جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

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جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

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  • #8191 Collapse

    GBP/USD ne 1.2612 level tak pohnch kar 6 hafton mein sab se neecha price record kiya, aur ab 1.2645 level par stabilize ho gaya hai, jab ke aham American economic releases ke aane wale hain.

    US dollar ki value ab euro-centric risks ke aage hai, jo French weekend elections se affected ho sakti hai aur is se European Central Bank ko aage chal kar interest rates ko aur kam karna par sakta hai. Analysts kehte hain ke Canada aur Australia mein inflation rates ki unexpected tezi ne global inflation ke bare mein concerns ko janm diya hai, jo bond yields ke barhne ka sabab bana hai. Kai Fed officials ne is saal interest rates ko kam karne ke khilaf apni raaye di hai, jo bond markets par pressure daal rahi hai aur eventually US dollar ko faida pohanchane ka sabab ban rahi hai.

    Brown Brothers Harriman ke expert Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq, "Fed officials abhi bhi sakht hain." United States (high interest rates for a long period), United Kingdom, aur Eurozone ke darmiyan interest rate policy ka farq US dollar ko support karta hai.

    Recent statements se pata chalta hai ke Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman ne kaha, "Hum ab tak is point par nahi pohnche jahan interest rates ko kam karna appropriate ho." Unhon ne apni economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainties ko dekhte hue monetary policy mein future changes ko carefully consider karne ka keh diya. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke kai officials is saal kisi bhi cut ke liye nahi dekh rahe, kyunki wo interest rates ko stable rakhne mein vishwas rakhte hain. June 12 ke forecasts ke mutabiq, unka aur unke colleagues ka ek cut dekhne ka plan hai, jab ke kuch log do cuts bhi dekh rahe hain. "Agar inflation ruk jaati hai ya reverse hoti hai, to main future meetings mein federal funds rate target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar hoon," Bowman ne add kiya.

    Federal Reserve President Lisa De Kock ne cuts ko accept karne ke liye zyada open dikhai, keh kar: "Agar inflation mein aur izafa hota hai aur underlying activity dheemi hoti hai, to kabhi bhi policy restrictions ko kam karna theek ho sakta hai taake economy mein ek healthy balance bana rahe." Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke is adjustment ka timing economic data ke unfold hone aur economic expectations aur risk balance ke mutabiq decide hoga. Market ab bhi November ko sab se likely time ke tor par dekh raha hai, lekin September mein cut ka 70% chance hai.

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    • #8192 Collapse

      GBP-USD Pair Analysis

      Details intraday yeh dikhate hain ke yeh H4 time frame mein inside bar pattern ke paanchwe projection ko test kar raha hai 1.32332 ki price par. Agar yeh solid resistance ko successfully penetrate karta hai, toh SMA5 ke dynamic support ke saath yeh agle projection ki taraf barhne ka mauqa rakhta hai 1.33058 ki price par. Agar yeh penetrate karta hai, toh agle projection ki taraf jaane ka mauqa khulta hai. Iske baraks, agar isse upar ke dono kareebi projections se reject kiya jata hai, toh ismein pehle ke projection tak retrace karne ki potential hai. Yani ke yeh bearish ho sakta hai, aur head and shoulders pattern bana sakta hai, khaas kar agar yeh neckline ko RBS area ke aas paas 1.31788 ki price par penetrate kar leta hai.

      Trading Options

      Iss analysis ke madd-e-nazar, GBPUSD ke liye trading options yeh ho sakte hain:

      - Buy Option: Yeh option tab taiyaar kiya jata hai jab yeh H4 time frame mein inside bar pattern ke paanchwe projection ko 1.32332 ki price par solidly penetrate kar leta hai. Target agle projection ke aas paas rakha jata hai, jo ke 1.33058 ki price par hai. Ek reentry buy option bhi taiyaar kiya jata hai jab yeh resistance ko successfully penetrate karta hai aur correction SMA5 ke dynamic support ke upar flip area ke aas paas 1.32713 ki price par rehta hai. Target agle projection ke aas paas 1.33784 ki price par rakha jata hai.

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      - Sell Option: Yeh option tab taiyaar kiya jata hai jab izafa dobara se H4 time frame mein inside bar pattern ke paanchwe projection ke neeche daba diya jata hai. Yeh tab confirm hota hai jab SMA5 aur SMA10 ke curves neeche ki taraf cross karte hain. Target SMA50 ke dynamic support ke aas paas RBS area mein 1.30476 ki price par rakha jata hai. Ek aur sell option tab taiyaar kiya jata hai jab izafa ko chhatwe projection ke neeche reject kiya jata hai jo ke 1.33058 ki price par hai. Target RBS area ke aas paas 1.31788 ki price par rakha jata hai.
         
      • #8193 Collapse

        GBP/USD/H1

        Do din se, British pound aur US dollar ke darmiyan GBP/USD ki price higher rebound karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin iski gains 1.2698 ke level se aage nahi barh rahi hain, aur filhal yeh level ke aas paas stable hai. Currency pair downward shift ke nuksanon se recover karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo isse 1.2622 ke support level tak le gaya, jo ke pichhle chhe hafton mein sab se neecha level hai. Yeh recent downward move investors ke Britain ke monetary policy aur political future ko evaluate karne ke bawajood aaya hai.

        Pichle hafte, Bank of England (BoE) ne interest rates ko unchanged rakha, jo August mein rate cut ki ummeed ko barhawa diya, policy makers ke comments ke baad. Domestic inflation report ne bhi dikhaya ke headline inflation BoE ke target 2% tak gir gayi hai. Aane wale GDP figures economic insight provide karenge, jab ke Friday ko strong retail sales data ne BoE ke comments se kuch optimism ko temper kiya.

        GBP/USD price analysis ke results trend ke direction mein niche ki taraf move karenge. Agar aapko yakin hai ke GBP/USD ki price kamzor hogi, to foran sell trade na karein. Thoda sabr rakhein aur GBP/USD price ko underlying offer ke kareeb aate hue dekhein taake sahi price mil sake. Selling tab ki ja sakti hai agar bearish pin bar ya engulfing candle se confirmation mile jiska body underlying offer ke neeche ho, loss ka limit 1.26919 ke upar aur profit taking ka price 1.25889 ke neeche ho. Agar GBP/USD price underlying supply ko exceed kar jati hai, to sell signal expire ho jayega due to trend reversal.

        Agar GBP/USD price niche ki taraf move karti hai sirf underlying supply base ko touch karne ya enter karne se pehle, to apne aapko sell trade me enter karne ke liye force na karein kyunki yeh technical requirements ko pura nahi karti. Trade ko execute kiya ja sakta hai pending order buy limit price 1.25889 ke saath, jab GBP/USD price oversold hai, loss limit price 1.25825 ke neeche aur profit taking price 1.26825 ke neeche ho.

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        • #8194 Collapse

          GBP/USD H4 Analysis

          GBP/USD pair, jo ke British Pound aur US Dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai, forex market mein sab se zyada actively traded pairs mein se ek hai. Yeh pair bohot se economic, political, aur financial factors se mutasir hota hai, jo ke dono United Kingdom aur United States se related hote hain. Is particular trading week ke aaghaz mein market sentiment British Pound ke haq mein tha, jisme kai factors buyers ke confidence aur control mein barhawa de rahe thay.

          Iske ilawa, favorable economic data aur UK ki political landscape ne bhi market sentiment ko shape karne mein kirdar ada kiya. Brexit negotiations se related developments, hukoomat ki policies mein tabdeeli, ya kisi bhi political figure ka bayaan currency markets par asar daal sakta hai. Iss dauran, UK ka political environment mukammal tor par stable tha, jisme koi major disruptions ya uncertainties nahi thi jo ke British Pound ko negatively affect kar sakti. Yeh stability bullish sentiment mein izafa kar rahi thi aur buyers ke efforts ko support kar rahi thi ke price ko 1.2670 level tak push karein.

          Doosri taraf, US Dollar ki performance ne bhi GBP/USD pair ko mutasir kiya. Us waqt US Dollar mein kuch kamzori nazar aa rahi thi jisme kai factors shaamil thay, jaise ke economic growth ke lower-than-expected numbers, inflation se mutaliq concerns, aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance. Fed ka dovish approach apnana, aur interest rates ko hike karne mein ihtiyaat karna, US Dollar ko soft kar raha tha. Dollar ki yeh kamzori GBP/USD market mein buyers ke liye mazeed force provide kar rahi thi, jise British Pound mazeed attractive nazar aa raha tha.

          Technical analysis ne bhi traders ke strategies aur market behavior mein aham kirdar ada kiya. 1.2670 ka price level aik significant resistance point identify hua tha historical price action aur technical indicators ki buniyad par. Traders aur analysts is level ko closely monitor kar rahe thay, isko bullish movement ke liye aik potential target samajh rahe thay. Buying pressure ka buildup aur price ka gradual ascent is level ki taraf, market ke collective efforts ko darshata tha ke wo is resistance ko breach karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur aik naye higher trading range ko establish karne ki soch mein hain.

          Summary mein, trading week ke aaghaz mein GBP/USD market buyers ke decisive control mein tha, jo ke price ko strategically higher push kar rahe thay 1.2670 level tak pohnchne ke liye. Yeh upward movement UK se ane wale positive economic data, stable political environment, aur relatively weaker US Dollar ke wajah se support ho raha tha. In factors ka interplay bullish trend ke liye aik conducive environment create kar raha tha, aur market participants is 1.2670 level ko aik key target samajh rahe thay ongoing trading sessions mein. Jese jese week aage barhta gaya, fundamental aur technical aspects mein developments ko closely monitor kiya gaya taake bullish momentum ke sustainability ko assess kiya ja sake aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

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          • #8195 Collapse

            GBP/USD Price Activity

            Aaj humari guftagu ka maqsad GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing behaviour ka jaiza lena hai. H1 level par abhi bhi 1.3169-49 ki range mein ek rukaawat mojood hai, lekin yeh resistance sirf ek din ke liye progress mein takheer kar sakti hai. Agar yeh pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh kal ek breakthrough ho sakta hai jo ke price ko neeche la sakta hai. Agar hum system ke zariye subah highlight kiye gaye intraday levels ka jaiza lein, toh yeh andaza hota hai ke upward trend ab bhi mazboot hai, jab tak correction move hai. Lekin yeh correction khas taur par kamzor sabit hui hai. Intraday levels jo dilchaspi ke hai, woh red aur green rang se mark kiye gaye hain, aur yeh hain 1.3106 aur 1.3228. Yeh dono levels abhi tak touch nahi kiye gaye hain, aur yeh soorat-e-haal kal tak barqarar rahegi jab tak aur zyada narrowing nahi hoti. Aksar, narrowing pattern se market zyada erratic ho sakta hai, lekin kisi bhi range expansion ke imkaanaat kam hain. Ab tak mujhe kisi bhi tehqiqat se yeh sabit nahi hota ke koi mazboot bearish move aane wala hai.

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            GBP/USD D1 Chart Analysis

            GBP/USD D1 chart par, aaj ke din ki market activity UK mein chhutti ki wajah se kafi stagnant rahi. Guzishta trading haftay mein bearish kamyabi ke liye koi khaas moka nahi tha; chhoti intraday corrections bhi mushkil se hui. Pair jack ki tarah upar gaya, lekin aisa lag raha tha ke niche jaane ke liye tayar hai. Thursday ki candle, jo ek inverted hammer jaisi thi, ne ek potential decline ko suggest kiya. Pura din market flat rahi, aur isne unchay levels se downward correction ki ummed ke saath sellers ka ek group jama kiya. Lekin yeh ummed zyada dair tak zinda nahi rahi kyun ke jumma ke din US se aham khabrein aayi. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki takrir aur US mein naye gharon ki sales ke elaan ne price mein zabardast surge paida ki, jisne kai accounts ko effect kiya aur stop losses ko trigger kiya. Yeh movement pound ke haq mein nahi thi; US dollar puri market mein kaafi kamzor hogaya.
               
            • #8196 Collapse

              **GBP/USD Pair Review**

              Haal hi ke trading ke mutabiq, pound sterling ki qeemat mein kami dekhi gayi hai jabke bond yields mein izafa aur global stock markets mein girawat hui hai, jese ke investors ko inflation ke dobara anay ka khauf hai. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke muqable mein US dollar ki qeemat, yani GBP/USD, 1.2612 support level tak gir gayi thi, jo ke pichle paanch hafton ka sab se neechay ka level hai. Uske baad qeemat thori si recover hui aur 1.2660 level ke qareeb aa gayi, jab ke halia US economic data ke natayej samnay aaye.

              Aam tor par, currency markets ke mutabiq, is waqt pound sterling ka future international investor sentiment aur global financial markets ki movements par mabni hai, jabke local developments ya data ki kami hai. Stock markets ke girne se pound euro ke muqable mein kamzor hota hai, jabke US dollar ke muqable mein bhi achi performance nahi hoti. Magar, aise halat mein yeh doosri currencies, khaaskar Australian aur New Zealand dollars aur Scandinavian currencies ke muqable mein faida utha sakta hai.

              Losses ke asbaab par comment karte hue, Chris Beauchamp, jo ke IG Bank ke chief market analyst hain, kehte hain: "Indices gir rahe hain jabke inflation ka khauf dobara anay laga hai." Australia mein inflation mein izafa hua hai, jo ke halat ko mazid mushkil banata hai aur yeh possibility paida hoti hai ke pichle do saalon ka bara concern, yani inflation, dobara apna sar uthayega, jis se central bank policy rates ko dobara barhna parega."

              Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, Australian monthly inflation index ne upar ki taraf surprise diya hai, jabke inflation teesi dafa barh gayi hai. Yeh developments Canada ke similar surprise ke ek din baad hui hain. Yeh numbers yeh confirm karte hain ke global inflation dobara barh rahi hai. Aise scenario mein global central banks ko dobara interest rates ko barhana parega ya phir inhein zyadah arsay tak baray rates par rakhna hoga. Yeh bond yields ko upar karega, jo ke stocks par asar daalay ga aur economic growth ko slow karega. XTB ki analyst, Kathleen Brooks ke mutabiq: "Bonds ko becha ja raha hai aur yields upar ja rahi hain jab ke Australian inflation data ne market mein panic peda kar diya hai."

              Sterling dollar ka expected price kya hai?

              Forex market trading ke mutabiq, pound ki US dollar ke muqable mein exchange rate aadha percent gir gayi aur 1.2612 tak pohnch gayi. UOB ke Forex Market Analysis Department ke Kwik Ser Liang ke mutabiq: "British pound 1.2616 tak gir gaya hai. Bearish momentum dobara tezi pakar raha hai, aur 1.2600 ka level break hona koi hairani ki baat nahi hogi. Agla level jo dekhna hoga wo 1.2550 hai."

              Karl Schamotta, jo ke Corpay ke chief market analyst hain, kehte hain: "Trade-weighted US dollar ek unstoppable force ban gayi hai, jab ke Fed officials aggressive tone apna rahe hain aur doosri jagah halat currency weakness ko favour kar rahi hai." Analyst ne mazeed kaha ke: "Financial markets mein risk ka appetite khatam hota ja raha hai." Iska main sabab bond market mein girawat hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ko future mein dakhil karne se related concerns hain.

              US Federal Reserve ke officials ke recent bayaanat ne yields par upward pressure mein izafa kar diya hai aur market concerns ko barhawa diya hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, "US Federal Reserve officials abhi bhi hawkish hain." Michelle Bowman, jo ke Federal Reserve policy setter hain, ne kaha: "Abhi tak hum is point par nahi pohnchay ke interest rate ko kam karna munasib ho." Unhon ne ye bhi kaha ke: "Agar inflation ruk jata hai ya dobara barhta hai, to main future meeting mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane par tayyar hoon."

              **Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:**

              European political anxiety aur weak investor sentiment abhi ke liye pound sterling ke gains par negative asar dalein ge against US dollar GBP/USD. Technically, daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, current downward channel ko break karne ka koi chance nahi hai jab tak resistance 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ke ooper stabilize nahi hoti. Doosri taraf, is hi time period mein, 1.2600 level ke neeche move bears ko currency pair ko deeper support levels tak le janay ke liye motivate karta rahega, sab se ahem support 1.2485 hai, jo ke technical indicators ko strong selling saturation levels ki taraf le jayega. Aaj sterling dollar ki qeemat US Federal Reserve ke preferred inflation reading aur future central bank policy aur European political situation se signals se bohot zyada mutasir hogi.

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              • #8197 Collapse

                **GBP/USD Pair Review**

                Haal hi mein GBP/USD pair ne aik aham resistance level 1.2674-1.2700 ko break kiya hai. Abhi yeh pair is resistance level ke ooper trade kar raha hai, jo ke ab support ban chuka hai. Yeh breakout aik noteworthy development hai, jo market dynamics mein tabdeeli aur mazeed upward movement ke potential ki taraf ishara karta hai.

                Resistance ko break karne ke baad, GBP/USD price ne channel ke top se bottom tak pullback experience kiya. Magar, isne newly transformed level 1.2700-1.2800 par mazboot support paya. Yeh area, jo pehle resistance ka kaam karta tha, ab pair ke liye aik solid foundation provide kar raha hai jahan se yeh rebound kar sakta hai aur aik naya upward trend shuru ho sakta hai.

                Is waqt, GBP/USD pair 50-period moving average ke qareeb consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Moving average aik key indicator hai jo traders ko overall trend aur potential support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai. Is level ke qareeb consolidation ka matlab hai ke market stabilization aur reduced volatility ke daur se guzra raha hai, jo ke aksar aik significant price movement se pehle hota hai.

                Mojooda technical setup ko dekhte hue, yeh highly likely hai ke GBP/USD pair channel ke upper boundary tak barh sakta hai. Agar price is boundary ke ooper breakout karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh sustained upward trend ki shuruaat ka signal de sakta hai. Key resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain, wo hain 1.2683-1.2735, jo pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial role ada kareinge.

                Kayi factors is optimistic outlook mein contribute kar rahe hain. Broader market sentiment is waqt British pound ko US dollar par favor kar raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic indicators aur geopolitical developments se mutasir hai. US dollar ki recent weakness, jo ke subdued inflation data aur Federal Reserve ke dovish stance se driven hai, ne GBP/USD pair ko additional support provide kiya hai.

                Iske ilawa, UK economy ne global uncertainties ke bawajood resilience dikhayi hai, jo ke positive economic data se mazid investor confidence ko barhawa de raha hai. Yeh favorable environment pound ke liye aur GBP/USD pair ki upward trajectory ko support kar raha hai.

                Short term mein, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khaaskar 1.2683-1.2735 ke resistance levels ke qareeb. Agar yeh levels successfully break hote hain, to yeh mazeed gains ka raasta bana sakta hai, jo ke aane wale sessions mein higher resistance levels ko target kar sakta hai.

                Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye aur un potential risks ko madde nazar rakha jaye jo pair ki movement ko impact kar sakte hain. Unexpected economic data releases, central bank policies mein tabdeeli ya geopolitical events, market dynamics ko jaldi se badal sakti hain. Is liye, latest news se updated rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna bohot zaroori hai.

                In conclusion, GBP/USD pair ne aik significant resistance level ko break kiya hai aur is waqt uske ooper trade kar raha hai, jo mazeed upward movement ka ishara de raha hai. Pair 50-period moving average ke qareeb consolidate ho raha hai, aur is baat ke strong chances hain ke yeh channel ke upper boundary tak barh sake. Traders ko 1.2683-1.2735 ke resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye potential breakout opportunities ke liye, jab ke market ko impact karne wale developments se bhi hooshyar rehna chahiye.

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                • #8198 Collapse

                  Pound Sterling Ka Price Movement

                  Pound Sterling abhi bhi 1.3200 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai US Dollar ke muqablay mein, aur is waqt tawajjo US core PCE inflation data par hai jo ke July ka hai. Fed ki Mary Daly ne kaha hai ke agar US labor market mein bigar hota hai, toh ek aggressive policy easing ke liye raasta khula hai. British shop price inflation August mein tezi se slow hua hai.

                  Pound Sterling (GBP) ne gains ko 1.3200 ke aas paas barqarar rakha hai US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein Tuesday ki London session mein. GBP/USD pair abhi pichlay haftay ki tezi ke baad aik aram ke mode mein hai, aur investors nayi sooraten haal ka intezar kar rahe hain jo September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cut ki mumkin size ke baray mein signal day.

                  CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke September mein 50 basis points (bps) interest-rate reduction ka imkaan 28.5% hai, jabke baqi ke liye 25 bps ke chhote cut ko tarjeeh di gayi hai. Yeh tool wazeh taur par dikhata hai ke Fed ki policy normalization ki taraf wapsi traders ne puri tarah se price kar li hai, jis wajah se US Dollar ek haftay se zyada se weak position par hai.

                  US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko chhay badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, abhi 101.00 ke immediate resistance ke neeche ek subdued performance dikha raha hai.

                  Monday ko, San Francisco Fed Bank ki President Mary Daly ne September mein interest rates cut karne ki zarurat ko zor diya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ki support ki, lekin yeh bhi kaha ke agar labor market mein bigar hota hai, toh ek bade cut ke liye bhi darwaze khulay hain, yeh baat unhon ne Bloomberg par interview mein kahi.

                  Investors ka yaqeen ke Fed September se interest rates mein kami shuru kar dega, us waqt aur barh gaya jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni speech mein Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium par kaha ke policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Jerome Powell ne labor market ki softening par bhi fikr ka izhar kiya aur usay support karne ka irada zahir kiya.

                  Is haftay, investors United States (US) ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data par baray ghawr se tawajjo dein ge, jo ke July ka hai aur Friday ko publish hoga. Taqreeban, annual core PCE 2.7% par pohanchne ki umeed hai jo pehle release ke 2.6% se barh gayi hai, aur mahana numbers 0.2% ke saath stable rehne ki umeed hai. Is se pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for June aur The Conference Board ka Consumer Confidence gauge for August release karega.

                  Pound Sterling Tuesday ko apne mazeed peers ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikha raha hai, siwaye Asia-Pacific currencies ke. British currency upbeat market sentiment aur UK ki behtar hoti hui economic outlook ka faida utha rahi hai. Economic prospects improve huay hain jab S&P Global/CIPS PMI ke flash results ne yeh dikhaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors dono mein August mein tawaqqa se zyada pace ke saath activity mein izafa hua.

                  Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke muqable mein ghatta hota yehan ki bettings ne bhi Pound Sterling ki appeal ko behtar kiya hai. Yeh scenario is liye kam mumkin lagta hai kyun ke BoE officials umeed karte hain ke inflation dobara barhegi chahe price pressures abate hotay nazar aate hain.

                  British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ke mutabiq, British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli baar ghatay hain. Non-food goods ki prices mein 1.5% ki kami hui hai, jo ke teen saal ki sabse bari girawat hai, summer clothes ki slow sales ki wajah se. Khoraak ki prices mein bhi ahista izafa hua hai jo 2.0% par tha, jo November 2021 ke baad sabse chhoti barh chadh hai, July ke 2.3% se neeche.

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                  Pound Sterling US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3200 ke fresh two-and-a-half-year high post karne ke baad sideways ho gaya hai. GBP/USD pair ne weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout dene ke baad mazbooti dikhayi hai. Agar bullish momentum wapas aata hai, toh Cable ke 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf barhne ki tawaqqa hai.

                  20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.2766 ke kareeb upward-sloping hai, ek strong upside trend ko suggest karta hai.

                  14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Phir bhi, yeh overbought levels par pohanch chuka hai, jo ke kareeb 70.00 hain, jisse ek corrective pullback ke chances barh gaye hain. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye crucial support hoga.
                     
                  • #8199 Collapse

                    **GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

                    GBP/USD pair ne 1.2693-1.2737 range mein aik significant resistance level ko break karne ke liye kaafi struggle kiya hai. Yeh resistance level bohot formidable sabit hua hai, kyunke bulls ne isko baar baar test kiya magar kamiyabi hasil nahi hui. Price action ne aik narrow consolidation channel create kiya hai, jo indecision aur strong directional movement ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Repeated attempts ke bawajood, bulls ne recent mein is resistance ko cross karne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jis ke natije mein price 1.2628 tak gir gayi.

                    Overall market sentiment ko US dollar ki weakness ne kaafi influence kiya hai. Greenback ki value mein girawat, GBP/USD pair ki recent movements mein aik significant factor rahi hai. Is depreciation ka aik main catalyst weak consumer price index (CPI) figures hain, jo US economic outlook ke hawale se concerns ko barhawa dete hain aur Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions par bhi asar dalte hain.

                    Weak CPI data yeh suggest karta hai ke inflation pehle se anticipate ki gayi baat jitni strong nahi hai, jo ke Fed ki taraf se aik dovish stance ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isse US dollar par downward pressure aya hai, kyunke investors apni interest rate hikes ki expectations ko adjust karte hain. Yeh dynamics GBP/USD pair ko bhi impact kar rahe hain, jo broader market dynamics ko reflect kar raha hai.

                    Short term mein, GBP/USD pair ka outlook uncertain nazar aa raha hai. Recent mein resistance level ko break karne mein nakami aur phir 1.2628 tak girawat yeh suggest karte hain ke bulls ka momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Magar, US dollar ki ongoing weakness pair ke liye kuch support provide kar sakti hai, jo recent downward trend ke reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai.

                    Agar greenback depreciate hota raha, to GBP/USD pair mein dobara buying interest nazar aa sakti hai. Traders aur investors is situation ko pair ko ooper push karne ka aik mouqa samajh sakte hain, jo ke 1.2700 ke local high aur iske ooper ke levels ko target kar sakte hain. Psychological level 1.2700 aik important area hoga dekhne ke liye, kyunke agar price is level ke ooper break karti hai, to yeh further upside potential ka signal de sakta hai.

                    Magar, ehtiyaat lazmi hai, kyunke market ko mukhtalif factors influence kar sakte hain, jin mein economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies shamil hain. Koi bhi unexpected news ya events jaldi se market dynamics ko badal sakte hain aur GBP/USD pair ke current trajectory ko alter kar sakte hain.

                    GBP/USD pair is waqt consolidation phase mein hai aur significant resistance level ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Weak US dollar, jo ke weak CPI figures se driven hai, recent price movements mein aik crucial role ada kar raha hai. Jab ke short-term outlook uncertain hai, greenback ki continued depreciation pair ki upward movement ko support kar sakti hai, aur local high 1.2700+ ko target kar sakti hai. Traders ko hooshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading decisions mein technical aur fundamental factors dono ko consider karna chahiye.

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                    • #8200 Collapse

                      **GBP/USD Analysis - 29 June 2024**

                      Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ke future movement mein izafa ka imkaan hai, aur yeh price 1.26700 tak ja sakta hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke M30 time frame par GBP/USD ke movement mein bullish engulfing candle bani hai, jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai BUY GBP/USD ke liye, aur yeh price 1.26700 tak pohanch sakta hai.

                      Iske ilawa, jab RSI 14 indicator ko dekha gaya, to maloom hua ke GBP/USD ka price 1.26200 par already overbought tha, kyunke price ne RSI indicator ke lower limit, yani 30, ko touch kiya tha. Yeh ek bohot strong indication hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD ka price dobara se upar ki taraf move karega aur 1.26700 tak ja sakta hai.

                      BUY GBP/USD signal ko SNR method se bhi bohot support mil raha hai. Jab GBP/USD ka price 1.2630 ke aas paas tha, to yeh already RBS area mein tha, jo ke is baat ka imkaan zahir karta hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD apni increase continue karega aur price 1.26700 tak ja sakta hai.

                      Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, main ne aaj decide kiya hai ke main GBP/USD ko 1.26700 tak BUY karun ga Monday ko. Yeh analysis meri apni strategy par mabni hai aur yeh market ke current trend aur indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue ki gayi hai.

                      Yeh bhi yaad rahe ke market mein kisi bhi waqt unexpected changes aa sakte hain, jo ke price movement ko asar andaz kar sakte hain, is liye news aur updates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Lekin philhal ke liye, meri analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke GBP/USD mein izafa hoga aur price 1.26700 tak ja sakta hai.

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                      • #8201 Collapse

                        GBP/USD

                        Hello, sab ko! Aap sab kaise hain? Umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge.

                        Aaj, pound prices bullish level 1.2940 ko hit karne ki koshish kar rahi hain. Guzishta trading haftay mein sterling girawat ko jari rakhte hue agle local minimum 1.2667 par pohanch gaya tha. Is muqaam par, price ko acha support mila, jisne 1.2788 ke level ke neeche break karne, girawat ko rokne, aur kuch losses recover karne ka mauka diya. Yeh abhi tak us target area tak nahi pohanch saka jahan par yeh abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is dauran, price chart abhi bhi super-trend red zone mein hai, jo ke sellers ke taraf se ongoing pressure ko zahir karta hai.

                        US PPI ki mahana value July mein 0.1% barhi, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq hai jo pehle ki 0.2% thi issi indicator ke liye. Index ki salana value bhi July mein gir ke 2.2% par aayi pichlay saal ke muqablay mein, jab ke pehle ki value 2.7% thi aur market expectations 2.3% thi.

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                        Chart dekhiye neeche:

                        Pair is waqt apne recent weekly low par hai. Key resistance zone ko test kiya gaya, aur price ko hold karne mein kamyabi hui, jisne girawat ko jari rakhne par majboor kiya, jo ek downtrend ki mojoodgi ko zahir karta hai. Trend ko jari rakhne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.2788 ke level ke neeche mazboot hona hoga, jahan par main resistance zone ki hadd hai. Is area se ek pullback, retest ke baad, girawat ko target area 1.2612 aur 1.2524 ke darmiyan continue karne ka mauka dega.

                        Agar resistance ko paar kar liya jata hai aur price reversal level 1.2857 ko tod deti hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.
                           
                        • #8202 Collapse

                          **Shezuka Trading Discussion**

                          US dollar ke price per future ke euro-centric risks ka asar ho sakta hai, jo France ke weekend elections se dominate honge. Yeh elections European Central Bank ko majboor kar sakte hain ke wo agle chand dino mein interest rates ko mazeed kam karein. Analysts ka kehna hai ke Canadian aur Australian inflation rates jo ke pichlay 24 ghanton mein surprisingly strong the, us ne global inflation restart ke dar ko barhawa diya hai, jo bond yields ko upar le ja sakta hai.

                          Bohat se Fed officials ne yeh bhi warn kiya hai ke wo is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jald baazi nahi karain ge, jo bond markets per pressure dal sakta hai aur aakhirat mein US dollar ko faida pohoncha sakta hai. Iss hawale se, Dr. Win Thein, jo ke Brown Brothers Harriman ke expert hain, unka kehna hai: "Fed officials abhi bhi sakhti par qaim hain." United States (lambay arsay tak higher interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke interest rate policy ke farq se dollar ko support mil raha hai.

                          Haal hi mein diye gaye bayanat ke mutabiq, "Ab tak hum us point par nahi pohanchay hain jahan rates ko cut karna munasib ho," Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman ne kaha. “Economic outlook se related risks aur uncertainties ko dekhte hue, main monetary policy mein future changes ke hawale se apni approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam loon gi.” Unhoon ne yeh bhi zahir kiya ke wo un chand Fed policymakers mein se ek hain jo is saal kisi cut ko nahi dekh rahin, aur is tarah wo un char Fed policymakers mein se ek hain jo interest rates ke unchanged rehne par yaqeen rakhti hain. 12 June ko Fed ke forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekh rahay hain, aur aath do cuts dekhte hain. "Main ainda meeting mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane par taiyar hoon agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne mazeed kaha.

                          Dusri taraf, Lisa De Kock, President of the Federal Reserve, ne potential cut ko qabool karne mein zyada lagao zahir kiya, unka kehna tha: "Significant inflation progress aur labor market ki gradual slowdown ke sath, kisi nuqta par policy restrictions ke level ko kam karna munasib hoga taake economy mein sehatmand balance barqarar rakha ja sake." Unhoon ne mazeed kaha ke kisi bhi aise adjustment ka waqt economic data ke develop hone aur iske economic expectations aur risks ke balance par depend karega. Market abhi bhi November ko cut ke liye most likely meeting samajh raha hai, halaan ke September mein 70% chances hain cut ke.

                          Jab traders ko choti profit opportunity milti hai, to wo ek indecision period ka samna karte hain, is intezar mein ke yeh opportunity kam ho jaye. Lekin yeh fact ke price pura din stable raha, traders ko exit positions lene ya market ki taraf loss cut karne ka faisla karna pada. Agar buyers wapas aate hain aur price ko downward line ke upar push karte hain, to pehla obstacle resistance area hoga jo April 1 aur March 2564 ke darmiyan hai. Is barrier ke tootne se reversal ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.2632 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

                          Mota mota dekha jaye, daily chart technical trends ko show kar raha hai. GBP/USD head-neck-shoulders (H&S) chart ke neeche hai, jo aam tor par reversal ka signal deta hai. Yeh trend mid-April mein dekha gaya jab pound neck ke neeche break karne ke baad gir gaya. 14-period RSI jo 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan move kar raha hai, yeh decision-making ko signal deta hai market participants mein aur GBP/USD pair ke short-term direction ko uncertain banata hai. Overall, GBP/USD ne recent sessions mein kaafi value khoi hai apne 50-day SMA ke react na karne ki wajah se. Isliye, pair ko March ke low se connect hoti lower line ke upar break karna zaroori hai taake short-term chart improve ho sake.

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                          • #8203 Collapse

                            British pound ki value mein aik teesri percent ki girawat hui hai US dollar ke muqablay mein, jab US Federal Reserve ke leaders se 'strong' signals mile, jisse yeh pair USD ke qareeb aa gaya. Iska nateeja yeh hua ke British Pound ki girawat US Dollar ke muqablay mein barh gayi aur GBP/USD ne chay hafton ke lowest level 1.2612 tak girawat dekhi, aur phir 1.2645 par ruk gaya. Yeh girawat United States ki economic output ke aik aham pehlu ka asar bhi hai.

                            US dollar ki value pehle hi is haftay ke aakhir mein France ke elections ke euro par honay wale asar ko anticipate kar rahi hai, jo European Central Bank ko aglay chand dinon mein interest rates ko mazeed kam karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke pichlay 24 ghanton mein Canada aur Australia mein inflation ke barhtay hue pace ne global economy ke hawalay se concerns ko barha diya hai, jis se bond yields mein izafa dekha gaya. Bohat se Fed officials ne is saal rates cut karne ke idea par tanqeed ki hai; jo markets par pressure dal sakta hai aur aakhirat mein US dollar ko support faraham kar sakta hai.

                            Is liye Brown Brothers Harriman ke expert Dr. Win Thein ka kehna hai ke "Federation leaders ab bhi apne stance mein sakht hain." US, UK aur Eurozone ke darmiyan interest rate policy ke farq se US dollar ko support mil raha hai.

                            Recent statements se yeh zahir hota hai ke Michelle Bowman ne kaha, "Hum abhi tak us nuqte par nahi pohanche jahan humein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat hai." Unhon ne mazeed kaha ke "Hamara economy ke ird gird jitne bhi risks aur uncertainties hain, unko dekhte hue, main monetary policy mein future changes par ehtiyaat se ghaur karoongi." Unhoon ne apne political stance par bhi baat ki. Bowman ne yeh bhi note kiya ke bohat se executives is saal cuts karna nahi chahte kyunke unka yaqeen hai ke interest rates stable rahenge. June 12 ke filing ke mutabiq, wo aur unke colleagues ek cut dekhenge, jabke kuch do cuts ke mawake dekhenge. Bowman ne mazeed kaha: "Main taiyar hoon ke federal budget rate ko future meetings mein barhaon agar inflation stable rehne ya phir badalne lag jaye."

                            Lekin Central Bank Governor Lisa De Kock, cut ko qabool karne ke liye zyada taiyar lag rahi thein, unka kehna tha: "Inflation ke barhnay aur economic activity ke gradual barhnay ke sath, kisi bhi waqt political action level ko adjust karna mumkin hai taake inflation aur economy mein balance barqarar rakha ja sake." September mein 70% chance hai ke cut ho, lekin market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkinat dekh raha hai.

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                            • #8204 Collapse

                              **Update Analysis of GBP/USD (H4 Time Frame)**

                              Aap sab ke ird gird hone wale tamaam horror ke bawajood, abhi bhi kuch positive moments hain aur aapko un par focus karna chahiye. Jaise ke King Solomon ki seal par likha hai, “All things shall pass” yaani “Yeh waqt bhi guzar jayega.” Vadim, subah bakhair, aik mushkil hafta guzarnay ke baad acha aram karein aur naye achievements ke liye taqat hasil karein!

                              GBP/USD ki prices ne hafta yellow moving average ke neeche close ki hain 4-hour chart par. Is wajah se mujhe short term mein kuch uncertainty mehsoos ho rahi hai, lekin long term ke liye mein ab bhi decline ki tawakku kar raha hoon. Haqeeqat yeh hai ke agle mahine Bank of England refinancing rate ko cut karne ka irada rakhta hai, jabke Federal Reserve System iss fall mein apni interest rate ko current levels par hi rakhne ka zyada imkaan hai, shayad November tak. Refinancing rates ke darmiyan imbalance ke chalte, balance US dollar ke haq mein shift hone ka imkaan hai.

                              Is waqt prices na sirf yellow moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hain, balki resistance level 1.2657 ke neeche bhi, jiske upar bulls favorable fundamental conditions ke bawajood bhi break nahi kar sake. Yeh chhoti range mein pull back ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, taa ke current trading range ki neeche wali boundaries 1.2610 ke area mein ya phir thoda neeche support level 1.2594 par identify ki jaa sake, jis ke baad recovery aur aik aur bullish wave aasakti hai.

                              Potential entry points ke darmiyan sab se zyada mumkinat yeh hai ke bounce hone par 1.2594 level se buy kiya jaye. Lekin yeh na sirf yahan balki doosri major currencies ke liye bhi nahi hua. Agle hafta live dekhte hain ke price kis tarah behave karti hai. Economic calendar mein 3-star news bhari hui thi, khaaskar US dollar ke liye. Jab ke Great Britain ke liye sirf limited news publish hui.

                              Overall, yeh waqt GBP/USD ke price action ko ghaur se dekhne ka hai, khaaskar jab hum agle hafta market mein kuch potential opportunities expect kar rahe hain.

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                              • #8205 Collapse

                                **GBP/USD Analysis: Aik Nazar Agle Hafta Ke Imkanat Par**

                                GBP/USD ki prices ne pichle hafte se 1.2686 aur 1.2613 ke darmiyan girawat dekhi hai. Yeh structures support aur resistance ke taur par kaam kar rahe hain. Is waqt dono levels 1.2641 par band hue hain, aur ab hum Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar H4 chart par nazar dali jaye, to 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke istamal se yeh wazeh hai ke price selling trend mein hai. Moving averages trend ke rukh aur mumkinah tabdiliyon ko maloom karne mein madad karte hain. Dono moving averages downtrend mein hain, jo ke selling pressure ko confirm karte hain.

                                MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi ab tak bearish signal de raha hai. MACD signal line ab tak zero ke upar cross nahi hui, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karti hai. MACD histogram bars negative zone mein hain, jo ke selling momentum ko mazid support karte hain.

                                Agle hafte ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price 1.2613 ke support level ko break karti hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to GBP/USD parity mein aur zyada girawat aasakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2686 ke resistance level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is liye traders ko Monday ko market khulne tak intezar karna chahiye aur price movements ko kareebi taur par dekhna chahiye.

                                Indicators aur moving averages yeh dikhate hain ke short-term trend barqarar hai, magar yeh bhi zaroori hai ke un aham factors aur data ko madde nazar rakha jaye jo ke price ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) jese technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke filhal sellers ka upper hand hai, jo ke future mein pound ke liye zyada losses ka ishara karte hain.

                                Agar girawat hoti hai, to pehla defense line 1.2600 ka psychological level hoga. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to agla major support zone 200-day moving average par 1.2555 par hoga, jiske baad critical 1.2500 level hoga. GBP/USD ko upper jana hai to buyers ko 1.2700 level ko recapture karna hoga aur pehle ke support trend line ko jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, 1.2730/40 ke aas paas decisively break karna hoga.

                                Agar decline barqarar rehti hai, to immediate support 1.2655 ke kareeb mil sakti hai, iske baad ek mazid robust support zone 1.2598 ke aas paas hoga, jo ke January aur March mein firm raha tha. Agar yeh key level breach hota hai, to price February ke low 1.2517 tak push ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP recent losses ko erase karne mein kamyab hoti hai, to pehla resistance 1.2816-1.2826 range mein mil sakta hai, jo recent peak aur December 2023 high se mark kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh area hold nahi kar pati, to pair teen mahine ke highs 1.2859 ki taraf retreat kar sakti hai. Ek decisive breakout above yeh level mumkinah tor par 2024 high 1.2892 ka test karne ka rasta ban sakta hai.

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