gbp/usd

اکتوبر 15 2024 کے لیے برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پاؤنڈ کے الٹ جانے کی صلاحیت کمزور ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر، ایک اہم اشارے کی حیثیت سے، سنگین الٹ جانے کے کوئی آثار نہیں دکھاتا ہے۔ 1.3141 یا اس سے قدرے اوپر کی معمولی اصلاح، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچنا، بڑے اتپریرک کے بغیر بھی ممکن ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.3080 سے اوپر ٹوٹ جاتی ہے تو 1.3141 کے ہدف کی سطح کو کھلا سمجھا جا سکتا ہے۔



دو دنوں میں، ای سی بی ایک میٹنگ کرے گا جہاں شرح میں 0.25 فیصد کمی کی توقع ہے۔ غیر ڈالر کی کرنسیوں کی مجموعی طور پر افسردہ حالت کو دیکھتے ہوئے، قیمت چینل کی نچلی حد کی طرف، 1.2905 کے نشان کے ارد گرد پاؤنڈ میں کمی کا منظر نامہ سامنے آ رہا ہے۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن زیرو لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو رہا ہے۔ کم از کم، مقامی قیمت 1.3141 تک بڑھنے کا قوی امکان ہے۔ 1.3141 سے اوپر ہولڈنگ، جو کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ بھی موافق ہے، 1.3220 میں پیش رفت کے لیے ایک مضبوط سگنل ہوگا۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD

GBP/USD pair jo iss waqt 1.30140 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, ne kuch arsay se bearish trend dikhayi hai. Yeh downward movement is baat ka ishara hai ke sellers ka pressure buyers se zyada hai, jiski wajah se British pound ki qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho rahi hai. Halaanki market dheemi raftaar se chal rahi hai, kuch aise asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain jo is baat ki nishani dete hain ke agle kuch dino mein significant shift ho sakta hai, jo market mein volatility ko barha sakta hai.
Kai factors hain jo is anticipated movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Pehli baat yeh hai ke UK aur US se anay wali economic data releases GBP/USD pair ke behavior mein ahm kirdar ada karti hain. Koi bhi bara elaan, jaise ke interest rates mein tabdeeli, inflation figures, ya employment reports, badi harakat ko trigger kar sakti hain. Misal ke taur par agar Bank of England (BoE) interest rates barhane ka ishara karta hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake, to yeh pound ko mazid taqat de sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko ooper push kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar US se strong economic data aati hai to yeh dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hai, jis se pair aur neeche ja sakti hai.

Ek aur ahm factor jo dekhne layak hai wo hai ongoing geopolitical situation, jisme trade agreements aur Brexit se mutaliq developments bhi shamil hain. Koi bhi unexpected khabar ya negotiations market ke sentiment mein achanak tabdeeli la sakti hain, jo GBP/USD exchange rate mein taiz upar ya neeche ki harakat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, global market sentiment ka bhi is pair par asar hota hai. Agar investors risk se bachne ke liye safe-haven assets dhoondh rahe hon, to dollar kaafi dafa gain karta hai, jisse GBP/USD girta hai. Agar risk-on sentiment ho, to pound zyada taqatwar ho sakta hai.

Nazdeek ke waqt mein, technical analysis yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke traders ko ek potential breakout ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Agar bearish trend jari rehta hai, to pair lower support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jo ek downward breakout ka imkan paida karega. Magar agar koi reversal hota hai, aur pair key resistance levels ke upar break karta hai, to yeh ek naye bullish trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI, aur MACD in movements ko confirm karne mein madadgar honge.

Mukhtasir mein, jabke GBP/USD is waqt downward trend mein hai aur dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai, traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ke agle kuch waqt mein sharp movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur technical signals ko monitor karna agle price action ke liye zaroori hoga. Jo log actively is pair ko trade kar rahe hain, unhein ehtiyaat karni chahiye kyun ke aanay wale data aur events se volatility barh sakti hai, jo risks aur opportunities dono ka sabab ban sakti hai.



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GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD D1 time frame par yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke currency pair kuch trading dinon tak range-bound movement dikhata raha. Yeh consolidation key resistance level 1.3240 ke just upar hui. Is doran, market indecisive raha, kyunki bulls aur bears control ke liye takra rahe the, jis se sideways movement hui. Is range zone mein, price upper resistance aur lower support levels ke beech fluctuate hota raha, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech ek temporary balance banata hai.

Kayi dinon tak range hone ke baad, GBP/USD ne finally range zone ke support level ko tod diya. Yeh bearish breakout bohot ahem tha, kyunki yeh darshata hai ke sellers ne market par control hasil kar liya hai. Pair ne moving average lines ke neeche bhi cross kiya, jo pichle hafte se barh rahe bearish momentum ko aur confirm karta hai. Jab koi currency pair apne moving averages ke neeche girta hai, to isay aam tor par bearish signal samjha jata hai. Traders aksar moving averages ko trend ki overall direction determine karne ke liye istemal karte hain. Is case mein, price ka moving averages ke neeche jana yeh strong indication hai ke bears control mein hain aur market mein downward pressure aage bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai.


**GBP/USD Market Behavior Analysis**

Market behavior ke hawale se, yeh consolidation phase bohot critical hai. Agar 1.30000 ke bottom liquidity zone ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka sanket de sakta hai, jisme potential downside targets 1.29500 ya isse neeche ho sakte hain, jo pehle ke demand areas ke sath align karte hain.

Magar, agar pair 1.31000 ke resistance ko todta hai, to bullish retracement FVG zone ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo buyers ko upar ke levels test karne ka mauka dega, khaaskar 1.31500–1.32500 ke aas-paas.

Aam tor par, jab market ne apne girne ko thoda ruk diya hai, to yeh consolidation phase yeh darshata hai ke yeh ek indecision period hai jahan liquidity agle significant move ke liye build ho rahi hai. Bulls aur bears dono momentum confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain, isliye 1.30000 aur 1.31000 ke aas-paas ke key levels future price action ke liye bohot critical hain.

Agar bullish momentum wapas aata hai, to FVG buyers ke liye ek tempting target hai, lekin bears ab bhi control mein hain jab tak price 1.31000 ke neeche rahta hai.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

GBP/USD pair ne Monday ko neeche ki taraf move kiya, lekin asal mein, hum ek bilkul flat market dekh rahe hain. Haan, price dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai, lekin volatility minimal hai aur movement bohot erratic hai. Is liye, is movement ko intraday trade karna bohot mushkil hai aur shayad ye worthwhile bhi nahi hai. Phir bhi, British pound girta ja raha hai, jabke kal kisi bhi macroeconomic publication ya fundamental event ka ghatna nahi hua.

Agar price conditional trendline ko break bhi kar deti hai, toh ye zyada maayne nahi rakhega. Sab log do hafton se correction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek flat movement mein trendline ka break hona ye nahi hai ke pound 100–200 points tak correct hoga. Medium term mein, hum ab bhi umeed karte hain ke pair girta rahega. Is hafte UK inflation report ko madde nazar rakhein.

5-minute timeframe par, Monday ko kuch trade signals bane, lekin un par amal karne ki koi wajah nahi thi. 5-minute chart par saaf dikhai deta hai ke price poore din sideways move kar rahi thi. Flat market mein levels, trendlines, aur doosre technical signals/indicators kaam nahi karte.

**Tuesday Ko Trading Kaise Karein:**

Hourly timeframe par, GBP/USD pair ne upward trend ko break kiya hai aur girna jaari rakha hai. US dollar ne apni upward trend phir se shuru kar di hai, lekin selling karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki pair ne pichle do hafton mein kisi bhi correction ki koshish nahi ki. Phir bhi, abhi correction ki umeed rakhne ka koi asal sabab nahi hai. Medium term mein, hum expect karte hain ke pair girta rahega, kyunki hum ye sirf ek logical option samajhte hain.

Tuesday ko phir se kuch nahi, sirf flat movement ki umeed hai. Hum beginner traders ko yaad dilate hain ke flat market mein trendlines ya levels ko break karne par bohot kamzor signals milte hain. Aur abhi hum bohot low volatility ka bhi samna kar rahe hain.

5-minute timeframe par, aap levels 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3365, 1.3428-1.3440, 1.3488, aur 1.3537 se trade kar sakte hain. Tuesday ko UK wage aur unemployment reports publish honge. Ye kuch interesting reports hain, lekin kamzor downward trend shayad barqarar rahega, saath hi low volatility bhi. Wednesday ko, UK inflation report market ko thoda hila sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair par tawajju dete hue, maujooda market dynamics yeh darshata hai ke ek golden cross pattern bana hai. Yeh pattern tab hota hai jab 50-period moving average (MA) 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar chala jata hai, jo technical analysis mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh crossover potential upward momentum ka ishara deta hai, khaaskar jab sellers 1.0875 aur 1.0954 par support levels ko torne mein nakam rahe hain. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, traders golden cross formation ko sell order lagane ka signal samajh sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke maujooda market conditions par nazar dalne par yeh saaf hai ke pair pichle hafte se upar ke levels par jane ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin, is upward movement ki sustainability ke bare mein shak hai. Oscillators yeh darshate hain ke jabke pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin kuch indicators aggressive buying ke khilaf caution dete hain. Isliye, mauqe par bechnay ki sochna zyada behtar hai, khaaskar jab reversal ka potential ho.

Haal ke market behavior is cautious approach ko support karta hai. Pichle hafte ke price movements ke baad, jab market ek upward push ke baad jaldi se retrace hua, yeh zaroori hai ke vigilant rahein. Aisi volatility se yeh darshata hai ke traders ko kisi bhi entry decision se pehle situation ko achi tarah se samajhna chahiye. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke market tezi se shift ho sakta hai, jo capital preservation ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Capital safety par tawajju dena bhi zaroori hai. Jab traders market mein navigate karte hain, toh risk management ko effectively handle karna vital hai. Protective measures, jaise appropriate stop-loss orders set karna, traders ko unexpected downturns se apne capital ko mehfooz rakhne mein madad de sakta hai, jo ek sense of security faraham karta hai. Agar risk management ko nazar andaz kiya jaye, toh bohat zyada losses ka khatara hota hai bina samjhe.

Khilaf, jabke GBP/USD pair golden cross bana raha hai aur potential dikhata hai, lekin market conditions ye darshati hain ke ek zyada cautious approach zaroori hai.

**GBP/USD ANALYSIS**

**D1 Period Chart**
Ek baar phir, main D1 period chart par nazar rakhne ka mashwara dunga - GBPUSD currency pair. Aakhri kuch hafton mein sellers ka raaj raha hai, aur yeh pehle se hi wazeh tha ke girne ki bohot zyada sambhavna thi. MACD indicator jo istemal kiya gaya tha, usne bearish divergence dikhayi - jo ke ek mazboot sell signal hai. Aap ek decline ka figure bhi bana sakte hain - ek ascending wedge. Dusra indicator, CCI, ne bhi decline dikhaya, isne bhi MACD ki tarah bearish divergence dikhayi. Aam tor par, doosre currency pairs, dosti aur dushmani ke, ne US dollar ki taqat mein izafa ki nishandahi ki hai.

Jo girawat hui, woh pehle se hi umeed thi. Is girawat ke doran, ek horizontal support level 1.3010 tak pahuncha gaya. Aakhri daily candle ne upar ki taraf ek khasiyat se band hui, jo ke growth ki shuruat ka ishara hai, khaaskar jab yeh serious support ke nazdeek ho. CCI indicator ne neeche ke overheating zone se upar ki taraf jaane shuru kiya. MACD indicator par bhi choti 4-hour period mein bullish divergence hai. Aam tor par, market ke mukhya currencies ab correction karne ka iraada rakh rahi hain, kafi zyada US dollar ki taqat ke baad.

Beshak, wo ab bhi qeemat ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar sakte hain, lekin aam tor par, neeche ki taraf chalne ka potential ab kam hai, jabke upar ki taraf chalne ka potential is marahil par zyada dilchasp hai. Mukhtasar yeh ke, main sirf upar ki taraf entries par ghور karunga jab chhote time periods par mutabiq formations banengi. Aage neeche jaana promising lagta hai, lekin sirf upar ki correction ke baad, nazriyat ke mutabiq umeed ki ja rahi growth resistance level 1.3233 tak pahuncha sakti hai, kyunki yeh kabhi bhi neeche se test nahi hui hai uski breakdown ke baad.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai, jismein kal ka breakout bullish buy level se upar nikalna ghalat sabit hua. Is breakout ke baad koi khaas upar ki harkat nahi dekhi gayi, aur bearish sell level 1.31285 ko breach kar diya gaya. Ye bearish breakdown asal mein bullish bias ko khatam kar deta hai, jis wajah se main selling ki taraf shift ho gaya hoon. Ab main ummeed karta hoon ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakti hai, lekin ye aur bhi niche ja sakti hai, chahe woh bearish channel ke lower boundary ki taraf ho ya support level 1.29384 tak. Main sirf tab dobara buying ka sochunga jab bullish buy level se upar koi breakout ho. Filhal, meri alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to main foran buying karunga aur 1.31849-1.32089 resistance levels ki taraf badhne ki ummeed rakhunga. Pehle ki high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main ab bhi upar ki taraf harkat ko mumkin samajhta hoon, isi liye main apni buy position band karne mein hichkichahat kar raha hoon. 1.3049 ke aas-paas ek puri tarah se upward movement price ko mere profit target 1.3407 tak le ja sakti hai, lekin main is natije ki tasdiq nahi kar sakta. Agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jate hain, to main apni buy position manual tor par band kar sakta hoon, kyunki bullish move ke chances kafi kam ho jayenge. Pehle, maine 1.3099-1.3049 range tak girne ki umeed ki thi, aur main ab bhi is ka intezar kar raha hoon kyunki pair filhal overbought lag raha hai. Jab ke euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag mita diya hai, pound sirf 29% tak wapas gaya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% tak girta hai, to European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates ghatane ki sambhavna hai, jab ke UK ke inflation data ka intezar hai. Jab yeh data release hoga, to market ko samajh aayega ke Bank of England bhi rates ghatata rahega. Overall, is hafte meri GBP/USD ke liye bearish soch hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pair 1.3141 se upar ja sakta hai.

Yeh nafrat hai ke GBP/USD turant 1.3199 ya isse upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunki dollar ki taqat behtar fundamentals ki wajah se barh gayi hai. H1 chart par downward pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidne se zyada faida mand lagta hai, kyunki behtar prices for long positions jald mil sakti hain. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 range mein selling ke mauqe 1.3074 support level ke neeche break karne ko target kar sakte hain. Bahut se buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke paas rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, jo buying ke liye abhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar stops 1.3074 support level ke neeche tootte hain, to buying transactions zyada faida mand ho sakti hain. Agar koi corrective move price ko 1.3182 tak le jata hai, to ye 50-point ka faida ho sakta hai, jo proportionally zyada faida mand hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye tootta hai aur hold karta hai, to agla target 161.8 level tak 1.2992 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo 134 points ki doori tay karega, aur agar bounce hota hai to aage aur faide ki sambhavna hai.

Hamari guftagu real-time mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki evaluation ke ird gird ghoomti hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye sabse zyada reliable predictions downward trend ki taraf ishara karti hain. Is liye, main confidently GBP/USD pair ko sell karne ki sifarish karta hoon. Technical taur par, pichle haftay ka close 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hua, jo bearish activity ka aik naya signal tha. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators deep negative territory mein hain aur oversold levels se kaafi door hain, jo bearish outlook ko aur zyada mazid confirm karta hai. Yeh sab is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke GBP/USD ke liye sabse aasaan rasta downward hi hai, aur is direction mein sell karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke pound is waqt strong hotay dollar ke muqable mein kaafi mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, jo Forex market mein apni taqat barhata ja raha hai. Ahem technical indicators, jaise ke CCI, short-term mein selling ko support karte hain, aur daily aur weekly charts bhi sellers ko favor karte hain. Main sifarish karta hoon ke current levels par sell kiya jaye, aur target 1.2839 ke aas paas rakha jaye.
Aaj ke market movement ka agar dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ke broader picture mein koi bara farq nahi aaya; pair ab bhi steady downward trajectory mein hai. Halankeh aaj dono directions mein thori bohot movement hui, lekin price na toh apne pichle lows tak pohoncha, aur na hi 1.30 mark tak jo ke ab bhi target mein hai. Upward movement ke jo attempts kiye gaye woh bhi stall ho gaye hain, jiski wajah se pair tight range mein aur kam volatility ke sath trade kar raha hai. Halankeh U.S. dollar aaj kuch taqat dikhata hai, GBP/USD mein koi badi tabdeeli nahi aayi, aur koi immediate objectives samne nahi hain. Lekin, main yeh ihtimal nazar andaz nahi kar sakta ke price 1.30 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar koi false breakdown hota hai, toh aise conditions mein buying ka socha ja sakta hai. GBP/USD kuch dino se support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, aur koi clear trend emerge nahi ho raha. Is liye, main is waqt actively is pair ko trade nahi kar raha—na selling, na buying—aur market ko koi economic news ya data release ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke market mein koi nayi direction la sake.

GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai. 1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan
Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.
Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors
Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.
Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.

/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke ek naya 4-week low tak pohch gayi, jab ke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedain kamzor ho gayi hain, is ke pichay mazboot US labor market data hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions ne risk-off environment ko barhawa diya, jo ke British Pound par aur zyada wazan dal raha hai. Market ab November mein dovish 25 basis point ka rate cut price kar raha hai, jo ke market ke expectations se neeche hai, jab ke Fed ne September mein aggressive 50 basis point ka cut diya tha. Lekin, Fed ki rhetoric yeh suggest karti hai ke agar US economy mein mazeed kharabi aayi, khaaskar US labor market mein, to interest rates mein zyada volatility aasakti hai. Pichlay haftay ke strong nonfarm payrolls data ne November mein do rate cuts ki umeed ko tor diya, aur interest rate traders ab is baat ka ek-in-five chance de rahe hain ke November mein koi rate cut nahi hoga. Jab ke UK se data limited hai, sterling traders ab US CPI inflation data ko closely dekh rahe hain jo ke Fed ki future monetary policy ka raasta tay karne mein madad de sakti hai.GBP/USD pair ne apni 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break kiya hai aur ab 1.3100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mid-September se nahi dekha gaya tha. Sterling mein 2.8% ki weakness aayi hai, halaan ke pichlay month mein multi-year highs dekhe gaye the. Technically, GBP/USD pair se ek corrective bounce ki umeed hai towards 1.3154 aur high volume node area ke neeche daily bullish range ke neeche tak. Lekin mazeed losses ke imkanaat hain, aur potential support levels 1.3032 par hain.Mazboot US dollar ki wajah se GBP/USD ka loss aur zyada severe hogaya hai. Yeh girawat US labor market data ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke less aggressive rate-cut scenario ko barhawa de raha hai. Dollar ne apni safe-haven position qaim rakhi hai, halaan ke Middle East tensions ki wajah se market mein volatility hai, jo pair par pressure barhata hai aur agar 1.3100 ka support break hota hai to further declines ka imkaan hai.
Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga. Agar sellers ka control barh gaya aur price 1.3050 ke neeche chali gayi, to pair 1.3030 ka figure challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support 1.3023 ke qareeb hoga, followed by 1.3000 ka key level. Mazeed girawat mein pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ko test kar sakta hai at 1.2973, jo ke bearish traders ke liye dekhne ka ek critical area

GBP/USD ke 1-hour chart par ek consolidation phase nazar aa raha hai, jo ke ek lambay bearish trend ke baad hai. Filhal, ye 1.30671 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. 1.33000 se tezi se girne ke baad, ye pair 1.30000 ke aas-paas ek liquidity zone mein aaya, jo ke mazboot support bana raha aur aage ke girawat ko rok raha hai. Is level ke aas-paas do liquidity zones hain jo ye dikhate hain ke price ne bechne ke pressure se kuch waqt ke liye rahat payi.
1.30000 aur 1.31000 ke darmiyan consolidation phase yeh darshata hai ke market ke hissa daar agle direction ka andaza laga rahe hain. Chart par multiple liquidity grabs (Dliq) nazar aa rahe hain, jo yeh dikhate hain ke price fluctuations ne liquidity ikattha kiya hai, khaaskar 1.31000 ke level ke aas-paas, jo ke resistance bana hua hai. 1.31500 aur 1.32500 ke darmiyan ek unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) maujood hai, jo ek potential target area hai agar price 1.31000 se upar chali jaye. Lekin, filhal upward momentum ki kami ke wajah se price 1.31000 liquidity zone ke neeche locked hai, jahan sellers resistance dikha rahain hain.



Market behavior ke hawale se, ye consolidation phase bohot ahem hai. Agar price 1.30000 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish trend ka jaari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, jahan potential downside targets 1.29500 ya usse neeche ho sakte hain, jo pehle ke demand areas se milte hain. Magar agar pair 1.31000 ke resistance ko todti hai, to bullish retracement FVG zone ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo buyers ko uchi levels ko test karne ka mauka dega, khaaskar 1.31500–1.32500 ke aas-paas.

Maqsad ye hai ke jab tak market ka descent roka hua hai, ye consolidation phase ye darshata hai ke liquidity agle significant move ke liye ikattha ho rahi hai. Dono bulls aur bears momentum confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain, is liye 1.30000 aur 1.31000 ke aas-paas key levels future price action ke liye critical hain. Agar bullish momentum wapas aata hai, to FVG buyers ke liye tempting target ban sakta hai, lekin bears ab bhi control mein hain jab tak price 1.31000 ke neeche hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ab ek mushkil maidan se guzar rahi hai jahan support aur resistance levels traders ke liye bohot ahem hain, takay wo potential price movements ko samajh saken. Filhal, 1.30400 ke aas-paas kuch significant barriers nazar aa rahe hain, jahan price ne notable reactions dikhaye hain. Ye level ek key resistance point ke taur par kaam karta hai, jahan traders selling positions lene ya profits ko protect karne ke liye stops ko tighten karne par ghoor kar sakte hain.
Agla significant resistance level 1.3040 ke aas-paas hai. Ye area itihasik tor par ek pivot point raha hai, jo aksar reversals ya consolidations ki taraf le jata hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke upar momentum banaye rakhne mein nakam hota hai, to ye bearish sentiment ka ishara de sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar price is level ko todti hai, to ye upward movement ki taraf lead kar sakta hai, jo bullish traders ko attract karega.

Ek aur ahem level 1.30289 hai, jo bhi resistance ka kaam karta hai. Agar pair phir se is level ke kareeb aata hai, to traders ye dekhenge ke market kaise react karta hai. Agar yahan rejection hoti hai, to ye dikhata hai ke bulls ki taqat kam ho rahi hai, jabke breakout hone par rally ke liye mauka mil sakta hai.

Downside par, immediate support level 1.3051 hai. Ye area downward moves ke khilaf kuch protection dene ki umeed hai, jo selling pressure ka floor ban sakta hai. Is level ke neeche girna bullish positions ke liye pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai aur ye zyada significant girawat ka trigger kar sakta hai.

Agar GBP/USD 1.2351 ke neeche girta hai, to ye aage ke declines ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai, shayad 1.30352 tak. Aisa hone par long positions rakhne wale traders ke liye ye chinta ka sabab hoga, kyunki ye market sentiment mein breakdown ka ishara dega.

1.3062 aur 1.30739 ke zones ki ahmiyat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye areas currency pair ke overall trend ko tay karne mein ahem hain. Agar price 1.30739 ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to ye momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai, naye buying interest ko attract karte hue price ko uchi resistance levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar in levels par momentum banaye rakhne mein nakam rahta hai, to price support ki taraf tezi se gir sakti hai.



Nateejah ye hai ke GBP/USD pair ab ek critical juncture par hai, jahan mukhtalif resistance aur support levels asar daal rahe hain. Traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye, kyunki in key areas ke aas-paas ke movements near-term direction tay kar sakte hain. In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ka taluq yeh tay karega ke GBP/USD sustained rally kar sakta hai ya selling pressure ka shikaar hoga.

In dynamics ko samajhna informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hai. In critical levels ke paas price action ka musalsal monitoring traders ko potential reversals ka andaza lagane aur market opportunities ka faida uthane mein madad karega. Jaise jaise currency pair fluctuate karta rahega, economic indicators aur geopolitical developments ke saath updated rehna bhi future movements ki forecasting ke liye ahem hoga.

GBP/USD Price Action
Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka jaiza lenge. GBP/USD pichle do trading sessions se 30 range mein dheere dheere oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, jumme ko market ke close hone ke kareeb, isne ek bearish move kiya jab ye Ichimoku Cloud indicator mein thodi dair ke liye ghus gaya. Iske bawajood, price cloud se nikal kar apni upper boundary ke just upar rahi, 1.3056 level se rebound karte hue. Ye point ab critical hai. Agar ye level tutta hai, to main 1.3040 aur 1.3020 tak selling ki umeed karta hoon. Agar price 1.3056 ke upar rahti hai, to ye 1.3091, 1.3111, aur us se upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai. Price ne Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche girne se inkaar kiya hai; har baar jab ye andar aata hai, ye jaldi se upar ki taraf rebound karta hai. H1 timeframe par CPI indicator ne tezi se neeche ki taraf ishara diya hai, jo bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Lekin, sales 1.3056 par ruki hui hain, aur is level ka breakdown aage ke downward pressure ka ishara de sakta hai.



Price 1.2969 ke region tak gir sakta hai, phir 1.3244 ki taraf rebound kar sakta hai. Aap theek the jab aapne M30 se H4 par focus shift kiya; filhal, price dono Ichimoku Cloud borders ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Indicators selling trend ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyunki market bearish hai. Lekin, jumme ka bullish reversal abhi bhi active hai. 1.3020 par triple-touch pattern yeh darshata hai ke reversal model, jo triple bottom ke saath hai, kaam kar sakta hai, halankeh haal mein false breakout hua hai. 1.3056 ke upar break ho chuka hai, jo aage ke gains ki sambhavna ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Peer ko hum Ichimoku Cloud ki lower boundary 1.3140 par test kar sakte hain. H4 chart par 1.3244 ka ultimate target achievable hai, lekin market mein kuch hesitation abhi bhi maujood hai. Shuru mein, maine 1.2989 region ki taraf false break ki umeed ki thi. H4 par CCI intense buying pressure dikhata hai, lekin ye neeche ki taraf angled hai, kyunki aakhri candle ka pullback bullish reversal ko invalidate karne mein nakam raha.

GBP/USD Pair ka H-4 Time Frame mein Jaiza
Mere khayal mein, is hafte market ki volatility thodi kam hui hai jab pichle hafte ke trading volume ke sath tulna ki jaye. Is halat ko hum Weekly time frame ke zariye dekh sakte hain, jahan is hafte ka bearish candlestick pichle hafte se chhota hai. Agar hum chhoti si nishkarsh nikaalain, to GBP/USD currency pair ab bhi sellers ke pressure mein hai, kyunki ye 1.3400 ke upar bullish rally banaye rakhne mein nakam raha. Aisa lagta hai ke buyers 1.3430 ke price zone ko todne mein bhi nakam hain.

Agar is hafte ke price downtrend ke tafseelat par nazar daalain, to ye reversal trend ka ishara de sakta hai jo uptrend se downtrend ki taraf badal raha hai. Is liye agle hafte ke liye, sell trading ke liye intezaar karne ka acha mauqa hai, kyunki price phir se apne lowest point par gir sakta hai. Halankeh market ne upward correction ke sath close kiya, mujhe jo technical observation mila hai wo ye hai ke market strong seller dominance ke sath chal rahi hai. Buyers ki koshish price ko bearish zone se nikaalne ki abhi tak optimal nahi hai, khaaskar is hafte jab price 1.3154 se bohot door gir gayi hai. Ye agle hafte bearish trend signal ka imkaan dikhata hai.



Mujhe lagta hai ke agar bearish trend ka silsila jaari raha, to humein 1.3019 level par tawajju deni chahiye jo candlestick ke zariye paar ho sakta hai. Agar ye scenario market mein hota hai, to technically GBP/USD ki price kamzori ki taraf jaari rahegi aur ye sellers ke liye mauqa banega ke wo price par zyada pressure dal saken. Halankeh market ke close hone par MACD indicator thoda upar ki taraf chal raha hai, lekin humne dekha ke Saturday raat ko ek upward correction bhi aaya. Shayad agle hafte ke shuruat mein price thodi sideways move kare, lekin price ki kamzori ka trend ab bhi strong hai jo bearish signal dene mein madad karega.

GBP/USD Pair par Trading Scenario:

Upar di gayi analysis ke natije se, main nishkarsh nikaal raha hoon ke price movement ka trend ab bhi downtrend zone mein hai, is liye sirf ek strong bearish momentum ka intezar karna hai. Buyers ki koshish 1.3082 level par price ko test karne ki, sellers se strong resistance ka samna kar sakti hai, is liye bearish trend ka silsila jaari rakhne ka option khula hai. Mere khayal mein, agar bearish market ka scenario analysis ke mutabiq chalta hai, to price ki girawat ka target 1.3002 level tak ja sakta hai.