یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

(EUR) ne apni recent upward momentum ko Tuesday ko roka, jab yeh 1.1100 ke aas-paas settle hua. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate faislay ka intezar kar rahe the jo Wednesday ko aana tha. Is hafte ke liye European economic calendar mein kuch khaas nahi tha, is liye market ki tawajjo Fed ke rate cut par thi. August ke liye US retail sales ka data kuch support provide kiya, jo 0.1% growth ke saath thoda behtar tha jabke prediction -0.2% contraction thi. July ke retail sales figures ko bhi 1.1% tak revise kiya gaya. Magar core retail sales, jo auto purchases ko exclude karti hain, sirf 0.1% barh gayi, jabke expectation 0.2% thi. Fed ka aane wala interest rate meeting Wednesday ko is hafte ka sabse aham waqia hai. Investors ne saal ke shuru se rate cut ki umeed laga rakhi hai, aur March mein reduction ki guftagu tez ho rahi hai. CME ka FedWatch tool abhi yeh darshata hai ke market 50 basis point ka rate cut anticipate kar raha hai, lekin 25 basis point ka reduction hone ki bhi achi sambhavna hai.USD pair ki recent rally ne Tuesday ko resistance ka samna kiya, aur long-term bulls cautious rahe. August ke aakhir mein ek saal ke high se peeche hatne ke baad, price action technical consolidation mein phas gaya hai, jabke last week ka bullish bounce 1.1000 se aaya tha. Tuesday ko bullish open ne 1.1116 ke aas-paas supply zone ko touch kiya aur usse bahar nikal gaya, aur current bullish range ka mid-point 1.1129 par khatam hua. 1.1100 ya Point of Control (POC) 1.1088 par pullback ki umeed hai, jahan bulls is level ko defend karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agle supply zone ke potential targets 1.1150 aur 1.1166 hain, jo 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extension levels ke kareeb hain. Jab Fibonacci extension tak pohanch jaaye, toh 1.1072 aakhri relevant support level ke taur par confirm hoga. Is waqt ke upside move ke liye, 1.1002 aakhri valid support level hai.

**Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD**

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.

Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro ke liye ek main rukawat ban jayega. Agar is level ka decisive break hota hai, to asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Aane wale levels mein, psychological price 1.1000 aur 17 July ka High Point main support area ban jayega.

Yeh mumkin hai ke 1.1275 ka level EUR/USD ko apni taraf kheench raha ho, lekin agar aap order book par nazar daalein, toh volumes ke main peaks 1.1210-1.1215 ke ilaqay mein hain. Yeh volume ek rebound ka sabab ban sakta hai. Uper ke levels par koi khaas dilchaspi nazar nahi aa rahi, halaan ke trading day ke dauran wahan volumes barh sakti hain. Neeche ke levels par, order book mein 1.1120 aur phir 1.1097-1.1080 ke qareeb bhi dilchaspi mojood hai. Kal Europe mein France aur Spain ki inflation data par nazar hogi, lekin asal teharak America mein ho gi jab personal consumption expenditures ka data jari hoga. Filhal pair 1.1175 ke level par trade ho raha hai, aur agar aaj ka din is level ke neeche band hota hai, toh Asia mein aur girawat ho sakti hai 1.1150 tak, aur phir dekha jaye ga aage kya hota hai.

Jab aap yeh sochte hain ke EUR/USD ne technical rails par chalna shuru kiya hai, toh koi aur unexpected situation samnay aajati hai. Main is baat ki taraf ishaara kar raha hoon ke bazaar kabhi kabhi unclear ho jata hai ya phir meri nazarain mujhe dhoka de rahi hoti hain. Waisay toh main din ke ikhtitam par ek bilkul mukhtalif zigzag ki tawaqo kar raha tha. Subah main ne aik range for sales allocate ki thi, jo ke 1.1156 - 1.1167 ke beech mein thi. Humne is range ka test kiya aur main ne sale open ki, lekin phir price north ki taraf chali gayi. Main phir se drawdown ka shikar ho gaya aur kuch earn nahi kar paya.






Iss waqt mujhe lagta hai ke growth ki koshish jari rahegi. Support level shayad wahi ho jahan se main ne kal sale ki thi, jo ke 1.1155 hai. Main is level ke retest ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jahan main apna deal close kar doon ga aur phir price 1.1200 tak barh jayegi. Darhaqeeqat, 1.1200 mere liye aik sell zone ban chuka hai, jahan se main price ke rebound ka intezaar karoon ga, jisme price phir neeche giray gi. Aap upper trend line ke guzarne par bhi dhyaan de sakte hain, aur yeh level 1.1220 ke qareeb hai. Aksar, agar main sell karne ka faisla karta hoon, toh yeh level ke aas paas ho ga.

Yakja Europe ki currency ab bhi qareeb 11150 ke level par trade kar rahi hai, kuch farq ke sath donon taraf par chalti hui. Yeh fikr paida ho rahi hai ke recent kehtam huay compression jaldi khatam hoga, shayad kisi ek taraf ek achanak zor daar jump ke sath.

Kal ka din khas tha lekin koi bara surprise nahi tha, aur market ka overall manzar waisa hi raha. Europe ki currency ka halka uptrend ek martaba phir se shak ke neechay aa gaya hai, jis ka natija yeh hai ke Euro ne ground kho diya, Thursday ke tamaam gains ko mita diya, aur Friday ka aaghaaz US currency ko thoda behtar position mein paaya.

Halankeh Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke agle meetings ke darmiyan kuch faasla hai, interest rates mein katauti ke iradon par shart lagayi ja rahi hai, jo ke ab bhi interest rates ko apni taraf kheench rahi hain aur exchange rate ke rukh ko asar andaz kar rahi hain.

Halankeh Fed ke aakhri cut ke baad interest rate ka farq 50 basis points tak kam ho gaya, lekin spread ab bhi US currency ke haqq mein hai, aur Europe ki economy ke hawale se pareshaniyan bhi us waqt Europe ki currency ke liye rukawat hain ke woh 1.14 - 1.15 ke level tak zyada upar ja sake. Meri nazar mein, yeh woh uncha prices hain jo Europe ki currency ko 2024 ke aakhir tak pohanch sakti hain.

Aaj ka program khas tor par announcement-heavy hai jisme eurozone ke kuch countries ke inflation data shamil hain, jabke US ka personal consumption expenditure index bhi numaya hai, jo Fed ka pasandeeda scale hai kyun ke yeh inflation data ka pehla ishara hota hai.

Agar yeh data surprise karay, to yeh aur zyada rate cuts ke hawale se sharton ko taazah kar sakta hai, jo zaroori taur par rate ko farq daal sakta hai aur shayad isay aakhri chand dino ke tight range se break karne mein madad milay.

Market ka rawayya kisi had tak meri soch ki tasdeeq kar raha hai, jaise ke main pehle bhi US currency khareedne ke rujhan ka izhaar kar chuka hoon kisi bhi spike par, lekin ab tak sahi entry point nahi mil raha.

Main apni yeh soch par barqarar hoon, filhal sakoon se rahoon ga aur US dollar khareedne ka naya mouqa dhoondta rahoon ga jab koi nayi top banti hai.

**EUR/USD D1 Time Frame Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi taqat aur upar ki taraf momentum ke asar dikhata hai. Halankeh pichle trading haftay mein kuch volatility aur mixed price action dekha gaya, lekin kharidaaron ne aakhir mein faida hasil kar liya. Filhal, wave structure ek upar ki taraf pattern mein hai, jo yeh suggets karta hai ke bullish momentum aane wale dino mein jaari reh sakta hai. Key technical indicators, jaise ke MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), is optimistic outlook ko aur mazid support dete hain, kyunki yeh indicator upper purchase zone mein firmly positioned hai, jo strong buying pressure ka indication hai. EUR/USD ko D1 time frame par dekhte waqt, sabse zaroori element price ka wave structure hai. Is waqt, pair ek well-defined upward wave mein nazar aa raha hai, jo higher highs aur higher lows se characterized hai. Yeh pattern bullish momentum ka clear signal hai, kyunki kharidaar aksar price ko upar push kar rahe hain, halankeh kabhi kabhi pullbacks bhi aate hain. Ascending wave structure yeh bhi dikhata hai ke euro US dollar ke muqablay mein kitna resilient hai, jabke US dollar economic uncertainty aur fluctuating market sentiment ki wajah se mukhtalif pressures ka samna kar raha hai.

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**EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis**

H4 time frame par, EUR/USD pair kuch sessions se upward momentum ko banaye rakhne mein pareshani mehsoos kar raha hai, aur current price 1.1165 is ongoing weakness ko reflect karta hai. Yeh pair ek aise point par pahuncha hai jahan selling pressure dominate karne laga hai, aur bulls apni ground kho rahe hain. Overall trend, jo H4 time frame par nazar aati hai, dikhata hai ke pair kamzor hota ja raha hai, jahan lower highs aur lower lows ka formation ho raha hai, jo yeh clear sign hai ke sellers control hasil kar rahe hain. H4 chart par technical indicators ka gehra jaiza lene par yeh pata chalta hai ke bearish signals ubhar rahe hain. Indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), oversold territory ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo badhte hue selling pressure ko reflect karta hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bearish crossover ke asar dikhata hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar rahi hai, jo bearish outlook ko aur mazid confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, is chart par moving averages aise align ho rahe hain jo further downside potential ki taraf ishara karte hain. Price dono 50-period aur 200-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term aur long-term trends ab bears ke haq mein hain. Yeh moving averages aksar traders ke liye trend ki direction ko confirm karne ke liye istemal hoti hain, aur is case mein, yeh yeh idea reinforce kar rahi hain ke EUR/USD shayad aur kamzor hota rahe.

**EUR/USD D1 Time Frame Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi taqat aur upward momentum ke asar dikhata hai. Pichle trading haftay mein kuch volatility aur mixed price action ke bawajood, kharidaaron ne akhri tor par control hasil kar liya. Filhal, wave structure ek ascending pattern mein hai, jo yeh darust kar raha hai ke bullish momentum agle dinon tak jaari reh sakta hai. Key technical indicators, jismein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shamil hai, is optimistic outlook ko aur bhi support karte hain, kyunki indicator upper purchase zone mein mazbooti se positioned hai, jo strong buying pressure ka izhar karta hai. EUR/USD ko D1 time frame par dekhte waqt, price ka wave structure sab se ahem cheez hai. Filhal, pair ek well-defined upward wave mein hai, jismein higher highs aur higher lows dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Ye pattern bullish momentum ka clear signal hai, kyunki kharidaar lagatar price ko upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain, halankeh kabhi kabhi pullbacks bhi dekhne ko milte hain. Ascending wave structure yeh bhi dikhata hai ke euro ne US dollar ke muqable mein resilience dikhai hai, jo economic uncertainty aur fluctuating market sentiment ke sabab se mukhtalif pressures ka samna kar raha hai.

**EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis**

H4 time frame par, EUR/USD pair kuch sessions se upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai, aur abhi ki price 1.1165 is ongoing weakness ko izhar kar rahi hai. Pair aise point par pohanch gaya hai jahan selling pressure shuru ho raha hai, aur bulls apna ground kho rahe hain. H4 time frame par dekha jaye to overall trend yeh dikhata hai ke pair kamzor ho raha hai, jismein lower highs aur lower lows ban rahe hain, jo yeh darust kar raha hai ke sellers control hasil kar rahe hain. Technical indicators ka gehra jaiza lene par, H4 chart par bearish signals ubhar rahe hain. Indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo badhte hue selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish crossover ke asar dikhata hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar rahi hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed confirm karta hai. Is chart par moving averages is tarah se align ho rahe hain jo aur zyada downside potential ka izhar kar raha hai. Price 50-period aur 200-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term aur long-term trends ab bears ko favor kar rahe hain. Ye moving averages aksar traders dwara trend ki direction confirm karne ke liye istemal kiye jate hain, aur is surat mein ye yeh reinforce kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD shayad aage bhi kamzor hota rahe.

halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.

Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro ke liye ek main rukawat ban jayega. Agar is level ka decisive break hota hai, to asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Aane wale levels mein, psychological price 1.1000 aur 17 July ka High Point main support area ban jayega.

halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.

Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro ke liye ek main rukawat ban jayega. Agar is level ka decisive break hota hai, to asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Aane wale levels mein, psychological price 1.1000 aur 17 July ka High Point main support area ban jayega

EUR/USD D1 time frame par, EUR/USD currency pair ab tak taqat aur upar ki taraf harkat dikhata raha hai. Pichle trading hafte mein kuch volatility aur mixed price action ke bawajood, buyers ne aakhir kar apna control hasil kar liya. Filhal, wave structure ek ascending pattern mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum aanewale dino mein jaari reh sakta hai. Key technical indicators, jismein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shamil hai, is optimistic outlook ko mazeed support dete hain, kyun ke yeh indicator upper purchase zone mein majboot taur par hai, jo strong buying pressure ka ishara hai.

EUR/USD ko D1 time frame par dekhte waqt, sab se critical element price ka wave structure hai. Is waqt, pair ek well-defined upward wave mein hai, jismein higher highs aur higher lows shamil hain. Yeh pattern bullish momentum ka wazeh ishara hai, kyun ke buyers consistently price ko upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain, halankeh kabhi kabhi pullbacks bhi aa rahe hain. Ascending wave structure yeh bhi darshata hai ke euro ne US dollar ke khilaf resilience dikhai hai, jo economic uncertainty aur fluctuating market sentiment ke wajah se mukhtalif pressures ka samna kar raha hai.

EUR/USD H4 time frame par, pichle kuch sessions mein, EUR/USD pair upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein muskilat ka samna kar raha hai, aur filhal price 1.1165 yeh ongoing weakness ko darshata hai. Yeh pair aise point par pohanch gaya hai jahan selling pressure ab dominate kar raha hai, aur bulls apni position kho rahe hain. H4 time frame par overall trend yeh darshata hai ke pair kamzor ho raha hai, lower highs aur lower lows ka formation yeh wazeh ishara hai ke sellers control hasil kar rahe hain.

H4 chart par technical indicators ka qareeb se jaiza lene par yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bearish signals ubhar rahe hain. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo barhti hui selling pressure ko darshata hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish crossover ke signs dikhata hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar rahi hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, is chart par moving averages aise align ho rahe hain jo aur neeche ki taraf ke potential ko darshate hain. Price dono 50-period aur 200-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke short-term aur long-term trends ab bears ke haq mein hain. Yeh moving averages aksar traders ke liye trend ki direction confirm karne ke liye istemal kiye jate hain, aur is surat mein yeh yeh idea reinforce kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD shayad kamzor hota rahe.

EUR/USD jorha is waqt 1.1188 ke kareeb trading kar raha hai, kal ki girawat se ubharne ki koshish karte hue. Halankeh ooncha uthane ka potential hai, lekin haal ka Eurozone ka economic data iske faida ko kam kar sakta hai. Yeh data European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se interest rate cut ki umeedon ko mazid barhata hai, jo euro par bojh dal sakta hai.

**ECB Rate Cut Ka Imkan:**

Is hafte, ECB se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke yeh interest rates ko ghatayega kyunke Eurozone mein economic pressures barh rahe hain. August ke liye preliminary headline Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ka data 2.2% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke July 2021 ke baad ka sab se kam level hai. Yeh girawat domestic demand ki kami aur international markets mein slowdown ko dikhati hai, jo Eurozone ki kamzor economic haalat ko highlight karti hai.

**Germany Ki Economic Muskilat:**

Germany ki economy khaas tor par kamzor hai, jo is saal ke doosre quarter mein technical recession mein dakhil ho chuki hai. Teesre quarter ka outlook bhi kharab hai, jo ECB policymakers ko ongoing economic challenges ka ahsas dilata hai. Yeh consensus hai ke mazeed interest rate cuts ki zaroorat ho sakti hai jab Eurozone girti hui growth prospects ka samna kar raha hai.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:**

Spot price 1.1189 ke level par resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar 1.1214 ke upar koi significant weekly close hota hai, to yeh currency pair ke liye ek positive trend ka ishara de sakta hai, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko barhata hai. Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake woh potential breakout opportunities ka andaza laga saken. Short-term technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD jorhe mein recovery ka kuch potential hai. Low 1.1123 zone mein spot gains short-term charts par upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar rahe hain. Intraday Directional Movement Index (DMI) daily aur weekly studies mein dekhe gaye overall bullish orientation ke saath align ho raha hai, jo Euro ke liye limited downside risk ko darshata hai.

**Outlook EUR Ke Liye Positive Hai:**

50-day aur 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo ke 1.1137 aur 1.1103 par hain, dono upward trend kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, currency pair daily chart par Rising Channel breakout ke upar hai, jo aane wale performance ke liye acha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) haal hi mein 60.00 ke mark ke neeche gir gaya hai, jab yeh pehle 75.00 ke aas-paas overbought conditions tak pahuncha tha. Yeh adjustment ek cooling-off period ko darshata hai, lekin agar market conditions stabilize hoti hain to potential upward movement ke liye bhi jagah chhodta hai.The EUR/USD pair is currently trading near 1.1188, attempting to rebound from yesterday's losses. While there's potential for upward movement, recent Eurozone economic data might cap gains. The data has reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the European Central Bank, which could weigh on the euro.

ECB Rate Cut Likely Amid Economic Weakness:

This week, the ECB is widely anticipated to reduce interest rates as economic pressures in the Eurozone continue to mount. The preliminary headline Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for August revealed a significant decline to 2.2%, the lowest level since July 2021. This drop reflects both subdued domestic demand and a slowdown in international markets, highlighting the frail state of the Eurozone economy.

Germany's Economic Struggles:

Germany's economy is particularly vulnerable, having entered a technical recession with contraction in the second quarter of this year. The outlook for the third quarter remains grim, prompting ECB policymakers to recognize the ongoing economic challenges. There is a consensus that further interest rate cuts may be necessary as the Eurozone grapples with deteriorating growth prospects.

Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD:

The spot price faces resistance at the 1.1189 level. A significant weekly close above 1.1214 could signal a more constructive trend for the currency pair, reinforcing bullish sentiment in the market. Traders should keep a close eye on these levels to gauge potential breakout opportunities. Short-term technical indicators suggest some potential for recovery in the EUR/USD pair. Spot gains in the low 1.1123 zone are helping to sustain upward momentum on the short-term charts. The intraday Directional Movement Index (DMI) aligns with the overall bullish orientation seen in both daily and weekly studies, suggesting limited downside risk for the Euro.

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The outlook remains positive for the EUR. The 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.1137 and 1.1103, respectively, are both trending upward. Additionally, the currency pair is holding above the Rising Channel breakout on the daily chart, which bodes well for future performance. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently dipped below the 60.00 mark after previously reaching overbought conditions near 75.00. This adjustment may indicate a cooling-off period, but it also leaves room for potential upward movement if market conditions stabilize.The EUR/USD pair is currently trading near 1.1188, attempting to rebound from yesterday's losses. While there's potential for upward movement, recent Eurozone economic data might cap gains. The data has reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the European Central Bank, which could weigh on the euro.

ECB Rate Cut Likely Amid Economic Weakness:

This week, the ECB is widely anticipated to reduce interest rates as economic pressures in the Eurozone continue to mount. The preliminary headline Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for August revealed a significant decline to 2.2%, the lowest level since July 2021. This drop reflects both subdued domestic demand and a slowdown in international markets, highlighting the frail state of the Eurozone economy.

Germany's Economic Struggles:

Germany's economy is particularly vulnerable, having entered a technical recession with contraction in the second quarter of this year. The outlook for the third quarter remains grim, prompting ECB policymakers to recognize the ongoing economic challenges. There is a consensus that further interest rate cuts may be necessary as the Eurozone grapples with deteriorating growth prospects.

Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD:

The spot price faces resistance at the 1.1189 level. A significant weekly close above 1.1214 could signal a more constructive trend for the currency pair, reinforcing bullish sentiment in the market. Traders should keep a close eye on these levels to gauge potential breakout opportunities. Short-term technical indicators suggest some potential for recovery in the EUR/USD pair. Spot gains in the low 1.1123 zone are helping to sustain upward momentum on the short-term charts. The intraday Directional Movement Index (DMI) aligns with the overall bullish orientation seen in both daily and weekly studies, suggesting limited downside risk for the Euro.



The outlook remains positive for the EUR. The 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.1137 and 1.1103, respectively, are both trending upward. Additionally, the currency pair is holding above the Rising Channel breakout on the daily chart, which bodes well for future performance. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently dipped below the 60.00 mark after previously reaching overbought conditions near 75.00. This adjustment may indicate a cooling-off period, but it also leaves room for potential upward movement if market conditions stabilize.

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support

D1 Period Chart

Is waqt, EUR/USD pair ke daily chart par wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Pichhli trading week multidirectional rahi, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne faida hasil kiya. Ek ghatna dekhi gayi thi jab price ne horizontal support level 1.1108 ke neeche girne ki koshish ki, jo closing prices par bana tha, lekin price wahan ruk nahi payi aur sirf ek spike bana diya. Us din se wahan se buyout bhi dekhne ko mila. Is hafte mein bhi wahi nazar aa raha hai, yani 1.1108 ke level tak girna aur phir wahan se upar ki taraf barhna.

Jaise ke umeed thi, price ne kal pichle August ka maximum update kiya, aur yeh is liye mumkin tha kyunki price un peak se zyada door nahi thi aur general trend abhi bhi ascending hai. Price maximum ke paar nikal gayi, aur maine socha tha ke shayad price zyada door nahi jaayegi, kyunki is surat mein MACD indicator par bearish divergence bana hai. Is ke ilawa, doosre indicator, CCI, bhi upper overheating zone mein wapas aa gaya hai.

General halat ko dekhte hue, decline ki umeed thi jo ke kaafi jald ho gaya. Mera khayal hai ke agle kuch waqt mein price ko us ascending line ki taraf dhakka diya jayega jo senior daily waves ke bottoms par bani hai, aur yeh main horizontal support level 1.1108 par bhi jaye gi, jahan se price recently upar ki taraf chali gayi thi jab yeh level touch kiya gaya tha.






Mujhe lagta hai ke ek door target 1.1011 ke level par hai, lekin filhal yeh sirf khayalon ki baat hai. Is waqt, market ki halat aur technical indicators yeh darshate hain ke price mein aur girawat aane ki sambhavna hai, lekin iske sath sath agar buyers phir se taqat dikhate hain to yeh price ko wapas upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh in movements par nazar rakhein aur apne faisle samajhdari se karein.

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.