جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair ne doosray din bhi izafa dekha hai, jo ke ek mumkinah bullish recovery ka ishara de raha hai, lekin abhi tak is ne ahem 1.3060 level ko dobara hasil nahi kiya. Market ka jazba optimistic hai, khas tor par naye job growth mein slowdown ki wajah se, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rate cut ko barhawa diya hai. Iss ke bawajood ke pair upward momentum mein hai, lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai.

Kayi factors hain jo GBP/USD ki movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. In mein Fed ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeed, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay, aur global economic data jese ke ISM Services PMI shamil hain. Jab ke Fed ne ek dovish outlook ka ishara diya hai aur BoE mazeed rate cut kar sakta hai is saal ke akhir se pehle, market participants ghoor se dekh rahe hain ke konsay asarati factors pair ko neeche ya upar le jaa sakte hain.

US Dollar ko Strong Services Data ka Sahara:

US Dollar ne ek chhoti downside move ke baad temporary support hasil kiya, khas tor par US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke taqatwar data ke baad. Index ne izafa dikhaya 51.5 tak, jo ke July ke 51.4 se barh kar hai aur economists ke predictions (51.1) se behtar hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke dollar ke performance ko 6 bari currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 100.15 ke qareeb stable hua, aik tez dip ke baad.

Bank of England Policy aur Market Expectations:

Bank of England (BoE) se yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh is saal ke baqi waqt mein sirf ek dafa aur interest rate cut karega. September mein apni policy ko ek zyada neutral stance par le aane ke baad, BoE se yeh umeed hai ke is mahine interest rates ko 5% par barqarar rakha jaye ga. Financial markets umeed karte hain ke November ya December mein aik aur rate cut ho ga, jab central bank inflation aur economic conditions ko monitor karta rahe ga.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ne New York session ke doran last Thursday ko 1.3019 ka low touch kiya, aur phir achanak rally kartay hue 1.3050 tak pohancha. Pair ne 1.3031 par close kiya aur abhi se kuch halki downward momentum dikhayi de rahi hai. Analysts yeh predict karte hain ke pair aaj kuch arsay ke liye 1.3100 ke neeche ja sakta hai, lekin yeh decline mushkil se 1.3061 level tak extend karega. Resistance abhi bhi 1.3090 par hai, aur agar yeh 1.3110 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke current downward pressure khatam ho gaya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 ke range mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent bullish momentum filhal slow ho raha hai. Magar, jab tak RSI neutral 50 level se uper rehta hai, broader bullish trend intact reh sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke chhoti duration ke pressure ke bawajood, overall uptrend jari reh sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne doosray din bhi gains record kiye hain, jo ek potential bullish recovery ka ishara de raha hai, halan ke abhi tak yeh key 1.3060 level ko reclaim nahi kar saka. Market sentiment optimistic hai, jo new job growth mein slowdown ke natayij ke hawalay se aur bhi mazid mazboot ho gaya hai, kyun ke is se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cut ko barhawa mil sakta hai. Is ke bawajood ke pair upward momentum show kar raha hai, yeh abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai.

Kai factors GBP/USD ke movement ko affect kar rahe hain. In mein shamil hain Fed ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeedein, BoE ke interest rate faislay, aur global economic data jaise ke ISM Services PMI. Fed ne ek dovish outlook signal kiya hai, aur BoE ke bhi mazeed rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo ke iss saal ke akhir se pehle ho sakte hain. Market participants ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kon si nishaniyan GBP/USD ko upar ya neeche le ja sakti hain.

**US Dollar ko Strong Services Data ka Sahara:**

US Dollar ko temporary sahara mila hai ek chhoti downside move ke baad, kyun ke surprisingly strong US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data samnay aya hai September ke liye. Index ne 51.5 ka izafa dikhaya jo ke July ke 51.4 se bara hai, aur economists ki predictions ke muqablay mein better raha jo 51.1 ka intezar kar rahe thay. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ki performance ko check karta hai against six major currencies, 100.15 ke qareeb stable ho gaya hai ek sharp dip ke baad.

**Bank of England Policy aur Market Expectations:**

Bank of England (BoE) se umeed hai ke wo is saal ke baqi hisay mein sirf ek martaba aur interest rates cut karega. September mein ek more neutral policy stance lene ke baad, BoE se umeed hai ke wo iss mahine interest rates ko 5% par stable rakhay ga. Financial markets predict kar rahe hain ke ek aur rate cut November ya December mein aasakta hai jab ke central bank inflation aur economic conditions ko closely monitor kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis of GBP/USD:**

Pair ne last Thursday New York session ke dauran 1.3019 ka low touch kiya tha, us ke baad sharply rally kar ke 1.3050 ko touch kiya. Pair ne 1.3031 par close kiya, aur tab se halki downward momentum dikhai hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke pair aaj 1.3100 mark se thoda neeche ja sakta hai, lekin koi zyada decline unlikely hai ke 1.3061 level tak chala jaye. Resistance 1.3090 par hai, aur agar yeh 1.3110 ke upar break karta hai to yeh current downward pressure ke khatam hone ka ishara ho ga.



14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein gir gaya hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke recent bullish momentum filhal kamzor ho raha hai. Magar, broader bullish trend ab tak intact hai jab tak RSI neutral 50 level se upar rahe. Iska matlab yeh hai ke chhoti muddati pressure majood hai, lekin overall uptrend barqarar reh sakta hai.

**GBP-USD Currency Pair Ka Tajziya**

GBP-USD currency pair ke H4 time frame par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke price USD ke session mein daakhil hone par barh rahi hai, aur is waqt buyers ka camp trading process par dominate kar raha hai.

Sab se nazdeek supply aur resistance ka level 1.30929 par hai, jo ke successfully break kiya gaya. Lekin, doosri taraf, current price ne pullback kiya hai kyunki ye agle supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko break karne mein nakam rahi hai. Filhal price 1.30758 ke aas-paas monitor ki ja rahi hai.

Mere is tajziye ke mutabiq, do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke agar price mazeed barhti hai, to yeh sambhav hai ke price supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko dobara retest kare. Agar ye supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko successfully break kar leti hai, to agla barhne ka target supply aur resistance level 1.31324 par hoga. Lekin agar price supply aur resistance 1.31324 ko break karne mein nakam rahi, to ye sambhav hai ke price pullback kare.

Mera doosra scenario yeh hai ke agar price girti hai aur demand aur support level 1.30664 ko successfully break kar leti hai, to decline ka potential zyada hota hai aur price agle demand aur support level 1.30445 tak gir sakti hai. Agar price 1.30445 ka demand aur support level break karne mein nakam rahi, to price wapas upar ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Isliye, behtar yeh hoga ke hum thoda sabr karein aur sahi momentum ka intezar karein. Agar support aur resistance levels ko successfully break kiya jata hai, to abhi ke trend ko follow karna behtar hoga.

Yeh zaroori hai ke trading ke doran market ki halat ko achhe se samjha jaye. Jab price levels break hote hain, to unke baad market mein nayi trends aur movements ka pata chalta hai, jo traders ko faida uthane ka mauka dete hain. Trading mein patience aur analysis bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Har trader ko yeh samajhna chahiye ke market mein har waqt uncertainty hoti hai, lekin jo log sahi waqt ka intezar karte hain, wo zyada faida uthane mein kamiyab hote hain.

Is tarah se, GBP-USD currency pair ki halat ko samajhna aur sahi trading decisions lena zaroori hai.

GBP-USD currency pair ke H4 time frame par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke price USD ke session mein daakhil hone par barh rahi hai, aur is waqt buyers ka camp trading process par dominate kar raha hai.
Sab se nazdeek supply aur resistance ka level 1.30929 par hai, jo ke successfully break kiya gaya. Lekin, doosri taraf, current price ne pullback kiya hai kyunki ye agle supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko break karne mein nakam rahi hai. Filhal price 1.30758 ke aas-paas monitor ki ja rahi hai.

Mere is tajziye ke mutabiq, do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke agar price mazeed barhti hai, to yeh sambhav hai ke price supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko dobara retest kare. Agar ye supply aur resistance level 1.31109 ko successfully break kar leti hai, to agla barhne ka target supply aur resistance level 1.31324 par hoga. Lekin agar price supply aur resistance 1.31324 ko break karne mein nakam rahi, to ye sambhav hai ke price pullback kare.

Mera doosra scenario yeh hai ke agar price girti hai aur demand aur support level 1.30664 ko successfully break kar leti hai, to decline ka potential zyada hota hai aur price agle demand aur support level 1.30445 tak gir sakti hai. Agar price 1.30445 ka demand aur support level break karne mein nakam rahi, to price wapas upar ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Isliye, behtar yeh hoga ke hum thoda sabr karein aur sahi momentum ka intezar karein. Agar support aur resistance levels ko successfully break kiya jata hai, to abhi ke trend ko follow karna behtar hoga.

Yeh zaroori hai ke trading ke doran market ki halat ko achhe se samjha jaye. Jab price levels break hote hain, to unke baad market mein nayi trends aur movements ka pata chalta hai, jo traders ko faida uthane ka mauka dete hain. Trading mein patience aur analysis bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Har trader ko yeh samajhna chahiye ke market mein har waqt uncertainty hoti hai, lekin jo log sahi waqt ka intezar karte hain, wo zyada faida uthane mein kamiyab hote hain.

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karne par hai. GBP/USD pair mein kisi khaas tabdeeli ka dekhna nahi mila, kyun ke iska asal trend ab bhi downward hai. Aaj ka market kaam relative tor par itna active nahi tha, aur trading ek narrow range mein rahi, jo thodi bohat dono directions mein chali. Ahm levels jaise ke 1.29 ke neeche break karne ki koshishain kamyab nahi ho saki, aur volatility bhi minimum rahi. Filhal koi wazeh objectives nazar nahi aa rahe. Main ummed karta hoon ke price 1.29 ke neeche jaye gi, aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, toh shayad main buy ka sochun. Jaise jaise week guzra, trading range mein chali gayi, aur Monday tak koi khaas movement nahi hui. Khaas baat yeh ke sirf aik sell signal Monday ko confirm hua, jo yeh batata hai ke agar price 1.30281 support ko break kar ke neeche rahi, toh agla target 1.29313 support hoga. Ulta, agar price 1.31139 resistance ko break kare, toh buying ka target 1.31849 ho sakta hai. Pichle hafte, pound-dollar pair ne Monday se decline shuru kiya aur 1.31139 support level ko tor diya. Price is support ke neeche stabilize hui aur sell signal trigger kar diya jo 1.30281 target ki taraf tha. Tuesday aur Wednesday ke doran, price resistance ke kareeb rahi, aur Thursday tak yeh 1.30281 support ko touch kar gayi. U.S. ke limited statistical data ke saath, focus ab British economic reports par ho sakta hai, jo growth ko drive kar sakti hain. Pichli dafa, Britain ke surprisingly positive employment figures ne market par koi khaas asar nahi dala. Correction EMA50 tak, jo ab GBP/USD ke liye 1.3119 par hai, aik selling opportunity pesh kar sakta hai. Filhal market pehle se identified range mein flat hai. Local selling zone, jo EMA-20 (1.3064) aur EMA8 (1.3054) ke darmiyan bana, test ho raha hai. Agar price is zone se rebound karta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.3019 level tak le ja sakta hai. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke jabke euro ne 1.08 ko update aur test kiya, pound ne ab tak follow nahi kiya. Main ab bhi ek behtareen selling price ka intezar kar raha hoon

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karne par hai. GBP/USD pair mein kisi khaas tabdeeli ka dekhna nahi mila, kyun ke iska asal trend ab bhi downward hai. Aaj ka market kaam relative tor par itna active nahi tha, aur trading ek narrow range mein rahi, jo thodi bohat dono directions mein chali. Ahm levels jaise ke 1.29 ke neeche break karne ki koshishain kamyab nahi ho saki, aur volatility bhi minimum rahi. Filhal koi wazeh objectives nazar nahi aa rahe. Main ummed karta hoon ke price 1.29 ke neeche jaye gi, aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, toh shayad main buy ka sochun. Jaise jaise week guzra, trading range mein chali gayi, aur Monday tak koi khaas movement nahi hui. Khaas baat yeh ke sirf aik sell signal Monday ko confirm hua, jo yeh batata hai ke agar price 1.30281 support ko break kar ke neeche rahi, toh agla target 1.29313 support hoga. Ulta, agar price 1.31139 resistance ko break kare, toh buying ka target 1.31849 ho sakta hai. Pichle hafte, pound-dollar pair ne Monday se decline shuru kiya aur 1.31139 support level ko tor diya. Price is support ke neeche stabilize hui aur sell signal trigger kar diya jo 1.30281 target ki taraf tha. Tuesday aur Wednesday ke doran, price resistance ke kareeb rahi, aur Thursday tak yeh 1.30281 support ko touch kar gayi. U.S. ke limited statistical data ke saath, focus ab British economic reports par ho sakta hai, jo growth ko drive kar sakti hain. Pichli dafa, Britain ke surprisingly positive employment figures ne market par koi khaas asar nahi dala. Correction EMA50 tak, jo ab GBP/USD ke liye 1.3119 par hai, aik selling opportunity pesh kar sakta hai. Filhal market pehle se identified range mein flat hai. Local selling zone, jo EMA-20 (1.3064) aur EMA8 (1.3054) ke darmiyan bana, test ho raha hai. Agar price is zone se rebound karta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.3019 level tak le ja sakta hai. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke jabke euro ne 1.08 ko update aur test kiya, pound ne ab tak follow nahi kiya. Main ab bhi ek behtareen selling price ka intezar kar raha hoon

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.
Click image for larger version

Hamari guftagu real-time mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki evaluation ke ird gird ghoomti hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye sabse zyada reliable predictions downward trend ki taraf ishara karti hain. Is liye, main confidently GBP/USD pair ko sell karne ki sifarish karta hoon. Technical taur par, pichle haftay ka close 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hua, jo bearish activity ka aik naya signal tha. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators deep negative territory mein hain aur oversold levels se kaafi door hain, jo bearish outlook ko aur zyada mazid confirm karta hai. Yeh sab is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke GBP/USD ke liye sabse aasaan rasta downward hi hai, aur is direction mein sell karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke pound is waqt strong hotay dollar ke muqable mein kaafi mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, jo Forex market mein apni taqat barhata ja raha hai. Ahem technical indicators, jaise ke CCI, short-term mein selling ko support karte hain, aur daily aur weekly charts bhi sellers ko favor karte hain. Main sifarish karta hoon ke current levels par sell kiya jaye, aur target 1.2839 ke aas paas rakha jaye.
Aaj ke market movement ka agar dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ke broader picture mein koi bara farq nahi aaya; pair ab bhi steady downward trajectory mein hai. Halankeh aaj dono directions mein thori bohot movement hui, lekin price na toh apne pichle lows tak pohoncha, aur na hi 1.30 mark tak jo ke ab bhi target mein hai. Upward movement ke jo attempts kiye gaye woh bhi stall ho gaye hain, jiski wajah se pair tight range mein aur kam volatility ke sath trade kar raha hai. Halankeh U.S. dollar aaj kuch taqat dikhata hai, GBP/USD mein koi badi tabdeeli nahi aayi, aur koi immediate objectives samne nahi hain. Lekin, main yeh ihtimal nazar andaz nahi kar sakta ke price 1.30 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar koi false breakdown hota hai, toh aise conditions mein buying ka socha ja sakta hai. GBP/USD kuch dino se support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, aur koi clear trend emerge nahi ho raha. Is liye, main is waqt actively is pair ko trade nahi kar raha—na selling, na buying—aur market ko koi economic news ya data release ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke market mein koi nayi direction la sake.

currencies par mukhtalif economic asraat ki wajah se hai. Ye pair haali mein pichle din ke low **1.3352** se neeche gir gaya, aur 137 pips se zyada ka nuqsan dekhne ko mila. Ye tezi market ki aakhri economic data aur geopolitical developments ke lehaz se hoshiyaar react karne ko dikhata hai. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policies, khaaskar interest rate mein tabdeeli, dollar ki taqat par asar daal rahi hain, jahan market ke logon ne mazeed rate cuts ki expectations ko evaluate karna shuru kar diya hai. Is dauran, Bank of England ko inflation ke barqarar rehne se pressure ka samna hai, jo unki monetary policy ke faislon ko bhi scrutiny mein la raha hai. UK ko kamzor growth aur siyasi adam istahkam jese economic challenges ka samna hai, jisse pound ka dollar ke muqable mein trajectory in hi badalte huwe factors par mabni hogi. Jaise hi traders anay wale economic indicators aur central bank ke bayanaat par nazar rakhenge, koi bhi ahem tabdeeli GBP/USD ke exchange rate mein khasa utar charh la sakti hai. Technically dekha jaye, GBP/USD pair ahem levels ke ird gird kaam kar rahi hai, jo trading mein nuqsan ka asar daal sakta hai. Haali mein ye pair taqreeban **1.3237** tak gir gaya, jahan kuch buyers ne isse kharida aur do lagataar bullish H1 candles bani. Lekin ye bullish momentum ab kamzor nazar aaraha hai jabke price 34-period Exponential Moving Average ke qareeb aaraha hai, jo ke aik significant resistance point hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne lower highs banayen, pehle **1.3265 par, aur phir previous lower high1.3287 ko tor diya. Ye behavior aglay chand arse ke liye consolidation phase ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai. Traders jo Fibonacci retracement levels ko use karte hain wo dekhenge ke pair ab discount zone mein hai, jo khareedari ke chances ko zahir karta hai, lekin ehtiyaat lazmi hai. Bulls aur bears dono ki market sentiment kaafi muted hai, jo trading environment ko hoshiyaar bana raha hai. Aakhri bullish signals unsuspecting traders ke liye aik trap ban sakte hain agar unhone strong risk

GBP/USD Pair Ka Jaiza
GBP/USD pair ne Monday ko neeche ki taraf move kiya, lekin asal mein, hum ek bilkul flat market dekh rahe hain. Haan, price dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai, lekin volatility minimal hai aur movement bohot erratic hai. Is liye, is movement ko intraday trade karna bohot mushkil hai aur shayad ye worthwhile bhi nahi hai. Phir bhi, British pound girta ja raha hai, jabke kal kisi bhi macroeconomic publication ya fundamental event ka ghatna nahi hua.

Agar price conditional trendline ko break bhi kar deti hai, toh ye zyada maayne nahi rakhega. Sab log do hafton se correction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek flat movement mein trendline ka break hona ye nahi hai ke pound 100–200 points tak correct hoga. Medium term mein, hum ab bhi umeed karte hain ke pair girta rahega. Is hafte UK inflation report ko madde nazar rakhein.

5-minute timeframe par, Monday ko kuch trade signals bane, lekin un par amal karne ki koi wajah nahi thi. 5-minute chart par saaf dikhai deta hai ke price poore din sideways move kar rahi thi. Flat market mein levels, trendlines, aur doosre technical signals/indicators kaam nahi karte.

**Tuesday Ko Trading Kaise Karein:**

Hourly timeframe par, GBP/USD pair ne upward trend ko break kiya hai aur girna jaari rakha hai. US dollar ne apni upward trend phir se shuru kar di hai, lekin selling karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki pair ne pichle do hafton mein kisi bhi correction ki koshish nahi ki. Phir bhi, abhi correction ki umeed rakhne ka koi asal sabab nahi hai. Medium term mein, hum expect karte hain ke pair girta rahega, kyunki hum ye sirf ek logical option samajhte hain.

Tuesday ko phir se kuch nahi, sirf flat movement ki umeed hai. Hum beginner traders ko yaad dilate hain ke flat market mein trendlines ya levels ko break karne par bohot kamzor signals milte hain. Aur abhi hum bohot low volatility ka bhi samna kar rahe hain.

5-minute timeframe par, aap levels 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3365, 1.3428-1.3440, 1.3488, aur 1.3537 se trade kar sakte hain. Tuesday ko UK wage aur unemployment reports publish honge. Ye kuch interesting reports hain, lekin kamzor downward trend shayad barqarar rahega, saath hi low volatility bhi. Wednesday ko, UK inflation report market ko thoda hila sakta hai.

Intraday trading mein moving averages ko samajhna bohot zaroori hota hai, kyun ke yeh indicators market ka momentum aur potential reversal points ko identify karne mein madad dete hain. Traders in indicators par bharosa karte hain taake market ka trend samajh sakein, khaaskar jab price critical resistance aur support levels ke qareeb hoti hai.Yellow moving average aur red moving average ka istemal bullish aur bearish trends ko assess karne ke liye kiya jata hai, khaaskar kisi currency pair mein. Jab price yellow moving average ke upar move karti hai, to iska matlab hota hai ke market mein bullish momentum aa raha hai. Yeh scenario yeh batata hai ke buyers taqat mein hain aur price ko upar push kar rahe hain. Is halat mein traders aksar zyada trading volume ya dusre bullish indicators se confirmation dhoondte hain. Agar yeh momentum barqaraar rehta hai, to price resistance level 1.3139 ko target kar sakti hai. Yeh level ahem hai kyun ke yeh price ke aage barhne mein rukawat ban sakta hai. Traders ko price action ko ghore se dekhna chahiye jab yeh resistance qareeb ho; agar 1.3139 ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai, jo aur zyada price targets ke liye rasta kholta hai.Is ke bar’aks, agar price apni upward trajectory ko barqaraar nahi rakh pata aur red moving average ke neeche chala jata hai, to bearish scenario ban sakta hai. Yeh indicator aksar yeh batata hai ke sellers control mein hain aur price mein kami aane ka imkaan hai. Is bearish scenario ka pehla target support level 1.2957 ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye critical hai, kyun ke agar price is ke neeche break karta hai, to aur zyada downside potential ka ishara mil sakta hai. Agar price girti rehti hai, to traders aur aggressive bearish stance le sakte hain.Agar price 1.2957 ko breach karta hai, to yeh 1.2828 tak south mein extend kar sakta hai. Yeh aik zyada pronounced bearish trend ho ga, aur traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust karenge. Aise situations mein risk management bohot ahem ho jata hai, kyun ke volatility aur unexpected price movements trading outcomes ko bohot ziada effect kar sakte hain.
Is ke ilawa, moving averages aur price action ke darmiyan jo interplay hota hai, yeh traders ko market sentiment samajhne mein bhi madad deta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar price moving averages ke qareeb tight consolidation kar raha ho, to yeh traders mein indecision ko zahir kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein kisi bhi direction mein decisive breakout ka intezar karna bohot zaroori hota hai. Aur agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya MACD jaise additional technical indicators ko analysis mein shaamil kiya jaye, to traders aur behtar faislay kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, us ne haal hi mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ki upper resistance level ko test kiya hai, jo ke ek ahem zone hai jo tareekh mein baray price movements ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hai. Yeh resistance level har baar jab bhi price is range ke kareeb aata hai, toh bechne wale (sellers) market mein wapas aate hain aur price ko neeche kheench dete hain. Is liye, yeh zone traders ke liye dekhnay ke liye ek ahem area hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short position lene ka soch rahe hain. Agar price phir se is resistance level par retrace karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye accha entry point ho sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai, jahan se buyers se sellers ki taraf momentum shift hota hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh dhyan se dekhein ke price is 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ke kareeb kaise behave karti hai, kyunki yeh area barabar market ka turning point bana hai. Yahan bechne wale aam tor par ghus aate hain, neeche ka dabao daal kar price ko reverse karte hain. Is liye yeh ek prime location hai traders ke liye jo price direction mein potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ne buyers aur sellers ke liye ek crucial battleground ka kaam kiya hai. Is area mein sellers aam tor par dominate karte hain, jo price retracements ko daal kar pair ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Agar yeh pattern barqarar raha, toh agar price phir se is resistance par aata hai, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke price 1.3074 se 1.3057 level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Bhari nazar rakhne wale traders ko yeh resistance level short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunki yeh baar baar bechne walon ke control mein wapas aata hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action is resistance zone ke aas paas invaluable clues provide karega ke market reverse hone wala hai ya bhi bulls phir se breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko rejection signs dekhna chahiye is resistance zone se, jese ke candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ka izhar karte hain ya volume spikes jo sellers ki taraf se increased participation ka signal dete hain.

GBP/USD currency pair is filhal khaas volatility dikhata hua, jo ke apne recent decline ke lower end par trade kar raha hai. Yeh decline pair ko aik aise maqam par le aaya hai jahan yeh oversold conditions ki taraf barh raha hai, lekin ab tak yeh officially is halat tak nahi pahuncha. Traders aur analysts aise key levels par nazar rakh rahe hain jo pair ki agle harkat ko tay kareinge, khaaskar support aur resistance points jo pichle chand maheenon mein tay kiye gaye.
Sab se pehle, iss waqt trading range ka lower boundary 1.30270 se 1.30360 ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh level tut jata hai to yeh bechne ki mazid pressure ko janam de sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko 1.29917 ke critical support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo 2022 ka trend line hai. Aisa hona na sirf bearish trend ki continuation ko darshata hai, balki traders mein currency pair ki long-term stability ke baare mein bhi chintayein paida kar sakta hai.

1.29917 ka potential breach khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki yeh ek psychological barrier aur technical support level hai jise bohot se traders dhyan se dekhte hain. Is level ke neeche girna stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo downward movement ko aur bhi badha sakta hai. Market participants is support level ko future trading strategies ke liye ek signal ke tor par dekhenge, shayad ek zyada cautious approach adopt karenge jab tak stabilization ya reversal ke clear signs na milen.

Iske baraks, agar GBP/USD 1.3040 ke resistance level ke upar nikal jata hai, jo 1 August ko haasil kiya gaya ek notable high hai, to nazar kaise badal sakta hai. Is level par break hona na sirf recent downtrend ka aakhri signal ho sakta hai, balki ek naye upward trajectory ka bhi darshan de sakta hai. Yeh scenario zyada buyers ko market mein khinch sakta hai, jo pair ki value mein izafa kar sakta hai jab bullish sentiment barhta hai.

Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur relative strength index (RSI), traders ke liye bohot zaroori tools hain jo pair ki agle harkat ka andaza lagane mein madadgar sabit hote hain. RSI khaaskar yeh batane mein madadgar ho sakta hai ke kya currency pair oversold territory mein hai, jo ke reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Agar RSI yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD oversold levels ki taraf barh raha hai jab ke yeh key support se upar hai, to traders is bounce back ke liye position le sakte hain.

Economic fundamentals bhi GBP/USD movements ko asar daal rahe hain. UK aur US se aane wale recent data releases, jo ke employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank policy decisions shamil hain, market sentiment ko tay karne mein bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Kisi bhi economic data ka surprise currency pair ki direction mein jaldi tabdeeli la sakta hai, isliye traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo updated rahen aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karein.

Mukhtasir yeh kehna hai ke GBP/USD pair filhal aik pivotal juncture par hai, jahan potential outcomes critical support aur resistance levels par depend karte hain. 1.30270-1.30360 ke range ka tutna 2022 ke support trend line 1.29917 ki taraf girne ke liye raah khol sakta hai. Dusri taraf, 1.3040 ke upar rally karna upward trend ke liye raah banayega, market sentiment ko khaas tor par tabdeel kar dega. Is liye traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur jaldi amal karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke aane wale sessions mein price action ke unfold hone se clearer signals milenge.

GBP/USD pair ne doosray din bhi izafa dekha hai, jo ke ek mumkinah bullish recovery ka ishara de raha hai, lekin abhi tak is ne ahem 1.3060 level ko dobara hasil nahi kiya. Market ka jazba optimistic hai, khas tor par naye job growth mein slowdown ki wajah se, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rate cut ko barhawa diya hai. Iss ke bawajood ke pair upward momentum mein hai, lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai.
Kayi factors hain jo GBP/USD ki movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. In mein Fed ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeed, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay, aur global economic data jese ke ISM Services PMI shamil hain. Jab ke Fed ne ek dovish outlook ka ishara diya hai aur BoE mazeed rate cut kar sakta hai is saal ke akhir se pehle, market participants ghoor se dekh rahe hain ke konsay asarati factors pair ko neeche ya upar le jaa sakte hain.

US Dollar ko Strong Services Data ka Sahara:

US Dollar ne ek chhoti downside move ke baad temporary support hasil kiya, khas tor par US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke taqatwar data ke baad. Index ne izafa dikhaya 51.5 tak, jo ke July ke 51.4 se barh kar hai aur economists ke predictions (51.1) se behtar hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke dollar ke performance ko 6 bari currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 100.15 ke qareeb stable hua, aik tez dip ke baad.

Bank of England Policy aur Market Expectations:

Bank of England (BoE) se yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh is saal ke baqi waqt mein sirf ek dafa aur interest rate cut karega. September mein apni policy ko ek zyada neutral stance par le aane ke baad, BoE se yeh umeed hai ke is mahine interest rates ko 5% par barqarar rakha jaye ga. Financial markets umeed karte hain ke November ya December mein aik aur rate cut ho ga, jab central bank inflation aur economic conditions ko monitor karta rahe ga.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ne New York session ke doran last Thursday ko 1.3019 ka low touch kiya, aur phir achanak rally kartay hue 1.3050 tak pohancha. Pair ne 1.3031 par close kiya aur abhi se kuch halki downward momentum dikhayi de rahi hai. Analysts yeh predict karte hain ke pair aaj kuch arsay ke liye 1.3100 ke neeche ja sakta hai, lekin yeh decline mushkil se 1.3061 level tak extend karega. Resistance abhi bhi 1.3090 par hai, aur agar yeh 1.3110 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke current downward pressure khatam ho gaya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 ke range mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent bullish momentum filhal slow ho raha hai. Magar, jab tak RSI neutral 50 level se uper rehta hai, broader bullish trend intact reh sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke chhoti duration ke pressure ke bawajood, overall uptrend jari reh sakta hai

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) woh ahem economic indicators hain jo GBP/USD currency pair ki dynamics par khaas asar daalte hain. Yeh metrics inflation aur overall economic health ka andaza lagane ke liye zaroori hain, isliye yeh US dollar ki demand ko bhi asar dalte hain. Agar CPI ya PPI ka reading strong aaye, to yeh rising inflation ka signal hota hai, jo Federal Reserve ko interest rate hikes par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aise expectations US dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain, jo GBP/USD exchange rate ko asar daal sakta hai.
Filhal, GBP/USD ne 1.2300 se le kar 1.30533 tak ka khaas uptrend dikhaya hai, jo ke aik ahm recovery hai. Lekin jab pair 1.30365 par 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke nazdeek pahunchega, to yeh aik potential line of resistance ka samna karega. Fibonacci levels technical analysis mein bohot use hote hain taake market mein possible reversal points ka andaza lagaya ja sake, aur 23.6% level khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh aksar prevailing trend mein temporary halt ya pullback ko darshata hai. Agar GBP/USD apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai aur is resistance ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh aage ke faidaon ka signal de sakta hai.

Ek critical resistance point 1.30433 hai, agar yeh level tut jata hai to yeh market mein strong bullish sentiment ka izhar hoga. Is level ke upar nikalna upward trend ke jaari rehne ka signal ho sakta hai, jo zyada buyers ko market mein khinch sakta hai. Aise mein pound ki demand mein izafa ho sakta hai aur yeh pair higher targets ki taraf barh sakta hai, agar UK se positive economic data bhi milta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh sakta aur resistance levels ko cross karne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh traders mein profit-taking ko janam de sakta hai, jo potential retracement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is surat mein market support levels ko dekhne lagega taake stability mil sake. Agar key support levels tut jate hain to yeh zyada lambi girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar iske sath koi negative economic data ho.

GBP aur USD ke darmiyan ka rishta sirf domestic data se nahi, balki geopolitical factors aur central bank policies se bhi asar andaaz hota hai. Misal ke tor par, Bank of England ka interest rate par stance ya kisi bhi ghaflati siyasi development ka asar pound ki strength par pad sakta hai. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke announcements ka dollar ki value par foran aur dirmiyani asar ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment bhi traders ke liye ek aur ahem pehlu hai. Kisi bhi mulk ki economic stability aur growth ka ehsaas demand ko tezi se shift kar sakta hai. Agar investors ko lagta hai ke US economy UK ki muqablay mein zyada mazboot hai, to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ki girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar US mein kisi bhi qisam ka economic distress nazar aata hai, to yeh pound ko support de sakta hai.



Mukhtasir yeh kehna hai ke aane wale US CPI aur PPI data releases GBP/USD ke future outlook ko tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar pair 1.30433 ke critical resistance level ko cross karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh further gains ke liye raah khol sakta hai, jo bullish sentiment aur favorable economic indicators se mazid barh sakta hai. Lekin agar upward movement ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh retracement ko janam de sakta hai, jo economic data aur geopolitical developments ko monitor karne ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai. Jab traders is complex landscape mein navigate karte hain, to market dynamics ka achha samajhna informed decisions ke liye zaroori hoga.