USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY

Maine pehchane gaye levels ke imtehanat dopahar mein haqeeqat mein nahi hue. Kal, US data ki ghaibi se dollar kharidar annual unchi ke aas paas bhatke, jise unho ne torhna kamyabi se naata. Aaj, Japan ne imalat sector ki faa'iliyat par achay data jaari kiya, jo pichle mahine se kam active raftar par ghate. Khidmat sector ke lihaaz se sab theek hai, lekin yen ne is sab ko nazar andaz kiya. Magar, jitna zyada pair annual unchi ke aas paas rukta hai baghair usse torne ki koshish kiye, utni hi zyada chances hain ke USD/JPY ka urooj giray aur aik acha correcttive phase aaye. Intredustry strategy ke liye, main adhik no. 1 aur no. 2 ke manzar ko amal par dalonga.

Kharidar ke signals

Manzar No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon jab ke qeemat 154.86 ke aas paas entry point tak pohanchay, jise chart par sabz line se plot kiya gaya hai, maqsood hai 155.29 ke taraf izafa, jo chart par moti sabz line se plot kiya gaya hai. 155.29 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahir nikal jaonga aur ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholonga, umeed hai ke is level se ulte rukh ki taraf 30-35 pips ke izafi movement aaye. Aap USD/JPY ke urooj par aaj ke trend par aitmad kar sakte hain rozana unchi torne ke baad. Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur is waqt uss se sirf chadhna shuru hota hai.

Manzar No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedna chahta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold area mein hai aur do musalsal tests ke waqt 154.63 ke. Ye pair ke nichay ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulatoo rukh layega. Hum 154.86 aur 155.29 ke mukhalif levels tak izafa ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Farokht ke signals

Manzar No. 1. Main aaj sirf 154.63 ke darajay ka imtehan karne ke baad USD/JPY farokht karna chahta hoon, jo ke qeemat mein tezi se girawat ko le kar aayega. Farokht karne walon ke liye asal maqsad 154.25 hoga, jahan main farig positions se bahir nikal jaonga aur foran mukhalif rukh mein chhote positions kholonga, umeed hai ke is level se ulte rukh ki taraf 20-25 pips ki movement aaye. Rozana unchi ka nakami ke baad USD/JPY par dabaav aur central bank ke faal amal se farokht par press ho sakta hai. Farokht karne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur is waqt sirf uss se giraftari shuru hoti hai.

Manzar No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY farokht karna chahta hoon agar MACD indicator overbought area mein hai aur do musalsal tests ke waqt qeemat 154.86 ki. Ye pair ka urooj girane ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulatoo rukh layega. Hum 154.63 aur 154.25 ke mukhalif levels tak girawat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY ke price analysis: Main dollar-yen jodi ki ghantawar chart ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Pehle to, jodi ek khaas range ke andar trade ki gayi phir uss se niche se tor di gayi. Magar, is manzar mein, kharidne wale ne wazni volume ikhata kiya, unke volumes ke neeche kharidne wale limits ko trigger karte hue, jiski wajah se jodi ke raaste mein uthaan ki sambhavna zaahir hui. Iske baad, jodi ne range ke mukhaalef se bhaagidari ki simaon ko dobara dekha aur uss ke andar trading ko dobara shuru kiya. Jab jodi apne kharidne wale volumes se door chali gayi, to kharidne ke hudood asar andaz hue. Yeh pattern range ke neeche ke mukhaalef borders ke qareeb aur barhne ki sambhavna ko dikhata hai, jahan kharidne wale ne apna volume barha diya. Ab, halaat 30-minute timeframe pe mamooli nazar aate hain, jinhe kam volatility trading ke taur pe pesh kia gaya hai, jo apne apne mushkilat ka set hai. Hamare apartment ki functionality ki mehdood muddat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, meri fori maqsad yeh hai ke 153.00 ke aas paas ke local maximum ke baare mein updates ko nigrani mein rakho. Ek global high ka potential bana rehne ka tawajjo bhi rakhte hue, yaani, hamare raaste ki taraf, nazar-e awwal ke qareeb 100 points ke liye abhi theoretiqee tor pe kuch waqt hai, jab tak koi pullback ka intezaar na karna pare Magar, aaj Ke news backdrop se kuch kam umeed hoti hai. Fed ki hal taqreeron ne market ko ghair manqil bana diya hai, utasalar kisi wazi inflation reports ke mojoodgi mein, ek trend jo ke main umeed karta hoon ke jaari rahega. Keemat ka raasta ek giravat se taharti hui raftar se uthane ki taraf badal gaya jab linear regression channel 2nd LevelSupLine ke neeche se guzra, haalaanki 146.443 ke lowest quote value tak pohnchne ke baad. Ab, instrument 150.671 ke level pe trade ho raha hai. In tajawuzat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main mazeed market price quotes ka uparward movement tawaqqa karta hoon linear channel ke golden average line (LR) ke taraf, jo 152.318 pe mojood hai, jo 138.2% fibo level ke saath milta hai. Iske baad, 151.876 ke 2nd LevelSupLine channel line ke ooper consolidation ka tawaqqa hai, jo ke 123.6% FIBO level ke saath milta hai.

Asian session ki trading douran raat ko, market asal mein sellers ki taraf se kaafi taqatwar dabao ka samna kar raha tha, jis se keemat 153.00 tak gir gayi thi, lekin dopahar se lekar shaam tak shadeed bullishness nazar aayi. Agar aap UsdJpy market ki keemat ka bewaqoofana andaza lagayen, toh ye dikhta hai ke trend is haftay ke ant mein bullish side par chala gaya hai, agle keemat ka harkat pehle ki buland tareen zone ko test karne ki taraf jaana chahega 156.00 ilaqa mein, raat ki trading douran bullish movement kaafi zor daar thi, jis se keemat ko upar le gayi gayi, market ki subah band hone par thori si neeche ki rukawat thi jo keemat ko 154.63 position par gira di. Is liye, mere khayal mein UsdCad jodi ke agle market ki surat haal ka tajziya karte hue, keemat mein umeed hai keh buland ho sakti hai, kharidar moqami ban kar candlestick ko Uptrend side par chalne mein jari rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain

Main jo dekhta hoon keh safar ko bullish side par jaane ka maqsad shayad buland tareen zone se guzar jana hai jabke doosre kharidarun ko keemat barhane ke liye moqa milta hai. Aik aramdayak trading position dhoondne ke liye, meri raaye mein bas keemat ko 154.83 position par barhne ka intezar karna kafi hai. Aaj ke shara'it ke sath, kharidarun ke liye kaafi moqa nazar aata hai ke wo apni movement ko bullish side par jari rakhen takay buland ilaqa tak pahunchein aur bullish trend jari rahe. Halankeh raat ko haftay ke akhri din ke doran keemat bullish side par jaane ki taraf rawana hui, main phir se yaad dilana chahta hoon ke agle haftay ki shuruaat mein market neeche ja sakta hai, subah ki rukawat jari rahegi jabke keemat bullish trend ki taraf uthne se pehle

Haftay ka chart dekhtay hue USD/JPY mein tazgi se uttar chal chali hai, jis ki wajah se doosri full bullish mombati haftay ke aakhir mein banayi gayi hai, jo asani se peechlay haftay ke range high se ooper band hui hai. Jaisa ke pehle bhi kaha gaya tha, is maamlay mein, mein qareebi resistance level ka dobara imtehan lenay ka pura intizar kar raha hoon, jo ke meri tajziati tafseelat ke mutabiq 156.000 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do mansubay ho sakte hain. Pehla mansuba price ke is level ke ooper musalas kayar honay aur mazeed uttar chal chali mein shaamil hai. Agar yeh mansuba asar andaz hota hai, toh mein price ko agay barhnay ke liye 160.400 ke resistance level ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ban'nay ka intizar karonga, jo aglay trading rukh ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Bila shuba, mujhe yaqeen hai ke tajziati uttar ki manzil ke taraf qadam barhatay waqt, qaribi support levels se bullish signals dhoondne ke liye jhuk jayein ge, tajziati uttar ke trend ke andar price ke tezi se phir se uthane ka intizar karte hue

156.000 resistance level ke qareeb price ki harkat ke liye ek doosra mansuba reversl mombati banane aur correction ke andar southward harkat ka dobara shuru hona hai. Agar yeh mansuba haqiqat mein hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke price support level 152.589 ya support level 150.809 tak wapas lautay gi. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondnay ka silsila jari rakhoonga, umeed hai ke price phir se ooper jaaye gi. Malkiyat ke mahol par depend karta hai, lekin aane wale haftay ke liye, mein umeed karta hoon ke price tajziati uttar ke trend ke andar mukhtalif resistance level ko dobara imtehan legi. Mazeed amal malkiyat ke hawalay se honge

USDJPY


Japani Yen ka mustaqbil uljha hua hai jab ke wo global ma'ashi quwwaton ke darmiyan ek mulabisa ka samna kar raha hai. Mangalwar ko, Yen ne Amreeki Dollar ke muqable mein ek chhote se izafay ka imtehan diya, lekin yeh chhota kamyabi bohot saal tak ke record ke peeche chhupa hai. Ye sorat-e-haal badi had tak Amreeka aur Japan ke mukhtalif mali policyon ki wajah se hoti hai. Amreeka mein Federal Reserve ke bazaar mein barhti hui muddat dar ko le kar uchit daroN ka barqarar rehna muntakhib hai, jab ke Japan ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne bhi kisi tarah ki jaldi dikhayi nahi. Is se aik ahem muddat dar farq paida hota hai, jo ke Amreeki Dollar ko Yen ke muqable mein zyada qeemat pasand banata hai, jo traditionally ma'ashi lahar mein aman ke doran aik mehfooz asasa ke tor par dekha jata hai. Japani Yen ki kamzori ke bawajood, Dollar abhi bhi apne peechle haftay ke kareebi unchaai se piche hai. Mazeed is par, Japanese authorities ke currency ko sambhalne ke liye shobat lagaane ke bares mein fikar bhi Dollar ke izafe ko kam kar rahi hai. Investors bhi ihtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain jab wo is haftay ke akhri faislon ka muntazir hain, dono taraf se BoJ aur Amreeka ke ma'ashi data ke bares mein. Ye factors currency market mein ek muntazir karne aur dekhne ka imtezaar ka mahol bana rahe hain.



Technical tor par, Yen ka mustaqbil abhi tak ghana hai. Jabke Dollar filhal overbought hai, mazeed Yen ke qeemat mein kami khareedne walon ko 154.30 support level ke qareeb munfarid keemat pasand kar sakti hai. Ye bari aksar 154.00 ke neeche ek numaya giravat ko rokna chahiye. Magar agar is se neeche gir jaye, to ye ek technical bech dastaaviz shuru kar sakta hai, jo Yen ko 152.00 tak kheench sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Dollar 154.85 aur phir 155.00 ke psychological rukawat ko paar kar sake, to ye March se shuru hone wale uptrend ka jari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Asal mein, Yen ka mustaqbil ka rasta BoJ aur Amreeka ke faislon par mabni hai, sath hi risk ke muqable mein investors ke jazbat par bhi. Tab tak, Yen zyada tar tareekhi records ke qareeb volatile rehne ka imkan hai.

اپریل 23 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

جاپان سے اقتصادی رپورٹس کو ین کی حمایت کرنی چاہیے تھی، لیکن کیری ٹریڈز اور ڈالر کی مقامی طاقت کی طرف قیاس آرائی پر مبنی سرمایہ کاروں کا جذبہ جاپانی کرنسی کو ڈالر کے مقابلے میں نئی نچلی سطح تک لے جا رہا ہے۔ کل، یومیہ ٹائم فریم پر قیمت پرائس چینل لائن کے اوپر طے ہوئی اور اس نے 155.80 پر قریب ترین ہدف بنا دیا۔



اس طرح کے رجحان پر قابو پانے کے لیے، بینک آف جاپان کو مداخلت کرنی چاہیے۔ انہوں نے اس کے بارے میں بات کی (مرکزی بینک میں) جب جوڑی تین اعداد و شمار کم تھی۔ شاید وہ وقت آ گیا ہے۔ یا شاید جوڑی اب بھی 155.80 کے ہدف تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ بیلوں کے لیے صورتحال انتہائی خطرناک ہے۔ اگر قیمت 154.25 سے کم ہو جاتی ہے تو اگلا ہدف 151.95 ہو گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایک اختلاف پیدا ہو رہا ہے۔ اس کے ساتھ ہی، آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن زیرو لائن سے نیچے کی طرف مڑ رہی ہے۔ شاید یہ ایک غلط الٹ سگنل ہے، کیونکہ وہ پچھلے مہینے میں زیادہ بار بار ہو چکے ہیں، لیکن آخر کار، کسی وقت یہ سگنل درست نکلنا چاہیے۔

ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن پہلے ہی 154.25 کے ہدف کی سطح کے بہت قریب آچکی ہے، جو پہلے سے ہی اس بات کی علامت ہے کہ قیمت زبردستی مضبوط حمایت سے ٹوٹ سکتی ہے اور مزید گر سکتی ہے۔ مداخلت کل جتنی جلدی ہو سکتی ہے۔ اگر ایسا نہ ہوا تو ہم آنے والے دنوں میں اس کا انتظار کرتے رہیں گے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY

USD/JPY Japani yen mein mudad par miqdaar mein trada hota hai. Mamooli lot size: 100,000 USD Mini lot size: 10,000 USD Aik pip daswaan hisse ke barabar hota hai Pip ke qeemat: $10 (tabdeel hoti hai mubadale ke dar se) USD/JPY duniya ki ahem currency pairs mein se aik hai, 2019 mein Bank for International Settlements ka survey daryaft karta hai ke USD/JPY total rozana volume mein 13.2% ki shirakat rakhta tha forex markets mein. Taqatwar uptrend pehli urooj ke baad 140.25 se dekha gaya hai, jo ke 127.20 (2023 ki kam taareekh) se up trend ka teesra hissa hai. agla target 127.20 se 151.89 tak ka 61.8% projection hai jo ke 140.25 se hai. tajwez rahegi ke 146.47 ki support ka bhi tab tak mazbooti se pata chalta hai, agar gehri lataad mein bhi ho. Is waqt USD/JPY tezi ke sath hai. Mojud uptrend aglay target 155.20 fibonacci projection level ke liye hai. Niche, 153.37 minor support se neechay ke baray mein guftagu ghair tajawuzi ban jayegi aur phir ek aur tezi ki negehdasht. USD/JPY ek bohot taqatwar bullish trend ka hissa hai. Traders ko sirf lambi positions (khareedne ke waqt) lena chahiye jab tak ke price 153.39 JPY ke neeche nahi rehta. Agla resistance jo 154.55 JPY pe hai, wo agla bullish maqsad hai jo hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Is resistance ko toorna bullish momentum ko izafa kar dega. Phir bullish movement 155.71 JPY tak jaari reh sakti hai. Halke phulke tehqiqat ke mutabiq, mojooda pattern ke sath, aapko bohot chhoti mudaut mein chhoti taaleem ki mumkin qeemat mil sakti hai jo ke bohot chhoti mudaut ke hisab se position mein dakhil hone ka mauqa deti hai. In mumkin taaleemat se faida uthane ki koshish karna zahri tor pe khataranak lag sakta hai.

Pehla bullish maqsad 153.87 JPY pe hai. Bullish momentum ko is resistance ko toorna se izafa milay ga. Kharidaran phir 154.55 JPY ko agla maqsad banayenge. Isay toornay se kharidaran 155.71 JPY pe nishana banayenge. Mehfooz rehain, bohot taqatwar bullish rally ki mukhtalif deegar zarai mein ek mumkin qeemat mein sudhar ho sakta hai. Agar aisa hai, toh yaad rakhein ke trend ke khilaf trade karna zyada risk wala ho sakta hai. Naye trend ka ulta hone ka signal aane tak rukna zyada munasib lagta hai. Halankay, price 150.75 ki ahem resistance level ke qareeb ja rahi hai, jahan ye mohtaat ya pull back ho sakta hai phir barhne ke liye. Ek pullback haal hi mein tori hue resistance zone ya 30-SMA support ko dobara test kar sakta hai, jahan bail udaan bhar sakte hain. Abhi tak, 150.75 resistance level ko tor kar price ko ooncha resistance level ko dobara test karne diya ja sakta hai. Isliye, ek chance hai ke Fed taqatwar hoga meeting mein. Aisi surat mein dollar ko mazeed mazboot karega aur USD/JPY ko 152.00 ki ahem satah tak dobara le jayega. Taqatwar Fed aik July tak pehli dar darja ke mutaalliq umeedain bhi barha sakta hai.

usd/jpy technical analysis with proper details
Japanese Yen ka mustaqbil urooj o zawal ka samna hai jab ke wo global iqtisadi taqatoo ke darmiyan aik tug-of-war ka samna kar raha hai. Mangal ko, Dollar ke muqable mein Yen ka chhota sa izafa dekha gaya, lekin yeh chhoti jeet asatiza ki dor ki bunyad par aai hai. Ye halaat badi had tak America aur Japan ke mukhtalif maaliyat policies ke zariye aage barh rahe hain. America mein Federal Reserve ko tezi se barhti hui mehngai ke bais dar-o-baam rakhne ka imkaan hai, jabke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko bhi kuch jaldi nahi hai ke woh is ke peechay bhage. Ye aham interest rate ka farq paida karta hai, jo Dollar ko Yen ke muqable mein zyada kashish mand banata hai, jo ke iqtisadi ghair yaqeeni dor mein mamoolan aik mehfooz sahara ke tor par dekha jata hai. Yen ke kamzori ke bawajood, Dollar abhi bhi apne pichle haftay ke haalaat se peeche hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese authorities ke Yen ko sahara dene ke liye mukhtalif khatraat ka izhar bhi Dollar ke barhne ko rok raha hai. Investors bhi BoJ ke kuch faislon ka intezar karte hue ihtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain jo ke is haftay ke ikhtitaam par hain aur America ke iqtisadi dawat ke maamlay mein. Ye sab factors currency market mein intezaar o dekha ka mahol peda kar rahe hain.
Takneeki tor par, Yen ka manzar saaf nahi hai. Jabke Dollar abhi ke liye overbought hai, mazeed Yen ki girawat kharidne walon ko 154.30 support level ke aas paas munafa uthane ka moqa de sakti hai. Ye aham hai ke 154.00 ke neeche koi bari girawat na ho. Lekin, agar is level ke neeche girawat aa gayi to ye takneeki farokht ka aghaz kar sakti hai, jo ke Yen ko 152.00 tak le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar Dollar 154.85 ki mukhalfat ko paar kar sake aur phir 155.00 ke nafsiyati dhamake ko bhi toor sake, to ye March se shuru hui upar ki manzil ka continuation signal de sakta hai. Bunyadi tor par, Yen ka mustaqbil BoJ aur US ki faislon par mabni hai, sath hi investoron ke hisab se risk ke lehaz se. Jab tak, Yen mukhtalif raqami intekhabat ke nazdeek ghoomta rahega.

USD/JPY jodi waqt ke darmiyan mein taiz rafd-o-sani ka shikar hoti hai, jo tijarati asarat ko monitor karna mein madadgar hoti hai jab yeh jodi ke harkat ko mutasir karti hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne interest rates ko muqarar rakha hai, ishara dete hue ke woh muddati mustaqbil mein darj karai rates ko be baghair tabdeel nahi karegi. Dosri taraf, United States Federal Reserve Bank (FED) ne dar kam karne mein inteha ki wujood ka ishara diya hai, dono mumalik ke interest rate policies mein farq ke bais. Yeh interest rates mein izafa Japanese yen ko US dollar ke liye kam kashish banata hai. Interest rate farq ke ilawa, duniya bhar mein kam interest rates amrika ke treasury bond yield ko ooncha kar rahe hain, jis se USD ko support mil raha hai. Yeh factors, sath hi BOJ ki kathin stance, JPY par neechai dabaav dal rahe hain. Lekin, Japanese authorities yen mein mazeed girawat se bachne aur investors ko ahtiyaat ke mauqe denay ke liye market mein shamil hone ka tawazon soch rahe hain.

Teknik tor par, mojooda kam volatility USD/JPY jodi mein das hafton ke daman e qimat ke muqabil mein muntazir tasarruf ko dikhata hai. Rozana oscillator indicators abhi bhi musbat hain, ishara dete hue ke jodi mein abhi tak umeed hai. Lekin, USD/JPY ko 152.00 ke markar se upar janay ke liye toorna zaroori hai.

Intehai lehaz se, investors US inflation data aur aane wali FOMC meeting ke taaza khabron ka muntazir hain. In waqiat se koi ahem taraqqiyan USD/JPY jodi mein dakhil ho sakti hain. Is waqt, agar 152.00 ke darj mein bearish cases hote hain, to jodi mein neechai rukh mumkin hai.
fundamental outlook.

Agar qeemat 151.00 ke neechay toorna jaye, to 200-day SMA jo ke 150.10 par hai, ye ek ahem support ka kirdar ada karega. Agar qeemat 150.00 haftai ke neechay toorna jaye, to neechai ke khatron mein izafa ho sakta hai. Upar, agar bhaalu mukhalif level ko tor paayein, to agle mumkin targets 151.94 aur 152.89 hain. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY jodi ko duniya bhar ke interest rate farq, markazi bank policies aur taaza ahem data releases ke silsile se faida hasil hoga.Abhi, USD/JPY market ahem resistance level 154.72 ke qareeb hai, jo tijaraton ke liye aik nihayat ahem zona ban raha hai. Qeemat ki harkat khareedaron ki taraf janib lean hone ka imkan hai, khaaskar aane wale khabron ke asar ke pehle asrat par. US Flash manufacturing index ko khaas asar dalne ka imkan hai, jo ke yeh currency pair ke rukh ka taayun kar sakta hai. Is manzar par, mufeed risk management strategies jaise ke stop-loss orders istemaal karna aur aane wale khabron ke izharat ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna munasib hai. Bazar ke halat mein chaukanna rehne aur tabdeeli pazeer bazar shorat par jawabdeh rehne se, traders aane wale imtihanat se behtar taur par guzara kar sakte hain aur naye mouqay par faiyda utha sakte hain.

Umeedon ki lehar aai hai jis mein khareedaron ke liye dostana mahol ka intezam hai, khaaskar ke agle chand ghanton mein hone wale US trading session ke sath. Technical resistance ka ittehad 154.72 par sath ane wale khabron ke sath, isyat ka ehtiram zaroori hai ke is daramad ki zimmedari ke saath ahtiyaat aur faalik intezamat ka istemal kiya jaye is dinamik bazar manzar mein guzarish par. Jaise trading session kholta hai, bazar ke shirkat daron ko jari rakha jaye ga ke jis se mojooda shorat ko tasdiq ya tabdeel kar sake, mojudgi ke hisab se apni jagah ko durust karna. Technical levalon aur bunyadi drivers ke darmiyan ke aik rang ka intizam, foreign exchange medan mein tajziyaat ki peshkash ko nichawar karta hai, jahan se bariki aur tabdeel pazeeri ka ahem hota hai. In halaton mein, mutaqqi traders eshiya ki ehmiyat ko tasleem karte hain aur bazar ki chalne ki tayyari mein flexibility aur tayarri ki ahmiyat ko samajhte hain. USD/JPY market ko shakhsiyat wala aik tareeqa talash hai, jo technical idaron ko masbat tor par hum andazi ke sath milata hai. Sath hi, agle US Flash manufacturing index data aur doosri bazar mein harkat paida karne wale khabron par dhyan ko majma karke, traders ahem resistance levels ko test karne aur naye khareedaron ke dilchaspi ke raste ko banane ke liye tayar hain.

Dopehar mein 154.60 ki keemat ka imtehaan jab MACD indicator zero mark se tezi se oopar chala gaya, jo ke sathi jodi ke bullish potential ko mehdood kar diya. Is wajah se main ne dollar nahi khareeda, halankeh Amreeki mazdoori ka data is ke liye bohot munasib tha - dollar us waqt saalana uchhalla ke qareeb tha. Aaj, Japan ke inflation data jaari hone ke baad dollar tezi se gir gaya. Is ke bawajood, bulls ne jald baazi se dips par khareedari ki, jo ke unki market mein buland dilchaspi aur sathi jodi ko mazeed mazbooti denay ki kafi bari imkaan ko darust karta hai. Taqreeban intraday strategy ke tor par, main scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 ki amli harkat par zyada bhrosa karunga.
Khareedari signals Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY khareedna ka irada rakhta hoon jab keemat green line ke chart par 154.60 par pohanch jaye, jo ke chart par moti hari line ke saath dikhayi gayi hai, aur mujhe 155.19 tak ke izaafa ke liye nishana rakhta hai, jo chart par moti hari line ke saath dikhayi gayi hai. 155.19 ke ilaake mein, main long positions ko khatam karunga aur mukhalif raah mein short positions kholunga, umeed hai ke us level se 30-35 pips ke ulte rukh ki taraf izaafa hoga. USD/JPY ke aaj ke izafa par trend ke matabiq bharosa kar sakte hain rozana uchhalla ke tor par. Khareedne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banaiye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke oopar hai aur abhi sirf is se tezi se oopar chal raha hai

ain aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do mautali imtehaanon mein 154.24 par hote hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Ye sathi jodi ke neechay ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulta rukh banayega. Hum 154.60 aur 155.19 ke mukhalif darjaton tak izafa ki umeed kar sakte hain

Ab tak do neeche ke maqasid 149.30 aur 148.40 hain. USD/JPY currency pair din ke doran mukhtalif raastay par chal raha tha, Amreeka aur Japan se khabron ki wajah se. Achhi US ghar ki farokht ke data ke bawajood, bayrozgari aur sanati fa'aliyat ke figures mayoos kun the. Japan mein, trade balance udaas tha. Bank of Japan ke taayin shuda biaaj dar aur digar central banks ke daaron ke darmiyan barhte hue ikhtilaaf ke bawajood, yen ab bhi dabav ke neeche hai. Tanzeem ke tor par, qeemat ne aaj aik sab se oonchi satah tak pohanch gayi hai. 150.40 ke level ke qareeb, kuch qeemati tabdeeliyaan ho sakti hain. Abhi ke waqt mein, hum is currency pair se door rehne ki taleem dete hain taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake. Jitni oonchi aap is currency pair ke saath karoge, utni zyada khatraat aap ko milenge kyunke yeh pair kafi arse se uptrend mein hai, aur ek taqreeb kabhi bhi shuru ho sakti hai, jiski wajah se aap bazaar ke urooj par rah sakte hain. Pehli kaarwai mein, kaha ja raha hai ke 156.070 ke resistance level ke oopar tezi se palat ke baad mazeed barhne ki taraf trading setup banayi ja sakti hai, jahan main mazeed trade ke raaste ka taein karta hoon. Dusra manzarah 151.828 ke resistance level ke qareeb ulat palat shama gahri tashkeel ke qareeb hai, jo aik dor ke tor par neeche ki harkat ka ishara deta hai. Is surat mein, main ek keemat ka waapis aane ka muntazir rahunga jo 149.295 ke support level tak hoga, mazeed barhne ki harkat ki taraf bullish signals ka talaash jaari rahegi. Dour targets tak pohanchne ke mumkinat ke bawajood, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhunga. Ikhtisar karte hue, main sirf aane wale haftay ke liye fauri dilchaspi dekhta hoon. Magar, mera tawajju uptrend jaari rehne par bani hai, nazdeek ke support levels tak obdini harkat ya nazdeek ke resistance level ke tezi se palat ke breakout ko khareedne ke options ko muntazir rahega.

Kal, American dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ki jodi ne ek bar fir oopri raftar hasil karne mein nakam rahi. Is natije mein, yeh pichle saal ki bulandi aur 152.08 ki gol satah se niche raha. Is ghatna ki peeche kuch mukhya karan hain, jo USD/JPY ke mukhy vitiyak par prabhav dalte hain. Pehle, arthik sthitiyon mein badlav USD/JPY par asar dalta hai. Haal hi mein, America mein vittiy sthitiyon mein sudhar dekhne ko mila hai, jiske parinamswarup American dollar ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai. Iske viprit, Japan ke arthik sthitiyon mein kuch asamanataen hain, jis se yen ki moolya gir sakti hai. Yeh do bhavnaon ka mishran, jismein ek desh ki mudra ki moolya ki tulna doosre desh ki mudra ke sath hoti hai, USD/JPY ke samayik dar par prabhav dalta hai. Dusre, rajnitik ghatnaon ka asar bhi ho sakta hai. Geopolitical tension, trade agreements, aur anya rajnitik mudde bhi currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Agar Japan ya America mein koi bada rajnitik ghatna hota hai, to isse USD/JPY mein tezi ya mandi a sakti hai. Teesra, vyapar aur udyog ki sthiti bhi mahatvapurna hai. Agar vyapar ya udyog ke kshetra mein sudhar hota hai, to isse desh ke mudra par asar pad sakta hai. For example, agar Japan ke udyog adhik pragati karte hain, to yen ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ko prabhavit karegi. Chautha, arthik policy aur vittiy vyavastha bhi mahatvapurna hai. Central banks ke nirnay, interest rates, aur anya arthik neetiyon ka asar USD/JPY par hota hai. Agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan kisi neeti mein badlav karte hain, to isse USD/JPY par asar pad sakta hai. In sabhi karanon ke madhya, USD/JPY ki gati par asar padta hai. Vyaparion ko in ghatnaon ka dhyan rakhna chahiye, taki ve sahi samay par apne vyapar ki ranniti ko sudhar sakein aur mudra ki gati ke anusaar unka karyakram bana sakein.

USD/JPY pair aaj 154.82 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur 154.67 ke rozana Pivot level ke upar hai. Ahem nishanat bullish trend ko darust karti hain aur qeemat MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai.
Agar qeemat 154.85 ke level se oopar jaye, to main umeed karta hoon ke pair 155.12 aur shayad 155.50 ke resistance levels tak uthay ga.

Agar qeemat 154.67 ke level se neeche giray, to yeh pair 154.40 aur shayad 154.12 ke level ki taraf kami ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY 149.90 ke mahana Pivot level, 154.12 ke haftay ka Pivot level, aur 154.67 ke rozana Pivot level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo pair ke liye bullish jazbaat ko darust karti hai.

Rozana Pivot level 154.67 ke upar, pair uttar ki taraf ja raha hai; rozana Pivot level 154.67 ke neeche, pair sudharay ga.

Uttar ki taraf rasta khula hai, aur hum sirf 151.93 ke level ki taraf ek sudhar ka intezar kar sakte hain. 154.85 ke qareeb qeemat ko roknay ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Mujhe

lagta hai ke yeh kamiyab nahi hogi.

Currency pair USD/JPY ka rate mazeed barh raha hai - aaj hum ne kal ka unchaai ko update kiya aur naya unchaai 154.86 par tay kiya, lekin din abhi khatam nahi hua hai, isliye dobara unchaai ko update karne ke liye aur push ho sakta hai. Impulses chhote hain, lekin unchaai phir bhi update ho gayi hai. Keemat kitni door tak move kar sakti hai yeh abhi mushkil hai kahna, lekin halat ghair mustaqil hain, aur kisi bhi waqt, ghair mutawaqqa taqreeb ke liye ek naqabil taeed harkat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. In koshishon ke sath, 155.00 tak ya mazeed pahunchna bilkul mumkin hai, ya phir zyada, chalo dekhte hain qareebi mustaqbil mein market kya peshkash karta hai. Mazboot khabrein ka intezar karna hoga, shayad yeh keemat ko badal de aur aik bada

Amreeki dollar ka qeemat British pound, euro aur doosri badi currencies ke khilaaf chand maahon ke unchayiyo ke qareeb hi reh gayi, mazeed mazboot ma'ashi data ke intikhaab ke baad. Mutabiqan, Amreeki dollar ka record breakout Japanese yen ke khilaaf (USD/JPY) oopar raha aur 154.76 resistance level ki taraf ja raha tha, yani 34 saalon mein sab se ooncha. Japan ki taraf se sirf bolne wale interference ke saath Japanese yen ke qeemat ka girne ka raasta ke maamle mein, oopar ki taraf ka trend jaari raha aur dollar ke fawaid yen ke khilaaf ruknay ka koi naqsh nahi tha. Japani. Inflation rates aur Amreeki jobs ke muqablay mein taqatwar figures ke baad, jin ki wajah se Amreeki dollar ki qeemat paanch maahon ke sab se oonchi tak pohanch gayi, dollar ke liye musbat josh barh gaya, ma'ashi calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq.
Bataya gaya ke Amreeki retail sales March mein mahana basis par 0.7% barh gayi, yani market ki tawaqqa se 0.3% figure se zyada. Advertisement ke mutabiq, retail sales ka control group measure - jo petrol, automobiles, khana ki khidmat aur imarati materials ko shamil nahi karta - March mein 1.1% barh gaya, 0.4% ki tawaqqaat ko peechay chorh diya. Retail stores, online sellers aur restaurants mein total revenue mahana basis par 0.7% izafa hua, pichle saal ke muqablay mein 2.4% barh gaya. Adaigi ke hisse ki qeemat pichle May se sab se oonchi lehron tak pohanch gayi, jo daleel hai ke United States of America mein inflation rates dobara tezi se barh rahi hain

Aam tor par, Federal Reserve ke dwaara 2024 mein Amreeki interest rate ke cuts ki tadad ke liye market ki tawaqqaat tezi se kam hui hain, kyun ke Société Générale sab se peechle bara institution tha jo Federal Reserve ko interest rates ko 2024 mein khatam nahi karne ki umeed rakhta tha.

Bazaar ki surat haal jo neeche di gayi graph mein dikhayi gayi hai woh yeh darust karta hai ke saal ke shuruaat se lekar ab tak UsdJpy jodi ke liye trend Uptrend taraf ja raha hai. March ke shuruaat mein aik consolidation ka lamha tha jo dikh raha tha ke yeh ek koshish thi sellers ki jo candlestick ke position ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar rahe the taake woh neeche jaaye, yeh koshish sirf isay neeche le aayi SMA 100 indicator ke neeche ya 146.53 ke position tak. Magar April ke shuruaat se lekar ab tak candlestick phir se buland ho gaya kyunke ab tak market price 154.22 ke aas paas hai. Lekin, bull trend ko chalane mein koi aasani nahi lag rahi kyunke aaj subah se neeche ki taraf correction shuru hui hai.
Agar Monday ko market ke opening position se lekar ab tak jo price position hai jo ke bull side ki taraf ja rahi hai kaafi zyada range ke saath, is haftay ke price travel situation se yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ek temporary correction ka samna kar raha hai ek bullish safar ke darmiyan. Mumkin hai ke aaj market phir se bull side par laut aaye aur agle kuch din tak jaari rahe. Mawazna ke taur par, mojooda candlestick ki position pichle haftay ki sab se kam position se door ja sakti hai. Price movement abhi bhi bullish side ki taraf jaane ka moqa dikhata hai jab tak aaj tak lag raha hai ke market ki surat haal ko upar uthane ki koshish ho rahi hai

Lekin jaise hamesha Asian market session mein jo abhi bhi khamosh hai, yeh taqreeban taqreeban keemat ki consolidation ke lamhaat honge jab tak American session shuru na ho kar transaction volume mein izafa hone ka nazar andaaz kare. Market mein agle UsdJpy jodi ke trend ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai ke agle kuch dino tak buyer ke control mein rahega jiska maqsad price ko barhane ka hai aur higher price area ko test karne ka hai. Ek Buy position kholne ke liye, aapko 154.51 ke position par phir se price ke upar uthne ka intezaar karna chahiye kyunke neeche ki correction ka khatra hamesha subah se lekar shaam tak hota hai. Position kholne mein jaldi na karein kyunke market correction aur consolidation movements ki taraf prone hai

Bazaar ke andar ki dabao ka samna karna koi naya masla nahi hai, lekin uska sahih tawajjuh dena aur isse faida uthana kisi behtareen trader ki pehchaan hoti hai. Jab bazaar apne andar ke dabao ko jhel raha hota hai, tab aik smart trader woh bullish signals ko pehchanne ki koshish karta hai jo ke ek moghri (reversal) ki shuruaat ko darust karte hain. Uptrend ke doran, bullish signals mukhtalif surton mein zahir ho sakte hain. Ye signals maqbool indicators, price action patterns ya kisi aur technical analysis tool se aasani se pehchani ja sakti hain. In signals ko samajh kar, trader moghri se sambhav keemat ki bahaali ka ishaara kar sakta hai. Lekin, ye zaroori hai ke trader dhyan rakhe ke keemat ke nichle southern maqsaad tak pohanchne ki bhi mumkinat hai. Isliye, unhein chonchah mazbooti se fauri tawaqo na leni chahiye.



Bullish momentum par nigaah rakhna bhi ek zaroori hai. Agar uptrend mein bullish momentum barqarar hai, toh trader ko is par focus rakhna chahiye aur unhein trading ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Ahem support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai, taake trading positions ko sahi waqt par enter aur exit kiya ja sake. Bullish bias ko barqarar rakh kar aur apni trading tareeqa ke sath mukhtalif uptrend ke mutabiq chalna ek behtareen approach hai. Isse trader market ke shuruati halaat ko faida utha kar apne trading ke nateejay ko behtar bana sakta hai. Toh, agar aap ek trader hain aur bazaar ke andar ke dabao ka samna kar rahe hain, toh bullish signals aur momentum par focus rakhein aur sahi waqt par action lein. Iske saath hi, ahem support aur resistance levels ko bhi yaad rakhein taake aapki trading decisions sahi aur munasib ho sakein.