یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD mein nahi dekhe gaye.Agar hum daily chart se analysis shuru karein, toh aisa lagta hai ke ek fifth wave ka growth form ho raha hai, aur mujhe abhi tak koi aise wajah nazar nahi aa rahi ke yeh na ho. Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai. Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thora qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai.
EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain.
China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi US Dollar ko pichhe dhakel diya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thodi barh gayi hai lekin ab bhi saal ke unche simat 100.20 ke nazdeek hai.
CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke taraf se 50 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karne ki sambhavana 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke pehle 37% thi. Fed ne 18 September ko policy-easing cycle shuru kiya tha aur 50 bps ka bade rate cut ka elan kiya tha kyun ke officials ko declining labor demand ki chinta thi.
Is hafte, US Dollar ke liye bada trigger United States ka core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hai jo ke Friday ko aane wala hai, jo ke Fed ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hai. Yeh andaza lagaya gaya hai ke underlying inflation measure July mein 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pahunchega.
Fed ke pasandeeda inflation gauge se pehle, investors ko US Durable Goods Orders ke August ke liye data par bhi nazar rakhni hogi, jo ke Thursday ko aane wala hai. Naye Durable Goods Orders ke 2.6% tak kam hone ka andaza hai jab ke July mein ye 9.8% ki mazboot growth dikhayi thi.

Jaisa keh zyadatar market participants ko ummid thi keh, do rozah meeting ke bad, Fed ne apni kaledi sud ki sherah me fisad point ke tin chauthai ke izafe ko 3-3.25% ki hadd tak badhane ka ailan kiya. Is tarah, refinancing rate 2008 ke shuruaat ke bad se apni buland tarain satah par pahunch gayi hai. Iske alawa, Americi Federal Reserve ne peshangoi ki hai keh woh inflation badhne se pahle 2023 me sud ki sherah jo 4.6 fisad tak badha dega. Hukkam ne yah bhi peshangoi ki hai keh woh is saal ke aakhir tak apni benchmark ki sherah ko taqriban 4.4 disad tak badha denge. Is tarah, is bat ka imkan hai keh sherah me tin chauthai fisad izafa hoga.
Khair, Europe me ek tawil jung ke khadshat ka zawal Americi markazi bank ki taraf se malyati policy ko sakht karne ke zawal me badal gaya. Natije ke taur par, euro/dollar ki jodi 0.9809 ki nayi muami kamtarin satah par pahunch gayi.
guzashta haftay jummay ko eur / usd gir kar 0. 9691 par aa gaya, october 2002 ke baad sab se kam satah. maliyati mandiyon ne guzashta haftay ki pehli shahmahi mein duniya ke barray markazi bankon ki janib se apni monitory policy ke faislon ka elaan karne walay ahem waqeat se pehlay saudey kiye thay. guzashta haftay 1. 0011 par aik naya tijarti hafta shuru karte hue, guzashta haftay eur / usd gir kar 0. 9691 par aa gaya. pehlay din, paiir ko eur / usd phir bhi 1. 0010 ko barqarar rakhnay ke qabil tha. eur / usd mangal ko 0. 0982 ke ird gird barabari se neechay girna shuru ho gaya kyunkay khatray se bachney walay mahol ki wajah se. budh ko fed ke fomc elaan se pehlay, jumaraat tak eur / usd ko usd ki mazbooti par 0. 9834 par mazeed dabaya gaya. jummay ko, eur / usd gir kar taqreeban 0. 9691 par agaya. prchizng manager index par Amrici muashi adaad o shumaar se pata chalta hai ke September mein Amrici niji shobay ki sargarmia bahaal huien jis ne Amrici dollar index ko mazeed buland kardiya .eur / usd ibtidayi tor par thora sa rebound huwa lekin pair ke Europi tijarti auqaat ke douran barabari ka ilaqa dobarah haasil karne mein nakaam raha. khatray se bachney wala mahol jaisa ke girtay hue stock index se zahir hota hai - Europi stock index aur you s stock index future, ne Amrici dollar mein izafay aur eur / usd currency ke jore mein izafay ko sahara diya. moving average ( sma ) spot price se neechay hai, lehaza 100 aur 150 smas spot qeemat se oopar hain, jo oopar bayan ki gayi sorat e haal ki tasdeeq karte hain. ab currency jori 50 aur 100 smas ke darmiyan 0. 9640-0. 9660 par tijarat karti hai. koi wazeh simt nahi hai. 150 sma mein khlal parney ke baad, haan ibtidayi supply zone 0. 9980 hai. 200 sma 0. 9910 aur decemeber mein agli muzahmat ke baad shaamil hota hai .

Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.


Eur/Usd currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, Eur/Usd takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.


Yeh analysis currency pair ke real-time price action par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam yeh hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Eur/Usd ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the. Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.

**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf

#11498 Collapse

EUR/USD market ki halat ko dekhte huye aglay hafte ke liye sell ka option ab bhi ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Bas yehi hai ke trade execute karne se pehle sahi waqt ka intezar karna behtar rahega, jaise ke choti time frame par koi valid bearish candlestick pattern ka zahoor ho. Umeed yeh hai ke is waqt ka intezar karne se achi quality ki trades ki ja sakein gi, jisme ideal risk-reward calculations aur achi winning rate probability ho. Trade decisions lene mein, sab se qareebi support aur resistance level par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Ye support aur resistance level ka andaza lagane ke liye aap Bollinger Bands, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ya Psychological price level ka istemal kar sakte hain. Yeh sab trader ke technical analysis ke andaz par mabni hota hai, jo ke samajhne mein asaan hota hai. Agar price qareebi support area mein kisi rejection pattern ka zahoor karti hai, to buy trade ka option foran le sakte hain. Lekin agar support area se breakout hota hai, to buy trade ka plan dobara sochna parega, kyun ke forex market mein price movements dynamic hoti hain, aur kisi bhi waqt rukh badal sakti hain. Is liye, risk calculations ko abhi se tayar karna zaroori hai, taake hum trading plan ke mutabiq amal kar sakein. Is tarah agar market achanak ulta chaley, to jo losses honge woh pehle se tay kiye gaye risk limits ke mutabiq honge. Agar hum weekly timeframe par eurusd chart ko dekhein, to guzishta hafte mein price ne nichey ki taraf move kiya. Is se yeh sabit hota hai ke pichle hafte ka EUR/USD trading seller camp ke qabzay mein tha. Yeh kamzori aglay hafte ke trading par bhi asar dalay gi, is liye is currency pair mein trade karte waqt ehtiyat baratna hoga. Agar aap pichlay hafte ki eurusd price movement ko dekhein, to yeh currency pair jis ne 1.0849 ke price par open kiya tha, 1.0917 ke level par apni highest trading price ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Jab price apne highest level ko chhua, to eurusd par seller camp ka pressure aya aur price nichey girne lagi. Ye downward movement tab tak jaari rahi jab tak lowest trading level 1.0800 ko chhu nahi liya. Is ke baad eurusd ne sideways move kiya aur trading ka ikhtitam 1.0801 ke price par hua

EURUSD Price Reading

Filhal, hum EURUSD ki pricing movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. US dollar mazid mazboot hua hai kyunke kuch behtareen data aaya hai. Is wajah se, muqabla karne wali currencies, jaise ke euro, par bhi asar pada. Us raat, EURUSD mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi. Mere hisaab se, EUR/USD lagbhag 70 pip gir gaya. Announcement se pehle, EURUSD ka rukh sideways tha aur candle 1.1030 ke price range mein zyada hil nahi rahi thi. Magar, jaise hi khabar saamne aayi, EURUSD foran gir kar 1.0900 par aa gaya. Iske natije mein, H1 support jo 1.1000 par tha, uska torna dekha gaya. Main pehle sochta tha ke ye support area aik retracement ka point banega, lekin ye nahi hua kyunke bechne walon ka pressure mazid barh gaya.

Maine khud aik doji candle pattern dekha hai jo ke niche ke ilaqe mein hai, jo aik ishara hai ke market jald hi palatne wali hai. Is ke ilawa, 1.0950 ke price par candle abhi tak demand zone mein hai. Jab tak demand area mein koi breakdown nahi hota, yeh situation barqarar rahegi. Candle ka H1 timeframe mein 1.0953 ke price par demand region ko todne mein kami ka hona iski wajah hai. Iske ilawa, stochastic ki buniyad par halat pehle se hi oversold hai. Isliye, main un logon ko jo is pair ka trading karte hain, yeh mashwara deta hoon ke sirf kharidne ki positions shuru karne par tawajjo dein. Nazdik tareen resistance, jo 1.1070 par hai, wahan aap apna take-profit goal rakh sakte hain. Support, jo 1.0940 par hai, wahan aap apna stop loss rakh sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke price low rehne ki khwahish hai, jo sellers ke liye mazeed mauqa faraham kar sakti hai ke wo price ko neeche le ja sakain.

EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke
EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.
Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD ke H4 time frame chart par, iss analysis ka maqsad current market structure ko samajhna aur important technical levels aur signals ko highlight karna hai jo traders ke liye madadgar ho sakte hain. EUR/USD pair ko bohot se traders ne liquidity aur fundamental aur technical factors ke hawalay se dekha hai. Filhaal, price action ne short-term aur medium-term trades ke liye opportunities dikhayi hain, jo market ke conditions par depend karti hain. H4 time frame par hum dekh sakte hain ke EUR/USD ne recent market developments se mutasir hote hue steady movements dikhayi hain. Daily chart par technical analysis ke zariye, pair ka behavior samajhna asaan hai, khaaskar jab key support aur resistance levels ko identify kiya jata hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye bohot important hote hain kyun ke yeh entry aur exit points ke hawalay se insights detay hain, aur market ka general direction samajhne mein madad karte hain.
Filhaal, EUR/USD ek defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 level ek significant support ka kaam kar raha hai aur resistance 1.1200 ke aas paas hai. Pichlay haftay ke dauran, price in dono levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, lekin bullish bias ubhar raha hai. Jab EUR USD ke muqablay mein strong hota nazar aa raha hai, traders ko breakout ke potential ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 1.1100 resistance ko cross karta hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh hum further bullish movement dekh sakte hain jo 1.1250 level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ko dikhata hai. EUR/USD ke H1 time frame chart par, exchange rate filhaal 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend hai. Yeh downtrend broader euro ki weakness ko reflect karta hai USD ke muqablay mein, jo ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment se drive hota hai. Traders ko in influences ka note lena chahiye kyun ke yeh market ke current momentum ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na aaye.
EUR/USD pair H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur bohot se factors euro ki weakness mein contribute kar rahe hain USD ke muqablay mein. Traders ko aane wale economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko further mutasir kar sakte hain. Filhaal, long positions ke liye ek cautious approach recommend ki jati hai, jabke jo market ko short karna chahte hain unhein key technical levels par optimal entry points dekhna chahiye.

EUR/USD market ki halat ko dekhte huye aglay hafte ke liye sell ka option ab bhi ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Bas yehi hai ke trade execute karne se pehle sahi waqt ka intezar karna behtar rahega, jaise ke choti time frame par koi valid bearish candlestick pattern ka zahoor ho. Umeed yeh hai ke is waqt ka intezar karne se achi quality ki trades ki ja sakein gi, jisme ideal risk-reward calculations aur achi winning rate probability ho. Trade decisions lene mein, sab se qareebi support aur resistance level par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Ye support aur resistance level ka andaza lagane ke liye aap Bollinger Bands, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ya Psychological price level ka istemal kar sakte hain. Yeh sab trader ke technical analysis ke andaz par mabni hota hai, jo ke samajhne mein asaan hota hai. Agar price qareebi support area mein kisi rejection pattern ka zahoor karti hai, to buy trade ka option foran le sakte hain. Lekin agar support area se breakout hota hai, to buy trade ka plan dobara sochna parega, kyun ke forex market mein price movements dynamic hoti hain, aur kisi bhi waqt rukh badal sakti hain. Is liye, risk calculations ko abhi se tayar karna zaroori hai, taake hum trading plan ke mutabiq amal kar sakein. Is tarah agar market achanak ulta chaley, to jo losses honge woh pehle se tay kiye gaye risk limits ke mutabiq honge. Agar hum weekly timeframe par eurusd chart ko dekhein, to guzishta hafte mein price ne nichey ki taraf move kiya. Is se yeh sabit hota hai ke pichle hafte ka EUR/USD trading seller camp ke qabzay mein tha. Yeh kamzori aglay hafte ke trading par bhi asar dalay gi, is liye is currency pair mein trade karte waqt ehtiyat baratna hoga. Agar aap pichlay hafte ki eurusd price movement ko dekhein, to yeh currency pair jis ne 1.0849 ke price par open kiya tha, 1.0917 ke level par apni highest trading price ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Jab price apne highest level ko chhua, to eurusd par seller camp ka pressure aya aur price nichey girne lagi. Ye downward movement tab tak jaari rahi jab tak lowest trading level 1.0800 ko chhu nahi liya. Is ke baad eurusd ne sideways move kiya aur trading ka ikhtitam 1.0801 ke price par hua.

Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo

bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi

EUR/USD H1 time frame chart par, abhi exchange rate 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend Euro ki U.S. Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Yeh pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, magar overall trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho. Is waqt EUR/USD pair bearish phase mein hai H1 time frame par, aur kai factors euro ki weakness ka sabab ban rahe hain U.S. dollar ke muqable mein. Traders ko aanay wali economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, long positions mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye, jab ke market ko short karne wale traders key technical levels par nazar rakh kar behtar entry points ko dekhen. Candle analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD mein girawat hai aur trend analysis bhi bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke sirf gold hi nahi, balki yen aur franc jesi currencies bhi dollar ke muqable mein gain kar rahi hain. Yeh broader market mein risk aversion ko darshata hai. Mujhe lagta hai yeh Middle East mein barhti hui tensions ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan Iran ke involvement ka khatra hai.
Oil prices mein izafa hua hai is rumor ki wajah se ke Iran Israel par missile strike kar sakta hai, aur Israel ne bhi retaliation ka wada kiya hai. Is uncertainty ne market mein declines ko trigger kiya hai. Agar ye tensions raat tak kam ho jati hain, toh kal tak EUR/USD phir se 1.1099 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.1049 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0999 level tak gir sakta hai

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par k

Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai. Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thora qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai. EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain.
China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi US Dollar ko pichhe dhakel diya hai