جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Filhaal, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ke process mein hain. Chaliye GBP/USD currency pair ko D1 time frame chart ka istemal karke analyze karte hain. Wave structure abhi bhi upward hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke broader trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Lekin, MACD indicator, jo ke abhi bhi upper buying zone mein hai, ab apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair correction phase mein enter kar raha hai. Yeh decline abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Halankeh price girne mein struggle kar rahi hai, iska pehle ka rise tezi se hua tha, almost effortless tareeke se. Is correction ka key target horizontal support level 1.3009 hai, jo ke pehle ke candle closing prices ke base par hai, aur price eventually is tak pohnch jayegi. Yeh approach tab tak mumkin hai jab tak price 1.3009 target level tak nahi pohnchti. Uske baad, ek corrective wave ho sakti hai, jo traders ko din ke andar chhoti gains offer kar sakti hai.

Pichle haftay ke doran, price ne recent drop ke baad thodi upward correction dekhi aur ek mirror level 1.3181 par pohnchi, jo ek strong selling zone hai. Jumme ko, U.S. economic data ne price ko is level ke upar briefly push kiya, lekin breakout sustain nahi ho saka aur ek tez decline dekha gaya. Is wajah se, price 1.3181 level ke neeche hi rahi, aur upar ka brief move sirf ek stop-hunting spike tha. Pichle mahine ke significant rally ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke ek three-wave correction pattern form hoga, jo price ko neeche le jayega. Fibonacci retracement is wave ke liye ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein yeh zaroori nahi hai—target abhi bhi 1.3009 level hai. Dusre major currency pairs bhi near term mein U.S. dollar ki strength ki taraf trend kar rahe hain. Is liye, focus short-term selling opportunities par hona chahiye, khaaskar lower time frames ke andar din ke dauran, jahan pullbacks trade entry ke liye achi opportunities de sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke 4-hour chart par ek wazeh aur mustahkam bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, khas tor par mid-August se jab pair ne 1.27000 level ke aas-paas significant support hasil ki. Iss upward movement mein higher highs aur higher lows shamil hain, jo strong aur persistent bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain jiss ne kuch hafton mein pair ko 400 pips se zyada upar le gaya. Iss rally se pehle, pair ne early July se mid-August tak consolidation ka period experience kiya tha. Is dauran, price zyada tar 1.27000 support aur 1.29000 resistance level ke darmiyan range mein qaid rahi. Yeh range multiple key technical indicators, jaise ke Fair Value Gaps (FVG) aur Bottom Liquidity (BLiq) zones se defined thi. Yeh zones wo areas hain jahan price imbalances hue, jis se yeh signal milta hai ke market accumulation phase mein tha, jo ke ek potential breakout ke liye momentum gather kar raha tha. Yeh zones aksar future mein support ya resistance ke tor par kaam aate hain, jo inhen possible entry ya exit points ke liye critical banate hain. Consolidation phase se breakout August ke aakhir mein hua, jahan GBP/USD pair ne strong upward momentum ke saath 1.29000 resistance level ko breach kiya. Yeh breakout significant tha kyunke iss ne consolidation phase ke khatam hone aur ek naye bullish trend ke shuru hone ki nishani di. Yeh surge bhi ek Fair Value Gap (FVG) ke mojudgi se support hui jo 1.29000 level ke qareeb thi, jis ne demand zone ke tor par kaam kiya aur price ko upar jaane ke liye zaroori support provide kiya. Breakout ke baad, ek rapid ascent 1.32000 level ki taraf hui, jo ke ek key psychological level hai aur maazi mein resistance ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

**GBP/USD Price Action Assessment**

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai.

Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai.

Illuminating GBP/USD Price Move

Filhaal hum GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. Aayein GBP/USD pair ko D1 time frame chart ka istemal kar ke analyze karte hain. Wave structure abhi bhi upward hai, jo ye darsha raha hai ke broader trend bullish hai. Lekin MACD indicator, jo abhi tak upper buying zone mein tha, ab apni signal line se neeche gir raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pair ab correction phase mein dakhil ho raha hai. Ye decline abhi khatam nahi hua. Halaanke price ko girne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, lekin pehle jo price upar gaya tha, woh bohat tezi se aur asaani ke saath gaya tha. Is correction ka key target horizontal support level 1.3009 hai, jo pehle candle ke closing prices par mabni hai, aur price ko aakhir mein is level tak pahunchna chahiye. Ye approach tab tak likely hai jab tak price 1.3009 ke target level tak nahi pahunch jata. Uske baad, ek corrective wave ho sakta hai, jo intraday traders ke liye thodi si gains le kar aa sakta hai.




Pichle haftay, price ne recent drop ke baad ek halka upward correction kiya aur ek mirror level 1.3181 ko chhua, jo ek mazboot selling zone hai. Jumma ko, U.S. ke economic data ne thodi der ke liye price ko is level se upar dhakel diya, lekin ye breakout barqarar nahi raha, aur phir ek tezi se girawat dekhne ko mili. Nateeja ye hai ke price 1.3181 level ke neeche hi raha, aur jo thoda upar gaya tha, woh sirf ek stop-hunting spike tha. Pichle mahine ke achanak rally ke baad, main expect karta hoon ke ek three-wave correction pattern banega, jo price ko neeche le jaye ga. Fibonacci retracement ka istemal is wave mein ho sakta hai, lekin is case mein zaroorat nahi—target ab bhi 1.3009 level hi hai. Dosri major currency pairs bhi near term mein U.S. dollar ki strength ki taraf ja rahi hain. Is liye, focus short-term selling opportunities par hona chahiye, khaaskar lower time frames mein jahan pullbacks trade enter karne ke liye achi mauqe dein ge.

GBPUSD Ke 5-Minute Chart Ki Analysis

1. Price Movement Aur Band Analysi

5-minute chart par GBPUSD ka Pound abhi lower band ke saath movement banaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ki nishani hai. Acha signal pane ke liye, price drop ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke lower band ko actively break kiya jaye. Breakout tab hota hai jab price decisive tareeke se band ke bahar chali jati hai, jo current trend ke continue hone ka indication hota hai. Breakout ke baad, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke bands expand ho rahi hain ya nahi. Agar bands outward expand hoti hain, to yeh volatility aur bearish move ke strength ko indicate karta hai, jabke agar expansion nahi hota, to yeh suggest karta hai ke breakout itna strong nahi hai ke downward trend ko sustain kar sake.

**2. Awesome Oscillator Indicator**

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator filhal zero level ke around hover kar raha hai, jo koi clear signals nahi de raha. AO ek momentum indicator hai jo 34-period aur 8-period simple moving average ke darmiyan difference measure karta hai. Jab AO zero ke qareeb hota hai, to yeh consolidation ya market mein indecision ki period ko indicate karta hai. Clear signal pane ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke positive ya negative area mein significant increase ka intezaar kiya jaye. Agar AO positive area mein utha, to bullish momentum badhne ka indication milta hai, jabke negative area mein girna bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo price movement ko increase ya decrease ke direction mein indicate kar sakta hai.

**3. Selling Opportunities**

Agar aap sell position enter karna chahte hain, to 1.31213 ka level entry point ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is level se price ka girna, active breakthrough aur is point ke neeche consolidation bearish trend ke continuation ko signal de sakti hai. Aise mein, price ka 1.31088 tak girna expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh target assume karta hai ke bearish momentum barqarar rahega aur lower band breakout additional downward movement ko lead karega.

**4. Buying Opportunities**

Dusri taraf, agar aap buy positions consider kar rahe hain, to 1.31388 level potential entry point ban sakta hai. Is level se price ka barhna ek reversal ya market sentiment shift ka indication de sakta hai. Agar price is point se upar chale, to 1.31538 tak rise expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh upward target short-term bullish trend ko reflect karta hai, jo entry level ke upar sustained move aur positive market sentiment par depend karta hai.

**Conclusion**

In summary, GBPUSD pair ke 5-minute chart par bearish aur bullish dono scenarios ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Bearish outlook ke liye, lower band ke breakout aur subsequent band expansion ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Bullish outlook ke liye, 1.31388 ke upar price rise aur other indicators ke through confirmation buy opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Dono cases mein, Awesome Oscillator aur key levels ke saath price action par nazar rakhna informed trading decisions ke

Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga. Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.
Thursday ke news ne US dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke US economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke US inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314

GBP/USD ke market movements ka tajziya karte hain.

Is trading instrument ke price ki lehraein jaldi hi na-qabil-e-pesh-goi ho sakti hain, jahan intelligent money mukhtalif directions me jhooti signals generate kar sakti hai. Yeh price ko zyada tarah ke khilaf move karne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jahan GBP/USD liquidity ko target kiya jayega. Agar mere assumptions sahi hain, to meri analysis ka scenario kuch yun ho sakta hai: shuru mein, pair ki price 1.3172 tak barh sakti hai, jahan accumulation hone ki ummeed hai, aur us ke baad 1.3026 ke volume-heavy zone tak gir sakti hai. Agar 1.3026 par aik bullish signal milta hai aur volumes bhi substantial hain, to price 1.3230 tak barh sakti hai ek test ke liye. Agar price 1.3230 ko breach nahi karti, to yeh 1.2944 ke volume level tak wapas aa sakti hai.

GBP/USD ke liye, meri umeed hai ke choti si upar ki taraf move hogi takreeban 1.3169 tak, us ke baad downward trend continue hoga aur buyers ke platform ko 1.3074 ke aas paas break kiya jayega. Yeh agla minimum level hai jahan buyers apne stops lagayenge, jo market agle trading week me target kar sakti hai. Lekin ek alternative scenario yeh hai: agar 1.3179 ke upar breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to British pound momentum gain kar sakta hai aur naye high tak pohoch sakta hai, takreeban 1.3264 ke aas paas. Hum dekh lenge ke kaunsa raasta samne aata hai, lekin current indicators zyada tar decline ki taraf lean kar rahe hain na ke significant rise ki taraf. Volatility agle week high ho sakti hai FED meeting aur interest rate decision ke wajah se. Isliye, sabhi traders ko stop loss tool ka istemal karke carefully trade karne ki salahiyat di jati hai.

GBP/ USD Price Movement Insights

GBP/USD ke price movement ka tajziya kuch is tarah hai: Non-farm payroll data ke baad market mein bears ne dominance hasil kar li, aur GBP/USD ko 31 figure se niche push kar diya, jahan quotes 1.3141 level se bhi niche chali gayi. Yeh downward movement chart par jari rahi, jahan sellers ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pullback ke chances kam hain aur downward trend 1.2796 tak jari rehne ke mumkin hain. Agar pair 1.2793 ke niche stabilize ho jati hai, to hum price ke zigzag pattern mein niche aane ki umeed kar sakte hain. Chart ke niche do indicators jo price fluctuations ko track karte hain, buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, sirf RSI thoda upar gaya hai, jo ke H4 chart par aakhri candle ke temporary upward pull ke wajah se hai. Maine pehle upper resistance levels ke through work kiya hai, aur kyunki naye resistance levels nahi bane, mujhe zyada price drop ki umeed hai


. Market reversal ki sambhavnayein kam ho gayi hain, mainly kyunki U.S. dollar mazboot hua hai. Data release hone se pehle, analysts ne prediction kiya tha ke agar job numbers 101,000 se 201,000 ke beech hain, to yeh 25-basis-point rate cut ko signal karega, lekin recession ke baare mein kuch nahi kaha. Shuru mein, is forecast ne GBP/USD pair mein rally shuru ki, lekin yeh trend jald hi bears ke haq mein palat gaya. Abhi ke downward correction ko 1.3010 par support mil sakta hai, jahan se price rebound karke overall uptrend resume kar sakti hai. GBP/USD pair ne is haftay ke doran zyada volatility dekhi hai economic statistics ki wajah se. Weekly candle ek pin bar ke saath close hui, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke decline continue ho sakti hai agar price last week's low 1.3082 ko break karti hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to hum pair ko 1.3046 tak girte dekh sakte hain, aur further decrease se 1.3001 ya phir 1.2891 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is waqt, main sirf selling opportunities par hi ghoor kar raha hoon.

Fundamental Data of GBP/USD
Haal hi ke economic data ne GBP/USD pair ki movements par asar daala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur unemployment reports saamne aaye hain. Data ne August ke liye unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo ke expected thi, lekin Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke numbers thore se forecast se kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko bhi revise karke neeche kiya gaya. Is mixed data ke natijay mein dollar mein 50-pip ka chhota sa izafa dekha gaya, jo ke mojudah market conditions ke hawalay se zyada ahem nahi. U.S. labor market ke jari masail aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intezaar ke asraat future mein dollar ki movements par par sakte hain. Dollar ki recent strength ke bawajood, data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karte hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par 1.3225 ke qareeb sell signal aaya, jis ke natijay mein price 1.3102-1.3107 range tak gir gaya, jo ek profitable short opportunity di. Market ka focus ab yeh hoga ke yeh economic developments GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko agle chand dino mein kaise asar andaz karte hain.

Price Movement of GBP/USD

GBP/USD instrument ne hal hi mein ek critical support level 1.3105 ke qareeb approach kiya hai, aur twenty-day Exponential Moving Average ne intermediate support 1.3070 ke aas paas faraham kiya. December 28, 2023 ko high 1.2828 se ek upward-sloping trendline bhi pair ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, fourteen days ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 range mein aa gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ke temporary end ka signal de raha hai. Is ke bawajood, overall bullish trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak RSI 50 ke upar hai. Resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain, un mein psychological mark 1.3500 aur round-number barrier 1.3200 shaamil hain. H4 chart par recent price action ne do lambi bearish candles dikhayi hain, jo bearish pressure ka jari rehna suggest karte hain. London session ke dauran pound ki qeemat mein kafi girawat aayi, aur price 1.3084 ke four-hour support level par stabilize ho gaya. Stochastic indicator jo ke filhal 20.00 se neeche hai, ek negative trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar bearish pressure kam ho aur Stochastic indicator rebound kare, toh ek potential bullish scenario ubhar sakta hai.

Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke upar hai, jo aik noticeable upward trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh tabdeeli zyada tar US dollar ke major global currencies ke muqablay mein kamzori ki wajah se hai, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Dono economies ke darmiyan ka farq khaaskar labor market dynamics mein zahir hota hai. Jab ke US kuch uncertainties ka samna kar raha hai, UK ka labor market mazbooti se bharpur hai aur wage growth bhi solid pace par hai. Britain ki yeh mazboot economic performance ne pound ko taqat di hai, jo iske recent gains ka sabab hai. Jumeraat ko GBP/USD pair ne 1.3219 par close kiya, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Jab tak pound critical support range 1.3134-1.3139 ke upar hai, bulls market par control barqarar rakhne ke qabil hain. Yeh support range isliye ahmiyat rakhti hai kyun ke yeh aage ke upward movement ke liye foundation ka kaam karti hai. Agar pound is range ke upar barqarar rehta hai, to agla potential target 1.3299 ho sakta hai.
Jab ke hourly chart shayad abhi zyada reliable signals na de, four-hour chart market ka clear aur dependable view provide karta hai. Is time frame ke mutabiq, agar current formation expected tariqe se develop hota raha, to GBP/USD pair approximately 149 points ka gain achieve kar sakta hai. Yeh potential increase ongoing trend ki strength ko highlight karta hai aur support range ke importance ko underline karta hai.
In dynamics ko dekhte hue, is waqt selling ka sochna bhi nahi chahiye. Upward trend mazboot nazar aa raha hai, aur market fundamentals pound ko favor kar rahe hain, isliye further gains ki potential zyada hai. Isliye, traders ko long positions maintain karna ya initiate karna chahiye, khaaskar agar pair 1.3134-1.3139 support range ke upar trade karta hai. Hamesha vigilant rehna aur market ko kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation signs ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai jo bullish outlook ko impact kar sakte hain.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke against paanch din ki bulandi ko dobara 1.3200 ke qareeb choa, jab ke US NFP report par sab ki nazar thi. Kamzor US JOLTS job openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne is baat ka ishara diya ke US ka labor market kamzor ho raha hai.
Bank of England (BoE) se umeed hai ke baqi saal mein sirf ek dafa interest rate mein kami karega. Pound Sterling (GBP) thoda dheela para jab ke Friday ki European session mein naya paanch din ka high 1.3200 ke qareeb post kiya. GBP/USD pair US Dollar (USD) ke against zabardast consolidation kar raha hai jab ke United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke intezar mein hai, jo ke August ka data hai aur 12:30 GMT par publish hoga.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhey baray currencies ke against track karta hai, zara si neeche gira aur crucial support 101.00 ke neechay aaya.

Maashiyat ke maahiron ka andaza hai ke US employers ne August mein 160,000 naye workers hire kiye, jo ke July ke 114,000 se zyada hai. Isi doran, Unemployment Rate umeed hai ke 4.3% se ghat kar 4.2% tak aaya hoga. Sarmayadaron ka dihan Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi hoga, jo ke wages ke barhtay huay dor ka ahem meyar hai aur consumer spending aur mehngai ko barhawa deta hai. Salana tor par wage growth ka andaza hai ke yeh 3.7% tak barh gaya hoga, jo ke pehle ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Mahana tor par, Average Hourly Earnings mein 0.3% ka izafa dekha gaya hai, jo ke July ke 0.2% ke baraks zyada hai.

US ka official employment data Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policy ka faisla is mahine mein tay karega. Job data ki ahmiyat bohat zyada barh gayi hai jab ke Fed ne yeh kaha hai ke ab woh labor market ki sehat par ziyata dihan de raha hai, kyun ke inflation wapas bank ke 2% target par aane ke qareeb hai.

Fed se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke September ki meeting se interest rates kam karna shuru karega. Magar traders is baat par ikhtilaf karte hain ke interest rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Fed ke ek bara interest rate cut karne ka imkaan is hafte barh gaya hai jab ke kamzor US JOLTS Job Openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne labor market mein kamzoriyon ko ujagar kiya. Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke qareeb aagaya Pound Sterling thoda dheela para jab ke lagbhag 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke against barh gaya. GBP/USD ne strong buying interest daryaft kiya, jo ke ek upward-sloping trendline ke breakout region ke paas tha, jo December 28, 2023 ka daily time frame ka high 1.2828 se plot hua tha. Upward-sloping short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) yeh suggest karti

Fundamental Data of GBP/USD

Haal hi ke economic data ne GBP/USD pair ki movements par asar daala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur unemployment reports saamne aaye hain. Data ne August ke liye unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo ke expected thi, lekin Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke numbers thore se forecast se kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko bhi revise karke neeche kiya gaya. Is mixed data ke natijay mein dollar mein 50-pip ka chhota sa izafa dekha gaya, jo ke mojudah market conditions ke hawalay se zyada ahem nahi. U.S. labor market ke jari masail aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intezaar ke asraat future mein dollar ki movements par par sakte hain. Dollar ki recent strength ke bawajood, data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karte hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par 1.3225 ke qareeb sell signal aaya, jis ke natijay mein price 1.3102-1.3107 range tak gir gaya, jo ek profitable short opportunity di. Market ka focus ab yeh hoga ke yeh economic developments GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko agle chand dino mein kaise asar andaz karte hain.

Price Movement of GBP/USD

GBP/USD instrument ne hal hi mein ek critical support level 1.3105 ke qareeb approach kiya hai, aur twenty-day Exponential Moving Average ne intermediate support 1.3070 ke aas paas faraham kiya. December 28, 2023 ko high 1.2828 se ek upward-sloping trendline bhi pair ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, fourteen days ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 range mein aa gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ke temporary end ka signal de raha hai. Is ke bawajood, overall bullish trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak RSI 50 ke upar hai. Resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain, un mein psychological mark 1.3500 aur round-number barrier 1.3200 shaamil hain. H4 chart par recent price action ne do lambi bearish candles dikhayi hain, jo bearish pressure ka jari rehna suggest karte hain. London session ke dauran pound ki qeemat mein kafi girawat aayi, aur price 1.3084 ke four-hour support level par stabilize ho gaya. Stochastic indicator jo ke filhal 20.00 se neeche hai, ek negative trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar bearish pressure kam ho aur Stochastic indicator rebound kare, toh ek potential bullish scenario ubhar sakta hai

Monday ko North American trading hours ke doran, GBP/USD 1.3100 ki threshold ke neeche chala gaya, jabke session ke shuru mein isne 1.3090 se upar naya weekly high banaya tha. Yeh girawat US Dollar ki significant kami ke baad hui, jo last week ke soft economic data ki wajah se hui. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki performance ko chhay bade currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, 100.55 ke crucial support level ke neeche chala gaya, jo dollar ki kamzori ko darshata hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Bank of England (BoE) ke rate cuts ke ummeed GBP par pressure daal rahi hai. 1 August ko pehli baar rate cut ke baad, markets ko lagta hai ke is saal ke end tak do aur reductions honge. Dusri taraf, US Dollar buyers ko attract karne mein struggle kar raha hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) se significant rate cuts ki speculation badh gayi hai. Yeh situation GBP/USD pair ke bullish positions rakhne wale logon ke liye caution ka signal hai.

Filhaal, pair ne recent data se jitne wale sabhi gains kho diye hain. BoE se September mein rate cut ki umeed kam lagti hai, kyunki swaps sirf 8-9 basis points ki easing risk price kar rahe hain. BoE Governor Mann ne Financial Times interview mein wage growth aur inflation par uske asar ke baare mein concerns zahir kiye. Mann, jo recent policy meeting mein rates ko maintain karne ke haq mein vote diya, ne kaha ke Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne pichle rate cut ko narrowly support kiya.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Upar ke momentum ko wapas pane ke liye, pair ko pehle August 27 ke high 1.3265 ko exceed karna hoga. Is level ko surpass karne se pair 1.3280 aur psychological barrier 1.3300 ki taraf badh sakti hai. Agar pair 1.3300 mark ko bhi break kar deti hai, to agle key resistance points 1.3386 aur 1.3400 honge. Agar yeh levels bhi breach ho jate hain, to pair 1.3000 level ki taraf advance kar sakti hai, aur phir 1.2964 ke recent cycle low ke kareeb aa sakti hai.




Pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf rebound kar raha hai, jo abhi 1.3118 ke aas-paas hai. Agar 20-day EMA ke upar decisive break hota hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke bullish outlook ko signal kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 40.00 ke aas-paas support milne ke baad recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, jo lower levels par buying interest ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD Price Movement Insights

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Non-farm payroll data ke release ke baad bears ne market mein ghalba hasil kar liya, jiski wajah se GBP/USD 31 figure se neeche gir gaya aur quotes ne 1.3141 level ko break kar diya. Chart par downward movement barqarar rahi, jo sellers ke haq mein gayi jinhon ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pullback ki chances limited hain aur downward trend barqarar rehne ki umeed hai jab tak yeh 1.2796 tak nahi pohanch jata. Agar pair 1.2793 ke neeche stabilize ho jata hai, to hum price ko zigzag pattern mein aur neeche jate hue dekh sakte hain. Primary chart ke neeche do indicators jo price fluctuations ko track karte hain, unhone buy positions mein kami dikhayi hai, sirf RSI thoda upward tick dikha raha hai, jo ziada tar H4 chart ke aakhri candle ki temporary upward pull ki wajah se hai. Main pehle upper resistance levels ko cover kar chuka hoon, aur jab se koi naye resistance levels form nahi hue, main anticipate kar raha hoon ke price mein ziada pronounced drop hoga.




Market reversal ki umeed kam ho gayi hai, ziada tar is wajah se ke U.S. dollar mazid strong ho gaya hai. Data release hone se pehle, analysts ka ye tajziya tha ke agar job numbers 101,000 aur 201,000 ke darmiyan aate hain, to ye 25-basis-point rate cut ko signal karega, lekin U.S. recession ka zikr nahi kiya gaya. Ibtida mein is forecast ne GBP/USD pair mein rally ko spark kiya, lekin trend jaldi bears ke haq mein reverse ho gaya. Current downward correction ko 1.3010 par support milne ki umeed hai, jahan se price rebound kar ke overall uptrend ko resume kar sakti hai. GBP/USD pair ko poore hafte economic statistics ki wajah se zyada volatility ka samna karna para. Weekly candle pin bar ke sath close hui, jo yeh hint karti hai ke agar price pichle hafte ke low 1.3082 ko break karti hai, to decline continue ho sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to pair 1.3046 tak gir sakti hai, aur agay girawat 1.3001 ya phir 1.2891 tak bhi le ja sakti hai. Iss waqt mein sirf selling opportunities ko dekh raha hoon.

GBP/USD Market Movements Ka Tajziya

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Yeh trading instrument ka price jald hi unpredictable ho sakta hai, jahan intelligent money mukhtalif directions mein false signals generate kar sakti hai. Is se price aksar majority ke khilaf move kar sakti hai, aur GBP/USD ke liquidity zones ko target karne lagegi. Agar meri assumptions sahi hain, to analysis mein diya gaya scenario unfold ho sakta hai: pehle, pair ka price 1.3172 tak upar ja sakta hai, jahan accumulation hone ki umeed hai, aur uske baad price wapas volume-heavy zone 1.3026 ke aas-paas gir sakti hai. Agar 1.3026 par bullish signal aur ziada volumes ke sath aata hai, to price 1.3230 ke lower boundary ki taraf surge kar sakti hai test ke liye. Agar price 1.3230 ko breach karne mein nakam hoti hai, to price retrace hoke volume level 1.2944 tak ja sakti hai.




GBP/USD ke liye, main anticipate kar raha hoon ke pehle thoda upward movement hoga takreeban 1.3169 tak, uske baad downward trend continue hoga aur buyers ke platform 1.3074 ke aas-paas break karega. Yeh agla minimum level hai jahan buyers apne stops lagayenge, jo market aane wale trading week mein target kar sakta hai. Lekin ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar 1.3179 ke upar breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to British pound ko momentum mil sakta hai aur yeh saal ke naye highs, takreeban 1.3264 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dekhna hoga ke kaunsa rasta materialize hota hai, lekin current indicators ziada price decline ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, bajaye ke significant rise ke. Agle hafte volatility ziada ho sakti hai FED meeting aur interest rate decision ki wajah se. Is liye, main sab ko yeh recommend karta hoon ke carefully trade karein aur stop loss tool ka zaroor istemal karein.