جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ka jaiza lete hain. Guzishta trading hafta kaafi productive raha, meri khayal se yahan sab khush honge, chahe wo sellers ho ya buyers, kyun ke price ne idhar udhar kaafi movement di, jisse har kisi ko apne points lene ka mauqa mila. Hafte ke pehle hisse mein, market expectably neeche gaya kyun ke upar ek horizontal resistance level 1.2810 ka tha, aur is se do dafa sell karna bhi possible tha aur dono dafa profitable raha. Is se pehle ke price zyada neeche jata, ek dafa phir is level ka test kiya gaya. Phir price neeche atak gaya, aur phir se agle resistance level 1.2732 se sell karne ka mauqa mila. Neeche se buyers ke liye, MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence form hui, jo kuch intezar ke baad upwards work kiya. Phir sab kuch technical aur khubsurat tha - ek rebound hui descending resistance line se seedha mirror level tak, jo decline ke edge par 1.2723 tha. Aur phir is level se upward rebound hua. Sabhi levels aur lines se rebounds hue, aur market ne har jagah kuch dozen points diye. Ye is baat ka illustration hai ke sirf ek direction mein position kholna aur intezar karna sahi approach nahi hai.
Abhi thoda uncertainty hai, price clamped hai. Upar 1.2767 ka ek resistance level aur ek descending line form ho gayi hai. Neeche 1.2723 ka ek support level hai. Aur ye range pound ke liye kaafi chhoti hai. Yahan kuch khas karne layak nahi, shayad yeh sirf positions accumulate karne ke liye ek zone ban jaye aage ki movement ke liye. Aur aap ek side ya doosri side mein tabhi entry consider kar sakte hain jab ye range break ho jaye. Generaly, main neeche ki taraf dekhta hoon kyun ke trend downward hai. Meri soch hai ke price ka target area 1.2611 ka hai, jo daily decline wave ka minimum hai. Aaj economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai.

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein interesting dynamics dikhayi hain, khaaskar hourly chart par. 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karne ke baad, ab yeh pair 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh resistance kisi bhi short-term mein significant upward movement ko rok sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward momentum dikhara hai.
Haalan ke current uptrend nazar arahi hai, lekin recent rally ka steep incline yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh momentum shayad sustainable na ho. Market filhal ek uncertainty ki state mein hai aur apni next move ko carefully weigh kar raha hai. Is situation ne ek complex trading environment create kar diya hai jahan yeh pair shayad thodi si southern correction undergo kare, us ke baad shayad apni upward trajectory resume kare. Key resistance level jo dekhne wali hai wo 1.2645 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek critical turning point ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD ke liye Potential Scenarios

**1. Reversal aur Downward Movement:**

Pehli scenario yeh consider karna hai ke agar 1.2580 resistance level par ek reversal hoti hai. Agar is point par reversal candle form hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad downward trend ki resumption ki taraf le jaye. Is scenario mein pair shayad lower support levels ko test kare, khaaskar agar current rally apna momentum sustain karne mein naakam hoti hai.

**2. Upward Movement ka Continuation:**

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair resistance level 1.2780 ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Aisi move market ke pair ko further upward push karne ke liye ready hone ka signal de sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko sustained buying pressure ko dekhna chahiye jo ke pair ko naye highs ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

### Key Levels Jo Monitor Karni Chahiye

Kal ke price action par nazar daalain, toh pair ne apne kuch gains wapas de diye, jo suggest karta hai ke 1.2689 ke aas-paas resistance abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai, toh yeh potential pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.2600 ke aas-paas local Bollinger Band ke qareeb support bhi significant hai. Agar yeh pair is support level ke upar hold karne mein naakam hota hai aur is ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein further downside potential nazar aa sakti hai, jahan targets lower rail 1.2705 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain.

GBP/USD Price Action Overview

Humari tawajjoh is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat par hai. GBP/USD ne is trading haftay mein khaas kism ki tarraqi dikhayi hai. Aaj lagta hai ke buyers ne 1.30428 ke local high se upar position hasil kar li hai, jo ke is saal 16 July ko aakhri dafa dekha gaya tha. Aaj ke session ke dauran, long position holders ne aglay level 1.310 GBP/USD par bhi test kiya hai. Northern wave ki nayi choti yeh ishaara karti hai ke sellers bearish retracement ki buniyad rakhna shuru kar sakte hain. Lekin abhi tak chart par bearish move ke koi khaas asar nazar nahi aa rahe. Yeh pair apni upar ki taraf harkat jari rakhte hue 1.3049 ke resistance level ko tod chuka hai aur ab 1.3085 par trade kar raha hai. CPI sell zone mein hai aur neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (A/O) buy signal de raha hai, aur pair guzishta din ke trading range ke upar hai.




Mojuza soorat-e-haal ke tehat, GBP/USD currency pair ke liye mein suggest karunga ke weekly hourly chart par nazar daalain jahan yeh instrument taqriban 1.3124 ke resistance zone tak pohanch gaya hai, aur ek double-top pattern bana raha hai jo ke ek bearish correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Ek gehri bearish correction jald hi shuru hogi, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki average moving line ki range mein likely hai, aur 1.2632 level ko target karegi. Yeh price ko ascending bullish channel ki neeche wali hadd ke qareeb le aayegi, jis se trend channel ki tehqiq aur muwazan correction mumkin hogi. Guzishta do hafton mein, yeh instrument khasa ooper ki taraf gaya hai aur is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo ke trend pause aur bearish correction ki taraf reversal ki guzarish kar sakta hai. GBP/USD currency pair ke mojuza scenario ke mutabiq, soorat-e-haal buyers ke haq mein hai. Sirf yeh nahi ke unhon ne pehlay se breached resistance level 1.3008 se ooper positions hasil kar li hain, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, balki unhon ne aur ooper bhi dhakel diya hai.

Thursday ke Asian Trading Session mein Halat:

Thursday ke Asian trading session mein, currency pair apne haaliye faiday par qaim hai, aur 1.3095 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh harkat yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair abhi bhi ek ascending channel ke andar hai, jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Is waqt GBP/USD 1.3090 ke qareeb hai, aur ummeed hai ke yeh aham 1.3100 ke psychological threshold ko paar karega.

GBP/USD ke Buniyadi Asbaab:

Taza siyasi surat-e-haal ne Donald Trump ke liye bazaar ki tawajjo ko mazeed barha diya hai. US ke Saddar Joe Biden ne aane wale intikhabat ke liye Naib Saddar Kamala Harris ki himayat ki hai, jis ke nateeje mein sarmayakaron ko yeh tawakku hai ke agar Trump jeet gaye to tijarati pabandiyan mazeed sakht ho sakti hain, jo mumkin hai ke afraat-e-zar ko barha dein. Yeh soorat-e-haal US Dollar Index (DXY) par asar andaz hui hai, jo ke dollar ki qeemat ko chay aham currencies ke muqablay mein naapta hai. Pehle girne ke baad, DXY takriban 104.40 par wapis a gaya hai. Lekin yeh afwaah hai ke Federal Reserve September ke ijlaas mein sood ki sharah mein kami kar sakta hai, jis ki wajah se US dollar ke mazeed faiday ko mukhtasir rakha ja sakta hai.

Chunanchah, UK ya US se kisi khaas maashi data ke release na hone ki wajah se GBP/USD par asar andaz honay walay asbaab zyada tar USD ki harqaton se mutaliq honge. Bazaar ki tawajjo US ke siyasi tajaaziyaat par rahegi, jo ke kuli risk mahsoosiyat ko mutasir karegi aur is tarah dollar ki qeemat par asar dalaygi. Iss ke bawajood, mojuza buniyadi tanazur bullish traders ke haq mein nazar aata hai, jis se GBP/USD pair ke mazeed faiday ke imkanaat mazboot hotay hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar pair 1.3100 ke level ko todta hai, toh yeh ascending channel ki upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ke upar sustained move pair ko 17 July ko record kiye gaye saal ke high 1.3044 ko dobara dekhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Agar 1.3100 ko ooper breach kiya gaya, toh GBP/USD 1.3150 ke ilaqe ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.




Technical Indicators:

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator short-term mein positive momentum dikhata hai, jahan MACD line center aur signal line, dono se ooper hai. Iske ilawa, 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se ooper hai, jo ke mojooda bullish trend ko mazbooti deta hai.

GBP/USD Bulls Mein Ehthiyaat, Jabke USD Khareedari Zahir Hoti Hai

GBP/USD bulls Thursday ko kuch USD khareedari ke zahoor hone ke bawajood ehtiyat barat rahe hain. Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mukhtalif policy umeedat is pair ko mazeed support de sakti hain. Yeh technical setup bulls ke liye ehtiyat ki zaroorat paida karta hai aur mazeed faiday ki position lene se pehle sochnay par majboor karta hai.

GBP/USD pair Thursday ke Asian session mein ek tang range mein tabdeel hota hai aur July 2023 ke baad se apne sab se buland satah ke kareeb rehta hai, jo ke guzishta din 1.3120 ke ilaqay mein choa tha. Filhaal spot prices 1.3085 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hain, jo ke din bhar ke liye takriban baghair kisi tabdeeli ke hain, jab ke tajar UK aur US se flash PMIs ke intezaar mein hain, taake short-term moqaay haasil kar saken.

Is dauran, US Treasury bond yields mein ek halka sa izafa US Dollar (USD) ki madad karta hai ke woh budh ko choe gaye YTD low se kuch recover kar sake. Yeh soorat-e-haal GBP/USD pair ke liye ek rukaawat ke taur par dekhi ja rahi hai, halaan ke Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein sood ki sharah mein ek aur katoti ke imkaanaat kam hone se kuch support milta hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf se mazeed aggressive policy easing ke liye barti hui bettings dollar ke faiday ko limit karne mein madadgar sabit honi chahiye aur currency pair ke losses ko bhi limit karne mein madad karegi.

Technical Nazariya:

Technical nuqtah-e-nazar se, is haftay 1.3000 ke psychological mark ke through ek mustahkam breakout aur guzishta YTD peak, jo ke 1.3045 ke ilaqay ke qareeb tha, ke beyond ek subsequent move ko bullish traders ke liye ek naya trigger samjha gaya. Iske bawajood, daily chart par oscillators overbought zone mein dakhil hone ke qareeb hain, is wajah se ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai aur kisi bhi mazeed izafa karne wali move ki position lene se pehle qareeb muddat ke liye consolidation ya ek halki pullback ka intezaar karna chahiye. Taaham, bias mazbooti se bulls ke haq mein hai.

Is liye, agar 1.3050-1.3045 ke ilaqay ki taraf koi mazeed girawat hoti hai, toh ise khareedari ke ek moqaay ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai aur yeh 1.3000 ke round figure ke qareeb cushioned rahega. Yeh akhri level ek aham pivotal nuqtah ka kaam karega, jisey agar decisively tora gaya toh kuch technical selling ko mutaharrik kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko aglay relevant support ki taraf kheench sakta hai, jo ke 1.2950 ke ilaqay ke qareeb hai, aur 1.2900 mark ki janib ja raha hai. Agar yeh support levels defend karne mein nakam hotay hain, toh yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karega ke spot prices ne qareeb muddat mein apna buland satah haasil kar liya hai aur mazeed meaningful corrective decline ke liye raasta hamwar karega.




Doosri taraf, 1.3120 ka ilaqa, ya YTD peak jo ke budh ko choa gaya tha, 2023 ke swing high ke qareeb, yani 1.3140 ke ilaqay se pehle ek moqamati rukaawat ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Kuch follow-through khareedari constructiv setup ko reaffirm karegi aur mazeed izafa ke liye stage set karegi jo ke guzishta do hafton ya is se zyada ke douran dekha gaya hai. GBP/USD pair phir 1.3200 ke round figure ko paar karne aur 1.3225-1.3230 resistance zone ko test karne ka aim kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD Ki Qeemat Mein Harkat

GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke real-time analysis ka jaiza lete hain. GBP/USD pair mein barhoti ki imkaanat maujood hain, lekin yeh 1.3041 ke resistance ko todne par munhasir hai. Yeh satah abhi tak qayam hai, halaan ke overbought halaat tawazun mein aa gaye hain kyun ke aaj bazaar mein khasa bechnay ka volume dakhil hua hai. Sarmayakar aane wale Federal Reserve ke minutes se pehle apni position lay rahe hain, lekin surat-e-haal abhi bhi ghair yaqini hai. Trading range ab 1.3041 aur 1.3011 ke darmiyan hai, jabke aham support EMA20 aur ascending channel ki nichli had, jo ke 1.2971 par hai, mein maujood hai. Agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh channel se nikal sakta hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ki taraf rujhan ka signal dega. Filhal, ek upward impulse mumkin hai. Dollar ki kamzori ki kai wajahen ho sakti hain, jismein U.S. stock indices ki recovery, September mein sood ki sharah mein kami ki umeed, aur saddari intikhabat se mutaliq ghair yaqini soorat-e-haal shamil hain.




Maine kal bhi GBP/USD pair ke liye ek bearish scenario Double Top ke sath bayaan kiya tha, yeh intezar karte hue ke dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai American maashi taraqiat ke muqablay mein. Meri tajziye ke mutabiq, mahana resistance zone ki upper line takreeban 100 points ke faaslay par hai, jis se neeche ki taraf ek U-turn ka imkaan barhta ja raha hai. Ahem level jisko dekhna zaroori hai, woh 1.3130 hai, aur hum dekhenge ke aaj bazaar is nuqte ko paar kar sakta hai ya nahi. Bulls ne abhi tak haar nahi maani hai aur bears ko momentum haasil karne se rok rahe hain. Unhon ne sirf H1 chart par aik chhoti si pullback ki ijaazat di hai. Maksimum test jari hai, aur upper Bollinger band upward movement ke liye raasta khol raha hai. Yeh signal pullback ko mansookh kar sakta hai aur upward trend ko jari rehne de sakta hai, bas yeh ke bulls 1.3052 ke max ko paar kar lein. Bearish activity abhi bhi kam hai, kyun ke woh H4 chart par MA121 ko todne aur wahan move ko sustain karne mein nakam rahe hain. MA11 se rebound surat-e-haal ko drasti tor par tabdeel kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis
H4 period chart ka jaiza lete hain. Kal ke trading ke dauran, GBP/USD currency pair apni growth ko barqarar rakha, aur ek dafa phir se apna maximum update kiya. Magar sirf pound ke muqable mein hi nahi, balke week ke aghaz se hi dollar kamzor hota nazar aya, aur is week ke dauran market mein overall girawat dekhi gayi. Yeh price H4 period mein yeast jese upar ja rahi thi, magar ab is chart par kuch signs nazar aa rahe hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke downward correction shuru ho sakta hai.

Pehli baat yeh ke agar aap yahan target Fibonacci grid lagayein pehli wave par, to aap dekhein ke target kaam kar chuka hai - is grid par level 161.8 aur level 200 bhi kaam kar chuke hain, doosra target bhi poora ho chuka hai - last July ke maximum se aage nikal gaya. Agar aap senior period ki pehli aur teesri waves ko naapain (jo yellow mein mark ki gayi hain), to yeh size mein takriban barabar hain, balki teesri wave zyada bari hai, yeh ek poora cycle hota hai jiske baad ya to fourth wave tak correction hoti hai ya phir poora reversal aata hai.

Yahan jo CCI indicator use kiya gaya hai, usmein triple bearish divergence hai - jo sell ka signal hai. Yahi indicator jab daily chart par dekha jaye to woh upper overheating zone se neeche aana chahta hai. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke growth ke dauran, price ne resistance level 1.3134 ko touch kiya, jo ke last year July ka maximum hai. Is waqt zaroori hai ke fourth wave ke liye correction ho, aur phir price ko upar le jaya ja sakta hai, aur ek reversal ho sakta hai. Abhi tak, support level 1.3078 raah mein hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi tik payega.

Girawat ke targets support level 1.3036 aur ascending line hain jo do wave bottoms par bani hai. Level 1.3036 se upar rebound ki umeed hai, phir breakout aur ascending line tak pohochne ka chance hai. Aisi correction mujhe kam lagti hai, shayad price aur neeche ja sakti hai, dekhte hain yeh kahan tak jata hai.

Aaj ki kuch ahem khabren yeh hain: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA mein building permits ki tadaad. 17:00 par - USA mein nayi gharon ki sales, aur US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech.

Juma ke din American session ke dauran, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2663 ke takreeban paanch hafton ke sab se neeche point se wapas upar aaya, jo iski majmoi taqat ko dikhata hai. Yeh recovery is pair ki bahali ko numaya karti hai, jise mazboot bazari tawakkuat se fuel mil raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) aane wale September ke ijlaas mein sood ki sharah mein kami kar sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ki Muntazir Peshraft aur Aane Wale UK ke Maashi Data:

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell se yeh tawakku hai ke woh afraat-e-zar par honay wali peshraft ko tasleem karenge lekin ehtiyat se kaam lenge, aur kisi bhi rate cut ke liye data-driven approach par zor denge. Powell mumkin hai ke sood ki sharah mein kami ke liye koi mukarrar waqt nahi batayenge aur afraat-e-zar mein kam hoti hue sabooton ki zaroorat par zor denge. Woh US labor market ki taqat mein kami ke hawalay se bhi fikar ka izhar kar sakte hain.

Is haftay UK ke maashi data mein kami rahi hai, lekin chand aham events mein Bank of England (BoE) ke policy makers ki appearances Wednesday ko, aur Thursday ko industrial aur manufacturing activity surveys shamil hain. Tajziya karne walon ko umeed hai ke April mein thori si contraction ke baad, May ke liye UK Industrial aur Manufacturing Production mein behtri aayegi.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ki haaliye bullish momentum ne isay 1.2800 ke mark ke ooper ek supply zone mein dhakel diya hai, jis se qeemat ke amal mein izafa hota hai. Aik mumkin pullback ki surat mein qeemat 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas, yani 1.2795 ke qareeb wapas aa sakti hai. Bulls ke liye challenge yeh hoga ke woh chaar-ghante ke charts par ek significantly higher low tayein karein, taake mazeed girawat se bacha ja sake.




Agar khareedaar 1.2800 ke level ko kamyabi se defend kar lete hain, toh yeh uptrend ke jari rehne ki taraf ishara de sakta hai. Agla aham resistance level jisko dekhna zaroori hai, woh 8 July ka high 1.2844 par aur 12 June ka peak 1.2861 par hai. In levels ko clear karne se khareedaar YTD high ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke 1.3043 se zara neeche hai.

GBP/USD Ki Qeemat Mein Harkat Ki Jaiza

Hamara mubahisa GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ke live tajziye par markooz hai. GBP/USD pair ne haali mein apna bullish target 1.3043 par haasil kiya hai, jahan usay khasa resistance ka saamna karna para hai. Ek pullback ki umeed hai, jo ke technical indicators ko halka karne ke liye zaroori hai. Main pair ko bechne ki salahiyat deta hoon, umeed hai ke yeh 1.2959 se neeche giray ga aur mumkin hai ke mazeed gir kar 1.2869 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Technical outlook yeh suggest karta hai ke pair mein ek trend ho sakta hai, jaisa ke Zigzag indicators bhi yeh support karte hain. Yeh upward movement dikhate hain kyun ke yeh oversold zone mein hain, jo ke long buy positions ke haq mein hai. Haliye bulls ki taqat aur activity ko dekhte hue, mera plan hai ke jaisay hi pair 61.8% Fibonacci target par, jo ke 1.30928 par hai, pohonchta hai, mein apne munafa ko lock kar loon. Lekin, mehfooz rehne ke liye, jaise hi pair positive zone mein dakhil hota hai, main order ko break-even par move kar doon. Taaza corrective decline ke bawajood, channel ki upper boundary ab tak nahi tuti, jo ke growth ki taraf wapsi ke imkaan ko barhata hai.




British pound ke market dynamics ke tajziye ko jaari rakhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke daily chart par jab yeh 1.2299 ke local low se rebound hua, toh pair upar ki taraf gaya aur ek mazboot ascending price channel banaya. Filhal, British pound is channel ke andar 1.3029 par trade kar raha hai. Bullish channel ki upper boundary abhi bhi door hai, jo ek mumkin corrective decline ka ishara karti hai. Lekin, ek secondary upward channel bhi hai jis ka sideways slope hai, jahan upper boundary abhi tak mumkin nahi hui. Yeh qeemat apne haaliye level se barh kar takreeban 1.3049 ya 1.3054 tak ja sakti hai resistance encounter karne se pehle, jo ke ek mumkin corrective decline ki taraf le jayega. Buyers ka target bullish channel ki upper limit hai, jo ke takreeban 1.3049 level par intersect karta hai.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Technical Analysis

Abhi GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Yeh qeemat naye futures contract ke shuru hone ke level se door nahi hai, wapis upar se iss level par aayi hai, jo ke mahine ki opening se kafi neeche hai, aur majmuan yeh ke hamara trend bearish hai. Yeh baat sahi hai ke koi bhi correction ka ehtimal hamesha rehta hai. Agle hafte humare paas US CPI ka agla release aane wala hai, aur hum asal mein yeh jaante hain ke data chahe kaisa bhi ho, Fed September ke ijlaas mein sood ki sharah kam karega, jab tak ke mehngai achanak se 8% par nahi chali jati. Lekin yeh baat haqeeqat se door lagti hai. Jahan tak GBP/USD ka taluq hai, to yeh surat-e-haal EUR/USD ki tarah hi hai. Hafte ke aaghaz mein, jab qeemat 1.2800 tak pohonchi, to bechne walay bazar mein daakhil hue. Jo sab se kam qeemat woh le sakte the woh 1.2662 thi. Aur Thursday ko, lagta hai ke iss qeemat se ek techincal northern correction shuru hui. Trading hafta is channel ke andar fluctuation ke saath khatam hua.




**Pound Sterling ke liye aane walay dino mein aham maashi ashariyat per qareeb nazar rakhi jayegi.** July ke liye UK employment data, saath hi July ke CPI figures, Bank of England (BoE) ki mumkin sood ki sharah ke faisalon par aham insight faraham karenge. Agar employment data mazboot job growth dikhata hai aur CPI figures inflation ke barhne ko zahir karte hain, to BoE mehngai ke dabao ko roknay ke liye sood ki sharah ko qaim rakhne ya badhane par majboor ho sakta hai. Iske baraks, kamzor data se BoE ek ziada dovish rawaiya ikhtiyar kar sakta hai, jismein sood ki sharah mein kami karke maashi tahreek di ja sakti hai. Is mahol mein, traders ehtiyat se kaam lete hue, donon US aur UK se aane wale maashi data releases ka gahri se tajziya karenge. Fed aur BoE ke faisalon ke darmiyan ka yeh taluq yaqeenan aane wale waqt mein GBP/USD pair ki simt ko asar karega. Bazaar ki haaliye rawani ke madde nazar, kisi bhi maashi data mein surprise se GBP/USD pair mein izafay ki volatility ho sakti hai, kyun ke traders apni positions ko taabdeel karte hain taaqt se mutaliq monetary policy ki soorat-e-haal ke tehat.

H4 Trading Chat on GBP/USD

Naya hafta shuru ho gaya hai, aur hum dobara H4 chart par GBP/USD currency pair ka jaiza lete hain. Guzishta trading hafta kaafi productive raha, meri khayal se yahan sab khush honge, chahe wo sellers ho ya buyers, kyun ke price ne idhar udhar kaafi movement di, jisse har kisi ko apne points lene ka mauqa mila. Hafte ke pehle hisse mein, market expectably neeche gaya kyun ke upar ek horizontal resistance level 1.2810 ka tha, aur is se do dafa sell karna bhi possible tha aur dono dafa profitable raha. Is se pehle ke price zyada neeche jata, ek dafa phir is level ka test kiya gaya. Phir price neeche atak gaya, aur phir se agle resistance level 1.2732 se sell karne ka mauqa mila. Neeche se buyers ke liye, MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence form hui, jo kuch intezar ke baad upwards work kiya.

Phir sab kuch technical aur khubsurat tha - ek rebound hui descending resistance line se seedha mirror level tak, jo decline ke edge par 1.2723 tha. Aur phir is level se upward rebound hua. Sabhi levels aur lines se rebounds hue, aur market ne har jagah kuch dozen points diye. Ye is baat ka illustration hai ke sirf ek direction mein position kholna aur intezar karna sahi approach nahi hai.

Abhi thoda uncertainty hai, price clamped hai. Upar 1.2767 ka ek resistance level aur ek descending line form ho gayi hai. Neeche 1.2723 ka ek support level hai. Aur ye range pound ke liye kaafi chhoti hai. Yahan kuch khas karne layak nahi, shayad yeh sirf positions accumulate karne ke liye ek zone ban jaye aage ki movement ke liye. Aur aap ek side ya doosri side mein tabhi entry consider kar sakte hain jab ye range break ho jaye. Generaly, main neeche ki taraf dekhta hoon kyun ke trend downward hai. Meri soch hai ke price ka target area 1.2611 ka hai, jo daily decline wave ka minimum hai. Aaj economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai

Aap jo GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.

Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American session ke start aur price growth data ke publication ke baad hi shuru honge