hai. Technical indicators mein se sabse ahem MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai. Lekin doosra indicator, CCI, bhi upar par bearish divergence dikhata hai, lekin thoda chhoti. Girawat ke kuch wajohat hain jo fundamental bhi hain. Bank of Japan apni national currency ke kamzor hone ko bardasht nahi kar sakti thi, aur market mein billions inject karne ke bawajood madad nahi mili aur interest rate ko barhane ka faisla kiya. Is ke baad, ek bade paimane par girawat shuru ho gayi. Girawat ke dauran, 151.90 ka level break hua aur phir ascending line bhi. Price lagbhag 140.25 ke support level tak pohnch gayi thi, thoda kam hi sahi, aur fir ek upward correction hui. Ye dekha gaya ke broken ascending line ka niche se touch hua, yahan se ek naye daur ki girawat shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin CCI indicator confusing hai, jo ke lower overheating zone mein chala gaya hai. Upward rollback ho sakta hai ke is waqt se zyada gehra ho, yahan hume dekhna hoga ke price H4 par kis tarah behave karti hai, aur kya aagey barhne ya girne ki koi wajah hai. Ye situation ambiguous hai, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono ke chances barabar hain.

USD/JPY Analysis

Weekly Timeframe
Is haftay ke aghaz par, chaliye W1 period chart dekhtay hain - USDJPY currency pair. Ye senior period chart dekhna weekend par munasib hai. Aur is senior weekly chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke price pichle hafton mein tezi se gir gayi hai. Technical indicators bhi hain, sab se aham bearish divergence hai MACD indicator par. Lekin doosra indicator, CCI, ne bhi top par ek chhoti bearish divergence dikhayi. Girawat ke peechay wajahain bhi hain, fundamental wajahain bhi. Bank of Japan apni currency ki kamzori ko bardasht nahi kar pa raha tha, bazaar mein billions inject karne ke bawajood kuch nahi hua aur interest rate ko barhane ka faisla kiya. Is ke baad ek bade paimane par girawat shuru hui. Girawat ke doran 151.90 ka level tod diya gaya aur phir ascending line bhi tod di. Price lagbhag 140.25 ke support level tak pohnch gayi, lekin us tak nahi pohnchi. Uske baad ek upward correction aayi aur broken ascending line ko niche se touch kiya. Yahan se naye girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin CCI indicator thoda confusing hai, jo lower overheating zone mein chale gaya hai. Upward rollback aur bhi gehra ho sakta hai, yahan dekhna hoga ke price H4 par kis tarah behave karti hai, kya aage ke liye growth ya decline ke asbaab hain. Ye ek mushkil situation hai, mera khayal hai ke buyers aur sellers ke chances barabar hain.

USDJPY currency pair mein kaafi significant shift aaya hai, jahan sellers ne dubara control hasil kar ke price ko 146.86 zone tak neeche le aaye hain. Ye downward movement bears ke liye ek notable recovery hai, jo ab apne pehle ke nuksanat ko cover kar rahe hain aur market par apna dabao barhane mein kamiyab ho gaye hain. Recent price action yeh darsha rahi hai ke bearish sentiment barh raha hai, jo ke pair ke pehle wale gains ko reverse kar raha hai. Price ka 146.86 level tak girna, sellers ki renewed strength ka saboot hai. Ek period ke baad jahan bulls ne price ko ooper push karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki thi, ab sellers market mein wapas aaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko kaafi had tak mitane mein kaamiyab ho gaye hain. Ye shift yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko zyada bechne mein interested hain, shayad changing economic conditions, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ki wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko weak dikhate hain. 146.86 zone tak neeche jana khaas significance rakhta hai, kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum ko qaim rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jaane mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh ek lambi downtrend ki shuruaat ka signal ho sakta hai

Iske ilawa, USDJPY par jo abhi bearish pressure hai, woh broader economic concerns ka reflection ho sakta hai. Masalan, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai soft economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ki wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein hissa daal sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar Japanese yen mein strength hai, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ki wajah se, to yeh downward movement ko aur amplify kar sakti hai. Traders ke liye, yeh sentiment shift challenges aur opportunities dono pesh kar rahi hai. Long positions hold karne walon ko apni strategies dobara sochni pad sakti hain, khas kar agar pair support levels ko break karna jari rakhta hai. Jabke short sellers ke liye yeh environment faidemand ho sakta hai agar bearish momentum continue hoti hai. Key yeh hoga ke dekhain ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke around kaise behave karta hai aur yeh zone reversal ka point banta hai ya phir sirf ek aage aur bearish action ke liye stepping stone ban jata hai. Recent price action in USDJPY pair yeh highlight kar rahi hai ke bearish sentiment ka resurgence mazboot hai, jahan sellers ne price ko 146.86 zone tak neeche karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai. Yeh movement na sirf sellers ke previous losses ko cover karne ki salahiyat ko reflect karta hai balki unki renewed control ko bhi underscore karta hai. Is shift ke implications kaafi door tak ja sakti hain, agar 146.86 support hold karta hai ya phir aur zyada declines ke liye rasta kholta hai. Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions mein pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights mil sakti hain, jo ke un traders ke liye potential trading opportunities pesh karengi jo is evolving market landscape mein theek position mein hain

Japanese yen ka US dollar ke muqable mein girawat dekhne ko mili, jahan USD/JPY jo ek shikaar 147.00 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh yen ke haali mein huye faidaat ka ulta hone ke sath tha, jab Japanese markets chhutti ke liye band the, jis wajah se trading volume kam ho gaya. US dollar ko support mil raha hai recent mein aaye huye mazid mazboot economic data ki wajah se, jisne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke comments ne jo interest rate hikes ke continued possibility ko reinforce kiya, greenback ko aur mazbooti di. Is ke muqabil, Bank of Japan ne future rate increases ki sambhavnayein zaroor dikhayi hain, lekin iska stance abhi bhi cautious hai due to market volatility. Japan ke finance minister ne kaha ke monetary policy decisions sirf central bank ke zimme hain. USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, downward trend kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, kyunki pair ek descending channel ke upar trade kar raha hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke qareeb hai, jo momentum ke behtar hone ka ishara karta hai

Pair ke liye support 145.50 level ke qareeb dekhne ko milne ki umeed hai, aur agar is level ke niche break hota hai, to pair 140.25 corrective support aur aakhir mein descending channel ke lower bound 137.00 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Upside par, resistance nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) par 147.75 ke qareeb ummeed hai. Is level ka breach downward trend ka reversal signal de sakta hai, aur pair shayad 154.50 par "reverse pullback support turned resistance" level ko target kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair US economic performance, Federal Reserve policy expectations aur Bank of Japan ke monetary stance ke combination se mutasir hai. Jabke yen ne haali mein kamzori dikhayi hai, pair ka agla direction in factors ke interplay aur market sentiment ke shifts par depend karega

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mudda hoga. USD/JPY currency pair trading week ko 146.69 ke aas paas correction ke sath khatam karti hai aur apni upward trend ko jaari rakhti hai. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend ki ishaarat de rahe hain, prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure aur current levels se growth ke potential ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Is waqt hume ek potential price correction ki ummeed rakhni chahiye jo 145.01 ke aas paas support level ko test kare. Aik subsequent rebound pair ki growth ko 150.01 ke level se upar le jaa sakta hai. Magar agar pair girti hai aur 145.01 ke level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh decline ka continuation suggest karega, jiska possible target 142.01 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne trend line tooti ke baad control wapas pane ki koshish ki, magar unki koshish trend line ko neeche se test karne tak hi mehdood rahi bina kisi significant breakthrough ke

Dousri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko dobara break kar lein aur uske upar position secure kar lein, to yeh global trend ka restoration signal kar sakta hai. Average prices ka general movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downtrend show kar raha hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ka control line correction ko support kar raha tha, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, dynamic RSI ko shamil karte hue, niche ki taraf mud rahe hain, lekin dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ki upper limit ko cross nahi kiya. Junior RSI bhi gradually downward shift kar raha hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hain, downward trend ke sath aligned hain. Agle downward move mein price kitni niche gir sakti hai yeh predict karna mushkil hai, magar nazdeek ka target 145.51 hai. Iske baad direction uncertain hai

USD/JPY

Monday ko, USD/JPY pair ne U.S. Dollar ke against significant appreciation dikhaya, jiski wajah se currency pair apne pehle ke low 141.71 se pull back kar gaya. Abhi ye pair 147.57 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Market participants ab closely monitor kar rahe hain ke pair mein potential substantial movements hon, saath hi Japanese authorities ke intervention measures ko bhi dekh rahe hain jo excessive depreciation ko curb karne ke liye ho sakte hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Recent Bloomberg reports ke mutabiq, RBC BlueBay Asset Management ke ek piece mein yeh suggest kiya gaya hai ke Bank of Japan market ki expectations se zyada apni bond purchases mein reduction karne ka soch raha hai. Agar iske sath ek possible rate hike bhi ho jata hai, to yeh hawkish factors ka ek powerful combination create kar sakta hai, jisse Japanese Yen mazid strong ho sakta hai.

Swap traders dekh rahe hain ke forward contracts par swap rates mein uptick ho raha hai, jo ke ek aur rate hike ke end of July tak hone ke badhne ke chances ko signal karta hai. Yeh trend June 18 se start hua, jab Governor Kazuo Ueda ne yeh hint diya ke ek aur rate hike jald ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Monday tak, yeh pair 148.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke daily chart analysis ke mutabiq ek bullish trend dikhata hai. Yeh pair abhi ascending channel pattern ke upper boundary ke kareeb position mein hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyunki 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 se upar hai, jo overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai aur ek potential correction ka ishara de raha hai.

Short term mein, yeh pair 162.11 level ke kareeb resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, jo ascending channel ki upper boundary ko represent karta hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully break ho jata hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko mazid enhance kar sakta hai, jo pair ko 162.51 ke psychological resistance level ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

Aaj kal ka mazmoon USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior par hai. Main kisi baat ka ishara nahi kar raha, lekin main in currency market ke geopolitical masail se thak gaya hoon. Raat bhar mein Middle East mein nai tensions ka signal mila hai, aur agar kuch hota hai, to is instrument ke liye Monday market opening kuch surprises le kar aa sakti hai. Lekin, har surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot hone ki koshish karne par majboor karega. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar maan lo ke Monday ko quotes 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jati, to ho sakta hai ke is price se selling market mein enter karna munasib ho. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend ke baad analyze karenge taake saare fundamental factors ko theek se samajh sakein. Agar hum market mein USD/JPY pair ke downward impulse ko last maximum se 100% lein, to agli downward wave ka ana 133rd figure ke area mein hona chahiye, jahan kareebi 138th Fibonacci level hai. Yeh wahi jagah hai jahan upward correction ke mukammal hone ke baad yen ka ana expected hai. Baat yeh hai ke trend line ke neeche breakout ke saath consolidation mila, jiska matlab hai ke southern zigzag banane ke liye grounds hai. Agar aap hourly chart dekhein, to humein 146.30 ka ek achha support level milta hai, jo ke last Tuesday ka high hai, aur price ne ek dafa wahan se bounce kiya tha, aur overall week bhi is level ke approximately upar close hua. To mere khayal mein agle trading week mein wahan se long positions open karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Aisi positions ka maqsad yeh hoga ke USD/JPY currency pair 161st Fibonacci grid level tak barh sakta hai, jo ke takriban 151.70 ke qareeb hai. Mera khayal hai ke agle week humein 148.53 ya kam az kam 200 points mil sakte hain. Main suggest karta hoon ke aise plan ko apni trading strategy ke mutabiq double-check karein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur USA se kaafi news hai jo ke three stars category mein shamil hai, isliye

USD/JPY trades aur tips ka tajziya Volatility dheere dheere normal ho rahi hai, lekin pair ab bhi movement dikha raha hai. Kal, 146.49 ka price test hua jab indicator zero mark se upar ki taraf move karna shuru hua, jo dollar khareedne ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm kar raha tha. Nateeja ye hua ke USD/JPY lagbhag 100 pips tak barh gaya. Aaj, buyers ne kal ke high ko test karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Lekin uske baad pair par pressure wapas aaya, jo ye darshaata hai ke market mein bade sellers mojood hain jo aane wale hafton mein dollar ke niche jaane par wager kar rahe hain. Japan mein money supply data ka market par koi khaas asar nahi pada
Strategy ke liye, mein ziada tawajju scenario No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par doon ga
Buy signals
**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point par pohonch jaye jo ke chart par green line se 147.20 ke aas paas plot ki gayi hai, aur maqsad 148.27 tak pahunchna hai jo ke chart par thicker green line se plot ki gayi hai. 148.27 par, mein long positions exit karoon ga aur opposite direction mein short ones open karoon ga, aur 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect karoon ga. Aaj pair ke upar rise hone ki umeed hai jo ek upward correction ka hissa hai. Lekin jitna upar pair jaye ga, dollar bechna utna hi attractive hoga. Zaroori hai ke khareedne se pehle ensure karein ke indicator zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise ho raha hai
**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon agar do martaba consecutive tests 146.58 par hoti hai jab indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse upturn laega. Growth 147.20 aur 148.27 ke opposite levels tak expect ki ja sakti hai
Sell signals
**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY bechne ka plan bana raha hoon sirf us waqt jab 146.58 ka test ho jaye jo ke chart par red line se plot ki gayi hai, jo pair mein tezi se decline laega. Sellers ka key target 145.63 ho ga, jahan mein short positions exit karoon ga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karoon ga, aur 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect karoon ga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar din ke pehle hisse mein unsuccessful correction ho aur daily high ka test na ho sake. Zaroori hai ke bechne se pehle ensure karein ke indicator zero mark se niche hai aur wahan se decline shuru ho raha hai
**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar do martaba consecutive price tests 147.20 par hoti hain jab indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse downturn laega. Decline 146.58 ke opposite level tak expect kiya ja sakta hai

Aaj mein W1 chart ke senior period par ghore karne ka mashwara deta hoon - USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM)