جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Pair Analysis

Chunanche market movement kal dheema raha aur range bhi chhoti thi, is wajah se trading plan profitable nahi lag raha tha. Kal ka trading plan market mein achi tarah se receive kiya gaya. Ab mera focus GBPUSD currency pair par hoga. Ab chalte hain chart ki taraf taake market ka current haal dekha ja sake. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, kal ka market movement price ko na to ooper le ja saka aur na hi neeche. Abhi market movement buyers ke control mein hai aur ooper ki taraf move hone ka mauqa hai, kyun ke current price RSI area ke ooper chal raha hai.

Abhi ke market structure ke lehaz se, ek trend reversal ho raha hai bearish se bullish taraf, aur is mein kaafi opportunity hai ke price ooper move kare. Is ke ilawa, jo price abhi strengthen ho rahi hai, wo resistance level 1.3140 ko test karegi, aur is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke yeh 1.0768 tak bhi ja sake. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke price subah ke Asian market session mein thoda neeche correct hote hue nearest support area tak aa sakti hai jo ke 1.3250 par hai.

Is technical analysis se hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke GBPUSD pair ka current trend bullish hai, aur mein sell ke bajaye buy karna prefer karta hoon, aur mera price increase ka target nearest resistance level tak pohonchna hai. Mera entry area support level par hoga jo ke 1.0472 par hai, aur SL distance takreeban 40 pips ka hoga, jabke minimum reward 40 se 50 pips ka ho ga. Ek option yeh bhi hai ke agar aap is position ko zyada arsay ke liye hold karna chahte hain, toh aap nearest resistance level par position rakh sakte hain. Jab tak stock ka price support level ke uper nahi jata, stocks ab bhi acha buy hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair Dosto!

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.

Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Aaj ke din ke liye, sab traders ko successful trading day ki dua deta hoon!

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Aaj Friday subah trading ke doran, buyers ne apni dominance ko barqarar rakha hai, market mein zyada taqat aur quantity ke saath wapas aaye hain, jo ke buyers ko bullish rising prices ko control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain



Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye

**GBP/USD Daily Time Frame Chart Analysis**

Assalam-o-Alaikum Dosto! Aaj hum GBP/USD ke daily time frame chart ka analysis kar rahe hain. Main yeh expect kar raha hoon ke major stocks mein girawat aaye gi. Agar hum wave technique aur indicators ko daily chart par dekhein, toh GBP/USD ke bare mein kuch interesting insights milti hain.

Maine kuch waqt pehle zigzag peaks ke sath inclined moving averages banai thi. Is se yeh pata chala ke hum ek narrow triangle ke through kaam kar rahe hain. Theory ke mutabiq, agar price already triangle ke upper band se neeche chali gai hai, toh humein pendulum method ke zariye neeche jana chahiye. Lekin, jaise ke neeche diye gaye screenshot se nazar aata hai, kuch bhi gir nahi raha. Hum ek chhote inclined channel mein ek mahine se ****e hue hain. Is channel ki boundaries dynamic hain, is liye levels change ho rahe hain. Filhal boundaries yeh hain: 1.2665 resistance hai aur support 1.2610 par hai.

Indicators ke readings se humein yeh samajh aata hai:
- **MA100**: MA100 ne almost flat mood show kiya hai. Yeh ek week ke liye flat trend ka indication de raha hai, jisme hum zyada movement expect nahi kar rahe.
- **MA18**: MA18 ne ek forty-degree trend angle ke sath neeche ki taraf pull kiya hai. Yeh day ke andar bearish sentiment ka signal hai.

Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, hum local MA100 par lagbhag do hafton se stuck hain. Kabhi north ki taraf jaate hain, kabhi neeche, lekin hum phir bhi MA100 par wapas aa jate hain. Yeh pattern dikhata hai ke GBP/USD mein do moving averages kaam kar rahe hain: MA100 aur MA18. Yeh world ka sab se fastest technical analysis ban jata hai, jahan sirf inhi levels par focus karna hota hai. Agar hum in levels se bahar nikalte hain, toh hum kaam kareinge. Lekin filhal hum ek fence mein hain, jahan se nikalne ka intezar kar rahe hain.

In conclusion, jab tak price in boundaries ke andar rahegi, hum flat market condition mein kaam kareinge. Agar price 1.2665 ke resistance ko break karti hai, toh hum bullish movement expect kar sakte hain. Aur agar price 1.2610 ke support se neeche jati hai, toh bearish movement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Aaj ke analysis ke liye itna hi, trading karte waqt apne risk management ka khayal rakhein aur market developments par nazar rakhain.

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni rally ko Friday ke din dusre consecutive din ke liye extend kiya, aur Asian session ke doran 1.2870 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement zyada tar improved risk sentiment ki wajah se tha, jo ke stronger-than-expected US retail sales data se fuel hua. Is ne US recession ke hawale se fears ko kam kiya aur risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke pound sterling, ko support diya. Iske ilawa, British pound ko positive domestic economic data se bhi support mila, jo ke Thursday ko release hui thi. UK's GDP second quarter mein 0.6% expand hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. Furthermore, annualized GDP growth rate 0.9% tak pohanch gayi, jo ke estimates aur previous quarter ke figure se zyada thi. Market participants eagerly UK retail sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. July ke liye 0.5% monthly increase ki expectation hai, jabke pehle month mein 1.2% decline dekha gaya tha. Annual retail sales growth ka estimation hai ke 1.4% tak rise karegi, pehle ke 0.2% contraction se recover karte hue.

Wahin doosri taraf, US Dollar weak ho gaya hai kyun ke traders increasingly September mein Federal Reserve ki taraf se 25 basis point interest rate cut ko price kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek aggressive 50 basis point reduction ka bhi possibility hai, jise CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 26% probability mili hai. Iske bawajood, Dollar ko Thursday ko release hone wale robust US economic data se support mila, jisme stronger-than-expected retail sales aur initial jobless claims ka decline shamil hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne August 8 ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar break hone ke baad upward trend kiya hai. Immediate resistance December 2023 high 1.2826 par located hai. Agar prices rise karti hain, to June high 1.2859 next obstacle ban sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to March high 1.2892 tak move hone ka rasta khul sakta hai. Downside par, initial support 1.2710 level par dekha ja sakta hai, jo pehle resistance act karta tha lekin ab support provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breakdown hota hai, to August low 1.2663 ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke 200-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Aage ki losses pair ko June aur March ke lows tak push kar sakti hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke darmiyan situated hain.

Overall, GBP/USD pair bullish bias exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke positive economic data aur weakening US Dollar se supported hai. Lekin upward momentum ko multiple levels par resistance face karna par sakta hai, jabke downside risks

Employment data ke zariye support milne par, pound/dollar apni recent lagataar decline se halki si recovery dikha raha hai. Agar Wednesday ko UK's inflation data yeh dikhata hai ke inflation mild hai, toh rate hike ka expectation noticeable tariqe se kam ho sakta hai. Phir woh eklauta factor jo pound ko support kar sakta tha, woh bhi chhup jayega, aur pound ko aage aur zyada girne ka khatra ho sakta hai. Agar sirf daily chart se dekha jaye, toh pound/dollar ne hal hi mein narrow range mein consolidation ke signs dikhaye hain, jisme fluctuation ka range 1.2600-1.2850 ke darmiyan hai. Isme se 1.2600 ka strong support level zyada critical hai. Agar yeh support toot jata hai, toh downside ka scope aur zyada badh sakta hai. Sirf tabhi recent downward trend ko reverse kiya ja sakta hai jab price 1.2850 ke upar wapas aata hai.

Tuesday (August 15) ko, pound ne dollar ke against 0.16% ka rise dikhaya, $1.2705 par aakar trade karte hue. Yeh rise British wages ke data ke baad aaya, jisme bonuses ko chhode kar June mein khatam hone wale teen mahine ke doran wages mein 7.8% ka annual increase dekha gaya, jo 2001 se data record hone ke baad sabse zyada hai. Halanki, UK unemployment rate achanak 4.0% se badh kar 4.2% ho gaya, lekin cash market traders ab bhi yeh ummeed kar rahe hain ke Bank of England kam az kam agle mahine interest rates mein 25 basis points ka increase karega, kyun ke unhein yeh fikr hai ke high wage growth ka second-round effect inflation par pad sakta hai.

Pound ke baare mein dekha jaye, toh upward movement ke hawale se sab kuch stable lag raha hai. Halanki aaj, ab tak, hum local highs update karne mein kaamyab nahi hue hain. Yeh bhi kaha ja sakta hai ke kuch attempts niche ki taraf move karne ke ho rahe hain, lekin yeh sab insignificant hain kyun ke volatility low hai. Aur of course, yeh important hai ke Britain holiday par hai, toh dollar kis tarah se aage trade hoga, yeh zaroori hai, kyun ke abhi yeh zyada activity nahi dikha raha. Kisi bhi surat mein, mere liye kuch nahi badal raha hai kyun ke main in prices par trades consider nahi kar raha hoon. Halanki, main yeh possibility exclude nahi karta ke hum 1.33 tak pohanch sakte hain, lekin main sell signals dhundh raha hoon.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair Dosto!

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.

Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Aaj ke din ke liye, sab traders ko successful trading day ki dua deta hoon!

**Pound Sterling (GBP) ki Tajaati Haalat aur Technical Analysis**

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke qareeb apni taqat barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke Fed ke Chairman Powell ke dovish guidance ke bawajood hai. Powell ke bayanat ne yeh darshaya ke unhein US labor market ke downside risks par fikar hai.

BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne specific interest-rate cut path ke bare mein koi commit nahi kiya. Monday ke London session mein Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3200 ke qareeb do saal se zyada ke high ke qareeb trade kiya. GBP/USD pair apni seven-day winning streak ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai, jab ke US Dollar kamzor ho raha hai Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke saaf announcement ke baad, jismein unhone kaha ke central bank September mein interest rates cut karna shuru karega.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke muqable track karta hai, 100.53 ke naye saal ke low ke qareeb hai.

Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko Fed Powell ne kaha: "Policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Magar unhone preset interest-rate cut path par commit nahi kiya aur data-dependant rehne ko tarjeeh di, kaha "travel ka direction clear hai, aur rate cuts ka timing aur pace incoming data, evolving outlook, aur balance of risks par depend karega."

Powell ke comments ne yeh darshaya ke central bank ab deteriorating labor market conditions se zyada chinta mein hai aur unka yakin hai ke price pressures 2% ke target par wapas aa jayengi. Unhone kaha ke inflation ke upside risks kam hue hain aur labor market ke downside risks barh gaye hain. “Hum jitna ho sake strong labor market ko support karenge jab hum price stability ki taraf aage barhenge," Powell ne add kiya.

Is hafte, US Dollar ke liye major trigger US core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data hoga jo July ke liye Friday ko publish hoga. Mahine ke hisaab se, PCE inflation ke 0.2% se barhne ki ummeed hai.

Monday ke session mein, investors US Durable Goods Orders data par focus karenge jo July ke liye 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. New Orders for Durable Goods, core consumer inflation ka ek key measure, 4% ke robust pace par barhne ki ummeed hai, jo June mein significant decline ke baad hai. Pound Sterling side se koi important news nahi aayegi kyunki United Kingdom (UK) bank holiday par hai.

**Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling ka Naya Do Saal se Zyada ka High**

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein thoda soft kiya hai lekin 1.3200 ke qareeb rehta hai aur weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout diya hai. GBP/USD pair ne naya do saal se zyada ka high post kiya hai aur iski umeed hai ke yeh February 4, 2022 ka high 1.3640 tak extend karega.

20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke qareeb hai, ek strong upside trend ko suggest karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Magar, yeh overbought levels par 70.00 ke aas-paas pahunch gaya hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling ke bulls ke liye crucial support hoga.

Riding the Waves: GBP/USD

Aayiye, GBP/USD currency pair ke recent behavior ko discuss karte hain aur iske implications ka analysis karte hain. Naye trading week ke aghaz par hum GBP/USD mein ek positive trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Kaafi technical indicators is possibility ko propose karte hain. Halankeh yeh zaroori nahi hai ke yeh trend pakka ho, lekin multiple signals ko dekhte hue hum ispar tawajju de sakte hain. MACD indicator ne kafi arsay se dikhaya hai ke price oversold zone mein trade kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, humne lagataar dusri baar divergence observe ki hai. Four-hour chart par, pehli candle ek "swipe" perform kar rahi hai, jisme liquidity ko nearest swing extreme of 1.2622 se remove kar rahi hai, aur phir reverse hone lagti hai. Jab market khulta hai, to oscillator ko dekhna zaroori hai aur wait karein jab tak yeh "0" value ke upar move nahi karta. Jaise hi oscillator "0" ke upar cross kare, candles ke price action ko monitor karein. Agar candle ka body blue ho jata hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke asset ke liye long position consider ki jaye.

Is trade ke liye potential target yeh ho sakta hai ke nearest swing high at 1.2701 ka update aim kiya jaye. Hamesha risk management strategies ka istemal karein aur trade setup ko confirm karne ke liye doosray technical indicators ko bhi madad mein rakhein. GBP/USD hourly time frame par, bulls ne baar baar MA200 ko break karne ki koshish ki hai, lekin har attempt ke baad naye lows bane hain. Yeh pattern red moving average for 75 days (MA75) ke sath bhi hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke humara forecast sahi sabit ho sakta hai aur support level at 1.2572 (4/8) par test ho sakta hai.

Monday ko humein significant events ki full schedule par tawajju deni hogi taake hum effectively decline impulse ke through navigate kar sakein, jo ke 1.2572 tak ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, aglay haftay mein kuch important news events bhi hone wale hain, is liye hum expect karte hain ke market mein high fluctuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

GBP/USD ka technical analysis dekhain to hamen October ke do maheenay sideways movement nazar aayi, phir November mein price upward move hui, aur ab December mein price upward channels ke andar move kar rahi hai. Yeh movement channels ke andar hi hai, jahan price ne blue channel ki upper line ko touch kiya, lekin wahan se close hone ke bajaye, price ne red channel ki lower line se support le liya. Filhal, price ne 1.2590 ke monthly pivot point ko touch kiya hai, aur yeh 1.2670 ke monthly pivot point aur 1.2710 ke monthly resistance point ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai.

Yeh upward trend mein hai, kyunki price is waqt month ka highest trading price break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Lekin abhi tak price ne yeh kamyabi hasil nahi ki, is liye downward trend ya trend ke reversal ka bhi imkan hai. Agar hum monthly pivot level se upar dekhein, to green line 1.2760 ke resistance level ke upar extend ho rahi hai, jo ke upside potential ko dikhati hai. Yeh ab ek reliable source hai price direction ke liye. Pichle kuch maheenon mein, red line monthly pivot level ke neeche extend hui aur 1.2540 ke support level tak pohanchi, jo ke decline ke imkanat ko zahir karti hai.

Jab kabhi price monthly pivot level ko break karti hai, isse reliance kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price ne pichlay mahine ke highest trading price ko break kiya, to yeh ek buy signal ban sakta hai. Aap price ko us waqt buy kar sakte hain jab yeh pivot level ke neeche se fall hoke dobara upper move kare aur upward trend form kare. Lekin agar aap GBP/USD sell karna chahte hain, to zaroori hai ke price monthly pivot level ke upar break kar ke next day uske neeche close kare.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, humara focus yeh hai ke pivot levels aur price channels ko dekhte huye apni trading strategies banayein. Aapko pivot levels ke neeche aur upar price ke behavior ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price apne highest levels ko break karne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh ek upward momentum dikhata hai, jabke pivot level ke neeche close hona bearish signal de sakta hai. Trading decisions lene se pehle market ka poora analysis aur key levels ko samajhna zaroori hai taake aapke trades successful ho sakain.

Subah bakhair, dosto, aur trading ki ek naye din mein aap sab ka khair maqdam hai. Yeh sochna mushkil hai ke January ka mahina shuru ho chuka hai, lekin ummed hai ke is hafta ka nateeja hamare goals ke saath align ho, aur yeh 2024 ke liye ek positive start ban sake.

Aaj main GBP/USD pair ki price movement ko analyze karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke recent waqt mein USD ki taqat ke wajah se decline hui hai. Pichli daily candle ne ek bearish candle ke taur par close kiya, jiska body bara tha, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain. Halanki, daily range kuch ziada nahi thi, lagbhag 120 pips ke aas paas, lekin yeh lagta hai ke kayi factors in movements ko influence kar rahe hain. H4 time frame se dekhain to GBP/USD pair mein mazeed decline ka imkan hai. Is hafte agar sellers price ko neeche push karne mein kamyab hote hain, to yellow support zone ek target ban sakta hai. USDX ki halat ko dekhte hue, jo ab bhi buyers ke qabze mein hai, pairs jaise XAU/USD aur GBP/USD apni bearish movement ko jari rakh sakte hain.

Key points par nazar daaltay hain:
1. Agar bearish momentum jari rehta hai, to yellow box support zone ek target ban sakta hai.
2. USDX ki taqat se GBP/USD par downward pressure barqarar rehne ka imkan hai.
3. Price ne trendline se rebound kiya hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai.
4. December ke support zone, jo ke 1.2640 ke aas paas hai, agar bearish trend jari rehta hai to likely target ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ek strong bearish pattern ko zahir kar raha hai. Maujooda setup yeh dikhata hai ke yeh pair 1.2670 tak ya usse bhi neeche move kar sakta hai agar support region breach hoti hai. Halanki, ek new inside bar pattern ka emergence hua hai, lekin bearish signal tab tak strong rahega jab tak koi significant reversal na ho. Traders ko key levels aur indicators ko qareebi nazar se monitor karna chahiye taake proper risk management ensure ho sake. Agar price crucial support levels ke neeche break karti hai, to further bearish movements ka imkan hai. Dosri taraf, agar koi strong bullish signal ya reversal nazar aaye to potential upward corrections ko bhi dekhna chahiye.

Trading mein aaj ke liye hamesha yeh yaad rakhein ke market ke key signals aur price action par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai, taake aap apni strategies ko waqt ke saath adjust kar sakein aur profitable decisions le sakein.

GBP/USD ka wave pattern kaafi complex aur ambiguous lag raha hai. April mein 50.0% Fibonacci level ko break karne ki successful koshish ne market ki tayyari ko downward wave 3 ya c banane ke liye zahir kiya, lekin us waqt se lekar ab tak price mein sirf increase hi dekha gaya hai. Agar yeh wave dobara resume hoti hai, to wave pattern kaafi simple ho jaye ga, aur wave structure ke complicate hone ka khatra bhi khatam ho jaye ga. Lekin recent weeks mein yeh instrument ka decline kaafi weak raha hai, aur sellers 38.2% Fibonacci level ko bhi successfully break karne mein kamyab nahi hue hain.

Maujooda surat-e-haal mein, mere readers wave 3 ya c ke formation ki umeed kar sakte hain, jinke targets wave 1 ya a ke low se neeche, yani 1.2035 ke mark par located hain. Is hisaab se, pound ko mazeed 700-800 basis points neeche girna chahiye current levels se. Agar aisa decline hota hai, to wave 3 ya c relatively chhoti hogi, lekin main is se bhi ziyada quotes mein girawat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Wave 3 ya c ka formation kaafi lamba waqt le sakta hai. Wave 2 ya b ko build hone mein paanch maheenay lage thay, aur yeh sirf ek corrective wave thi. Pichli corrective wave 2 ya b in 3 ya c bhi kaafi lambi thi, lekin 1.2822 mark ko unsuccessfully break karne ki koshish ne hamen phir se downward dekhnay ka moqa diya hai.

**Monday ne Koi Nai Baat Nahi Di**

Monday ko GBP/USD exchange rate mein kuch dozen points ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Yeh movement kuch logon ko ajeeb lag sakti hai, kyunki is se pehle koi significant event ya news nahi thi. Lekin, pichlay hafta bhi instrument ne aise hi move kiya tha, jab ke bohot kam news releases thi. Aik hafta pehle maine mention kiya tha ke 1.2627 mark is instrument ke liye bohot important hai; jab tak yeh level break nahi hota, hamen further decline nahi dekhne ko milega. Filhal, sellers phir se apni weakness zahir kar rahe hain. Is haftay ka news background unhen strength de sakta hai, lekin Monday ne sirf yeh dikhaya ke market abhi bhi pound ki demand kam karne mein jaldi nahi kar raha. Hum speculate karte reh sakte hain ke pound ki demand kyun nahi gir rahi jab ke zyada factors is scenario ko support kar rahe hain, lekin yeh discussions kisi nateejay par nahi pohochenge. Current wave markup ki integrity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye 1.2627 mark ka breakout zaroori hai.

Aaj UK se week ka pehla report release hua - June ka manufacturing activity. Index 50.9 points tak gir gaya, lekin market is value ke liye tayari kar chuka tha. Din ke doosray hisay mein pound ki demand thodi kam hui. Hum abhi bhi US mein ISM index ko dekhna baqi hai, jo ke agar weak value deta hai, to yeh instrument ko upward trend par wapas le aayega.

**General Conclusions**

GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ko suggest kar raha hai. Main abhi bhi instrument ko sell karne ka soch raha hoon jinke targets 1.2039 mark se neeche hain, kyunki wave 3 ya c abhi cancel nahi hui hai. Jab instrument 1.2822 mark ke aas paas aur wave 2 ya b ke peak ke qareeb reverse hua, to sales ko initial targets 1.2315 mark ke aas paas consider kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, is mein ehtiyaat se kaam lein, kyunki market ke "bearish" sentiment ki shift ke liye confidence tab aayega jab 1.2627 mark ka successful breakout hoga.

Larger wave scale par dekhein, to wave pattern aur bhi ziada batne wala hai. Trend ka downward corrective section apna formation jari rakhe hue hai, aur iski doosri wave ne pehli wave ke 76.4% tak extend kiya hai. Agar yeh mark break nahi hota, to wave 3 ya c ka aaghaz ho sakta tha, lekin filhal ek corrective wave form ho rahi hai.

**Mere Analysis Ke Mulk Asool:**

- Wave structures simple aur clear hone chahiyein. Complex structures ko samajhna mushkil hota hai aur yeh aksar change hote rehte hain.
- Agar market mein chal rahe situation par confidence nahi hai, to usmein enter nahi karna chahiye.
- Kabhi bhi movement ke direction par 100% certainty nahi hoti. Protective Stop Loss orders ka istamal na bhoolen.
- Wave analysis ko doosri tarah ke analysis aur trading strategies ke saath combine karna mumkin hai.

Guzishta Jumma ko GBP/USD market pair par hone wali trading mein buyers ne market ko successfully control kar liya jab sellers ne market ko bearish kar diya tha. Lekin sellers ko phir se rukawatein samna karna para kyun ke woh buyer support area, jo 1.2610-1.2620 ke qareeb tha, ko breach karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Isko buyers ne use karte hue market ki situation ko reverse kiya aur strong buying pressure lagate hue prices ko bullish direction mein move karaya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka use kar ke monitor karne par yeh dekha gaya ke guzishta trading price ne apna price Lower Bollinger Bands area, jo 1.2600 ke qareeb hai, se upar barqarar rakha. Is waqt ek strong bullish candlestick GBP/USD market pair ki trading mein dominate karti nazar aayi, jo ke bullish strength ko zahir karti hai, aur bullish target Middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf, jo ke 1.2705-1.2707 ke qareeb hai, move karta hua dekha gaya. Agar yeh area successfully penetrate ho jata hai, to yeh ek higher bullish path khol sakta hai jismein next buyer ka target Upper Bollinger Bands area, jo ke 1.280-1.2806 ke qareeb hai, ki taraf hoga.

Monday ko Asian market session mein trading phir se buyers ke haath mein rahi, jo ke zyada strong entry karne mein kamyab hue, aur sellers ko pressure mein dal diya taake woh prices ko dobara bearish direction mein push na kar saken. European market session ke agay aane par, buyers ko dekha gaya ke woh seller resistance area, jo ke 1.2660-1.2665 ke qareeb hai, ko target kar rahe hain. Agar yeh resistance area break hota hai, to yeh ek higher bullish opportunity khol sakta hai jismein agla target seller supply resistance area, jo ke 1.2680-1.2690 ke qareeb hai, ki taraf hoga.

RSI indicator bhi yeh show kar raha hai ke price jo pehle level 44 area mein tha, ab level 47 area ki taraf move kar gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers ka buying pressure dobara market support hasil kar chuka hai aur aaj ke din mein RSI level 50 area ki taraf agay barhne ka potential rakhta hai.

**Nateja:**

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller qareebi buyer support area, jo ke 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai, ko breach karne mein kamyab hota hai. TP target area 1.2600-1.2595 par ho sakta hai.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area, jo ke 1.2660-1.2665 ke qareeb hai, ko breach karne mein kamyab hota hai. TP target area 1.2680-1.2690 par ho sakta hai.

Pichlay haftay ke behtar-than-expected data ke bawajood, market agle mahine ke aaghaz mein ek mumkina interest rate hike ki umeed kar raha hai, jo ke pound ko majmooan taqat de sakta hai. Daily chart par GBP/USD pair ne short-term moving average ko breach kar ke upar ki taraf move kiya hai, aur technical indicators mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai. Main MACD line upar ki taraf barh rahi hai, aur red kinetic energy bar bhi upar shift ho chuki hai. Aaj ka din GBP/USD pair ke liye trading ke liye aik dilchasp setup paish kar raha hai. Ye pair pichlay kuch dinon se ek compelling price pattern mein move kar raha hai. Apni wasi tajurba kari ke zariye mein aap sab se yeh details share karta rehta hoon taake aap ko faida ho sake.

Ab hamaray paas events ke development ke liye do possible scenarios hain. Pehla option yeh hai ke quotes resistance level tak pohonch sakti hain, jo ke daily chart par 50-period moving average se represent hoti hai, aur jo ke is waqt 1.2680 par hai. Yeh scenario kafi optimistic hai aur mere liye aik alternative hai. Is ke ilawa, AO indicator ka zero line se upar cross karna aik buy signal ko zahir karta hai.

Agar dollar index apni recent high se short term mein peeche hataa to pound rebound ke liye momentum hasil kar sakta hai. Ibtida mein focus 1.2675 par hoga, us ke baad 1.2715 par. Neeche ke strong support ke qareeb 1.2600 hai. H4 chart ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ke facts yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD currency pair ka extended position asal market condition se zyada lamba hai. Yeh issues is ke baad bhi khatam nahi huwe, jo mere nazar mein significant hain, is liye mein apni insights aap sab ke liye share karta hoon. Price ne expect kiya gaya fall ka jawab nahi diya, jab ke doosri essential currencies ne kiya. Is ke ilawa, price ne successfully general level 1.2745 ko breach kiya, magar aik sharp bearish rebound ke baghair.

Yeh analysis aur trading ke liye tips aap ko market ki recent halat ko samajhne mein madad denge, aur aap apne trading decisions ko better plan kar sakenge. Trading mein risk management ko hamesha yaad rakhein, aur market ke movements par nazar rakhein taake aap apne targets ko asaani se hasil kar sakein.

Hourly (H1) basis par, GBP/USD ka jo ongoing downward trend hai recent highs 1.26500 ke upar se, usne ek aur lower maximum form kiya hai jo ek fresh wave of decline ko trigger kar raha hai. Ye development bearish trend ke continuation ko indicate karti hai, aur 1.2674 level ke neeche repeated breakouts aur movements is outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Ye significant psychological aur technical level daily southern starting line ko mark karta hai, aur iske neeche rehna market mein strong bearish sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, ye evident hai ke jab tak GBP/USD prices is 1.2673 threshold ke neeche rahengi, confident southward movement ke discussions justified hain. Ye imply karta hai ke market sentiment bearish hai, aur traders aur analysts near term mein further declines ki umeed kar sakte hain. Ye sentiment technical formations aur indicators ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo suggest karte hain ke bears control mein hain. Ek aur downward maximum ka formation critical signal hai. Technical analysis mein, lower highs aur lower lows sustained downtrend ko indicate karte hain. Ye pattern na sirf bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai, balki selling pressure ke robust rehte huye signal bhi deta hai. Market participants mukhtalif factors, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, aur broader economic indicators jaise ke Crude Oil prices par asar dalne wale elements, ke response de rahe hain.

Ye zone crucial hai kyunki ye current downward move ki extent ko determine kar sakta hai aur further potential declines ke baare mein insight provide kar sakta hai. Potential price targets ke liye, pehla continuation zones 1.2648 aur 1.26583 hain. Ye levels significant hain kyunki ye represent karte hain potential areas jahan price temporary support find kar sakti hai pehle se downward trajectory resume karne se pehle. 1.2663-1.2683 ke aas paas ka zone immediate target hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price yahan briefly stabilize ho sakti hai jab market participants apne positions reassess karte hain. Magar agar bearish momentum continue karta hai, to next target 1.2637 level hoga.

H1 timeframe par current analysis GBP/USD ke liye sustained bearish trend ko indicate karta hai with potential targets 1.2647 aur 1.2684. Ek aur downward maximum aur critical 85.00 level ke neeche movement suggest karta hai ke bears firmly control mein hain, aur traders ko near term mein further southward movement ke liye prepare rehna chahiye. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. GBP/USD prices ka behavior in targets ke around valuable insights offer karega market sentiment aur potential future movements ke baare mein. Agar prices in levels ko convincingly break kar deti hain, to yeh bearish outlook ko reinforce karega aur further declines ko suggest karega. Conversely, agar ye levels hold karte hain, to yeh short-term consolidation ya minor reversal ke possibility ko indicate kar sakta hai pehle ke downtrend resume karne se pehle.