Euro Thursday ko apne buland tareen satah par pohch gaya, jab ke US dollar ki wide-scale sell-off ne euro ko support diya. Positive US economic data ne US economy ke slow down kay khauf ko kam kar diya, lekin kuch risks ab bhi mojood hain. US economy ne filhal recession se bach liya hai, lekin key activity data ab bhi slowdown ke isharaat de raha hai. Federal Reserve ke recent faislay ne, jisme unhon ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya, global markets mein kuch khauf paida kiya hai. Baaz investors recession ke baray mein fears ka izhar kar rahe hain.Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazahat ki ke ye rate cut ek proactive measure hai taake US labor market ko support mil sake, na ke recession ke signs ko respond karne ka ikdam. Positive data jisme US durable goods orders aur weekly jobless claims shamil hain, ne Fed ke stance ko aur mazid barhawa diya aur economy ke liye ek soft landing ka tasavvur mazid mazboot kiya. Friday ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data bohot important hoga taake Fed ke recent rate cuts ka asar dekh sake.August mein US durable goods orders 0.0% rahe month-over-month, jo ke expectations ke 2.6% contraction se kaafi behtar hai. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye September 20 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein, jo ke estimates ke 225,000 se behtar hain aur peechlay haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hain.Thursday ke bullish rally ke bawajood, euro ab tak 1.1200 level se neeche hi rahega. Buyers actively koshish kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ko upper limit tak push kar sakein, lekin sellers ke pass momentum ke kami se downside move ke options mehdoood ho rahe hain. Pair ab tak 50-day EMA ke upar 1.1040 par acha khaasa stable hai, aur price action ke liye ab bhi kafi room hai taake wo 1.1200 se upar ja sake.H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to hume nazar aata hai ke takreeban 75% girawat jo hum Wednesday ko dekh rahe thay, wo Thursday ko euro/dollar par recover ho gayi. Aaj Friday hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke upward movement jari rahegi aur pichla local maximum update hoga. H4 chart par southern channel pehle broken tha, aur ek ascending channel form ho gaya hai. Technically, lower border se rebound ke baad ek nai wave of growth shuru hui, aur buyers ka goal upper border tak pohchna hoga, jo takreeban 1.1220 ke level par intersect karega.Hum wahan ki taraf confident pace ke sath barh rahe hain, aur aap euro/dollar ko current levels 1.1176 se buy kar sakte hain. Mera bhi purchase open hai, lekin abhi tak slight drawdown ka samna hai. Agar pair Asia mein aur zyada north extend nahi hota, to hum Europe mein growth ko jari rakhein ge, bilkul kal ke example
Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke hawalay se ek dilchasp behas mein mashghool hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb ek "false" breakout ka dekhne ko mila hai. Aise false breakouts ke baad aksar price ulat direction mein chalna shuru karti hai, jo agle chand sessions mein neechey ki janib ja sakti hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab baday market players aur sellers ke paas consequential orders ke liye kaafi counter-liquidity nahi hoti. Jab price is zone se breakout karti hai toh us jagah par lagaye gaye orders—zyadatar buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hote hain. Is liye, jab ek "false" breakout ka pata chale, toh ye prudent hota hai ke ek reversal ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh rasta 1.1096 level tak khul jaye ga aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar yeh is baat par mabni hai ke aaj ka low breach hota hai ya nahi. Abhi pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se is moving average ke oopar trade karne ka irada rakhta hai.
Agar hum EURUSD ka chart dekhein, toh aaj ek bullish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is waqt price 1.1113 par hai, aur bullish momentum zor pakar raha hai kyun ke buyers market mein apni hukoomat ko barhawa de rahe hain. Bulls apni taqat ko achi tareh se barhawa de rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ki nishani hai. Yeh surge yeh batata hai ke aglay chand ghantay EURUSD pair ke liye bohot aham ho sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehta hai, toh intehai imkaan hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 ke resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek aham marhala hai, jo agar paar ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko mazeed validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka rasta khol sakta hai.
Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke hawalay se ek dilchasp behas mein mashghool hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb ek "false" breakout ka dekhne ko mila hai. Aise false breakouts ke baad aksar price ulat direction mein chalna shuru karti hai, jo agle chand sessions mein neechey ki janib ja sakti hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab baday market players aur sellers ke paas consequential orders ke liye kaafi counter-liquidity nahi hoti. Jab price is zone se breakout karti hai toh us jagah par lagaye gaye orders—zyadatar buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hote hain. Is liye, jab ek "false" breakout ka pata chale, toh ye prudent hota hai ke ek reversal ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh rasta 1.1096 level tak khul jaye ga aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar yeh is baat par mabni hai ke aaj ka low breach hota hai ya nahi. Abhi pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se is moving average ke oopar trade karne ka irada rakhta hai.
Agar hum EURUSD ka chart dekhein, toh aaj ek bullish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is waqt price 1.1113 par hai, aur bullish momentum zor pakar raha hai kyun ke buyers market mein apni hukoomat ko barhawa de rahe hain. Bulls apni taqat ko achi tareh se barhawa de rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ki nishani hai. Yeh surge yeh batata hai ke aglay chand ghantay EURUSD pair ke liye bohot aham ho sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehta hai, toh intehai imkaan hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 ke resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek aham marhala hai, jo agar paar ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko mazeed validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka rasta khol sakta hai.
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