USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Mai aakhir ke stops ka intezaar kar raha tha keh unhe palat diya jaye pehle se. Magar ab mujhe yaqeen nahi raha, kyun ke dollar non-farm ke samne kamzor hona shuru ho gaya. Aur yeh bhi ke barabar ke May mein interest rate ko barqarar rakhne ki umeedain ab kaafi buland hain - 40%. Agar yeh umeedain weak data ke natije mein kam hoti hain, to dollar mazeed kamzor ho ga. Ek aur cheez yeh hai ke agar umeedain barh jaayein, to dollar phir se buland ho sakta hai. Phir ek mauqa hota hai ke is currency pair mein aik aakhir tak ke buland ho jane ka.
Magar, jaise ke maine pehle bhi kai martaba likha hai, tasleem ke liye yeh hai ke pair ko neeche le jana hai. Usi waqt, kal Yen futures mein OI mein halki izafa hua tha. Monday-Tuesday ko shorts ki qabil farokht bandobast ke baad, unhone thoda sa izafa kiya. Amooman, positions faraham hoti hain.

Pair ka mazeed karobar is par depend karega ke shorts ke bandobast ki miqdaar aur raftaar kya hai. Jaise hamesha, hum apne haathon ko dekhte hain. Is par mabni hua, pair ke liye tasleem ke liye yeh hai ke usay kam karna hai, magar aik aakhir tak ke buland hone ka khatra bhi hai. Sab ko kamyabi ki duayen. Aik ghalat phelao 151.70 ke range ka pehle se hi kiya gaya hai, aur is ke baad, hum dheere dheere girne aur 151.00 ke trading range ka phelao de rahe hain. Mumkin hai ke hum 151.00 ke range ko tor dein aur is ke neeche mazid majmoo ho jaye; phir yeh bechnay ka aik ishara ban jayega. 152.00 ka aik ghalat phelao jaiz hai, aur aise phelao ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Shayad mazid girawat ho sakti hai, is ke liye 151.00 ke range ko tora jana zaroori hai. 151.70 ke range mein karobar hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari rahegi. 151.95 ke trading range ke torne ke baad, mazid mazid mazid ho sakti hai. Haqeeqat mein, 151.58 ke range mein ek karobar ka farq hai, aur jab hum isay tor lenge, to girawat jaari rahegi.

Jo barhne wala hai market mein, yeh aik sahih izafa ki tarah hai. Us ke baad, abhi bhi behtar hai ke USD/JPY ko becha jaye. Mai yeh nahi khatam karta ke abhi ke marhale se, hum abhi tak aik chhote buland hosakte hain, lekin us ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Aik chhota buland hosakta hai, misaal ke tor par, 151.95 ke range tak, girawat jaari rahegi. 150.88 ke trading range ka tor aur is ke neeche jamao ka fix ho jana bechnay ka ishara hoga. Agar aap 150.50 ke range ko tor denge, jahan karobar kiya gaya hai, to is ke price ko us ke neeche jamao ke fix hone ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi.

USD-JPY currency pair pe ab aakhri stops ko nikalne ka intezaar tha lekin ab main yakeen nahi rakhta, kyunke dollar non-farms ke saamne dheela padne laga hai. Aur yeh bhi ke Maheene May mein byaaj dar ko barqarar rakhne ki umeedain ab kaafi buland darje par hain - 40%. Agar yeh umeedain kamzor data ki wajah se kam hoti hain to dollar aur bhi kamzor ho jayega. Agar umeedain barh jayein, to dollar phir se buland ho sakta hai. Phir ek mauqa hai ke is currency pair mein aakhri oopri uthan ho. Lekin, jaisa ke main pehle bhi likha hai, pehli raftar hai ke ye pair nichay jaye. Isi doran, kal yen futures mein thori izafa hui thi. Ek acha shorts ki fix karnay ke baad, unhon ne thoda aur izafa kiya. Amooman, positions ko khol raha hai.
Pair ki mazeed dynamics shorts ki miqdar aur raftar par munhasir hogi. Jaise hamesha, ham apne haathon ka intezar karte hain. Is par priority pair ko kam karna hai, lekin aakhri blowout ka khatra bhi hai. Hum trading kar rahe hain, khush raho sab ko.

151.70 range ka jhoota breakout ho chuka hai, aur iske baad hum dheere dheere girawat aur 151.00 trading range ka breakout kar rahe hain. Mumkin hai ke hum 151.00 range ko tod den aur iske nichay consolidate karlen; phir ye bechnay ka signal hoga. 152.00 ka jhoota breakout manzoor hai, aur aise breakout ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Shayad mojooda mein girawat jaari rahegi; iske liye 151.00 range ko todna zaroori hai. 151.70 range mein trade ho rahi hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari rahegi. 151.95 trading range ka breakout hone ke baad, mazbooti jaari rahegi. Asal mein, 151.58 range mein trading gap hai, aur jab hum ise tod paayenge, girawat jaari rahegi.

Jo market mein izafa ho raha hai, woh ek correct appreciation ke mutabiq hai. Uske baad behter hai ke USD/JPY bechein. Main yeh nahi nikalta ke mojooda mein humein chhota sa oopri impulse mil sakta hai, lekin uske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Chhota oopri impulse ke baad, masalan, 151.95 range tak, girawat jaari rahegi. 150.88 trading range ka breakout aur iske nichay fix hojana bechnay ka signal hoga. Agar hum 150.50 range ko tod paayenge, jahan trade ho rahi hai, to price ko uske nichay fix karne ke baad girawat jaari rahegi.

USD-JPY currency pair pe ab aakhri stops ko nikalne ka intezaar tha lekin ab main yakeen nahi rakhta, kyunke dollar non-farms ke saamne dheela padne laga hai. Aur yeh bhi ke Maheene May mein byaaj dar ko barqarar rakhne ki umeedain ab kaafi buland darje par hain - 40%. Agar yeh umeedain kamzor data ki wajah se kam hoti hain to dollar aur bhi kamzor ho jayega. Agar umeedain barh jayein, to dollar phir se buland ho sakta hai. Phir ek mauqa hai ke is currency pair mein aakhri oopri uthan ho. Lekin, jaisa ke main pehle bhi likha hai, pehli raftar hai ke ye pair nichay jaye. Isi doran, kal yen futures mein thori izafa hui thi. Ek acha shorts ki fix karnay ke baad, unhon ne thoda aur izafa kiya. Amooman, positions ko khol raha hai.

Pair ki mazeed dynamics shorts ki miqdar aur raftar par munhasir hogi. Jaise hamesha, ham apne haathon ka intezar karte hain. Is par priority pair ko kam karna hai, lekin aakhri blowout ka khatra bhi hai. Hum trading kar rahe hain, khush raho sab ko.

151.70 range ka jhoota breakout ho chuka hai, aur iske baad hum dheere dheere girawat aur 151.00 trading range ka breakout kar rahe hain. Mumkin hai ke hum 151.00 range ko tod den aur iske nichay consolidate karlen; phir ye bechnay ka signal hoga. 152.00 ka jhoota breakout manzoor hai, aur aise breakout ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Shayad mojooda mein girawat jaari rahegi; iske liye 151.00 range ko todna zaroori hai. 151.70 range mein trade ho rahi hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari rahegi. 151.95 trading range ka breakout hone ke baad, mazbooti jaari rahegi. Asal mein, 151.58 range mein trading gap hai, aur jab hum ise tod paayenge, girawat jaari rahegi.

Jo market mein izafa ho raha hai, woh ek correct appreciation ke mutabiq hai. Uske baad behter hai ke USD/JPY bechein. Main yeh nahi nikalta ke mojooda mein humein chhota sa oopri impulse mil sakta hai, lekin uske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Chhota oopri impulse ke baad, masalan, 151.95 range tak, girawat jaari rahegi. 150.88 trading range ka breakout aur iske nichay fix hojana bechnay ka signal hoga. Agar hum 150.50 range ko tod paayenge, jahan trade ho rahi hai, to price ko uske nichay fix karne ke baad girawat jaari rahegi.

USD/JPY ka pair America ke dollar aur Japan ke yen ke darmiyan tabdeeli ka darust hai. Kai factors hote hain jo currency ki movement par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, siyasi waqe'at, central bank policies, aur market ka jazba.

Ek ahem factor ma'ashi data releases hote hain. USD/JPY pair ke liye ahem indicators mein shamil hain America ke non-farm payrolls, inflation figures, GDP ki growth, aur Japan ke data jaise ke Tankan survey, inflation, aur GDP figures. America ke dollar ke liye musbat data ya Japan ke yen ke liye manfi data pair ko upar ya neeche le ja sakta hai. Central bank policies bhi ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve America mein aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) dono apni apni currencies par asar daalne wale policies rakhte hain. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing programs, aur forward guidance currency values ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Inn central banks ke kisi bhi isharon ya elaanat se jo ke policies ke tabadlaat ya ma'ashi nazar ke baare mein hon, USD/JPY pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Siyasi waqe'at bhi currency ki movement par asar daal sakte hain, khaaskar Japan ke yen ke liye, jo ke aik safe-haven currency ke tor par consider kiya jata hai. Middle East ya Korean Peninsula jaise ilaqaat mein tensions, ya America aur China jaise bara economies ke darmiyan trade disputes, investors ko yen mein safety talash karne par majboor kar sakte hain, jo ke USD ke khilaf taqat de sakta hai. Market ka jazba aur investor ka rawayya bhi ahem factors hain. Khatra pasandi, investor ka itmenan, aur market ki tajweez market mein choti muddat ki teziyon ko chalane ke liye istemal kiye jate hain. Technical analysis, jaise ke chart patterns aur key support aur resistance levels, bhi traders ke liye trading decisions banane mein istemal kiye jate hain.



Aapki 149.40 tak pohanchne ki tajwez ke hawale se, yeh zaroori hai ke mazeed market ke context aur aise factors ka tawazo karna jo aise rukh ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar pair ko uss level tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, to yeh ek mufeed combination ki zarurat hai. Ma'ashi releases, central bank actions, siyasi waqe'at, aur market ka jazba dekhte hue aise harkat ki ihtimam karne ki zarurat hai aur trading strategies ko mutabiq banane ki zarurat hai. Yad rahe ke forex market mein trading karne ke sath hi sath khaas risks hote hain, aur zaroori hai ke aapke paas achi tarah se sochi gayi trading plan, risk management strategy, aur currency ki movement ko drive karne wale factors ke samajh ho. Iske alawa, trading decisions se pehle maali mashware aur mukammal tehqiqat karna behtar hai.

CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY

Main ne reversal se pehle final stops ka intezar kiya tha. Lekin ab main yakeen nahi rakhta, kyun ke dollar non-farms ke samne jhukne laga hai. Aur yeh bhi ke maheenay May mein interest rate ko barqarar rakhne ki umeedain ab kaafi buland hai—40%. Agar yeh umeedain kam ho jayein to kamzor data ke natayej mein, dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai. Ek aur baat hai ke agar umeedain barh jayein to dollar phir se buland ho sakta hai. Phir is currency pair mein aik final izafi uthao ka moqa hai. Lekin, jaise ke main ne pehle bhi kai dafa likha hai, pair ko neeche le jaane ka pehla maqsad hai. Usi waqt, kal yen futures mein aik thori si OI ki izafi rahi. Monday-Tuesday ko shorts ki intihaai fixing ke baad, unho ne thora sa izafa kiya. Aam tor par, positions ko unloading kiya ja raha hai.

Pair ke mazeed dynamics shorts ki fixing ke size aur tezi par mabni hogi. Jaise hamesha, hum apni haalat ka nigrani karte hain. Is ke mutabiq, pair ke liye pehla maqsad ise kam karna hai, lekin aik final blowout ka khatra abhi bhi hai. Sabko trading mein kamiyabi milti rahegi. 151.70 ke range ka aik jhoota breakout pehle hi ho gaya hai, aur iske baad, hum dhire dhire ek giravat aur trading range ko 151.00 par tod rahe hain. Mumkin hai ke hum 151.00 ke range ko tod kar ise neeche jamaien; phir yeh bechne ka aik signal hoga. 152.00 ke jhoota breakout ijazat hai, aur aise breakout ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. Shayad mazeed giravat ho sake; is ke liye 151.00 ke range ko todna zaroori hai. 151.70 ke range mein trade hoti hai, aur wahan se giravat jaari ho sakti hai. 151.95 ke trading range ke todne ke baad, mazeed mazbooti aage ja sakti hai. Haqeeqat mein, 151.58 ke range mein aik trade gap hai, aur jab hum ise tod lein ge, to giravat jaari rahegi.

Jo market mein growth ho rahi hai, woh aik theek karne ki qadr hai. Us ke baad, behtar hai ke USD/JPY ko bech diya jaye. Main yeh bhi nahi nahi keh raha ke is waqt se hum mazeed chhote chhote izafi impulses mil sakte hain, lekin un ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. Chhote chhote upward impulses ke baad, masalan, 151.95 ke range tak, giravat jaari rahegi. 150.88 ke trading range ke breakout aur iske neeche qaim hone par bechnay ka aik signal hoga. Agar hum 150.50 ke range ko tod lein, jahan trade hoti hai, to us ke baad price ko neeche qaim hone par, giravat jaari rahegi.

Rozana Forex market mein movement ka aik aham hissa hai. Kuch dafa market tezi se chalti hai aur kabhi kabhi tezi se ruk jati hai. Aaj aap ne notice kiya ke USD/JPY pair mein movement kaafi slow tha. Yeh waqt jab market mein movement slow hoti hai, traders ke liye challenging ho sakta hai, lekin is mein bhi opportunities hote hain agar hum sahi tarah se analysis karein. Aapka kehna hai ke aapko lagta hai ke aaj raat market 152.00 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh aik khas level hai jo aap expect kar rahe hain. Yeh level aapne apne analysis ke mutabiq tay kiya hai, lekin zaroori hai ke aap is decision ko carefully aur cautious approach ke sath lein.

Market analysis mein technical aur fundamental factors ka dono ka zikar hota hai. Technical analysis mein traders chart patterns, indicators, aur price action ka istemal karte hain, jab ke fundamental analysis mein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies ka impact dekha jata hai. Agar hum USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis karein, toh humein current price action aur previous trends ka analysis karna hoga. Agar market slow movement mein hai, toh yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai aur traders wait kar rahe hain kisi major movement ya trend ka.



152.00 level aapka target hai, lekin is se pehle aapko resistance aur support levels ko bhi consider karna hoga. Agar market 152.00 level tak pohanchne ke liye ja raha hai, toh aapko dekhna hoga ke kya is level ko cross kar payega ya phir wahan se reversal hoga. Market ki volatility aur liquidity bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Raat ke waqt market ki liquidity kam hoti hai aur unexpected movements bhi ho sakte hain. Isliye, apne trade ko manage karte waqt stop loss aur take profit levels ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Final words mein, market analysis aur trading mein risk hamesha hota hai. Apne analysis ko carefully aur disciplined approach ke sath karein aur apne trades ko manage karte waqt risk ko control mein rakhein. Good luck for your trading!

USD/JPY, yaani ke US dollar aur Japanese yen ka exchange rate, ek mukhtalif pattern ke andar mojood hai, jo ek channel ki shakal mein dikh raha hai. Kal, is channel ka ooperi had tak pohanch gaya, jiska level 151.79 tha. Is had tak pohanchne ka matlab hai ke market mein kuch important movements ho sakti hain aur traders ko is had ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Channel analysis forex trading mein ek ahem concept hai jo price movements ko analyze karne mein madad karta hai. Ye channel do parallel trend lines ke darmiyan banta hai, jismein price movement generally contained hoti hai. Is tarah ke channels ko trading strategies ke liye use kiya jata hai, jaise ke trend following ya trend reversal strategies. Jab USD/JPY ka exchange rate ek channel ke andar barh raha hota hai, toh traders usually expect ke price ek consistent pattern follow karega. Agar price channel ke upper ya lower had tak pohanch jata hai, toh ye ek important signal hai. Upper had tak pohanchne ke baad, traders upper trend line ko ek resistance level ke roop mein dekhte hain, aur isse price ka reversal possibility hoti hai. Isi tarah, lower had tak pohanchne ke baad, lower trend line ko ek support level ke roop mein dekha jata hai, jisse price ka rebound ki sambhavna hoti hai. 151.79 ka ooperi had hone ka matlab hai ke USD/JPY ka exchange rate channel ke upper trend line tak pohanch gaya hai. Isse traders ko ye samajhne mein madad milti hai ke market ka momentum kis direction mein hai aur kya future movements expected hain. Agar price is had ko cross karta hai aur upper trend line ke upar sustain hota hai, toh ye ek bullish signal ho sakta hai, jisse ke aur tezi ki sambhavna hoti hai. Wahi agar price is had ko cross karke neeche aa jata hai, toh ye ek bearish signal ho sakta hai, jisse ke price ka neeche ki taraf jaane ki sambhavna hoti hai.Traders ko is had ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur anya technical indicators ke saath combine karke trading decisions leni chahiye. Isse unhein market ke movements ka accha insight milta hai aur wo apni trades ko better manage kar sakte hain.

Pichle haftay, USD/JPY 149.20 tak gir gaya, lekin jaldi se phir se ubhara. Ibtida ka rujhan mostly is haftay ke liye neutral rehta hai. Nechay ki taraf, 150.87 ke tor par ek phir se 140.25 se 151.89/93 tak ke ahem resistance par izafa hoga. Dusri taraf, 4-hour MACD mein bearish mukhalif shirakat shart mein, 149.20 ke mazboot tor par girne se 150.87 par qareebi uncha sabit ho jayega. Aik mazeed giraawat ko aik support rukh (halankeh 148.33 abhi hai) ke tor par dekha jayega, hata ke aik islaahi harkat. Ziyada gehre tor par, 140.25 se uthna 127.20 (2023 ke kamzor level) se rukh jari ke tor par dekha jata hai. 151.89/0.93 ke resistance zones ka tafseel se tor par torh dena, yeh bullish manzar ko tasdeeq karega, aur jodi ko, 127.20 se 151.89 tak, aur phir se 140.25 se 155.50 tak, 61.8% projection, ke liye nishandahi karega. Magar, 148.79 ke resistance ka torh hokar support ban jaana, yeh bullish manzar ko der kar dega aur 151.89 se islaahi dhancha ko mazeed ek neechay ki rukh ke liye phelayega. Market dynamics ke ilaqe mein, December se rasta ek wazeh taur par taqsim shuda channel ke andar ek buland rukh ko barqarar rakhne ki khasoosiye hai. Temporary lower boundary ki kuch istikhraj ke bawajood, baad ki wapas channel hadood ko izhar karta hai aur iska mazbooti ko zahir karta hai aur mukhalif bullish trend ka barqarar honay ka ishara deta hai. Aage, mazeed buland rawani ke liye kafi jagah nazar aati hai, halke dhamakey ke nazarandaaz hone ke baad, haal hi ki market harkat ko khareedne ka dabaav dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, nechay ki hadood ka haal hil ki tajrobon ko aik dilchasp dakhil nikaal ka markazi nuqta faraham karta hai jo ke buland rawani jari rakhne ke doran aik tenth munafa ka moqa de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke yeh dynamics ke tajziya ke mutabiq, mojooda market jazbat ne buland rawani ke mazeed tor par tawajjo ko madad di hai. Ek qaim ho chuka taqseem channel pattern, sath hi nechay ki hadood ki qawi tasleeb, bullish faaliyat ke liye ek faide mand mahol ka sabaq faraham karte hain. Magar, market dynamics mein mojood gham hain is liye sakwa zaroori hai. Halankeh mojooda tajwez buland rawani ko tawajjo faraham karta hai, lekin ghair mutawaqqa waqe'at is rukh ko badal sakti hain. Ghair tabayee gharoobiat, ma'ashiyati data release aur tijarat ki jazbat mein tabdeelian market ke rukh ko asar andaz hoti hain, jisse karobar ke faislon ke liye ek nuaasindah approach ki zaroorat hoti hai.

USD/JPY

Aaj ka H-1 waqt frame chart dekhtay hue, saaf ho jata hai ke USD/JPY ne mazboot 150.80 ke qareeb ek mazboot support level ki taraf jhukav kiya hai. Ye tajziya ek dhaai seer waqia par tawajjo denay ke liye wajib hai takay currency pair ke raaste ki safaidi mein shaamil harkaat ko pehchaan sakein. H-1 waqt frame chart ka tajziya karne se hamein USD/JPY ke exchange rate ke andar barhtay hue dharayalayamati auraton ka ek detailed nazar aata hai. Ye chart, ghantay ke fluctuations ko qaboo mein rakhta hai, aur market ki jazbaat aur qeemat ki harkiyat ko dekhne ka ek darwaza ke taur par kaam karta hai. Is paicheedgi bhari data ke beech, aik numaya pattern samne aata hai: 150.80 ke mark ke ird gird qeemat ki harkiyat ka ek wazeh ikhraj.

Is support level ki ahmiyat ko zyada taayyan nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye ek markazi point ko darust karta hai jahan market ki mukhtalif quwwat ek saath jama hoti hain, currency pair par kheenchav dalte hain. Trade karne walay aur analysts aise levels ko tez tawajjo se dekhte hain, kyun ke ye aksar pivot points ki tarah kaam karte hain, agle qeemat ki harkiyat ka raasta bata dete hain. USD/JPY ke case mein, 150.80 ke ird gird dairmati banaye jate hue istiqamat iska market sentiment ko shakun se bhar deta hai. Chart par ek silsila qeemat ki harkiyat ke daire ke as paas bounce aur consolidation ka izhar karta hai. Har support level ka imtehan asli harkiyat ke buniyadi dynamics ke baray mein qeemti wazahat deta hai. Ye tests ki tadaad aur shiddat market sentiment ka ek paimana ka kaam karte hain, jo bullish aur bearish dabaavat ka ebb aur flow ko reflekt karte hain.

Iske ilawa, technical indicators ka aik ittefaq is 150.80 support level ki ahmiyat ko aur bhi sabit karta hai. Oscillators, moving averages, aur doosre tajziati tools ek mazboot support zone ke tasavvur ko tasdeeq karte hain, jo ke traders ki bharosay ke andar izafa karte hain. Aise ittefaqat support level ki psychological asar ko taqwiyat dete hain, jabke market participants apne trading strategies ko mutabiq bana lete hain. Technical sphere ke bahar, mazeed market dynamics bhi kaam mein aate hain. Macro-economic factors, geopolitical events, aur central bank interventions apne asar ko barhate hain, jo ke qeemat ki harkiyat mein complexity ke layers ko izafa karte hain. Traders ko is paicheedgi wale manzar par chalna hota hai, technical signals ko bunyadi insights ke saath mila kar maqbool faislay karne ke liye.

USD/JPY H4 Timeframe:

Agar hum gird-e-muqami umeedon ka hisaab rakhtay hain, to yeh kaafi dilchasp aur dil-faroz sabit hota hai. Aise khayalat ka amal karna asal mein mushkil hai, kyun ke yahan yeh tasawwur hai ke humein Fibonacci grid istemal kar ke "1" aur "2" ke darajat se karobar karna chahiye. Yani, humein ek upar ki ragbat mili, phir aik classic correction 50% ka, aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh darja kis tarah khareeda gaya tha mazeed izafa ki tawaqo mein. Magar market foran upar nahi gaya, pehle woh 2 darajat neeche gaya (jo ke surkhi se nishaan dahi ki gayi hain). Pehla darja bhi ahem hai, magar baad mein ahem ban gaya, jaise ke nikla. Dosra darja sab se ahem sabit hua, kyun ke yeh hi qoutes ko mazeed girne se rokta raha. Mazeed, darja "1" ne aik tor phor ke darja ka kirdar ada kiya aur ek support darja ka kirdar ada kiya, kyun ke yeh hi quotes ke mazeed izafa ko sahara deta tha aur yeh hi wajah thi ke H4 par kharidne ke liye ek indicator signal ka jor banaya. Aur ab hum dekhte hain ke 161.8% ke hisaab se performance hai, aur bilkul is ke mutabiq. Yeh umeed ka darja kaam kar gaya, woh seedha nahi gaye, magar tezi se, apne paon idhar udhar karke.

USD/JPY H1 Timeframe:

H1 timeframe par ek currency pair/uzla ko behtareen muddat ke andar is ki mojudah harkat ka pata lagakar faida hasil karne ka imkaan deta hai. Hamara maqsad uncha H4 timeframe par mojoodah trend ko sahi taur par tajziya karna aur market mein dakhil hone ka sab se durust waqt dhoondhna hai takay faida hasil kiya ja sake. Chart ko kholen jo hamara uzla hai, aur dekhein ke mojoodah trend ka rukh kya hai 4 ghanton ke timeframe par. Hum dekhte hain ke aaj market hamen kharidne ke muamle khatam karne ka aik barha hua mouqa deta hai. Hum apni kaam mein teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - ke signals ka istemal karte hain. Hama aur RSI Trend ke indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, hum H1 timeframe par bullish dilchaspi ke sath aik trend pakad rahe hain, jab dono indicators neela aur hara rang dikhate hain, mutawazun tor par, jo ke kharidaron ke barabar mein faiday ke taraf ishara karti hain. Jab tamam zaroori shara'it puri hoti hain, hum aik kharidari karobar ko aaram se khol sakte hain. Hum market se Magnetic Levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq bahar niklenge. Aaj ka sab se dilchasp daraje kaam karne ke liye 153.368 hain.

USD/JPY Daam Ki Harkat Ka Jaaiza

Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki rawaiyaat ka tajziya kar raha hoon 152 ke darja sirf dikhave ke liye hai, aur Asians apni Yen jald hi bech sakte hain Main ye soch raha hoon ke Turkish Lira ka ek saal mein 70% ka tezi se girna kya Yen ka pehla paighaam hai 260 Yen per Dollar tak girne ka khayal kisi khuwab jaisa lagta hai Magar, aaj Japanese aur US bond yields barh rahe hain, aur kisi ko unhein khareedne ka koi dilchaspi nahi hai Doosri taraf, wahan interest rates gir rahe hain, isliye European bonds ki darkhwast hai Main umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY pair muqami 151.70 ke darje se 153.07 ke samarthan tak chadhayega, aur agar subah tak yeh maqam hasil ho gaya to mujhe hairat nahi hogi



Ghanton ki chart ka tajziya karte hue, maine dekha hai ke jodi ek uthne wale channel ke andar move kar rahi hai Kal channel ka upper border se ulta hua aur ek descent shuru hua Magar, giravat na-mumkin thi, aur jodi ne 151.84 tak phir se ubhara Haalaanki yeh darja thori dair ke liye tod diya gaya, lekin momind na chal saka, jis se ek neeche ki harkat shuru hui Uthti ke daaman ki kam daam had tak agay bhi nahi gayi hai, main umeed karta hoon ke jodi ne niche girne ka silsila jaari rakha, shayad 151.49 ke darje tak gire 152 ke mark ka defense ahem hai yeh usay barqarar rakhne ke liye mustahkam taur par pakad rahe hain taake bullish trend jari rahe Magar chalo dekhte hain ya to bikriyan 152 ko tor ke daaman ko neeche le jayengi, ya phir khareeddaar aur zyada bikriyon ko khichne ke liye quwwat jama karenge Magar aaj ke khatam hone se, daam mein izafa ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar statistics mein harkat hogi, jumme ke pehle

Abhi, USD/JPY ke market 151.64 ke darje ke ird gird se apne jaga par chal raha hai. Mazeed, kharidar hukoomat ko qaboo hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, karobar ke pressure mein aaj mazeed izafa ho raha hai. Is liye, ye ahem hai ke karobarion ko market ke complexities ko samajhna aur unhe mazeed taqwiyat dena, behtareen waqt ko positions shuru karne aur phande se bachne ke liye. In factors ka ta'alluq ensures karta hai ke traders aise mahol mein kaam na karen jo mukhtalif concepts of monetary markets ko ikhtiyar karta hai. Mazeed, USD/JPY ke kharidar baad mein is mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Unhe 153.80 ke darje se guzar jaana hai kyunki aaj rozana ke taqreebat mein buland taqatwar khabrein hain. Ek technical nazar se, USD/JPY ke farokht karne wale 149.02 ke darje se nichle darje se aayenge. Mazeed, yeh wazeh hota hai ke technical indicators, moving averages aur news data ka samajhna zaroori hai. Be had, hum USD/JPY par trading karte waqt indicators ka istemal kar sakte hain aur moving averages din ba din wazeh hoti hain. Rozana aur haftawar ki charts market opinion ka bayan karte hain. Hum in charts ko tafseel se jaanchte hain, patterns aur trends ki talash karte hain jo aam dekhne wale se bach jaate hain. Isi tarah, moving averages ka istemal, chahe woh amoman istemal hone wali SMA ho ya taqatwar EMA, in charts ki wazehi ko behtar banata hai, traders ke liye market mein raahnumai ka ek rahnama faraham karta hai. USD/JPY ke mawad ke lehaz se, market kharidar ke liye qaim reh sakta hai. Wo ek martaba US Non-Farm Business data release ke dauran umeed karte hain. Is liye, apna account is ke mutabiq manage karen. Hum aage 159.40 ke neeche stop loss laga sakte hain

USD/JPY Aik Tafseelati Daam Ki Tehqeeq

Moujooda mutalia USD aur JPY ke asli waqt mein daam ke karobari rawaiyye ko jhooti hai Kal ke khabron ke manzar mein, humne teen sitaron ki category mein US dollar ke liye buland darja ghotai dekhi, lekin yahan hamare asbaab ke liye kuch khas nahi hua USD/JPY ke darje waqt ka samay barhne ka intezar kar raha hai, aur hum umeed kar sakte hain ke aane waale dino mein yeh haalaat aise ho jaayenge jis se khareeddaar ke harkat ke naye marhale ka ishaara milega, jo is maqam mein lead le rahe hain Khabron ka manzar is harkat ko stimlulate karne mein kirdar ada karega, aur yeh khubsoorat nahi hai ke khabron ka apna kirdar hai, balke aamad-e-khabron ka rukh hai, jo shumali taraf tajziya ko janib rukh kar raha hai Agar bull market market ka muqabla nahi kar sake, to bears inisiatve le lenge aur USD/JPY 150.04 ke darje tak tajziya shuru karega Magar agar bullish kamp apne positions ko mazboot karne mein kamyab hota hai, to uska aakhri maqsood darja 153.85 hoga, jabke 152.90 ke darje se bearish rukh ki ek palat ho sakti hai Abhi ke moqaif ke mutabiq, bazaar ke mahol ko ek aagayi rukh par dekha ja raha hai, aur khareeddaar se darkhwast dhire-dhire barh rahi hai Mujhe ye mehsoos hua ke harkat sirf aagey ki taraf rahi hai, lekin kisi wajah se mere shak ho gaye aur maine faisle ka intezar karne ka faisla kiya



Is natijay mein, maine khud ko kaafi faida mand moqam mein paaya, mehsoos kiya ke trend mein neechay dakhil hone ka moqa kam ho jayega Barabar ke dairay mein mukhtalif waqfa karne ke sath barhnay ki khaas salahiyat ho gayi hai Shayad, neeche phir se chali jane par, main chhote dairay ki harkat se faida utha sakta hoon Agar aap koi tehqeeq gawara kar den to waqt ke saath maftool ho jaata hai, isliye aap ko sirf mojooda waqt ke sath kaam karna hoga Hum foran statistics aur fa'alat darja ko nazar andaaz karenge Aaj, yehi koshishen barhti hain, aur is silsile mein budhwar, jis se jumerat aur jumma ko iska samarthan hai Hum aise manzar ke samne hain jahan khareeddaar ko jeetne ka mukhtalif haq hai Haalanki, bull ko bazaar ka bohot bara faida hai har martaba jab woh support level tak pohanchte hain, woh zyada faal hote hain, bearish trend ko khatam karte hain Is se shumali taraf tajziya ki naye lehar uth jati hai, jo bullish trend ke liye samarthan ban jati hai Agar aise dynamics banaye jaate hain, to market ke darje USD/JPY ke liye mazbooti se 152.89 ke darje tak buland ho sakti hain Usi waqt, waqt waqt par wapas aayega lekin barhte hue kam nahi hone dena chahiye sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke 150.03 ke support level ke neechay giravat ko roka jaaye

Tijarati tanaza ya siyasi tanaza aksar market ki sentiment mein izafa aur tazadudat mein foran tabdiliyan la sakta hai. Isi tarah, karobarion ko hoshyari se kaam karna chahiye aur in halchalat ko samajh kar apni trading ki tajaweezat ko mutabiq kar lena chahiye. Halhi mein, daily H1 timeframe par USDJPY jodi ka jaeza ek wazeh darmiyani lambi muddat ki bullish raftar ko zahir karta hai, jo macroeconomic asrat aur technical indicators ki ek milti julti taqat se chal raha hai.

Is tahlil ka ibtedaati bunyadi manzar, jahan macroeconomic halat currency ke harkat ko shakal dene mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain, par hota hai. USDJPY ke mamle mein, mojooda bullish jazba mukhtalif factors ki support mein hosakta hai jaise ke US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ke mukhtalifiat, sath hi dono mulkon mein GDP ke barhne aur inflation ke sharah. Iske ilawa, khaas tor par Asia-Pacific ilaqon mein siyasi tanaza, Japani yen jesi safe-haven currencies ke liye darkhwast ko asar andaz hotay hain, jo USDJPY ke liye bullish outlook ko mazeed mazboot kar sakte hain.

Bunyadi tahlil ko technical indicators taqwiyat dete hain jo market ke dynamics aur traders ke liye dakhil/exi points ke lehaz se maloomat faraham karte hain. H1 timeframe par, ahem technical metrics, jaise ke moving averages, oscillators, aur chart patterns, USDJPY mein dekhi gayi bullish trend ko tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Maslan, aik golden cross formation - jahan short-term moving average lambi-term moving average ke upar se guzarta hai - aik mazid taqwiyat faraham kar sakti hai, jabke oscillators par oversold halat mukhtasir lamha positions ke liye moqay ki taraf ishara kar sakte hain





Phir bhi, karobarion ke liye ehtiyat aur risk management strategies ka istemal mustoor hai takay anjaane market events ke exposure ko kam kiya ja sake. Halankay mojooda tahlil USDJPY ke liye darmiyani lambi muddat ki bullish bias ko zahir kar sakti hai, lekin siyasi dynamics mein foran tabdiliyan ya ghair mutawaqqi economic developments market ko jaldi badal sakti hain

USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading haftay mein, yen ka rate 151.80 ke qareeb ek bohot tight range mein qaayam rakha, jahan par mazboot resistance hai jo yen ko kamyaab taur par paar nahi kar paya hai. Ye un dono ke taraqqi se kya ummeed hai, is ko nahi shaamil karta. Is dauraan, price chart super-trending green zone mein pur sukoon taur par trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki jari rakha huwa control ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Technical tor par, yen ke prices ne Thursday subah ek record unchaai tak pahuncha jab U.S. data ne dikhaya ke U.S. services sector mein kamzor tarraqi hai. Record izafa Institute for Supply Chain Management ke Services Purchasing Managers Index ke jaari hone ke baad aaya. Price ab bhi rectangular hai aur is level ke neeche nahi gir rahi hai. Hum red trend line 150.32 level ke neeche breakout ka intezar karenge. Phir, hum apna bearish target 149.30 aur 148.50 par badal denge. Dusri taraf, bullish target 153.40 ke ooper nahi ja sakta. Iska breakout price ko 2024 mein ek all-time high level 155.40 tak pohanchayega.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Maujooda waqt mein, price halki volatility ke dauraan aaram se trade kar rahi hai aur har haftay neutral hai. Iske saath hi, bade support areas abhi tak test nahi hue hain aur apni shaanakht ko barkarar rakhte hain, oopri taraf ke vector ko favor karte hue. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke ek rebound ho aur pair neeche ki taraf palatna shuru kare, jo ke bhi mumkin hai. Maujooda ooperi trend ko tasdeeq karne wala mukhya scenario 150.76 level ka retest hoga, jo ki abhi mukhya support area hai, aur quotes ko agle charhne se pehle girna padega. Agar is area se kamiyabi se rok aur uske baad palatna hua, toh agle ooperi wave ko taraqqi dene ka mauka hoga, jiska target 152.85 aur 153.72 areas hoga.

Agar support toot jata hai aur price 149.19 ke reversal level ke neeche gir jata hai, toh maujooda situation ko cancel hone ka signal mil jayega. Chart neeche dekhein: