USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ki taraqqi ko samajhna aur uske uopar jane ka hadaf tay karna, ek kafi complex process hai. USD/JPY pair ka abhi ki halat kaafi niche hona yani ke uska exchange rate kam hona, mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai, jaise economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Lekin, agar hum iske uopar jane ka hadaf aur cross karna chahte hain, toh kuch factors ko dhyan mein rakhna hoga.

Pehle toh, economic indicators ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar US economy strong hai aur Japan ki economy weak hai, toh USD/JPY pair ka exchange rate barh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, monetary policies aur interest rates bhi ahem hote hain. Agar Federal Reserve (US ke central bank) interest rates ko barhata hai jabke Bank of Japan (Japan ke central bank) apni monetary policy ko ease karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair ka exchange rate bhi barh sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency pairs par asar daal sakte hain. Kisi bhi tarah ke political instability ya tension, ya phir trade wars, USD/JPY pair ka exchange rate ko asar daal sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi ek important factor hai. Agar traders ka vishwas USD ke upar hai aur JPY ke khilaaf, toh USD/JPY pair ka exchange rate bhi barh sakta hai.



Ab, USD/JPY pair ke uopar jane ka hadaf 151.81 hai. Agar yeh level cross hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh sirf ek technical level hai aur market fundamentals ke against ho sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko market fundamentals aur technical analysis dono ka istemal karna chahiye. Is waqt, agar USD/JPY pair ki halat kaafi niche hai, toh traders ko sabr se kaam lena chahiye aur market ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders ko apne strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. To conclude, USD/JPY pair ka uopar jane ka hadaf tay karna aur usko cross karna, market ke mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai. Traders ko market ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye, taake woh market ke changing dynamics ke mutabiq amal kar sakein.

USD/JPY forex pair abhi tak kam level par trade ho raha hai, jo ke US dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf kamzor darshata hai. Lekin, market analysis ka kehna hai ke pair ka 151.81 tak pohnchna ka maqsad hai, aur yeh aj ho sakta hai ke yeh maqam hasil kar le. USD/JPY pair forex market mein sab se zyada active tarin currency pairs mein se ek hai, jo ke US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan taluqat ko darust karta hai. Exchange rate yeh darust karta hai ke ek US dollar kharidnay ke liye kitnay Japanese yen ki zarurat hai. Traders aur investors is pair ko mukhtalif wajohat ki wajah se qareeb se dekhtay hain, jese ke global trade, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events.

Kai wajohat USD/JPY pair ka harkat par asar daalti hain. Ek ahem wajah US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq hai. Jab Federal Reserve interest rates ko barhata hai, to US dollar aam tor par mazboot hota hai, jo ke USD/JPY ki qeemat mein izafa kar deta hai. Mutasir taur par, jab Bank of Japan monetary policy measures, jese ke quantitative easing, ko amal mein laata hai, to Japanese yen kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke exchange rate ko izafa kar deta hai. Ek aur wajah jo USD/JPY par asar daalti hai, wo dono mulko se economic data releases hain. Ahem indicators jese ke GDP growth, rozgar ki shumar, inflation rates, aur manufacturing data market ke jazbat par asar daal saktay hain aur currency ki harkat ko drive kar saktay hain. Misal ke tor par, United States se strong economic data agar aata hai, to US dollar mein bharosa barh sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein izafa kar deta hai.

Geopolitical events aur market jazbat bhi USD/JPY pair ka raasta tay karne mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain. Trade tensions, siyasi mustaqilta, aur global risk appetite jese factors investor confidence ko mutasir kar saktay hain aur currency ke daam mein tabdeeli laa saktay hain. Ghair yaqeeni douron mein, investors safe-haven assets jese ke Japanese yen ki talash mein aksar lag saktay hain, jo USD/JPY ko girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi ek aala hai jo traders istemal karte hain future price movements ko estimate karne ke liye. Chart patterns, trend lines, aur key support aur resistance levels future price targets ke baray mein insight dete hain. Mentioned target 151.81 ke liye USD/JPY ka ek ahem resistance level hai jo traders nazar andaz kar rahe hain. Agar pair is maqam ko kamyabi se paar kar leta hai, to yeh aur upar ki janib momentum signal kar sakta hai.




Ahem baat hai ke forex trading mein asli khatray hote hain, aur future price movements ke bare mein prediction speculation ki hai. Traders ko mukammal analysis karna chahiye, risk ko mohtaaj tor par manage karna chahiye, aur market ke tajurbaat ke baare mein maloomat hasil karte rehna chahiye taake informed trading decisions liya ja sakein. Ikhtitami tor par, jabke USD/JPY abhi tak kam level par trade ho raha hai, market analysis ka kehna hai ke aik potential upward movement hai jiska maqsad 151.81 hai. Lekin, traders ko mukhtalif factors ko ghor se samajhna chahiye, jese ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis, jab wo currency pair ke liye outlook ka jaiza lagate hain.

Aaj ke trading mein jodi ke liye ek uroojati trend, jab ke keemat haftawar ka pivot level 151.46 ko sahara dene par trading shuru hui. Kal ke liye keemat ka trend bearish tha, is liye laal channel bearish raasta rakhta hai, lekin neela channel bullish hai, aur ye do trading dinon ke dauran keemat ka andolan darust karta hai.
Is tarah, humein ek uroojati lehar aur phir ek taaluk wali tezi ka sudhaar mila, aur keemat ka andaz aaj ke trend dega.
Keemat ne ab tak neele channel ki neeche ki rekha ko sahara diya hai, aur laal channel ko upar tor diya gaya hai, is liye keemat ab ek uroojati trend mein hai.
Keemat mutawaqqa hai ke 151.89 ke muqablay ki sahayak darja ko hasil karegi aur isay uroojati bunyadi taur par torne ki koshish karegi aur is ke upar stable ho jayegi kal tak ziada upside dene ke liye.
Mehnat ki rafa-darar janib, federal reserve ki taraf se amrika ke muddat se qabal asha hoti hai k dilchaspi uske darmiyan mein, is haftay ke trading ke ibtida mein, baad mein mazeed amrikai musbat daleelat ke isharon ke baad, bar bar dabi gayi.
Mali calendar ki data ke natayej ke mutabiq, US ISM manufacturing purchasing managers index march mein tajwez se zyada barha, pehli martaba september 2022 ke ilawa tanzimati ilaake ke liye 50 darja se oopar uth kar aaya. Is ke ilawa, prices paid ke liye taufeeq bhi barhi, aik naya ishara keh inflation ki dabao ab tak bilkul khatam nahi hui. Mazboot PMI parhne wala PMI data US core personal consumption expenditures parhne aur Fed Chairman Powell ke kuch sarasari kuchh hawki taqreeron ke baad aata hai. Jab ke CPI aur PCE data aik izafaat ka iqtidar dikhata hai keh inflation bhar mein ek dum girne ka rasta hai, halankay ke US Federal Reserve ki ihtiyat on price expectations ki tasdeek kar raha hai.

اپریل 3 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ دن کے دوران، ین کے ساتھ کچھ نیا نہیں ہوا (روزانہ چارٹ پر)؛ قیمت 151.95 کی ہدف کی سطح سے نیچے اور عالمی بلیو پرائس چینل کی ایمبیڈڈ لائن سے نیچے کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی سرحد کے اوپر منڈلاتا رہتا ہے۔



١٥١.٩٥ کی مضبوط سطح سے اوپر کا وقفہ امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کو 154.25 کی طرف اچھا دھکا دے گا، جبکہ 150.80 سے نیچے جانے کا مطلب ہے کہ اگلا ہدف 149.72 ہو گا۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس سطح کے قریب آ رہی ہے، جس سے اس سپورٹ کی اہمیت بڑھ جاتی ہے، اور یہ 145.90 تک درمیانی مدت کے زوال کی ابتدائی لائن بن سکتی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے نیچے ایک طویل عرصے سے مستحکم ہو رہی ہے (14 مارچ سے)۔ اس سے نیچے کے رجحان کی طرف کام کرنے کا امکان بڑھ جاتا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اب بھی مثبت علاقے میں ہے، اور اگر قیمت کل کی بلندی سے زیادہ نہیں ہوتی ہے، یعنی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے رہتی ہے تو یہ مندی والے علاقے میں جانے کے قابل ہو جائے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Ichimoku indicator, jo tajarat karne wale ke liye market ke trends aur qeemat ki mumkin tahriron ko samajhne ka aik ahem zariya hai, yeh waqtan-fa-waqtan aik mukammal tahlil ke tor par koi aarzi signals ki kami ka izhar karta hai, jo market mein bullish jazbat ko numayish karta hai. Qareebi jaeza karne par wazeh ho jata hai ke mumkinat ke mutabiq moom ki jagah mein aik ahem tabdeeli aai hai. Pehle to candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen rekhaon ke neeche mojood thi, jo aik zawaalati trend ka ishara hota hai, lekin ab yeh rekhaon ke ooper chadh chuki hai. Yeh ooper ki taraf rawangi market ke dynamics mein tabdeeli ka saboot hai, jahan bullish momentum ke imkanat barh rahi hain. Qeemat ka chand cheez ka zikar karne wala hai ke jab candle ka chand muddat ke liye 150.28 ke qeemat tak gir gaya tha, to yeh zawaalati rawangi thi. Baad mein, market ne dobara tezi ikhtiyar ki, jo mojooda bullish jazbat ko mazeed mazboot kar rahi hai.

Jab hum mojooda market shirayat ka jaiza lete hain, to tawajjuh doosri crossover wakia ki tawaqqo par mabni hai. Halankeh candle nedouni barah-e-rast ke ahem darusti darusti ooper chad gaya hai, lekin abhi tak supply ilaqa ko mukammal tor par gheir nahi gaya hai. Yeh tajziyah darusti mojooda market ke dynamics ko nazdeek se nazar andaz karna ki ahmiyat ko aur barhata hai, kyunkeh supply ilaqa mein kamiyabi se guzar jana mazeed ooper rawangi ka ishara ho sakta hai




Mukhtasir tor par, Ichimoku indicator market ke trends mein ahem wazahat faraham karta hai, jo tajarat karne wale ko munazam faislon par le jane ki taqat deta hai. Jab hum market ke tabdeel hote hue dynamics ko muntaqil karte hain, to zawaalati signals ki kami, sath hi candle ke darusti ahem support darajon ke ooper hone ka izhar, ek bullish nazar ka ishara karte hain. Magar aane wali crossover aur supply ilaqa ko torne ki zaroorat par tawajjuh, market ke paicheedgiyon ko samajhne ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai, jo mali market ke pichidon mein chalne ki takniqiyat mein chaukanna rehne ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai

Ghantay ke chart par, USD/JPY pair ab ek ascending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Kal, yeh is channel ke ooperi had tak pahunch gaya tha, jo 151.76 par thi, jis ne aik ulat palat ka agaz kiya aur ek neeche ki taraf liye ja raha hai. Jabke channel ka neeche ka had ek mumkinah maqsood ho sakta tha is giravat ke liye, lekin pair ne is se pehle hi is level tak pahunchte hue rukh badla aur dobara ooper ki taraf chalne laga.
Mujhe umeed hai ke pair apna ooper ka rukh jari rakhega, jis se ke woh mukhtalif charahon tak pahunch sakta hai, taqreeban 151.86 ke aas paas. Is level par, ooper ki taraf raftar mein rukawat ho sakti hai, jis se ke aik mumkinah ulat palat ke ishaare ho sakte hain. Aise halaat mein, pair dobara neeche ki taraf chalne lag sakta hai, taqreeban 151.46 ke qareeb channel ke neeche ke had tak.

Traders ko channel ke ooperi had ke qareeb qeemat ke action ko tafseel se monitor karna chahiye, aise mumkinah ulat palat ke ishaaron ke liye, jese bearish candlestick patterns ya RSI jese oscillators par overbought conditions. Uperi had ke ooper pair ke break hone ki tasdeeq, short term mein mazeed bullish movement ki isharaat ki tajweez kar sakti hai. USD/JPY ne aaj dobara ek ooperi raftar ko dekha, jo 151.76 ke qareeb ascending channel ke border tak pahunch gaya. Magar, is level par pair ne aik ulat palat ka agaz kiya, jo ek neeche ki taraf liye ja raha hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair apni giravat ko mazeed barhaaye, jo ke ascending channel ke neeche ke had tak, taqreeban 151.35 ke aas paas ja sakta hai.

Is level tak pahunchne par, aik ulat palat ka agaz ho sakta hai, jis se ke qeemat dobara apni ooperi raftar mein jaari rakhe. Aise halaat mein, channel ke ooperi had, 151.85 ke qareeb, bullish raftar ke liye maqsood ho sakti hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair channel ke neeche gir jaye, jo ke giravat ke trend ka jari rehne ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Traders ko qeemat ke action aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko potential dakhla aur nikalne ke liye tafseel se monitor karna chahiye. Aik ulat palat ya jari rehne ka pattern ki tasdeeq trading faislon se pehle talash ki jaani chahiye.

Yeh Bank of Japan ka wazir-e-khazana ka khas intizam hai ke mulk ki currency ko mazboot karein. Unhon ne monitory policy ko mazid mazboot karna shuru kiya hai aur negative rates se bahar nikal gaye hain, lekin kisi wajah se USD/JPY buland ja raha hai. Shayad yahan koi mazid taqatwar hawalaat hain PrEP se bhi zyada. Jab yeh buland rawayya saaf ho jaye ga to phir maloom ho ga ke is bulandar ki bunyadi asas kya hai. Bila shuba, dollar ke baghair yeh mumkin nahi tha, yani ke dollar ko support karne wala koi global movement hai. Aur yeh naturally USD/JPY ke lehaz se uttarward hai. Is ke baray mein bohot saare mukhtalif version hain, aur forum par bhi kuch hain. Main chai ki pattiyon se nafrat karta hoon ke is bulandar ke peechay kya hai, lekin hamesha ki tarah, bas intezar karta hoon aur phir is phenomenon ki wajah zahir ho jaye gi, aur agar yeh dilchaspi ka hai to hum sab is ke bare mein maloomat hasil kar lein ge.


Haan, Bank of Japan ke Governor ka khaas zimmedari hai mulk ki currency ko mazboot karna. Unhone monitory policy ko aur mazboot kiya hai aur negative rates se bahar nikal gaye hain, lekin USD/JPY ka buland hona kuch aur wajah se ho raha hai. Shayad yahan kuch mazid taqatwar factors hain, shayad PrEP se bhi zyada. Jab yeh buland rawayya saaf ho jayega, tab pata chalega ke iska asal sabab kya hai. Bila shuba, dollar ke baghair yeh mumkin nahi tha, yani global movement hai jo dollar ko support kar rahi hai. Yeh naturally USD/JPY ke liye upward pressure create karta hai. Iske baare mein kai mukhtalif versions hain, aur forum par bhi kuch discussions hain. Main chai ki pattiyon se nafrat karta hoon ke is bulandar ke peeche kya hai, lekin hamesha ki tarah, bas intezar karta hoon aur phir is phenomenon ki wajah zahir ho jayegi, aur agar yeh dilchaspi ka hai to hum sab iske bare mein maloomat hasil kar lenge.

Lagta hai ke aap halqay mein haal ki market harkat ka tajziya kar rahe hain, khaaskar USD pairs jaise ke USD/JPY aur USD/CHF ke lehaz se. Chaliye aapke tajziyaat ko tafseel se dekhte hain:
Qabil Zikar Harkat: Aapne dekha hai ke American markets mein harkat hai, aur nazar andaz kiya hai ke peer ko kafi sakhtiyat thi magar JOLTS publication ke doran kal kam thi. Is ke bawajood, USD/CHF mein kuch harkat dekhi gayi, jabke USD/JPY khamosh raha. Currency pairs ke darmiyan harkat mein yeh farq ghalbatan naummeed kun tha.

Trend ka Jaiza: Aap izhar-e-aahang ka izhar karte hain ke muntazir trend, khaaskar 152.89 ke level ki taraf, jaise ke tasawwur kiya gaya tha, woh tasawwur ke mutabiq waqayi nahi hua. 151.94 ke par karne ke umeedon ke bawajood, yeh waqayi nahi hua, jo ke aapke ibtidaai tawaqo'at se alag hai.

Bechnay walon ke Strategy ka Asar: Aap ne note kiya hai ke bechnay walon ke aamal ne farokht karne walon (kharidaron) ke liye zameen haar li hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein upri harkat ko rok diya hai. Yeh tajziya un market shirkat daron ke strategies ka asar price harkat par numaind karta hai.

Bullish Trend ki Umeed: In challenges ke bawajood, aap ek bullish trend ki umeed rakh rahe hain, khaaskar chart par dekhi gayi umeed afroz harkat ke mawafiq. Aap mante hain ke bina maqool maeeshati khabron ke, bullish trend ka jari rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke ghor kiye jane wali sab se ahem option hai.

Nazar-e-Kaif: Aapka tajziya market ki dynamic tabiyat ko wazeh karta hai, jahan mukhtalif factors trends aur price harkat par asar dal sakte hain. Halhi mein hone wale tabdeelion ke bawajood, aap maamooli maeeshati asbaab ke mukhalif baghair, bullish trend ka jari rehne ka imkaan par ummed karte hain.

Kul mila kar, aapka jaiza haal ki market dynamics ka soch samajh kar aur USD/JPY pair ke mustaqbil ke mumkinatiya taqaziyon ke liye mazbooti se dekhte hain.

USD/JPY ka intraday bias neytral rehta hai jab tak ke wo 151.98 ke neechay range mein trading karta hai. Yeh ek mahatvapurna technical level hai jo traders ke liye aham hota hai. Yadi USD/JPY is level ke neeche trading karta hai, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ki market bearish sentiment mein hai aur aur further downside possible hai. Iske vipreet, agar USD/JPY is level ke upar rahe, to yeh bullish bias darshata hai aur aur further upside ki sambhavna hai. Intraday bias ka analysis karne ke liye, traders kai tarah ke technical indicators ka istemal karte hain. Jaise ki moving averages, oscillators, aur price action patterns. In indicators ki madad se, ve market trend aur momentum ko samajhte hain, aur uske anusaar trading decisions lete hain. Moving averages, jaise ki 50-period aur 200-period simple aur exponential moving averages, intraday bias ka analysis karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Agar shorter period ka moving average, jaise ki 50-period, longer period ke moving average, jaise ki 200-period, ko neeche se cross karta hai, to yeh ek bearish signal hai. Vipreet, agar shorter period ka moving average, longer period ke moving average ko oopar se cross karta hai, to yeh ek bullish signal hai. Oscillators, jaise ki Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastic Oscillator, bhi intraday bias ka analysis karne mein upyogi hote hain. Agar RSI 30 se neeche ya 70 se upar ja raha hai, to yeh overbought ya oversold conditions ko darshata hai, jo ki reversal ke indication ho sakte hain. Price action patterns, jaise ki support aur resistance levels, chart patterns (jaise ki head and shoulders, triangles, aur flags), aur candlestick patterns bhi intraday bias ke analysis mein mahatvapurna hai. Yadi price ek important support ya resistance level ko break karta hai, to yeh ek trend reversal ka sanket ho sakta hai. Overall, intraday bias ka analysis karna market ke current conditions aur price action ke adhar par hota hai. Traders ko technical indicators, price action patterns, aur market sentiment ka samarthan lena chahiye, taki wo sahi trading decisions le sakein aur profit kamayein.

USDJPY currency pair ke baray mein. Farokht karne walon se signs 151.604 ke level par trading ko tasdiq karte hain. Ab mere liye 150.948 ke level tak farokht ko jari rakhne ka faisla zyada waqai ho raha hai. Jab yeh level pohancha jaye ga, toh munafa haasil karne aur kharidari mein tabdeel hone ka irada hai. Agar 151.604 ke mojooda qeemat se barhne shuru ho jaye, toh mein bhi qeemat mein dor dor ki farokht (tajziyaat ke baad entry) ke ihtemam par sochon ga. Jab tak farokht karne walay 151.630 ke level ke neeche apni jagahain barqarar rakhte hain, toh farokht jari rakhne ka irada jaari rehta hai. Magar, agar 151.630 ke upar chale jaye, toh mein sitaution ka jaiza lenay ka irada hai ke kya yeh farokht karne walon ki kamzori ko darust karta hai ya phir kya kharidari ki taqat zahir ho rahi hai. 150.948 ke nishanay ke neeche guzrane waqt, yeh bhi tasawwur karne ki koshish hogi ke yeh ek impulse ka jari rehna hai ya phir yeh pehli bala hai.

Tajziya ke mutabiq, farokht karne walay mojooda waqti moqay ko 151.604 ke level par signal karte hain. Yeh darust karta hai ke market mein ek bearish junoon hai, jahan farokht karne walay pair ki keemat mein mumkin downward movement ka faida uthana chahte hain. Muaalijah ek short position mein dakhil hone ka irada karte hain, jo ke 150.948 ke ek nishanay ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh darust karta hai ke muaalijah yakeen rakhta hai ke pair ki keemat qareebi doran mein mazeed giray gi. Magar, muaalijah yeh bhi zikar karta hai ke badal jane ki mumkin scenarios ka imtezaar karna bhi hai, jaise ke keemat mein dor dor ki tezi ke baad farokht. Tajziya mein aik ahem manzar yeh hai ke 151.630 ke level, jo muaalijah ko aham had tak pehchanta hai. Jab tak farokht karne walay is level ke neeche qaboo rakhte hain, toh farokht jari rakhne ka tareeqa mumkin hai. Magar, 151.630 ke upar nikalna mouqa ho sakta hai ke lehaza se badal jaaye, jo kharidari ki taqat ko ishara karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, muaalijah ne nishanay ke 150.948 ke level ke neeche ke qeemat action ka nigrani karna ka ahemiyat ko buland kar diya hai. Agar qeemat is nishanay se neeche girte jaye, toh muaalijah yeh tasawwur karega ke yeh ek girte hue trend ka jari rehna hai ya phir ek mukhtalif tijarti raasta ko dikhata hai. Kul mila kar, tajziya ke zariye tajziya karne ka ahemiyat ko samajhne ke liye aham hai. Bazaar ke dynamics aur ahem levels ka dhyan se nigrani karte hue, traders mumkinah moqay ko pehchan sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banate hain.

Har maaliyati saamaan ka apna makhsoos rawayya hota hai, lekin aaj ke trading session mein USD/JPY mein tootne ka tajziya karne ke liye mukhtasir wajahat hain. Haalat-e-bazaar ke mutabiq 150.04 ke level ki taraf ek neechay ki harkat munasib lagti hai. Tasveeri tor par, naziriyat mein ek wazeh neechay ki rukh hai jo qareebi mustaqbil mein jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Magar, ehmiyat yeh hai ke mojooda trend bullish hai, jo farokht karne walon par kharidari dabao ka izhar karta hai. Rozana chart USD/JPY ke liye ek bullish momentum ka jari rehne ko ishaara karta hai, jismein ek naye range mein mazeed upar ki taraf ki movement ki sambhavna hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main tajaweez deta hoon ke harr kharoch par support level se kharidari ka tajziya karein, zaroori nahi ke bazaar ko 150.04 ke level ko paar karne ka intezaar karein. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur bazaar ke tabdeeli hote hue tajriyon ko mutabiq banayein.

Yaqeenan, sonay ki tajziya ke tajziya ki tarah, USD/JPY jodi ke maazi ke buland markaz ki dobara dekhi ja sakti hai. Haan agar yeh khayali dikhaye, to 156 aur 160 ke aas paas ke levels pehle saal se apni ahmiyat ko barqarar rakhte hain. Jodi ko farokht karne ka khayal aane par, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke aise amal keemat par upar ki dabao ko barhata hai.

Japan Bank ki istitvaat ka bar-bar charcha kiya jata hai, lekin maazi dikhata hai ke 148 aur 150 jaise levels ke aas paas ki istitvaat ne kisi numainda natija nahi diya. Interventions ne bank ke amal ke mukhalif shakhsiyaton dwara imraz ko apne andar sama leya, jo USD/JPY ke upar ki momentum ko mazeed barhata raha.

Agar keemat 152 ke level ko paar kar leti hai aur shorts shamil ho jate hain, to keemat ke oopar jam kar hone ki koi taajub nahi hoga, aur naye unchayiyon ki taraf jaane ki sambhavna hai. Neeche ki taraf ki harkat shuru karne ke liye, 151 mark ko paar karne aur support zone 150.20-90 tak wapis aane ki zarurat hogi, aur phir wahan se mazeed rad-e-amal ko nigrani karna faida mand hoga.

USD/JPY

Federal Reserve ki taraf se jald hi rait khatam karne ki umeedain dobara is haftay ke ibtida mein tooti jab United States se mazeed musbat data samne aya. Natija ye hua ke USD/JPY jodi ki keemat 151.80 resistance level ke qareeb mustaqil reh gayi, jo Japan ke market mein dhamakay ke mazeed girne se rokne ke afwahon ke qareeb hai.

Maeeshat ki calendar data ye dikhate hain ke U.S. ISM manufacturing purchasing managers' index March mein maazi se zyada barh gaya, pehli dafa September 2022 se oopar 50 nishan ke liye aur ek taraqqi ki shuwaat mein dakhil hua. Is ke ilawa, price paid sub-index bhi barh gaya. July 2022 se oopar pohnchna aik naya ishara hai ke maeeshat ko inflationary dabao poori tarah se kam nahi hua hai.

Baad mein, U.S. interest rate cut ki early June mein shak hota tha, aur 25-basis point rate cut ke imkaanat laghbhag 60% tak gir gayi. Aur bhi, investors ab FOMC ke sab se hali chart ke pichle do hafton mein qayam kardi gayi tajwez se kam interest rate cuts ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Ye data U.S. Treasury yields ko ooncha kar diya, jis se 10-year Treasury yield 13.5 basis points barh gayi. Barhtay yields ne dollar mein taza rally ko janam diya, jo currencies ka ek basket ke muqablay mein chaar aur aadha maheena ka qeemati izafa early Tuesday ko hasil kiya.

Sath hi, yen tight range ke andar rehta hai, dollar ke khilaf 151.70 ke qareeb, jahan traders Japanese authorities ki mumkin intevenion ka ehtimaam rakhte hain. Japan ke finance minister ne Tuesday ko dubara dawat di ke afraad "zyadati shaor ke saath niptne ke liye munasib intezamat uthayenge," jis se yen mein halki izafa hui.

Aaj ka USD/JPY tajwez:

Meri technical tajziya USD/JPY jodi ke development ki pehli qisam par tabdeeli nahi hui hai, kyunke overall trend upar ki taraf hai aur yeh waisa hi rahega jab tak Japan waqai market mein ghusat nahi karta, jis se currency mazeed girne lagti hai aur aakhir mein ek hafta ke andar US employment data mein naqisiat ka imkaan hota hai. Khas tor par jab ke upar ki raftar ne sari technical indicators ko shadeed overbought levels par pohancha diya hai, aur jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve ki siyasi aur maeeshati performance ke darmiyan farq ka jari rahna kuch arsa tak upar ki raftar ko support karega. Abhi ke liye, agle resistance levels 151.85, 152.30 aur 153.00 hain.

USD/JPY mein dekha gaya moseebat angaiz giravat mazeed pechida ho rahi hai, jo ke oil ke daam mein izafa hone ke qareebi khatray ki wajah se mazeed paichidgi mein mubtala hai. Geopolitical tensions aur energy markets ke darmiyan mazeed paicheedgi ka imtihan lete hue, agar kisi bhi muddat ya inteshar yafta oil ki tijarat mein kisi bhi rukawat ka samna ho, to USD/JPY jese currency pairs par gehra asar ho sakta hai. Jab ke oil ke daam doosri bar buland hone ke khatre ke qareeb rehte hain, to investors khud ko buland hosh o hawas mein paate hain, mahangai, ma'ashi nafahat, aur, seedha seedha, currency ki qeemat par mohtajikar amaal ka intezar karte hue. Duniya bhar ke ma'ashi idaron ka tana bana rang bharat mein, har USD/JPY pair ki har harkat ahmiyat rakhti hai. Ye sirf ek market jazbaat ka imtehaan nahi hai balkay investors ke ikhtilaafat ki numaindagi hai jab wo ek sili zaraiye ke tarah mazid kuch tehqiqat se guzar rahe hain. Aaj ke ma'ashi manzar mein mojud museebaton ke peechay, USD/JPY pair mein dekhi ja rahe tasalsul se neeche ki taraf ka rukh, ma'ashiyon mein halki ummeed aur asal darte hue sath ki surat mein mutasarif hai.
USD/JPY pair mein neeche ki taraf ki spiral moseebat angaiz silsila ka nishaan hai jo mazeed pesh raha hai, ek pechidgi se mukhtalif manazir ke darmiyan. Ye rukh tabadla bazi karne wale energy markets ke fitrat dar aur mukhtalif muddat ke taloo aur gharayi se mukhtalif nuksanaat ka muzahira kar ke mazeed mukhtalif hota hai. Ye mukhtalifat sirf aik dusre se alag nahi hain balke ye moseebat angaiz halat ka izhar hai jo geopolitcal tensions aur energy markets ke darmiyan gheire raazi wujooh hain. Is matarub fitrat mein USD/JPY pair aik aham metric ke tor par samne aata hai, jo market jazbaat ke hawaale se nahi balkay ek tezi se tabdeel ho rahe ma'ashi manzar ke mukhtalif pehlo se lae jate hue investors ki jama'at ke jawab ko numainda karta hai.

Haal hi mein oil ke daam mein izafa ek taqatwar yaad dilaata hai duniya bhar ke marketon ke muttasir hone ki saari ramifications, jo energy maalumat ke mamlay mein se bahar tak phailte hain. Jab investors is naye tajurbe ke asar ka samna karte hain, to iska asar mahangai dynamics, ma'ashi nafahat ke rukh aur, seedha seedha, currency ki qeemat par rehta hai. Beshak, USD/JPY pair, apni fitrat ke sath aam geopolitical aur ma'ashi variables ke asar ke liye sensitive hone ke sath, market ke taqatwar naach ka aik suboot hai

Is barhate hue paicheedgi ke mahol mein, jo USD/JPY pair ne dikhaya hai, wo mazeed mehsoos hone wale halki umeed aur mahsus darte hue surat ka ek izhar hai. Ye ek aina hai ke investors kis tarah se mazeed fitrat se jhalkiyon ko samajhte hain jo global ma'ashi manzar se aate hain. Is peshgoi ke samne, USD/JPY pair mein har harkat ka maqsad-e-ta'ameer hafiz nahi kya ja sakta, jab ke ye market jazbaat ka ek darjaar hai aur agle manzar ke izhaar ka aik basharat hai

Guzishta waqt, USD/JPY jodi barhti hui channel ke andar ka trading kar rahi hai. Kal, yeh is channel ke upper border tak pohanchi jiska level 151.76 tha, jis ne ek mukhalif rukh ko shuru kiya aur ek neechay ki harkat ko shuru kiya. Jabke is girawat ke liye channel ka neechay ka border maqami hadaf ho sakta tha, jodi ne is level tak pohanchne se pehle rukh badal diya aur dobara upar ki taraf raftar pakad li.

Main mutawaqqi hoon ke jodi apni upar ki raftar jari rakhegi, jo ke mumkin hai ke 151.86 ke qareeb ascending channel ke upper border tak pohanch sake. Is level par, upar ki raftar mein thamna ho sakta hai, jo ke keemat ke rukh badalne ki mumkin sambhavna ko dikhata hai. Is surat mein, jodi dobara neeche ki taraf raftar pakar sakti hai, taqreeban 151.46 ke qareeb ascending channel ke neechay ke border tak.

Traders ko channel ke upper border ke qareeb keemat ki tafseel se nigrani rakhni chahiye ta ke rukh badalne ke potential nishanat ko dekha ja sake, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns ya RSI jaise oscillators par overbought shara'ait. Agar jodi channel ke upper border ko paar kar de, to yeh further bullish movement ki soorat mein mazeed izharat ka saboot de ga.

USD/JPY ne aaj dobara ek upar ki taraf raftar dikhaya, jo ke 151.76 ke qareeb ascending channel ke upper border tak pohanchi. Magar, is level par jodi ne ek mukhalif rukh shuru kiya, neeche ki taraf raftar shuru kar di. Yeh mumkin hai ke jodi apni girawat ko mazeed barha sake, taqreeban 151.35 ke qareeb ascending channel ke neechay ke border tak.

Is level ko pohanchte hi, ek rukh badal sakta hai, jo ke keemat ko dobara upar ki taraf raftar shuru karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, channel ka upper border 151.85 ke qareeb bullish raftar ka ek hadaf ban sakta hai. Magar, ek mumkinat bhi hai ke jodi channel ke neechay se guzar jaye, jo ke girawat ki trend ko jari rakhta hai.

Traders ko keemat ki tafseel se nigrani aur mukhya support aur resistance levels ko potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ke liye nigrani rakhni chahiye. Rukh badal ya jari raftar ke saboot ki tasdeeq ke liye tafteesh ki jani chahiye pehle se faisle karne se pehle.

Japanese yen ki hal hilat mein kamyaabi mukhtasir muddat tak thi jab is ne budh ke din naye farokht dabao ka samna kiya. Raat bhar ki behtarion ke bawajood, yen do hafton ke trading range mein phans gayi thi jab European markets khulne se pehle. Bank of Japan ka loose monetary policy par waqif rehne ka iqrar yen ki kamzori ka ek ahem asal dharak hai. Ye dovish stance yeh darust karta hai ke muddat ke liye interest rates kam rehenge, jisse yen ek kam qabil e sarfeen investment banti hai muqablay mein currencies ke saath jo ke buland rates par hain. Magar, Japanese authorities ke currency ko support karne ke liye ghair mamooli yen short sellers ko door rakhta hai.

Technically, pichle do hafton ke qeemat ke harkat ko ek mazboot taqseem ke doran dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh March ke neechay dekhi gayi mukamal doran ke baad aata hai. Daily chart indicators bhi is bullish nazariye ko taqreeban kar dete hain. Woh musbat hain aur abhi tak overbought territory tak nahi pohanch gaye hain, jisse dikhayi deta hai ke USD/JPY jodi mein mazeed izafa ka mawaqif hai. Magar, ek bar qayam raftar ke liye, bullish ko ab tak trading range ke resistance ko paar karne ki zaroorat hai, jo ke 152.00 ke qareeb hai. Agar investors ko mazeed qadr ki raftar ke liye bandwagon par chadhne ke liye razi karne ke liye ek bar tak multi-decade highs ko paar karna pare toh beshak, ek faisla faraham ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Muttasir girne se bachne ke liye, trading range ka neechay ka border, jo ke 151.10-151.00 ke qareeb hai, ek buffer zone ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar keemat is elaqe ke neechay girti hai aur farokht dabaon ne jodi ko former resistance-turned-support par 150.85-150.80 ke qareeb se paar kar diya, to agla mohtam support level 150.25 ke qareeb hota hai. Is level ke paar kiya jana, saath hi 150.00 ki nafsiyati rukawat ke saath, USD/JPY jodi ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Yeh surat hal USD/JPY jodi ko ek durust karne wale girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 149.35-149.30 zone ki taraf taizi se agay barh kar 149.00 mark ko hasool karne ke liye raftaar pakar sakta hai.