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GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis
Aane wali Federal Reserve ki meeting Wednesday ko bohot zyada dhyan kheenchne wali hai. Investors bekarar hain kisi bhi ishaara ke liye jo Fed ka rate cut implement karne ka plan ho sakta hai jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milti hai. Market expectations ke mutabiq, 18 September ko kam se kam ek quarter-point rate reduction hone ki high probability hai, jahan CME’s FedWatch Tool 25 basis points cut ke 90% chance aur larger reduction ke 10% chance ko indicate kar raha hai. Financial markets bhi yeh expect kar rahi hain ke Fed inflation ko 2% target ke qareeb laane mein substantial progress ko acknowledge karega, jabke labor market ke liye bhi concerns barh rahe hain. Yeh acknowledgment Fed ke interest rates ko lower karne ki readiness ko signal kar sakta hai. Fed ke policy decision ke ilawa, investors US ke kai economic indicators ko bhi closely monitor karenge, jinmein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.




Agar technical analysis kiya jaye ichimoku indicator ki madad se, to current candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se hua hai jab se GBP/USD decline shuru hua. Iss recent intersection ke saath, GBP/USD trend ab bullish nahi balki bearish hai. Jab tak iski position line ke upar hai, meri prediction yeh hai ke GBP/USD movement girne ki taraf jayegi. Is waqt, stochastic indicator bhi yeh indicate kar raha hai ke GBP/USD oversold condition mein hai, jo kal ke decline ki wajah se hai. Jaise maine upar kaha, support break karne ke baad, GBP/USD pehle upar jayega taake 1.3245 price par correction kar sake. Mera khayal hai ke yeh increase apne closest resistance ko penetrate nahi kar payegi. Isliye aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ab bhi niche jaane ka mauka rakhta hai, halanki ab yeh thoda stronger lag raha hai. Yeh isliye hai kyunki candle abhi tak supply area at 1.3255 ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske ilawa, ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle position bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ke bearish shift ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, unhein sirf sell positions open karni chahiye. Aap take profit target ko sabse qareeb support par 1.3070 set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko sabse qareeb resistance par 1.3268 set kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD H4 Chart
Kal ke Asian session ke opening cloud mein, GBP/USD ne ab tak decline continue nahi kiya, lekin currency pair ne pehle 1.3171 ke support ko break karne ke baad rise kiya. GBP/USD ne 1.3321 tak increase dekha. Zyada dair nahi hui ke GBP/USD ne phir se girawat dekhi aur 1.3171 ke agle support ko bhi neeche penetrate kar diya. GBP/USD ke girne ka reason yeh tha ke candle abhi tak 1.3221 ke shoulder area ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Agar h1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, to yeh mumkin hai ke is Friday GBP/USD aur gehra girawat dekhe. Iska reason yeh hai ke head and shoulder pattern form ho gaya hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke yeh pattern valid dikhata hai. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na karne diya jaye kyunki yeh GBP/USD ko seedha neeche girne se rok sakta hai. Iske ilawa, GBP/USD ke girne ka strong reason yeh hai ke currency pair 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Khushkismati se, jab yeh kal upar gaya, to GBP/USD ne apne qareeb ke resistance ko exceed nahi kiya.




GBP/USD Price Analysis

Hum filhaal GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj observed kiya gaya ke currency pair upward movement mein hai. Daily chart par, pair ne recently upward trend show kiya hai. Critical question yeh hai ke kya yeh upward movement continue karegi ya kisi aur possibility ko dekhna padega. Technical analysis ko dekhte hain taake outlook determine kiya ja sake. Moving averages strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi substantial purchase recommend kar rahe hain aur overall outlook buying ko continue karne ka hai. Hum aage bhi upward movement ki ummeed kar sakte hain, lekin decision lena zaroori hai. Ab, critical news ko consider karte hain jo pair ke liye release hui hai. UK ne apne unemployment rate ke data ko publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se koi aur significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level ko surpass kar leta hai aur uske upar hold karta hai, to buying target kal 1.29303 resistance level hoga.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate ne teesre lagatar din girawat dekhi, lekin apni daily aur weekly lows 1.3129 se rebound karte hue 1.3149 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke sirf 0.14% ka ghatav hai. U.S. inflation data ke release ne, jo ke expectations ke sath align karta hai aur Federal Reserve ke agle meeting mein interest rate cut ka imkaan darshata hai, is pair ki decline mein madad ki. Halanki 1.3120 ke area tak pullback ke bawajood, GBP/USD daily basis par bullish bias maintain kar raha hai. Short term mein, sellers ka control hai, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se pata chalta hai jo ke bullish hai lekin lower targets aur mixed readings ke sath hai. Hourly chart ko analyze karte hue, GBP/USD bearish hai aur apne 50, 100, aur 200 hourly moving averages (HMAs) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Sellers Friday ke low 1.3108 ko target kar rahe hain, aur agar yeh break hota hai to 1.3100 level ka test ho sakta hai. August 22 ka high 1.3052 ke baad August 22 ke low 1.3076 se further decline dekha gaya. Agar GBP/USD bulls 200 SMA ko 1.3148 par reclaim kar sakte hain, to yeh rally 50 SMA tak 1.3182 tak le ja sakti hai phir 1.3200 tak reach karne ki sambhavana hai. Pair ne hafte ki shuruat thodi kam opening se ki, jabke yeh apne lagbhag do hafte ki rally ke baad teesri baar 1.3229 par key resistance trendline ke paas reject hua. Jabke bulls momentum regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, RSI aur Stochastic overbought territory mein hain, jo ke downside correction ke high risk ko darshata hai.




Agar 1.3180 area ke neeche break hota hai, jo ke dusre din ke liye support ban raha hai, to yeh 1.3025-1.3085 area ki taraf further decline confirm kar sakta hai. Agar August ke lows se sharp uptrend line aur psychological barrier 1.3000 bhi break hota hai, to 20- aur 50-day SMAs ke beech 1.2890-1.2900 ki taraf tezi se decline ho sakta hai. Resistance ke mamle mein, April se rising trend line jo 1.3240 ke aas-paas hai ek crucial level hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair 1.3300 mark tak reach kar sakti hai. Lekin jab tak medium-term uptrend intact hai, investors sirf tab fikar mein aayenge agar price 1.2700-1.2730 ke neeche girti hai.

GBP/USD Pair ka H-4 Time Frame mein Tajziya
Sham bakhair, sab ko! Aaj main GBP/USD currency pair ke kuch dinon ke patterns ko dekhne aur analyze karne ki koshish karunga. Agar hum August ke shuruat se le kar August ke akhir tak dekhen, to GBP/USD pair ki movement ek kaafi mazboot uptrend se dominated thi. Lekin abhi, GBP/USD pair ke downtrend ke liye reversal ke nishan nazar aa rahe hain.

Aage dekhne ke liye, maine H4 time frame mein Moving Average Indicator ke period 21 aur period 34 ka use kiya hai. H4 time frame ka istemal isliye kiya hai kyunki is time frame se hum market direction ki agle kuch dinon ki movement ko dekh sakte hain. Filhal ke H4 conditions mein, price Moving Average Indicator ke neeche penetrate aur close ho chuki hai, jo ke naye trend ki shuruaat ka darshata hai, yani downtrend. Pichle ek hafte mein 3 naye resistances bhi ban chuki hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke downtrend ko aur bhi mazbooti se confirm karti hain.




Agar humne GBP/USD pair ke downtrend direction ko jaan liya hai, to agla step sahi momentum dhoondhna hai. Iske sath hi, hume target price aur stop loss price bhi calculate karni hogi. Momentum ke liye, hume pehle price correction ka intezar karna chahiye ya phir chhote time frame mein momentum opportunities dhoondni chahiye. Target placement ke liye, hum support area ka use kar sakte hain aur price level 1.2885 ko achha support area dekh raha hoon jahan take profit targets place kiye ja sakte hain. Stop loss ya loss limit ke liye, resistance area mein price level 1.3268 par rakhna chahiye. Niche main analysis ki reference ke liye ek image attach karunga jo meri GBP/USD currency pair ke analysis ke hawale se hai, agle hafte ke liye.

GBP/USD exchange rate ne do din tak girawat dekhi aur Friday ko North American session ke doran 1.3150 se niche chala gaya. Ye girawat U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ke release ke baad hui, jo ke July ke liye ummed se dheere aaya. Is ke natije mein U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 101.50 se upar chala gaya, jo ke U.S. dollar ki majbooti ko darshata hai. PCE inflation report ne bataya ke core inflation, jo ke food aur energy prices ko chhod kar dekha jata hai, 2.6% tak barh gaya, jab ke 2.6% ki umeed thi. Mahine ke hisaab se, core inflation 0.2% barh gaya, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq hai. Tareekh ke hisaab se, PCE inflation data Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions mein aik aham factor raha hai. Lekin is dafa, core inflation data ka market speculation par zyada asar hone ki umeed nahi hai, jab ke Fed ke 2% target ki taraf inflation ke kam hone ki ummeed barh rahi hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne speech mein Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein last week risk ke balance shift ko highlight kiya. Doosre Fed policymakers ne bhi yeh indicate kiya hai ke Fed agar labor market mein sharp deterioration ka further evidence milta hai to apne key borrowing rate ko significantly cut karne se nahi hichkichayegi. Financial market participants ab yeh anticipate kar rahe hain ke Fed September mein rate cuts shuru kar sakti hai. Lekin PCE inflation data se price pressures ke stabilization ke signs ne aggressive policy easing cycle par bets ko dheela kar diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50 basis points rate cut ki probability ek haftay pehle ke 36% se kam hokar 30.5% ho gayi hai.



GBP/USD apni correction ko 1.3150 ke niche extend kar raha hai, kyun ke yeh 1.3200 level ke aas paas aage barhne mein nakam raha. Phir bhi, GBP/USD ka near-term outlook positive hai kyun ke yeh weekly time frame par ascending channel chart pattern ko tod chuka hai. Agar bullish momentum jari raha, to GBP/USD ka daam psychological resistance 1.3500 aur February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak barhne ki umeed hai, ek naye 2.5 saal ke high 1.3266 ko todne ke baad. 20-week exponential moving average (EMA) 1.3000 level ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jo ke strong uptrend ko darshata hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range mein 60.00 aur 80.00 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin yeh ab bhi 70.00 ke aas paas overbought levels ke qareeb hai, jo ke pullback ka possibility barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye main support hoga.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS
Daily Timeframe
Aaj agar aap purane D1 period ko dekhein aur pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagayein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke 161.8 level ka kaam ho gaya hai. Daam pichle saal 2023 ke maximum se bhi upar chala gaya hai, jo ke ek potential sales zone hai. CCI indicator bhi yahan se upper overheating zone se niche aa gaya hai, aur purane weekly chart par bhi yeh indicator upper zone se niche aane ki taraf hai. Is ke ilawa, parso ki daily candle ne purani candle ko puri tarah absorb kar liya - bearish absorption bana, jo ke sell signal hai. Factors ka combination immediate decline ko darshata hai aur iska target level 1.3007 hai. Itni powerful growth ke baad bina kisi rollback ke, wahan correction hona normal hai. Kal se decline shuru ho gaya tha, lekin zyada pressure ke bina; euro dollar ne zyada effectively giraya, aur yeh sab EURGBP cross rate ki wajah se hai, jo ke kuch din se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke saath is pair ko girne se rok raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Purchases ko tab tak nahi dekha ja raha jab tak specified area nahi pahunchti. H4 par, MACD par bearish divergence ab tak poori tarah se kaam nahi hui hai. Aaj pound ke baare mein kuch news hai, lekin ye sab low importance hain aur ignore kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh news zaroori hai: 12:00 Moscow time - Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index (CPI). 15:30 - USA mein Core Price Index of Personal Consumption Expenditure annual aur monthly terms mein. USA mein Personal Spending. 17:00 - University of Michigan se Consumer Sentiment Index, Consumer Expectations Index, 5 saal ke liye Consumer Inflation Expectations Index aur USA se Expected Inflation.

GBPUSD Forum Analysis, Forecast Today's



Kemiz ki pehli Asian session mein, GBPUSD abhi bhi girawat ko continue nahi kar paya, lekin currency pair ne pehle 1.3171 ke support ko todne ke baad upar chadhai ki. GBPUSD ne 1.3321 tak barh gaya. Zyada dair nahi hui ke AUDUSD phir se gir gaya, aur agla support 1.3171 bhi successfully niche ki taraf penetrate ho gaya. AUDUSD ke girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi bhi 1.3221 ke shoulder area ko nahi tod paayi.

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to is Friday GBPUSD ka girna aur gehra ho sakta hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern bana hai. Neckline area ko tod kar yeh pattern valid hone ka indication de raha hai. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ka resistance todna nahi chahiye, kyunki isse GBPUSD ka girna ruk sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki majboori yeh hai ke yeh supply area 1.3224 ko nahi tod paaya. Khushkismati se, kal jab yeh upar gaya, GBPUSD apne qareeb ke resistance ko nahi tod paya.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye, to GBPUSD ki girawat ke doran, candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke niche rahi hai, jo ke trend ko bearish darshata hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ke mauqe abhi bhi bade hain, jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Is waqt stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD oversold condition mein hai. Yeh is line se sabit hota hai jo level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Position abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, isliye mujhse ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunki jo pehle girawat thi wo ab barhne mein badal sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke girne ke mauqe abhi bhi hain, kyunki H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern successfully niche penetrate ho gaya hai. Iske ilawa, candle supply area 1.3224 ko nahi tod payi. Isliye, jo log is pair mein trade karte hain unhein sirf sell positions kholne par focus karna chahiye. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareeb ke nearest support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas paas rakhna chahiye.

GBP/USD ke hourly chart par, pair ne Thursday ke girawat ko continue kiya hai jab yeh 161.8% corrective level 1.3258 se rebound kar ke 127.2% corrective level 1.3054 tak pohonch gaya. Pair abhi tak ek upward trend channel ke boundaries mein hai, jo market sentiment ko "bullish" banaye hue hai. Agar pair channel ke lower line se rebound karta hai, toh pound ko support milega aur growth 1.3258 level tak dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Agar channel ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga.

Wave structure clear hai. Akhri complete hui wave neeche jaane ke bawajood pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kar payi, jab ke akhri wave upar jaate huye pichli wave ke peak ko break kar gayi. Is liye, hum iss waqt "bullish" trend ke saath deal kar rahe hain, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagane mein waqt lag sakta hai. Choti waves ke pattern nahi dikh rahe jo trend change ka indication de sakein. Lekin ek upward trend channel abhi tak intact hai, jo pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ki news ne U.S. dollar ko strengthen kiya, kyunki U.S. economy second quarter mein traders ki expectations se zyada grow hui. Bears abhi tak kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ki lower line tak le jaane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo yeh indicate karegi ke Fed ki monetary policy ko September ya year ke end tak ease kiya ja sakta hai, dollar par pressure daal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow hota hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation gir rahi hai. Inflation ka slowdown Fed ke rate cut ke chances ko barha sakta hai agle kuch mahino mein. Filhal, FOMC members yeh sure nahi hain ke year ke end tak har meeting mein ease karna zaroori hai, lekin agar inflation girti rahi aur labor market ke results weak aayein aur unemployment barhti rahi, toh unka opinion badal sakta hai.

4-hour chart par, pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho gaya hai. CCI indicator pichle ek week se "bearish" divergence warn kar raha hai, aur RSI indicator ek week se overbought territory mein hai, jo ke ek rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ke girne ke chances zyada hain. Lekin, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hona continued growth suggest karta hai towards agle Fibonacci level 76.4% at 1.3314. Sirf hourly chart par pound ke girawat ka signal maujood hai.

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.
Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Aaj ke din ke liye, sab traders ko successful

GBPUSD ne apni bearish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha aur 15 August ko 1.2798 ke low ko touch karne ke baad, London trading session mein US dollar ke against price upar gai.
Daily time frame mein channel resistance toot gaya hai.

Weekly time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal signal de raha hai.

15-minute time frame mein MACD indicator zero ke paas aa gaya hai, jo bullish trend ka indication hai.

GBPUSD prices 1-hour time frame mein horizontal support ke qareeb hain.

1-hour time frame mein Harmonic Moving Average 20 se bullish trend reversal nazar aa raha hai.

Price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point pe wapas aa gaya hai.

GBPUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai.

• 1.2798 ke mark ke upar pound bullish reversal dekha gaya hai.

• Short-term range bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

• GBPUSD 1.3000 ke level ke upar hai.

• Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

GBPUSD ab apne pivot level 1.3016 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai.

GBPUSD price classic support level 1.3008 ke upar hai aur ab apni agle target 1.3052, jo 1-month high hai, ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Hum 1.3066 level, jo pivot point 1st resistance point hai, ke breach ki bhi ummeed kar rahe hain.

Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

Disclaimer: Ye analysis meri raaye hai. ******* brand ke under operate karne wale companies ise opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke tor par na samjhein

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

GBP/USD ka Raasta Tay Karna

GBP/USD pair mein kal izafa hua, jabke US dollar market mein aam tor par aur pound ke muqablay mein bhi girawat ki taraf gaya. Yeh ab uthane walay khameer ki tarah barh rahe hain, lekin is senior season H4 ke dauran is baat ke asaar hain ke ek nayi girawat shuru honay wali hai. Sab se pehle, agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagayein, toh aap dekhein ge ke pehla target (is grid par level 161.8) aur doosra target (level 200) dono hi hasil kiye ja chuke hain, jo guzishta saal July ke muqabil mein zyada hain. Iske ilawa, senior period ki pehli aur teesri wave (jo zard rang mein numayan ki gayi hai) lagbhag ek hi size ki hain; haqeeqat mein teesri wave bari hai; yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke poora cycle mukammal ho chuka hai. Yeh aam tor par poori ulat ya chauthi wave ki correction ka sabab banta hai. Mazeed yeh ke CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence ya sell signal nazar aaraha hai jo istemal kiya ja raha hai. Senior daily chart par bhi yeh indicator overheated zone se neeche ki taraf utarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhne ki zarurat hai ke kal ke izafay ne qareeb qareeb price ko resistance level 1.3136 tak pohanchaya, jo ek ahem weekly level hai aur guzishta saal July ka peak hai. Qeemat ko mazeed barhanay ya shayad ulatnay se pehle chauthi wave ki correction zaroori hogi. 1.3036 support level aur do wave bottoms par bani hui upar uthti hui line girawat ke maqasid hain. Aaj ke khabron mein yeh baat qabil-e-zikr hai: pehli bar bekarri ke faidye ke liye darkhwaston ki tadaad aur Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par kul haqdaaran ki tadaad. US service ke business activity index (PMI) ka range 16 se 45 tak hai Neeche GBP/USD ka daily chart diya gaya hai. Bechne walon ki tadaad khareedne walon se kam hai, kyun ke agar aisa hota, toh quote ne pehle hi niche gir jaana hota bajaye ke izafa ho raha hai. Market mein seller hain lekin unka volume khareedne walon ke muqablay mein zyada nahi hai. Jab khareedne walay apni khareedariyan theek karna shuru karenge, toh baat alag hogi, lekin izafa pehle hi dheema ho chuka hai, aur yeh imkaan hai ke aaj khareedari ki theek saazi hogi, aur yeh sellers ke liye raasta kholegi. Yeh pair bahut zyada overbought hai aur iss saal ki qeematon ke muqablay mein mehngi ho chuki hai, isliye aap British ki shorting shuru kar sakte hain. Iss tarah, mojudah qeematon ke ilaqe mein aap har 40-50 points par ek sale ki grid ikathi karna shuru kar sakte hain aur Fibonacci grid ke 38.20% level par is non-rollback movement se nikal sakte hain, jo guzishta haftay hui thi aur jo 150 points se zyada ki non-rollback movement thi, kyun ke aise bulandiyon aur aise mehngi qeematon par is pair ko khareedne ke liye logon ki tadaad kam hoti jayegi aur unka volume kam hoga

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

Masla yeh hai ke humein standard Friday nahi mila; hum trading month close kar rahe thay, aur aise dinon mein aksar bina wajah ke movements ho jaati hain, aur Americans lambay weekend ke liye chalay jaate hain. Aur Monday ko, samajh gaye na, bina Americans ke, koi direction nahi milta, aur hum kisi direction mein tabhi start karenge jab woh game mein aaenge. Main aapke indicate kiye huay range se mutafiq hoon. London ke opening par maine ek upward rebound pakra, lekin main usay zyada dair tak nahi rakh saka; sellers ne pehle hi approach ko jaldi se crush kar diya. Dekhte hain ke yeh range kis direction mein tootega, upar ya neeche. Mera khayal hai ke chances barabar hain, aur mazeed yeh bhi exclude nahi karta ke woh isay support 31 ke ek false breakout ke zariye upar khench lenge. Isi liye, unhone 1.31 ko achi tarah ram kar diya hai, rebound zone ko fill karte huay.
Aur movement ka channel ek ladder hai; yeh reliable nahi hain, asaani se toot jaate hain, aur zaroori hai ke daily par minimum support banaya jaye. Stock market bhi neeche nahi jana chahta, isliye aaj main buying se hoon, lekin abhi tak 1.31-1.3150 ke range mein hi.

Hello, colleague! Achha, achha, achha: Americans ke bina guzaara nahi.) Waisay, bohat se log sirf American session ke dauran trade karna pasand karte hain—uski opening par. Yeh zarur thora frenzy hota hai, lekin kam az kam yeh mobile hota hai. Aur agar sahi direction mein khade ho, toh phir zameen pe jannat hai; saari profits aap ki. Chalo, ab lyrics se nikal ke practice par aate hain. Abhi humare paas GBP/USD ke liye indicators kya bata rahe hain: MA100 bhi bullish mood mein jhuka hai aur is waqt growth ke haq mein pull kar raha hai. GBP/USD ke daily chart par saare Bollinger bands bhi bullish tune par hain. Mazeed, maan lo ya na maan lo, lekin yahan par kuch mazboot bullish sentiment hai.

Ek taraf se dekha jaye toh saare bands ne MA100 ko apne bands ke beech se guzarne diya—yeh currency ke flat mood ki nishani hai. Dusri taraf, Bollinger ke end parts bhi north ko pull kar rahe hain ek forty-degree ke trend angle par—yeh rise ko continue karne ka ek kaafi serious mood hai. Upar wala band chart cut ke peeche se seedha uda hai. Yeh toh bilkul pakka hai, chaahe jaisay bhi dekho—yeh yeh dikhata hai ke pair mein bulls bahut hain. Qareeb ke future mein, woh bears ko steer nahi karne denge. Matlab, decline sirf indicated, imaginary hoga, lekin growth easily clockwork ki tarah ho sakta hai.

Abhi ke liye working boundaries: 1.3025 (yahan se hum buy karte hain), aur north mein, 1.3145 (yahan se hum sell karte hain).

GBP/USD mein munafa hasil karne ke tareeqe

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Main GBP/USD currency pair ko 4-hour chart par dekh raha hoon. Maujooda price action yeh suggest karta hai ke selling behtreen strategy hai. Mera profit target support level 1.30228 par set hai. Lekin main trade us waqt lena behtar samajhta hoon jab price 1.30964 se behtar ho, ideally 1.32289 ke aas paas. Neeche ki taraf ka trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, jo ke koi hairani ki baat nahi, magar ab tak hum 1.31 se neeche position secure nahi kar paaye. Humein din ke close ka intezaar karna chahiye, khas tor par jab ke trading 31st figure se upar chali gayi hai. Aaj dollar ki strength notable hai, halan ke negative indices ki waja se yeh thoda sa puzzling hai. Iske bawajood, mera stance ab tak nahi badla; main is waqt ke prices par trade karne ka nahi soch raha. Agar 1.31 ka breakdown false move sabit hota hai, to shayad main baad mein buying ke bare mein ghoor karoon.



Ek reversal hua resistance level 1.3264 se, jo ke neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Humarey paas support level 1.3041 se neeche girawat dekhne ka imkan hai. Pehle price side corridor se upar gaya, is resistance 1.3041 ko tod kar, jo ke iska upper edge tha. Price ab neeche ja raha hai aur trend bearish hai. Yeh phir se is side range mein wapas aa sakte hain, halan ke is range ki boundaries wazeh nahi hain. Yeh range lagbhag 1,000 points ke aas paas hai. Bilkul! Yahan pehle ka likha hua text diya gaya hai: main is baat se ittefaq karta hoon ke bohat kuch crucial fundamental data par depend karega, kyun ke yeh U.S. Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ko bohot asar dalta hai. Yeh analysis GBP/USD price quotes ke theoretical examination par mabni hai.