eur/usd

Good Morning, umeed hai sab kuch theek ho ga. Main apni EUR/USD par soch aap se share karna chahta hoon. Is waqt EUR/USD ka market price qareeban 1.0971 ke aas paas hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq price ka pattern bearish hai aur girta ja raha hai. Yeh tasavvur hai ke is quarter mein EUR/USD ka trend continue karega. Oscillator negative territory mein hai aur oversold territory se door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price girna jaari rahega. Is ke ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level se neechay trade kar raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahi hain. Technically, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ka girna bear traders ke haq mein hai. Meri trading plan EUR/USD market mein kuch aise hai ke 3 buy entries aur 3 sell entries rakhi hain. Jo technical resistance level EUR/USD ke liye hai, wo 1.1034 hai jo ek dynamic resistance level hai. Agar price mazeed barhti hai to naye buyers ko $1.1125 ke level ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra resistance level hai. Mazeed izafa ke chances hain aur EUR/USD is ke baad 1.1207 ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai, jo teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye technical support level 1.0952 hai jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price mazeed girti hai to naye sellers ko $1.0234 ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra support level hai. Mazeed girawat ke bhi chances hain, aur is ke baad EUR/USD 0.9654 ke support level tak gir sakti hai, jo teesra support level hai. Meri analysis umeed hai ke aap ke liye mufeed hogi. Akhir mein, main sell entry ko prefer karta hoon, jisme take profit point 0.9654 hai. Umeed hai is hafte sellers stable rahenge, aur hum apne profit ratio ko barha sakein ge.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka ghor se jaiza lete hain. Hum ne Friday ke lows ko update kiya hai, lekin EUR/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain. Ye pair teen din se aik tang range mein sideways chal raha hai aur bearish rujhan barqarar hai. Magar din khatam hone se pehle koi tabdeeli ho sakti hai. Iss waqt main kisi bhi taraf ka movement tabhi pasand karoon ga jab hum is range ko aik direction mein torain. Main umeed karta hoon ke U.S. se koi naya factor ayega, calendar par news ka intezar hai, jisse humein volatility ki tawaqo hai. EUR/USD pair iss waqt stagnant hai, aur main kal ke U.S. inflation data ka intezar kar raha hoon. Forecast ke mutabiq overall inflation mein 0.2% year-on-year kami ka tawaqo hai, jabke core inflation 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve ke liye core inflation zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Market ne pehle se hi iss forecast ko price mein shaamil kar liya hai, jis ki wajah se EUR/USD mein thodi girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Lekin pair mein mazeed girawat tab tak nahi ho sakti jab tak koi naya catalyst saamne nahi aata, aur ye kal ke din hone ki tawaqo hai. Aaj ke din kisi khaas upward movement ka imkaan kam hai, is liye bullish target daily high 1.0980 par hai, jabke bearish target 1.0920 par hai. EUR/USD pair mein filhal koi khaas activity nahi dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke price kisi bhi significant event ya news ke baghair chalne mein muskilat ka shikar hai. Technical taur par price 1.0950 ke support level ko press kar rahi hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo 1.0910 aur 1.0890 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Main wahan se koi buying shuru nahi karoon ga kyun ke downward breakout ke baad aik slow drop 1.0820 tak ja sakti hai. Ideally, main sirf 8th figure ke start ke kareeb buying ka sochonga. Agar price 1.0950 ke neeche establish nahi hoti, to 1.1030 tak correction ka chance ab bhi maujood hai. Iss liye yeh behtar hai ke is crucial news release ke waqt market mein entry se gurez kiya jaye.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda fihal 1.0930 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Jodi ne aakhir kar yaumiyah trend line ko tod diya hai. Utni jaldi nahin jitni meri tawaqqo thi, lekin fir bhi dobara test hua. RSI indicator chart ke nichle hisse me chala gaya hai. Is se zahir hota hai keh European currency oversold hai, jo badle me kharidaron ke haq me hai.



1-ghante ka chart zahir karta hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi moving average se niche khuli hai. MA strategy ki buniyad par, yah mumkena niche ki movement ka ishara karta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.
### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.
In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.
### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.
Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

EUR/USD ka market price is waqt 1.0971 ke qareeb float kar raha hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price ka pattern bearish hai aur girawat ka silsila jari hai. Aisi umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka trend is quarter mein barkarar rahega. Oscillator bhi negative territory mein hai aur oversold zone se kaafi door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price mazeed gir sakta hai. Iske ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahe hain.
Teknik tor par, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ki girawat bear traders ke haq mein jaa rahi hai. Yeh tamam factors bears ko support karte hain. Mere trading plan mein 3 buy aur 3 sell entries shamil hain. Aap chart pe dekh sakte hain ke resistance level 1.1034 hai jo ke ek dynamic resistance hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, toh naye buyers $1.1125 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra resistance level hai. Yeh umeed bhi hai ke agar yeh rise hota hai, toh EUR/USD mazeed barh kar 1.1207 ke resistance level tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

Doosri taraf, support level 1.0952 pe hai, jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh naye sellers $1.0234 ke qareeb aa sakte hain, jo doosra support level hai. Iske baad, agar girawat jari rehti hai, toh EUR/USD further gir kar 0.9654 tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke teesra support level hai.

Main yeh samajhta hoon ke sellers ka raaj is haftay barkarar rahega aur hum apna profit ratio mazeed barha sakte hain. Is analysis ke baad, mein sell entry ko pasand karta hoon aur apna take profit point 0.9654 pe rakhta hoon. Is umeed ke sath ke yeh analysis aap ke liye mufeed hoga, mein yeh kahta hoon ke market ki current situation bears ke haq mein hai aur hum profit kama sakte hain agar sell entries ko theek jagah lagaya jaye.

mumkin hai ke price hafte ke shuru mein barh jaye aur neela channel line ya monthly pivot level tak pahunche, phir dobara girne se pehle. Isliye, is pair mein trader agle hafte bechne ke mauqay par dhyan nahi de sakta, jo do pehluon par munasib hai. Jab price 1.0950 ke neeche chaar trading ghanton tak mustahkam ho jaye, toh bechne ka mauqa is level ke neeche mil sakta hai. Agar price monthly pivot level tak barhta hai aur 4-hour chart par bearish price action banta hai, toh bechne ke liye entry kar sakte hain.
Agle hafte price movement ke liye do mumkinat hain. Pehla, price shuruat se 1.0945 ke level ke neeche mustahkam hona chahiye aur phir 1.0910 ke support level tak girna chahiye. Pair ke 4-hour chart par price ek naya upar ka target de raha hai, jo weekly resistance level 1.0955 hai, lekin traders un levels ka intezar kar rahe hain jahan yen pairs is upar ki lehar se neeche ki taraf bounce kar sakti hain.

Is hafte, pair ne upar ki taraf price channels mein trading ki, jo price ke barhne ko support kar raha tha. Jab price upper channels tak pahuncha, neeche ki taraf bounce hua aur price peak banaya, toh price ko neeche ki taraf correction shuru karni thi. Phir se support milne ke baad, price ne price channels ko upar ki taraf tod diya, aur ab yeh 1.0970 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, jo price ke liye sabse kareeb ka resistance level hai. Is level ke neeche kharidari karna mumkin hai aur apna target is level ke neeche rakhna chahiye

GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoo

momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230

Aaj ki guftagu mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price trends ka tajziya karenge. Wazeh indicators is baat ki tajeed karte hain ke U.S. dollar ki qeemat bazaar mein barh rahi hai, jisme badhti hui tail ki qeematein aik ahem kirdar ada kar rahi hain. U.S. economy ki initiatives bhi dollar ki quwat mein izafa kar rahi hain, khaaskar labor market ke growth ke hawalay se, magar tail ka bazaar abhi bhi central factor hai. Aaj tail ki qeemat $78.18 per barrel tak pohanch gayi hai. Agar ye trend barqaraar rehta hai, to U.S. dollar bhi barhta rahega. EUR/USD currency pair mein jo thora bohot izafa dekhne ko mila hai, wo ziada ter tail ki qeematon ke fluctuations ki wajah se hai jab market mein correction hoti hai. Aaj tail $75.24 tak gira, jis ki wajah se dollar thoda narmi dikhate huye market mein kamzor hua aur euro ko chhoti si correction ka mauqa mila. Technical tor par euro ka izafa hota dekhai de sakta hai jo ke 1.0999 ke significant level ko test kare, jo aksar EUR/USD pair ke liye aik psychological barrier maana jata hai.




Is waqt EUR/USD pair kareeban 1.0986 par trade ho raha hai, aur market ka rujhan bearish nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke euro apni qeemat U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kho raha hai, jo ke aik mumkin downward trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Halankeh market ka rujhan dheema hai, magar ane walay dinon mein aik significant movement bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Kaafi factors is cheez mein hissa le sakte hain jo ke traders ko moqa dete hain ke wo apni profits secure karein aur market ke unpredictable movements se apni exposure minimize karein, khaaskar jab ke sellers ka pushback lagataar ho raha hai. Umeed hai ke USD/CAD market buyers ke haq mein rahega aur wo jaldi 1.3665 zone ko cross kar lenge. Iske ilawa, kisi bhi trading strategy ke liye economic data aur market sentiment ka asar bohot zaroori hota hai. Buy order ke liye anticipated volatility bhi aik buniyadi factor hai. Economic data releases, jaise inflation, employment ya GDP growth ke upcoming reports, EUR/USD ke direction par kaafi asar daal sakti hain. Agar U.S. economy ka performance expected se zyada strong hota hai, to dollar mazid mazboot hoga, jo EUR/USD ko niche dhakel sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar U.S. economy mein kamzori ya Eurozone mein recovery ke asar dekhne ko miltay hain, to trend euro ke haq mein shift ho sakta hai.

channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend

**EUR/USD Price Analysis**

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ka real-time price ka tajziya kar rahe hain, jahan daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke bears ko abhi tak prevailing uptrend ko torhne mein kaafi mushkilat ka samna hai. Pehle jo hum dekhtay aaye hain us se mukhtalif, kuch ahem technical points jo maine chart par highlight kiye hain, woh price ko azad giraawat se rok sakte hain. Yani ke, price ne 1/3 angle ko break kar diya hai aur ab support zone ke qareeb hai, jo bears ko apni trajectory correct karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Halanki, bullish trend ki poori recovery ka imkaan kam hai, humay is bullish correction ke baad market ko ghor se dekhna hoga.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, price ek inverted triangle ke andar chal rahi hai. Is haftay ke dauran, yeh pair decline kar raha hai, magar abhi tak inverted triangle ki lower boundary ko nahi chua hai. Mera andaza hai ke Monday se, pair apni downward movement jari rakhegi aur shayad triangle ki lower boundary tak pohanch jaaye, jo ke qareeb 1.0924 level hai. Yeh ek ahem technical point hoga, kyun ke is level par pohanchne ke baad, main ek potential reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Yeh reversal price ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.1225 ke qareeb hai.

Is waqt tak, price ne jo bearish movement dikhayi hai, wo significant hai, magar kuch technical levels hain jo bears ko mushkilat mein dal sakte hain. Pehle yeh samjha ja raha tha ke price apne direction ko qaim rakhay gi, magar jab price support zone ke qareeb aa jaye gi, to bears ko apni strategy dobara sochnay ki zaroorat hogi. Triangle ki structure aur price action dono hi yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh ek ahem waqt hai, kyun ke price ke is zone tak aa jany se technical levels aur market behavior par asar ho sakta hai.

Inverted triangle ka analysis yeh batata hai ke jab price lower boundary, yani 1.0924 ke qareeb pohanchay gi, to market mein ek reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Aisa hone par price wapas upar ki taraf jaye gi aur inverted triangle ki upper boundary, yani 1.1225 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem resistance point hoga, aur agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls ko ek mazid faida mil sakta hai.

Is dauran, bears ko support zone se agay girawat lany mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Market ki halat aur daily volatility ko madde nazar rakhte huye, yeh lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein market mein kaafi activity dekhne ko milay gi. Ek taraf, price ko neeche girane ki koshish hogi, jab ke doosri taraf bulls ko price ko wapas upar lay janay ka ek mauka mil sakta hai. Magar, price ka structure aur technical levels ke asar se, humay ye dekhna hoga ke kya price aagay chal kar apna bearish pattern tor payegi ya phir market mein ek powerful reversal hoga.

Akhir mein, yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke kya external factors jaise ke economic news ya forex market ke fundamentals bhi is price movement par asar dalenge. Halanki technical analysis hamari rahnumai karta hai, magar forex market mein unexpected factors bhi kafi ehmiyat rakhte hain jo humari strategy ko influence kar sakte hain. Is analysis ke mutabiq, humay Monday se downward movement ki umeed hai, aur 1.0924 ke level par pohanchne par reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Reversal ke baad, price 1.1225 tak ja sakti hai.

Technical analysis mein, indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) price movements ko predict karne aur potential support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein ahm kirdar ada karte hain. Ek recent observation yeh darust karti hai ke 14-day RSI 20.00 se 40.00 ki range mein gir gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke asset oversold ho sakta hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya kam se kam temporary stabilization ka ishara hai.

Jab RSI 20.00 se 40.00 ke darmiyan hota hai, to yeh signal deta hai ke selling pressure kafi zyada raha hai, aur traders buy karne ke mauqe talash karna shuru kar sakte hain kyun ke market shayad bottom ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh halat aksar dusre technical indicators ki taraf gehra jaiza lene par majboor karti hai taake potential support levels ko identify kiya ja sake. Is case mein, 200-day EMA prominent hai, jiska significant price point 1.0900 ke aas paas hai. 200-day EMA trading community mein ek widely respected indicator hai aur yeh long-term trend indicator ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar price is level ke aas paas aati hai, to yeh ek mazboot support area ka kirdar ada kar sakta hai, jo buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur downward momentum ko rok sakta hai.

Iske baraks, upar ki taraf dekhte hue, traders ko 20-day EMA jo 1.1090 par hai aur September 11 ki low jo 1.1000 par hai, par nazar rakhni chahiye. Yeh levels critical resistance points hain jo kisi bhi bullish movement ko rok sakte hain. 20-day EMA ek shorter-term indicator hai jo immediate price action ke bare mein insights faraham kar sakta hai, jo recent trends aur market participants ki current sentiment ko darshata hai. Agar price is level ki taraf upar badhti hai, to isay challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai, khas taur par agar RSI overbought conditions ka ishara deta rahe.

In indicators ke darmiyan taluq ko samajhna effective trading strategies ke liye zaroori hai. 200-day EMA, jo aksar “market trend line” kehlata hai, overall market sentiment ko bullish ya bearish identify karne mein key hai. Agar prices is line ke upar rehti hain, to yeh aam tor par bullish sentiment ka ishara hota hai, jab ke iske neeche girna bearish trends ko darshata hai. Is scenario mein, agar price 200-day EMA se 1.0900 ke aas paas bounce hoti hai, to yeh sirf is support level ki ahmiyat ko confirm nahi karega balki reversal ke potential ko bhi darshata hai.

Dusi taraf, agar price 200-day EMA ko breach kar deti hai, to yeh selling ka ek lehra shuru kar sakta hai jab traders apne positions ka dobarah jaiza lete hain. Is se agle significant support level par focus barh jayega, jo historical price action ya dusre technical indicators se tay kiya ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, resistance levels 1.1000 aur 1.1090 ki ahmiyat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. September 11 ki low 1.1000 traders ke liye ek psychological barrier ka kaam karti hai, jab ke 20-day EMA 1.1090 par ek critical point of interest hai. Agar price in resistance levels ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh market dynamics mein shift ka ishara de sakta hai, jo zyada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur ek naya upward trend create kar sakta hai.

Current market scenario jahan 14-day RSI 20.00 se 40.00 ke darmiyan hai, yeh ek dilchasp setup pesh karta hai. 200-day EMA ke aas paas critical support 1.0900 par aur resistance levels 1.1000 aur 1.1090 par traders ke liye ek defined range create karti hain. In key indicators ke aas paas price action ko monitor karna informed trading decisions lene ke liye vital hoga. In levels ke darmiyan taluq traders ko potential entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad karega, taake wo evolving market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko optimize kar sakein.

Haal ke market landscape mein euro aik noticeable downward trend ke saath guzar raha hai, jis ne traders ko key levels ka ghor se tajzia karne par majboor kar diya hai, taake potential entry aur exit points ko samjha ja sake. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, is baat ka strong imkaan hai ke euro aaj 1.0949 ke support level ko tod dega, jo ke recent sessions mein currency pair ke liye aik critical threshold raha hai. Is jazbaat ne mujhe sell positions establish karne par majboor kiya hai, yeh umeed karte hue ke momentum prices ko neeche le jaayega.

Maujooda downward trend ko mukhtalif indicators support karte hain, jo yeh zahir karte hain ke sellers abhi bhi market par haavi hain. Agar 1.0949 ke neeche break hota hai, toh hum ek significant push neeche dekh sakte hain, jo ke agle support levels tak ponch sakta hai. Yeh scenario broader market sentiment ke saath align karta hai, jahan uncertainty aur economic data releases euro par bearish pressure daal rahe hain.

Lekin, alternative scenarios ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Agar euro 1.1000 ke psychological level ke ooper break kar leta hai, toh yeh momentum mein ek shift ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar is level par demand tasdeeq ho jaati hai, toh yeh current bearish outlook ko invalidate kar sakti hai aur yeh dikhai dega ke buyers traction hasil kar rahe hain. Aisi reversal movement bohot pivotal ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar yeh sustained upward movement ko janam deti hai. Is context mein, market dynamics bohot crucial ban jaati hain, kyun ke yeh dictate karengi ke euro apni downward trajectory ko continue karega ya corrective rally ko initiate karega.

Choti time frames, khaaskar 5-minute chart, par kuch upward movement ke asaar dekhay gaye hain, bhale hi broader bearish context ke andar. Aaj subah ke signals ne ek possible rebound ko zahir kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price action higher levels ko test kar sakti hai jab tak ke downward trend dobara resume na ho. Agar yeh rebound kaafi strong hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed upward move ka rasta saaf kar sakti hai jo ke current channel ko challenge karegi.

Agar euro ne sloping downward channel ko break kiya, toh yeh aik significant development hoga. Agar euro channel ke upper boundary ko breach karta hai, toh hum next resistance zone ki taraf push dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.1034 aur 1.1064 ke darmiyan identify ki gayi hai. Yeh area sellers ke liye aik key battleground hai, kyun ke yeh market ka sentiment shift hone ka ek zaroori maqam hai. Agar euro is resistance zone ke ooper sustain kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke higher levels ka re-test karne ka imkaan paida karta hai.

Key levels ko monitor karna traders ke liye essential hai. Agar 1.1064 level ke ooper break hota hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein aik zyada substantial shift ko zahir karega, jo euro ko wapis lost ground hasil karne aur previous highs ko challenge karne ka moqa dega. Aise scenario mein current positions ko reevaluate karna zaroori hoga, khaaskar un traders ke liye jo euro par short hain. Iske bar'aks, agar price 1.0949 ke ooper hold karne mein nakam hota hai ya 1.1000 par rejection hoti hai, toh yeh bearish outlook ko mazid tasdeeq dega aur selling pressure mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, euro ka current price action bearish momentum aur potential bullish reversals ke darmiyan aik complex interplay ko suggest karta hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna hoga, aur key levels jaise ke 1.0949, 1.1000, aur 1.1034-1.1064 ke resistance zone par ghor se nazar rakhni hogi. In points mein se har ek euro ke aglay move ka faisla karne mein pivotal hoga. Jaise jaise market aaj ke dauran evolve hoti hai, adaptability zaroori hogi taake emerging opportunities ko capitalize kiya ja sake aur risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake. Support aur resistance levels ka interplay trading decisions ko guide karega, jo euro ki near-term trajectory ko shape karega.

Good Morning, umeed hai sab kuch theek ho ga. Main apni EUR/USD par soch aap se share karna chahta hoon. Is waqt EUR/USD ka market price qareeban 1.0971 ke aas paas hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq price ka pattern bearish hai aur girta ja raha hai. Yeh tasavvur hai ke is quarter mein EUR/USD ka trend continue karega. Oscillator negative territory mein hai aur oversold territory se door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price girna jaari rahega. Is ke ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level se neechay trade kar raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahi hain. Technically, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ka girna bear traders ke haq mein hai. Meri trading plan EUR/USD market mein kuch aise hai ke 3 buy entries aur 3 sell entries rakhi hain. Jo technical resistance level EUR/USD ke liye hai, wo 1.1034 hai jo ek dynamic resistance level hai. Agar price mazeed barhti hai to naye buyers ko $1.1125 ke level ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra resistance level hai. Mazeed izafa ke chances hain aur EUR/USD is ke baad 1.1207 ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai, jo teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye technical support level 1.0952 hai jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price mazeed girti hai to naye sellers ko $1.0234 ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra support level hai. Mazeed girawat ke bhi chances hain, aur is ke baad EUR/USD 0.9654 ke support level tak gir sakti hai, jo teesra support level hai. Meri analysis umeed hai ke aap ke liye mufeed hogi. Akhir mein, main sell entry ko prefer karta hoon, jisme take profit point 0.9654 hai. Umeed hai is hafte sellers stable rahenge, aur hum apne profit ratio ko barha sakein ge.

aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency