usd/jpy

USD/JPY technical analysis:

Market ke darmiyan umeed aur tawajju mazeed barhti ja rahi hai, jab ke qeemat ke rastay mein taqatwar resistance darjaat ka imtehaan ho raha hai jo ke pichle haftay ke 151.362 ke saray ki bunyadi satah ko shahkar karti hai. Ye muhim satah subah ko sab se mazboot rukawat hai, jo ke bazar ke momentum mein izafa ki mumkin nishaani hai. In mukhtalif waqiat ki roshni mein, traders ko mukammal tor par lambi positions shuru karne ki mumkin sambhavnaon ka imtihan karna chahiye.

Bazar mein barhti hui shadeed pareshani ne investors aur analysts ki tezi se tafteesh aur tajziye ko mutadil kiya hai. Khaas taur par Tuesday ko aik khaas taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka ubhar, jo ke kharidari ki faaliyat mein izafa ki ishaarat de raha hai. Ye candlestick pattern bohot ahem hai, jise pehle ki neeche ki rukawat ko palatne ki mumkin ishaarat ke tor par ma'arifat hasil hoti hai, is tarah bazar ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki ishaarat de raha hai. Jab ke investors bazar ke aathwan se mutaliq harkaat ko dhan se dekhte hain, to unka tawajju taqreeban ane wali qeemat ke dynamics mein dakhil ho raha hai. Tuesday ko taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka ubhar aik bohot se logon ke dil ko dabaanay wala peghaam tha, jo ke toofani bazar ke conditions mein umeed ki roshni thi. Ye candlestick formation, jisme mojooda candle pehle waale ko mukammal tor par gher leti hai, aam tor par bearish se bullish jazbat ki tabdeeli ko darust karta hai.

Haal hi mein bazar mein fluctuation ke darmiyan investors mustaqil tor par mustaqilgi aur munafa ki mumkin mumkin mawaqay ki nishandahi kar rahe hain. Is liye Tuesday ko bullish engulfing candle ka ubhar un logon ke liye aik chingaari ka samra ho gaya tha jo qeemat mein ek mumkin rukh ki umeed se nazar andaz kar rahi thi. Ye toofani dour mein aik mukhtalif umeed ka peghaam hai, jise tajziyat ke darmiyan tawajju ko lalach deti hai. Jab ke bazar mazeed tabdeel hota hai, traders aur investors dono tayyar hain ke mustaqbil ke mawaqay se faida uthaen jab ke woh maaliyat ke dynam...

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ka market situation ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Tajziya ka dor waqt-frame 4 ghante hai.

Hum market movement ka mutala karenge aur tajziya kiye gaye instrument ke liye priority trading plan tayar karenge kuch faide-mand indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ka istemal karke. Trading shuru karne ke liye ek musbat faisla lene ke liye, sab indicators ke readings milna zaroori hai. Hum khareedne ya bechne ke liye behtareen jagah ko intekhab karenge, sath hi position se bahar nikalne ke liye bhi Fibonacci grid ka istemal karenge jo chune gaye dor (daily ya weekly) ke extreme points par stretched hai.

To, chart par jo hum dekh rahe hain, usmein hum dekhte hain ke pehla degree ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo dor (time-frame H4) par current trend ki direction aur halat ko dikhata hai, lagbhag 35-40 degree ke angle par oopar ki taraf muda hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, oopar ki taraf folded hua hai aur neeche se oopar se guzra hai na sirf golden uptrend line LP balki resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) bhi. Ab non-linear regression channel uttar ki taraf muda hua hai aur buyers ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Qeemat ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko guzara lekin 151.766 ke maximum quote value (HIGH) tak pohanchi, uske baad isne apni barhna band kar di aur qaaim muqarar hui. Instrument ab price level 151.360 par trading kar raha hai. Sab kuch ke mad e nazar, main tawaqquf karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas laut kar aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche wapas aaenge aur phir niche ki taraf move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731 par, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milta hai. Bechne ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasibat aur durusti RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke zariye mukammal tor par manzoor hai kyunki woh filhal overbought zone mein hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis.

151.80 ke range ka jhoota breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad, hum dheere dheere kamzor hotay ja rahe hain aur trading range 150.95 par breakout ho raha hai. Jab hum 150.90 ke range ko paar kar ke uske niche consolidate kar lenge, to yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. 151.85 ke range ka jhoota breakout manzoor hai aur aise breakout ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Abhi maujooda halat mein, girawat jaari rahegi aur 151.00 ke range ko paar kar lena zaroori hai. 151.35 ke range mein trade hai aur wahan se girawat jaari rahegi. 151.95 ke trading range ka breakdown hone ke baad, mazbooti jaari rahegi. Asal mein, 151.58 ke range mein ek trade gap hai aur jab hum isko paar kar lenge, to girawat jaari rahegi. Jo barhao market mein ho raha hai, woh ek theek karne wala qeemat mein izafa hai. Iske baad, abhi bhi bechna sab se behtar hai USD/JPY ko. Maujooda halat mein, hum ek chhota sa aagey ki taraf impulse le sakte hain, lekin iske baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Chhote se aagey ki taraf impulse ke baad, maslan 151.95 ke range tak, girawat jaari rahegi. 150.88 ke trading range ka breakout aur iske niche thos hona, yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. 150.50 ke range ko paar karne ki mumkinat hai, jahan trade ho rahi hai, phir iske neeche dam kiya jaaye, girawat jaari rahegi. Is theek karne ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi.



Linear regression channel nichay ki taraf aakar aata hai, jo bechne wale ki taqat ko darust karta hai. Faida dakshini raaste mein hai, aur channel ke neeche 151.22 tak jaata hai. Main 151.48 ke darje se bechna ka tasawwur kar raha hoon, jo bachon ka muqabla karna hoga, warna harkat ko gehri theek karne ki imkaan ko tezi se izafa ho jaega. Maqsad haasil karne par, aapko bechne ke saath intezaar karna chahiye, jo ghair munafa bakhsh ho jaate hain, kyun ke M15 ke rukh mein movement ki inteha ho jaegi, jo ek ulat pher ka ooper ki taraf harkat ka nateeja dega. Is haal mein, aap neeche, gaonon mein latak sakte hain. Sahi tarika yeh hai ke channel ka upar ki taraf rollback ka muntazir rahein aur phir wahan se market mein dakhil hon, jo agar channel ke zariye milay signal ko process nahi kia gaya hai, to kharchon ko kafi had tak kam kar dega.

currency pair ab izafa kar raha
lekin subah ki trading mein kharidari karne wale keemat 149.40 ke resistance area level ko paar nahi kar sake jahan 149.30 ke resistance area level hai, is liye yeh humare liye asal mein ek reference ho sakta hai ke hum currency pair USD/JPY par ek farokht order rakh sakte hain. Agar hum kuch trend indicators par tawajjo dete hain, toh hume yeh maloom hota hai ke currency pair ki keemat mein izafa hua hai lekin 149.40 ke resistance area level ko paar nahi kiya gaya hai. Yeh ek important signal hai ke market mein thodi thakan ho sakti hai aur shayad currency pair ki keemat mein girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is surat mein, agar hum farokht order rakhna chahate hain, toh hume thori sabr aur strategy ki zarurat hoti hai. Sab se pehle, humein currency pair ki mukhtalif parameters aur indicators ko dekhna hoga. Trend indicators jaise ke moving averages, MACD, aur RSI, humein market ki direction aur momentum ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Agar yeh indicators humein bullish signals faraham karte hain, toh hum farokht order rakhne ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain.
Lekin, humein yaad rakhna hoga ke har trade mein khatra hota hai. Is liye, hum risk management ko bhi ghor se dekhna chahate hain. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko theek tareeqe se tay karna ahem hai. Stop loss level ko aisi jagah tay karna chahiye jahan agar trade ulta ho gaya toh nuqsaan minimum ho. Take profit level ko bhi aise tay karna chahiye ke hum apne munafa ko secure kar sakein. Currency trading mein technical analysis ka istemal karna zaruri hai lekin fundamental analysis ko bhi mad e nazar rakhna chahiye. Geopolitical events, economic data releases, aur central bank policies bhi market par asar daal sakte hain. In sab factors ko dekhte hue, hum apni trading strategy ko adjust kar sakte hain.

Aakhir mein, trading mein kamiyabi ke liye consistency aur discipline bhi zaruri hai. Hum apni trading plan ko follow karte hue emotion se bachna chahiye aur hamesha apne decisions ko rational taur par lena chahiye.

Lagbhag do hafton tak, USD/JPY jora 150.90 se lekar 151.90 tak ke tang haddi ke andar tezi se jhool raha hai, zigzag harkaton ka nazar aana. Is stagnated muddat ko address karna waqt hai aur April ke pehle haftay mein zyada dynamic market mahol ka intezar hai. H4 time frame par, mojooda trend urooj par hai, jo ek hi range ke andar ghumti hui volatility se kisi ja sakta hai.
Monday ke trading ke liye sharaayeen dekhte hue, bechnay ki zone ko 148.15 se lekar 150.60 tak aur kharidnay ki zone ko 150.70 se lekar 153.25 tak darust kiya gaya hai. Mojooda waqt mein, USD/JPY jora 151.36 par trading kar raha hai. Saptah ke aakhri din ki trading mein tafseelat ki kami thi, shayad chuttiyon se mutaliq factors ki asar thi. Magar, April 1 ko naye haftay ki shuruaat hoti hai, is trend ka jari rakhna ummeed hai.

Haftawar chart par USD/JPY ke mutabiq, poori hafte ke dauran keemat be asarai mein thi, jiski wajah se ek choti si bearish mombati ban gayi, jo apne uttar ki parcham se local resistance level ko test karne mein kaamyab rahi, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 151.818 par hai. Wazeh hai ke poori hafte mein ek jamayi harkat hui hai aur, jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke yeh jamayi harkat ek tezi se nikalne ke sath khatam hogi aur mujhe shak hai ke yeh impulse seedha uttar ki taraf jayega, halan ke pehle uttar ki taraf se aik mazboot resistance level hai, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 151.818 par waqai hai


Asian session ke doran halki khabron ke bawajood, in releases ka ahmiyat market ki raah ka tay karna mazbooti se nahi hai. Hamari strategy ke mutabiq, focus upar ki movement par hai. 151.60 ke darjaat ko ahem nishaanat ke taur par chuna gaya hai, jo ek naye darjaat ki upar ki momentum ki sambhavna ko signal karta hai. 151.65 par dakhilay ke sath aik stop loss set kiya gaya hai jo 30 points par hai, 152.60 ke target ke liye, aur mazeed potential 153.00 aur 153.20 ki taraf hai

Chalo aaj ka munafa afzal ke aazaad regression stop aur reverse, RSI, aur MACD ke signals ke mutabiq ajza ki tijarat ka imkan parhain, jo hamein sab se mutasir market dakhil karne ka point chunne mein madad karega. Tasdeeqi tajziya kamiyabi se guzra, ek barabar ahem task hoga ke tijarat mukhtalif faida mand point ka tay karna hai. Is maqsad ke liye, hum mojooda intehai points par Fibonacci grid banayenge aur position se nikalne ke liye, hum nazdeeki correctional Fibo levels par tawajju denge.
Muntakhib time frame (time-frame H4) par seedha regreshan channel oopar ki taraf muqarrar hai, jo market mein khareedaron ki maujoodgi ko buland karta hai aur unki tawajju ko agay ki taraf barhane ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is ke saath saath, zyada se zyada shikasta ke janib tawajju ka rukh itna mazboot hai ke maujooda urooj ki taraf muhim ko barhata hai. Isi doran, jo ghair linear channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka qiyas karna hai, peela sabz rang ka hai aur yeh aala ki quotes mein mazeed izafa ko darust karta hai, kyun ke yeh shumal ki taraf muntaqil hai


Keemat ne seedha regreshan channel ke surkh resistance line ko paar kiya lekin dosra LevelResLine ko 151.766 ki azeem keemat tak pohanch gaya, jis ke baad is ne apni izafa ko ruk diya aur qaaim taur par girne laga. Aala ab mojooda qeemat ke darje mein hai, 151.360. Upar diye gaye sab se mutasirat ke mawafiq, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke keemat ke hawalay se wapas aur mustaqil taur par channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche jakar qaim honge aur phir neechay linear channel ke golden average line LR 147.731 tak chalay jayenge, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Reh gaya yeh ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ka nazir e saani hai ke aala khareedari ke liye dawat dene wale zone mein hain kyun ke woh faida mand farokht ke ikhtitami transakshan par muntaqil hone ko dawat dete hain

USD/JPY ko pichle Jumma ko kharidar dabao ki wajah se thoda sa barha gaya tha. Jab main check indicator ka istemal karta hoon, to momkin hai keh mumkin halat mein shamoshi market par h1 timeframe mein tension dens ke darmiyan mumkin hai ke mombatiyan musalsal chalti rahein aur lakeeron mein shamil ho jayein. Is natijay mein, indicator kamzor hai. Mombati ka maqam khud neela ghutne-sewa line ke oopar se guzra. Keematain mutmaen tor par mazeed barhne ki umeed hai kyun ke jald hee ek crossover ka intezar hai. Jab tak stokistik line oopar ki taraf ishara karta hai, yeh bhi is barhav ko support karta hai. Dosto ko moshwara diya jata hai ke woh positions kholain aur kharidar karen jab ke barhav kam hai. Is ke baad, main 151.00 par kharidar karnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Mera nishana 151.60 hai. Main ne apna stop loss 150.80 par rakha hai, jo ke qareebi support area hai. Yeh yaqeeni banayein ke support area ko tora na jaye taake USD/JPY girne se bacha rahe.
Dosri farokht ki imkani talash mein dalail mil sakti hai, lekin main abhi bhi yeh intezar kar raha hoon ke jodi 150.80 ke neeche band ho jaaye pehle takay ek CSAK farokht ka pehlu bana sakein. Behtareen taur par, mujhe 150.29 tak pohnchna pasand hai. Main ne is par guzara pehle haftay kiya, lekin yeh sirf mukhtasar waqt ke liye raha. Kamzori kam karne ke liye, EMA50 par ya TF H1 par aur is ke kuch pips oopar tak stop loss ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain. Jumma ko, market ne ek umeed ki manind oopar ki manzil se neeche rukh liya, jiski wajah se bearish continuation pattern paida hua.
In market dynamics ke tabdeelion ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, unhe dekhna aur apne accounts ko hushyarana taur par manage karna ahem hai. Trade karne ke tareeqay ko adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur in tabdilion ko gehraee se dekhte hue maqbool faislay kiye ja sakte hain. Trade ke nateejay ko behtar banane ke liye, shartmand rehna aur tabdeel hone wale market shorat ke mutabiq apne aap ko adapt karna zaroori hai. Sirf fauran market ko catalyst events ke sath wajood me aa sakti hain, lekin traders technical analysis par tawajjo de sakte hain aur apne hunar ko behtar banate hue kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye ahem hai ke wo keemat ke patterns, trend lines, aur ahem support aur resistance ke levels ka mutalia karte hue potential market movements ka andaza lagayen.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Tasawwurati Mutawassit halat me Phansa:

USD/JPY currency pair pichle do hafton se aik mazhabi range mein jhool raha hai. Is stagnation ki kai wajahat hain. Aik taraf, Japan Bank (BoJ) ke mustahiqana rawaye ke mukhtalif irteqaat aur jumla tor par khatra-e-khatar ka ek bahasat rawaya Japaneese Yen (JPY) par nichla dabaav daal raha hai, jo economic uncertainty ke doran aik safe-haven currency ke tor par dekhi jati hai. Magar, is kamzori ko rokne ke liye Japani hukoomat ka mushtarak intervention bhi mumkin hai taake bohat zyada qeemat girai se bachaya ja sake. Wahi, US Dollar (USD) apne liye saath ka talaash kar raha hai. Haal hi mein US inflation data aur umeed hai ke Federal Reserve interest rate ko is saal ke bad kami ho sakti hai, in ke sath kafi support mil raha hai. Lekin, ye faida abhi tak nahi utha saka hai. Traders ab US ke key economic data releases, jaise ke ISM Manufacturing PMI jo Monday ko aur Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report jo Friday ko aayegi, ke beghair se jhool rahe hain. Ye indicators mojooda USD/JPY deadlock ko tor sakti hain aur currency pair ke liye zaroori rahnumai faraham kar sakti hain.

Takneekan, pichle do hafton ka price action ek bullish consolidation phase ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai jo March ke volatile low ke baad shuru hui hai. Iske ilawa, daily charts par takneeki indicators batate hain ke USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa ka munasib maqaam hai. Lekin, ek clear breakout jo ke pichle haftay mein darust hua 152.00 ke aspas, is bullish continuation ko tasdeeq dena ke liye zaroori hai. Doosri taraf, 151.00 level foran ka support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Haal hi mein break hui horizontal resistance zone 150.85-150.80 ke neeche girne se agla support level 150.25 area ke qareeb nazar aata hai. Agar 150.00 ka pschological barrier mazboot tor par toota to ye ek aggressive sell-off ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ko 149.35-149.30 region tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 149.00 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Contracts ki duniya mein safar par jaana, shakhsiyati pasandidgiyon ke bawajood, gehra samajh zaroori hai. Mali taraqqi ke daire mein, aik ahem zone 151.36 aur 151.10 ke darmiyan hota hai, jahan faislay ka bohot bara wazan hota hai. Market ki unpredictable fitrat ke darmiyan, har investement ke saath negative natayej ka dar barqarar rehta hai. Magar, faide ummedwaron ko umeed ki ek kiran deta hai, jo hoshyar risk lenay ke raaste par chalte hain. Trading ke hungame mein, jazbati shorish afsos naak faislay ka sabab ban sakti hai. Magar, ek saaf strategy ke saath, insaan itmenan ke saath uthar-charhav kar sakta hai. 151.10 ke threshold ke par chalna kisi aamal ki ta'at ka izhar hai, tasleem karte hue ke har uthan ke baad girna lazmi hai. Is asool ko yaad rakhte hue, 151.65 pe tehreek ko khatam kar dena zaroori hai, faide ko yaqeeni banate hue ke mumkinah nuqsaan ko kam kiya jaye. Chahay kisi manzil ki talash mein, uncertainty tawaqqu ko taakhir de sakta hai. Magar, sabr aur mehnat taraqqi ki safar mein mustaqil madadgar rahe hain. Din khatam karne ka faisla ufaq mein dairi khatraat se bachne ki taqatwar ikhtiyar hai jo kal ke maidan mein mojood darwaze mein rehta hai.

Mukhtalif traders ke hisaab se, bahar ke factors bhi kisi maqool aamal par asar daal sakte hain. News, aksar beqaaboo honay ke saath, market ke muwazan ko bigarne ki qudrat rakhti hai, trading floor mein kharabi ki leharain bhejti hai. Aise lamhaat mein, aandhi mein tajurbay se bahar rehna ahem hai, jazbati halaat ke shor mein maqool faislay ki ijaazat dene ke liye. Contracts ke maidan mein, har faisla wazan rakhta hai, har aamal asar rakhta hai. Kamiyabi ki raah challenges se bharpoor hoti hai, magar in challenges mein behtari aur dolat ke mouqe chhupay hotay hain. Hoshyar risk lena, nizam se mufeed tareeqon par amal karna, aur market ke hamesha badalte dharao ko tawajju dena, ek shakhs ko mali kamiyabi ki taraf le jane ka rasta bana sakta hai. Ikhtitami tor par, contracts ki duniya mein aik aksi mazboot iraada, aik hisabi approach, aur andaruni aur baahri factors ke markaz ki shanaakht zaroori hai. Tadbeerati manuevering aur mustaqil itmenan ke zariye, koi bhi market ke complexities ka safar tay kar sakta hai, shakhsi aur maali taraqqi ki taraf rukh karke.

USD/JPY ko pichle Jumma ko kharidar dabao ki wajah se thoda sa barha gaya tha. Jab main check indicator ka istemal karta hoon, to momkin hai keh mumkin halat mein shamoshi market par h1 timeframe mein tension dens ke darmiyan mumkin hai ke mombatiyan musalsal chalti rahein aur lakeeron mein shamil ho jayein. Is natijay mein, indicator kamzor hai. Mombati ka maqam khud neela ghutne-sewa line ke oopar se guzra. Keematain mutmaen tor par mazeed barhne ki umeed hai kyun ke jald hee ek crossover ka intezar hai. Jab tak stokistik line oopar ki taraf ishara karta hai, yeh bhi is barhav ko support karta hai. Dosto ko moshwara diya jata hai ke woh positions kholain aur kharidar karen jab ke barhav kam hai. Is ke baad, main 151.00 par kharidar karnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Mera nishana 151.60 hai. Main ne apna stop loss 150.80 par rakha hai, jo ke qareebi support area hai. Yeh yaqeeni banayein ke support area ko tora na jaye taake USD/JPY girne se bacha rahe. Dosri farokht ki imkani talash mein dalail mil sakti hai, lekin main abhi bhi yeh intezar kar raha hoon ke jodi 150.80 ke neeche band ho jaaye pehle takay ek CSAK farokht ka pehlu bana sakein. Behtareen taur par, mujhe 150.29 tak pohnchna pasand hai. Main ne is par guzara pehle haftay kiya, lekin yeh sirf mukhtasar waqt ke liye raha. Kamzori kam karne ke liye, EMA50 par ya TF H1 par aur is ke kuch pips oopar tak stop loss ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain. Jumma ko, market ne ek umeed ki manind oopar ki manzil se neeche rukh liya, jiski wajah se bearish continuation pattern paida hua.

USD/JPY ka tajziya:
Dunya bhar ke markazi bankon ki policies ne USD/JPY exchange rate mein taqatwar izafa ko support kiya hai, jo 151.43 resistance level ke qareeb qaim hai. Is haalat mein, investors aur markets Japan ke mumkinah market intervention ka intezar kar rahe hain taake currency ko mazeed girne se roka ja sake. Federal Reserve ke peechle mehdood policies aur America ki mazboot maeeshat ke behtareen taraqqi ke sath, U.S. dollar doosri bari currencies ke muqablay mein taqatwar hai.

Mausam jis mein US dollar mein izafa ho raha hai. U.S. employment March mein mazeed barhti rahi jabke ujrat mein rukawat aayi, jis se mamlakat ka labor market maeeshat ko mazeed taraqqi dene ke liye tayyar hai jabke inflation mein dobara izafa ka khatra mehdood hai. Dunya ki sab se bara maeeshat mein mehengai kam karne se milne wale pressures ke sath sath, mazid izafa karne ke liye rozana barhne ke imkanat hote hain. Jumeraat ko, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is hafte ki mazeed se mazeed speeches dene ke liye aagaye hain. Dusre aham ahem afrad John Williams, Adriana Coogler, Mary Daly, Austen Gorspie, Lori Logan aur Thomas Parkin shamil hain.

Aam tor par, kaam ki farahmi mehengai ke mazeed barhne wale daabay ko kam karne mein madad karti hai jo ke werna mehengai mein izafa ka baa'is ban sakta hai. Jumeraat ko mutalea ke mutabiq, mamlakat ki be-rozgar ki sharah 3.8% par girne ka intezar hai, sirf February ki do saal tak ki unchiyon se thori door, jis se kaam ka bazaar kuch momentum kho raha hai. February ki rozgar ki data Tuesday ko ek tasveer farahm karegi. Halankeh ma'eeshat ke matalib ke mutabiq, naukriyon ki kami ka intezar hai, lekin naukriyon ki kami pehle pandemic se pehle darjat se ooper hai.

Aaj ka USD/JPY taqreeban:

Mere technical nazariye ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ka technical manzar ab bhi badal nahi hai. USD/JPY pair abhi tak barh raha hai aur iske halqi gains ne technical indicators ko shadeed overbought levels mein le gaya hai. Japan ka neeche ki taraf correction currency ko mazeed girne se rokne ke liye market intervention ko trigger kiya, sath hi weak U.S. jobs data ke sath weekend guzara. Trend ka breakout 150.00 aur 148.80 ke qareeb support levels ke nazdeek jaane par mumkin hai. Magar, abhi ke liye bullon ka qareebi maqsad 152.00 resistance hai.

USD JPY rozana D1 waqt farma chart

Pichle haftay mein tawajjuh naqablyat se guzri, shumali rukh mein kisi khaas taraqqi ka koi nateeja nahi nikla, jo 150.88 ka zyada se zyada ko paar karne mein naqam raha. Jumeraat ko kisi bhi shumali rukh ki harakat ko rad kar diya gaya, aur haalaanki Jumma ko dhaara ko dubaara hasil karne ki koshish hui, ye bhi nakaam rahi. Dinaroon ki dairaani gatividhi ne phir se shumali rukh ki harakat ko rad kar diya, jis se trading amreeki session ke qareeb band hui, jis se aane waale somwaar ke trading session mein ek janoobi rukh ki tasdeeq ka aham ishaara ho sakta hai. Kul milakar, janoobi rukh ko 150.05 ke darje par tasdeeq ka imkaan hai. Magar, oversold shiraayat ne oopar ka rukh karne par dabaav daala hai, aur farokhtkar 150.72 ke neeche rehne ka iraada hai takay janoobi trend ko rad karne se bachaya ja sake. Naqablyat mein, 150.35 ke qareeb ka rukh pasandida hai, jis par moving averages aur aham intraday farokht signal ke ek ikhtataam ke saath achi farokht ka moqa mojood hai. Qareebi nami target somwaar ke liye 149.49 hai. Darmiyan mein dekhtay hue, haal hi ki harkaat ne pehla retracement level 149.95 ko toor diya hai, jo aglay darje par 148.84 (din mein) ki taraf mazeed kami ki nishandahi karta hai. Halankeh, is darje par wapas ki sambhavana hai, lekin musalsal rukh ke zyada imkaan hai, khaaskar haftay ke doran rollback level 147.71 ka zikar hai. Abhi ke liye, naye darjo ki talaash e mufeed nahi hai, mojooda shumali rukh ko madde nazar rakhte hue.

USDJPY pair ki 1-hour chart ki technical analysis:

Do din ke trading ke baad, jab pair ka price 151.50 level ke neeche sidhe ruk gaya tha, toh ab pair ka price 151.88 resistance level ki taraf ek upward wave shuru kar raha hai. Aaj, price weekly pivot level ke neeche trading shuru ki aur sideways price channels ke andar tha. Price ne upward trend kiya lekin continue hokar sideways trade karta raha, neeche ke channel lines se support milta raha aur upar ke channel lines aur weekly pivot level se resistance milta raha. Current candle 1-hour chart par pichle do dinon mein highest trading price ko tor kar chali gayi hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ki price ko 151.88 level tak khareedna ho. Mehnat ke nazriye se, global central banks ke policies ab bhi USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka mazboot upward trajectory ko support karti hain. Is performance ke darmiyan, investors aur markets Japanese intervention ka intezar kar rahe hain jo currency price ke aur collapse ko rokne ke liye ho sakta hai. US dollar ab bhi sab se mazboot major currencies ke muqablay mein hai, US Federal Reserve ki sakht policy ke saath, jise ab tak sathi kiya gaya hai, sath hi US economy ka mazboot performance bhi isko support kar raha hai. Ek aur level par, iska asar US dollar ke price performance par hoga. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Budh ko ek badi group ki meeting ki hai jo Fed policymakers ki hai jo is haftay baat karenge. Digriyon mein John Williams, Adriana Kugler, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsby, Lori Logan, aur Thomas Parkin bhi shamil hain. Is haftay doosri economic reports mein shaamil hain ek pair ke purchasing managers' surveys manufacturers aur service providers ke liye. China ke purchasing managers' indexes (PMIs), jo ki Sunday ko release hone wale hain, is haftay ke trading ki shuruaat ko dominate karenge jab policymakers, investors aur analysts duniya ke doosre sab se bade economy ke current strength ko samajhne ki koshish karenge. Factory sector mein activity ka growth expected hai pehli baar se September ke baad, jabki services sector ka growth largely February ke pace ke saath maintain karne ki ummeed hai.

USD/JPY tabadla darajat ne musalmanon aur marketon ka markazi markaz bana rakha hai is wajah se ke ye mukhtalif policies ka hamil hai, jo ke aham resistence level 151.46 ke aas paas chalte hain. Ye trend aham tor par global central banks ke amli tajwezat se chal raha hai, khaaskar Japan aur United States ke. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne muzmon monetary policies ko barqarar rakhte hue maeeshat ki barhao aur kamiyat se do rahe hain. Quantitative easing aur manfi interest daro ke zariye, BOJ ne yen ko kamzor karna aur mazid inflashan ko barhawa dena chaha hai, taake export muqablayat aur maeeshat ki sargarmi ko madad milay. Doosri taraf, United States ke Federal Reserve ne mukhtalif raste ikhtiyar kiye hain, maeeshati shorat, barhtay hue inflashan ke dabao aur kam berozgari daron ke jawab mein monetary policy ko dhire dhire tang karna. BOJ aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy rukh ki farqiat ne US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan interest rate farq ko barhaya hai, jo ke investors ke liye zyada kashish afreen banata hai.

BOJ ki taraf se yen ki qadar ko rokne ke liye mazeed market mein dakhil honay ki tawaqo buhat zyada hai. Tareekhi tor par, Japan ne apni currency ki qeemat ko asar andaazi ke liye dakhil honay mein rukawat nahi ki hai, khaaskar jab tezi se qeemat barhne ki surat mein izafa export ki hui maeeshat aur maeeshati mustabilty ko mutasir karne lagti hai. Magar, is tarah ke dakhil honay ki asar andaziyan mojooda mahol mein mehdood ho sakti hai, kyun ke USD/JPY tabadla darajat ko chalane wale forsanat ka size bohat bara hai. Jaise ke Japan ki purani umar ki abadi, dhimi ghareebon ki darkhwast aur mustaqil trade afwahon ka yen par dabi hui dabaav barqarar hai.

Is ke ilawa, siyasi ikhtilafat aur external factors, jaise ke trade tensions aur maeeshati la'qabat, currency ke harekat ko asar andazi se mutasir kar sakte hain aur central bank ke dakhil honay ki asani ko mushkil bana sakte hain. Maslan, United States aur China ke darmiyan barhne wale trade disputes ya Korean Peninsula mein siyasi tensions Japan ke yen mein safe haven rukhsat ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jinhe BOJ ke kisi bhi koshish ko mazid yen ko kamzor karne mein tasleem na karne ki surat mein khatam kar sakti hai.

Central bank policies aur siyasi ikhtilafat ke ilawa, market ka mahaul aur investor ki position bhi currency ke harekat ko shakal denay mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Tehqiqati trading ka aghaz, algorithmic trading strategies, aur carry trades sarfeen mein izafa karte hain aur tabadla darajat mein short-term fluctuations ko mazeed barhate hain, jis se central banks ko currency markets ko tarteeb de paana mushkil hota hai.

Agay ki taraf dekhtay hue, market ke hissa daar aham iqtisadi daleelain, central bank communications aur siyasi ikhtilafat ko nazar andaaz karain ge taake mustaqbil ke tabadla darajat ke bare mein maloomat hasil ki ja sakein. Kisi bhi iqtisadi data release mein kisi bhi hairan kun surat mein, central bank policy expectations mein tabdeeli ya siyasi waqiat mein koi tabadla darajat ki shararat ke jawab mein taisar ho sakta hai, jo ke mukhtalif aham support aur resistance levels ko imtehaan mein daal sakte hain.