یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

soomwar ko, Euro ne North American trading ke doran thoda sa rebound dekha, jab ke Asian session mein ye kafi nuqsan utha chuka tha. 1.11 ka level chhote waqt ke charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Itihaas mein, EUR/USD aksar bade gol numbers ke darmiyan ghoomta hai, is liye agar Euro aur girta hai, to agla maqool target 1.10 level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle bhi ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche girta hai, to ye ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, pair kafi choppy aur sideways action ka samna kar raha hai, is liye traders ko in key round numbers par tawajjoh deni chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha ho. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur mazboot options market se asarandaz hoti hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive banati hai.

Is waqt, Eurozone aur U.S. economy dono ke uncertain halaat ke chalte, ye pata lagana mushkil hai ke Euro aur U.S. dollar mein se kaun sa lambay arse ka winner ban sakta hai. Is liye, ek zyada strategic approach ye ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ko map karain aur ise doosri currency pairs par lagoo karain. Maslan, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hota hai, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ke liye, ye zyada suitable hai ke short-term chart analysis par tawajjoh di jaye, di gayi market volatility aur price level ke fluctuations ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad e nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjoh deni chahiye. Ye levels significant support aur resistance points hain, jo short-term trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain.

Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions ke asar se barh gayi hai. Jab ke ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures ko jari rakhte hain, pair mein volatility barhne ki umeed hai, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions par zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur agility barqarar rakhni chahiye, taake wo current market environment ko behtar taur par navigate kar sakein.

halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke

soomwar ko, Euro ne North American trading ke doran thoda sa rebound dekha, jab ke Asian session mein ye kafi nuqsan utha chuka tha. 1.11 ka level chhote waqt ke charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Itihaas mein, EUR/USD aksar bade gol numbers ke darmiyan ghoomta hai, is liye agar Euro aur girta hai, to agla maqool target 1.10 level hoga. 1.10 ka mark pehle bhi ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche girta hai, to ye ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, pair kafi choppy aur sideways action ka samna kar raha hai, is liye traders ko in key round numbers par tawajjoh deni chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha ho. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur mazboot options market se asarandaz hoti hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive banati hai.

Is waqt, Eurozone aur U.S. economy dono ke uncertain halaat ke chalte, ye pata lagana mushkil hai ke Euro aur U.S. dollar mein se kaun sa lambay arse ka winner ban sakta hai. Is liye, ek zyada strategic approach ye ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ko map karain aur ise doosri currency pairs par lagoo karain. Maslan, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hota hai, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ke liye, ye zyada suitable hai ke short-term chart analysis par tawajjoh di jaye, di gayi market volatility aur price level ke fluctuations ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad e nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjoh deni chahiye. Ye levels significant support aur resistance points hain, jo short-term trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain.

Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions ke asar se barh gayi hai. Jab ke ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures ko jari rakhte hain, pair mein volatility barhne ki umeed hai, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions par zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur agility barqarar rakhni chahiye, taake wo current market environment ko behtar taur par navigate kar sakein.

Monday ko EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne

Euro ne Thursday ki subah trading mein thodi si recovery dekhi, lekin aik aham sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh 1.12 ke aham level se upar jaa sakta hai. Market is waqt is resistance ka samna kar raha hai aur mazeed barhawa k liye ghair yakeeni surat-e-haal hai. Agar Euro is se upar break kar jaye, to yeh 1.1250 ka level target kar sakta hai, jo aik lambi muddat ke liye buy-and-hold ka moqa faraham kar sakta hai.

Tareekhi tor par, jab bhi market kisi bade round number ya psychologically important level ko hit karta hai, to aksar aik taiz reaction aata hai. Euro in aham numbers ke darmiyan move kar raha hai aur aksar bullish bias ke sath fluctuate kar raha hai. Halanki, aik eventual breakout ka imkaan hai, magar filhal ke market conditions ke madde nazar, yeh foran nahi ho sakta.

Agar bara tasweer dekhein, to hum is currency pair ke liye aik aham resistance zone ke qareeb hain. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve dono ne haali mein interest rates cut kiye hain, lekin Fed ne zyada dramatic cut diya, jo 50 basis points ka tha. Aise action ko panic ka signal samjha ja sakta hai, jo Euro par negative asar daal sakta hai agar global concerns barh jati hain. Iske bawajood, overall sentiment abhi bhi dips per buying ko support karta hai, khaaskar jab bade levels par ho, agar global risk appetite barqarar rahti hai.

Mukhtasir mein, jabke Euro 1.12 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar raha hai, iska upward trajectory abhi bhi intact hai aur market aakhir kar push kar sakta hai. Traders ko pullback ke dauran buying opportunities dekhni chahiye aur global market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo Euro ki agle move ka taayun kar sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Prices ka Gehrai Say Jaiza**

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke aas-paas resistance area ka "false" breakout hua. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf le jaate hain, jo ke aane wale sessions mein neeche ki taraf ho sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity ki kami hoti hai, jo ke zaroori orders ke liye hoti hai. Jab is zone se breakout hota hai, toh wahan rakhe gaye orders, jese buy-stop aur market-buy orders, trigger ho jaate hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhein, toh reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hota hai. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh 1.1096 level tak rasta khul jayega aur phir EMA 200 tak, jo ke 1.1066 par hai. Lekin, yeh is par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna sambhav hai. Yeh pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar dobara trading shuru karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Achhi GDP data aur neeche ki taraf momentum ke baad, market ne jaldi se dollar ko becha, jiski wajah se euro naye high tak chala gaya. Peshgoiyan karna mushkil hai, aur ab ham Germany ke economic reports par nazar rakhte hain. Ham EUR/USD ki National Bank of Switzerland (NBS) ki rate announcement par react hone ki umeed kar rahe hain. EUR/USD lagta hai ke EMA 50 ke upar trading karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke 1.1136 par hai. Agla qadam is baat par depend karega ke wedge pattern kaise develop hota hai. Pehle ke scenario ko madde nazar rakhte hue, pair dobara neeche jaane ki koshish kar sakta hai lekin EMA 20 par 1.1156 tak bhi retrace kar sakta hai. Market ki maujooda halchal ko madde nazar rakhte hue, pair lower trend line se bounce hua hai, aur agar aur trading hoti hai, toh ek aur neeche break karne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Kal Germany aur U.S. se aane wale data releases is movement ko bohot asar daalenge.

EUR/USD pair ki price behaviour ka analysis abhi bhi discussion ke liye khula hai. EUR/USD pair ne tezi se upar ki taraf rukh kiya hai, buyers ne southern movements ko absorb kar liya hai aur resistance level 1.1175 ke qareeb pahunch gaya hai. Agar buyers is 1.1175 level ko tor dete hain (aur 30-minute candle is level ke upar close hoti hai), to hum expect kar sakte hain ke price aur barh kar 1.1199-1.1209 range tak ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pullback hota hai to price 1.1122 level tak wapis aa sakta hai, aur phir se ek koshish ho sakti hai ke 1.1175 ko break kiya jaye. Yad rahe ke aham currencies aksar ek doosre ke sath sync me move karti hain, is liye overall trends par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Main ab H4 chart par focus kar raha hoon, jahan aaj ka "streaming debt" development dikhata hai ke price 1.1199 ke qareeb hai, aur American session ne agle session ko control pass kar diya hai. Hum kal subah phir se check karenge, lekin yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke bearish algorithm ab tak poori tarah se play out nahi hua hai, jo ke mere chart par clearly dikhayi deta hai.

Mere levels aur analysis ke mutabiq, maine ek range identify ki hai jo 100 points ki potential rakhti hai, jo ke strong movement ke liye kafi fuel provide karti hai, chahe kisi bhi direction mein ho. Bullish buy level likely hai, matlab bulls ko 99+ points ka faida ho sakta hai ya phir price 1.12259 resistance ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar bearish level break hota hai, to price lagbhag 99 points tak gir sakta hai, aur 1.10089-1.09932 support zone ko target kar sakta hai. Ek critical level bhi hai 1.11149 ke qareeb, aur bearish movement ki kafi khwahish ke bawajood, current action ko rokne ka koi khas imkana nahi hai. Volatility high hai aur abhi tak slow nahi ho rahi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward movement abhi khatam nahi hui, halan ke main ab sell karne ki koshish kar raha hoon. Main yeh yaqeen se nahi keh sakta ke price 1.11959-1.12269 levels tak pohanchayega, lekin is hafte mein bearish stance lene ka irada rakhta hoon, aur behtareen selling prices ka faida uthana chahta hoon.

Thursday ko apne buland tareen satah par pohch gaya, jab ke US dollar ki wide-scale sell-off ne euro ko support diya. Positive US economic data ne US economy ke slow down kay khauf ko kam kar diya, lekin kuch risks ab bhi mojood hain. US economy ne filhal recession se bach liya hai, lekin key activity data ab bhi slowdown ke isharaat de raha hai. Federal Reserve ke recent faislay ne, jisme unhon ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya, global markets mein kuch khauf paida kiya hai. Baaz investors recession ke baray mein fears ka izhar kar rahe hain.Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazahat ki ke ye rate cut ek proactive measure hai taake US labor market ko support mil sake, na ke recession ke signs ko respond karne ka ikdam. Positive data jisme US durable goods orders aur weekly jobless claims shamil hain, ne Fed ke stance ko aur mazid barhawa diya aur economy ke liye ek soft landing ka tasavvur mazid mazboot kiya. Friday ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data bohot important hoga taake Fed ke recent rate cuts ka asar dekh sake.August mein US durable goods orders 0.0% rahe month-over-month, jo ke expectations ke 2.6% contraction se kaafi behtar hai. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye September 20 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein, jo ke estimates ke 225,000 se behtar hain aur peechlay haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hain.Thursday ke bullish rally ke bawajood, euro ab tak 1.1200 level se neeche hi rahega. Buyers actively koshish kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ko upper limit tak push kar sakein, lekin sellers ke pass momentum ke kami se downside move ke options mehdoood ho rahe hain. Pair ab tak 50-day EMA ke upar 1.1040 par acha khaasa stable hai, aur price action ke liye ab bhi kafi room hai taake wo 1.1200 se upar ja sake.H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to hume nazar aata hai ke takreeban 75% girawat jo hum Wednesday ko dekh rahe thay, wo Thursday ko euro/dollar par recover ho gayi. Aaj Friday hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke upward movement jari rahegi aur pichla local maximum update hoga. H4 chart par southern channel pehle broken tha, aur ek ascending channel form ho gaya hai. Technically, lower border se rebound ke baad ek nai wave of growth shuru hui, aur buyers ka goal upper border tak pohchna hoga, jo takreeban 1.1220 ke level par intersect karega.Hum wahan ki taraf confident pace ke sath barh rahe hain, aur aap euro/dollar ko current levels 1.1176 se buy kar sakte hain. Mera bhi purchase open hai, lekin abhi tak slight drawdown ka samna hai. Agar pair Asia mein aur zyada north extend nahi hota, to hum Europe mein growth ko jari rakhein ge, bilkul kal ke example ke mutabiq.

### EUR/USD Weekly Analysis
Main Euro Dollar pair ka weekly chart par jaiza le raha hoon. Jab yeh pair 0.9708 ke support ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, to European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy ko tight karna shuru kiya. Is wajah se yeh pair resistance 1.11810 tak pohanch gaya. Phir kuch rumors aaye ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apni monetary policy ko tighten karna band kar dega. Us waqt ECB ke bare mein koi baat nahi ho rahi thi, lekin baad mein pata chala ke ECB ne Fed se pehle apni policy ko tight karna band kar diya.

Eurozone mein inflation ne 2% ka target achieve kar liya, aur ECB ko interest rates kaatne pad gaye. Jab Fed ne apni tightening policy band karne ka elan kiya, to is waqt pair 1.05588 par trade kar raha tha aur yeh rise karna shuru hua. Lekin baad mein yeh bhi pata chala ke Fed interest rates nahi kaat raha kyunki inflation ab bhi high thi. Phir jab inflation stagnate ho gayi, to yeh pair wapas previous lows par chala gaya aur range mein trade karne laga.

Ab agle Fed ke bayan se pehle, pair phir se 1.11810 ke resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Inflation stagnate ho chuki hai aur yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke pair ke is rise ke peeche kya wajah hai. Halankeh Fed interest rates kaat raha hai aur inflation 3.2% par hai, yeh itna positive nahi lagta. Mera khayal hai ke pair phir se 1.07684 ke levels ke qareeb laut aayega, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke aisi inflation ke sath uptrend jaari rahega.

Mujhe lagta hai ke market ki current halat ko dekhte hue, yeh pair wapas purani low levels ki taraf aa sakta hai. Is waqt ke market dynamics aur economic indicators ko samajhna zaroori hai. Fed ke decisions ka direct asar currency pairs par hota hai, aur jab tak inflation ke numbers itne high hain, tab tak investor confidence mein kami aa sakti hai.

Is waqt EUR/USD pair ka trend thoda uncertain hai. Market participants ko chahiye ke woh Federal Reserve ke announcements aur inflation ki taraf dekhte rahein. Mujhe lagta hai ke short-term mein range-bound trading dekhne ko milegi, jab tak clear direction nahi milti. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, trading decisions lena behad zaroori hai, aur cautious approach rakhna behtar hoga.

price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai

Abhi ke liye, price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local

Aaj main kuch forex trading par apni soch share karna chahta hoon. USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.
Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.
Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha. Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain.

EUR/USD currency pair filhal 1.1167 par trade ho raha hai, jo kuch pichle sessions mein aik bearish trend ka izhar karta hai. Aik bearish trend aam tor par yeh darust karta hai ke euro, US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif wajahaat ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jese ke maashi data ki releases, geopolitical tensions, aur central bank policies.
Halaanki market mein filhal dheemi harkat hai, lekin bohot se traders aur analysts ka maanna hai ke aik significant shift qareeb hai. Mukhtalif maashi indicators yeh darust karte hain ke market breakout ke liye tayar ho sakti hai. Masalan, Eurozone aur US se aanewale maashi reports investor sentiment ko asar daal sakti hain aur volatility ko trigger kar sakti hain. Aise data jese ke inflation rates, employment figures, aur GDP growth ko nazar se guzarne ki zaroorat hai.

Iske ilawa, central bank ki faislay currency fluctuations mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki mukhtalif monetary policies EUR/USD pair mein volatility mein izafa kar sakti hain. Agar ECB aik zyada hawkish stance ka ishara de, to yeh euro ko mazid majboot kar sakta hai, jab ke Fed ke dovish signals dollar ko aur kamzor kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis bhi potential price levels ko dekhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Traders key support aur resistance levels ko dekh rahe hain, jo yeh darust karte hain ke yeh pair kahan breakout kar sakti hai. Agar price kisi specific resistance level ko todne mein kaamyaab ho jati hai, to yeh momentum mein tabdeel hone ka ishara de sakta hai aur mazeed buyers ko attract kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar yeh ke, jabke EUR/USD filhal bearish trend mein hai aur dheemi harkat kar raha hai, lekin aanewale maashi data, central bank ke faislay, aur technical analysis yeh darust karte hain ke aane wale dinon mein significant movements ka imkaan hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur in developments ke asar se potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

**Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD**
BONUS UPDATE AVIZ SIR.

Chaliye discuss karte hain ke EUR/USD currency pair ka price kis tarah se behave kar raha hai aur is par kya analysis kiya ja sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ka hai jo plausible lagta hai, khaaskar is liye ke aise movements aam tor par broader fundamentals ki wajah se hote hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke aane wale events kaise prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad aanewale elections ismein kirdar ada kar sakte hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruptions ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ki ijaazat de sakta hai. Main aam tor par is broader projection se mutaafiq hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche ja sakte hain, shayad lagbhag 1.1024 tak. Filhal, meri soch selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jane ke liye koi strong foundation hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazah hain, main technical analysis par tawajjoh deta hoon, bearish movement ko pasand karta hoon jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.

Preliminary data eurozone mein consumer confidence par 14:00 GMT par release hoga. Is index ke baare mein umeed hai ke yeh August mein -13.5 se thoda improve hoke September mein -13 ho jayega. New York session ke dauran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par tawajjoh denge jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance ke liye hoga. North American session ke dauran,session ke dauran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par tawajjoh denge jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance ke liye hoga. North American session ke dauran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rahne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rahne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai,


currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Yeh main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobarah test karne ke baad confidence ke sath recover hui hai (1.1000 ki psychological support position ke paas). Relatively weak indicator (RSI) 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar bana raha, to yeh momentum ke izafe ki taraf le jayega. Upar dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro Multi-Headed ke liye main rukawat ban jayega. Is level ka decisive break is asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Agle gear ke liye, 1.1000 ki psychological price aur July 17 ka High Point main support area banenge.

**EUR/USD ANALYSIS**
**D1 Period Chart**
Filhal, EUR/USD pair ke daily chart par wave structure abhi bhi ek upar ki taraf ban raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Pichli trading week multidirectional thi, lekin aakhir mein buyers ko faida mila. Ek kami ki koshish hui aur horizontal support level 1.1108 ke neeche price ko consolidate karne ki koshish hui, jo closing prices par tayyar kiya gaya tha, lekin price wahan ruk nahi payi aur sirf ek spike chhoda. Us din wahan se buyout hua. Is week mein bhi aisa hi hai, yeh level 1.1108 par girawat aur phir wahan se growth dekhne ko milegi.
Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke current market price ka support level 1.1125 hai. Agar EUR/USD ka price is support ko todne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to neeche 1.1061 par aik bohot mazboot support level hai jo 2nd level of support hai. Uske baad, EUR/USD 1.1005 level of support ki taraf aur kam hoga jo 3rd level of support hai.
Jaisa ke umeed kiya gaya tha, price kal pichle August ka maximum update karne mein kaamyaab rahi aur ismein har chance tha kyunki price unchaai se door nahi thi aur general trend ab bhi upar ki taraf tha. Maximum ke paar nikalne ka ek mauqa tha aur maine andaza lagaya ke price zyada door nahi ja payegi kyunki is case mein MACD indicator par bearish divergence pehle se hi tayyar ho chuki thi, aur doosre indicator, CCI bhi upper overheating zone mein phir se aa gaya.

General halat ke mutabiq, ek girawat ki umeed thi, jo kaafi jaldi ho gayi. Mera khayal hai ke agle kuch waqt mein price senior daily waves ke bottoms par banayi gayi ascending line aur main horizontal support level 1.1108 ki taraf press ho jayegi, jahan se price haali mein upar ki taraf ghoomi thi jab usne touch kiya tha. Ek door ka target level 1.1011 hai, lekin ye abhi sirf khwab hain.