جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

نومبر 5 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کے آغاز پر برطانوی پاؤنڈ کی اوپر کی رفتار 1.2994 کے قریب ترین ہدف کی سطح پر پہنچ گئی ہے۔ اب، قیمت پیچھے ہٹ رہی ہے، جس کا مقصد فرق کو ختم کرنا ہے۔ 1.2859 پر سپورٹ خریداروں کے لیے محفوظ دکھائی دیتی ہے- جب تک یہ برقرار ہے، ان کے پاس قیمت کو 1.3080 کی طرف بڑھانے کا موقع مل سکتا ہے۔



یہاں تک کہ امریکی انتخابات کے علاوہ، پاؤنڈ تکنیکی طور پر اس فرق کو بند کرنے سے پہلے 1.3080 تک بڑھنے کا امکان ہے۔ اس کی وجہ یہ ہے کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر کے قریب ہے، اور جیسا کہ یہ کرتا ہے، قیمت 1.2994 سے ٹوٹ کر 1.3080 تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، مارلن زیرو لائن سے اوپر جا رہا ہے، ممکنہ ترقی کا اشارہ دے رہا ہے۔ اگرچہ اس الٹ پھیر کی ابھی تک تصدیق نہیں ہوئی ہے، لیکن قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر ترقی کر رہی ہے، جس سے 1.2994 کو توڑنے کا امکان نمایاں ہو رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.2927) سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2859 پر قریب ترین سپورٹ لیول کو ظاہر کر دے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair ka 4-hour time frame par downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan yeh price trend line ko tor chuki hai aur ek minor support level par pohanch gayi hai. Agar yeh support level hold nahi karta, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo next support level tak ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2650 resistance level ke upar break karke close hoti hai, to ek trend reversal aur bullish trend ka imkaan ban sakta hai.Abhi pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko test kiya hai. Agar price 100-day SMA ke upar qaim rehti hai, to ek uptrend shuru ho sakta hai, lekin breached trend line ke aas paas resistance ka samna hoga. Lekin agar yeh resistance torne mein kamyab nahi hoti aur support level tor diya jata hai, to extended bearish continuation ka indication mil sakta hai.Aane wale European session mein agar price girti hai to yeh triangle base ke lower boundary 1.2745 ke kareeb pohanch sakti hai, jo long position ka moka faraham kar sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to bearish trend mazeed tezi se age barh sakta hai. Direction ka tayeun largely support aur resistance levels ke interaction par munhasir hai.Kal, GBP/USD ne 1.2986 level ko test kiya tha, lekin MACD indicator ke zero se upward movement ne pair ke upward potential ko limit kar diya, jis ke baad doosri dafa test par MACD overbought territory mein tha is ne selling ka moka faraham kiya aur pair mein 40 pips ki girawat hui. Aaj, U.S. presidential election aur UK ke services sector aur composite PMI data GBP/USD par asar dal sakte hain. Agar PMI positive revise hota hai to pound recover ho sakta hai; warna pair horizontal channel mein chala ja sakta hai. Intraday trading ke liye main scenario 1 (support par buying) aur scenario #2 (resistance ke qareeb selling) ko implement karne par focus karunga, in interactions par depend karte hue.

Is chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka overall trend neeche ki taraf hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko represent karta hai. Yeh H4 (4 ghante ka) timeframe ka chart hai jisme recent price movement ne thodi si bullish correction ki hai. Yeh correction hamesha har bearish trend mein dekhne ko milti hai lekin yahan pe yeh 1.2980 ke aas-paas resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan se price ko wapas neeche girne ka khatra hai agar bullish momentum sustain na ho paye. Chart par Moving Average (MA) lines bhi dikhayi de rahi hain jo ke trend direction ko mazid confirm karti hain. Yeh lines clearly neeche ki taraf hain, jo ke yeh darsha rahi hain ke abhi tak market ka trend downwards hai. Iske ilawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka level 54.99 par hai, jo ke neutral zone mein consider kiya jata hai. Lekin agar yeh level neeche jata hai, toh yeh overbought situation se exit kar ke sell signal de sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ki taraf ishara karega.
Agar price is waqt ke resistance level 1.2980 ko cross nahi kar pati aur neeche breakout karti hai, toh hume agle support level tak girawat ki umeed hai jo ke 1.2850 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level wahan hai jahan se price kuch waqt ke liye ruk sakti hai ya phir buyers dobara market mein entry le sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh support bhi toot jata hai, toh GBP/USD ka downward journey mazid barh sakta hai aur naye lows test ho sakte hain. Un logon ke liye jo short positions lena chahte hain, yeh ek munasib opportunity ho sakti hai lekin pehle confirmation ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Yeh confirmation support level ka break ya resistance level se rejection ke tor par ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke risk management par focus rakha jaye aur apne trades mein stop-loss levels set kiye jayein taake kisi bhi unexpected price movement se nuksan se bacha ja sake.
GBP/USD ka yeh chart ek bearish sentiment ko darsha raha hai jisme short-term bullish correction ka element hai lekin overall trend abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Proper confirmation ke saath is trend ko trade karna zaheen aur faidemand sabit ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai.

GBP/USD

ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai

Pound Sterling (GBP) mein Wednesday ki subah kuch pullback dekha gaya, jismein usne apni recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho diya. Pehlay GBP/USD pair ne ek ahm resistance level 1.3041 ke upar rise kiya tha, magar uske baad se is par dubara pressure aaya jab US Dollar apne recent lows se rebound hua. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi dekhne ko mili jo ke US Dollar ka performance track karti hai dusri badi currencies ke muqable mein, khaaskar jab isne 103.00 ke qareebi support level par thoda stability paya. Week ke aghaz mein US inflation data ke release hone ke baad US Dollar thoda kamzor huwa tha, jo ke August mein price pressures mein slow down dikhata hai. Magar yeh decline zyada dair nahi raha aur market ka rujhaan dobara USD ki taraf shift ho gaya. United States mein inflationary pressures mein kami ke bawajood, ye ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Federal Reserve apni policy decisions mein near-term mein kisi bara taddi karay ga. Jab ke US inflation rate thanda ho raha hai, lekin ye Federal Reserve ko November mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut lene par majboor nahi kare ga. Central bank pehle se ye indication de chuki hai ke inflation waqti taur par 2% target par wapas aayi gi, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke price growth mein yeh slow down kisi khas khatra ka sabab nahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market se aanay wale risks ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar aise imbalances jo ke economic recovery ko nuqsan pohancha sakte hain.
GBP/USD ke fundamentals:**
Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut implement kiya, jo ke federal funds rate ko 4.75% se 5.00% tak laya. Yeh step policy-easing cycle ka aaghaz tha jo ke labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye liya gaya tha. Job growth aur wage inflation mein sluggishness ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne ye signal diya ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori qadam uthaye ga aur yeh ensure kare ga ke broader economy apne track par rahe. Recent inflation data ke bawajood koi aggressive cut ki zaroorat nahi hai, jo ke Fed ko apni monetary policy decisions mein ek balanced approach rakhne mein madad de raha hai.
Federal Reserve ki aggressive stance ke muqable mein, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate adjustments mein ek mehsoos ki gayi approach ko follow kar raha hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Kent Messenger newspaper ke sath baat karte hue kaha ke interest rates ka raasta “gradually downwards” hoga. Yeh baat BoE ke us confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko waqt ke saath apne 2% target par laane mein kamiyab ho ga. Magar Bailey ne yeh bhi caution kiya ke central bank dobara un historically low interest rates par nahi aaye ga jo ke pandemic ke doran dekha gaya tha. Iske bajaye, Bailey ne ek gradual aur sustainable monetary policy approach par zor diya, jo ke long-term mein GBP ke liye zyada stability ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) mein Wednesday ki subah kuch pullback dekha gaya, jismein usne apni recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho diya. Pehlay GBP/USD pair ne ek ahm resistance level 1.3041 ke upar rise kiya tha, magar uske baad se is par dubara pressure aaya jab US Dollar apne recent lows se rebound hua. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi dekhne ko mili jo ke US Dollar ka performance track karti hai dusri badi currencies ke muqable mein, khaaskar jab isne 103.00 ke qareebi support level par thoda stability paya. Week ke aghaz mein US inflation data ke release hone ke baad US Dollar thoda kamzor huwa tha, jo ke August mein price pressures mein slow down dikhata hai. Magar yeh decline zyada dair nahi raha aur market ka rujhaan dobara USD ki taraf shift ho gaya. United States mein inflationary pressures mein kami ke bawajood, ye ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Federal Reserve apni policy decisions mein near-term mein kisi bara taddi karay ga. Jab ke US inflation rate thanda ho raha hai, lekin ye Federal Reserve ko November mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut lene par majboor nahi kare ga. Central bank pehle se ye indication de chuki hai ke inflation waqti taur par 2% target par wapas aayi gi, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke price growth mein yeh slow down kisi khas khatra ka sabab nahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market se aanay wale risks ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar aise imbalances jo ke economic recovery ko nuqsan pohancha sakte hain.
GBP/USD ke fundamentals:**
Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut implement kiya, jo ke federal funds rate ko 4.75% se 5.00% tak laya. Yeh step policy-easing cycle ka aaghaz tha jo ke labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye liya gaya tha. Job growth aur wage inflation mein sluggishness ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne ye signal diya ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori qadam uthaye ga aur yeh ensure kare ga ke broader economy apne track par rahe. Recent inflation data ke bawajood koi aggressive cut ki zaroorat nahi hai, jo ke Fed ko apni monetary policy decisions mein ek balanced approach rakhne mein madad de raha hai.
Federal Reserve ki aggressive stance ke muqable mein, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate adjustments mein ek mehsoos ki gayi approach ko follow kar raha hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Kent Messenger newspaper ke sath baat karte hue kaha ke interest rates ka raasta “gradually downwards” hoga. Yeh baat BoE ke us confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko waqt ke saath apne 2% target par laane mein kamiyab ho ga. Magar Bailey ne yeh bhi caution kiya ke central bank dobara un historically low interest rates par nahi aaye ga jo ke pandemic ke doran dekha gaya tha. Iske bajaye, Bailey ne ek gradual aur sustainable monetary policy approach par zor diya, jo ke long-term mein GBP ke liye zyada stability ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Wednesday subah ko kuch giraawat dekhi, aur apne recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke against kho diya. Shuruat mein, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3041 ke significant resistance level ko cross kiya, lekin phir USD ke rebound hone par, jo apne recent lows se uth gaya, GBP/USD ko phir pressure ka samna karna pada. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi nazar aayi, jo Greenback ki performance ko major currencies ke against track karta hai, khaas tor par jab Dollar ko 103.00 ke aas-paas support mila. Is se pehle, Dollar week ke shuruat mein US inflation data ke baad weak hua tha, jo August ke liye release kiya gaya tha aur jisme price pressures mein aur slowdown dikhayi gayi thi. Lekin yeh decline zyada der tak nahi chali aur market sentiment dobara USD ke haq mein ho gaya.

US mein inflation ki pressures ka thoda kam hona, market ki expectations ko Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ke hawale se zyada affect nahi karega. Halanke US ki inflation rate dheemi ho gayi hai, lekin yeh expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Fed November mein interest rates ko aggressively 50 basis points tak cut karega. Federal Reserve ne pehle hi yeh signal diya hai ke inflation eventually apne 2% target par wapas aa jayegi, aur yeh slowdown price growth kaafi serious concern nahi hai. Iske alawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market ke risks ko bhi closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaas tor par un potential imbalances ko jo economic recovery ko hamper kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD Ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jisse federal funds rate 4.75% se 5.00% ke range mein chala gaya. Yeh move policy-easing cycle ka shuruat thi, jo labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye tha. Job growth aur wage inflation ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne yeh indication diya hai ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori steps uthayega aur broader economy ko track par rakhega. Lekin recent inflation data yeh suggest nahi karta ke aggressive cuts ki zarurat hai, jisse Fed ko future monetary policy decisions mein balance maintain karne ka mauka milega.

Jab ke Federal Reserve ka stance thoda aggressive hai, Bank of England (BoE) ka approach thoda measured hai interest rate adjustments ke hawale se. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Kent Messenger newspaper ko bataya ke interest rates ka rasta "gradually downwards" hoga. Yeh statement BoE ke confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko apne 2% target par la sakta hai. Lekin Bailey ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank pandemic ke doran jo historically low interest rates dekhe gaye thay, unko wapis nahi laega. Iske bajaaye, wo gradual aur sustainable approach ko prefer karte hain, jo GBP ko long term mein stability de sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price Tuesday ke range ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur ab market participants ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release par hai, jo September ke liye hoga. Pair ko 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ab tak 1.3114 ke aas-paas hai, ke upar hold karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Yeh technical level currency pair ke short-term outlook ke liye critical hai, aur agar yeh level maintain nahi hota, toh aur neeche giraawat ka risk ho sakta hai. Investors CPI data ko closely dekh rahe hain, taake US inflation ki trajectory aur Federal Reserve ke future policy decisions ko samajh sakein.




Spot price recently critical 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche slip kar gaya, jo aur correction ka signal de raha hai. US employment data release hone ke baad, pair ne apni decline ko extend kiya aur briefly 1.3070 tak pahuncha. Lekin technical indicators, khaas tor par Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), bullish divergence show kar rahe hain, jo ek possible reversal ka hint de sakta hai. Halanke pair abhi bhi downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, yeh divergence suggest karta hai ke market rebound ke liye set ho sakta hai, jo upcoming economic data aur overall market sentiment par depend karega.

Technical Analysis GBP/USD

H-4 Chart
Current Price: 1.298. Yeh pair 50-day Moving Average (MA-50) ke paas trade kar raha hai, lekin iska trend mixed hai, jo 200-day Moving Average (MA-200) ke niche hai.

Chart Position: Jab MA50 upar hota hai, toh yeh short-term uptrend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar MA200 niche ho, toh yeh overall bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Yeh market mein unique situation ho sakti hai.

Support and Resistance Levels:
Main support level 1.290 ke aas-paas hai, jabke nearest resistance level 1.305 hai. In dono levels ke beech ka range future movements ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Indications:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) signal par nazar rakhein. Agar RSI 50 ke upar hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, lekin agar RSI 70 ke aas-paas ho, toh yeh overbought condition ko indicate karta hai, jo buying behavior ko signal karta hai.

Overall Outlook:
GBP/USD pair abhi mixed dynamics dikha raha hai, aur aage ke steps ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, khaas taur par key levels aur indicators ke hawale se. Market mein swing movement ho sakti hai, jaise 2016 mein hua tha jab pehle Clinton ki victory ki umeed thi, lekin baad mein Republican statistics ne calculation change kiya. Aaj kuch aisa hi ho sakta hai. Technically, 1.30 tak jana zaroori hai, lekin yeh aaj ka 11th attempt hai is level ko todne ka, dekhte hain kya hota hai. Lekin elections ke baad, risks bohot zyada hain, aur paisa lagane se pehle rukna zaroori hai.




Volatility and Caution:
Market mein strong volatility hai, isliye technical analysis ke price levels ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Resistance levels 1.2856 aur 1.3137 par hain. Isliye market ko closely monitor karte hue positions ko carefully manage karna chahiye. Shayad market mein koi major storm aa sakti hai, isliye careful rehna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Takniki nuqtah nazar se, darmiyani muddat ka rujhan mandi wala bana hua hai. Kal, pound/dollar ki jodi ne rally ki aur 1.3042 par mahana pivot point ka test kiya, is se pahle keh woh niche ki taraf palat jaye aur bhari nuqsan uthaye. Agar qimat 1.2842 ki pichli nichli satah se niche girti hai to, 1.2730 ki satah ko jodi ke mandi ke daud ke liye agle darmiyani muddat ke hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, mai rat bhar girawat se kam az kam 1.2935 - 1.2955 ke raqbe me wapsi dekhna chahunga.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Pound Sterling (GBP) Ki Analysis

Pound Sterling (GBP) mein Wednesday morning ko kuch pullback dekha gaya, jis mein us ne apne kuch recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf lose kiya. Pehle GBP/USD pair ne significant resistance level 1.3041 ke upar rise kiya, lekin phir se pressure ka samna kiya jab US Dollar apne recent lows se rebound kar gaya. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi reflect hua, jo ke Greenback ki performance ko track karta hai ek basket of major currencies ke khilaf, khaaskar jab us ne 103.00 mark ke qareeb support paaya. Dollar pehle week ke shuru mein weaken hua tha, US inflation data ke release ke baad jo ke August ke liye further slowdown in price pressures ko dikhata hai. Lekin yeh decline short-lived sabit hua kyunke market sentiment wapas USD ke favor mein shift ho gaya.

US mein easing inflationary pressures ke bawajood, yeh near-term mein Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke liye market expectations ko significantly alter karne ki umeed nahi hai. Jabke US inflation rate cool ho raha hai, lekin yeh Federal Reserve ko aggressive action lene ke liye majboor nahi karega, jese ke November mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut. Central bank ne pehle hi yeh signal diya hai ke inflation eventually 2% target pe wapas aa jayega, jo ke is waqt ki slowdown in price growth ko concern ka sabab nahi bana raha. Mazeed, Federal Reserve officials closely labor market ke risks ko monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar un imbalances pe focus ke sath jo ke economic recovery ko hamper kar sakte hain.

Fundamentals of the GBP/USD:

Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut implement kiya, jo ke federal funds rate ko 4.75% aur 5.00% ke range mein le aya. Yeh move policy-easing cycle ke shuru hone ko mark karta hai jo ke labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye kiya gaya hai. Sluggish job growth aur wage inflation ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne indicate kiya ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori steps lega aur ensure karega ke broader economy apne track pe rahe. Iske bawajood, recent inflation data aggressive cuts ki zaroorat ko suggest nahi karta, jo ke Fed ko apni future monetary policy decisions ke liye ek balanced approach maintain karne ka mauka de raha hai.

Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive stance ke contrast mein, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate adjustments ke liye ek measured approach le raha hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Kent Messenger newspaper ko kaha ke interest rates ka raasta “gradually downwards” hoga. Yeh statement BoE ke confidence ko echo karta hai ke wo waqt ke sath inflation ko wapas apne 2% target pe la sakta hai. Lekin Bailey ne caution kiya ke central bank pandemic ke doran dekhi gai historically low interest rates pe wapas nahi jayega. Iske bajaye, unhone ek gradual aur sustainable approach pe emphasis diya jo ke GBP ke liye long term mein zyada stability provide kar sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ab bhi Tuesday ki range mein trade ho raha hai, aur market participants ab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release par focus kar rahe hain jo September ke liye hai. Pair ke pressure mein rehne ki umeed hai kyunke ye apne 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar rehne ke liye struggle kar raha hai, jo ke filhal 1.3114 ke qareeb hai. Yeh technical level currency pair ke short-term outlook ke liye critical hai, aur is level ko maintain na karna Pound ke liye further downside risk ko signal kar sakta hai. Investors closely upcoming CPI data ko watch karenge US inflation ke trajectory ko gauge karne ke liye aur Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ke potential implications ke liye.

GBP/USD Hourly Time Frame Technical Analysis:

Current hourly chart mein kuch potential buy targets form ho gaye hain. Pehla target 161.8% Fibonacci level pe locate hai, jo ke 1.3039 pe pehle hi reach kiya ja chuka hai. Agla target 261.8% Fibonacci level pe hai, jo 1.3100 par hai. Teesra target 423.6% Fibonacci level pe hai, jo 1.3207 ke correspond karta hai. Yeh final target hai jise monitor kiya jana chahiye. Humein price action ko monitor karna hoga taake dekha ja sake ke market in levels ke qareeb kaisa react karta hai.

Pichle hafta GBP/USD mein slight decline dekha gaya, sirf ek sell signal generate hua jo ke kaamyaab nahi ho saka. Monday se Wednesday tak price range-bound rahi, aur koi clear direction nahi mila. Thursday ko price ne support level ko break kiya, lekin Friday ko yeh wapas us broken level pe return hui aur breakout ko confirm kiya. Ek sell signal support ke pehle 1.28377 pe appear hua, lekin yeh signal materialize nahi hua. Lekin Friday ko, resistance 1.29304 pe breach hua. Price phir is level par retrace ki aur wapas rebound hua, jo ke ek buy signal diya next resistance 1.30272 ke pehle. Yeh buy signal Monday ko play out hua, aur Tuesday tak price ne 1.30272 resistance ko break kiya. Ab ek naya buy signal emerge ho gaya hai jo ke agle key resistance 1.31130 ke pehle hai.

GBP/USD Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis:

Hello! Yeh clear hai ke GBP/USD ne aaj ek solid upward move dikhaya hai, aur price ab 1.30 level ke upar trade ho rahi hai. 1.30 target ko reach karna expected tha, aur ab jab ke hum ne usse surpass kar diya hai, ek naya support platform slightly higher form ho gaya hai. Yeh further upward pressure ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Kuch early signs hain ke recent downward trend break ho sakta hai, aur long-term bullish outlook abhi tak intact hai.

Lekin, ideal yeh hoga ke ek significant pullback dekha jaye pehle ke koi naye buying decisions liye jayein. US dollar khud weak ho raha hai, lekin mixed signals alag alag indices se picture ko complex bana rahe hain. Iske ilawa, kal ke election results volatility ko introduce kar sakte hain, jo ke yaad rakhna chahiye. Filhal, mein long bias par focus kar raha hoon. Agar price wapas 1.2950 area tak dip karti hai, toh mein yahan buying ko consider karunga, assuming ke market conditions align karte hain.

Pichle hafta GBP/USD mein slight decline dekha gaya, jisme sirf ek sell signal generate hua, jo ultimately successful nahi hua. Monday se Wednesday tak price ek range mein rahi. Thursday ko ek break below support dekha gaya, lekin Friday ko price us broken level pe wapas aayi aur breakout ko confirm kiya. Ek sell signal pehle support 1.28377 pe appear hua, lekin expected result nahi diya. Friday ko price ne resistance 1.29304 ko break kiya, phir wapas is level pe aayi aur rebound hui, jo ke ek buy opportunity thi next resistance 1.30272 ke pehle. Yeh buy signal Monday ko materialize hua, aur Tuesday tak price ne 1.30272 resistance ko breach kiya. Iss waqt ek buy signal hai jo ke next resistance 1.31130 ke pehle hai, jo ke important level hai jise watch karna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair ka daily trading chart hai jo forex traders ko price action aur trend analysis mein madad de sakta hai. Is chart mein kuch aham technical indicators dikhaye gaye hain, jismein ek blue rectangle bhi shamil hai jo resistance zone ko highlight karta hai. Yeh resistance zone woh area hai jahan pe price ke upar jaane ke chances kam ho jate hain, kyunke yeh wo point hai jahan pe sellers zyada active hain aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Is chart mein GBP/USD ne iss area ko kai martaba test kiya hai, lekin har martaba price wahan se neeche gir gayi hai. Chart pe yellow aur white lines ke through moving averages bhi dikhaye gaye hain. Yellow line shorter-term moving average hai jo recent price movement ko follow karti hai, jabke white line longer-term moving average ko dikhati hai jo door tak ke trend ko darshaati hai. In dono lines ka cross hona bhi kaafi significance rakhta hai, kyunke yeh trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yellow line white line ke upar ho, toh yeh bullish trend ka ishara hai, lekin agar woh neeche ho jaye, toh yeh bearish trend ko darshaata hai.

Neeche ki taraf Relative Strength Index (RSI) dikhaya gaya hai jo market ke momentum ko show karta hai. RSI ka level 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hota hai aur yeh oversold aur overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai. Jab RSI 30 se neeche ho, toh yeh market mein oversold condition ko dikhata hai, jo buying opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar RSI 70 se upar ho, toh yeh overbought condition ko darshaata hai jo selling ka signal deta hai. Is chart mein RSI lagbhag 38 par hai, jo market mein selling pressure ka ishara kar raha hai, lekin abhi yeh oversold nahi hai. In tamam indicators ko dekhte hue, traders GBP/USD pair mein trading opportunities aur future price movements ko samajh sakte hain aur apne trading decisions bana sakte hain.

نومبر 6 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آج کے تجارتی سیشن کے پہلے تین گھنٹوں میں، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے کل کے 86 پِپ کے اضافے کو پیچھے چھوڑ دیا ہے۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ قیمت کا مقصد پیر کے فرق کو ختم کرنا ہے، جس سے اسے امریکی صدارتی انتخابات کے نتائج سے پہلے مزید لچک ملے گی۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر سے نیچے ہو گیا، لیکن موجودہ تیز قیاس آرائی کے جذبات کو دیکھتے ہوئے، اوپر کی طرف پلٹنا آسانی سے ہو سکتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.2994 کی سطح سے اوپر جاتی ہے، تو اگلا ہدف 1.3080 پر قریب ترین مزاحمت ہو گا۔ اگر 1.3080 کو عبور کیا جائے تو قیمت 1.3141 کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ یہ حد نہیں ہوسکتی ہے، کیونکہ قیمت میں اضافہ درمیانے درجے کے تاجروں کے اسٹاپ آرڈرز پر بڑے کھلاڑیوں کے حملے کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے جنہوں نے اکتوبر کے دوران ڈالر خریدے۔ اگر قیمت 1.2859 سپورٹ سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے تو ہدف 1.2773 ہو جاتا ہے۔

چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2906 کی سطح کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، جو 23 اکتوبر کی کم ہے۔ یہ سطح خلا کو ختم کرنے کے لیے ضروری ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس کو روکنے کی کوشش کرتی ہے لیکن کم سے کم مزاحمت پیش کرتی ہے، جیسا کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر، جو بہت کم مدد فراہم کرتا ہے۔ دونوں طرف سے بڑے کھلاڑیوں کی چالیں، الیکشن سے متاثر ہو کر، ان رکاوٹوں کو آسانی سے دور کر سکتی ہیں۔ ہمیں مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair ka 4-hour time frame par downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan yeh price trend line ko tor chuki hai aur ek minor support level par pohanch gayi hai. Agar yeh support level hold nahi karta, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo next support level tak ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2650 resistance level ke upar break karke close hoti hai, to ek trend reversal aur bullish trend ka imkaan ban sakta hai.Abhi pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko test kiya hai. Agar price 100-day SMA ke upar qaim rehti hai, to ek uptrend shuru ho sakta hai, lekin breached trend line ke aas paas resistance ka samna hoga. Lekin agar yeh resistance torne mein kamyab nahi hoti aur support level tor diya jata hai, to extended bearish continuation ka indication mil sakta hai.Aane wale European session mein agar price girti hai to yeh triangle base ke lower boundary 1.2745 ke kareeb pohanch sakti hai, jo long position ka moka faraham kar sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to bearish trend mazeed tezi se age barh sakta hai. Direction ka tayeun largely support aur resistance levels ke interaction par munhasir hai.Kal, GBP/USD ne 1.2986 level ko test kiya tha, lekin MACD indicator ke zero se upward movement ne pair ke upward potential ko limit kar diya, jis ke baad doosri dafa test par MACD overbought territory mein tha is ne selling ka moka faraham kiya aur pair mein 40 pips ki girawat hui. Aaj, U.S. presidential election aur UK ke services sector aur composite PMI data GBP/USD par asar dal sakte hain. Agar PMI positive revise hota hai to pound recover ho sakta hai; warna pair horizontal channel mein chala ja sakta hai. Intraday trading ke liye main scenario 1 (support par buying) aur scenario #2 (resistance ke qareeb selling) ko implement karne par focus karunga, in interactions par depend karte hue.

GBP/USD pair mein recent price movement kaafi volatility aur significant selling pressure ko reflect kar raha hai. Yeh chart specifically is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke market mein bullish momentum ke baad ab bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai, jise hum neeche diye gaye analysis se samajh sakte hain.
Chart par 1.3048 ka level ek strong resistance point ke taur par nazar aa raha hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan se price ne multiple attempts ke baad breakout nahi kiya aur bearish reversal dikha raha hai. Is point par, price ne ek major pullback liya aur neeche ki taraf downward trend mein move kiya, jo ke selling momentum ka signal hai. Yeh selling pressure itna strong tha ke hum ne large bearish candle dekhi, jo clearly downside momentum ko show kar rahi hai.
Agar hum support levels par focus karein toh 1.2868 ka level as an important support zone identify ho raha hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan se price ne pehle bhi kuch stability show ki thi, aur yahan ek potential buying interest ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko breach karti hai toh hum aur bhi downside move dekh sakte hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke liye ek deeper bearish outlook ka indication hoga.
Is market scenario mein, agar koi trader short position lena chahta hai, toh yeh behtar hoga ke woh 1.3048 ke resistance level ke aas paas selling opportunity dekhe. Yeh entry point potential pullback area ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Wahan se price gir sakti hai aur target 1.2868 ke aas paas set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh cautious approach traders ko downside trend ke saath align rehne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.
Agar price 1.2868 ke support level se bounce karti hai toh temporary buying opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin is mein high risk rahega. Major trend abhi bhi bearish hai, aur short entries zyada reliable ho sakti hain jab tak ke price 1.3048 ka resistance level break nahi karti.
GBP/USD pair mein abhi selling pressure zyada hai aur yeh 1.2868 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai toh further downside moves expected hain, aur yeh short-term traders ke liye ek potential short entry setup ho sakta hai.