جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

نومبر 5 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کے آغاز پر برطانوی پاؤنڈ کی اوپر کی رفتار 1.2994 کے قریب ترین ہدف کی سطح پر پہنچ گئی ہے۔ اب، قیمت پیچھے ہٹ رہی ہے، جس کا مقصد فرق کو ختم کرنا ہے۔ 1.2859 پر سپورٹ خریداروں کے لیے محفوظ دکھائی دیتی ہے- جب تک یہ برقرار ہے، ان کے پاس قیمت کو 1.3080 کی طرف بڑھانے کا موقع مل سکتا ہے۔



یہاں تک کہ امریکی انتخابات کے علاوہ، پاؤنڈ تکنیکی طور پر اس فرق کو بند کرنے سے پہلے 1.3080 تک بڑھنے کا امکان ہے۔ اس کی وجہ یہ ہے کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر کے قریب ہے، اور جیسا کہ یہ کرتا ہے، قیمت 1.2994 سے ٹوٹ کر 1.3080 تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، مارلن زیرو لائن سے اوپر جا رہا ہے، ممکنہ ترقی کا اشارہ دے رہا ہے۔ اگرچہ اس الٹ پھیر کی ابھی تک تصدیق نہیں ہوئی ہے، لیکن قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر ترقی کر رہی ہے، جس سے 1.2994 کو توڑنے کا امکان نمایاں ہو رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.2927) سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2859 پر قریب ترین سپورٹ لیول کو ظاہر کر دے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair ka 4-hour time frame par downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan yeh price trend line ko tor chuki hai aur ek minor support level par pohanch gayi hai. Agar yeh support level hold nahi karta, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo next support level tak ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2650 resistance level ke upar break karke close hoti hai, to ek trend reversal aur bullish trend ka imkaan ban sakta hai.Abhi pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko test kiya hai. Agar price 100-day SMA ke upar qaim rehti hai, to ek uptrend shuru ho sakta hai, lekin breached trend line ke aas paas resistance ka samna hoga. Lekin agar yeh resistance torne mein kamyab nahi hoti aur support level tor diya jata hai, to extended bearish continuation ka indication mil sakta hai.Aane wale European session mein agar price girti hai to yeh triangle base ke lower boundary 1.2745 ke kareeb pohanch sakti hai, jo long position ka moka faraham kar sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to bearish trend mazeed tezi se age barh sakta hai. Direction ka tayeun largely support aur resistance levels ke interaction par munhasir hai.Kal, GBP/USD ne 1.2986 level ko test kiya tha, lekin MACD indicator ke zero se upward movement ne pair ke upward potential ko limit kar diya, jis ke baad doosri dafa test par MACD overbought territory mein tha is ne selling ka moka faraham kiya aur pair mein 40 pips ki girawat hui. Aaj, U.S. presidential election aur UK ke services sector aur composite PMI data GBP/USD par asar dal sakte hain. Agar PMI positive revise hota hai to pound recover ho sakta hai; warna pair horizontal channel mein chala ja sakta hai. Intraday trading ke liye main scenario 1 (support par buying) aur scenario #2 (resistance ke qareeb selling) ko implement karne par focus karunga, in interactions par depend karte hue.

Is chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka overall trend neeche ki taraf hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko represent karta hai. Yeh H4 (4 ghante ka) timeframe ka chart hai jisme recent price movement ne thodi si bullish correction ki hai. Yeh correction hamesha har bearish trend mein dekhne ko milti hai lekin yahan pe yeh 1.2980 ke aas-paas resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan se price ko wapas neeche girne ka khatra hai agar bullish momentum sustain na ho paye. Chart par Moving Average (MA) lines bhi dikhayi de rahi hain jo ke trend direction ko mazid confirm karti hain. Yeh lines clearly neeche ki taraf hain, jo ke yeh darsha rahi hain ke abhi tak market ka trend downwards hai. Iske ilawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka level 54.99 par hai, jo ke neutral zone mein consider kiya jata hai. Lekin agar yeh level neeche jata hai, toh yeh overbought situation se exit kar ke sell signal de sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ki taraf ishara karega.
Agar price is waqt ke resistance level 1.2980 ko cross nahi kar pati aur neeche breakout karti hai, toh hume agle support level tak girawat ki umeed hai jo ke 1.2850 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level wahan hai jahan se price kuch waqt ke liye ruk sakti hai ya phir buyers dobara market mein entry le sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh support bhi toot jata hai, toh GBP/USD ka downward journey mazid barh sakta hai aur naye lows test ho sakte hain. Un logon ke liye jo short positions lena chahte hain, yeh ek munasib opportunity ho sakti hai lekin pehle confirmation ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Yeh confirmation support level ka break ya resistance level se rejection ke tor par ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke risk management par focus rakha jaye aur apne trades mein stop-loss levels set kiye jayein taake kisi bhi unexpected price movement se nuksan se bacha ja sake.
GBP/USD ka yeh chart ek bearish sentiment ko darsha raha hai jisme short-term bullish correction ka element hai lekin overall trend abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Proper confirmation ke saath is trend ko trade karna zaheen aur faidemand sabit ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai.

GBP/USD

ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai

Pound Sterling (GBP) mein Wednesday ki subah kuch pullback dekha gaya, jismein usne apni recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho diya. Pehlay GBP/USD pair ne ek ahm resistance level 1.3041 ke upar rise kiya tha, magar uske baad se is par dubara pressure aaya jab US Dollar apne recent lows se rebound hua. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi dekhne ko mili jo ke US Dollar ka performance track karti hai dusri badi currencies ke muqable mein, khaaskar jab isne 103.00 ke qareebi support level par thoda stability paya. Week ke aghaz mein US inflation data ke release hone ke baad US Dollar thoda kamzor huwa tha, jo ke August mein price pressures mein slow down dikhata hai. Magar yeh decline zyada dair nahi raha aur market ka rujhaan dobara USD ki taraf shift ho gaya. United States mein inflationary pressures mein kami ke bawajood, ye ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Federal Reserve apni policy decisions mein near-term mein kisi bara taddi karay ga. Jab ke US inflation rate thanda ho raha hai, lekin ye Federal Reserve ko November mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut lene par majboor nahi kare ga. Central bank pehle se ye indication de chuki hai ke inflation waqti taur par 2% target par wapas aayi gi, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke price growth mein yeh slow down kisi khas khatra ka sabab nahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market se aanay wale risks ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar aise imbalances jo ke economic recovery ko nuqsan pohancha sakte hain.
GBP/USD ke fundamentals:**
Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut implement kiya, jo ke federal funds rate ko 4.75% se 5.00% tak laya. Yeh step policy-easing cycle ka aaghaz tha jo ke labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye liya gaya tha. Job growth aur wage inflation mein sluggishness ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne ye signal diya ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori qadam uthaye ga aur yeh ensure kare ga ke broader economy apne track par rahe. Recent inflation data ke bawajood koi aggressive cut ki zaroorat nahi hai, jo ke Fed ko apni monetary policy decisions mein ek balanced approach rakhne mein madad de raha hai.
Federal Reserve ki aggressive stance ke muqable mein, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate adjustments mein ek mehsoos ki gayi approach ko follow kar raha hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Kent Messenger newspaper ke sath baat karte hue kaha ke interest rates ka raasta “gradually downwards” hoga. Yeh baat BoE ke us confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko waqt ke saath apne 2% target par laane mein kamiyab ho ga. Magar Bailey ne yeh bhi caution kiya ke central bank dobara un historically low interest rates par nahi aaye ga jo ke pandemic ke doran dekha gaya tha. Iske bajaye, Bailey ne ek gradual aur sustainable monetary policy approach par zor diya, jo ke long-term mein GBP ke liye zyada stability ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) mein Wednesday ki subah kuch pullback dekha gaya, jismein usne apni recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho diya. Pehlay GBP/USD pair ne ek ahm resistance level 1.3041 ke upar rise kiya tha, magar uske baad se is par dubara pressure aaya jab US Dollar apne recent lows se rebound hua. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi dekhne ko mili jo ke US Dollar ka performance track karti hai dusri badi currencies ke muqable mein, khaaskar jab isne 103.00 ke qareebi support level par thoda stability paya. Week ke aghaz mein US inflation data ke release hone ke baad US Dollar thoda kamzor huwa tha, jo ke August mein price pressures mein slow down dikhata hai. Magar yeh decline zyada dair nahi raha aur market ka rujhaan dobara USD ki taraf shift ho gaya. United States mein inflationary pressures mein kami ke bawajood, ye ye expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Federal Reserve apni policy decisions mein near-term mein kisi bara taddi karay ga. Jab ke US inflation rate thanda ho raha hai, lekin ye Federal Reserve ko November mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut lene par majboor nahi kare ga. Central bank pehle se ye indication de chuki hai ke inflation waqti taur par 2% target par wapas aayi gi, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke price growth mein yeh slow down kisi khas khatra ka sabab nahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market se aanay wale risks ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar aise imbalances jo ke economic recovery ko nuqsan pohancha sakte hain.
GBP/USD ke fundamentals:**
Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut implement kiya, jo ke federal funds rate ko 4.75% se 5.00% tak laya. Yeh step policy-easing cycle ka aaghaz tha jo ke labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye liya gaya tha. Job growth aur wage inflation mein sluggishness ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne ye signal diya ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori qadam uthaye ga aur yeh ensure kare ga ke broader economy apne track par rahe. Recent inflation data ke bawajood koi aggressive cut ki zaroorat nahi hai, jo ke Fed ko apni monetary policy decisions mein ek balanced approach rakhne mein madad de raha hai.
Federal Reserve ki aggressive stance ke muqable mein, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate adjustments mein ek mehsoos ki gayi approach ko follow kar raha hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Kent Messenger newspaper ke sath baat karte hue kaha ke interest rates ka raasta “gradually downwards” hoga. Yeh baat BoE ke us confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko waqt ke saath apne 2% target par laane mein kamiyab ho ga. Magar Bailey ne yeh bhi caution kiya ke central bank dobara un historically low interest rates par nahi aaye ga jo ke pandemic ke doran dekha gaya tha. Iske bajaye, Bailey ne ek gradual aur sustainable monetary policy approach par zor diya, jo ke long-term mein GBP ke liye zyada stability ka sabab ban sakta hai.