gbp/usd

Good afternoon, guys. Aaj raat NFP release se pehle, chaliye apne aap ko trade karne ke liye achi tarah se prepare karte hain aur umeed hai ke hamara pehle se banaya hua trading plan maximum results de sake. Aaj mai aap sab ke sath GBP/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo ke resistance 1.2850 se decline hua hai, aur iss se seller ki taqat kaafi important role ada karti nazar aati hai further weakening mein. Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur GBP/USD ke trading signals kaise hain jo maine neeche summarize kiye hain.


GBP/USD ka movement abhi bhi strong downtrend experience kar raha hai aur 1.2850 area mein jo price increase hui thi, us se pair mein sharp decline aaya. Phir buyers ko price ko aur zyada upar le jane mein abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna hai, hum simply price increase ko anticipate karte hain NFP ke doran, aur agar price resistance area tak spike kare, toh seller price ko dobara weaken kar sakta hai aur H4 timeframe pe bearish candlestick ke sath closing kar sakta hai, meri raaye ke mutabiq. Aur phir hume 1.2800 level ko observe karna hoga jo ke abhi SBR area hai current bearish wave mein, is liye maine us area mein white box provide kiya hai.


Main sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega.

Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar sakenge.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Farokht karne wale ab bhi kharidaron ke muqable me zyada mazbut sabit hue aur 1.28457 ki muzahmati satah se tezi ke reversal ka mauqa nahin diya. Natije ke taur par, pound/dollar ka joda dobara manfi ho gaya aur 1.27306 ki support satah ka test kiya. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound is support se ucchal jayega aur mamuli badhat darj karega. Halankeh, iski tezi 1.27536 ki muzahmati satah tak mahdudu rahne ka imkan hai. Is nishan tak pahunchne ke bad, pound/dollar ke jode ke niche ki taraf palatne aur 1.26464 ki support satah ki taraf badhne ki ummid hai. Mutabadil ke taur par, pound sterling 1.27536 se ooper toot sakta aur 1.28239 ki agli muzahmati satah tak badh sakta hai.

ullz ne tor diya hai, jis se GBP/USD overbought territory aur daily channel ke resistance tak pohanch gaya hai. Is pehle breakthrough ke baad ek pullback hua hai. Yeh actions technical analysis ke mutabiq hain, lekin Friday ke daily candle se thodi se slowdown nazar aa rahi hai jo ek neutral "top" form kar raha hai. Yeh trend weekly timeframe se milti julti hai, jo ke is channel ke andar correction ke end hone ki taraf ishara karti hai jab tak yeh current resistance intact rehti hai. Agar bulls is level ko hold karne mein naakam hote hain, toh yeh daily channel ke support line ki taraf ja sakti hai correction framework ke andar. Agar trendline break hoti hai, toh mujhe apni long positions ko reconsider karna parega aur faisla karna parega ke unhein rakhun, close karun ya sell positions par shift karun. Ek purchasing opportunity tab aasakti hai agar price 1.2879 level ko cross kar le aur usay maintain kare. Dusri taraf, agar bearish correction galti se 1.2851 mark ko breach kar le, toh yeh ongoing growth ko indicate kar sakta hai. Ek buy signal ki further confirmation tab hogi agar strength 1.2906 ke upar continue kare, aur is ke baad 1.2911 mark ke beyond break kar le.
Agar price 1.2891 ke level ko breach kar le, toh yeh buying ke liye acha waqt ho sakta hai, aur 1.2906 se zyada growth ke liye possibility ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2936 ko exceed na kar sake aur naya high na set kar sake, toh yeh buying interest mein kami ko indicate kar sakta hai. Sellers ke liye, price drop ko 1.2848 tak monitor karna prudent hoga, aur is level ko successfully breach karna ek signal ho sakta hai sell karne ka. 1.2848 ka test hone ke baad, agar price correct ho kar 1.2911 ke upar wapas chali jaye, toh yeh buy indication ho sakta hai. 1.2911 ke upar clear breakthrough potential for continued buying opportunities ke hint de sakti hai upcoming week mein.
Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai

• 6 USD

Good afternoon, guys. Aaj raat NFP release se pehle, chaliye apne aap ko trade karne ke liye achi tarah se prepare karte hain aur umeed hai ke hamara pehle se banaya hua trading plan maximum results de sake. Aaj mai aap sab ke sath GBP/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo ke resistance 1.2850 se decline hua hai, aur iss se seller ki taqat kaafi important role ada karti nazar aati hai further weakening mein. Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur GBP/USD ke trading signals kaise hain jo maine neeche summarize kiye hain.


GBP/USD ka movement abhi bhi strong downtrend experience kar raha hai aur 1.2850 area mein jo price increase hui thi, us se pair mein sharp decline aaya. Phir buyers ko price ko aur zyada upar le jane mein abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna hai, hum simply price increase ko anticipate karte hain NFP ke doran, aur agar price resistance area tak spike kare, toh seller price ko dobara weaken kar sakta hai aur H4 timeframe pe bearish candlestick ke sath closing kar sakta hai, meri raaye ke mutabiq. Aur phir hume 1.2800 level ko observe karna hoga jo ke abhi SBR area hai current bearish wave mein, is liye maine us area mein white box provide kiya hai.


Main sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega.

Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar sakenge.

• 6 USD

Good afternoon, guys. Aaj raat NFP release se pehle, chaliye apne aap ko trade karne ke liye achi tarah se prepare karte hain aur umeed hai ke hamara pehle se banaya hua trading plan maximum results de sake. Aaj mai aap sab ke sath GBP/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo ke resistance 1.2850 se decline hua hai, aur iss se seller ki taqat kaafi important role ada karti nazar aati hai further weakening mein. Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur GBP/USD ke trading signals kaise hain jo maine neeche summarize kiye hain.


GBP/USD ka movement abhi bhi strong downtrend experience kar raha hai aur 1.2850 area mein jo price increase hui thi, us se pair mein sharp decline aaya. Phir buyers ko price ko aur zyada upar le jane mein abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna hai, hum simply price increase ko anticipate karte hain NFP ke doran, aur agar price resistance area tak spike kare, toh seller price ko dobara weaken kar sakta hai aur H4 timeframe pe bearish candlestick ke sath closing kar sakta hai, meri raaye ke mutabiq. Aur phir hume 1.2800 level ko observe karna hoga jo ke abhi SBR area hai current bearish wave mein, is liye maine us area mein white box provide kiya hai.


Main sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega.

Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar sakenge.

GBP /USD D1 Chart:


Gbpusd currency pair ka Kal ke mazboot giravat ke bawajood, is senior douran par lehar dhancha hua tha aur ab bhi oopri khareedne wali zone mein MACD indicator hai. Pehle, keemat 1.2804 ke qareeb phans gayi thi aur kal zahir hai keemat ko neeche khinchnay ke liye ek ahem tabqa kharidar ikhatta hua aur keemat ko neeche le gaya. Dhair saaf hai ke woh keemat ko le kar neeche le jana chahte thay jo ke waves ke nichlay hisson ke sath banai gayi chadhav rekha tak hai, jo ke unho ne asal mein kiya, unho ne line ke sath thora sa age bhi chala gaya. Halankeh, yeh rekha kal din mein acha rebound diya jab us par chua gaya. Main ab kisi bechne ka koi faida nahi dekhta, aap market ke neeche ka nichla hissa pakar sakte hain.

GBP / USD H4 Chart:



Mere khayal mein jab chand formations chhotay douran par ban jati hain to oopar ki taraf kaam karna zyada wadaan hota hai. Keemat 1.2804 ke pehle se tor diye gaye level tak wapas jana bina keemat ke aur neeche jane ke imkanat kam hain. Mazeed, CCI indicator neeche se oopar jane ke liye tayar hai aur aap us par ek bullish convergence dekh sakte hain - ek urooj ke liye signal. Agar aap puranay haftawar ka chart dekhtay hain, to band hone wali keematon par bani level abhi tak tori nahi gayi, lekin keemat us par hai aur is liye yahan se uthne ke imkanat abhi bhi bohot achay hain. Aaj 15-30 Moscow waqt par mukhya khabron ka package hai: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-farm sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-farm sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. Main din bhar ke douran mein urooj par formations ki tameer ki umeed rakhta hoon aur mujhe lagta hai ke aap un par behtareen taur par kaam kar sakte hain, oopar ki correction ko pakar kar, jiska taraqqi bohot mukhtalif hai.

Chaliye, is article ko Romen Urdu mein lekh dete hain: "Chaliye, D1 period ka chart dekhte hain - GBPUSD currency pair ka. Kal ke majboot girawat ke bawajood, is senior period par wave structure barh raha hai, MACD indicator uchi kharid zone mein hai. Pehle, price 1.2804 ke support level ke qareeb atak gayi thi, aur kal, zahir hai, buyers ki ek critical mass is level se ikattha ho gayi thi aur price ko neeche kheench liya. Waziha hai ke woh price ko waves ke bottoms ke saath banai gayi ascending line tak neecha le jaana chahte the, aur yeh unhone asal mein kiya, inertia se line se thoda aage bhi chalay gaye. Halankeh is line ne kal din ke dauran upar achi rebound di, aap dekh sakte hain, jab yeh touch hui to lagbhag 80 points upar chali gayi. Ab bechne ki koi zaroorat nahi, market ka bottom pakda ja sakta hai. Meri raaye mein, chhoti period par jab munasib formations banti hain to upar kaam karna zyada promising hai. Yeh asaan nahi lagta ke price bina rollback ke 1.2804 ke pehle broken level se neeche chale jayegi. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se upar jane ke liye tayaar hai aur is par ek bullish convergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo growth ka signal hai. Agar aap purane weekly chart par nazar daalein, to closing prices ke basis par banai gayi level abhi tak break nahi hui, lekin price uspe hai aur isliye yahan se uthane ke chances ab bhi bahut ache hain. Aaj ke mukhya news package 15:30 Moscow time par hain: US mein average hourly earnings, US ke non-farm sector mein employed logon ki number mein tabdeel, US ke economically active population ka share, US ke private non-farm sector mein employed logon ki number mein tabdeel, aur US mein unemployment rate. Main chhoti periods ke andar growth ke formations ki ummeed karta hoon aur mujhe lagta hai ke in formations ko safe tarike se kaam kiya ja sakta hai, upar ki correction pakadte hue, jo ke bahut possible hai. H1 chart. Yahan CCI indicator par bullish divergence dekhi ja sakti hai. Confirmation hoga jab resistance level 1.2734 ke upar consolidation ho."

GBP/USD currency pair apni neeche ki taraf chalti raah ko teesre musalsal haftay ke liye jaari rakhti hai, Friday ko subha Asian session ke doran 1.2730 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Yeh musalsal manfi rujhan ek kamzor USD Index (DXY) ke beech aata hai, jo 104.20 ki had se neeche gir gaya hai aur is major currency pair ko kuch madad faraham kar raha hai.

**GBP/USD Ki Buniyadiat:**

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne haal hi mein inflation se deal karne mein aham taraqqi ko ujaagar kiya, aur kaha ke disinflationary process dobara sahi raaste par hai. Iske bawajood, Powell ne zordaar kaha ke interest rate cuts par ghor karne se pehle mazeed positive inflation data ki zaroorat hai. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke inflation ke khatarat zyada balanced ho gaye hain, lekin kisi bhi anokhi kamzori ke samne aane ki surat mein, labor market ko dekhte hue interest rate policies par dobara ghor kiya ja sakta hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

GBP/USD ka exchange rate lagbhag 1.2710 ke aas paas ek temporary floor par pahunch gaya hai. Bechne walon ki koshishon ke bawajood rate ko neeche le jane ki, jo jo rishta is level ko todne mein nakam raha hai, jo ke shayad aage aur bhi kam prices ko test karne ki soch rakhta hai. Agla aham support level 200-day moving average (DMA) 1.2647 hai. Mojooda momentum se yeh pata chalta hai ke bechne wale abhi bhi price action ko near term mein influence kar rahe hain, jo ke ek bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) se sabit hota hai. Lekin, RSI ka 50-neutral line ke nazdeek hona yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure shayad kam ho raha hai.

**On the Flip Side:**

Agar kharidaar price ko 17 July ke high 1.3041 se upar push karne mein kamiyab ho jaate hain to mazeed faida ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Agla key resistance level jo monitor karna hoga wo 19 June ka high 1.2739 hoga, uske baad psychological barrier 1.2800 aayega. In levels ke upar break karne se zyada sustained upward movement ka signal mil sakta hai.

**H1 Time Frame Analysis:**

H1 time frame par bearish engulfing pattern ka signal hai. Kal 13:00 baje key levels ke beech ka faasla 35 pips tha, aaj yeh 25 pips hai, jo ke ek din mein 10 pips ki kami ko dikhata hai. Yeh darshata hai ke bearish engulfing signal ko bearish range mein badalne mein 2.5 din lagenge. Lekin, 10 pips per day ki movement kaafi tezi se hoti hai, jo aam taur par strong bearish activity ke doran dekhi jaati hai, jaisa ke kal dekha gaya. Aise periods rare hote hain aur dono directions mein volatile fluctuations ke sath hote hain. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke 2.5 din ka faasla 4 ya 5 din tak extend ho sakta hai. Filhaal, engulfing signal zig-zag movements ko key levels ke aas paas ya strong prolonged impulse movement ko suggest karta hai, jo abhi tak maujood nahi hai. Main price ke 1.2825 ke key level ki taraf aur shayad 1.2850 ke dusre key level ki taraf barhne ki umeed kar raha hoon.

USD/JPY ka exchange rate pichle kuch hafton mein ek aham ultaav ka shikaar hua hai, kyunke US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan ke tafreeq barh rahi hai. Yeh char musalsal hafton ke liye gir gaya hai aur 148.54 ka low record kiya hai, jabke saal ke shuru mein iska high 161.76 tha. Kul milakar, USD/JPY ka rally hedge funds aur doosre speculators ko nuqsan pohncha raha hai jo Japanese yen ko bech rahe hain. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ke data se pata chalta hai ke speculators ne March 2021 se yen par net short position rakhi hui hai. Yeh investors Japanese yen ke 2020 ke high se 47% se zyada girne se faida utha rahe hain. Ab, kuch investors apni positions close kar rahe hain kyunke currency recover ho rahi hai. Net short positions June mein -184,000 se gir kar pichle haftay 107,000 tak aa gayi hain.

**Dovish US Federal Reserve**

USD/JPY ka jo jo girna hai, wo primarily Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan tafreeq ki wajah se hai. Wednesday ko interest rate ke faislay mein, bank ne US interest rate ko 5.25% aur 5.50% ke darmiyan barqarar rakha. Yeh faisla investors ko hairaan nahi kar paya kyunke yeh analysts ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Bank ne apne bayan mein zahir kiya ke wo ab dual mandate ke do pehluon par focus kar rahi hai: labor market aur inflation.

Haal ke economic data ne yeh dikhaya hai ke yeh numbers mukhtalif directions mein ja rahe hain. Inflation Federal Reserve ke 2.0% target ki taraf ja rahi hai kyunke yeh teen musalsal mahino se gir rahi hai. Doosri taraf, unemployment rate pichle kuch mahino mein lagatar girti gayi hai. Wednesday ko ADP ke zariye release hue data ne dikhaya ke US private sector ne July mein sirf 122,000 jobs add kiye, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse chhota izafa hai.

**Bank of Japan ka Rate Hike**

Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan mukhtalif raaston par chal rahe hain. Wednesday ko apne interest rate decision mein, bank ne 17 saalon mein apni dusri izafa ki. Usne 0.25% se interest rate barhaya, kuch mahine pehle 0.10% barhane ke baad. Zyada ahmiyat ki baat yeh hai ke bank ne zahir kiya ke agar inflation stable rehti hai to wo aane wale mahino mein rate ko barhate reh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke rate hikes ke baad central bank ne yen ke girne ke bawajood $22 billion se zyada ke foreign exchange interventions kiye.

Lekin, BOJ ko aise economy mein major slowdown ka khatara hai jo already slowdown ke signs dikhati hai. Bank of Japan ke data ne dikhaya ke country ka manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) July mein 50 se gir kar 49.1 par aa gaya. Yeh 49.2 ke median estimate se niche tha. Yeh Japan ke kamzor industrial production data ke do din baad aaya.

**USD/JPY Weekend Forecast**

USD/JPY pair ko gehra girawat ka khatara hai, jaise ke USD/KES pair ko is saal dekhne ko mila. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh girawat mere kuch mahine pehle ke forecast ke mutabiq hai, jahan maine bullish chart pattern ka zikr kiya tha jo December se form ho raha tha. USD/JPY pair 50-week moving average ke neeche gir gaya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi neutral point 50 ke neeche aa gaya hai. Isliye, jo jo pair niche jaane ka mumkin hai jabke sellers key support 145 ko target karte hain. Doosri taraf, agar key resistance 151.91 ke upar movement hoti hai to bearish view invalid ho jayega.

Currency pair filhal ek mushkil halat ka samna kar raha hai jab yeh apne 1.2615 ke level se recent rebound ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke ek multi-day low hai. Asian session ke dauran Friday ko, pair ek tight range mein raha, jo ke 1.2700 ke ahm mark ke thoda niche trade kar raha tha. Yeh price action consolidation ka doran dikhata hai, jahan pair pichle do hafton se ek familiar range mein oscillate kar raha hai.

Central Bank Policies aur Economic Uncertainty GBP aur USD Dynamics ko Impact Kar Rahi Hai:

Bank of England (BoE) ka June mein dovish stance rakhna, August mein potential rate cut ke liye ummeedon ko barha raha hai. Yeh dovish pause British Pound (GBP) ko zyada vulnerable bana raha hai, khaaskar upcoming UK general elections ke uncertainty ke mad e nazar. In elections ka GBP par negative asar ho raha hai, jo currency ko momentum gain karne mein mushkilat de raha hai.

US Dollar (USD) bhi substantial buying interest dhoondhne mein struggle kar raha hai. Yeh mainly Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke recent dovish remarks ki wajah se hai, jahan unhone kaha ke US economy ne inflation ko address karne mein significant strides kiye hain aur disinflationary path par progress kar rahi hai. In comments ne Federal Reserve ke aggressive tightening ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai, jo USD ki strength ko impact kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee ne recently real economy mein potential weaknesses ke baare mein concerns zahir kiye hain. CNBC ke interview mein, Goolsbee ne economic softening ke warning signs ko highlight kiya aur kaha ke Fed ke 2% inflation target tak progress zyada jaldi ho sakti hai jaisa pehle socha gaya tha.

D1 Chart GBP/USD Bearish Territory Ki Taraf Jata Hai Aur Key Support Levels:

Filhal, pair 1.2730 ke level ke aas paas bearish territory ki taraf drift kar raha hai, jo Friday ke Asian session ke shuruat mein DXY ke strengthening se influence hua hai. Agar 1.2706 ke support level ke neeche decisive move hota hai, to pair 1.2650 region ko test kar sakta hai. Aise breakdown se aage ke declines ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Agar Pound aur kamzor hota hai, to yeh pair June 27 ko jo cycle low 1.2611 tha uske neeche gir sakta hai, aur shayad 1.2600 ke level ko test kar sakta hai. Isse pair 200-day moving average (200-DMA) ke kareeb aa jayega, jo 1.2638 ke range ke midpoint ke aas paas hai. Yeh level traders aur analysts ka zyada dhyan attract karne ki ummeed hai.

GBP/USD

Sab ko salaam, GBP/USD currency pair ka technical analysis. Filhal, GBP/USD ka price 1.273 hai aur yeh 4-hour chart par 50-period moving average (MA50) aur 200-period moving average (MA200) dono ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ka izhaar hai ke uptrend kamzor ho raha hai aur short-term decline ki possibility hai.

Support aur resistance levels: Support level lagbhag 1.265 ke aas paas hai, jabke resistance level lagbhag 1.280 ke aas paas hai. Agar support level tod diya jaye, to yeh further decline ka ishara ho sakta hai, jabke agar resistance level tod diya jaye to uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ki possibility hai.

Indicators: RSI neutral zone mein hai, jo ke overbought ya oversold conditions ke clear signs nahi dikhata, magar yeh bhi current downward movement ke continue hone ki possibility ko point karta hai. MACD bearish signals dikh raha hai, histogram negative zone mein hai aur MACD lines zero line ke neeche cross kar rahi hain.

Trading Strategy: Filhal ke situation ko dekhte hue, support level 1.265 ke neeche downward move ki confirmation par short positions kholna consider karna chahiye. Stop loss ko resistance level 1.280 ke upar set karna chahiye taake potential losses se bachav ho sake.

Conclusion: 4-hour chart par technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD market mein downward move ka continue hone ka possibility hai. Price dynamics ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai aur trading karte waqt stop loss ka istemal karna chahiye taake risks ko manage kiya ja sake.

Aur yeh note karna zaroori hai ke kal pound ne achi khaasi girawat dekhi, aur filhal bhi hum ek confident downward movement dekh rahe hain. Aaj bhi girawat hui aur 1.27 ke qareeb pohanchne ki koshish ki, lekin abhi tak yeh sab kuch aik collapse ke baad zyada nahi lag raha. Magar har surat mein, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke hum Americans ke trading hours ke doran kaise perform karte hain, kyunki aaj humein States ke labor market ke data milenge. General taur par, main abhi sideline par hoon aur mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin yeh nahi keh sakte ke hum 1.27 ke neeche na jaayein, aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, to main baad mein buying karne ki koshish karunga.

GBP/USD:
Sb dosto ko salam.
GBP/USD currency pair ka trend abhi bhi neeche move karne ya downward movement ko continue karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se market dominant tor par bearish trend ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Is hafte ke shuruaati trading session mein, price bullish move karke 1.2858 level tak pahunch gayi thi, lekin phir seller ki strong pressure ki wajah se significant tor par drop ho gayi. Abhi price 1.2845 level ke aas paas move kar rahi hai. Mustaqbil mein, is hafte market trend seller ke control mein hai aur yeh andaza lagaya jaa raha hai ke price phir se downward path par move karegi jo ke 1.2800 price level ko target kar sakti hai. Agar downward movement ne target area ko strongly penetrate kar liya, to yeh condition indication ho sakti hai ke seller ke troops market ko phir se dominate karne mein significant influence rakhte hain aur yeh condition mahine ke aakhir tak barqarar reh sakti hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime line abhi bhi level 50 ke neeche comfortable play kar rahi hai jo ke significant bearish price ko indicate kar rahi hai. Yeh dosre sellers ka interest attract kar sakti hai, jo ke sell transactions mein spike ka sabab ban sakti hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position zero level ke neeche drop ho gayi hai jo ke market ko bearish trend mein move karte hue dikha rahi hai, isliye main ek SELL trading order level ki talash mein hoon. Is mahine ke shuruat se trend reference yeh show karta hai ke condition bearish trend mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj subah se, price decrease ho gayi hai jaisa ke hum sab ne dekha ke market trend agle hafte bhi last week ke trend ko follow karte hue bearish continue rehne ki umeed hai.
Umeed hy apka din acha guzray. Good luck

GBP/USD currency pair teen hafte se lagatar neeche ki taraf chal raha hai, aur Friday ko early Asian session mein 1.2730 ke aas-paas trading kar raha hai. Ye musalsal negative trend tab dekhne ko mil raha hai jab USD Index (DXY) kamzor ho gaya hai aur 104.20 ke threshold ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo major currency pair ko kuch support de raha hai.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne haal hi mein inflation ko address karne mein significant progress ka zikar kiya, aur kaha ke disinflationary process wapas track par aa gayi hai. Iske bawajood, Powell ne yeh bhi kaha ke additional positive inflation data zaroori hai pehle interest rate cuts par ghoor karne se. Unhone yeh bhi bataya ke inflation ke risks ab balanced hain, lekin kisi bhi ghaflati kamzori in labor market mein interest rate policies ka dobara tajziya zaroori ho sakta hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

GBP/USD exchange rate ne 1.2710 ke aas-paas ek temporary floor dhoondh liya hai. Sellers ke rate ko neeche drive karne ke attempts ke bawajood, pair ne is level ko breach nahi kiya, jo ke shayad aur lower prices ko test karne ke liye set up kar sakta hai. Agla significant support level 200-day moving average (DMA) par hai jo 1.2647 ke aas-paas hai. Current momentum yeh darshata hai ke sellers abhi bhi near term mein price action ko influence kar rahe hain, jo ke bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai. Lekin, RSI ka 50-neutral line ki taraf approach yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure kam ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar buyers price ko 17 July ke high 1.3041 ke upar push karne mein kamiyab hotay hain, to aage aur faida dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agla key resistance level jo monitor karna hai woh 19 June ka high hai jo 1.2739 par hai, iske baad psychological barrier hai 1.2800. In levels ke upar break karne se ek zyada sustained upward movement ka signal mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair bazar par zyada tar bechne walon ka asar tha, jo ke 1.2865 aur 1.2863 ke darmiyan resistance zone ke neeche price ko dabane mein kamyab rahe. Ye resistance khareedari ke pressure ko rokti rahi, jis se price ka bearish girawat jaari raha. Halankeh neeche ki taraf hone wali harkat kuch zyada nahi thi, lekin bechne walon ka control wazeh tha.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte huye, yeh zahir hai ke bechne walon ne bazar par mazboot qabza rakha. Price musalsal Middle Bollinger Band ke neeche rahi, jo ke 1.2877 aur 1.2875 ke darmiyan hai. Ye bearish candle formation yeh darust karti hai ke bechne wale shayad abhi bhi dominant rahenge, agla ahem target Lower Bollinger Band ka area hoga, jo ke 1.2745 se 1.2743 ke darmiyan hai.
Budh ki Asian market session mein, ek tabdeeli aayi jab khareedne walon ne control banana shuru kiya. Unhoon ne 1.2825 se 1.2852 ke darmiyan dynamic support area ko bachaya, jis ne ek bullish rebound ko mumkin banaya. Khareedne walon ka foran maksad bechne walon ke resistance zone ko 1.2860 se 1.2862 ke darmiyan test karna hai. Agar ye resistance tooti, to price supply resistance area ki taraf barh sakti hai jo ke 1.2905 se 1.2907 ke darmiyan hai. Lekin agar resistance barkarar rahta hai, to price apni bearish lehra ka silsila doobara shuru kar sakti hai, jo khareedne walon ke demand support area se 1.2775 se 1.2773 tak target kar sakti hai.
GBP/USD pair abhi ek range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.3000 psychological level ek key resistance level ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, aur saath mein 161.8% Fibonacci extension ka breach hota hai, toh yeh pair ko July 2023 ke high 1.3141 tak propel kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, April uptrend line ko overcome karna bullish momentum ko reinforce karega aur 261.8% Fibonacci level 1.3260 tak ka rasta khol dega. Downside par, agar 1.2960 support level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh yeh 1.2900 level tak move ko trigger kar sakta hai aur previous resistance area near 1.2850 ko potentially retest kar sakta hai. 20-day aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) aur 2021 downtrend line around 1.2750 crucial support levels represent karte hain. Jab ke GBP/USD pair short to medium term mein positive outlook maintain karta hai, near-term consolidation ki expectation hai recent rapid gains aur overbought conditions ke wajah se. Investors ko BoE ki policy decision aur subsequent commentary ko closely monitor karna chahiye directional cues ke liye.

H4 timeframe reference ke mutabiq, dekha ja sakta hai ke ek trend apne bearish phase ke initial stage mein hai jab decline ne Ma 200 movement limit (blue) ko paar kiya. Lekin, buyers koshish kar rahe hain ke trend ko wapas bullish direction mein le jaya jaye aur current conditions Ma 200 movement limit ko retest kar rahi hain. Yeh increase RSI 30 level ke oversold area ke neeche hone ki wajah se hui. Next trend direction ka faisla nearest resistance area (1.2862) aur support level (1.2706) ki price reaction par depend karta hai. Jab tak price in range mein trade kar rahi hai, aap short-term transactions ko consider kar sakte hain, jaise buy position open karna from the range of 1.2710 ya sell position open karna from the range of 1.2850. Agar price 1.2862 ke level ko break kar leti hai, buying ko focus kar sakte hain bullish phase ke possibility par jo highest price limit in July (1.3042) tak pohanch sakti hai. Nayi sell entry ko reconsider kar sakte hain agar price 1.2706 ke level ke neeche ek naya low form kar leti hai.



Daily TF reference par, main trend se bearish correction movement condition hai jo ab bhi bullish hai. Downward movement RBS area (1.2706) mein rejection condition experience kar rahi hai aur ab Ma 50 (red) movement limit ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current bullish efforts ko nearest supply area (1.2828) par obstacles face karne pad rahe hain. Dollar index ke weakening ke dekhte hue, agle feed mein buyers ke bullish trend direction continue karne ke chances zyada hain. Jab tak price zero area (1.2700) ke neeche nahi girti, purchase considerations ko account mein rakha ja sakta hai. Buy entry plan ko 1.2750-1.2770 range se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level se purchase target resistance area (1.2862) ko test karna hai. Put options ko consider kar sakte hain agar price 1.2700 level ke neeche girti hai, target crucial support area (1.2611) ko test karna hai.