gbp/usd

Chalo phir se GBP/USD currency pair ka H4 chart review karte hain. Wave structure ek upward pattern form kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin abhi apni signal line ke neeche move kar raha hai. Pichlay do hafton se is pair ki price aise soar kar rahi hai jaise ke iske neeche ek rocket engine lag gaya ho. MACD par jitni bhi divergences dekhne mein achi lag rahi thi, woh sab break ho chuki hain. Magar ab pullback ka probability zyada hai kyunke full growth cycle complete ho chuka hai.

Teen waves ka structure dikhai de raha hai, jisme second wave beach mein choti hai. Pehli aur teesri waves approximately barabar length ki hain, jo "do sticks" kehlati hain. Price aksar is tarah move karti hai, khaaskar pound ke sath. CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche nikalne ke liye tayar hai, aur ek bearish divergence dikhata hai. Main anticipate karta hoon ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak descend karegi, jahan se shayad kuch upward rebound hoga. Magar mujhe umeed hai ke yeh level neeche break hoga, kyunke full growth cycle complete ho chuki hai, aur bina pullback ke aage barhawa unlikely hai.

Agar 1.2932 level break hota hai, to yeh selling ke liye use ho sakta hai agar price neeche se isko resistance ke tor par approach kare. Iske baad main support level 1.2855 ki taraf decline ka high probability hai. Main further descent consider nahi karta, kyunke trend definitively downtrend se uptrend mein shift ho chuka hai. Ek higher daily timeframe par, teesri wave upwards progress mein hai, jo daily chart par switch karte hi dikhai deti hai. Isliye main decline expect karta hoon, magar reversal ke extent tak nahi. Woh log jo 1.2855 level se neeche sell positions mein phase hain, unke liye yeh ek miracle hoga agar price wapas un levels tak aaye.

Abhi yeh lagta hai ke ek long retracement aur uptrend ka continuation hoga. Aaj ki news

Pound Sterling ko Budh ke din kuch challenges ka samna karna pada jab usne 1.2700 level ko breach karne ki koshish ki lekin aakhir mein isme kami reh gayi. Bada market, jo pichlay haftay ke akhri dinon mein disappointing US economic data ke natay ek tez girawat ke baad se subdued hai, ab bhi dheema hai. Ye girawat recession fears ko barhawa dene ki wajah se hui thi. Halankay investor sentiment mein kuch behtari nazar aa rahi hai, lekin recovery ab bhi kamzor hai kyun ke mazid compelling catalysts ka fauqdan hai. Iss haftay ke baqiya dinon mein limited economic data schedule hone ki wajah se market ka diyan September mein Federal Reserve ke potential 50 basis point interest rate cut par hai. Traders agle haftay mein key economic indicators ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jin mein UK employment data, US PPI aur CPI inflation figures, UK GDP growth, aur US retail sales shaamil hain. Interest rate futures yeh dikhate hain ke September mein 50 basis point rate cut ka strong probability hai, aur saal ke akhir tak do mazid cuts honge. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Fed ka benchmark interest rate December tak 425-450 basis points ke range mein pohanch sakta hai.
Technical tor par, GBP/USD ne 200-day EMA se upar trade karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, lekin overall bullish momentum mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke buyers ko traction hasil karne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Yeh pair apne 12-month high se mid-July mein taqreeban 3% decline ho chuka hai, jiski wajah se long-term investors recent lows par potential support levels dhoondne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Summary mein, GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2700 level se neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jahan market sentiment recession fears aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke expectations se mutasir hai. Iss haftay ke important economic data ki kami ki wajah se price movement mein kami dekhne ko mili hai, aur traders agle haftay ke key indicators ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake mazid direction mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair broken bullish channel ke neeche ke band ki taraf wapas chala jaye, jo 1.2814 par waqia hai, agar yeh 1.2670 ke qareeb ek mazboot footing banane mein kamiyab hota hai. 20-day SMA, jo kuch zyada upar hai, aur 23.6% Fibonacci number, jo 1.2867 par hai, inke wajah se 1.3000 zone ki taraf major acceleration rok di jayegi.

Subah bakhair. Garmi ka mausam apni ahmiyat dikha raha hai. Bara capital bhi logon ka hi hai, aur unhein bhi aaram ki zarurat hoti hai, kyunki paisa kamaya gaya hai, is liye volatility kam ho sakti hai). Pound par, kal bikray walay apni positions ko qaim nahi rakh sake, lekin aaj subah woh price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Girawat ko jaari rakhne ka qareebi nishana 1.28768 ka level hai; agar woh iske peeche ikattha ho jayein, toh agla nishana 1.27773 ka mark ho sakta hai. Kharidne walon ko ab 1.29372 ka level todhna aur uske peeche ikattha hona zaruri hai. In haalaat mein, price ke 1.30123 ke mark tak barhne ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. GBPUSD H4 pair: 1 - 4 ghante ke chart par, pound neeche ke band ke saath chalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Price girne ke liye achay signals milne ke liye, humein neeche ke band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke bands bahar khulenge ya phir koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar fractals ke mutabiq haalaat ko dekha jaye, toh naye fractals upar aur neeche ban rahe hain. Qareebi fractal ka neeche break karna price ko 9 July wale fractal 1.27773 ki taraf le jaye ga. Upar qareebi fractal ka break aur peeche ikattha hone se 18 July wale fractal 1.30132 ki taraf rasta khul jayega. 2 - AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, agar agle kuch dinon mein zero ke zariye transition aur positive zone mein active growth dekhein, toh yeh price ke barhne ka ek mazboot signal hoga. Negative zone mein naye accelerations pound ke girne ko dikhayenge.

GBP/USD Market Analysis 8 August 2024

Good morning sab forum dost aur meray bohot hi simple trading analysis mein aap sab ka phir se khush aamdeed hai, kal ki trading kaise rahi? Umeed karta hoon ke forex market se maximum results hasil karne mein kamiyabi mili ho aur profit se lutf andoaz hue hon. Aaj subha ke mauqay par, mein GBPUSD market ka analysis karunga taake aaj ke entry ke liye tayar ho sakein.

Kal ki trading mein, GBPUSD currency pair ab bhi depressed aur kamzor nazar aa raha tha aur is waqt yeh 1.2678 ki price par trade kar raha hai jo ke pichlay din ki opening price se neeche hai. H4 time frame par jo candle form hui hai wo abhi tak MA 24 aur MA 200 lines ke neeche hai jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 is waqt level 20 ki taraf ja raha hai, aur yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke kal ki trading mein sellers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur aaj ki trading mein bearish trend ko barqarar rakhnay ka imkaan hai.

Technical analysis ke ilawa, yeh bhi acha hoga agar hum market ko fundamentally analyze karen. Aaj ke din kuch high impact news release hone wali hain jo forex market par asar dalengi, khaaskar GBPUSD market par. Agar hum dekhein toh USD index abhi tak strong hai, jo ke pound sterling currency par mazeed pressure dalayega.

Meri trading plan ke mutabiq aaj ke liye mein 1.2678 ke current price par sell order place karunga jisme profit target 1.2648 hoga aur stoploss 1.2708 par rakha jaayega. Lot volume ko hum apne trading account ke resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh hai trading journal update jo mein is Thursday ko share kar sakta hoon, umeed karta hoon ke yeh mufeed hoga aur dosray dost isay samajh sakein.

GBP:USD:H4: 1.2830
Budh ke din Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein halka sa decline experience kiya, jo 1.2704 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke 0.14% ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Yeh movement hal hi mein hone wale UK general elections ke baad dekhi gayi, jahan Labour Party ke significant victory hasil karne ka imkaan hai. Currency market ka response UK ke evolving political landscape ko reflect kar raha hai, jo investor sentiment aur currency trading dynamics par asar dal raha hai.

Iske parallel, CME FedWatch tool ne September mein Federal Reserve rate cuts ke probability mein izafa report kiya. Yeh probability 72.6% tak barh gayi hai, jo ek hafta pehle 66% thi. Yeh expectations ka shift kaafi US economic indicators, khaaskar labor market mein, kamzori ke asaar zahir karne ke baad dekha gaya. US ki overall economic health dheemi par rahi hai, jiski wajah se market participants Federal Reserve se proactive measures ki tawakku kar rahe hain.

GBP:USD:H4: 1.2830

Saat saalon tak -0.75 percent reference rates ke bawajood, Swiss National Bank inhe barhane ka irada nahi rakhti. US regulators ki meeting ke baad, department 10 July ko mulaqat karega. Aakhir mein, in dono sessions ka faisla instrument ke mustaqbil ka tayun karega. 13 July tak, hum GBP/USD pair quote ko mazid mazboot hotay dekh sakte hain, jahan possible corrections favorable prices denge taake instrument ko khareed sakein. Long term mein ek upward trend dekha gaya hai. Market participants ne resistance level 1.2780 tak pohanch liya hai, jo price growth ko mazid rok raha hai. Jab yeh mark upar ki taraf break nahi hota, toh correction shuru honay ka imkaan hai; objective yeh hoga ke 1.2685 support level ko examine kiya jaye jab yeh hota hai. RSI indicator ke overbought state ki wajah se medium term mein correction ka imkaan hai. Price ab phir se upper channel lines ka samna kar raha hai, aur yeh upward break kar ke 1.2710 level tak ja sakta hai, ya phir monthly pivot level par gir kar phir se rise kar sakta hai. Price ka samna ab weekly level 1.2830 ke resistance se hai, jo downward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pound Sterling ko Budh ke din kuch challenges ka samna karna para jab usne 1.2700 level ko breach karne ki koshish ki lekin aakhir mein ismein kami reh gayi. Bada market, jo pichlay haftay ke akhri dinon mein disappointing US economic data ke natay ek tez girawat ke baad se dheema hai, ab bhi subdued hai. Ye girawat recession fears ko barhawa dene ki wajah se hui thi. Halankay investor sentiment mein kuch behtari nazar aa rahi hai, lekin recovery ab bhi kamzor hai kyun ke mazeed compelling catalysts ka fauqdan hai. Iss haftay ke baqiya dinon mein limited economic data schedule hone ki wajah se market ka diyan September mein Federal Reserve ke potential 50 basis point interest rate cut par hai. Traders agle haftay mein key economic indicators ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jin mein UK employment data, US PPI aur CPI inflation figures, UK GDP growth, aur US retail sales shaamil hain. Interest rate futures yeh dikhate hain ke September mein 50 basis point rate cut ka strong probability hai, aur saal ke akhir tak do mazeed cuts honge. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Fed ka benchmark interest rate December tak 425-450 basis points ke range mein pohanch sakta hai.
Technical tor par, GBP/USD ne 200-day EMA se upar trade karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, lekin overall bullish momentum mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke buyers ko traction hasil karne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Yeh pair apne 12-month high se mid-July mein taqreeban 3% decline ho chuka hai, jiski wajah se long-term investors recent lows par potential support levels dhoondne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Summary mein, GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2700 level se neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jahan market sentiment recession fears aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke expectations se mutasir hai. Iss haftay ke important economic data ki kami ki wajah se price movement mein kami dekhne ko mili hai, aur traders agle haftay ke key indicators ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake mazid direction mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair broken bullish channel ke neeche ke band ki taraf wapas chala jaye, jo 1.2814 par waqia hai, agar yeh 1.2670 ke qareeb ek mazboot footing banane mein kamiyab hota hai. 20-day SMA, jo kuch zyada upar hai, aur 23.6% Fibonacci number, jo 1.2867 par hai, inke wajah se 1.3000 zone ki taraf major acceleration rok di jayegi.

GBP/USD currency pair ki baat karain tou is waqt ye significant volatility show kar raha hai. Pair abhi 1.2700 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo pehle se neeche aya hai. Recent UK economic reports ne GDP growth aur unemployment ke hawalay se disappointing results diye hain. Q2 2024 GDP growth sirf 0.3% thi jab ke expected 0.5% thi, aur unemployment 4.2% tak barh gayi hai. Ye economic slowdown pound par pressure dal raha hai. Doosri taraf, US ki data strong hai, jahan July ke non-farm payrolls 250,000 tak barh gaye hain, jo forecasts se zyada hain. Is wajah se US dollar ko support mil raha hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2750 ke key support level ko breach kar diya hai aur ab 1.2650 ke new support level ko test kar raha hai. Agar ye level hold nahi hota tou price 1.2600 tak gir sakti hai. Resistance 1.2800 par hai, aur agar positive shift hoti hai tou pair phir se is threshold ko retest kar sakta hai.

1-hour chart par pair ka trend positive hai aur New York session ke start mein price ne decline ke baad reverse kiya hai. Abhi price 1.2725 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai jahan kuch previous highs resistance create kar sakti hain. Agar price is resistance level ko successfully break karti hai, tou upward movement expected hai. Lekin agar yahan bearish pattern banta hai tou ye downward trend ke resumption ka signal ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki baat karain tou is waqt ye significant volatility show kar raha hai. Pair abhi 1.2700 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo pehle se neeche aya hai. Recent UK economic reports ne GDP growth aur unemployment ke hawalay se disappointing results diye hain. Q2 2024 GDP growth sirf 0.3% thi jab ke expected 0.5% thi, aur unemployment 4.2% tak barh gayi hai. Ye economic slowdown pound par pressure dal raha hai. Doosri taraf, US ki data strong hai, jahan July ke non-farm payrolls 250,000 tak barh gaye hain, jo forecasts se zyada hain. Is wajah se US dollar ko support mil raha hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2750 ke key support level ko breach kar diya hai aur ab 1.2650 ke new support level ko test kar raha hai. Agar ye level hold nahi hota tou price 1.2600 tak gir sakti hai. Resistance 1.2800 par hai, aur agar positive shift hoti hai tou pair phir se is threshold ko retest kar sakta hai.

1-hour chart par pair ka trend positive hai aur New York session ke start mein price ne decline ke baad reverse kiya hai. Abhi price 1.2725 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai jahan kuch previous highs resistance create kar sakti hain. Agar price is resistance level ko successfully break karti hai, tou upward movement expected hai. Lekin agar yahan bearish pattern banta hai tou ye downward trend ke resumption ka signal ho sakta hai.
Pair ne abhi abhi August 2023 ke highs se aane wali descending resistance trendline ko breach kiya hai. Yeh trendline ab support level mein convert ho gayi hai, especially jab pair ne 1.2650 ke psychological threshold ko successfully cross kiya. Current momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers exchange rate ko aur upar le ja sakte hain, jese ke RSI bhi bullish territory mein hai.

Agar yeh momentum barqarar rehta hai, toh aglay key resistance levels ya psychological thresholds aapke potential take-profit zones ho sakte hain. Kya aap specific resistance levels ya trade management ke scenarios par discussion karna chahenge?

GBP/USD pair ne noticeable volatility dikhayi hai, aur abhi 1.2700 se upar trade kar raha hai, jo pehle ke levels se neeche hai. Hal hi mein UK ke economic reports ne Q2 2024 GDP growth mein 0.3% ki mayusi ka izhar kiya, jo anticipated 0.5% se kam tha, aur unemployment 4.2% par barh gaya, jo economic conditions mein slowdown ka pata de raha hai, jisne pound par pressure daala hai. Iske baraks, US data zyada strong raha, jahan July ke non-farm payrolls mein 250,000 ka izafa hua, jo forecasts se zyada tha, aur isne US dollar ko mazid mazbooti di. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ka interest rate hikes par ehtiyaat se kaam lena dollar ko support kar raha hai. Technically, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2750 par key support breach kar liya hai aur ab ek naye support level 1.2650 ko test kar raha hai, aur agar yeh level nahi thaamta, to mazeed girawat 1.2600 tak ho sakti hai. Resistance 1.2800 par hai, aur agar positive shift aata hai to pair dobara is threshold ko retest kar sakta hai. Hal filhal ka outlook cautious hai, jo UK mein economic uncertainties aur US ke strong data se driven hai.

GBP/USD currency pair abhi ek positive trend dikhai de rahi hai, aur one-hour chart par resistance area se aagay barh chuki hai. New York session ke aghaz par price pehle neeche aayi, lekin phir jaldi se reverse hui, aur ab buyers ke through chal rahi hai. Abhi price 1.2725 level se upar trade kar rahi hai, jahan pehle ke kai highs (tops) further upward movement ke liye resistance pesh kar sakte hain.



Agar price is resistance level ko successfully break karti hai, to expected hai ke yeh mazeed barh jaye gi, kyun ke buying momentum mazid strong ho raha hai. Dosri taraf, agar is resistance level ke qareeb bearish pattern samne aata hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke British pound apni upward momentum ko sustain karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar raha hai. Yeh downward trend ke resume hone ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.30022 par flat trade kar rahi hai, jo ke chart ke upper half mein hai. Instaforex indicator ke mutabiq, pehle section mein bulls aur bears ka barabar taqseem hai, jahan bulls thode se aage hain, 50.33% se. Dusre section mein indicator neutral stance dikhata hai. Aaj ka market kuch volatility experience kar sakta hai, kyun ke UK aur US se aham news releases expected hain. Khaaskar, UK unemployment claims ke data release honge, jab ke US initial jobless claims aur industrial activity index release karne wala hai.
Fundamental aur technical analysis ke mutabiq, ye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke GBP/USD pair pehle 1.2940 level tak south move karegi, aur phir potential reversal kar ke 1.3130 level test kar sakti hai. Traders ko kisi bhi market shifts ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo in projections ko impact kar sakte hain.
GBP/USD H-4 Analysis


Kal GBP/USD pair ek notable zone mein enter hui thi, jahan usne ek significant ascending channel ke upper boundary ka samna kiya. Break out ki koshish ke bawajood, price retreat hui aur ab consolidate kar rahi hai. RSI upward trend dikhata hai, jab ke Stochastic downward trend dikhata hai, jo mixed signals hain. Ye market developments ko carefully monitor karne ka signal hai.

Kuch UK news release hui hain, magar ab tak price par significant impact nahi hua. Aaj koi major GBP-specific news releases nahi hain, siwaye kuch potential European news ke jo EUR/GBP ko affect kar sakti hain. Agar price rise hoti hai, to pehle upper limit of the Bollinger Band 1.3027 par pohnch sakti hai, jo ke channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai. Traders ko observe karna chahiye ke price is level ko break karti hai ya retreat hoti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price decline hoti hai, to Bollinger Band midline ke qareeb 1.2981 par potential support ke liye dekhen. Aik further drop pair ko 1.2949/37 support levels test karne par majboor kar sakti hai, jo moving averages aur Bollinger Bands ke niche situated hain. Agar price downward continue karti hai, to lower moving average support offer kar sakti hai. Current support level 1.2903 par hai, jahan ek rebound expecte

Good day sab ko! Pichlay chaar hafton se British Pound aur US Dollar ke darmiyan currency pair (GBPUSD) lagataar decline ho raha hai, aur four-hour timeframe par bearish trend clearly visible hai. Isliye, jab tak price descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, kisi bhi purchases ki baat nahi ho sakti. Magar, is channel ki upper line se achi selling opportunities mil sakti hain. Abhi jo sabse bara sawal hai, woh yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair kitna neeche gir sakta hai. Latest correction jo low 1.2706 se lekar high 1.2839 tak hui, uski base par hum Fibonacci grid stretch karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jiska 161st level 1.2630 par locate hota hai. Is waqt yeh assumption lagayi ja sakti hai ke price is level ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo ke support level 1.2612 ke sath bhi nicely coincide karta hai, jo ke June month ka minimum hai. Halaanki, aisa koi rukaawat nahi hai jo price ko round support level 1.25 tak girne se rok sake.

Is waqt ke market condition ko dekhte hue, descending channel mein trading ke dauran koi bhi buying opportunity consider nahi ki jani chahiye. Magar agar price upper boundary ke qareeb pohchti hai, to selling ke liye acha mauqa ho sakta hai.

Fibonacci analysis ke madad se, current trend ka continuation hona expected hai aur is baat ke strong chances hain ke price apne next support levels tak gir sakti hai. Sabse pehla target 1.2630 hoga, jo ke ek strong technical level hai. Iske neeche, 1.2612 jo ke June ka low hai, ek next critical point hoga. Agar price yeh levels break karti hai, to round number 1.25 tak girne ke chances barh jate hain.

Overall, yeh sab kuch bearish market sentiment ko indicate karta hai, aur traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur descending channel ke andar opportunities ke mutabiq sell positions par focus karna chahiye. Har price movement par nazar rakhte hue, agar price lower support levels par aati hai to wahan se bhi selling opportunities ko explore karna chahiye. Yeh strategy current market trend ke sath aligned rehne mein madad karegi aur potential profits ko maximize karne ka chance de sakt

US Dollar index technical rejection ke bawajood 103.00 ke niche phir se trade kar raha hai. US Dollar (USD) aaj ek nervous Thursday ko major peers ke muqablay mein har taraf se dheela ho gaya hai. Markets US Jobless Claims data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke aaj ke din release hoga. Yeh wahi data point hai jisne pichle hafte volatile period shuru kiya tha aur US Jobs reports ke aage Monday ko sab asset classes mein massive sell-off ka sabab bana.
Economic data ke front par, aaj ka calendar bahut halka hai. Isliye economic data ke terms mein aaj ka haftha pur-sukoon hai, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ki print 2 August tak wale hafte ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Isliye aaj ke Jobless Claims data ke madde nazar rough ride ki ummeed hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ka bias downside ki taraf hai; kisi bhi girawat ki halat mein yeh 1.2645 se niche nahi jayega. Rejuvenated momentum yeh darshata hai ke risk ab bhi downside par hai; dekhne wale levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang aur Lee Sue Ann note karte hain. Agla resistance 1.2720 par hai.

24-HOUR VIEW: “Do din pehle, GBP tez gir gaya. Kal humne kaha tha ke ‘jab ke girawat oversold hai, yeh stabilize nahi hui,’ aur humne yeh raye di thi ke GBP 1.2645 tak gir sakta hai, tab stability expect ki ja sakti hai. Humne yeh bhi kaha tha ke resistance 1.2710 par hai; agar 1.2735 ko breach kiya gaya to yeh suggest karega ke GBP ki kamzori stabilize ho gayi hai.’ Hamari raye sach nahi hui, kyunke GBP 1.2682 aur 1.2734 ke beech trade hota raha, aur mostly 1.2689 par close hua (-0.03%). Jab ke downward momentum ka clear increase nahi hai, GBP ka bias ab bhi downside par lagta hai. Aaj, jab tak 1.2720 (minor resistance 1.2700 par hai) ko breach nahi kiya jata, GBP lower ki taraf drift kar sakta hai. Lekin kisi bhi girawat ka 1.2645 se neeche jaana mushkil hai

British pound ko global markets mein nuksaan pohnchaya hai, jab ke yen ke short positions aggressively cover kiye gaye hain. Is se pehle, British pound carry trades se faida utha raha tha, jisme global investors yen ko bech kar high-yielding instruments mein long positions finance kar rahe the, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Haal hi mein, British pound against US dollar (GBP/USD) 1.2662 ke support level tak gir gaya, jo ek mahine se zyada ka sabse neecha point hai, aur yeh 1.2695 ke qareeb stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai, kisi nai developments ka intezaar karte hue.
Jumay ko aane wale US jobs data ne US economy ke recession mein slip hone ka dar barhaya. Middle East mein tensions barhne ka bhi khauf hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound ne euro (GBP/EUR) ke against bhi 11-week low 1.1660 par further sharp losses record kiye, phir thoda recover kar ke 1.1690 tak pohncha, jab volatility mein izafa hua. Pound par Bank of England ke interest rate cut ne bhi thoda asar dala, lekin global risk conditions mein girawat is ka primary factor rahi. Jaise ke maloom hai, British currency ka risk trends se qareebi taaluq hai. Jab stock markets strong hoti hain aur carry trade mein zyada interest hota hai, pound acchi performance dikhata hai.Economic side par, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ne dikhaya ke UK economy ka post-pandemic growth pehle se zyada strong tha jitna pehle socha gaya tha. ONS ke revised data ke mutabiq, UK economy Covid-19 pandemic se pehle se behtar halat mein ubhari. Nai estimates ke mutabiq 2022 ke liye annual GDP growth 4.8% hai, jo pehle 4.3% tha.ONS update jo Wednesday ko release hui, usme 2021 aur 2020 ke GDP growth estimates mein 0.1 percentage points ki choti revisions shamil hain, jab ke peechle saalon ke figures unchanged chode gaye hain. Overall, ye revisions economic activity ka zyada accurate representation reflect karti hain, jo ab full administrative aur survey data ka lehaaz rakhti hain jo ab available hai

GBP-USD currency pair ke hawale se, abhi tak sellers girawat ko barhawa dene mein nakam rahe hain, aur non-farm data ke doran dollar mein tezi se kami aayi. Mein samjhta tha ke aaj buyers apni potential ko barhawa denge, magar subah se ab tak koi tezi se harkat nazar nahi aayi. Aam tor par, buyers abhi tak upar kisi ahem level ko tor nahi paaye hain, aur active upward movement ke liye unhe 1.28394 level ko tor kar us par qaim hona zaroori hai. Growth ko barhawa dene ke liye pehla target 1.28637 ka level hoga.
Is level ka torna downward trend ko tor kar growth ke mumkinah barhawa ka signal dega. Girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, sellers ko 1.27772 ka level tor kar us par qaim hona hoga. Girawat ka target 1.27063 ka mark hoga. GBPUSD H4: 4-hour chart par 1-pound pair tapes ke central area mein hai, aur yahan se harkat kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, price ke barhawa ya girawat ka naya signal hasil karne ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.

Agar fractals ki baat ki jaye, to ek naya fractal upward bana hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 31 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.28637 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. Price fall ka target qareebi fractal downward hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 3 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.26772 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, jo price ke barhawa ka signal de raha hai. Agar ane wale dino mein hum zero se transition aur positive zone mein active increase dekhenge, to hume price ke barhawa ka zyada strong signal milega. Negative area mein nayi acceleration price ke girawat ka signal

GBP/USD pair mein kafi volatility nazar aayi hai, aur yeh iss waqt 1.2700 ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se neeche hai. Haal hi mein UK ki economic reports ne mayoos kun GDP growth show ki hai, jo Q2 2024 mein 0.3% rahi, jab ke umeed thi 0.5% ki. Iske ilawa, berozgari ka rate bhi 4.2% tak barh gaya hai, jo UK ki economy ki slow hoti surat-e-haal ko dikhata hai aur pound par pressure dal raha hai. Iske muqable mein, US ki reports mazboot rahi hain, jahan July ke non-farm payrolls 250,000 barh gaye, jo ke forecasts se zyada tha, aur isse US dollar ko faida mila. Federal Reserve ka cautious stance on interest rate hikes bhi dollar ko support de raha hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne key support 1.2750 ko breach kiya hai aur ab yeh 1.2650 ke aas paas naye support level ko test kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level hold nahi kar pata, to pair 1.2600 tak aur neeche ja sakta hai. Resistance 1.2800 par dekha ja raha hai, aur agar market mein positive shift aata hai, to pair is threshold ko phir se retest kar sakti hai. Current outlook abhi bhi cautious hai, jo ke UK ki economic uncertainties aur US ki strong data ki wajah se hai.

GBP/USD currency pair iss waqt positive trend dikha rahi hai, aur one-hour chart par resistance area ko cross kar chuki hai. New York session ke aghaz par, price pehle decline hui thi lekin phir jaldi se reverse kar gayi, aur ab buyers ke influence mein hai. Ab yeh 1.2725 level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jahan kai peechle highs (tops) resistence create kar sakte hain further upward movement ke liye.

Agar price is resistance level ko successfully break karti hai, to yeh aur barh sakti hai, kyun ke buying momentum mazboot hota ja raha hai. Agar bearish pattern is resistance level ke aas paas emerge hota hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke British pound apni upward momentum ko sustain karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar raha hai. Yeh downward trend ke dobara shuru hone ki nishani bhi ho sakti hai.




Traders ko is 1.2725 level ke aas paas resistance ya support ke signals monitor karne chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye. Saath hi, broader market conditions aur economic news par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hai, taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.