یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga.

Main Euro Dollar pair ka weekly chart par jaiza le raha hoon. Jab yeh pair 0.9708 ke support ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, to European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy ko tight karna shuru kiya. Is wajah se yeh pair resistance 1.11810 tak pohanch gaya. Phir kuch rumors aaye ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apni monetary policy ko tighten karna band kar dega. Us waqt ECB ke bare mein koi baat nahi ho rahi thi, lekin baad mein pata chala ke ECB ne Fed se pehle apni policy ko tight karna band kar diya. Eurozone mein inflation ne 2% ka target achieve kar liya, aur ECB ko interest rates kaatne pad gaye. Jab Fed ne apni tightening policy band karne ka elan kiya, to is waqt pair 1.05588 par trade kar raha tha aur yeh rise karna shuru hua. Lekin baad mein yeh bhi pata chala ke Fed interest rates nahi kaat raha kyunki inflation ab bhi high thi. Phir jab inflation stagnate ho gayi, to yeh pair wapas previous lows par chala gaya aur range mein trade karne laga.
Ab agle Fed ke bayan se pehle, pair phir se 1.11810 ke resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Inflation stagnate ho chuki hai aur yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke pair ke is rise ke peeche kya wajah hai. Halankeh Fed interest rates kaat raha hai aur inflation 3.2% par hai, yeh itna positive nahi lagta. Mera khayal hai ke pair phir se 1.07684 ke levels ke qareeb laut aayega, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke aisi inflation ke sath uptrend jaari rahega.
Mujhe lagta hai ke market ki current halat ko dekhte hue, yeh pair wapas purani low levels ki taraf aa sakta hai. Is waqt ke market dynamics aur economic indicators ko samajhna zaroori hai. Fed ke decisions ka direct asar currency pairs par hota hai, aur jab tak inflation ke numbers itne high hain, tab tak investor confidence mein kami aa sakti hai.
Is waqt EUR/USD pair ka trend thoda uncertain hai. Market participants ko chahiye ke woh Federal Reserve ke announcements aur inflation ki taraf dekhte rahein. Mujhe lagta hai ke short-term mein range-bound trading dekhne ko milegi, jab tak clear direction nahi milti. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, trading decisions lena behad zaroori hai, aur cautious approach rakhna behtar hoga

Main Euro Dollar pair ka weekly chart par jaiza le raha hoon. Jab yeh pair 0.9708 ke support ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, to European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy ko tight karna shuru kiya. Is wajah se yeh pair resistance 1.11810 tak pohanch gaya. Phir kuch rumors aaye ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apni monetary policy ko tighten karna band kar dega. Us waqt ECB ke bare mein koi baat nahi ho rahi thi, lekin baad mein pata chala ke ECB ne Fed se pehle apni policy ko tight karna band kar diya. Eurozone mein inflation ne 2% ka target achieve kar liya, aur ECB ko interest rates kaatne pad gaye. Jab Fed ne apni tightening policy band karne ka elan kiya, to is waqt pair 1.05588 par trade kar raha tha aur yeh rise karna shuru hua. Lekin baad mein yeh bhi pata chala ke Fed interest rates nahi kaat raha kyunki inflation ab bhi high thi. Phir jab inflation stagnate ho gayi, to yeh pair wapas previous lows par chala gaya aur range mein trade karne laga.
Ab agle Fed ke bayan se pehle, pair phir se 1.11810 ke resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Inflation stagnate ho chuki hai aur yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke pair ke is rise ke peeche kya wajah hai. Halankeh Fed interest rates kaat raha hai aur inflation 3.2% par hai, yeh itna positive nahi lagta. Mera khayal hai ke pair phir se 1.07684 ke levels ke qareeb laut aayega, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke aisi inflation ke sath uptrend jaari rahega.
Mujhe lagta hai ke market ki current halat ko dekhte hue, yeh pair wapas purani low levels ki taraf aa sakta hai. Is waqt ke market dynamics aur economic indicators ko samajhna zaroori hai. Fed ke decisions ka direct asar currency pairs par hota hai, aur jab tak inflation ke numbers itne high hain, tab tak investor confidence mein kami aa sakti hai.
Is waqt EUR/USD pair ka trend thoda uncertain hai. Market participants ko chahiye ke woh Federal Reserve ke announcements aur inflation ki taraf dekhte rahein. Mujhe lagta hai ke short-term mein range-bound trading dekhne ko milegi, jab tak clear direction nahi milti. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, trading decisions lena behad zaroori hai, aur cautious approach rakhna behtar hoga.

Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai

EUR/USD

EUR/USD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega.
US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega.

Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

EUR/USD ka pair is waqt 1.1150 ke qareeb fresh buying interest dhoondhne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Price action familiar range mein hi hai aur significant tor par upar janay mein nakaam raha hai jabke traders dono Europe aur US se anay wale key economic data ka intizar kar rahe hain. Euro ke liye agla important event EU ka inflation report hai, jo Tuesday ko early release hogi. Investors isko closely dekh rahe hain, kyunke ECB President Christine Lagarde ne ishara diya hai ke EU mein inflation baseline levels se niche ja sakti hai, lekin year ke baad mein phir se barh sakti hai. Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ka report expected hai ke yearly tor par inflation 1.9% ho jaye, jo pehle 2.2% thi. Cooling inflation ke bawajood, Lagarde ne kaha ke October mein ek uptick ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta.Doosri taraf, US mein focus Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report pe hai, jo Friday ko release hogi.

Federal Reserve ke officials, jese ke Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, ne ishara diya hai ke future rate cuts ka asar labor market data par depend karega, khas tor par agar NFP report mein 100,000 se kam naye jobs dikhai diye to ziada aggressive cuts ho sakte hain.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/USD abhi bhi ek ascending wave structure mein hai aur MACD indicator buying zone mein hai, jo bullish trend ko continue karta hai. Pichlay haftay ki trading mixed rahi, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne control le liya. Pair ne kuch waqt ke liye 1.1068 ke horizontal support level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin price foran recover ho gaya. Ab jab price last August ke highs ke qareeb hai, ye chance hai ke price in levels ko update karne ki koshish kare.Magar ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Agar EUR/USD ne previous maximum ko break kiya, to ek bearish divergence MACD par ban sakti hai, jo upar janay ke liye momentum ko limit kar sakti hai. Agar price neeche aya to key horizontal support 1.1001 ke qareeb hai, aur agar ye bhi break hota hai to agla target 1.0930 hoga, jo daily aur weekly support ko represent karta hai. Nazdeek future mein price is level se neeche janay ke chances kam lagte hain.Overall, technical analysis ke mutabiq EUR/USD uptrend mein hai, lekin market ka focus economic data par hoga jo agle movement ka rukh tay karega.

Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega

Aaj hum 1.0845 ke shetra mein gir gaye hain, jo ek ahm support area hai. Jab hum 1.0930 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ka istemal karte hain, to is surat mein 36.8% ka range 1.0970 par hai. Yeh achi release ki nishani hai. Agar 1.0870 ke upar breakdown aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh upar ki taraf barhne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.0875 ka resistance level bhi torhna expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh wahaan apni jagah bana leta hai, to kharidne ka ek behtareen mauqa mil sakta hai.
Agar galat breakdown hota hai, to yeh bechne ka ek ahem signal hai, jis ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jab hum 1.0647 ke shetra ko tor kar wahan fix ho jate hain, tab bechne ka ek behtareen mauqa milta hai. EUR/USD ka expect hai ke yeh 1.0965 tak gire, jab yeh pehle 1.08785 ka support zone dekhta hai.

Aaj, ek baar phir 1.1060 ke shetra ko torne mein kamiyabi mili hai, aur iske baad barhna continue ho sakta hai. H4 chart par 1.0965 ka false breakout nazar aata hai; agar yeh is se upar fix hota hai, to yeh barhne ka signal confirm karega. Aage kharidari tab mumkin hogi jab yeh 1.1060 ke range ko tor kar wahan fix hota hai. 1.0720 ke false breakdowns kharidne ka behtareen signal honge, jo munafa ka khaas potential rakhte hain.

1.0894 ka level torna bohot zaroori hai, taake currency ko aur barhne ka mauqa mile. Agar yeh 1.0900 ke niche girta hai, to bechne ka mauqa hoga. Fibo levels ka istemal karte hue, is surat mein 38.4% ka critical corrective range 1.0953 par nazar aata hai agar rising wave 1.0910 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ke saath dekha jaye.

Hamesha yaad rakhein, trading mein samajh aur analysis bohot zaroori hai. Aapko market ke movements ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur apne strategies ko behtar banana chahiye. Yeh market ke trends ko samajhne aur unhe profit mein tabdeel karne ka ek behtareen mauqa hai

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ki jodi ne 1.1120 ki satah ko tod diya hai, lekin is se niche fix hone me nakam rahi hai. Yah 1.1275 ke nishan tak mumkena izafe ki tajwiz karta hai. Lehaza, 1.1165 se pullback par short positions kholna khatarnak hai. 1.1208 par kal ki bulandi ke piche stop loss order lagana chahiye, jo meri rai me bahut dur hai.
Mai euro/dollar ke jode ko begahir kisi pullback ke 1.1068 ki agli support satah tak girta dekhna pasand karunga. Is surat me, 1.1120 ilaqe se pullback par 1.1000 ki satah tak girawat ki ummid karte hue short positions kholna danishmandi hogi.
Yah ek zyada qabile aitemad trading idea hoga.



Itni kami ke bawajud, yaumiyah chart par majmui tezi ka rujhan barqarar hai. Chadhti hui trend line filhal 1.1000 ki satah se guzar rahi hai. Lehaza, takniki nuqtah nazar se, yaumiyah chart par yah girawat kafi jaiz nazar aati hai.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek mashhoor pattern ko dobara anjaam diya, jo ke ek achi tareekay se established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha. Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunke central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain.
United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.

EUR/USD ka technical outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai kyunke pair 1.1150 area ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne September ke volatile lows se abhi kuch recovery ki hai aur key 1.1000 mark ke qareeb pohcha hai, buyers aur sellers dono mushkilat ka shikar hain. Peechlay haftay ke dauran multiple koshishon ke bawajood 1.1200 level ko break karne mein nakami hui, aur pair abhi bhi ek recent consolidation trap se ghira hua hai. Lekin, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.1050 ke thoda neeche support faraham kar rahi hai, jo ke kisi bara girawat ke imkanat ko rok rahi hai.

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, market me kafi halchal rahi. Halankeh trading range kafi tang thi, fir bhi mai badi taidad me trade kholne me kamyab raha. Mai euro/dollar ke jode par long aur short dono tarah ka danw lagaya. Majmui taur par, karobari din kafi munafabaksh raha.
Kal, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke taqreer ke fauran bad, qimat ko 1.1115 par thos support mila. Yah aaj ke liye mumkena izafe ki nishandahi karta hai.
Aaiye dekhen keh European session ki shuruaat kaise hoti hai. Mai abhi market se bahar hun aur market me dakhil hone ki koi jaldi nahin hai kiyunkeh aham macroeconomic waqeaat abhi bhi baqi hai. Aaj ki tawajjoh US manufacturing PMI data par markuz hone ka imkan hai.
Mai maujudah satahon se ek long positions khol sakta tha, lekin kuch chizen mujhe rok rahi hain. Kya hoga agar qimat 1.1095 tak gir jaye aur European session ke dauran us debt satah ko cover ka le? Tab mai long positions kholunga, lekin abhi ke liye, mai fence par baitha hun.

یکم اکتوبر 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو، یورو نے ایک بار پھر 1.1186 مزاحمت کی سطح سے اوپر توڑنے کی کوشش کی، لیکن دباؤ کے تحت، یہ توازن اشارے لائن کی حمایت پر گر گیا. مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن اپنی رینج کی نچلی حد تک گر گئی، نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں چلی گئی۔



یہ 1.1076 کی سطح سے نیچے ٹوٹنے کے ارادے کی نشاندہی کر سکتا ہے۔ سپورٹ مضبوط ہے، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے کمک حاصل کر رہا ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامے میں، قیمت اس کے ٹوٹنے کا امکان نہیں ہے کیونکہ اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں مسلسل اضافہ ہوتا ہے اور سرمایہ کاروں کی رسک میں دلچسپی برقرار رہتی ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یورو موجودہ سطحوں سے 1.1276 کے ہدف کی سطح تک بڑھ جائے گا یا 1.1076 سپورٹ کو اچھالنے کے بعد۔

قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے سمٹی ہوئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں آباد ہو گیا ہے۔ یہاں صورتحال مکمل طور پر مندی کی ہے۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، ترقی میں اضافے سے پہلے ابتدائی کمی کا امکان.



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar. Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain. DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge. Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par
Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate