جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair ab positive mood dikha raha hai! M15 chart par linear regression channel ki slope upar ki taraf hai. Yeh market mein strong buyer ki nishani hai jo sellers par pressure daal raha hai aur buying ke mauke create kar raha hai. Is waqt selling ka matlab hoga market trend ke khilaf jana, jo ke significant losses ka sabab ban sakta hai, jabke long positions lena trend ke saath align karta hai. Isliye, stop loss set karna zaroori hai taake agar market trading plan ke khilaf chale, to losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Stop loss ko entry point 1.28549 se zyada nahi set karna chahiye. Mere case mein, main price ke lower part of the channel tak girne ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 1.28549 ke aas-paas hai. Is level ke paas, main buying opportunity dhoondunga aur upper target 1.28867 ko dekhunga. Selling tab expect karni chahiye jab price upper channel boundary ke paas ho. Buying se roknay ka tajwez hai jab tak correction nahi banti.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur M15 channel bhi wahi direction mein hai. Dono channels ki alignment upward movement ki taraf is instrument ko indicate karti hai. Filhal, buying mere liye crucial hai. Main channel ke lower part ke paas, jo ke 1.27926 ke aas-paas hai, entry point consider kar raha hoon. Market shayad 1.28703 tak rise kare, jo channel ki upper boundary hai jahan market resistance expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar market upper channel boundary ke paas zyada waqt guzarta hai, to lower part ki taraf decline hone ka bhi possibility hai. Main downward movements ke dauran selling skip karunga kyunki yeh trend ke khilaf jana hoga, aur agar pullback nahi hoti aur uptrend continue hota hai, to main potential profits miss kar dunga. Isliye, main pullbacks par market entry method use kar raha hoon.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh approach strong player ke sath align karega jo market ko upar push kar raha hai aur resistance levels ko break kar raha hai. Is case mein naye highs tak pohnchne ki potential significantly barh jati hai.

GBP/USD ke baare mein kal, previous daily range ka maximum update karne ke baad, price ne reversal show kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty candle ban gayi jisme thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main apne plans ko is instrument ke liye abhi tak nahi badal raha hoon aur sabse nazdeek resistance level par nazar rakhta hoon, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level tak pohnche gi, do scenarios ban sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur aage growth dikhaaye. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 1.28938 ke resistance level ki taraf move karne ka intezaar karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kare gi, to main aage northward movement ki ummeed karunga, jo ke 1.29956 ke resistance level tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ke formation ka intezaar karunga jo trading ki further direction ko determine karne mein madad kare ga. Haan, zyada door ke northward targets achieve karne ki possibility hai, lekin abhi ke liye main is par focus nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe iska tez realization nazar nahi aa raha.

Agar resistance level 1.28000 ko test karne ke dauran price ne reversal candle banayi aur southward movement resume hui, to yeh alternative scenario hoga. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 1.26568 ya 1.26340 ke support levels tak wapas aane ka intezaar karunga. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals dhoondta rahunga aur upward price movement ki ummeed rakhoonga. General taur par, yeh kehna hai ke abhi ke liye, main assume karta hoon ke ongoing accumulation ek impulsive northward price breakout ke saath khatam hogi aur buyers sabse nazdeek resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, uske baad market situation ko assess karunga.

GBP/USD Asian session ke doran thoda upar gaya. British Euro ke baad lose kar rahe hain. Yeh mainly dollar ke major currencies ke basket ke against recovery ke wajah se hai. Sterling domestic political issues ke wajah se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke shuru hone ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari nazar Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, din ke pehle hissa mein thodi upward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barqarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main is point ke neeche sell karunga targets ke sath 1.2585 aur 1.2535. Agar pair 1.2685 mark ko break kar ke merge karta hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak raasta khulega. In markers ke basis par, main pair ko phir se sell karne ki koshish karunga.

GBP/USD ko dekhte hue, M15 chart ke mutabiq linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke buyers ke efforts ko darshata hai jo 1.26796 ke level tak growth ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan buying ka mauka hai. Lekin, behtar yeh hoga ke H1 ka linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf nazar aaye. Is liye, main ehtiyaat ke saath kharidari karunga. Main 1.26384 ke lower edge se kharidari kar raha hoon. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon jo 1.26384 ke neeche consolidate ho sakti hain; agar aisa hota hai, to main buying band kar dunga. H1 trend ke saath continued sales ka high probability hai. Buyer sirf 1.26796 ka level work out nahi karega, balki is level ke upar apni position ko establish karne ki koshish karega taake trend ko apne favor mein reverse kar sake. Agar yeh successful hota hai, to wo aur buying continue kar sakta hai.

Hourly chart par nazar dalte hue, main dekh raha hoon ke linear regression channel downward direction mein hai, jo M15 se zyada important hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears strong hain, aur M15 chart par jo buying ka signal hai, yeh market mein strong buyer ki maujoodgi ko darshata hai. Price ko sahi jagah par wait karna zaroori hai aur wahan se sell ki talash karni chahiye. Wo jagah jahan se main sales ke liye dekhunga, wo channel ka upper border 1.26796 hai, jahan se mujhe 1.26002 ke lower border tak sell karna hai. Agar target level break hota hai, to aage ke decline ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai, lekin zyada mumkin hai ke correction ke baad upside aayegi, kyunki ek bearish move develop hoga, aur bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.26796 ka level bulls ke dwara break kiya jata hai, to yeh bullish interest ka sign hai, jahan sales profitable nahi rahegi, isliye sales ko cancel karke market situation ka reassessment zaroori hai.

**GBP/USD H-4 Trading Chart**

Hi, Vadim. Kal ki prediction kuch is tarah ki thi. Ab mujhe rollback dekhna pasand aayega, khaaskar kyunke hum ascending channel ke upper trend mein hain. Magar is situation mein, price channel ke saath aage bhi chal sakti hai. Kal main news ke baad selling risk nahi lena chahta tha. Us waqt, is decision ka afsos tha, magar ab iska faida kya? Subah se M15 par bears rollback zone mein aage barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar price 1.2897 ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to hum 1.2860 tak move karne ka soch sakte hain. Phir, ascending channel ki border se rebound ho sakta hai. Agar 1.2844 ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to trend sideways ya downwards ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, priority direct growth hai.

**GBP/USD D1 Trading Chart**

Good morning sabko! Aur ye mushkil hafte ko khatam karna achha hai. GBP/USD pair ko dusre din dekhte hain, jahan kal ke important technological events hue. Kal, humne is broad monthly resistance area ko break kiya, aur last selling area jo ke early March mein tha, usko bhi break kiya. Is situation mein, do scenarios consider kar sakte hain: ek to ye ke monthly resistance area ke upper border tak jayenge, aur doosra, iske niche exit karenge, jaise niche picture mein hai. Yeh meri opinion hai. Aur shayad weekend ke liye prepare karna padega.

**Aaj ka GBP/USD Technical Snapshot**

British Pound (GBP) ka outlook US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein aaj kal ke liye dheere dheere south direction mein dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo GBP ki kamzori ko darshata hai. Ye long-term trend shayad UK aur US ke central bank policies ke behtareen tafreeq ke asar se hai.

### Central Bank Policies

**Bank of England (BOE)**:
- BOE apni refinancing rate ko kam karne ka plan bana rahi hai, jo ke businesses aur individuals ke liye borrowing ke kharch ko kam karega. Iska maqsad UK economy ko stimulate karna hai taake spending aur investment ko barhawa mile. Magar, lower interest rates currency ko kamzor kar deti hain kyunki ye investments ke returns ko kam kar deti hain, jis se GBP foreign investors ke liye kam attractive ho jata hai.

**Federal Reserve System (Fed)**:
- Fed apne interest rate levels ko maintain kar raha hai aur inflation ko control karne par focus kar raha hai. Higher interest rates currency ko mazboot karte hain kyunki ye investments par zyada returns offer karte hain, jis se USD investors ke liye zyada attractive ho jata hai.

### Technical Analysis

**Current Price Levels**:
- Aaj ke din, GBP/USD pair downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke monetary policies ke tafreeq se influenced broader trend ko reflect karta hai. Ye pair key support levels ko test kar raha hai, jo further declines ke potential ko darshata hai.

**Key Support and Resistance**:
- GBP/USD ke liye immediate support 1.2100 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke declines ke dauran ek floor provide karta hai. Agar is support level ke neeche break hota hai, to bearish trend tez ho sakta hai aur pair next significant support level 1.2000 ki taraf move kar sakta hai.
- Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.2250 ke aas-paas dekha gaya hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to ye temporary relief provide kar sakti hai, magar broader trend bearish hi rahega.

**Indicators**:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark ke neeche trend kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Additionally, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish crossover dikha raha hai, jo downward momentum ko aur strengthen karta hai.

### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment abhi GBP/USD ke liye bearish hai, jo ke BOE aur Fed ke anticipated policy divergence se driven hai. UK interest rates ke girne ki expectation aur Fed ke inflation control par focus ke wajah se USD ko support mil raha hai aur GBP kamzor ho raha hai.



### Conclusion

Summarize karte hue, GBP/USD pair bearish pressure ke under hai jo ke central bank policies ke differences se hai. BOE ke rate cuts economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hain magar GBP ko kamzor kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed ka inflation control par focus USD ko support kar raha hai. Key technical levels jo dekhne chahiye wo hain 1.2100 downside par aur 1.2250 upside par. Traders ko in levels ke sath sath central bank communications ko bhi monitor karna chahiye taake ongoing trend ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

**GBP/USD Aaj Ka Technical Snapshot**

GBP/USD aaj kal achi growth dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai. Price ab resistance level 1.2893 ke kareeb aa gayi hai, jahan se pehle sharp fall dekhne ko mila tha. Ye is saal ka maximum level hai. Ab dekhna ye hai ke market US inflation data par kaise react karti hai, jo ke ek ghante se kam waqt mein publish hone wala hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pound dollar se bhi strong reaction ki umeed hai. Agar price positive react karti hai, to main expect karunga ke resistance break ho jayega aur price 1.3000 ke round level ki taraf further grow karegi.

Sabse pehle, main kehna chahta hoon ke maine Powell ki Senate speech ke key points par nazar daali thi, aur do din tak unhone wahi baatein dohraayi. "Monetary policy ko zyada jaldi ease karna nuqsan deh ho sakta hai; rate cut karna tab tak theek nahi jab tak Fed ko inflation ke stable decline mein confidence na ho; Fed ne inflation ko 2% target par lane mein significant progress kiya hai, aur latest monthly figures modest further progress dikhati hain; Fed ko rate cut karne ke liye favorable inflation data ki zaroorat hai."

Is wajah se, rate raise ke bare mein hue questions se GBP/USD price tag ko northward shift nahi mil sakta. Financial world ke bade players crowd ke khilaf khinch rahe hain. Ab zaroori ye hai ke aaj inflation data expected se kam na aaye. Main 1.2660 ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Agar aisa hota hai, to mujhe achi rebound ki umeed hai aur neeche ke debt levels, jo ke pehle chhode gaye the, unka kaam honay ki umeed hai. Relevant targets 1.2700 aur 1.2680 honge.

Maine abhi ke liye pound ko buy karne ka socha nahi hai kyunki price already high level par hai bina kisi significant correction ke aur dollar index support mein hai. Isliye main aaj ke publications ke results ke basis par dollar ke growth ko assume kar raha hoon. Magar ye sirf guesses hain, isliye market ka immediate reaction dekhna zaroori hai. Phir decide karenge ke incomplete correction ke sath kya karna hai. Filhal stagnation ke dauran, maine medium-term scheme ko update karne ka faisla kiya hai. Support level 1.2700 par hai, aur conclusion ye hai ke jab tak price is level se upar hai, medium-term trend northward hai. Conclusion number one hai upward trend, aur conclusion number two hai downward trend jo complete nahi hua.

**GBP/USD Ki Growth Aur Market Reaction**

GBP/USD apni gains ko tez kar raha hai aur July 2023 ke baad se apne sabse uche level 1.2900 se upar trade kar raha hai. US Dollar par bhari selling pressure hai jo softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad barh gaya hai, is se pair ki rally ko fuel mila hai. Core CPI, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, ka monthly basis par 0.2% barhne ki umeed hai. GBP/USD ne Wednesday ko American session mein significant traction hasil kiya aur March ke baad se apni highest daily close record ki. Thursday ko European session mein, pair 1.2850 ke upar positive territory mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

US inflation ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke change se measure kiya jata hai. June ke liye forecast yeh hai ke CPI 3.1% tak gir sakta hai, jab ke May mein yeh 3.3% tha. Agar yeh forecast sahi hota hai, to yeh US Dollar ke liye bearish hoga aur GBP/USD ko support karega. Lekin agar core CPI monthly basis par 0.3% ya zyada barhta hai, to investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke actions par shak kar sakte hain, jo GBP/USD ki upward movement ko affect kar sakta hai.

Current trading pattern ke mutabiq, GBP/USD positive territory mein trade kar raha hai. Pair Thursday ko European session mein 1.2850 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke market mein bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. US Dollar par selling pressure directly GBP/USD ke upward movement ko impact kar raha hai, jo softer-than-expected inflation readings ke wajah se hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ki growth US inflation readings ke influence mein hai. Softer-than-expected CPI data ne US Dollar ko pressure mein daala hai, jo GBP/USD ko support kar raha hai. Investors ko core CPI ke monthly increase par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh future actions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar core CPI forecast ke mutabiq barhta hai, to yeh current bullish trend ko challenge kar sakta hai. Market movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake timely aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

**GBP/USD Ka Doosra Din Ka Ucha Chalang**

GBP/USD ne doosre consecutive din bhi apni growth ko barhaya aur ek mazboot resistance level ko paar karke 2024 ke naye highs 1.2950 ke qareeb establish kiya. Yeh ucha chalang US Dollar ke broad-based decline ke sath coincide hua, jo ke US CPI inflation rate ke 2021 ke baad se lowest point par aane ke bawajood hai. Annual CPI inflation 3.0% par gir gayi hai jo ke May mein 3.3% thi, aur expectations se bhi kam hai jo 3.1% thi. Iske ilawa, CPI inflation ne June mein quarter-over-quarter 0.1% contract kiya, jab ke pichle mahine 0.0% tha aur forecast 0.1% increase ka tha.

Saath hi, US mein initial jobless claims 222,000 tak gir gaye hain, jo ke July 5 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye hain. Yeh pichle hafte ke revised 239,000 se gir gaya hai aur expectations of 236,000 ko surpass karta hai. Unemployment benefits par bhi number 233,500 tak gir gaya hai.

US CPI data release ke sath, ab market ki nazar Friday ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) data par hai. Agar PPI ka reading zyada strong aata hai, jo wholesale inflation ka izhar karega, to interest rate cut ki umeedon ko damp kar sakta hai. Core PPI ka June ke liye 2.5% year-over-year par barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke pehle 2.3% thi, aur yeh businesses ke liye persistent cost pressures ko indicate karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke desired trajectory se clash kar sakta hai.

Agar upward momentum barqarar raha, to GBP/USD pair 1.2816-1.2859 resistance zone ko paar kar sakta hai, jo 2024 ke potential high 1.2892 ki taraf raasta kholta hai. Iske opposite, agar is level ke upar rukawat na ho, to yeh July 2023 ke resistance 1.2994 ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Further downside 1.2708 par April ke resistance aur phir 1.2620-1.2598 area, jo ke June aur March lows ko encompass karta hai, tak support dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aakhir mein, February ka low 1.2517 ek final defensive line ban sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Ka Faida Barh Raha Hai**

GBP/USD ne apni gains ko tez kar diya hai aur July 2023 ke baad se sabse ucha level 1.2900 ke upar trade kar raha hai. US Dollar abhi bhi bohot zyada selling pressure mein hai, jo ke softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad hai aur isne pair ke rally ko fuel kiya hai. Core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, monthly basis par 0.2% barhne ki umeed hai. GBP/USD ne American session mein Wednesday ko achi traction hasil ki aur March ke baad se apni highest daily close ko register kiya. Thursday ko European session mein bhi pair 1.2850 ke upar positive territory mein trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai.

US mein inflation, jo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke change se measure kiya jata hai, ka forecast hai ke June mein 3.1% tak gir jayega jo May mein 3.3% tha. Agar core CPI monthly basis par 0.3% ya zyada barhta hai, to investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke actions par shak kar sakte hain jo GBP/USD ke upward movement ko affect kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ki accelerated gains ne pair ko July 2023 ke baad ke sabse uche level tak push kar diya hai. Yeh upward movement largely US Dollar par heavy selling pressure ke wajah se hui hai jo softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad hai. June ke liye, core CPI ki monthly basis par 0.2% barhne ki umeed hai jo inflation mein stability ko indicate karta hai.

Wednesday ko GBP/USD ne American session mein significant traction hasil ki aur March ke baad se sabse high daily close register kiya. Thursday ko European session mein pair 1.2850 ke upar positive territory mein trade kar raha hai jo market mein bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

US inflation ko CPI ke change se measure kiya jata hai. June ke liye forecast hai ke CPI 3.1% tak gir jayega jo ke May ke 3.3% se kam hai. Agar yeh forecast sahi hota hai, to yeh US Dollar ke liye bearish aur GBP/USD ke liye supportive hoga. Lekin agar core CPI monthly basis par 0.3% ya zyada barhta hai, to investors Fed ke actions par shak kar sakte hain, jo GBP/USD ke upward movement ko affect kar sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ki gains US inflation readings se influence ho rahi hain. Softer-than-expected CPI data ne US Dollar ko pressure mein daala hai, jo GBP/USD ko support kar raha hai. Investors ko core CPI ke monthly increase par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ke future actions ko affect kar sakta hai. Agar core CPI expected level tak barhta hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke current bullish trend ko challenge kar sakta hai. Isliye market movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake timely aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

Main analysis ke mutabiq, mai GBP/USD market main H1 timeframe par enter karne ka soch raha hoon, kyunki pair 1.28747 se rise kar raha hai, jo ke aaj ke liye ek favorable entry point hai. Risk ko effectively manage karna zaroori hai, isliye stop loss order ko 1.2937 par establish karna chahiye. Filhaal price action mein koi change nahi aayi hai aur market low price volatility dikhati hai. Yeh measure potential losses ko cap karne mein madad karega, jabke take profit level ko 1.29117 par set karke profits lock kiye ja sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ke liye 1.28747 level ek strong support point hai jahan se price ke barhne ki umeed hai. Historical data ke mutabiq, yeh level buyers ke liye attractive raha hai, jisne buying pressure ko barhaya aur price ko upward push diya. Entry point ka dhyan se chunav trading success ke liye zaroori hai, aur is scenario mein 1.28747 ek favorable level hai.

Stop loss order ko 1.2937 par place karna ek effective risk management strategy hai. Stop loss order automatically trade ko ek predefined level par close kar deta hai jab price us level ko hit karti hai, jo unexpected market moves aur significant losses se bachata hai. Risk management trading ka ek crucial part hai jo trader ko emotional aur impulsive decisions se door rakhta hai.

Low price volatility yeh indicate karti hai ke market mein significant price swings ka chance kam hai. Low volatility markets mein trading relatively stable hoti hai, lekin potential profits bhi limited ho sakte hain. Market ki current stability ek positive sign hai jo entry aur exit points ko accurately define karne mein madad kar sakti hai.

Take profit level ko 1.29117 par set karna ek strategic decision hai jo trade ko ek predetermined target par automatically close kar deta hai jab price us level ko hit karti hai. Yeh profits ko lock karne mein madad karta hai aur ensure karta hai ke trader ke estimated potential profits realize ho jayein. Profits ko lock karna trading discipline aur consistency ko maintain karta hai.

Key levels ko identify karna aur risk management tools ka use karna is trading strategy mein bohot important hai. Entry point ka carefully choose karna, aur stop loss aur take profit levels ko accurately define karna trading success ke liye essential hai. Market ki current condition aur volatility ko samajhna bhi decision-making process ko influence karta hai.

Ek disciplined approach aur proper risk management successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Trading strategy ko market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna aur key levels ko monitor karna trading performance ko improve karta hai. Risk aur reward ka balance banana aur trading plan ko follow karna trading success ke liye crucial hai.

**[Image for reference: Screenshot_20240712-055812_2.jpg]**

**GBP/USD, D1 Analysis**

Sab ko achi mood! Aaj market ki situation ko dekhte hain. Daily chart par linear regression channel ka upward slope dikhayi de raha hai, jo buyers ki activity ka achha indicator hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke market 1.26432 ke level ke upar hold kar rahi hai, jo growth potential ko dikhata hai. Technical analysis dekhte hue, humare paas ek interesting situation hai. Channel ke lower edge se buy entry point dhoondhne ka mauka milta hai, jahan se hum channel ke top, yani 1.26710 tak pahunchnay ki umeed kar sakte hain. Lekin, yeh dhyan mein rakhna chahiye ke target achieve karne ke baad upward activity kam ho sakti hai, aur market movement mein slowdown dikhayi de sakta hai. Yeh isliye hota hai kyunki volatility D1 chart par pehchani gayi hai aur pullback hone ke chances hain.

Agar aap sales enter karne ka plan kar rahe hain, to yeh mumkin hai, lekin isme great confidence zaroori hai, aur stop loss ka installation bhi hona chahiye. Samajhna zaroori hai ke current upward trend ke against sales enter karna risky ho sakta hai. Lekin, ek behtar option yeh ho sakta hai ke correction ke liye lower edge of the channel ka intezar kiya jaye, phir potential sales consider ki jayein. Correction ke baad, purchases ka consider karna bhi worth hai. Long positions ki zyada potential ho sakti hai compared to short positions, trend ke hisaab se.

Daily chart par linear regression ke dynamics complex nazar aa rahe hain. Ek taraf, channel ka direction downside dikhata hai, jo pullback ko suggest karta hai. Lekin buyers ki perseverance aur strength bhi dikhayi de rahi hai. Market 1.26665 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo is channel ki upper border hai. Dono channels ke readings ke base par, yeh conclusion nikalna natural hai ke bulls ne initiative liya hai. D1 chart par, hum expect kar sakte hain ke uptrend 1.27148 level tak develop ho sakta hai. Yeh level bulls ke liye kuch challenges create kar sakta hai, jahan market slow down aur correct ho sakta hai. Agar upper border of the D1 channel aur 1.27148 level reach hota hai, to profits lene ka option consider karna chahiye. Agar 1.27148 break hota hai, to yeh growth ka catalyst ban sakta hai aur trend ko change kar sakta hai, isliye buying activity ko priority di jani chahiye. Lekin, agar market 1.26665 ke neeche wapas aati hai, to sellers ka influence barh jayega aur unki superiority confirm hogi.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2917 ke mark ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Pichle kuch dinon se, yeh pair dheere-dheere gir raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye chinta ka sabab bana hua hai. Halankeh is gradual downward movement ke bawajood, kuch indicators aur factors hain jo agle dinon mein GBP/USD pair ke significant movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain.

**Current Market Conditions and Analysis**

GBP/USD mein bearish trend ka sabab economic factors, market sentiment, aur geopolitical events ka combination hai. UK economy Brexit uncertainties, inflation concerns, aur fluctuating economic data jese challenges se guzar rahi hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar relatively stronger hai Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance aur overall economic resilience ki wajah se.

**UK Economic Outlook**

UK ki economic outlook GBP/USD ki performance mein crucial role ada karti hai. Recent data points, jaise GDP growth, inflation rates, aur employment figures, mixed results dikhate hain. Jabke kuch sectors recovery ke signs de rahe hain, kuch ab bhi struggle kar rahe hain. Bank of England ki policy decisions, khaaskar interest rates aur quantitative easing ke hawale se, market participants ke nazar mein hain. Policy tightening ya loosening ke indications currency pair mein substantial movements laa sakte hain.

**US Economic Factors**

US mein, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy USD ke strength ka significant driver hai. Fed ke interest rates ke decisions aur inflation aur employment management ke approach critical hain. Hal hi mein, Fed ne zyada hawkish stance adopt kiya hai, rising inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rate hikes ki hints di hain. Yeh USD ko support provide karta hai, jo GBP/USD par pressure daal raha hai.

**Geopolitical Events and Sentiment**

Geopolitical events aur market sentiment forex market mein crucial role play karte hain. Trade negotiations, political developments, aur global economic conditions sudden aur significant movements ko lead kar sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, Brexit negotiations ya UK aur dusre countries ke beech trade deals ke naye developments GBP/USD mein volatility ko increase kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis**

Technical analysis ke perspective se, GBP/USD bearish signals exhibit kar raha hai. Key technical indicators, jaise moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels further downside potential ko suggest karte hain. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, khaaskar, downward crossover dikhate hain, jo ke "death cross" ke naam se jana jata hai, aur yeh bearish signal hai.

Support aur resistance levels bhi critical hain. 1.2900 level ek significant support level hai, aur isse neeche break hona further declines ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Conversely, agar pair is level ke upar hold kar sakta hai aur key resistance levels ko break kar sakta hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

**Potential Triggers for Big Movement**

Agle dinon mein GBP/USD mein significant movement ke liye kuch potential triggers hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Upcoming economic data releases, jaise UK GDP figures, inflation data, aur employment reports, UK ki economic health ke naye insights de sakte hain aur currency pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain.

2. **Central Bank Decisions**: Bank of England ya Federal Reserve ke unexpected policy decisions ya statements significant market reactions ko lead kar sakte hain. Traders kisi bhi monetary policy changes ke hints ko closely monitor karenge.

3. **Geopolitical Developments**: Brexit, trade negotiations, ya dusre geopolitical events ke developments market sentiment mein sudden shifts ko cause kar sakte hain aur GBP/USD mein increased volatility laa sakte hain.

4. **Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite**: Global market sentiment aur risk appetite mein changes bhi GBP/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, risk aversion ki taraf shift USD ko safe-haven currency ke taur par strengthen kar sakti hai, jo GBP/USD par pressure daal sakta hai.

**Conclusion**

In conclusion, jabke current trend GBP/USD ke liye bearish hai, agle dinon mein significant movement ka potential nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Economic data, central bank decisions, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment ka combination pair ke direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karega. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, proper risk management aur well-thought-out trading strategy forex market ki inherent volatility ko navigate karne mein essential hai.

GBP/USD ne do din ke liye lagatar surging ki hai, aur 1.2950 ke qareeb naye 2024 ke highs establish kiye hain. Yeh udaan broad-based dollar decline ke sath hui, jo ke US CPI inflation rate ke 2021 ke sabse kam point tak slow hone ke bawajood hai. Annual CPI inflation 3.3% se 3.0% tak slow ho gayi hai, jo ke 3.1% ke expectations se kam hai. Is ke ilawa, June mein CPI inflation 0.1% quarter-over-quarter contracted hui hai, jabke pehle ke mahine mein 0.0% thi aur forecast 0.1% increase ka tha. Saath hi, initial jobless claims US mein July 5 ko khatam hone wale hafte mein 222,000 tak gir gayi hai, jo ke pehle ke haftay ke revised 239,000 se kam hai aur 236,000 ke expectations se zyada hai. Unemployment benefits par logon ki tadaad bhi 233,500 tak kam hui hai.

US CPI data release ke sath, market ka focus ab Friday ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) data par shift ho gaya hai. Agar PPI reading umeed se zyada strong hoti hai, jo wholesale inflation mein izafa dikhati hai, to interest rate cut ki ummeed par asar ho sakta hai. Core PPI ki projection hai ke June mein 2.5% year-over-year tak pohnch jayegi, jo pehle ke 2.3% se zyada hai, yeh businesses ke liye persistent cost pressures ko dikhata hai aur Federal Reserve ke desired trajectory se clash kar sakta hai. Agar upward momentum continue hota hai, to GBP/USD pair 1.2816-1.2859 ke resistance zone ko surpass kar sakta hai, jo ke 2024 ke potential high 1.2892 ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai. Agar yeh level ke upar hold nahi kar pata, to July 2023 ke resistance 1.2994 ki taraf retreat ho sakta hai. Further downside support April resistance 1.2708 par mil sakta hai, uske baad June aur March ke lows ko cover karte hue 1.2620-1.2598 area mein bhi support mil sakta hai. Aakhir mein, February ka low 1.2517 final defensive line ke taur par serve kar sakta hai.

Brace ne kafi zyada volatility ka samna kiya, khaaskar North American session ke doran, jab yeh US Dollar ke against critical 1.2900 mark ke neeche gir gaya. Yeh movement Bank of England ke faislay ke baad aayi, jo ke apni current interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kiya hai lekin agle mahino mein rate cut ka ishara bhi diya hai. Is waqt, brace 1.2911 par trading kar raha hai, jo ke 0.39% ka modest izafa dikhata hai.

**Diverging Paths: BoE Hints at Rate Cut, Fed Conservative**

Rate cut ki umeed tab barh gayi jab BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne is baat ka izhar kiya ke inflation ko 2% ke target par wapas lana umeed hai. Yeh development Pound par negative asar dal rahi hai, jab ke traders UK election ke agle mahine se pehle implicit policy shifts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is dauran, US Dollar ko bhi apni challenges ka samna karna par raha hai, jo ke recent earnings par qadam nahi rakh pa raha aur Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cuts shuru karne ke prospects ke sath mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve policymakers ne is baat ka ishara diya hai ke agar inflation agle mahino mein dheere dheere kam hota raha, to woh interest rates ko kam karne ke liye tayyar hain. Fed ka yeh conservative approach BoE ke current stance se mukhtalif hai, jo GBP/USD dynamics ko aur complex bana raha hai.

**H1 Chart Technical Breakdown and Support Situations**

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, brace ne apne recent trading channel ke neeche significant breakdown dikhaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein ek possible shift ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, breakout ke baad substantial downcast initiation ki kami se traders ko bearish bias assume karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Khaaskar, 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.2816 ke qareeb hai, ek potential support position ko indicate karta hai jo ke purane upward bias ki taraf wapas ja sakti hai, jo ke around 1.3000 ko target kar sakta hai.

Agar 1.2850 ke support level ke neeche breach hota hai, to short-term bearish outlook ke liye case mazid mazboot ho jayega. Aise mein, initial targets 1.2800 tak extend ho sakte hain, jo ke channel ke neeche girne ki magnitude ko reflect karega.

**GBP/USD Pair Review**

Recent trading mein GBP/USD ka exchange rate, jo ke pound sterling aur US dollar ke darmiyan hai, ek bar phir se ek major technical barrier ke sath takra gaya aur Jerome Powell ki interest rates ko kam karne ke mumkinah tareeqe par sanjeeda tajaweez ki wajah se phail gaya. Pound sterling ke liye rebound ki koshishen 1.2870 ke resistance level tak pohnch gayi, jo ke analysis likhne ke waqt stable tha aur US inflation numbers ke announcement se pehle ke halat ko darshata hai. Is waqt tak, GBP/USD ne chaar mahine ke highest level ko touch kiya hai.

Is hafte Jerome Powell ne US lawmakers se baat ki aur yeh clear nahi kiya ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko kam karne ke liye tayyar hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, "Powell ka Congress ke saamne pehla bayan kuch bhi naya nahi tha aur Fed ab bhi 'aur acchi data' ke intezar mein hai jo inflation ko target par wapas laane mein madadgar ho."

General taur par, Fed Chairman ka sanjeeda paigham US dollar ko faida pohnchata hai, aur GBP/USD phir se 1.28 ke niche gir gaya. Charts dekhne se pata chalta hai ke yeh pullback kuch technical resistance ke sath bhi coincide karta hai.

Halankeh kai signals GBP/USD ke liye near-term mein further upside ka ishara dete hain, lekin 1.2820 ke qareeb koi stability nahi lagti. Yeh pair aam tor par in levels ke upar rehta nahi, jo market mein kai logon ko GBP/USD ki upside exposure ko kam karne ka mauka deta hai.

Giraawat zaroori nahi ke lambay arse tak chale, aur aur ek crack bhi ho sakti hai. Hamari tajaweez Powell ke testimony ke baad GBP/USD ke liye zyada positive thi, kyunki Powell ne September mein rate cut ki tayyari ka ishara diya. Powell ne kaha ke US Federal Reserve ab labor market par dhyan de raha hai, jahan high interest rates unnecessary job losses ka sabab ban sakti hain.

"Inflation ko kam karne aur labor market ko thanda karne mein aaj tak kiye gaye progress ke madde nazar, high inflation sirf ek risk nahi hai," Powell ne Senate hearing ke shuruati bayan mein kaha. "Agar policy restrictions ko der se ya kam karna hai, to yeh economic activity aur employment ko unjustifiably dampen kar sakta hai."

US Federal Reserve ka dual mandate hai stable inflation aur optimal employment ko maintain karna. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar inflation target par nahi aata, to interest rates ko kam karna mumkin hai lekin iske liye labor force ko bhi dekhna hoga. Ian Shepherdson, Capital Economics ke currency analysis department ka kehna hai: "Powell kuch zyada cautious lag rahe hain aur market ki umeed se zyada pessimistic tone mein hain."

Karl Schamotta, Corpay ke chief market analyst ka kehna hai: "Jerome Powell ne September mein interest rate cut ko announce nahi kiya aur apne purane stance ko hi barqarar rakha." Kyle Chapman, Ballinger Group ke foreign exchange analyst kehtay hain ke Powell ne Senate testimony mein "overly cautious" banaya aur market expectations ko disappoint kiya hai.

**British Pound ke liye Aaj ke Expectations:**

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ki price 1.3000 ke psychological resistance ke qareeb hai. 1.2870 ke resistance ke around stability isko support karti hai, lekin pound dollar ko uthane ke liye kuch momentum ki zaroorat hai. Yeh momentum US inflation numbers se mil sakta hai jo Fed policy tightening ki umeed ko kam kar sakta hai. Agar US inflation numbers expectations se strong hue to sterling dollar negatively affected ho sakta hai.