USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Market sentiment kaafi behtar hone laga hai jis se financial markets mein mazeed izafa hone ka imkan hai. Ek qaim ascending channel pattern, sath hi nichle hadood ka aik ahem false test, bullish faa'l honay ke liye mazboot isharon ka zikar faraham karta hai. Investors aur traders ko in technical signals se hosla afzai milay gi, jo qareebi muddat mein prices ko buland karnay ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Magar, is optimism ke darmiyan, ehtiyaat baratna ahem hai, kyunke market dynamics mein mojooda laapata unwasat par ghaur karna zaroori hai. Halankeh mojooda tajziya urooj ki taraf jari hai, lekin ghair mutawaqqa waqiyat jald is rukh ko badal sakti hain. Hararat se mutaliq ghair mutawaqqa waqiyat, khas tor par siyasi aur ma'ashi saboot, market ki mustaqilist mein ahem khatray paida karte hain aur investors ke itimad ko foran kam kar sakte hain.

Siyasi tanazur, jaise ke tanaza ya siyasi jhagray, dunyawi markets ko trade relations, supply chains, aur investor sentiment ko mutasir karke mojooda istehkam ko khatra mein daal sakte hain. Ahem ilaqon mein siyasi tanazurat mein izafa dar wazi tor par market volatility aur assets ke prices par niche dabaav ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Isi tarah, ma'ashi saboot market sentiment aur rehnumai ki taraf apni ahmiyat rakhte hain. Inflation rates, employment data, aur central bank policies jese factors investor expectations aur assets ke values par asar andaz hotay hain. In indicators mein ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyan market par asar andaz ho sakti hain, jo trading strategies aur assets ke allocations mein tabdiliyan la sakti hain.

Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif industries mein jari raftar maqami disruptions aur sector specific downturs ke sath risks laya kar rahi hain. Fintech, biotechnology, aur renewable energy jese sectors mein taraqqiyati karkardagi behter investments ki imkano ko paida karte hain, magar regulatory compliance, intellectual property rights, aur market adoption ke risks bhi la sakti hain.

In uncertainties ko samajhne mein, investors aur traders ko ek mustaqil approach qabool karna chahiye, jo risk management strategies ko shamil karta hai aur macroeconomic trends aur siyasi tanazurat ke bare mein maloomat hasil karta hai. Asset classes aur geographic regions mein diversification ka istemal maqami disruptions aur sector specific downturns ke sath jokhimat ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Aam tor par, jab ke mojooda market sentiment bullish momentum ko pasand karti hai, to hosla afzai aur tabdeeli pazeeri global financial markets ke dynamic manzar mein safar karne ke liye ahem sifat hain. Taaza trends par mojoodgi aur ek mazboot investment approach banaye rakh kar, market ke shirakat daron ko moqa hasil karne ke liye apne aap ko sahi tarah se position dena chahiye jabke khatrat ko handle karna chahiye.

Investor sentiment aur market confidence nazuk mojooda hoti hain jo asani se disruptions se mutasir ho sakti hain. Ye disruptions mukhtalif asnaad se paida ho sakti hain, jese ke siyasi tanazaat, ma'ashi be-istiqraar, qudrati afaat, ya ghaire mutawaqqa waqiyat jese ke pandemics. Jab aise disruptions waqia hote hain, to ye investors ko pareshan karne ka imkan rakhte hain, jis se financial markets mein instability paida hoti hai. Ye instability assets ke prices mein tezi se tabdiliyan, investors mein risk aversion mein izafa, aur mustaqbil ke markets ki taraf umoomi tanazar mein uncertainty ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Ek baray challenges mein se ek investors ke liye disruption ke dauran regulatory landscape ko samajhna hai. Regulatory changes business operations par badi asar dal sakti hain, compliance requirements se lekar market access aur pricing structures tak ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Sectors jese ke technology, finance, aur healthcare mein, jahan taraqqi aur tezi se tabdili aam hai, regulatory scrutiny khas tor par barh jati hai. Maslan, technology sector mein, data privacy, antitrust issues, aur cybersecurity ke aas paas ke masail regulatory oversight aur enforcement actions mein izafa kar sakte hain.

Isi tarah, finance sector mein, financial crisis ke natije mein implement kiye gaye regulatory reforms ne industry ko bunyadi tor par reshaped kiya hai, jahan strict capital requirements, increased transparency, aur enhanced risk management practices naye norms ban gaye hain. Ye regulatory changes financial institutions ko apne business models aur strategies ko adjust karne par majboor karte hain taake wo naye regulations ke mutabiq comply karte hue complex aur interconnected global market mein competitive reh sakein.

Healthcare sector mein, drug approvals, pricing regulations, aur healthcare reform efforts ke aas paas regulatory uncertainty pharmaceutical companies, biotech firms, aur healthcare providers ke liye badi implications rakhti hai. Maslan, healthcare reimbursement policies mein tabdiliyan ya naye pricing controls ka introduction is sector mein kaam karne wali companies ke profit margins aur revenue streams par asar dal sakti hain.

Regulatory compliance ki ahmiyat aur regulatory changes ke business operations aur industry dynamics par potential impact ko dekhte hue, regulatory developments ke mutaliq maloomat hasil karna market participants ke liye zaroori hai. Is ke liye regulatory announcements ko active tor par monitor karna, policymakers aur regulators ke sath interact karna, aur potential compliance gaps ko pehchanne aur regulatory risks ko kam karne ke liye thorough risk assessments karna zaroori hai.

Tajziya karte hue, disruptions aur regulatory changes investor sentiment aur market confidence par gehra asar dal sakte hain. Maloomat hasil karke aur evolving regulatory landscape ko proactive tor par samajhne se, market participants periods of uncertainty ko sahi tareeqe se samajh kar aur regulatory changes ke potential risks ko kam kar sakte hain.

Mojudah market manzar ek wazeh pattern ko numaya karta hai jo bullish tendencies aur niche ke thresholds ka notice karne ko shamil karta hai, jo bullish koshishat ke liye ikhtiyaar hai. Ye pattern, wabasta umoor ke liye ehtiyaat bhari stance ki zaroorat ko bulata hai kyun ke mojooda uncertainties market dynamics mein ghair muma'yyan hain. Halankeh mojooda tajziya ek bulandi ke rukh ka ishara karta hai, lekin ye ahem hai ke mojooda halaat se anjaane waqiyat ki mumkinat ko pehchana jaye jo is rukh ko badal sakti hain. Siyasi tanazaat, ma'ashi data ki izhaarat, aur investors ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan jese ghaire mutawaqqa factors market trends par wazeh asar dal sakti hain. Is liye, trading faislon ke liye ek mufasil aur ehtiyaat bhari approach ko apnana zaroori hai taake ye dynamic market conditions mein asani se manzil tak pohancha jaye.

Mojudah market mahol ko janchte hue, ye wazeh hota hai ke kai factors is bullish rukh aur nichle hadood ka false testing ko hosla afzai dete hain. Ek aise factor mein key economic indicators ka mazboot performance shamil hai, jese ke GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur consumer confidence indices. Ye indicators mil kar ek mazboot economy ka izhaar karte hain jo izafa ke liye tayyar hai, is tarah investors mein itimad ko barhate hain aur bullish jazbat ko barqarar rakhte hain. Mazeed, central banks ke duniya bhar mein istihqami monetary policies ne market liquidity ko barhawa diya hai aur assets ke prices ko barhawa diya hai, jo mojooda bullish momentum ko mazeed izafa dete hain.

Is ke ilawa, corporate earnings ke dobara ubharne ka bari rol market optimism ko mazboot karne aur upar ke price movements ko barqarar rakhne mein ada karta hai. Jab companies mazboot earnings growth report karte hain aur market expectations ko paar karte hain, to investors mein itimad ka izafa hota hai, jo equity markets mein ziada capital inflows ko barhawa deta hai. Mazeed, technology aur digitalization mein izafa financial markets ka ziada access faraham karta hai, investment opportunities ko democratizing karta hai aur ek baray investor base ko attract karta hai.

Mojudah market mein zahir optimism ke bawajood, aham hai ke aise buoyant shara'iyat ke sath waze aur ghair mutawaqqa risks aur uncertainties ko yaad rakha jaye. Siyasi tanazaat, trade disputes aur siyasi jhagron ke zariye shadeed khatra market stability ke liye pose karte hain aur asset prices mein foran tabdiliyan la sakte hain. Isi tarah, global ma'ashi halat mein anjaane taur par tabdiliyan, jese ke inflationary pressures ya supply chain disruptions, investor sentiment ko disturb kar sakti hain aur market confidence ko khatra mein daal sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, regulatory landscape ka izhar bhi market participants ke liye ek uncertainty ka sabab hai, kyun ke regulatory changes business operations ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur industry dynamics ko reshape kar sakte hain. Technology, finance, aur healthcare sectors mein barhti hui regulatory scrutiny regulatory developments ke mutaliq maloomat hasil karna aur unke investment strategies par kya asar ho sakta hai, is baat ko wazeh karta hai.

In factors ke roshni mein, mojooda market mahol mein effectively tajziya karne ke liye ehtiyaat aur mazbooti se trading ka ek discipline approach zaroori hai. Risk management techniques jese ke diversification aur hedging strategies ka ta'atil karna potential nuqsanat ko kam karne aur periods of heightened volatility ke doran capital ko hifazat mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, ek lambi muddat ki nazar rakhna aur short-term market fluctuations mein giraftari se bachna sustainable investment returns hasil karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, jabke mojooda market mahol bullish faaliyat ke liye mufeed nazar aata hai, to investors ko apne faislon mein ehtiyaat aur soch samajh kar amal karna zaroori hai. Market dynamics ke tajziya mein muttaham reh kar aur trading ke liye ek discipline approach adopt karne se, investors ko moqaat par pohanchne mein madad milegi jabke risks ko effectively manage kiya ja sakta hai.

Jab tak ye 149.33 ke 14.6% fib level ke upar hai, ye yakeen ke sath kaha nahi ja sakta ke 149.33 ka breakout na ho. Aapko pehle hi 149.75, 149.63, 149.50 aur 149.33 ke neechay qarz jama karne honge, aur ye pehle hi rozana ka balance 149.77 aur rozana ka Bollinger Bollinger 149.90 ke nichay hai, jo JSC par bearish divergence ke jaari rehne aur hale ki current March futures 147.80-146.80 ke nichlay zone tak jane ka jari rahne ke saath sath, 23.6% 148.38 se le kar 38.2% 146.82+- tak ke zone tak southern correction ka jari rahne ka saaya hai. Aur ek aur cheez jo ke aksar kisi bhi instrument par kiya jata hai - current futures ke ikhtitami doraan pehle futures ke maksimum set ko test karna, aur December futures mein yen ne 148.60-147.0 ke zone mein ek maximum hasil kiya, foran wahan bearish debt hai. Amooman, jab tak pair March futures ke important volume levels 150.43-150.25 ke neeche hai, tab southern correction ko jari rakhna sab se ahem hai.

Market dynamics ke shetra mein, rasta December se ab tak ek wazeh channel ke andar ek upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhne ka chand lakshan hai. Mehvooz hadood ka waqtan faramosh ho jana ke bawajood, baad mein channel ki hadood mein wapas aana iski masti ko zahir karta hai aur mukhtasar bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishaara deta hai. Agla, mazeed upward movement ke liye bohot zyada jaga nazar aati hai, haal ki market activity ne kharidari dabao ko laane ka ishaara kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, hadood ki hadood ka halaal test traders ko ek dilchaspi entry point faraham karta hai jo ke ek teesra faida ka moqa ban sakta hai jab upward move jari rehta hai. [M30]USD/JPY Is mawad mein dynamics ka tajziya mojooda market sentiment ko mazeed upward movement ko support kar raha hai. Ek qaim ascending channel pattern, sath hi ahem false test of the lower limits, bullish activity ke liye ek favorable mahol ka saboot dete hain. Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyun ke market dynamics mein mojooda uncertainties qayam hain. Halankeh mojooda tajziya ek upward move ko pasand karta hai, la'iq tawajjo hai ke ghair mutawaqqa waqiyat is rukh ko badal sakti hain. Siyasi waqiyat, ma'ashi data releases aur investment sentiment mein tabdiliyan market ki taraf asar andaz ho sakti hain, jise trading faislon ke liye ek nafees approach ki zaroorat hai.

Currency trading, khas tor par USD/JPY jaise pairs mein, maqool faislon par pohanchne ke liye mukhtalif factors ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Is surat mein, jahan ek farokhtkar ne qabza barqarar rakha hai, jis ka saboot 151.29 ke darja karne mein ballon ki nakami hai, kai ghor o fikr ki zarurat hoti hai. Sab se pehle, 151.29 ke level ka ahmiyat samajhna ahem hai. Technical analysis mein, yeh level ek resistance point ko darust kar sakta hai, jo ek tareekhi trend ko darust karta hai jahan keemat ne isay paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Karobari log aise levels par khaas tawajjo dete hain kyun ke yeh market ki jazbat mein maamooli tabdiliyon ko numaya kar sakte hain.

Dusra, market shiraa'at karnewalon ki psychology zaroori hai. Agar farokhtkaran ne 151.29 level ko kamyabi se defend kiya hai, to yeh unki aetimad ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur mazeed farokhtkaran ko shaamil kar sakta hai, jin ka intezar hai ke keemat is nakaarati had se neeche girne se pehle rahe. Muktalif, kharidaar mutawaqqa ho sakte hain, ek wazeh toorn takarar ho jane se pehle bazaar mein dakhil hone ke liye. Is ke ilawa, bazaar ka saabiq maqam ka jaaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. Maamooli tor par, tajziya karne walay mukhtalif factors shamil karte hain, jaise ke maashiyati indicators, riyasati waaqiaat, aur central bank policies. USD/JPY ke liye, America aur Japan ki maashiyat mein taraqqi, isha'at dar, rozgar ke data, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke mawaqay ke faislay khaas tor par ahem hain.

Is ke ilawa, khatra-e-izafi bazaar mein badi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Karobari log aksar global maashiyati rujhan, equity markets, aur riyasati tanazaat ka mutalaa karte hain taake bazaar ki tawajju paimaish ki ja sake. Ek khatra-e-izafi mahol, jo umeed aur aetimad se bharpoor hota hai, aam tor par uchhaadh hota hai aur is tarah ke maaliyat ko faida pohnchata hai jaise ke USD, jabke ek khatra-e-izafi mahol aman pasand assests ko faida pohnchata hai jaise ke JPY. Mustahiqeen ke liye, ab waqt shayad ho gaya hai ke woh current bazaar ke dynamics par faida uthayein. Masalan, trend-following traders ka intezar ho sakta hai ke 151.29 level ke upar confirm ki gayi breakouts ka intezaar karain, mazeed unchayi ke kamyabi ka tawakul karte hue. Bar-aamad traders, doosri taraf, farokhtkaranon ke darmiyan thakawat ke nishan dhundne ke liye dekhte hain aur kuch is qism ke trades ko shuru karte hain.



Khatra nigrani bhi karobari ke liye zaroori hai. Khoobsoorat zaroori hai ke apne nuksan ko kam karne ke liye stop-loss orders set karein aur maqami aamad ki neest e nezar ke asoolon ko manaien. Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif assests ke darmiyan ek mukhtalif portfolio bana kar risk ko phela kar aamad ko barhawa de sakta hai aur kul mazbooti ko barhawa de sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karna technical, bunyadi, aur nafsiyati factors ka mukammal samajh ke saath hota hai. Traders ko maamooli bazaar ke mawad mein keemat ki tajziya karne ke liye mukhtalif strategies ka istemal karna parta hai aur khatra nigrani ko behtar tareeqay se nafrat karna hota hai.

"USDJPY mein, bechne walay ne qabza barqarar rakha hai, jo 151.25 ke qeemat darj karne mein ballon ki nakami ka saboot hai," yeh sentence ki ahmiyat aur iska asar samajhne ke liye, forex market ke mool tajziye, technical analysis, aur fundamental factors ka mukhtasar jaaiza zaroori hai. Sab se pehle, "USDJPY mein, bechne walay ne qabza barqarar rakha hai" ka matlab hai keh kisi ne US dollar ko Japanese yen ke muqablay mein bechna shuru kar diya hai. Yeh qabza amooman bechne ki taraf ishara karta hai aur iska mafhoom yeh hai keh logon mein yeh khayal hai ke USDJPY ki keemat girne wali hai.

"151.25 ke qeemat darj karne mein ballon ki nakami ka saboot hai," yeh cheeni ki qeemat darj karne ka ek point hai jo logon ke liye important hai. 151.25 ki qeemat par bechne wale ki taraf se yeh indicate kiya jaa raha hai keh market mein demand kamzor ho rahi hai aur isay utharne ke liye ziada pressure lagana par sakta hai. Yeh ek technical analysis ka tajziya hai jo traders istemal karte hain taake trend ka pata chal sake. Ab, yeh ballon ki nakami ka saboot kya hai? Yeh kahani bata rahi hai keh jab bhi kisi currency pair ki keemat ek makhsoos level par pohanchti hai, jaise keh 151.25, toh yeh aksar ek mazid girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh situation traders ko ek tarz-e-amal diya jaati hai keh woh market mein gire hue trend ko istemal kar ke faida utha sakein ya phir isay hedging ke liye istemal kar sakein.



Is situation ka asar mukhtalif factors par ho sakta hai. Masalan, geopolitical tensions, economic indicators, aur central bank policies. Agar Japan ki economy mein koi masla ho, ya phir dollar ki mazid taqat ki tawanai ho, toh is tarah ki movement dekhne ko milti hai. Samajhne ke liye, agar Japan ki economic indicators, jaise keh GDP growth, unemployment rate, ya phir industrial production, kamzor hote hain, toh yen ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke USDJPY pair ko neeche ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar US dollar mein tawanai ho, jaise keh interest rate mein izafa, ya phir economic growth ki ummed, toh yeh bhi USDJPY pair ko oopar ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY Takneeki Jaiza - 4 Ghante Ki Timeframe (4 گھنٹے کی فریم کا ٹیکنیکل تجزیہ)

Mukhtasar Taaruf (Introduction):

Mazeed, khaas tor par Jumma ki trading ke sath, pair ne rozana 4 ghante ki shama ko 152.01 ki unchai par band karnay ka kam kia. Hamari nazar mein, pair ab short retracement ko le gaya hai legacy trade indicator tak aur shayad yeh qeemat 149.95 par chhoo sakta hai. Jab yeh pair touch hota hai, to retracement cycle khatam ho jaati hai aur up trend jari rehta hai jab tak naye tops tak nahi pohanchta. Main umeed karta hoon ke 161 Fibonacci par naye top 153.40 ki qeemat par pohanchega.

1 Ghante Ki Timeframe Ka Takneeki Jaiza (Technical Analysis - 1 Hour Timeframe):
Mukhtasar Taaruf (Introduction):


Mukhtasar Taaruf: Yeh pair uptrend mein hai jab yeh pair base 146.95 se shuru hokar 152 ki unchai tak pohanchta hai lekin ab yeh pair 152 se 151 ki qeemat par ek flat wave banaya hai aur ab yeh pair 200 EMA ki moving average se nihayat ahem support ka samna kar raha hai waqt frame chart par ek ghante ke liye aur is qeemat par 151.38 ko chhu chuka hai. Hum is pair ka rawaya dekhtay hain jab yeh isay chhoohta hai agar yeh price action bana raha hai aur yeh line tor raha hai to hum ise kharid saktay hain lekin agar yeh price action 200 moving average par ooper ishara karta hai to hum ise is point se kharid saktay hain 200 pips target tak.

USDJPY pair ke trading jo is hafte hue wo dikhata hai ke koi bhi taraf asal mein market ko dominate nahi kar rahi hai, ye dekha ja sakta hai buyers ke nakam rehne se jo ke price ko Breakout Resistance level 151.92 tak pohnchane mein nakam rahe. Waise hi Seller ke saath bhi, jo ke price ko Breakout Support level 151.02 tak dabane mein nakam rahe. Bollinger bands indicator period 24 mein dekhe jane wale halaat, abhi bollinger bands kaafi tang nazar aate hain aur horizontal movement kar rahe hain, iska matlab hai ke trading volatility kaafi kam hai aur consolidation phase mein hai.

Trend direction jo Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 indicators dikhate hain, abhi tak bullish trend path mein valid hai, jise hum price position se upar dekh sakte hain jo do SMAs ke upar khel rahi hai. Jabke, RSI indicator for period 5 mein dekhe jane wale halaat abhi tak valid hain, jo ke bullish signal dikhata hai, isliye agle trade ke liye price mein izafa ka potential kaafi kholi hai.

USDJPY trading pair ke options neeche diye gaye hain.

BUY ~ Entry Buy tab ki ja sakti hai jab tak price Support level 151.02 ke upar phasta hua hai, aur ye ek excute ho sakta hai ek baar Market active/open ho, agle hafte. Daily profit target Resistance level 151.92 par rakh sakte hain. Jabke, loss limit Support level 151.02 (150.82) ke 20 pips neeche rakha jaye ga.

SELL ~ Sell entries tab ki ja sakti hain jab price ko Support level 151.02 ke Breakout ka confirmation mil jaye. Daily profit target Support level 150.27 par rakha jaye ga. Jabke, loss limit SBR level 151.02 (151.22) ke 20 pips upar rakha jaye ga.

Mere khayal mein, upar diye gaye sabhi trading options kaafi achi hain, kyun ke mojooda price position kaafi Risk: Reward area mein hai jo ke kaafi acha hai (balanced). Magar, technical tor par wazeh hai, Buy USDJPY option meri mukhya soch hogi trading ke liye agle hafte, kyun ke RSI indicator period 5 ke bullish signal ke support se price mein izafa ka potential hai aur price ne 151.02 ke support level ko Breakout karne mein kamyabi hasil nahi ki hai.

USDJPY pair ki trading jo is hafte hui, woh kisi bhi taraf asal mein market ko mukammal tor par dominate karne ka koi saboot nahi diya, yeh baat buyers ke nakami se dekhi ja sakti hai jo ke price ko Breakout Resistance level 151.92 tak pohnchane mein nakam rahe. Usi tarah, Sellers ne bhi price ko Support level 151.02 ko toornay mein nakami ka samna kiya. Bollinger bands indicator period 24 mein dekhi jane wali surat haal, filhal Bollinger bands kaafi tang aur horizontal movement kar rahe hain, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke trading volatility kaafi kam hai aur consolidation phase mein hai.

Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 indicators dikhate hain ke trend direction abhi tak bullish trend path mein valid hai, jo hum price position se dekh sakte hain jo ke do SMAs ke upar khel rahi hai. Jabke, RSI indicator for period 5 mein dekhe jane wale halaat abhi tak valid hain, jo ke bullish signal dikhata hai, isliye agle trade ke liye price mein izafa ka potential kaafi kholi hai.

USDJPY trading pair ke options neeche diye gaye hain.

Kharidain ~ Entry Buy tab ki ja sakti hai jab tak price Support level 151.02 ke upar phasti hui hai, aur ye ek baar Market active/open ho, agle hafte. Daily profit target Resistance level 151.92 par rakh sakte hain. Jabke, loss limit Support level 151.02 (150.82) ke 20 pips neeche rakha jaye ga.

Farokht ~ Farokht entries tab ki ja sakti hain jab price ko Support level 151.02 ke Breakout ka confirmation mil jaye. Daily profit target Support level 150.27 par rakha jaye ga. Jabke, loss limit SBR level 151.02 (151.22) ke 20 pips upar rakha jaye ga.

Mere khayal mein, upar diye gaye sabhi trading options kaafi achi hain, kyun ke mojooda price position kaafi Risk: Reward area mein hai jo ke kaafi acha hai (balanced). Magar, technical tor par wazeh hai, ke Buy USDJPY option meri mukhya soch hogi trading ke liye agle hafte, kyun ke RSI indicator period 5 ke bullish signal ke support se price mein izafa ka potential hai aur price ne 151.02 ke support level ko Breakout karne mein kamyabi hasil nahi ki hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka tajziya karne mein dilchaspi hai, khaaskar jab hum 15-minute chart par nazar daalte hain. Yeh pair haal hi mein 151.386 ke qareeb support level par trade kar raha tha. Yeh dekhne mein aata hai ke bazar mein farokht dabao ko khatam kar diya gaya tha, lekin ek farokht volume ke izafa ne isey follow kiya. Yeh scenario, market mein ek muddat se jari trend ke tajziye ko wazeh karta hai. Support level par trade karne ka matlab hai ke market mein kuch investors ne is qeemat par khareedari ki inteha ki hai, jis se support level mojooda hai. Yeh farokht dabao ko khatam karne ka natija ho sakta hai.

Farokht volume ke izafa, is situation ko mazeed tasdiq karta hai. Agar farokht volume barh jata hai jab market support level par trade kar raha hota hai, to yeh ek mazboot signal hai ke mojooda trend qaim hai aur market mein taqat hai. Mehangai ke qayam mein bhi Japan ke muashiyati halat ka asar dekha ja sakta hai. Agar Japan ke economic indicators mein koi behtar honay ka asar ho raha hai, to yeh USD/JPY pair ko farokht dabao se nijaat dilane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Is tajziye ke doran, mahaz support level par trade hone ke alawa, resistance level bhi ahem hai. Agar pair 151.386 ke support level se ooper jaata hai, to yeh resistance level ban sakta hai, aur market ka rukh badal sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda qeemat ka tajziya karte hue, market ke taraqqi ya rukh ko samajhna ahem hai. Support aur resistance levels ko dekhte hue, aur economic aur geopolitical factors ka tajziya karte hue, investors apne faislon ko behtar taur par samajh sakte hain.

USD/JPY TECHNICALL ANALYSIS D1

USDJPY D1 waqt frame par, kal ka karobar holiday trading periods ki khaas sifat ke mutabiq kam fa'aliate ke mansoobay mein unfold hua. Pura din, currency pair ne ek tang range banaye rakhi, jo kamzor market sentiment ka asar dikhata tha. America mein ahem tajziyati maamlat ke bawajood bhi, jese ma'ashi khabron ki ijlas, unka asar USDJPY par mamooli raha. Aik qabil-e-zikar waqiya jo tawajjo ko milti rahi, woh Powell ka taqreer tha. Powell ki guftagu, jo rate cuts ki pehle se pehle shuruaati haalat aur ma'ashi mojoodgi ki ahamiyat ko highlight karti hai, dollar ko trading ko hafta ke Monday ko dobare shuru hone par dollar ke lehaz se market dynamics ko muntazir rakhti hai. Uska rawaya monetary policy ke lehaz se ehtiyaati qadmon ki taraf ishara karta hai, qareebi dour ke liye dollar ko taqat dene ke liye mumkin support ki numaindagi karta hai. D1 waqt frame mein dekhi gayi kam fa'aliate karobar ko darust karti hai jo mojooda market sentiment ko darust karta hai jise mehdood hissa bharakat aur kamzor raftaar se paish aata hai. Aise shara'it holiday periods mein mamooli hoti hain, kyunke market shiraaq karne walay amuman liquidity mein kami ke doraan ek intezar aur dekhna pasand tarz ikhtiyar karte hain.





Agay dekhte hue, traders aur investors ko Powell ki taqreer aur iske asraat par market sentiment ko tawajjo se dekhna chahiye. Kisi bhi America ki maqami mojoodgi aur monetary policy ke ehtiyaati rawayya ke isharaat dollar ke mazbooti ko yen ke khilaf taqat dene ka zariya bana sakti hain. Magar, naqabil-e-peshgoyi maqami, siyasi tensions, ya raftar-e-khatra mein tabdeeliyan kamzor raftaar aur mojooda dynamics ko tabdeel kar sakti hain. Kal ka trading session USDJPY D1 waqt frame par holiday conditions ke doraan kam fa'aliate ke tawaqqu'on ke mutabiq waqia hua. Powell ki taqreer markazi nazar aayi, jiska asar market sentiment ko dollar ke lehaz se mutasir kar sakta tha. Jab traders aane wale trading haftay ke liye tayari karte hain, to tawajjo monetary policy ke taraqqiyat par milti rahti hai aur iske asraat currency markets par dekhi jati hai.

US mein Jumeraat ko aai khabrein nakarati thin, aur ek resistance zone se ubhar dekha gaya, aur phir bhi pair us waqt 150.80 tak nahi pohancha. Asal mein, ajeeb statistics aai, aur is data ke hawale se tajwezat musbat thay, lekin phir bhi market ne dollar ko becha. Pair ne EMA50 ke shakal mein resistance ke neeche trading band ki, jo 150.25 par waqe hai. Agar trading ka aghaz is level ke oopar na ho, to 149.60 ki taraf kam ho sakta hai. Abhi bhi price ke oopar order book mein volume mojood hain, aur main abhi bhi inhe discharge karne ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur us ke baad hi mujhe south ki taraf palatne ka intezar karna chahiye. Halankeh is harkat ke liye tayar ho jana bohot zaroori hai, aur is point ka yeh hai ke yeh mahina Japan Central Bank ke rate ko barha sakti hai, aur jab se Central Bank ke naqibon ki guftagu ho rahi hai, market in guftaguon ka rad-e-amal kar sakta hai. Main abhi bhi umeed karta hoon ke pair global maximum ko pohanchega aur phir south ki taraf palat jaega.





Barhti hui signals hain ke Japan Central Bank jald hi monetary policy ko normal kar sakta hai, jisme interest rate policy shamil hai. Commerzbank ke ma'aashiatdan samjhtay hain ke monetary policy ko normal karne ka asar Japanese yen par kaise padega. Dunia ke bohot se hisson ki mukhtalif tarah se, jo ke hali mein barhti hui maahangai se nipt rahi hai, Japan ghareeb demand ke saalon ke baad buland keematon ko uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Keemat doosri haftay se dobara ek accumulative flat mein trading kar rahi hai, jahan 150.885 ke darja ko resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai aur is level ke oopar jamawat ke moqoof hone ke mamlaat mein, kharidaron ke liye pehla maqsad November 2023 ke maximum par 151.909 hai. South ki taraf liye chalne ke liye, bearon ko 149.91 ke neeche jamawat banana hoga aur phir 100 dinon ke moving average 147.90 ki taraf kam karna chahiye. Jumeraat ko yen dollar ke khilaf gir gaya jab Japan Bank ke sardar ne kaha ke maqsood ke darjaat tak maahangai ko barhane ki jang mein fatah ka elaan karna abhi bohot jaldi hai. Bank of Japan policy ke uncertain honay aur khatraat ke mahaul ke asraat suraksha-kash yen ko khatam kar rahe hain. Hawkish Fed ke umeedain US dollar ko taqat deti hain aur moment ko jari rakhti hain. Haftay ke control zone 150.466-150.92 tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne agle zone 152.858-153.092 ki taraf chalne ke liye is zone mein qadam jama nahi kiya. 1/4 zone 149.71-149.598 support ke tor par kaam karta hai aur is zone mein pattern ka banao mauqa faraham karega. Is zone ke neeche jamawat mojood hone par yen ka raasta south ki taraf khulega agle 1/2 zone 148.554-148.334 ki taraf.

Umeed ap Theek ho sb member, Is currency pair ke liye, wave structure bhi chadhne wale tarteeb mein hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Pichle haftay ke doran, keemat ek taraf se dusre taraf jaati rahi jo 2022 aur 2023 ke maximum ke khilaaf daba hua tha. Aur ab yeh 2024 ke maximum ke qareeb hai. Magar, mujhe mazboot shak hai ke teesri saal se rukawat is pek par 151.90 se neeche jaane ki aur ise update na karne ki. Yeh zaroori hai ke is se doori na barh rahi hai, balke yeh us ke qareeb hi rehta hai. Shayad positions sirf haftay bhar mein jama ki ja rahi thin. Aur agar bohot si long positions bhi jama hui thin, toh bohot si short positions bhi hon gi, is liye keemat sirf thori si neeche nahi giray gi bina kam az kam thora sa sellers ko hila ke. Ziyada taur par, maximum ke ooper breakout hoga aur mujhe kam az kam 161.8 level ka maksad hai Fibonacci extension ke mutabiq jo pehli wave se neeche se laga hai, jahan ek mumkinah farokht ki zone ho sakti hai. Intezar kiya ja sakta hai ek chhote arsey ke liye farokht ki shakal par, masalan, ghante ke chart par, ek taasur ke muqabil darja pe dekhte hue ke kya support ko resistance mein badal diya ja sakta hai. Magar yeh yaqeeni nahi hai ke hum wahan se neeche jaayenge; shayad ek mazboot upward move taiyaar ho raha hai, shayad ek puray mahine ke liye bhi, khas tor par jab yen hai, yeh aise hi pesh karta hai. Intraday mein, main sirf long entries ko ghoor-ta hoon, agar pek update tak pahunchne ke liye kuch kafi jagah hai, khaaskar agar pehle thori si wapas chali gayi ho. Yeh istemal kiya jana chahiye long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye jab corresponding shakal din mein hoti hai, aur agar faida hai, toh yeh 151.90 ke ooper tootne par mahfuz kiya jaana chahiye, kyun ke yeh shayad sirf is pek ko thora sa chhedega. Agar hum assume karen ke abhi ke liye hum maximum se guzrenge nahi, jo ke namumkin hai, toh main farokht ko bhi nahi samajhta.

Kal ke karobar mein holiday trading periods ke doran, USDJPY D1 waqt frame par kam fa'aliate ke khas sifat zahir hue. Pura din, currency pair ne ek tang range banaye rakhi, jise kamzor market sentiment ka asar dikhata tha. America mein ahem tajziyati maamlat ke bawajood, jese ma'ashi khabron ki ijlas, unka asar USDJPY par mamooli raha.Aik qabil-e-zikar waqiya jo tawajjo ko milti rahi, woh Powell ka taqreer tha. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni guftagu mein ma'ashi halaat aur arzi hawalat ka jaeza lia. Is taqreer ke doraan, market participants ne taawun ki tafteesh ki aur uss ke matn ko samajhne ki koshish ki. Powell ki guftagu ne USDJPY par kuch asar daala, lekin yeh taqreeb USDJPY ki range-bound harkat mein khaas farq nahi dala.




Holiday trading periods mein market activity amooman kam hoti hai aur traders cautious rehte hain, kyunke kuch badi ghatakon ki kami hoti hai jo market ko move kar sakti hain. Is doran, traders aur investors thore prudent hote hain aur jaldi decisions nahi lete. Is liye, USDJPY ki kamzor range-bound harkat is maahol ka asar hai.Ma'ashi khabron ki ijlas aur Powell ki taqreer ke bawajood, USDJPY ka karobar mukhtalif factors ki asar mein raha. Market sentiment kamzor tha aur isne pair ki harkat ko kuch had tak mehdood rakha. Haalaanki, ahem maqasid ke liye tajziyaat aur tawajjo jari rahegi, taake traders aur investors sahi faislay kar sakein. main sirf long entries ko ghoor-ta hoon, agar pek update tak pahunchne ke liye kuch kafi jagah hai, khaaskar agar pehle thori si wapas chali gayi ho. Yeh istemal kiya jana chahiye long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye jab corresponding shakal din mein hoti hai, aur agar faida hai, toh yeh 151.90 ke ooper tootne par mahfuz kiya jaana chahiye, kyun ke yeh shayad sirf is pek ko thora sa chhedega. Agar hum assume karen ke abhi ke liye hum maximum se guzrenge nahi, jo ke namumkin hai, toh main farokht ko bhi nahi samajhta.

USD/JPY currency pair

Aaj ki guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ki rawiyaat ka tajziya karne par mabni hai. 15-minute ka chart dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke pair haal hi mein 151.386 ke support level ke qareeb trade kiya tha. Isne market mein farokht karne waleon ke maqamat ko khali kiya, jise ek bechnay ki volume mein izafa followed. Halankeh kuch kharid dar volume bhi tha, lekin yeh zyada dominant hona zaroori tha. Yeh setup ek mumkin giravat ka ishaara deta hai, haal hi mein ke qafi giravat aur iske baad farokht ki volume mein izafa hone ke baad. Magar, market mein bhi bari tadad mein kharid dar aayi, jo ek barhao ka aham nishaan hai. Iske bawajood, 151.98 ke resistance ka bahut mazboot nazar aata hai, jo kisi foran ke breakthrough ko rok sakta hai. Energy Information Administration ke US crude oil inventories ke data ke mutabiq, ek kamzor honay ki tawaqquh hai, jo taraqqi ke dawam mein izafa aur mukhtalif tawaqquhon ki isharaat hai. Ye aham nishaan hai jo ghoorna chahiye.

Yeh jabke pair ne Tuesday ke 151.26 ke support ko tor diya, lekin yeh 151.07 ke mazeed mazboot support tak barh sakta hai. Daily chart dikhata hai ke pair 151.07 ke support aur 151.87 ke resistance ke darmiyan range-bound hai. Aaj, humne is range ke ooperi had ko test kiya, jisne is ke future rukh par tajziya ko janam diya. Technical analysis ek bullish trend ko ishaara karta hai, lekin mojooda market ki ghaflat mein farokht ki dabaav bhi hai. America ke zyada news izafa hone ka tajwez hai. Japan ke pass koi bara izafi elaano ki khabar nahi hai. Toh yeh kuch aise tarjih hai ke aaj dekha ja sakta hai ek bullish harkat, jis ka nishana 151.89 ke resistance ki taraf hai, 151.07 ke support ke qareeb farokht ke sath, mazeed range ke andar reh kar.