جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai, jismein kal ka breakout bullish buy level se upar nikalna ghalat sabit hua. Is breakout ke baad koi khaas upar ki harkat nahi dekhi gayi, aur bearish sell level 1.31285 ko breach kar diya gaya. Ye bearish breakdown asal mein bullish bias ko khatam kar deta hai, jis wajah se main selling ki taraf shift ho gaya hoon. Ab main ummeed karta hoon ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakti hai, lekin ye aur bhi niche ja sakti hai, chahe woh bearish channel ke lower boundary ki taraf ho ya support level 1.29384 tak. Main sirf tab dobara buying ka sochunga jab bullish buy level se upar koi breakout ho. Filhal, meri alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to main foran buying karunga aur 1.31849-1.32089 resistance levels ki taraf badhne ki ummeed rakhunga. Pehle ki high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main ab bhi upar ki taraf harkat ko mumkin samajhta hoon, isi liye main apni buy position band karne mein hichkichahat kar raha hoon. 1.3049 ke aas-paas ek puri tarah se upward movement price ko mere profit target 1.3407 tak le ja sakti hai, lekin main is natije ki tasdiq nahi kar sakta. Agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jate hain, to main apni buy position manual tor par band kar sakta hoon, kyunki bullish move ke chances kafi kam ho jayenge. Pehle, maine 1.3099-1.3049 range tak girne ki umeed ki thi, aur main ab bhi is ka intezar kar raha hoon kyunki pair filhal overbought lag raha hai. Jab ke euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag mita diya hai, pound sirf 29% tak wapas gaya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% tak girta hai, to European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates ghatane ki sambhavna hai, jab ke UK ke inflation data ka intezar hai. Jab yeh data release hoga, to market ko samajh aayega ke Bank of England bhi rates ghatata rahega. Overall, is hafte meri GBP/USD ke liye bearish soch hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pair 1.3141 se upar ja sakta hai.

Yeh nafrat hai ke GBP/USD turant 1.3199 ya isse upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunki dollar ki taqat behtar fundamentals ki wajah se barh gayi hai. H1 chart par downward pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidne se zyada faida mand lagta hai, kyunki behtar prices for long positions jald mil sakti hain. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 range mein selling ke mauqe 1.3074 support level ke neeche break karne ko target kar sakte hain. Bahut se buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke paas rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, jo buying ke liye abhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar stops 1.3074 support level ke neeche tootte hain, to buying transactions zyada faida mand ho sakti hain. Agar koi corrective move price ko 1.3182 tak le jata hai, to ye 50-point ka faida ho sakta hai, jo proportionally zyada faida mand hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye tootta hai aur hold karta hai, to agla target 161.8 level tak 1.2992 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo 134 points ki doori tay karega, aur agar bounce hota hai to aage aur faide ki sambhavna hai.

ern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki v
ko aane wali NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) report ke expectations ko 147K se zyada paar karne ka imkaan hai, jo USD ko is hafte ke doran apne bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka moqa dega. Agar weekly chart dekha jaye, toh USDX ka weekly basis par 102.00 se upar close karne ka imkaan hai. Daily chart (jo ke left side par hai) mein yeh wazeh hai ke GBP/USD market ne 1.3212 - 1.3156 ke yellow base area ke neechay close kiya hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke paas 1.3000 level ke significant support ki taraf girne ka bara imkaan hai. Is price level se market mein strong buyer reaction ke zariye ek bounce hone ka bara imkaan hai, kyunke yahaan strong support zone hai, jo ke lower BB aur Purple EMA100 ke darmiyan hai. Iske ilawa, yeh area wo lowest swing hai jab price 1.3430 ki taraf upar jaane wala tha, toh isko future trading ke liye buying ke liye rujhan banaya ja sakta hai. Lekin, Daily Red EMA200 ki taraf mazeed girawat ka imkaan bhi khula hai, magar iske liye zaroori shart yeh hai ke 1.3000 ke gray support ka solid tor hona zaroori hai. Filhaal, market ka bearish rujhan barqarar hai, is liye agar koi upward correction hoti hai aur yellow resistance ke 1.3156 tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh ek acha waqt hoga sell option ko open karne ke liye. Daily basis par sell scenario ko H4 basis par bhi support milta hai. Pehle se hi ek bearish signal momentum sell candlestick ki shakal mein nazar aya jo lower BB ko poori taqat ke sath tor gaya, isliye downward movement impulsive thi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke overall price quotation Red EMA200 se neeche hai, isliye medium-term trend reversal ka imkaan kam hai. Is assumption ke madde nazar, jab price upar uthegi toh yeh sirf ek correction hogi aur hum sell karne ke liye tayar hain. Mere khayal mein behtareen sell location green resistance 1.3169 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle ki Daily basis

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, us ne haal hi mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ki upper resistance level ko test kiya hai, jo ke ek ahem zone hai jo tareekh mein baray price movements ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hai. Yeh resistance level har baar jab bhi price is range ke kareeb aata hai, toh bechne wale (sellers) market mein wapas aate hain aur price ko neeche kheench dete hain. Is liye, yeh zone traders ke liye dekhnay ke liye ek ahem area hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short position lene ka soch rahe hain.
Agar price phir se is resistance level par retrace karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye accha entry point ho sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai, jahan se buyers se sellers ki taraf momentum shift hota hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh dhyan se dekhein ke price is 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ke kareeb kaise behave karti hai, kyunki yeh area barabar market ka turning point bana hai. Yahan bechne wale aam tor par ghus aate hain, neeche ka dabao daal kar price ko reverse karte hain. Is liye yeh ek prime location hai traders ke liye jo price direction mein potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ne buyers aur sellers ke liye ek crucial battleground ka kaam kiya hai. Is area mein sellers aam tor par dominate karte hain, jo price retracements ko daal kar pair ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Agar yeh pattern barqarar raha, toh agar price phir se is resistance par aata hai, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke price 1.3074 se 1.3057 level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Bhari nazar rakhne wale traders ko yeh resistance level short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunki yeh baar baar bechne walon ke control mein wapas aata hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action is resistance zone ke aas paas invaluable clues provide karega ke market reverse hone wala hai ya bhi bulls phir se breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko rejection signs dekhna chahiye is resistance zone se, jese ke candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ka izhar karte hain ya volume spikes jo sellers ki taraf se increased participation ka signal dete hain.

GBP/USD ke silent points:

Aane wale dinon mein, UK CPI rate, Claimant Count Rate, aur UK Retail Sales Rate se buyers ko taqat mil sakti hai. Doosri taraf, US Unemployment rate, Retail Sales, FOMC member meetings, aur Fed Funds Rate bhi khaas ahmiyat rakhte hain. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke is hafte GBP/USD market mein achi harkat hogi, aur hum accha munafa kama sakte hain.

Saath hi, US ke economic indicators par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo GBP/USD exchange rate ko asar de sakte hain. US Unemployment rate ek ahm factor hai; is rate mein koi bhi tabdeeli Federal Reserve ki policies aur market sentiment ko asar انداز kar sakti hai. US se aane wale Retail Sales figures se hume consumer behavior ke bare mein maloomat milegi. Agar retail sales mein mazboot growth nazar aati hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke US economy achhi tarah se perform kar rahi hai, jo ke dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hai.

FOMC member meetings bhi ek aur ahm pehlu hain, kyun ke Federal Reserve officials ke beech hone wali discussions aur insights market expectations ko future interest rate changes ke bare mein shape kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, Fed Funds Rate ek key interest rate hai jo borrowing costs ko dictate karta hai aur yeh US dollar ki taqat par gehra asar daal sakta hai.

Isliye, in factors ka milan yeh darshata hai ke is hafte GBP/USD market achi harkat karega, UK aur US dono ke economic data releases ka response dete hue. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum alert rahein aur potential volatility ke liye tayar rahein, kyun ke yeh indicators profit opportunities create kar sakte hain.

In developments ko monitor karne se hum GBP/USD pair mein hone wali harkaton se accha munafa kama sakte hain. In economic signals ka convergence yeh darshata hai ke is hafte savvy investors ke liye khaas tor par fruitful ho sakta hai. Agar hum in indicators par dhyan dein aur timely decisions lein, to is week mein fayda uthana mumkin hoga.

Pound sterling (GBP) aur US dollar (USD) ke darmiyan bazar abhi bhi aik sidewise market ka rukh ikhtiyar kar raha hai, jo naya haftah shuru hone par price trend ko consolidate kar raha hai. Pehle nisbatan, yeh 1.3000 ke aas paas aik tang trading area mein ghoom raha hai. Is waqt, spot price abhi tak aik mahine ki neechi taraf hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh recent girawat se aasanai se neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.3535 ke area se shuru hui thi. Yeh woh sab se unchi level hai jo March 2022 ke baad pichle mahine tak pohnch gayi thi. Logon ki speculation hai ke Bank of England (BOE) shayad interest rate cutting cycle ko tez kar sakta hai, jis wajah se GBP ki performance abhi bhi relatively poor hai. Is ke muqabil, market ne ab tak kisi bhi badi rate cut ki sambhavna ko khatam kar diya hai, jo US dollar ko do din ke unche sthal par rehne mein madad de raha hai, aur GBP/USD currency pair ne aik resistance bana liya hai.

Technical nazariye se dekha jaye toh pichle haftay ka closing price 50-day simple moving average (SMA) se neeche band hua hai, jo 12 August ke baad naya factor hai traders ke liye. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par oscillators abhi bhi negative area mein gehri tarah se trapped hain aur sell zone se kafi door hain. Yeh recent bearish outlook ko tasdiq karta hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ke liye resistance tak pohanchne ka raasta bohot chhota hai.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3200 ke upar band rehta hai toh yeh dekha jayega ke Fed ne behtareen taur par Wednesday ko interest rates ko do guna kar diya, jo currency ko 2.5 saal ki unchi level tak le gaya. Powell ne deflation se bachne mein apni confidence dikhayi, magar wo clearly loosening ki raftar nahi bata sake, jis wajah se rate 1.3200 se neeche chala gaya. Bank of England ka interest rate ka faisla calendar ka ahm pehlu hai, jo is waqt 1.3265 ke aas paas hai, jo August ke kareeb hai. RSI 50 ke upar chal raha hai, aur MACD red signal line ko key territory mein cross karne ke qareeb hai, jo risk ko biased dikhata hai. Lekin, stochastic shock indicators deflation ke liye tayar ho rahe hain, jis wajah se sudhar ka mauqa shayad mehsoos ho.

GBP/USD currency pair mein iss waqt positive trading momentum dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko breach karke uske upar stabilize kar raha hai. Yeh development significant hai, kyun ke yeh bullish intraday trend ke liye umeedon ko reinforce karta hai. Price movement jo ke ascending channel ke andar hai, yeh upward momentum ke liye mazeed support provide kar raha hai.

Traders ab kuch key levels par focus kar rahe hain jo agle steps ko dictate kar sakte hain. Bullish traders ke liye immediate targets 1.30837 aur 1.30637 par set kiye gaye hain. Yeh levels critical resistance points ko represent karte hain jahan market selling pressure face kar sakta hai, lekin yeh levels long positions walon ke liye profit-taking ke potential targets bhi hain.

1.30836 se 1.30973 ke range ke upar stability maintain karna bohot zaroori hai. Yeh area ek crucial support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur agar price action iss range ke upar sustain karta hai, to bullish trend ke continuation ke chances barh jaate hain. Agar GBP/USD is range ke upar rehta hai, to yeh strong buying interest ko signal karega, aur anticipated targets tak pohanchne ke chances mazeed barh jayenge.

Agar price iss support zone ke neeche breach karti hai, to yeh short-term bearish correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Aisi movement momentum mein kami ko indicate karegi aur current bullish outlook ka re-evaluation zaroori ho sakta hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke agar price 1.30836 level se neeche jaati hai, to selling activity shuru ho sakti hai jo price ko neeche push kar ke current trend ko reverse kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke zariye ascending channel ki significance bhi highlight ki gayi hai. Yeh pattern higher highs aur higher lows ko indicate karta hai, jo ek uptrend ka hissa hota hai. Jab tak price iss channel ke andar rehti hai, bullish outlook intact rahega. Traders is channel ko long positions ke entry points ko identify karne ke liye use karte hain, aur price retracements ka intezar karte hain taake lower boundary par dobara enter kar sakein.

Technical indicators ke ilawa, traders ko macroeconomic factors ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Dono UK aur US se economic data releases, jese GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur inflation statistics, currency valuations par significant asar daal sakti hain. Har economy ki relative strength GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karne mein bohot aham hogi.

Market sentiment bhi ek important factor hai. Agar traders British economy ke hawale se optimistic hain aur Bank of England ke potential interest rate hikes ko dekh rahe hain, to pound ke liye demand barh sakti hai, jo GBP/USD ko higher push karegi. Bar-aks, agar UK economy mein weakness ke signs nazar aate hain ya Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance zyada prominent hota hai, to pound par selling pressure barh sakta hai.



Summary mein, current bullish sentiment GBP/USD pair mein supported hai uski position ke base par jo ke 50-period SMA ke upar hai aur ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Key resistance levels 1.30837 aur 1.30637 par hain, jabke 1.30836-1.30973 range ke upar stability bullish trend ke continuation ke liye crucial hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to bearish corrections ka khatra bhi hai. Economic developments aur market sentiment ke bare mein informed rehna is dynamic trading environment mein kaamyabi ke liye zaroori hoga.

GBPUSD apni sideways consolidation ko 1.3000 level ke qareeb jari rakhta hai, aur naye trading week ke aghaz par limited movement dikha raha hai. Yeh pair ab bhi apne mahana low ke qareeb hai aur lagta hai ke apni recent decline ko jari rakhne ka imkaan hai, jo 1.3535 ke ilaqay se shuru hui thi, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sab se ooncha level tha. GBP ki kamzori ki wajah yeh afwahen hain ke Bank of England (BoE) apni interest rate-cutting cycle ko tez kar sakta hai, jabke US dollar mazid majboot hai kyunke market mein baray interest rate cuts ka imkaan kam ho gaya hai.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to guzishta haftay ka closing price 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neechay tha, jo August 12 ke baad pehli baar hua hai aur yeh traders ke liye aik ahm signal hai. Daily chart ke oscillators ab bhi negative territory mein hain, lekin ab tak oversold zone mein nahi pohanchay, jo bearish outlook ki tasdeeq kartay hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke GBPUSD ko continued resistance ka samna hoga aur mazid girawat ka imkaan zyada hai.
Bajood iske ke kuch recovery ka imkaan hai, GBPUSD ko 1.3200 se ooper sustain karna zaroori hoga kisi meaningful rally ke liye. Hal hi mein Federal Reserve ke unexpected rate hike ne currency pair ko aik naya 2.5 saal ka ooncha level diya tha, lekin yeh 1.3200 se neechay aa gaya jab Fed Chair Powell ne deflation se bachne ka confidence dikhaya, lekin future mein rate loosening ka clear pace nahi dikhaya.
Bank of England ka upcoming interest rate decision aik bara event hoga jo GBPUSD mein volatility la sakta hai. Is waqt yeh pair 1.3265 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo August ke level ke qareeb hai. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper ja raha hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bullish crossover ke qareeb hai. Magar stochastic oscillators deflation ka imkaan dikha rahe hain, jisse mazid upside limited ho sakti hai.Summary mein, jabke GBPUSD ke liye kuch short-term gains ka imkaan hai, bearish pressures ab bhi dominant hain.

Mujhe maafi chahye agar main ne baat samajhne mein ghalti ki. Ab main aapki text ko Roman Urdu mein translate karta hoon:Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is trading week ke doran, main ne H1 chart par range-bound volume (flat) ko focus kiya hai. Halaanki price downward trend mein hai, lekin yeh accumulated volume ab 149 points tak barh gaya hai. Is accumulation ke wajah se H1 chart par ek significant move ka potential hai, jo upar ya neeche dono taraf ja sakta hai.Maine pehle expect kiya tha ke yeh volume week ke end tak breakout karega, lekin ab lagta hai ke Monday ya Tuesday ko ye probable hai. Jumma, 11 October 2024 ko main bullish level par tha, isliye ab mujhe umeed hai ke yeh volume growth ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, aur price resistances jaise ke 1.31579, 1.31703, 1.31874, aur 1.32620 tak ja sakti hai.Is waqt GBP/USD kareeb 1.3068 par trade kar raha hai, aur market trend bearish hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, aur market mein sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Market mein jo slow movement hai, uska sabab low trading volumes, market uncertainty, ya kisi bade economic event ki kami ho sakti hai.Lekin, kuch wajahen hain jinki buniyad par yeh umeed ki ja sakti hai ke GBP/USD mein aane wale dinon mein ek bara move ho sakta hai. UK aur US donon ki taraf se economic data releases is pair par bohat asar dalen gi. Economic indicators, jaise ke inflation reports, employment data, aur interest rate decisions, currency pair ki direction ko kafi hadd tak affect kar sakte hain.Agar UK ki inflation data expectations se zyada aata hai, to yeh speculation ho sakti hai ke Bank of England (BoE) interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Higher interest rates aksar currency ko mazid mazboot karti hain, jo GBP/USD pair mein ek bullish reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar US Federal Reserve (Fed) apni monetary policy ko mazid tight karne ka ishara deta hai, to USD aur mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD par bearish pressure barqarar rakhega.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Traders ko Jumerat ko muqarrarah ECB ki sud ki sherah ke faisle ka intezar hai, pound/dollar ka joda niche ki taraf karobar jari rakhe hue hai, jo 1.30000 ki gol satah ki taraf badh raha hai. 4-ghante ke chart par kam hote hajam ko dekhte hue, speculators ko suratehal ko tabdil karne ki khawahish nahin hai aur maujudah mamuli girawat filhal sab ke liye mauzun hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, yaumiyah chart par market ka tajziyah is kami ki himayat nahin karta hai. Hajam kam hona band ho gaya hai. Filhal, yaumiyah aur 4-ghante ke chart ke takniki tajziye ek dusre se mutasadim hain. 1-ghante ka chart zahir karta hai keh Bartanwi pound 11 October se sideways trade kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai keh yaumiyah chart ne apni girawat ko rok diya hai aur tab se yah joda 1.30701 aur 1.303000 ki satah se munsalik ek sakht range sideways trade kar raha hai.
Mandi ke mamle me, channel ke andar 1.30000 ki nichli hadd tak jana kafi mumkin hai. Tezi ki surat me, pound/dollar ka joda 1.31030-1.31300 ke ilaqe ki taraf jane ka imkan hai.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, us ne haal hi mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ki upper resistance level ko test kiya hai, jo ke ek ahem zone hai jo tareekh mein baray price movements ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hai. Yeh resistance level har baar jab bhi price is range ke kareeb aata hai, toh bechne wale (sellers) market mein wapas aate hain aur price ko neeche kheench dete hain. Is liye, yeh zone traders ke liye dekhnay ke liye ek ahem area hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short position lene ka soch rahe hain.
Agar price phir se is resistance level par retrace karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye accha entry point ho sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai, jahan se buyers se sellers ki taraf momentum shift hota hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh dhyan se dekhein ke price is 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ke kareeb kaise behave karti hai, kyunki yeh area barabar market ka turning point bana hai. Yahan bechne wale aam tor par ghus aate hain, neeche ka dabao daal kar price ko reverse karte hain. Is liye yeh ek prime location hai traders ke liye jo price direction mein potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ne buyers aur sellers ke liye ek crucial battleground ka kaam kiya hai. Is area mein sellers aam tor par dominate karte hain, jo price retracements ko daal kar pair ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Agar yeh pattern barqarar raha, toh agar price phir se is resistance par aata hai, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke price 1.3074 se 1.3057 level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Bhari nazar rakhne wale traders ko yeh resistance level short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunki yeh baar baar bechne walon ke control mein wapas aata hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action is resistance zone ke aas paas invaluable clues provide karega ke market reverse hone wala hai ya bhi bulls phir se breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko rejection signs dekhna chahiye is resistance zone se, jese ke candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ka izhar karte hain ya volume spikes jo sellers ki taraf se increased participation ka signal dete hain.

GBP/USD Price Direction

Hamari guftagu real-time mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki evaluation ke ird gird ghoomti hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye sabse zyada reliable predictions downward trend ki taraf ishara karti hain. Is liye, main confidently GBP/USD pair ko sell karne ki sifarish karta hoon. Technical taur par, pichle haftay ka close 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hua, jo bearish activity ka aik naya signal tha. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators deep negative territory mein hain aur oversold levels se kaafi door hain, jo bearish outlook ko aur zyada mazid confirm karta hai. Yeh sab is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke GBP/USD ke liye sabse aasaan rasta downward hi hai, aur is direction mein sell karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke pound is waqt strong hotay dollar ke muqable mein kaafi mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, jo Forex market mein apni taqat barhata ja raha hai. Ahem technical indicators, jaise ke CCI, short-term mein selling ko support karte hain, aur daily aur weekly charts bhi sellers ko favor karte hain. Main sifarish karta hoon ke current levels par sell kiya jaye, aur target 1.2839 ke aas paas rakha jaye.

Aaj ke market movement ka agar dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ke broader picture mein koi bara farq nahi aaya; pair ab bhi steady downward trajectory mein hai. Halankeh aaj dono directions mein thori bohot movement hui, lekin price na toh apne pichle lows tak pohoncha, aur na hi 1.30 mark tak jo ke ab bhi target mein hai. Upward movement ke jo attempts kiye gaye woh bhi stall ho gaye hain, jiski wajah se pair tight range mein aur kam volatility ke sath trade kar raha hai. Halankeh U.S. dollar aaj kuch taqat dikhata hai, GBP/USD mein koi badi tabdeeli nahi aayi, aur koi immediate objectives samne nahi hain. Lekin, main yeh ihtimal nazar andaz nahi kar sakta ke price 1.30 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar koi false breakdown hota hai, toh aise conditions mein buying ka socha ja sakta hai. GBP/USD kuch dino se support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, aur koi clear trend emerge nahi ho raha. Is liye, main is waqt actively is pair ko trade nahi kar raha—na selling, na buying—aur market ko koi economic news ya data release ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke market mein koi nayi direction la sake.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Is bat ka imkan hai keh market ne pahle hi ECB ki mumkena sherah me kami ki wajah se Bartanwi pound me girawat ki qimat tai kar li hai. Lehaza jab regulator sud ki sherah ko kam karne ke apne faisle ka ailan karta hai to, pound/dollar ki jodi ko acchi badhat mil sakti hai, kiyun nahin?
Takniki nuqtah nazar se aur marginal zones ki buniyad par, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh pound sterling qadar khota rahega. 1.3085 - 1.3115 ilaqe tak tezi ki islah bhi mumkin hai. Aakhir kar, pound/dollar ka joda musalsal panchwen karobari din ek sideways range ke andar niche ki taraf karobar kar raha hai, aur nayi muqami satahon ko chu raha hai. Mazid faide ka imkan nahin hai. Halankeh, agar qimat apni tezi ko jari rakhti hai to, joda mumkena taur par mahana pivot point ka test karega.



Margin zones ke mutabiq, isme reversal ka imkan bhi hai kiyunkeh pound/dollar ka joda mahana range ki nichli hadd ke qarib karobar kar raha hai. Farokht ki hadd islah ke liye reference point ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai. 1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan
Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.
Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors
Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.
Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Price Direction

Hamari guftagu real-time mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki evaluation ke ird gird ghoomti hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye sabse zyada reliable predictions downward trend ki taraf ishara karti hain. Is liye, main confidently GBP/USD pair ko sell karne ki sifarish karta hoon. Technical taur par, pichle haftay ka close 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hua, jo bearish activity ka aik naya signal tha. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators deep negative territory mein hain aur oversold levels se kaafi door hain, jo bearish outlook ko aur zyada mazid confirm karta hai. Yeh sab is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke GBP/USD ke liye sabse aasaan rasta downward hi hai, aur is direction mein sell karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke pound is waqt strong hotay dollar ke muqable mein kaafi mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, jo Forex market mein apni taqat barhata ja raha hai. Ahem technical indicators, jaise ke CCI, short-term mein selling ko support karte hain, aur daily aur weekly charts bhi sellers ko favor karte hain. Main sifarish karta hoon ke current levels par sell kiya jaye, aur target 1.2839 ke aas paas rakha jaye.

Aaj ke market movement ka agar dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ke broader picture mein koi bara farq nahi aaya; pair ab bhi steady downward trajectory mein hai. Halankeh aaj dono directions mein thori bohot movement hui, lekin price na toh apne pichle lows tak pohoncha, aur na hi 1.30 mark tak jo ke ab bhi target mein hai. Upward movement ke jo attempts kiye gaye woh bhi stall ho gaye hain, jiski wajah se pair tight range mein aur kam volatility ke sath trade kar raha hai. Halankeh U.S. dollar aaj kuch taqat dikhata hai, GBP/USD mein koi badi tabdeeli nahi aayi, aur koi immediate objectives samne nahi hain. Lekin, main yeh ihtimal nazar andaz nahi kar sakta ke price 1.30 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar koi false breakdown hota hai, toh aise conditions mein buying ka socha ja sakta hai. GBP/USD kuch dino se support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, aur koi clear trend emerge nahi ho raha. Is liye, main is waqt actively is pair ko trade nahi kar raha—na selling, na buying—aur market ko koi economic news ya data release ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke market mein koi nayi direction la sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai