جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD ke H1 chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke 22nd October se 25th October tak price mein kuch significant movements hui hain. Pehle hum moving averages (MA) ko dekhte hain jo market ke trend ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Chart par 200-period MA (yellow line) aur 50-period MA (white line) nazar aa rahi hain. Is waqt price dono MA ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Shuru mein price 50-period MA ke neeche thi, lekin recover karte hue is ke upar gayi. Phir 25th October ke baad dobara neeche gir gayi, jo sell pressure ko dikhata hai. Chart se kuch important resistance aur support levels bhi samajh mein aate hain. 1.29777 ek significant resistance level hai jahan price ne touch karne ke baad neeche move kiya, jo strong resistance ko indicate karta hai. Support ki baat karen toh 1.29400 ke level par price sustain kar rahi hai, lekin agar yeh break hota hai, toh market aur neeche gir sakti hai. Neeche RSI (Relative Strength Index) ki reading 38 ke qareeb hai, jo is waqt market ki kamzori ko dikhata hai aur yeh bata raha hai ke market oversold zone ke kareeb hai. Agar RSI 30 se neeche girta hai, toh selling pressure aur barh sakta hai. Is analysis ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD short-term mein bearish hai. Traders ko abhi support level 1.29400 ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, toh price aur neeche girne ke chances hain. Dousri taraf, agar price 1.29777 ke resistance ko cross kar leti hai, toh market mein bullish momentum aasakta hai. Aise waqt mein trading decisions lete waqt risk management zaroor implement karen, kyun ke market volatility kabhi bhi trend ko reverse kar sakti hai. Overall, careful trading ke sath support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni hogi taake profitable trade setups mil sakein.

GBP/USD ke H1 chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke 22nd October se 25th October tak price mein kuch significant movements hui hain. Pehle hum moving averages (MA) ko dekhte hain jo market ke trend ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Chart par 200-period MA (yellow line) aur 50-period MA (white line) nazar aa rahi hain. Is waqt price dono MA ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Shuru mein price 50-period MA ke neeche thi, lekin recover karte hue is ke upar gayi. Phir 25th October ke baad dobara neeche gir gayi, jo sell pressure ko dikhata hai. Chart se kuch important resistance aur support levels bhi samajh mein aate hain. 1.29777 ek significant resistance level hai jahan price ne touch karne ke baad neeche move kiya, jo strong resistance ko indicate karta hai. Support ki baat karen toh 1.29400 ke level par price sustain kar rahi hai, lekin agar yeh break hota hai, toh market aur neeche gir sakti hai. Neeche RSI (Relative Strength Index) ki reading 38 ke qareeb hai, jo is waqt market ki kamzori ko dikhata hai aur yeh bata raha hai ke market oversold zone ke kareeb hai. Agar RSI 30 se neeche girta hai, toh selling pressure aur barh sakta hai. Is analysis ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD short-term mein bearish hai. Traders ko abhi support level 1.29400 ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, toh price aur neeche girne ke chances hain. Dousri taraf, agar price 1.29777 ke resistance ko cross kar leti hai, toh market mein bullish momentum aasakta hai. Aise waqt mein trading decisions lete waqt risk management zaroor implement karen, kyun ke market volatility kabhi bhi trend ko reverse kar sakti hai. Overall, careful trading ke sath support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni hogi taake profitable trade setups mil sakein.

GBP/USD pair ne naye trading haftay ka aghaz bearish note par kiya hai, jo ke 1.2960-1.2955 range mein trade kar rahi hai aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se thori neeche hai. Yeh position is baat ka ishara deti hai ke recent downtrend barqarar reh sakta hai, jo ke pair ko mid-August ke lowest level, yaani takreeban 1.2900 mark tak le gaya hai. US dollar ke hawale se positive sentiment bhi GBP/USD ki kamzori ka aik bara waja hai. Market ke log expect kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve November mein 25 basis points ka interest rate cut kar sakti hai, jo ke mazid strong US economic data se support horaha hai. US durable goods orders aur University of Michigan ka consumer confidence index bhi expectations se zyada acha aya, jo US economy ke taqat ko mazid support karte hain aur future rate cuts ka bhi ishara dete hain. Is positive economic outlook ke bawajood, higher US Treasury yields ne dollar ki appeal ko aur barha diya hai.Dusri taraf, pound sterling bhi kamzor hui hai kyunki Bank of England ke taraf se mazid rate cuts ke expectations barh gayi hain. UK consumer prices ka recent decline 2% target ke neeche jaane ke waja se yeh umeed aur barh gayi hai. Technical perspective se dekhein to GBP/USD ka 1.3000 psychological level ko multiple times cross na kar pana bearish bias ko aur barha deta hai. Aik recent low 1.2943 aur technical indicators ki taraf se aane wale signals, jo selling pressure ka ishara karte hain, yeh downtrend ko aur support karte hain.

Lekin, aik long-term support trend line, jo 2022 ke low se draw hui hai aur is waqt takreeban 1.2950 ke kareeb hai, kuch protection provide kar sakti hai. Agar 1.2950 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh decline ko mazid accelerate kar sakta hai towards 200-day SMA jo ke 1.2800 par hai, khas taur par agar April-September ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2863 par breach hota hai. Aik mazid loss ko 61.8% Fibonacci level ke kareeb 1.2730 par aur August ke low 1.2663 tak restrict kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh downward trend barqarar raha, to pair October 2023 ke lows se connect hone wali ascending line ke kareeb, yaani 1.2555 par approach kar sakta hai.Aksar, agar 1.3000 level ko dobara se reclaim kar liya jata hai, to yeh bullish reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur agle targets 20-day aur 50-day moving averages ke kareeb, jo ke 1.3120 aur 23.6% Fibonacci level ke kareeb 1.3160 par hain, ho sakte hain. Agar yeh levels cross hote hain, to upward momentum aur accelerate ho sakta hai towards August ke high, yaani 1.3265 tak.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ki jodi mandi ke bazar me bani hui hai. Bartanwi currency shuruaati ghanti ke bad se musalsal niche trade kar rahi hai. Halankeh ab mere pas nichli satah par koi fauri hadaf nahin hai, lekin mazid kami ka imkan bahut zyada hai. Americi dollar ki qadar me izafa jari hai. Yaqinan, bahut kuch is bat par munhasar hoga keh halke macroeconomic calendar ke darmiyan greenback kis tarah aage badhta hai. Aakhir kar, aaj koi aham khabar jari nahin hone wala hai. Mere liye, maret ki suratehal bamushkil badli hai. Mai ab bhi maujudah satah se short jane par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Agar qimat dobara 1.2930 ke nishan se niche aati hai to, stop-loss order ke sath long positions kholunga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mujhe yaqin hai keh Bartanwi pound ki girawat abhi khatam nahin hui hai. Halankeh, mujhe yaqin hai keh tez reversal jald hi hone wala hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.2958 ki maujudah satah se gir kar 1.2869 ki support satah par aa jayega. Sath hi, mai short positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Iske bajaye, mai qimat ke 1.2869 ilaqe tak girne ka intezar karunga, jahan long positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ke analysis ke hawalay se hai. Yeh pair, jo British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay main dikhata hai, bohot zyada US job market data aur mukhtalif geopolitical developments se mutasir hota hai. Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte

**USD Price Action Opportunities**

Aaj mein aik article likhne ka plan bana raha hoon jo GBP/USD currency market ke latest price movements ko explore karega. Market aksar humari expectations ke khilaf chalti hai aur bohot kam hi humein apni sochi hui direction mein le jati hai. Humein aik solid system ki zarurat hai, lekin wo abhi tak establish nahi hua. Ho sakta hai bullish correction ho, lekin hum iss upward movement ke doran bhi selling opportunities dhundhte rahenge. Election ke qareeb aate hue U.S. dollar mazid mazboot hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke expected hai.

British pound ke 4-hour chart par pichle zigzags yeh suggest karte hain ke price 1.3001–1.3011 range ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai. Ho sakta hai false breakout bhi ho, lekin trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai. Yeh bhi note karein ke agar daily candle reversal nahi dikha rahi, toh sellers aur neeche push karenge baghair kisi significant correction ke. Kuch choti candles pehle hi ban chuki hain, jo yeh dikhati hain ke downward momentum abhi bhi qaim hai.

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Neeche ke levels par abhi koi khaas targets nahi hain, khaaskar jab U.S. interest rate cut ka imkaan bhi moujood hai jo market ko unexpected direction mein le ja sakta hai. Kyun ke mein intraday trading nahi karta, toh current situation observe karna zyada suitable lagta hai. Aap theek keh rahe hain ke technical analysis aur trend indicators bearish trajectory ko support kar rahe hain. Theoretical targets 1.2688–1.2664 ke qareeb hain, jo aik daily support zone hai. Yeh approx. 241 points ka downward move ho sakta hai agar market humein yeh trade de.



Aaj ke GBP/USD chart ne confident downward price movement dikhayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke liquidity abhi tak neeche ke levels par absorb nahi hui. Price mazid neeche jaane ke imkaanaat hain. Maine apni sales 1.2984 par close kar di hain jab pair ne aik naya minimum hit kiya. Yeh possibility bhi hai ke price achanak se sharp increase kare. Agar meri assumptions sahi hain, toh humein aik bullish surge dekhne ko mil sakti hai high volumes ke sath, jo price ko 1.3074 accumulation zone ki taraf push karegi.

**Technical Analysis**

Pound Sterling limited range mein trade kar raha hai, kyunke investors October ke preliminary UK PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Saath hi, investors BoE ke Mann aur Bailey ke speeches ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain taake interest rate ke hawale se nayi guidance mil sake.

US presidential elections ke hawale se uncertainty risky assets par pressure daal rahi hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) Thursday ke London session mein apne major peers ke against sideways trade kar raha hai. Sabki nazrein ab 08:30 GMT par publish hone wale United Kingdom (UK) S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data par hain.

Expected hai ke PMI report business activity mein moderate expansion ko reflect karegi. Manufacturing sector ki activity September ke 51.5 se thodi slowdown ke sath 51.4 par aane ki umeed hai. Service PMI bhi 52.2 par grow karne ki prediction hai, lekin yeh pichle release 52.4 se thoda neeche hai. Agar economic activity expand hoti nazar aayi, to yeh economic outlook ke liye robust signal ho ga.

Pound Sterling ka outlook volatile rehne ki umeed hai, kyunke Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha hai ke inflation expected se tez decelerate ho raha hai. Bailey ne Institute of International Finance event mein kaha, “Disinflation ho rahi hai, aur yeh hamari expectations se tez hai, lekin kuch structural changes economy mein hue hain, jinpar ab bhi questions hain.”

In comments ke baad BoE ke hawkish approach mein softening nazar aayi hai. Traders ka speculation hai ke BoE November mein interest rates cut karega, aur December mein bhi yehi move repeat karne ke strong chances hain.

Aaj ke session mein, BoE MPC member Catherine Mann 13:00 GMT par speech dene wali hain. Mann, jo ek outspoken hawkish hain, August mein un MPC members mein shamil thi jinon ne rates ko unchanged rakhne ke haq mein vote diya tha. Aaj Governor Bailey 19:45 GMT par Mike Gill Memorial Lecture deliver karenge at the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

**Technical Outlook**

Daily timeframe par GBP/USD Rising Channel chart formation ke lower boundary ke qareeb hai, jo “make or break” situation ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar Cable ne yeh level hold na kiya to sharp selling pressure aasakta hai.



Near-term trend aur negative ho gaya hai kyunke GBP/USD 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche break kar chuka hai, jo 1.2990 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 35.00 ke qareeb hai, jo active bearish momentum ka signal de raha hai.

Neeche, 200-day EMA jo ke 1.2845 ke paas hai, ek major support zone banega Pound Sterling bulls ke liye. Agar upar ki taraf rebound hota hai, to Cable ko resistance 1.2990 ke psych zone par face karna parega.

Chart ke mutabiq, British Pound aur US Dollar ka 1-day timeframe dikhaya gaya hai, jo humein is currency pair ki recent trend aur movement ke bare mein insight de raha hai. July se le kar September ke beech, GBP/USD pair mein ek strong bullish trend tha, jismein price consistent tareeke se barh rahi thi. Yeh trend lagbhag 1.2300 ke aas-paas se start hua aur mid-October tak price 1.3400 ke upar tak pohanch gayi thi. Is dauraan bohot si green candles dekhi gayi jo ye signal deti hain ke buyers ka control market mein strong tha.
Lekin October ke middle mein is bullish trend mein reversal aaya. Chart mein humein dikhta hai ke October ke baad se price neeche gir rahi hai aur lower highs aur lower lows form kar rahi hai, jo ke ek clear bearish trend ka indication hai. Abhi tak kisi bhi support level par price rukti hui nazar nahi aayi, aur recent trend ke mutabiq, sellers ka pressure buyers par zyada hai.
Yahan par trading ke liye kuch strategies ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar koi buyer is trend ko observe kar raha hai, toh unke liye ye dekhna zaroori hoga ke price kis support level par stability dikhati hai. Ek strong support level us waqt confirm ho sakta hai jab price lagatar decline ke baad kisi particular point par ruk jaye aur wahan se bounce back kare. Iss waqt, immediate support level 1.2900 ke kareeb lag raha hai, lekin agar ye break ho gaya toh price aur neeche ja sakti hai.
Dousri taraf, sellers ke liye ye ek favorable opportunity hai jab tak market mein downtrend clear hai. Sell positions ko tab tak maintain kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price lower lows aur lower highs form karti rahe. Lekin, agar kisi bhi waqt ek strong bullish candle form hoti hai ya price ek solid support par bounce back karti hai, toh sellers ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke trend mein phir se reversal aa sakta hai.
Is chart se humein ye seekhne ko milta hai ke market trend aur price action ko closely observe karna kitna zaroori hai. Aur har trend ke saath, risk management aur patience rakhna trading mein successful hone ke liye important hai.

Chart ke mutabiq, British Pound aur US Dollar ka 1-day timeframe dikhaya gaya hai, jo humein is currency pair ki recent trend aur movement ke bare mein insight de raha hai. July se le kar September ke beech, GBP/USD pair mein ek strong bullish trend tha, jismein price consistent tareeke se barh rahi thi. Yeh trend lagbhag 1.2300 ke aas-paas se start hua aur mid-October tak price 1.3400 ke upar tak pohanch gayi thi. Is dauraan bohot si green candles dekhi gayi jo ye signal deti hain ke buyers ka control market mein strong tha.
Lekin October ke middle mein is bullish trend mein reversal aaya. Chart mein humein dikhta hai ke October ke baad se price neeche gir rahi hai aur lower highs aur lower lows form kar rahi hai, jo ke ek clear bearish trend ka indication hai. Abhi tak kisi bhi support level par price rukti hui nazar nahi aayi, aur recent trend ke mutabiq, sellers ka pressure buyers par zyada hai.
Yahan par trading ke liye kuch strategies ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar koi buyer is trend ko observe kar raha hai, toh unke liye ye dekhna zaroori hoga ke price kis support level par stability dikhati hai. Ek strong support level us waqt confirm ho sakta hai jab price lagatar decline ke baad kisi particular point par ruk jaye aur wahan se bounce back kare. Iss waqt, immediate support level 1.2900 ke kareeb lag raha hai, lekin agar ye break ho gaya toh price aur neeche ja sakti hai.
Dousri taraf, sellers ke liye ye ek favorable opportunity hai jab tak market mein downtrend clear hai. Sell positions ko tab tak maintain kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price lower lows aur lower highs form karti rahe. Lekin, agar kisi bhi waqt ek strong bullish candle form hoti hai ya price ek solid support par bounce back karti hai, toh sellers ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke trend mein phir se reversal aa sakta hai.
Is chart se humein ye seekhne ko milta hai ke market trend aur price action ko closely observe karna kitna zaroori hai. Aur har trend ke saath, risk management aur patience rakhna trading mein successful hone ke liye important hai.

اکتوبر 28 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.2994 پر ہدف مزاحمت تک پہنچ گیا اور تھوڑا سا پیچھے ہٹ گیا۔ آج صبح (جیسا کہ نیوزی لینڈ میں قومی تعطیل ہے)، قیمت جمعہ کے قریب قریب مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنی سست چڑھائی کو اوپر کی طرف جاری رکھے ہوئے ہے۔



ایسا لگتا ہے کہ قیمت 1.2994 کو توڑنے کے لیے طاقت جمع کر رہی ہے، ممکنہ طور پر 1.3080 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، جو آسیلیٹر کو مثبت علاقے میں جانے کی اجازت دے گی۔ یہ امریکی انتخابات سے پہلے قیمت اور آسیلیٹر کو زیادہ متوازن پوزیشن میں رکھے گا۔ قیمت چینل کی نچلی حد کے قریب قیمت کی سرگرمی اس پر اہم دباؤ ڈالتی ہے۔ انتخابی نتائج کا انتظار کرنے کی مثالی حد 1.3080-1.3141 ہے، جو 38.2% فبونیکی ریٹیسمنٹ لیول کے ساتھ ہم آہنگ ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے درمیان چل رہی ہے۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ مارلن زیرو لائن سے اوپر کی طرف پلٹنے کی تیاری کر رہی ہے۔ اگر یہ تبدیلی واقع ہوتی ہے اور قیمت 1.2994 سے اوپر بڑھ جاتی ہے تو 1.3080 کا ہدف کھل جائے گا۔ یہ مرکزی منظر نامہ ہے۔ تاہم، اگر قیمت 1.2918 پر پرائس چینل سپورٹ کے ذریعے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ ممکنہ طور پر 1.2859 پر سپورٹ لیول تک جاری رہے گی، جب ابتدائی انتخابی نتائج کا اعلان کیا جائے گا تو دیگر بڑی کرنسیوں کے مقابلے میں پاؤنڈ کو کمزور پوزیشن میں رکھے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD ka H4 timeframe chart dekhne se yeh nazar aa raha hai ke filhaal price 1.2979 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical support level lag raha hai. Pehle bhi price ne is level se bounce liya tha, lekin iss dafa downward trend nazar aa raha hai, aur price Moving Average (MA) ke neeche chal rahi hai. Moving Average ka neeche hona ek bearish signal hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai aur price aage aur neeche ja sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator is waqt 42.07 par hai, jo ke neutral to bearish zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh batata hai ke market abhi oversold zone mein nahi hai, magar selling ka pressure abhi bhi kaafi hai. Aam tor par, jab RSI 30 ke neeche jata hai toh market oversold hoti hai, lekin abhi 42 par hone ka matlab yeh hai ke abhi kuch space hai price ke neeche jane ka. Agar price iss support level ko break karti hai, toh agla major support 1.2810 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Momentum indicator 99.54 par hai, jo is baat ka izhaar karta hai ke market mein price movement ka momentum weak hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke price abhi utni taqat ke saath move nahi kar rahi jitna expected tha, aur downward pressure ka imkaan zyada hai.

MFI (Money Flow Index) indicator 21.69 par hai, jo ke oversold zone ko indicate kar raha hai. Jab MFI 20 ke kareeb hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke market mein zyada selling ho chuki hai, aur buying interest waapas aa sakta hai. Iss level par thoda buying pressure aa sakta hai, jo short-term mein price ko thoda upar push karega.

Agar price 1.2979 ke support level se upar rehti hai, toh yeh potential bounce ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan buyers market mein interest show kar sakte hain. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai, toh yeh strong bearish continuation ka indication ho ga, aur agla target 1.2810 ya uske aas paas ho sakta hai

Technical Analysis

Pound Sterling ka US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.2950 ke aas paas tight range mein trading ho raha hai, jab ke US ke economic data ka intezar hai. Investors ki nazar US ke October ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) aur Q3 GDP par hogi.

UK ka budget aur BoE ke interest rate ke faisle par bazar ki speculation bhi Pound Sterling ko asar daal sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair London ke session mein sideway trade kar raha hai, jab ke investors is hafte US economic data aur UK ke Autumn Forecast Statement par tawajjo de rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko announce hoga.

US Dollar Index (USD), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke muqable mein napta hai, Monday ko lagbhag teen mahinon ke unchaai par 104.60 ke aas paas pohanch gaya.

Investors US ke preliminary Q3 GDP aur October ke NFP data par tawajjo denge, jo ke economic growth aur labor demand ki haalat dikhayega. Yeh economic data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate ke future par bazar ki speculation ko kaafi asar daalega.

Fed ne September mein 50 basis points (bps) ka bara interest rate cut kiya tha, kyunki officials economic risks ke barhte hue dar se pareshan the, jab ke inflationary pressures 2% ke target par rehne ki umeed hai.

Baaki saal ke liye, traders dekh rahe hain ke central bank November aur December mein 25 basis points ka aur cut kar sakta hai, jaisa ke CME FedWatch tool se pata chalta hai.

Is darmiyan, US presidential election ki uncertainty US Dollar ko support karti rahegi. Pichhle hafte International Monetary Fund (IMF) ke meeting mein financial experts ne US elections ke natije aur unke mumkinah asraat par gehra guftagu kiya. Former President Donald Trump ne sab mulkon par tariffs barhane ka waada kiya hai, jo ke agar wo current Vice President Kamala Harris ke khilaf jeet jate hain, toh global supply chain ke kharchon ko barha sakta hai.




Pound Sterling US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.2900 ke aas paas tight range mein hai. GBP/USD pair daily timeframe par Rising Channel ke lower boundary ke aas paas hai, jo ke 1.2900 hai.

20- aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke beech bear cross 1.3080 ke paas zyada kamzori ka ishara kar raha hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.00-40.00 ke range mein hai, jo active bearish momentum ka izhar karta hai.

Neeche dekhte hue, 200-day EMA jo 1.2845 ke aas paas hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye major support zone hoga. Upar ki taraf, Cable ko 1.3100 ke aas paas resistance ka saamna karna padega.

Technical Analysis of Pound Sterling

Pound Sterling filhal US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.2970 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, jo ke Thursday ko dekha gaya rebound ka nasha hai. Yeh rebound tab aaya jab currency ne Rising Channel formation ke lower boundary ke paas support hasil kiya, jahan 1.2900 ke level par khaas buying interest dekha gaya. Yeh technical background yeh darshata hai ke jabke upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavnayein hain, lekin nazdeek ka trend kuch unclear hai.

Jab Cable 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.307 par hai, yeh ek resistance level ko darshata hai jo traders ki nazar mein hai. EMA ki position kai bazar ke participants ke liye ek ahem indicator hai, jo aksar trading strategies ko asar dalti hai. Agar yeh level par rukh badalta hai aur iske upar sustained move hota hai, toh yeh momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakta hai, jo zyada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur prices ko upar le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar is resistance ko todne mein nakami hoti hai, toh yeh naya selling pressure janam de sakta hai, khaaskar agar currency dobara Rising Channel ke lower boundary ki taraf girti hai.




Pound ke market sentiment par broader economic indicators aur geopolitical developments bhi asar dal rahe hain. UK ke inflation aur employment figures se related recent data releases ne Bank of England ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy faislon par umeedon ko shape karne mein ahm kirdar ada kiya hai. Agar inflation barhta raha ya phir high raha, toh interest rate hikes ke baare mein speculation barh sakta hai, jo Pound ko support dega. Lekin, economic landscape mein uncertainty, growth ke concerns aur ongoing geopolitical tensions ke asraat currency ki outlook ko complex bana dete hain.

Traders Pound ke trajectory ko assess karte waqt key levels of support aur resistance, economic indicators aur central bank communications par nazar rakh rahe hain. In factors ka interplay yeh tay karega ke kya Pound apni current bullish momentum ko barqarar rakh sakega ya phir nazdeek ke mustaqbil mein bearish trend ki taraf wapas chale jayega. Aane wale din Cable ke liye ek clear directional bias tay karne mein ahem honge.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ne naye trading week ki shuruaat bearish note par ki, trading karte hue 1.2960-1.2955 ke range mein, jo ke 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se thoda neeche hai. Yeh positioning is baat ka ishara deti hai ke hal hi mein dekha gaya downtrend jari reh sakta hai, jisne pair ko mid-August ke baad se sabse neeche levels par le aaya hai, lagbhag 1.2900 ke aas paas. US dollar ke ird-gird maujood bullish sentiment GBP/USD ki kamzori ka ek aham sabab hai. Market participants ko umeed hai ke Federal Reserve November mein 25-basis-point interest rate cut karega, jo ke US economy ki barhti taqat ke chalte hai, jaisa ke recent economic data se zahir hota hai.

US durable goods orders ka report aur University of Michigan ka consumer confidence index dono hi umeed se zyada ache aaye, jo ke US economy ki mazbooti ko darshata hai aur aage ke rate cuts ki umeed ko mazid barhata hai. Is positive outlook ne US Treasury yields ko bhi upar le jaya, jis se dollar ki appeal barh gayi. Dusri taraf, pound sterling ne Bank of England ke zyada rate cuts ki umeed ke chalte kamzori ka shikaar hua. UK ke consumer prices ka 2% target se neeche girna in umeedon ko mazid barhata hai.




Technical nazariye se, GBP/USD pair ka 1.3000 psychological level ko kai dafa todne mein nakami bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Aakhri low 1.2943 aur technical indicators jo continued selling pressure ka ishara dete hain, is downward trend ko support karte hain. Lekin, 2022 ke low se draw ki gayi long-term support trend line, jo ke filhal 1.2950 ke aas paas hai, upar ki taraf kuch protection deti hai. Agar 1.2950 ka level tod diya gaya, toh yeh girawat ko 200-day SMA par 1.2800 ki taraf tez kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar April-September ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2863 tod diya jaye. Aage ki losses 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.2730 ke aas paas ruk sakti hain aur shayad August ke low 1.2663 tak extend ho sakti hain. Agar yeh downward trend jari raha, toh pair October 2023 ke low ke aas paas 1.2555 ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai.

Iske baraks, agar 1.3000 ka level phir se hasil kiya jata hai, toh yeh bullish reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan agle targets 20-day aur 50-day moving averages 1.3120 ke aas paas aur 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.3160 honge. In levels se upar nikalne se upward momentum August ke high 1.3265 ki taraf tez ho sakta hai.