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EUR/USD ka Bearish Trend – Aik Tajziya
Bazaar ki Halat aur Range-bound Market


Pichlay haftay main ne EUR/USD ka bearish trend observe kiya, jisme price action bohot volatile raha. Market range-bound nazar aayi, jahan aik sell signal aaya magar wo materialize nahi hua. Yeh failure market sentiment ke sudden shift ki wajah se ho sakta hai.
Buy Signal aur False Breakout


Ek buy signal session ke aghaz mein aya, jo mujhe reversal lag raha tha, magar yeh bhi sustain nahi kar saka. Yeh baat bearish pressure ki dominance ko reinforce karti hai.
Sell Signal aur Partial Target


Baad mein ek sell signal aaya, jo thora kamiyab raha kyunki price target ka aadha safar tay kar saka. Yeh bullish defenses ke weak hone ka indication tha.
Bull Trap aur Resistance Level ka Todna


Mein ne buy signal dekha jab price 1.04395 resistance level ke upar gaya, magar yeh ek bull trap sabit hua kyunki price foran reverse kar gaya. Jab price dobara 1.04395 ke neeche close hua, tou yeh sell signal confirm ho gaya, jo overall downtrend ke saath align tha.
Support Levels aur Fibonacci Analysis


Price 1.03502 support level ki taraf gaya, jo ek significant technical zone hai. Mein ne 200-day moving average (MA) ka test bhi dekha, jahan sellers baar baar active ho rahe hain magar bears ab tak ise decisively break nahi kar sake.

Mein 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko critical target dekh raha hoon. Agar price apni recent highs hold karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh downward pressure ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum tez hota hai, tou price 61.8% Fibonacci support tak gir sakta hai.
Rebound aur Future Expectations


Agar price 50% Fibonacci level se rebound karta hai, tou short-term bullish bounce ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 61.8% tak jata hai, tou yeh ek strong support zone ban sakta hai, jahan bullish reversal ka chance barh jata hai.
Cautiously Bullish Outlook aur Next Moves


Mein cautiously bullish hoon agar 61.8% Fibonacci level defend hota hai ya wahan se bounce aata hai. Magar macroeconomic factors ka asar bhi price movement par hoga. 200-day MA aur Fibonacci levels ka monitoring zaroori hai taake next directional move ka andaaza lagaya ja sake.
Key Levels Jo Monitor Karne Hain

• 1.03502: Agar price is level ke neeche close hota hai, tou aur zyada downside ka chance hai.
• 1.02670: Agla target jo bearish momentum mein test ho sakta hai.
• 200-Day MA: Yeh ek crucial resistance hai jo market structure ko define karega.
• 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci: Yeh dono important technical levels hain jo price ki future direction ka taayun karenge.

Mein confirmation ke bina premature entries lene se bachunga, kyunki market abhi bhi kaafi choppy hai.

EUR/USD ka Bearish Trend – Aik Tajziya Bazaar ki Halat aur Range-bound Market


Pichlay haftay main ne EUR/USD ka bearish trend observe kiya, jisme price action bohot volatile raha. Market range-bound nazar aayi, jahan aik sell signal aaya magar wo materialize nahi hua. Yeh failure market sentiment ke sudden shift ki wajah se ho sakta hai.
Buy Signal aur False Breakout


Ek buy signal session ke aghaz mein aya, jo mujhe reversal lag raha tha, magar yeh bhi sustain nahi kar saka. Yeh baat bearish pressure ki dominance ko reinforce karti hai.
Sell Signal aur Partial Target


Baad mein ek sell signal aaya, jo thora kamiyab raha kyunki price target ka aadha safar tay kar saka. Yeh bullish defenses ke weak hone ka indication tha.
Bull Trap aur Resistance Level ka Todna


Mein ne buy signal dekha jab price 1.04395 resistance level ke upar gaya, magar yeh ek bull trap sabit hua kyunki price foran reverse kar gaya. Jab price dobara 1.04395 ke neeche close hua, tou yeh sell signal confirm ho gaya, jo overall downtrend ke saath align tha.
Support Levels aur Fibonacci Analysis


Price 1.03502 support level ki taraf gaya, jo ek significant technical zone hai. Mein ne 200-day moving average (MA) ka test bhi dekha, jahan sellers baar baar active ho rahe hain magar bears ab tak ise decisively break nahi kar sake.

Mein 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko critical target dekh raha hoon. Agar price apni recent highs hold karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh downward pressure ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum tez hota hai, tou price 61.8% Fibonacci support tak gir sakta hai.
Rebound aur Future Expectations


Agar price 50% Fibonacci level se rebound karta hai, tou short-term bullish bounce ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 61.8% tak jata hai, tou yeh ek strong support zone ban sakta hai, jahan bullish reversal ka chance barh jata hai.
Cautiously Bullish Outlook aur Next Moves


Mein cautiously bullish hoon agar 61.8% Fibonacci level defend hota hai ya wahan se bounce aata hai. Magar macroeconomic factors ka asar bhi price movement par hoga. 200-day MA aur Fibonacci levels ka monitoring zaroori hai taake next directional move ka andaaza lagaya ja sake.
Key Levels Jo Monitor Karne Hain
1.03502: Agar price is level ke neeche close hota hai, tou aur zyada downside ka chance hai.
1.02670: Agla target jo bearish momentum mein test ho sakta hai.
200-Day MA: Yeh ek crucial resistance hai jo market structure ko define karega.
50% & 61.8% Fibonacci: Yeh dono important technical levels hain jo price ki future direction ka taayun karenge.

Mein confirmation ke bina premature entries lene se bachunga, kyunki market abhi bhi kaafi choppy hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD – Bearish Pressure Persists as USD Strengthens Amid Global Growth Concerns

The EUR/USD pair has dropped back near 1.0400 in the European session on Thursday, with the US Dollar (USD) gaining ground due to renewed concerns about global economic growth. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD against a basket of six major currencies, has extended its recovery to around 108.40, rebounding from the two-week low of 107.75 posted on Wednesday.
The recent strengthening of the USD comes as market sentiment shifts toward caution, with investors closely monitoring the potential consequences of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The uncertainty surrounding global trade and economic stability has prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets, including the USD, leading to a decline in risk-sensitive currencies like the euro (EUR).

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Fundamental Analysis: Trump’s Tariffs & ECB’s Response

1. Trump’s Tariff Strategy and Economic Concerns
President Donald Trump has announced tariff hikes that will take effect on February 1, 2025:

• 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico
• 10% tariffs on China
• Proposed tariffs on European imports, which he justified by accusing the European Union (EU) of unfair trade practices

These measures are expected to disrupt global trade flows, impact export-driven economies like the Eurozone, and potentially slow down economic growth worldwide.
Unlike his previous term, Trump’s new tariff approach appears to be more gradual, leading some analysts to believe that its impact may not be as severe as initially feared. However, the market remains cautious, as trade wars typically lead to inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions, which could affect the US and global economies.
2. ECB President Lagarde’s Warning on Trade War Risks
In response to Trump’s trade policy, ECB President Christine Lagarde expressed concerns about the potential economic fallout and urged European policymakers to be prepared.
In an interview with CNBC, Lagarde remarked that Trump’s decision to impose selective and focused tariffs was a "smart approach" rather than blanket levies, which often do not yield expected results. However, she warned that Europe must anticipate the potential economic consequences and prepare an appropriate response.
This suggests that the ECB may be considering stimulus measures or other monetary policy actions if Trump’s tariffs start affecting European exports and economic performance.

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Upcoming Catalysts: Fed & ECB Policy Decisions

Both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are set to announce their first monetary policy decisions of 2025 next week.
1. Federal Reserve (Fed) Outlook

• The US economy has remained relatively resilient, with solid labor market data and higher-than-expected inflation readings, which may prompt the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance.
• Although some market participants were expecting rate cuts in early 2025, the strong USD and inflation risks could delay any dovish pivot by the Fed.
• If the Fed maintains its current stance or signals fewer rate cuts, the USD will likely remain strong, putting further downside pressure on EUR/USD.

2. European Central Bank (ECB) Outlook

• The ECB faces a more challenging economic landscape, with sluggish growth, weaker inflation, and rising concerns about the impact of Trump’s tariffs.
• If Lagarde signals a more dovish stance or hints at potential rate cuts in 2025, the euro could decline further, exacerbating the bearish outlook for EUR/USD.
• On the other hand, if the ECB signals proactive measures to counter trade risks, the euro might stabilize, but overall sentiment remains fragile.

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Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Key Levels & Market Sentiment

1. EUR/USD Price Action & Support Levels

• The EUR/USD pair is trading near 1.0400, which is a key psychological support level.
• A break below 1.0400 could lead to a further decline toward 1.0350 and then 1.0300, the lowest level seen in November 2023.
• If the pair rebounds from this level, it may face immediate resistance near 1.0450, followed by 1.0500, where selling pressure could intensify.

2. Technical Indicators Suggest Bearish Outlook

• Moving Averages: The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are trending downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently below 40, indicating that the pair is approaching oversold conditions, but there is still room for further decline.
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The 38.2% retracement level at 1.0450 serves as an intermediate resistance, while the 61.8% retracement at 1.0350 could act as a support level.

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Market Sentiment & Trading Strategy

1. Bearish Sentiment Prevails

• The combination of a strong USD, Trump’s tariff concerns, and ECB uncertainty is likely to keep EUR/USD under pressure.
• Unless there is a shift in monetary policy expectations or a resolution to trade tensions, the downward trajectory could continue.

2. Trading Strategy for EUR/USD

• Short Position:
  • Entry: Below 1.0400
  • Target: 1.0350 and 1.0300
  • Stop-loss: Above 1.0450
• Long Position (If Price Stabilizes Above 1.0400)
  • Entry: Above 1.0425
  • Target: 1.0480 – 1.0500
  • Stop-loss: Below 1.0380

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Conclusion: EUR/USD Likely to Remain Bearish

The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure, with the USD gaining strength due to Trump’s tariff policies, a cautious market sentiment, and uncertainty ahead of the Fed and ECB policy meetings.
As long as the Fed maintains a hawkish stance and trade tensions persist, the downside for EUR/USD is expected to continue. Traders should watch key levels near 1.0400, as a break below this support could accelerate losses toward 1.0350 and 1.0300.
Market participants should also keep an eye on ECB comments, US economic data, and any further trade developments, as they will be critical in determining the next major move for the pair.

فروری 3 2025 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

فروری کا آغاز ہنگامہ خیز تھا۔ یکم کو، امریکی صدر ٹرمپ نے توانائی کی مصنوعات کو چھوڑ کر چین سے آنے والی اشیا پر 10% اور میکسیکو اور کینیڈا کی اشیا پر 25% ٹیرف لگا دیا۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، بازار ایک مہذب فرق کے ساتھ کھلے.



ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، یورو اترتے ہوئے فیروزی قیمت چینل کی سرایت شدہ لائن تک پہنچ گیا۔ جبکہ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء ٹرمپ کے فیصلے کے مضمرات کا جائزہ لیتے ہیں، یورو اس خلا کو ختم کر سکتا ہے جو قائم ہوا ہے۔ ایک بار جب خلا بند ہو جائے گا، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یورو 1.0135 کی سپورٹ لیول کی طرف اور ممکنہ طور پر 0.9988–1.0030 کی حد میں اپنی کمی کو جاری رکھے گا۔ اسٹریٹجک ہدف 0.9885 ہے، جو ریڈ پرائس چینل کی ایمبیڈڈ لائن کے ساتھ سیدھ میں ہے۔

تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے، قیمت کی اصلاح مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن سے متاثر ہو سکتی ہے جو 18 دسمبر اور 10 جنوری کی نچلی سطح سے نشان زد سپورٹ لیول سے الٹ جاتی ہے (چیک مارکس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے)۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسکیلیٹر کے ترقی کے علاقے کی حد سے دو بار الٹ جانے کے بعد، آسیلیٹر اور قیمت دونوں میں کمی واقع ہوئی (تیر سے نشان زد)۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر اب اوور سیلڈ زون میں داخل ہو گیا ہے۔ آسیلیٹر کی صفر لائن پر واپسی کا امکان ہے (جیسا کہ یومیہ چارٹ پر دکھایا گیا ہے)، جو قیمت کے ساتھ ساتھ فرق کو ختم کرنے کے ساتھ، مزید کمی کا باعث بنے گا۔ جمعہ کو امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار جاری ہونے سے پہلے اس تحریک کے لیے کافی وقت ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USDX
Assalam Alaikum! Is bar, US dollar index ne durust simt me ishara kiya hai. Yaumiyah chart par, girte hue hajam ko ulat jana chahiye tha, aur aaj unhone aisa hi kiya, jiski tawaqqo thi. Lehaza maine abhi tak kharidari nahin ki hai. Mai badi currencies me girawat ka intezar kar raha hun. Ab mujhe lagta hai keh niche ki taraf durustagi khatam ho chuki hai aur euro/dollar ka joda 1.03565 aur 1.02100 ki satahon se munsalik hadd me mazbut hona shuru ho jayega. Lekin filhala, mai long positions ki jaldi nahin karunga.
Yaumiyah aur 4-ghante ke chart par, US dollar index 109.38 ki haftawar muzahmati satah se ooper badh gaya hai, jiska matlab yah ho sakta hai keh ab bulls qimat ko 110.15 ki mahana buland satah ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Buniyadi taur par, yah faide ko reverse karne aur badhane ki koshish ko zahir karta hai. Mujhe yaqin hai keh kharidar itni aasani se haar nahin manenge, khas taur par chunkeh yaurmiyan aur 4-ghante ke chart dono par takniki tajziyah mumkena rally ka ishara de raha hai. Aam taur par, hamein suratehal ke wazeh hone ka intezar karna padega.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ke jode me H4 chart par chadhte hue channel ko todte hue ek aham farq ke sath din ka aaghaz kiya hai. MACD indicator manfi ilaqe me tair raha hai, jo musalsal niche ke rujhan ka ishara kar raha hai, jabkeh MA indicator niche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.
Is surat me, is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh farokht ka dawab barqarar rahega, aur euro mumkena taur par 1.0145 ki satah par pahunch jayega. Agar qimat, is satah ko tod deti hai to, 1.0003 ke nishan ka rasta khul jayega. Mutabadil taur par, euro/dollar ka joda tezi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par 1.0279 ki satah ya us se bhi ooper tak badh sakti hai. Kisi bhi surat me, mandi ka rujhan barqarar rahega.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USDX
Assalam Alaikum! Is bar, US dollar index ne durust simt me ishara kiya hai. Yaumiyah chart par, girte hue hajam ko ulat jana chahiye tha, aur aaj unhone aisa hi kiya, jiski tawaqqo thi. Lehaza maine abhi tak kharidari nahin ki hai. Mai badi currencies me girawat ka intezar kar raha hun. Ab mujhe lagta hai keh niche ki taraf durustagi khatam ho chuki hai aur euro/dollar ka joda 1.03565 aur 1.02100 ki satahon se munsalik hadd me mazbut hona shuru ho jayega. Lekin filhala, mai long positions ki jaldi nahin karunga.
Yaumiyah aur 4-ghante ke chart par, US dollar index 109.38 ki haftawar muzahmati satah se ooper badh gaya hai, jiska matlab yah ho sakta hai keh ab bulls qimat ko 110.15 ki mahana buland satah ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Buniyadi taur par, yah faide ko reverse karne aur badhane ki koshish ko zahir karta hai. Mujhe yaqin hai keh kharidar itni aasani se haar nahin manenge, khas taur par chunkeh yaurmiyan aur 4-ghante ke chart dono par takniki tajziyah mumkena rally ka ishara de raha hai. Aam taur par, hamein suratehal ke wazeh hone ka intezar karna padega.

EUR/USD ka Bearish Trend – Aik Tajziya Bazaar ki Halat aur Range-bound Market


Pichlay haftay main ne EUR/USD ka bearish trend observe kiya, jisme price action bohot volatile raha. Market range-bound nazar aayi, jahan aik sell signal aaya magar wo materialize nahi hua. Yeh failure market sentiment ke sudden shift ki wajah se ho sakta hai.
Buy Signal aur False Breakout


Ek buy signal session ke aghaz mein aya, jo mujhe reversal lag raha tha, magar yeh bhi sustain nahi kar saka. Yeh baat bearish pressure ki dominance ko reinforce karti hai.
Sell Signal aur Partial Target


Baad mein ek sell signal aaya, jo thora kamiyab raha kyunki price target ka aadha safar tay kar saka. Yeh bullish defenses ke weak hone ka indication tha.
Bull Trap aur Resistance Level ka Todna


Mein ne buy signal dekha jab price 1.04395 resistance level ke upar gaya, magar yeh ek bull trap sabit hua kyunki price foran reverse kar gaya. Jab price dobara 1.04395 ke neeche close hua, tou yeh sell signal confirm ho gaya, jo overall downtrend ke saath align tha.
Support Levels aur Fibonacci Analysis


Price 1.03502 support level ki taraf gaya, jo ek significant technical zone hai. Mein ne 200-day moving average (MA) ka test bhi dekha, jahan sellers baar baar active ho rahe hain magar bears ab tak ise decisively break nahi kar sake.

Mein 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko critical target dekh raha hoon. Agar price apni recent highs hold karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh downward pressure ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum tez hota hai, tou price 61.8% Fibonacci support tak gir sakta hai.
Rebound aur Future Expectations


Agar price 50% Fibonacci level se rebound karta hai, tou short-term bullish bounce ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 61.8% tak jata hai, tou yeh ek strong support zone ban sakta hai, jahan bullish reversal ka chance barh jata hai.
Cautiously Bullish Outlook aur Next Moves


Mein cautiously bullish hoon agar 61.8% Fibonacci level defend hota hai ya wahan se bounce aata hai. Magar macroeconomic factors ka asar bhi price movement par hoga. 200-day MA aur Fibonacci levels ka monitoring zaroori hai taake next directional move ka andaaza lagaya ja sake.
Key Levels Jo Monitor Karne Hain
1.03502: Agar price is level ke neeche close hota hai, tou aur zyada downside ka chance hai.
1.02670: Agla target jo bearish momentum mein test ho sakta hai.
200-Day MA: Yeh ek crucial resistance hai jo market structure ko define karega.
50% & 61.8% Fibonacci: Yeh dono important technical levels hain jo price ki future direction ka taayun karenge.

Mein confirmation ke bina premature entries

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda numaya kami ke sath khula. 1.0220-1.0180 ke ilaqe me mazbut support maujud hai, lekin yah wazeh nahin hai keh aaya yah qimat me mazid nuqsanat ko tokne ke qabil hoga ya nahin. Ab hamein is bat ka andazah lagane ke liye European session ke aaghaz ka intezar karna hoga keh kya bulls is farq ko khatam kar sakte hain. Aaj, isme shamil mumalik aage ki karwai ke sath-sath mukhtalif itraf se mukhtalif tabsrer aham kardar ada karenge.
Aakhir me, America ko bahut se mumalik ke sath mutasadim hone ka khatrah lahaq hai, jo unke liye masael ka bayas ban sakta hai. Der-saber, yah mumkena taur par Americi dollar ki kamzori ka bayas banega, lekin aisa hone me kuch waqt lag sakta hai.

EUR/USD Price Activity


EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko apni trading ka aaghaz ek bearish gap ke saath kiya, jo market ki uncertainty ya weekend developments ka nateeja lagta hai. Filhaal price critical support zone 1.0240–1.0250 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jo pehle bhi strong reversal zone raha hai. Ye gap fill hona baaqi hai, aur forex markets mein gaps ka aksar fill hona aam baat hai, is liye 1.0300–1.0350 ka target zone bull traders ke liye ek achi opportunity lagta hai. Ye zone na sirf previous swing highs ke kareeb hai, balki 200-period moving average ke sath bhi align karta hai, jo technically ek strong resistance hai. Stochastic oscillator chart par oversold conditions show kar raha hai, jo bullish recovery ki umeed ko mazboot banata hai. Agar price 1.0300 ke upar close kar leta hai, to gap fill ke sath bullish momentum barhne ka bhi imkan hai, jo price ko aur zyada higher levels par le ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar price 1.0210 ka support tod deta hai, to bearish pressure barh sakta hai, aur price 1.0150 ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo agla significant support hoga. Traders ko chahiye ke wo 1.0250 zone ko closely monitor karein, kyun ke price action aur buying ya selling interest kaafi important clues dega. Saath hi, macroeconomic news aur global sentiment bhi EUR/USD ki direction ko affect kar sakti hai, is liye market updates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Abhi ka setup ek compelling trading opportunity create kar raha hai, lekin risk management aur calculated entries karna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke gap fill hone ke bawajood downside risks maujood hain. Overall, EUR/USD ka current price action ek pivotal juncture par hai jahan bullish aur bearish dono scenarios possible hain. Price action, support/resistance levels aur indicators ka dhyan rakhte huay trade karna traders ke liye best strategy hogi.

EUR/USD: Price Action Insights

Forex trading mein technical analysis ka sahi aur samajhdari ke saath istemal har trader ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Yeh EUR/USD ka H4 chart humein price movement aur indicators ke zariye ek wazeh tasavvur deta hai. Chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke 27 January tak price bullish trend mein tha, jahan price ne apna ek upper high banaaya. Uske baad market ne bearish trend follow karte hue price neeche girna shuru kiya. Moving Averages, jo yellow lines ki shakal mein dikh rahi hain, yeh dikhati hain ke price ne long-term average ke neeche break kiya, lekin ab ek recovery ki koshish mein hai. Stochastic Oscillator ka istemal karke hum yeh samajhte hain ke market oversold zone mein chala gaya tha, jahan oscillator ka value 20 ke qareeb tha. Oversold zone ka matlab hai ke price apne low level par tha aur wahan se upward movement expected thi. Aaj ke chart ke mutabiq, Stochastic ab upward move kar raha hai, jo ek bullish reversal ka clear signal deta hai. Yeh batata hai ke buyers market mein wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain aur price upar jaane ka chance hai.

Agar price 1.0310 ke resistance level ko todta hai aur is level ke upar sustain karta hai, to agla target 1.0360 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir se neeche girta hai, to support ka pehla level 1.0250 ke qareeb hoga. Yeh levels trading strategy banane ke liye bohot ahm hain. Har trader ko apni risk management strategy zaroor adopt karni chahiye, jaise ke stop-loss aur take-profit levels ka sahi calculation. Indicators jaise Moving Averages aur Stochastic ek general trend ka idea dete hain, magar price action ka analysis karna bhi bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ki asli picture samajhne mein madad karta hai. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke forex trading ek risky kaam hai, aur har faisla sirf sahi analysis aur disciplined approach ke zariye lena chahiye. Bina strategy ke trade karna aksar nukhsan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Trading mein patience aur samajhdari hi aapki kamiyabi ki kunji hai.

kamai kisi bhi EPS aur bank mein nikalain, aur EPS aur cryptocurrency ke exchange par 7% tak kamai karain. EUR/USD Price Ka JaizaApni kamai kisi bhi EPS aur bank mein nikalain, aur EPS aur cryptocurrency ke exchange par 7% tak kamai karain.
Aaj FOMC meeting mein, Fed ne apni monetary policy ko barqarar rakhte hue benchmark interest rate ko 4.50% par rakha. Is faislay ka bazar ke khilaf zyada asar nahi pada. EUR/USD joray ki qeemat mein pehle ki FOMC meeting ki tarah zyada ghadbadi nahi dekhi gayi. Qeemat ne 1.0400 ke jazbati had se neeche girne ka amal kiya, lekin phir jald hi upar ki taraf wapas aayi. Halankeh, European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate ka elan hua hai jo Euro currency ke liye nazariyah kamzor kar sakta hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo interest rate ko 25 bps se kam karega.

Technically, wo qeemat ki upar ki taraf barhota jo ek low price 1.0179 se shuru hokar high price 1.0534 tak pohanchi, ab ek neeche ki taraf ka correction phase mein hai. Yeh correction EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan dekha gaya hai jinhon ne golden cross signal diya hai. Qeemat ne FR 38.2 - 1.0398 tak pohanch kar bounce kiya aur FR 23.6 - 1.0450 ki taraf jaane ki koshish ki. Jab hum trend ki taraf dekhen jo pehle se bullish hai, to qeemat ke upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna kaafi zyada hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke qeemat FR 50 - 1.0356 se lekar FR 61.8 - 1.0315 tak correction kare takay retracement poora ho sake.

Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram jo ke abhi bhi level 0 ke neeche yaani negative area mein hai, ek downtrend momentum ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh is baat ko support karta hai ke EUR/USD joray ki qeemat ka neeche ki taraf ka correction phase jaari reh sakta hai. Is doraan, Stochastic indicator qeemat ke upar ki taraf jane ki taraf zyada support karta hai. Yeh is wajah se hai ke parameter pehle cross hota hai pehle oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein ghusne se. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke girti hui qeemat sale ka saturation point tak pohanch gayi hai halankeh yeh optimal nahi hai. Agar parameter level 50 ko paar kar leta hai to phir overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf jaane ke doran, qeemat ke upar ki taraf chalne ka rujhan bana rahega.

Entry Position Ka Setup:

Trading options agar golden cross signal ko bullish trend ki taraf ishara samjha jaye, to phir BUY moment ka intezaar karein. Entry point FR 50 - 1.0356 ke aas paas rakhein jo RBS area ke kareeb hai. Take profit ka target FR 23.6 - 1.0450 rakhein aur stop loss FR 61.8 - 1.0315 se lekar FR 70.5 - 1.0284 ke darmiyan rakhein. Confirmation tab hoga jab Stochastic indicator parameter oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein ghusne ke baad cross kare. AO indicator ka volume histogram bhi level 0 ke kareeb ho takay downtrend momentum kamzor nazar aaye.

The EUR/USD currency pair has recently exhibited significant bearish momentum, prompting traders to reassess their strategies. Today's price action, opening around 1.0493 and subsequently declining, showcases the impact of both fundamental and technical factors on market sentiment.

Technical Analysis


On the H1 chart, the price movement has consistently remained below the 50-period Moving Average, reinforcing the bearish trend. The Bollinger Bands indicator further supports this outlook, indicating price consolidation with the last candlestick showing heightened selling activity near the lower band. This suggests that bearish momentum remains robust.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 38, indicating an oversold condition. However, the absence of a significant recovery signal implies that traders should remain cautious. A minor price bounce occurred around the critical level of 1.0467, making it essential to monitor this area for potential reversals. A buy limit position was opened at 1.0465, anticipating a retracement after the decline. A stop loss was wisely set at 1.0440 to mitigate risks, while the profit target was positioned at 1.0490, aligning with a previous resistance level.

Fundamental Analysis


From a fundamental perspective, the strength of the US dollar is primarily attributed to recent inflation data, which revealed a monthly consumer price index increase of 0.5%. This figure surpassed expectations, bolstering market confidence in the dollar and exerting downward pressure on the Euro. Concurrently, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including a declining manufacturing index and a sharp rise in gas prices, which have surged over 15%. These factors are straining production costs and dampening market confidence in the Euro. Additionally, dovish signals from European Central Bank officials regarding interest rate policy have further contributed to the Euro's weakness.

Trading Results


After several hours, the price stabilized at 1.0467, ultimately hitting the stop loss set on the buy limit position, resulting in a small loss. Meanwhile, the price moved toward the resistance target of 1.0490 but encountered significant selling pressure around that level. This experience underscored the importance of adjusting entry points based on prevailing market sentiment.

Conclusion and Evaluation


Today's trading activity served as a valuable lesson in risk management and market sentiment analysis. Although both fundamental and technical analyses can provide direction, accurately interpreting market conditions remains paramount. In adverse conditions, it may be prudent to refrain from entering positions and instead wait for more favorable opportunities. For traders, staying updated on critical news—such as inflation reports, central bank decisions, and economic crises—is essential. The integration of fundamental and technical analysis will enhance the ability to make informed trading decisions, ultimately leading to greater success in the forex market.
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فروری 4 2025 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل شام، میکسیکو نے غیر قانونی نقل مکانی کو روکنے کے لیے امریکہ کے ساتھ اپنی سرحد پر 10,000 فوجی تعینات کرنے پر اتفاق کیا۔ اس کے جواب میں، ٹرمپ نے ٹیرف کے تعارف کو ایک ماہ کے لیے ملتوی کرنے کا فیصلہ کیا، جس کے دوران امریکہ اور میکسیکو مذاکرات میں مشغول ہوں گے۔ بعد میں یہ انکشاف ہوا کہ کینیڈا اسی طرح کے اقدامات پر عمل درآمد کرے گا، جو میکسیکو کے فوجیوں کی تعداد کے مطابق سرحدی حفاظت کے لیے اور اس کوشش کے لیے 1.3 بلین ڈالر مختص کرے گا۔

نتیجتاً، پیر کے بازار کے کھلنے سے تمام خلاء کو بند کر دیا گیا ہے، بشمول ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500۔ تاہم، یورو میں 18 پِپس کی کمی، غیر بند ہے۔ اوپر کی حرکت 1.0350 کے ہدف کی سطح پر اور روزانہ پیمانے پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر ٹھیک ٹھیک رک گئی۔

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مارلن آسیلیٹر مندی کے علاقے میں رہتا ہے، بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر قیمت کی حتمی پیش رفت کو پیچیدہ بناتا ہے۔

آج، us دسمبر کے لیے فیکٹری آرڈرز کا ڈیٹا جاری کرے گا، نومبر میں 0.4% کی کمی کے بعد 0.7% کی کمی کی پیش گوئی کے ساتھ۔ یہ اعداد و شمار یورو کو بقیہ خلا کو ختم کرنے میں مدد دے سکتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0350 کے ہدف کی سطح سے قدرے پیچھے ہٹ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ابھی تک تیزی کے رجحان والے زون کی دہلیز پر نہیں پہنچا ہے، لیکن یہ اب بھی خلا کو ختم کرنے کے لیے مسلسل تیسری کوشش (چیک مارکس سے ظاہر) کی صلاحیت کو برقرار رکھتا ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda filhal 1.0316 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, European currency niche ke rujhan me hai aur is waqt support ki trendline ke sath aage badh rahi hai. Sab se zyada imkani scenario takniki channel ke andar izafe ki tajwiz karta hai. RSI indicator ek accumulation zone me tair raha hai, jo kharidaron ya farokht karne walon ko koi tarjih nahin de raha hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, euro/dollar ka joda do moving averages ke darmiyan khula. MA ki hikmat amli ke mutabiq, market me dakhil hone ki sifarish nahin ki jati hai.