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Trading Strategy with EUR/USD Prices

Aayiye EUR/USD currency pair ki current price behavior analysis par baat karte hain. Euro-zone ki economic situation United States ke muqablay mein kharab hoti ja rahi hai. Businesses band hone aur relocate hone ki wajah se, bohot se operations U.S. ki taraf move ho rahe hain, jahan conditions behtar hain. Gold gir gaya hai kyunki investors kamzor assets ko discard kar rahe hain, aur EUR/USD bhi is raaste par hai. Ye meri outlook hai, jo maine niche diye gaye chart mein darshaya hai.

Main H-4 chart par 1.1074 tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon. Mere bullish entry point ko 1.10839 par knock out kiya gaya, jo upward momentum aur buy signal ka ishara tha. Maine 1.10839 par long position li thi lekin ab usse close kar diya hai. Phir bhi, bullish trend ab bhi intact hai, aur aage ke izafe ki sambhavnayein hain, jo shayad resistance levels 1.13469-1.13858 tak pahunche. Is volatility mein izafa aane ki umeed hai, jo presidential elections se pehle barh sakta hai, jo November mein peak karega, aur uske baad agle target 1.1379 ki taraf growth ki sambhavnayein hain.

EUR/USD Trading Outlook

Filhal, mere paas H-4 chart par koi sell signal nahi hai. Main bechne par ghoor karunga agar bears alternative bearish sell level ko todte hain, jo ab 1.10809 ke aas-paas hai. Agar ye bearish scenario jari raha, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price nearest support 1.09779 tak gir jayegi aur bullish trend line ko test karegi. Agar bullish trend line toot jati hai, toh support levels 1.08909-1.08649 tak decline hone ka khatra hai.

U.S. mein jab interest rates ghat rahe hain, toh treasuries kam attractive ho rahe hain, aur investors inhe bech rahe hain. Is wajah se dollar sell-off ho raha hai jab log apni investments ko gold aur un currencies ki taraf shift kar rahe hain jinki interest rates barh rahi hain, khaaskar Britain aur Japan mein. Yehi wajah hai ke EUR/USD mein izafa ho raha hai, aur aage barhne ki sambhavnayein hain. Meri outlook ye darshati hai ke pair 1.1249 tak pahunchega, phir wapas 1.1046 par correct karega.

EUR/USD Analysis

Salam, pyaray traders! Aap kaise hain aaj? Umeed hai ke aap acha kha rahe hain aur trading activities ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj trading week ka doosra din hai, aur main EUR/USD pair ka H1 timeframe ka istemal karte hue analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Kal EUR/USD pair 1.1084 tak gir gaya, aur phir isne phir se upar ki taraf badhna shuru kiya, 1.1144 par price high tak pohanch gaya, aur filhal yeh 1.1072 ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Aage ki updates ke liye H1 timeframe par nazar daalte hain.

**H1 Timeframe Technical Outlook:**

H1 timeframe ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair par bearish positivity nazar aa rahi hai. Market ab 1.11044 par trade kar raha hai, jo Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hai, jo Senkou Span B 1.11247 aur Senkou Span A 1.11593 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh cloud ek mazboot market resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai, jo bullish growth ko rok raha hai. Cloud mein, Senkou Span B 1.11247 line ko highlight karna zaroori hai; yeh Ichimoku indicator ki sab se mazboot line hai, kyunki iska period 52 hai.

Ek aur sell signal Tenkan-sen 1.11110 rotation line ke Kijun-sen 1.11247 reference line ke neeche intersact hone se milta hai. In bearish signals ka combination downward trend ka sanket deta hai. Main sell ke liye ek entry point par ghoor kar raha hoon. Dusri taraf, agar hum stochastic ko dekhein, toh yeh bhi sell ka sanket de raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.10000 ki taraf giregi.

EUR/USD

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke current appraisal par hai. 1.10299 se 1.10599 ke darmiyan ek vital zone ke paas shiddat ka competition hai, jo euro ke liye critical hai. Aisa lagta hai ke is zone mein halka sa breach hua hai, lekin market mein false breakouts aam hain aur in par bharosa nahi karna chahiye. Agar koi decisive break hota hai aur price is zone ke neeche solidify karti hai, toh main selling ki taraf jhuk jaunga. Lekin, mera focus asal mein buying par hai, jiske liye mere ambitious targets hain. Pehla target 1.11799 level ke qareeb hai, aur main objective isse tod kar 1.1399 ki taraf jaana hai. Lekin aaj ek downward scenario bhi samne aa sakta hai, isliye main daily candle ke consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon. Technically, humne na to kal aur na aaj monthly resistance zone se breakout kiya hai. Hum sirf is zone ke lower boundary ko pierce kiya hai aur ab tak technical retracement ka shuruat nahi dekha. Hum movement ka intezar karte rahenge.

Zahir hai ke market stagnant nahi rahegi, khas tor par jab U.S. interest rate mein tabdeeli ka khayal hai. Har aham khabar market par asar daalegi. Pehle hum European events par reaction dekhenge, aur phir hafte ke aakhir mein U.S. par shift hoga. Hafte ka doosra hissa kuch action ka waada karta hai.

EUR/USD ne dobara meri umeedon par khara nahi utra, halanke aaj ki daily candle thodi bearish indication ke saath close ho sakti hai. Lekin, pair ke liye kuch nahi badla, kyunki downward trend jari hai. Hamne achanak 1.1024 ke aas paas agla target achieve kiya, lekin substantial retracement na hone ki wajah se frustration hai. Yeh abhi tak uncertain hai ke yeh false breakout tha ya nahi, kyunki pair ne 1.1024 ke neeche solidify nahi kiya. Fir bhi, aaj kisi significant tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai, lekin kal U.S. inflation data ke saath volatility aa sakti hai. Yeh situation challenging hai, lekin agar yeh 1.1024 ka breakout false sabit hota hai, toh main buying par ghoor karunga.

EUR-USD Pair Review

Pichle teen dinon mein, market sirf daily demand aur supply lines ke beech MA5/MA10 Low aur High ke aas-paas move hui hai, jo daily chart par neela mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh halat aage chalkar sideways movement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke USD abhi tak puri tarah se kamzor ya mixed nahi hai, is liye correlation bhi itni mazboot nahi hai. Hum is halat ko trading ka behtar mauqa samajh sakte hain, lekin is se milne wala munafa zyada nahi hoga. Aise market conditions mein, sell on strength aur buy on weakness strategies kaafi behtar kaam kar sakti hain.

Aaj ka candlestick daily average price ke area mein hai, jo 1.1100 - 1.1080 ke aas-paas hai. Agar aap price history ko dekhein, to is price level par hamesha demand bohot zyada hoti hai. Forex market volume barhne par yehi halat ho sakti hai. Is liye, traders ko is daily chart analysis ke mad e nazar buy trading options kholne par focus karna chahiye, lekin detailed plan ke liye choti timeframes jaise H1 aur H4 ka istemal karna chahiye.

H1 intraday basis par dekha jaye to yeh buy plan ko support nahi karta, kyunki price position Red EMA200 ke neeche hai aur agle support ki taraf girne ki achi sambhavna hai. Intraday data ka istemal karte hue, do key levels dikhai diye jo strong trading signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal kiye ja sakte hain, jo hain green resistance 1.1144 aur yellow support 1.1083. Dono levels ka penetration further downtrend movements ko trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin, pehle ke bearish candle ki size ko dekhte hue, is waqt sell trading option behtar rahega.

Trading Scenario

General taur par, EUR/USD market daily timeframe par wedge pattern banane ki sambhavna rakhta hai, isliye yeh kafi samay le sakta hai. Is wedge pattern ke implications limited movements ko asar daalenge, isliye traders ko zyada munafa ka aim nahi rakhna chahiye. Upar diye gaye analysis se, mere paas H1 basis par kuch short-term trading options hain:

- Sell limit green resistance 1.1133 - 1.1144 ke liye SL 1.1154 aur TP 1.1095.
- Buy limit yellow support 1.1095 - 1.1085 ke liye SL 1.1075.

General taur par, Monday ko movement aisa lag raha tha ke woh phir se giraawat kar sakte hain, aur H4 candle mein dekha gaya ke yeh ema100 ke important area ko touch kiya, lekin end mein isne isko penetrate karne mein rukawat ka samna kiya. Aage ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sell karne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai aur EUR/USD mein bhi yeh ho sakta hai, kyunki ema8 aur ema21 ne kal cross candle banayi, jo sell karne ka behtar mauqa hai. Mera ideal sell target EUR/USD mein 1.10 area tak pahunchnay ka hai, lekin yeh asani se haqeeqat nahi ban sakta aur USD mein abhi tak koi mazbooti nahi hai.

**EUR/USD Technical Outlook**

EUR/USD is filhal 1.1120 par trade kar raha hai. Price ne downward trend mein close kiya hai. Zigzag pattern ek opposite trend dikhata hai. Humne 100 SMA, 50 SMA, aur 20 SMA simple moving averages ko draw kiya hai. 1.1135 par 50-day moving average price ko hit kar raha hai. Agar upside movement hoti hai, to ye baaki moving averages (100-20 SMA) ko paar karega, jo resistance lines ke tor par 1.1170 aur 1.1185 par hain. Bullish trend ka aane ke liye, resistance levels 1.1150 aur 1.1155 ko todna hoga. Is taraf bearishness ka asar primary support level 1.1080 tak pahuncha sakta hai aur phir second support level 1.1050 par aa sakta hai.

RSI-14 indicator abhi 47.90 par hai, jo oversold level se upar hai. Mom (14) oscillator 98.80 par price decline ka signal de raha hai. EUR/USD ne H4 time frame par triangle model ke mutabiq correction ki hai. Is surat mein market mein enter karna munasib nahi hai. Trading se pehle price chart ka jaiza lena aur ready-made forecasts ka mutala karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka technical picture H4 time frame par dikhata hai ke current price 1.1075 hai. RSI is couple ki movement ke bare mein clear signals nahi de raha. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, lines intertwined hain, jo flat market ko dikhata hai. Couple cloud ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo sideways movement ko darshata hai. Is halat mein switch karna behtar nahi hai. Agar is pair mein enter karne ki koi khaas wajah hai, to sabr karein aur flat se nikalne ka intazaar karein, phir technical analysis karke entry lein.

Trading mein hamesha market ke current trends aur conditions par nazar rakhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, patience aur careful analysis se hi behtareen decisions liye ja sakte hain. Market ki volatility aur price movements ko samajhna ahem hai, taake trading ke dauran kisi bhi potential risk se bacha ja sake.

Is hafte ke economic calendar ke shuruat mein aram ne dollar ko takreeban tamam badi currencies ke khilaf kuch support dila diya, siwaye yen ke, jisne EUR/USD par niche ka dabao dala. Ye Friday ke girawat ke baad hua jab latest US employment data ne Fed ke employment mein kamzori ke khauf ko tasdeeq kiya.

Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur sakke par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi.

Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, utsalar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziyata hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25 basis point ke sath rehna hai.

Is liye, yeh report kafi tawajju hasil kar sakti hai, special agar numbers expectations se kaafi alag niklay. Inflation chaar mahine tak silsilewar slow hui hai, aur July mein 2.9% year-on-year tak pohanch gayi, jo March 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh mazeed kam hoke 2.6% ho jayegi

EUR-USD Pair Review

Pichle teen dinon mein, market sirf daily demand aur supply lines ke beech MA5/MA10 Low aur High ke aas-paas move hui hai, jo daily chart par neela mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh halat aage chalkar sideways movement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke USD abhi tak puri tarah se kamzor ya mixed nahi hai, is liye correlation bhi itni mazboot nahi hai. Hum is halat ko trading ka behtar mauqa samajh sakte hain, lekin is se milne wala munafa zyada nahi hoga. Aise market conditions mein, sell on strength aur buy on weakness strategies kaafi behtar kaam kar sakti hain.

Aaj ka candlestick daily average price ke area mein hai, jo 1.1100 - 1.1080 ke aas-paas hai. Agar aap price history ko dekhein, to is price level par hamesha demand bohot zyada hoti hai. Forex market volume barhne par yehi halat ho sakti hai. Is liye, traders ko is daily chart analysis ke mad e nazar buy trading options kholne par focus karna chahiye, lekin detailed plan ke liye choti timeframes jaise H1 aur H4 ka istemal karna chahiye.

H1 intraday basis par dekha jaye to yeh buy plan ko support nahi karta, kyunki price position Red EMA200 ke neeche hai aur agle support ki taraf girne ki achi sambhavna hai. Intraday data ka istemal karte hue, do key levels dikhai diye jo strong trading signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal kiye ja sakte hain, jo hain green resistance 1.1144 aur yellow support 1.1083. Dono levels ka penetration further downtrend movements ko trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin, pehle ke bearish candle ki size ko dekhte hue, is waqt sell trading option behtar rahega.

Trading Scenario

General taur par, EUR/USD market daily timeframe par wedge pattern banane ki sambhavna rakhta hai, isliye yeh kafi samay le sakta hai. Is wedge pattern ke implications limited movements ko asar daalenge, isliye traders ko zyada munafa ka aim nahi rakhna chahiye. Upar diye gaye analysis se, mere paas H1 basis par kuch short-term trading options hain:

- Sell limit green resistance 1.1133 - 1.1144 ke liye SL 1.1154 aur TP 1.1095.
- Buy limit yellow support 1.1095 - 1.1085 ke liye SL 1.1075.

General taur par, Monday ko movement aisa lag raha tha ke woh phir se giraawat kar sakte hain, aur H4 candle mein dekha gaya ke yeh ema100 ke important area ko touch kiya, lekin end mein isne isko penetrate karne mein rukawat ka samna kiya. Aage ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sell karne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai aur EUR/USD mein bhi yeh ho sakta hai, kyunki ema8 aur ema21 ne kal cross candle banayi, jo sell karne ka behtar mauqa hai. Mera ideal sell target EUR/USD mein 1.10 area tak pahunchnay ka hai, lekin yeh asani se haqeeqat nahi ban sakta aur USD mein abhi tak koi mazbooti nahi hai.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Pichlay hafta Euro ne apni gains ko extend karne ki koshish ki lekin key resistance ko break nahi kar saka aur rangebound raha. Price pehlay 1.1198 ke qareeb pohanchi lekin wahan se thori retreat hui aur phir wapas start point ki taraf 1.1121 ke neechay chalna shuru kar diya. Isliye expected sustainable development ka scenario materialize nahi ho saka aur target area abhi bhi valid hai. Halaat ye hain ke price chart abhi bhi supertrend green zone mein hai, jo ye batata hai ke buyers control mein hain.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar ne Monday ko apni uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, Federal Reserve ke bayanaat ke bawajood, jisme yeh indication thi ke central bank aglay saal se interest rates ko zyada sharply cut kar sakta hai. US Dollar Index ne halki gains dikhai aur 100.84 points per tha jab ke kal ke close 100.72 points tha. Pehle working din mein index ka minimum 100.22 points tha aur maximum level 101.23 points tak gaya. Niche chart mein dekhiye:



Is waqt EUR/USD pair dono directions mein trade kar rahi hai aur weekly basis par neutral hai. Key support areas pressure mein hain, magar abhi tak woh price ko fall hone se rok rahay hain, jo upward vector ko relevant banaye huye hain. Ager price recover kar ke confidently 1.1121 level ke upar consolidate karti hai, jo ke main support area ka border hai, toh ek naye upward move ka chance hai jiska target 1.1283 aur 1.1373 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price reversal level 1.1033 se neeche jati hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Yeh jo technical analysis upar explain hui hai, uss ke mutabiq, current trend condition abhi bhi kafi zyada buying pressure mein hai. Is liye, aglay trading plan ke liye, main sell option se zyada buy option ko prefer karta hoon. Lekin, behtar yeh hoga ke re-entry tab karein jab price move hoke resistance zone 1.1125 ko breakout kar le. Agar candlestick ne successfully resistance level ko cross kar liya aur usse support level bana diya, toh yeh ek strong momentum hoga jo bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karega.
Buy entry zone ke liye, main price level 1.1136 par entry plan kar raha hoon. Pehla target 1.1183 area mein hai, aur agar yeh area breakout ho gaya toh main doosra buy trading level 1.1192 par plan karunga, har entry ke liye SL ka faasla lagbhag 35 pips ka hoga. Abhi ke liye, main yeh dekh raha hoon ke EUR/USD mein price movement bullish rahegi aur buy option zyada preferable hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hum aaj baat karenge. 4-hour chart par bulls apni position maintain kar rahe hain aur yahan par upward movement ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Technical indicators se kisi immediate limitations ka signal nahi mil raha. Price 25% support level 1.1068 ke thoda upar hai aur 1/1 angle ke upar hi rehne se upward trend signal ho raha hai, lekin bull market mein kuch weakness bhi dikhayi de rahi hai.

EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators dono buy signals de rahe hain. EUR/USD currency pair ke D1 chart ko dobara dekhne par, pichle haftay ke low ko price ne break kiya aur expected target 1.1014 jo support level tha, us tak pohoncha. Higher time frame ke wave structure mein upward direction ka point hai. MACD upper buy zone mein hai, jab ke primary target 1.1014 closing prices ke mutabiq successfully reach kar chuka hai, jo iss level se significant growth trigger kar raha hai.

US trading zone ke market sentiment ke dauran, short-term profit targets jaise ke 33 pips, traders ko nimble rehne, quick profits capture karne aur market reversal ke risk ko minimize karne mein madad dete hain. Market ke sharp decline aur stable seller dominance ko dekhte hue, modest target set karna traders ko unnecessary losses se bachata hai agar market turn around ho jaye. Yeh approach volatile market environment mein ek cautious lekin opportunistic stance ke sath align hoti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD market zone 1.1177 ko jald ya der mein cross karega.

Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke yeh consider kiya jaye ke market agle kuch arsay tak sellers ke favor mein rahegi. Consistent downward trajectory aur bullish activity ke lack ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke sellers abhi firmly control mein hain. Market sentiment overwhelmingly negative hai, aur jab tak reversal ke concrete signs na milain, yeh reasonable hai ke assume karein ke bears dominate karte rahenge. Aise mein, traders ko un key support areas ko identify karna chahiye jahan price temporarily pause ho sakti hai.

Daily Timeframe: Naya trading week decline ke sath shuru hua, lekin abhi yeh trend reversal ko indicate nahi karta. Chalo D1 period chart ka jaiza lete hain - EUR/USD currency pair. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Pichla trading week multi-directional tha, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne control hasil kar liya. Price ko horizontal support level 1.1111, jo closing prices par build kiya gaya tha, ke niche fix karne ki koshish hui thi, lekin price wahan hold nahi kar saki aur sirf ek spike chhod diya, usi din se wahan se ek buyout hua.
Mumkin hai ke price pichle August ka maximum update karne wali hai aur is baat ka pura chance hai kyunki price top se door nahi hai, aur general trend ascending hi raha. Agar yeh maximum se bahar nikalti hai, toh price zyada door nahi jaayegi kyunki is case mein MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence banegi, aur shayad second CCI indicator par bhi. Yeh pehle se upper overheating zone mein hai. Kya yeh maximum se bahar nikal payegi ya nahi, yeh general state of affairs par mabni hai, mujhe lagta hai ke kareebi future mein price ko down press kiya jaayega ascending line tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par build ki gayi hai.

Agar yeh line hold nahi karti, toh price phir se main horizontal support level 1.1010 tak descend karegi, jahan se price ne recent touch ke sath upar move kiya tha, yeh current September ka minimum hai. Ek door ka target level 1.0955 hai, jo sirf daily nahi balki weekly bhi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke near future mein price is level se niche nahi jayegi. Beshak, pehle price ko pichle month ke maximum se upar le jaa sakte hain, lekin agar aisa hota bhi hai, toh mere khayal se yeh sirf behtar prices dene ke liye hoga taa ke behtar prices par sell kiya ja sake.

Main news package 16:45 Moscow time par hai: US Manufacturing PMI, US Composite PMI from S&P Global, trading zone ke market sentiment ke dauran, short-term profit targets jaise ke 33 pips, traders ko nimble rehne, quick profits capture karne aur market reversal ke risk ko minimize karne mein madad dete hain. Market ke sharp decline aur stable seller dominance ko dekhte hue, modest target set karna traders ko unnecessary losses se bachata hai agar market turn around ho jaye. Yeh approach volatile market environment mein ek cautious lekin opportunistic stance ke sath align hoti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD Services PMI.

Daily Timeframe: Naya trading week decline ke sath shuru hua, lekin abhi yeh trend reversal ko indicate nahi karta. Chalo D1 period chart ka jaiza lete hain - EUR/USD currency pair. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Pichla trading week multi-directional tha, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne control hasil kar liya. Price ko horizontal support level 1.1111, jo closing prices par build kiya gaya tha, ke niche fix karne ki koshish hui thi, lekin price wahan hold nahi kar saki aur sirf ek spike chhod diya, usi din se wahan se ek buyout hua.
Mumkin hai ke price pichle August ka maximum update karne wali hai aur is baat ka pura chance hai kyunki price top se door nahi hai, aur general trend ascending hi raha. Agar yeh maximum se bahar nikalti hai, toh price zyada door nahi jaayegi kyunki is case mein MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence banegi, aur shayad second CCI indicator par bhi. Yeh pehle se upper overheating zone mein hai. Kya yeh maximum se bahar nikal payegi ya nahi, yeh general state of affairs par mabni hai, mujhe lagta hai ke kareebi future mein price ko down press kiya jaayega ascending line tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par build ki gayi hai.

Agar yeh line hold nahi karti, toh price phir se main horizontal support level 1.1010 tak descend karegi, jahan se price ne recent touch ke sath upar move kiya tha, yeh current September ka minimum hai. Ek door ka target level 1.0955 hai, jo sirf daily nahi balki weekly bhi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke near future mein price is level se niche nahi jayegi. Beshak, pehle price ko pichle month ke maximum se upar le jaa sakte hain, lekin agar aisa hota bhi hai, toh mere khayal se yeh sirf behtar prices dene ke liye hoga taa ke behtar prices par sell kiya ja sake.
ke 33 pips, traders ko nimble rehne, quick profits capture karne aur market reversal ke risk ko minimize karne mein madad dete hain. Market ke sharp decline aur stable seller dominance ko dekhte hue, modest target set karna traders ko unnecessary losses se bachata hai agar market turn around ho jaye. Yeh approach volatile market environment mein ek cautious lekin opportunistic stance ke sath align hoti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD




ke 33 pips, traders ko nimble rehne, quick

profits capture karne aur market reversal ke risk ko minimize karne mein madad dete hain. Market ke sharp decline aur stable seller dominance ko dekhte hue, modest target set karna traders ko unnecessary losses se bachata hai agar market turn around ho jaye. Yeh approach volatile market environment mein ek cautious lekin opportunistic stance ke sath align hoti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD

Currency pair mein hal hi mein ek notable shift nazar aayi hai, jismein apne intraday gains ko surrender karke 1.1130 mark ke neeche slip kar gayi, jab ke Tuesday ko early Asian session mein weekly high 1.1171 par pohonchi thi. Yeh retreat strong recovery ki wajah se hua jo US Dollar (USD) mein dekhne ko mili, jo ke momentum regain kar chuka hai, aur is wajah se euro ka apne American counterpart ke against performance affect hui hai.
US Economic Data aur Wage Growth ke Insights ka Asar
appeal kam ho rahi thi, khaaskar us waqt ke baad jab significant economic indicators publish hui. US JOLTS Job Openings data July ke liye aur ADP Employment data August ke liye ne labor market ke kamzori ke concerns ko barhawa diya. Job vacancies aur private sector payroll additions apne teen aur adha saal ke lowest levels par pohonch gaye, jo ke 7.67 million aur 99,000 hai. Yeh data ek aane wali economic slowdown ka dar paida karta hai, jis se US dollar ki strength par zyada scrutiny hui.

Lekin US Average Hourly Earnings data ne labor market ka ek optimistic picture dikhaya. August mein wage growth 3.8% tak accelerate hui, jo ke pehle ke estimates 3.7% se zyada hai aur July ke 3.6% se bhi zyada hai. Iske ilawa, monthly wage growth ne bhi expectations ko outperform kiya, jo 0.4% thi jab ke prediction 0.3% thi, aur pichle month ka figure 0.2% tha. Yeh stronger-than-anticipated wage growth consumer spending ko support kar sakti hai, jo ke employment levels ke concerns ka Outlook bullish lag raha hai. Dono 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, jo ke 1.1139 aur 1.1115 par hain, upward trend mein hain. Moving averages ka yeh alignment is baat ko suggest karta hai ke agar euro in critical support levels ke upar hold kar sake toh gain ka potential barh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, hourly time frame par Rising Channel breakout ke upar pair hold kar rahi hai, jo iske bullish potential ko mazid reinforce kar rahi hai.
potential barh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, hourly time frame par Rising Channel breakout ke upar pair hold kar rahi hai, jo iske bullish potential ko mazid reinforce kar rahi hai.

Market Indicators

Lekin sabhi indicators favorable direction mein signal nahi kar rahe. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 60.00 se neeche dip kar gaya hai, jo ke pehle 75.00 ke overbought condition ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara hai ke euro ke liye ek cooling-off period ho sakta hai, is liye traders ko apne positions mein ehtiyaat se rehna chahiye.
Market Indicators

Lekin sabhi indicators ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Maqaale mein likha hai ke US dollar ki appeal kam ho rahi thi, khaaskar us

EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior analysis pe focus karte hain. Euro-zone ka economic situation United States ke muqablay mein zyada kharab ho raha hai. Bohat si companies band ho rahi hain aur kuch apni operations shift kar ke U.S. move kar rahi hain, jahan conditions zyada favorable hain. Gold ki qeemat gir rahi hai kyun ke investors kamzor assets ko discard kar rahe hain, aur EUR/USD bhi usi raaste pe chal raha hai. Yeh mera outlook hai, jo maine neeche diye gaye chart mein illustrate kiya hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke H-4 chart pe correction 1.1074 tak ho. Maine 1.10839 pe ek bullish entry point li thi, jo upward momentum aur ek buy signal ko indicate kar rahi thi. Maine 1.10839 pe ek long position enter ki thi lekin ab close kar di hai. Phir bhi, bullish trend abhi tak intact hai, aur mazeed gains ke chances hain, jo shayad resistance levels 1.13469-1.13858 tak pohch sakte hain. Presidential elections ke qareeb, volatility zyada hogi, aur November tak peak karegi, jiske baad growth ka agla target 1.1379 ho sakta hai.

Abhi tak H-4 chart pe koi sell signal nahi mila. Main sell ka sochunga agar bears ne alternative bearish sell level ko break kiya, jo abhi 1.10809 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh bearish scenario continue karta hai, to main expect karta hoon ke price nearest support 1.09779 tak giraygi aur bullish trend line ko test karegi. Agar bullish trend line break hoti hai, to ek decline ka risk hai jo support levels 1.08909-1.08649 tak ja sakta hai. U.S. mein interest rates ke girne se treasuries kam attractive ho rahi hain, aur investors inhe offload kar rahe hain. Yeh dollar sell-off ka sabab ban raha hai kyun ke investors apni investments shift kar rahe hain gold aur aisi currencies mein jahan interest rates barh rahe hain, khaaskar Britain aur Japan mein. Yeh explain karta hai ke EUR/USD mein growth ho rahi hai, aur mazeed growth ke chances hain. Mera outlook yeh hai ke pair 1.1249 tak pohchaygi, phir 1.1046 tak wapas correct hogi.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD Price Action ka Jaiza
Market Overview: EUR/USD dunya ka sabse zyada traded currency pair hai, jo eurozone aur U.S. economies ke darmiyan relative strength aur macroeconomic data pe depend karta hai. Recent dino mein, EUR/USD mein volatility barh gayi hai, kyun ke dono regions se mixed economic data saamne aayi hai. U.S. ka Federal Reserve apne hawkish monetary policy stance ko continue kar raha hai, jab ke ECB (European Central Bank) inflation control karne ke liye interest rates ko upar rakhne par zor de raha hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels: Is waqt EUR/USD ne 1.0650 ke qareeb ek strong support level bana rakha hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, toh next support 1.0600 ke aas paas hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.0750 ka resistance level pehle bhi price ko roknay mein kaamyaab raha hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karta hai, toh next target 1.0800 ho sakta hai. Yeh level bhi ek psychological barrier ke taur par kaam karega.

Trend Analysis: Haal ke dino mein EUR/USD ek bearish trend mein hai, jahan price lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai. Moving averages jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day, dono neeche ki taraf sloping hain, jo ke selling pressure ko reflect karte hain. Agar price 1.0700 ke upar ek strong close deta hai, toh kuch bullish recovery ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Lekin jab tak price 1.0800 ko convincingly break nahi karta, tab tak overall trend bearish hi rahega.

Fundamental Factors: Eurozone ke economic data, jaise ke GDP growth aur inflation figures, ne euro ki strength ko affect kiya hai. U.S. side se, Federal Reserve ka interest rates ko high rakhne ka irada U.S. dollar ko support kar raha hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke geopolitical tensions aur global market risk sentiment bhi EUR/USD ke movement ko kaafi influence karte hain.

Conclusion: EUR/USD ka short-term bias abhi bearish lag raha hai, magar aane wale dino mein central bank policies aur economic data par depend karega. Dono economies se inflation aur growth data, aur Federal Reserve aur ECB ke statements traders ke liye key factors hain. Traders ko geopolitical events aur risk sentiment pe bhi nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh EUR/USD ke price action ko kaafi had tak drive karte hain.

Charting Success: EUR/USD

Hamara central point discussion ka EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis hogi. Main is movement ko ek final koshish ke tor par dekhta hoon ke growth ko generate kare, lekin order book dikhati hai ke volumes 1.1186 level par stable hain aur trading ke end tak barh rahe hain. Market EMA8 ke fast level par 1.1164 par close hui, jo "hanging" candle pattern se align karti hai. Main anticipate karta hoon ke EUR/USD EMA20 level tak drop karegi, jo ke 1.1144 par hai, aur ek break hoga ascending trend se jiska border 1.1116 par hai, jahan pair ko EMA50 ka support milne ka imkan hai. Main expect karta hoon ke pair 1.101 tak decline kare, aur ek further drop 1.0961 tak bhi possible hai. Lekin, kaafi kuch U.S. stock market ki behavior par depend karta hai, jo ke record growth experience kar rahi hai. Hum is currency pair ko D1 chart par closely monitor kar rahe hain. EUR/USD pair ne trading 1.1163 par close ki. Technical indicators ek upward trend suggest karte hain.

Is dauran, chah kar bhi price ko neeche push karne ki koshish mein 1.1071 level ko breach karne mein kamiyabi nahi mili. Pair abhi bhi ek ascending channel mein move kar rahi hai. Ek retest ke baad aur teesri dafa 1.1071 ko hit karne par, bulls ne step in kiya aur pair ko wapas oopar push kiya. Yeh dynamics zyada tar hafta ke doran chale, Wednesday shaam tak jab focus Fed ke rate announcement par shift ho gaya. Sabse important factor yeh hai ke rate cut U.S. dollar ke against jaayegi, aur further easing ka indication hai. Yeh bullish movement ko signify karta hai, lekin resistance 1.1191 ke aas paas barqarar rahega. Mujhe shak hai ke yeh resistance asani se break hoga, lekin agar pair 1.111 ya 1.1121 tak correct kare, to stabilization ho sakti hai aur phir rebound ka mumkin hai. Support ko hit karne ke baad, buyers bullish trend resume kar sakte hain, jo further gains ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh dono hourly aur four-hour charts par apply hota hai.