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EUR/USD: Key Patterns and Signals


Hamari guftagu ab EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ka jaiza lene par mabni hai. Bazaar Fed ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ki taraf bechain hai, aur saath hi kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is report ke baad mahol mein khaas harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata.

Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua.

Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ab ek downward channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle teen hafton se chal raha hai. Agar yeh channel se mazid behtar break hota hai, toh yeh recent corrective decline ke khatam hone ki nishani ban sakti hai aur short term mein mazid upward movement ki taraf rukh de sakti hai.

Is waqt bazaar ki nazar agle economic events par hai, jo ke EUR/USD ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain.
EUR/USD: Key Patterns and Signals Hamari guftagu ab EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ka jaiza lene par mabni hai. Bazaar Fed ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ki taraf bechain hai, aur saath hi kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is report ke baad mahol mein khaas harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata.

Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua.

Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ab ek downward channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle teen hafton se chal raha hai. Agar yeh channel se mazid behtar break hota hai, toh yeh recent corrective decline ke khatam hone ki nishani ban sakti hai aur short term mein mazid upward movement ki taraf rukh de sakti hai.

Is waqt bazaar ki nazar agle economic events par hai, jo ke EUR/USD ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain.

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar. Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain. DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge. Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate

USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke t est tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halank

EurUsd market pair ka daily trading time window mein analysis karty hue dekhain to Wednesday ko market dobara bearish raha, jab ke buyers aik martaba phir se prices ko bullish nahi kar sake aur 1.1077-1.1080 ke price par sellers ke resistance area ko break nahi kar paye. Sellers ne is area ko mazbooti se qaboo mein rakha aur is wajah se wo price par control hasil karne mein kaamyab hue. Unhon ne zyada bearish pressure daal kar prices ko neeche gira diya.
Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue agar daily time window mein dekha jaye, to yeh samajh aata hai ke price ya candle ko akhir kar sellers ne qaboo mein kar liya aur price ko buyers ke support area tak neeche le aaye, jo ke Red MA 50 ke area mein hai, yani 1.1040-1.1039 ke price par. Yahan formed bearish candlestick ki dominance ke wajah se sellers ke chances zyada hain ke wo EurUsd pair market ko aaj ki trading mein control mein rakhein, aur price ko Red MA 50 area se neeche le jaane ka target rakhein taake mazeed bearish opportunities khul sakein. Agar yeh area break ho jata hai, to EurUsd pair ka price next target ke taur par Blue MA 100 area tak girne ka potential rakhta hai, jo ke 1.0927-1.0925 ke price par hai.

Thursday ko Asian market session mein bhi dekha gaya ke sellers trading ko mazid dominate karte rahe, jab buyers phir se bullish resistance banane mein nakaam rahe, kyun ke 1.1054-1.1055 ke price par sellers ka strong resistance area tha. Yeh wajah bani ke price neeche dabta raha aur buyer support area, yani 1.1025-1.1024 ke price tak girne ka target set kiya gaya. Agar yeh area bhi strong tor par break ho jata hai, to EurUsd pair ka price mazid kamzor ho jaye ga, aur next bearish target buyer's demand support area yani 1.1003-1.1000 ke price par ho ga.

**Conclusion:**

Buy trading options tab kar sakte hain jab price seller's resistance area ko break kar lay. Is ke liye ek pending buy stop order 1.1054-1.1055 ke price par set karna ho ga, aur TP (take profit) area 1.1075-1.1077 ke price par set karain.

Sell trading options tab kar sakte hain jab price buyer's support area ko break kar lay. Is ke liye pending sell stop order 1.1025-1.1024 ke price par set karain, aur TP area ko 1.1000-1.0098 ke price par rakhein.

**EUR-USD Currency Pair**
Americans ne pair ko 1.1133 ke support level tak le aaye aur 1 point ka farq dekar neeche push kiya. Yeh lagta hai ke ek extension hai. Lekin, main 1 point ke farq ko nahi maanta. Yeh ek ghalti hai. Agar wo waqai mein H1 timeframe par upward trend ko cancel karna chahte hain, to unhein 1.1133 ke neeche zyada seriously consolidate karna hoga, ya phir poora support zone 1.1133-1.1126 ko break karna hoga. Tabhi main sellers ke iradon ki sanjeedgi par yaqeen karunga. Filhal, main is decline ko H1 par north ke daira mein aik rollback samajhta hoon.

Aap samajhte hain ke market mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai, isliye mujhe hairani nahi hogi agar EURUSD achanak upar jane ka faisla kare, aapke north ke confusion ko dekhte hue. Agar main kal ke natayij ka khulaasa karoon, to humein wahi downward movement mili, jiske liye main bohat arsay se sapne dekh raha tha. Sirf meri khwahish poori nahi hui, balki southern zigzag ke formation ke liye bhi grounds mojood hain. Haalanki mera pending order 1.1165 se execute nahi hua, main ne subah ek limit order 1.1120 ke breakout par lagane ka faisla kiya.

Maine take profit set nahi kiya tha, aur shaam ko sirf profit ko close kiya. Maujooda surat-e-haal mein main abhi bhi correction turn ke kaam karne ka option dekh raha hoon. 1.1121 ka level, jise main ne ek watershed ke taur par highlight kiya tha, break ho chuka hai, aur iska breakout classic three ke kaam karne ka zariya bana raha hai. Ab main poore decline cycle 1.1213 - 1.1046 ko buniyad bana raha hoon, aur rollback zone 50 (1.1130) par girta hai. Haan, yeh kafi uchayi lag rahi hai, lekin mera plan hai ke 1.1100 ke qareeb aate hue sell karoon. Target 1.1035 hai. Waise, 1.1035-1.1025 ke area mein intraday support mojood hai. Main is possibility ko bhi nazar andaz nahi karta ke yahan se main ek chhoti kharidari kholne ki koshish karoon, sirf is manzil ko wapas 1.1060 tak le jaane ke liye.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **E U R / U S D**

Subah bakhair, doston! Aaj main apni EUR/USD analysis ko predictions aur apne trading setup ke sath phir se update karoon ga. To chaliye aaj ka EUR/USD analysis shuru karte hain, is time frame chart ki madad se. Is waqt EUR/USD ka rate 1.1036 par trade kar raha hai. Agar aap is chart par dekhein, to aap notice karein ge ke market lagataar ek downtrend bana raha hai, aur yeh behtareen waqt hai ek sell trade karne ka aur achha munafa kamane ka. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 53 ke value par hai. RSI mein girawat market value ke girne ka ishara karti hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ka floating value -0.0051 strong market trend ka ishara deta hai. Jo prices 50 aur 20 moving averages se neeche hain, wo prices ke neeche jane ke rujhan ko zahir karte hain.

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EUR/USD ka primary resistance level 1.2318 par hai. Buyers ka agla price target yeh hai ke wo untested resistance ko 1.3898 ke level par penetrate kar sakein. Phir EUR/USD pair ka potential hai ke wo apni bullish movement ko aglay resistance level tak jari rakh sake jo ke 1.5126 par hai. Doosri taraf, EUR/USD ka primary support zone 1.0542 par hai, aur secondary zone 0.9533 par. Agar EUR/USD ka price girta hai, to yeh zone break ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, yeh pair support level 0.8589 ko bhi torne mein kaamyab ho sakta hai. Dekhte hain is haftay kya hota hai. Aaj main yeh dekhne ke liye intezaar karoonga ke price weak support area ko torne par kaisa react karta hai. Agar price validly tor leta hai, to main sell order place karoonga.


**Chart mein istemal honay walay indicators:**
- MACD indicator:
- RSI indicator period 14:
- 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
- 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **E U R / U S D**

Subah bakhair, doston! Aaj main apni EUR/USD analysis ko predictions aur apne trading setup ke sath phir se update karoon ga. To chaliye aaj ka EUR/USD analysis shuru karte hain, is time frame chart ki madad se. Is waqt EUR/USD ka rate 1.1036 par trade kar raha hai. Agar aap is chart par dekhein, to aap notice karein ge ke market lagataar ek downtrend bana raha hai, aur yeh behtareen waqt hai ek sell trade karne ka aur achha munafa kamane ka. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 53 ke value par hai. RSI mein girawat market value ke girne ka ishara karti hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ka floating value -0.0051 strong market trend ka ishara deta hai. Jo prices 50 aur 20 moving averages se neeche hain, wo prices ke neeche jane ke rujhan ko zahir karte hain.
EUR/USD ka primary resistance level 1.2318 par hai. Buyers ka agla price target yeh hai ke wo untested resistance ko 1.3898 ke level par penetrate kar sakein. Phir EUR/USD pair ka potential hai ke wo apni bullish movement ko aglay resistance level tak jari rakh sake jo ke 1.5126 par hai. Doosri taraf, EUR/USD ka primary support zone 1.0542 par hai, aur secondary zone 0.9533 par. Agar EUR/USD ka price girta hai, to yeh zone break ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, yeh pair support level 0.8589 ko bhi torne mein kaamyab ho sakta hai. Dekhte hain is haftay kya hota hai. Aaj main yeh dekhne ke liye intezaar karoonga ke price weak support area ko torne par kaisa react karta hai. Agar price validly tor leta hai, to main sell order place karoonga.


**Chart mein istemal honay walay indicators:**
- MACD indicator:
- RSI indicator period 14:
- 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
- 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

EURUSD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

EUR/USD currency pair ne kaafi mazahmat dikhayi hai, jo ke deep pullbacks ke bawajood apni ascending channel mein upar ki taraf movement ko continue kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, price ne is channel ke lower boundary se rebound kiya, jisse iska upward momentum phir se shuru ho gaya. Kal ke American session mein jo decline dekha gaya, uska maksad shaayad nearby liquidity ko remove karna aur stop-loss aur limit orders ko trigger karna tha jo ke market level ke bohot qareeb the. Yeh levels clear hone ke baad, market ne apni upar ki taraf movement ko behtari se resume kar diya. Iss waqt, EUR/USD pair 1.10356 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jahan traders ab important levels ka ghoor se jaiza le rahe hain.
Aaj ka trading focus ek martaba phir American session par hoga. Khaas tor par, US GDP report ka ahem hissa hoga, saath hi Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitab bhi market par bohot asar dal sakta hai. Yeh events market mein zyada volatility ka sabab banenge, jisse aane wale chand ghante traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain, jab woh market ki potential reactions ka intezar kar rahe hain. Powell ka khitab Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy ke hawalay se raushni daal sakta hai, jisse yeh currency pair ka direction hawkish ya dovish tone ke mutabiq badal sakta hai.

Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke price ko 1.1048-1.1047 ke critical support level se upar rakha jaye. Agar price is level ke neeche gir jata hai, to bullish structure jo ab tak bana hua hai, usmein rukawat aa sakti hai. Aisi situation mein un logon ke liye nakami ho sakti hai jo long positions hold kar rahe hain. Agar yeh support zone break ho jata hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jisse price lower levels ko test kar sakti hai aur ek deeper correction ka imkaan bhi barh sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar price is key support ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega aur mazeed gains ko promote karega. Traders ko active rehna chahiye aur market ki fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar jab ke US economic data release hone wala hai. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD pair ek ahem mor par hai, aur market US economic data aur Powell ke speech ka intezar kar raha hai. Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hoga ke 1.1048-1.1047 ke support zone ko defend kiya jaye taake upward trend barqarar reh sake, jabke American session ke douran zyada volatility expected hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne kaafi mazahmat dikhayi hai, jo ke deep pullbacks ke bawajood apni ascending channel mein upar ki taraf movement ko continue kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, price ne is channel ke lower boundary se rebound kiya, jisse iska upward momentum phir se shuru ho gaya. Kal ke American session mein jo decline dekha gaya, uska maksad shaayad nearby liquidity ko remove karna aur stop-loss aur limit orders ko trigger karna tha jo ke market level ke bohot qareeb the. Yeh levels clear hone ke baad, market ne apni upar ki taraf movement ko behtari se resume kar diya. Iss waqt, EUR/USD pair 1.10356 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jahan traders ab important levels ka ghoor se jaiza le rahe hain.

Aaj ka trading focus ek martaba phir American session par hoga. Khaas tor par, US GDP report ka ahem hissa hoga, saath hi Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitab bhi market par bohot asar dal sakta hai. Yeh events market mein zyada volatility ka sabab banenge, jisse aane wale chand ghante traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain, jab woh market ki potential reactions ka intezar kar rahe hain. Powell ka khitab Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy ke hawalay se raushni daal sakta hai, jisse yeh currency pair ka direction hawkish ya dovish tone ke mutabiq badal sakta hai.


Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke price ko 1.1048-1.1047 ke critical support level se upar rakha jaye. Agar price is level ke neeche gir jata hai, to bullish structure jo ab tak bana hua hai, usmein rukawat aa sakti hai. Aisi situation mein un logon ke liye nakami ho sakti hai jo long positions hold kar rahe hain. Agar yeh support zone break ho jata hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jisse price lower levels ko test kar sakti hai aur ek deeper correction ka imkaan bhi barh sakta hai.



Dosri taraf, agar price is key support ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega aur mazeed gains ko promote karega. Traders ko active rehna chahiye aur market ki fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar jab ke US economic data release hone wala hai. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD pair ek ahem mor par hai, aur market US economic data aur Powell ke speech ka intezar kar raha hai. Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hoga ke 1.1048-1.1047 ke support zone ko defend kiya jaye taake upward trend barqarar reh sake, jabke American session ke douran zyada volatility expected hai.

Agar EUR/USD price upar ki taraf move karta hai aur weekly resistance level W1 Resistance C ko 1.104309 par cross karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke recent decline jo market mein dekhi gayi thi, woh sirf ek temporary retracement thi, na ke trend ka reversal. Iska matlab yeh hai ke overall bullish trend abhi bhi continue kar sakta hai. Jab price aise key resistance levels ko break karta hai, toh aksar yeh signal hota hai ke market mein strength hai, aur is case mein bullish movement ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai.

Agar price 1.104309 ke level se upar jata hai, toh aglay targets resistance level R3 1.10216 par aur phir us se bhi upar resistance level R4 1.1046 par ho sakte hain. Yeh levels ahem hain kyun ke yeh woh areas hain jahan market ko resistance face karna par sakta hai, jahan price ruk sakta hai ya reverse ho sakta hai. Magar agar price in resistance levels ko cross karta hai, toh yeh signal hoga ke EUR/USD ka fifth wave complete ho gaya hai. Elliott Wave Theory ke mutabiq, yeh fifth wave aksar trend ke khatam hone ko dikhata hai, uske baad reversal shuru ho sakta hai.

Traders ke liye, yeh situation kuch ahem opportunities pesh kar sakti hai. Sab se pehle, price action ko in resistance levels par closely observe karna zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh pata chalega ke uptrend continue hoga ya reversal aane wala hai. Agar price in resistance levels ko hit karta hai aur kamzori ya reversal ke signs dikhata hai, toh yeh short (selling) positions ke liye ideal point ho sakta hai. Yeh resistance levels, khaaskar 1.1046 ke aas-paas, market ke turning points ban sakte hain, jahan bullish phase ka end ho sakta hai aur downward movement ka aghaaz ho sakta hai.

Jo traders is possible shift ko capitalize karna chahte hain, unko price action ko in levels par ghoor se dekhna hoga. Agar reversal confirm hota hai, toh nayi downward movement ki first wave short positions ke liye acha entry point ho sakti hai. Magar agar price higher resistance levels ko break karta rehta hai, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke upward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, aur aise mein long (buying) positions mein rehna ya nayi positions consider karna faidemand ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, EUR/USD ka price movement in key resistance levels ke aas-paas market ka next direction determine karega. Traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ke wo price reaction ke mutabiq apni positions adjust karein, jahan bullish aur bearish dono trades ke mauqe mil sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ke Baare Mein Pehli Nazar

Halat-e-Hazir


EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko chaar din se decline kiya. Market ka jazbaat geopolitical uncertainty ki wajah se safe havens ki taraf hai. U.S. ki taraf se upbeat jobs data ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle rate cuts ki umeed ko kuch had tak khatam kar diya.
Market ki Aamal


EUR/USD ka price aur neeche gaya, jo Fiber ke bids ko niche ki taraf dakhil kar raha hai, jab markets ek aankh Middle East ke crisis par aur doosri aakhri Fed se rate cut ke khilaf rakhte hain jo November mein aane wala hai.

Is hafta ka data:
Is hafte ke data ka zikar sirf U.S. ka hai, kyunki Europe se sirf low-tier data dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymakers se aaya hai. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ka intezar hai jo Friday ko aana hai, aur investors isay ek impactful report samajh rahe hain jo U.S. ke net job additions ka pata dega.
U.S. Jobs Data


U.S. ka ADP Employment Change data September ke liye expectations se behtar raha, jisme 143,000 naye jobs shamil hue, jabki median forecast sirf 120,000 tha. August ka revised number bhi 103,000 tha. Investors ab official non-farm payrolls (NFP) report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko aayegi, iss data ko mauqa dekhne ke liye.
Federal Reserve ki Policy


Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne is baat par azmat di ke September mein 50 basis point ka rate cut pehle se mazeed aggressive adjustments ka inkaar nahi hai. Fed ka Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) ye kehta hai ke aane wale meeting mein 50 basis points ka total rate cut dekha ja sakta hai. Market ka jazbaat bhi Fed ke projections ke saath hai, CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq November mein 25 basis point ka rate cut hone ka 60% imkaan hai, jabke 40% logon ko ab bhi 50 basis point کا qabar ka intezar hai.
Tension aur Market Volatility


In addition to rate cut ki umeedon ke saath, U.S. mein manufacturing ka outlook bhi uncertain hai kyunki port workers ki strike ke wajah se goods ki movement par asar pad raha hai jo East aur Gulf Coasts par shitth hai. Middle East mein tensions mein izafa bhee hota raha hai, jab Iran ne Israel par missile strike kiya, jo Israel ke Lebanon mein actions ke jawab mein tha. Investors is surat-e-haal ko nazar rakhte hain takay Israel ke jawab ko samajh saken jo ke is conflict mein izafa karta hai.



Technical Analysis


Intraday price action ne officially 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko touch kiya hai, aur jabki Fiber bulls ka dikhawa kuch khaas nai hai, pair is key moving average ke upar bana hua hai. EUR/USD abhi bhi 1.1050 ke aas-paas chalta raha, lekin kisi bhi technical recovery ki kami ne short flows ko control diya hua hai, jahan sellers 1.1000 ka round figure target kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS UPDATES

EUR/USD currency pair is iss waqt consolidation phase mein hai jabke yeh apni 50-day moving average se thora sa ooper move kar chuki hai, jo pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karti hai. Lekin yeh pair naye buying interest ko dhoondhnay mein koshish kar rahi hai aur abhi bhi key resistance level 1.1207 ke neechay hai. Market participants ab Eurozone ke critical data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ki future policy stance par asar daalenge. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko show karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko tight rakh sakta hai ya aur sakht kar sakta hai, jo Euro ko boost karega. Iske bar’aks, agar data weak nikla toh ECB apni policy ko accommodative karne par majboor ho sakta hai, jo Euro ko kamzor karega aur EUR/USD neeche le ja sakta hai.

US side par, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ke hawalay se expectations ko thoda cool down kiya hai, recent bayanaat mein zyada ehtiyaat ka izhar kiya hai. Pehle ki optimism mein large-scale rate cuts ki baat ki ja rahi thi, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support faraham kar raha hai. Lekin aanay wala Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar data slow labor market ke signs show karta hai, toh yeh Fed ko zyada bara cuts karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko weak karega aur EUR/USD ko ooper le ja sakta hai. Is liye, market Eurozone data aur NFP report ka intezaar kar raha hai, jo yeh tay karega ke yeh pair ka next move kya hoga.



Technically, EUR/USD 1.1207 resistance level ke neechay consolidate kar raha hai, jo bulls ke liye break karna mushkil sabit ho raha hai. H4 chart mein kai tops is level ke qareeb dekhne ko mil rahe hain, jo significant resistance aur buying momentum ki exhaustion ko zahir karte hain. Daily chart bhi is cheez ko mirror karta hai, jahan yeh pair 1.1207 ke ooper break sustain karne mein nakaam hai. Yeh consolidation market uncertainty ko zahir karta hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono strong economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Agar bulls price ko 1.1207 ke ooper push kar dete hain, toh yeh ek bullish breakout ka signal hoga, jo price ko 1.1250 ya us se aage le ja sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, sellers ka focus 1.1100 ke neeche wale area par hai, khaaskar 34-period exponential moving average (EMA) aur 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke aas paas. Agar price in levels ke neeche move karti hai, toh yeh momentum shift ko zahir karega, aur selling pressure ko invite karega. Agar 1.1100 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh pair 1.1060 ki taraf move kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar upcoming data US Dollar ke haq mein aata hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages, yeh identify karne mein madad karenge ke yeh pair apni consolidation continue karega ya ek nayi trend mein enter karega. Overall, 1.1207 level bulls ke liye ek key resistance hai, jabke 1.1100 ke neeche ka drop bearish trend ko confirm kar sakta hai. Traders ko kisi bhi data-driven shift par hoshiyar rehna padega.

Moving Average indicator ka istimaal karte hue Daily time frame par ye dekha gaya hai ke akhiran price ya candle ko seller ne control kar liya hai, jisse price buyer support area tak neeche le aayi gayi hai jo ke Red MA 50 area mein hai, yani ke price range 1.1040-1.1039 mein. Ban'ne wali bearish candlesticks ka ghalba hai, jo seller ko zyada chances deta hai ke woh EurUsd pair ka market aaj ke trading mein qabzay mein rakhein. Agar price is area ko toor deti hai aur Red MA 50 ke neeche stay karti hai, to phir mazeed bearish opportunities khul sakti hain. Is surat mein price ka agla target Blue MA 100 area ke taraf gir sakta hai, jo ke 1.0927-1.0925 ka price range hai. Thursday ko Asian market session mein bhi sellers ne trading par ghalba barqarar rakha, buyers ke muqable mein zyada daakhil hue, lekin buyers phir bullish resistance banane mein nakam rahe, jiss ka sabab tha strong seller resistance jo ke price 1.1054-1.1055 ke qareeb tha. Iss wajah se price neeche girti rahi, buyer support area 1.1025-1.1024 ke taraf. Agar yeh area bhi mazid tor diya jata hai, to price mazeed kamzor hote hue bearish target ke taraf chal sakta hai jo ke 1.1003-1.1000 ke qareeb buyer's demand support area hai. Halaat dekhte hue, seller ka pressure EURUSD pair par buhat zyada hai aur price EMA200 H4 se neeche break ho chuki hai. Lekin lagta hai ke price filhal thodi si upar correct karegi, kyun ke selling saturation ho chuki hai aur momentum indicator intraday ke lowest point par hai. Aur jab tak US unemployment claims aur NFP data release nahi hotay, yeh fall 1.0950 ke support limit tak ruk sakta hai jo ke qareeb 80 pips door hai current price se. Is wajah se hum profit lene par focus kar sakte hain aur situation monitor karni hogi. Scalping ke liye aaj dupahir mein buy position kholna interesting ho sakta hai, kyun ke H1 par bearish divergence pattern clear taur par form ho gaya hai jo ke magenta line par nazar aa raha hai. Short-term trend reversal ka chance hai ke price ko Red EMA200 H1 ke taraf le aaye. Lekin main zaati taur par re-entry sell opportunities ke intezaar mein rahoon ga, jo ke Friday ko NFP data release se pehle ki ja sakti hain. Aaj raat ko koi trade nahi karoonga taake Friday ke market ke liye psychology relaxed rahe.