eur/usd

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajwez hai. European currency ki limited decline interest rate cut ke baad yeh darshati hai ke market ne is event ko achhi tarah se anticipate kiya tha. Is anticipation ne rate cut ke asar ko kam kar diya. Iske ilawa, aane wali news from the US market ko zyada significant tareeqe se influence kar sakti hai. Agar koi bade surprises nahi hote, to EUR/USD pair naye highs tak pohnch sakti hai. Main ne aapke screenshots dekhe, aur jabke aap ek potential decline ke bare mein kaafi optimistic nazar aate hain, technical indicators filhal EUR/USD ke liye growth ko support karte hain. Recent aur older data ke beech koi significant discrepancies nahi hain jo iska ulta suggest kar sakein. Main 1.1060 ke support level ke aas-pass ek buying opportunity dekh raha hoon. Price abhi solid aur bullish nature ki lagti hai.

EUR/USD ki situation abhi bhi complex hai, aur immediate targets nazar nahi aa rahe. Halankeh hum 1.10 ke niche break nahi kar paaye, pair 1.11 ke upar chadh gayi thi lekin us level ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Recent market action, jisme ek pin bar formation bhi shamil hai, yeh darshata hai ke further declines mumkin hain. Dollar ki direction agle hafte, khaaskar Fed ke decisions ke saath, bohot crucial hogi. Main filhal sell karne ka soch nahi raha, lekin agar pair 1.1025 ke niche girti hai to buy karne ke liye open hoon. Main specific support aur resistance levels par rely nahi karta, balki broader support aur resistance zones ko prefer karta hoon jo trend changes par based hote hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye, agar December daily resistance zone se rebound hota hai to yeh ek sell opportunity ka signal de sakta hai. Mera perspective accompanying chart mein dikhaya gaya hai, jahan bearish pattern potential selling points ko indicate karta hai.

EUR/USD pair ki movement par nazar rakhoon ga kyunke aglay haftay yeh aik trading mauqa ho sakta hai. Guzashta haftay ke aghaz se market ki halat ne position 1.1084 se safar shuru kiya tha aur 1.1003 ke area tak neeche jaanay ki koshish ki, yeh 4-hour time frame chart se dekhne ko mila. Aisa lagta tha ke Friday ya Saturday raat ko market ke khulnay ke baad buyers ki strength nazar aayi thi, jo ke market ka trend mazid mazboot kar sakti thi. Lekin yeh rise haftay ke aghaz ke level ko cross nahi kar saka. Overall, lagta hai ke is haftay ke trading session mein market abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ka rujhan dikhata hai. Point 1.1075 par candlestick ka safar kuch arsay ke liye ruk gaya. Abhi bhi market sellers ke haath mein hai jo ke prices ko mazid neeche le jaa sakte hain aur highest monthly zone se door kar sakte hain. Jo monthly candlestick shuru mein bullish thi, wo aakhir kar ke is haftay EUR/USD pair ke price girne ki wajah se opening position ke neeche chali gayi.
Mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi sellers ka control bana reh sakta hai, jo ke prices ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar rahay hain, aur aglay haftay ke liye market ka yeh hi pattern ho sakta hai. Is haftay ka sabse neecha price level 1.1003 par hai. Agar aglay haftay yeh level break hota hai to lagta hai ke market ka downtrend lamba chalay ga. Hafta ke aakhir mein thori si buying interest dekhne ko mili, lekin woh market ko upar rehne nahi de saka. Trend pattern yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka raaj rahe ga, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay bhi sellers market ko control mein rakhein ge.
Bearish side ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke price neeche ki taraf move karne ki koshish karta rahe ga. Subah jo candlestick khatam hui thi, wo 100 simple moving average zone ke neeche thi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market ka trend mazid decline karne ka imkaan hai. Agar selling candlestick ko 1.1046 ke price zone ke neeche le jaane mein kamyaab hoti hai, to aglay haftay bhi bearish trend market par haavi reh sakta hai.

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka vasaar deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek zafa izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai. Click image for larger version

Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

Fundamental Outlook of EUR/USD

EUR/USD karansi jori is waqt aik mushkil soorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai, jo kay kai factors se mutasir hai. Aik bara element jo iss jori ko asar andaz kar raha hai woh European Central Bank (ECB) ki sood ki sharah kam karne ki bartan hoti ummeed hai, jiska jaldi hi elaan kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaaran is mumkin sood ki sharah mein kami par baray ghore se nazar rakhay hue hain kyun ke sood ki sharah mein kami aik karansi ko kamzor kar deti hai. Euro pehle se hi dusri bari karansiyon ke muqablay mein mushkil ka shikar hai, aur yeh rujhaan jari reh sakta hai agar ECB sood ki sharah mein kami ka faisla karta hai. Sood ki sharah mein kami ka sabab Eurozone mein afraat-e-zar mein ahista rone ki wajah se hai. Tajaazya garon ka andaza hai ke afraat-e-zar, jo ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se naapta jata hai, mazeed thanda hota rahega. August ke liye HICP ki mukammal sharah 2.3% tak girne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke core inflation jo zyada utar chadhaw walay components ko nikaal kar nape jati hai, uske 2.8% tak girne ki paishgoi hai. Yeh afraat-e-zar ki adad o shumaar yeh izhar karti hain ke ECB ko sood ki sharah ko mazeed kam karna par sakta hai taake maeeshat ko sahara diya ja sake
Eurozone ki bari maeeshati soorat-e-haal ab bhi ghair yaqiniyat se do-chaar hai, jo Euro ke liye mazeed mushkilat paida kar rahi hai. Hal hi mein aye maeeshati data ne maeeshati sar-garmi mein maamooli behtari ka izhaar kiya, khas tor par France mein Paris Olympics ki wajah se, magar yeh izafa mawamlaat waqt tak mehdood samjha jata hai. Eurozone ki maeeshati soorat-e-haal ke hawalay se ab bhi ehtiyat pasandi ka rawaiya hai, kamzor nuqta nazar ke saath jo karansi par dabao daal raha hai. ECB ke aham shaksiyat, iske ahdaaydar, is shay par tawajjoh dein hain ke afraat-e-zar par qaabu paane ki jari koshishain aakhir kar mein kaamyaab hongi ya nahi. Is ghair yaqiniyat ke saath, tajaray apni soch mein yeh mansoobay shamil kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Union ki Main Refinancing Rate ki jari karwai is Jumairat ko mazeed bazaar mein utar chadhav la sakti hai, kyunke yeh sood ki sharah ECB ke mustaqbil ki maali policies ke hawalay se mazeed asharaat faraham karegi.
EUR/USD Technical Overview:
Technical tor par, EUR/USD aik ahem nuqtay par trade kar raha hai. Yeh jori aik ahem support level 1.1010 se neeche gir gayi hai, jo bazaar mein kamzori ki nishandahi karta hai. Kai technical indicators, jin mein Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) shamil hain, bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Yeh is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke bazaar qareeb waqt mein neeche ki taraf chal sakta hai. Agar yeh jori mazeed girti hai, toh agla ahem support level 1.0999 ke aas-paas hai, aik psychological had hai jo agar toot jaye toh mazeed bechne aur mumkin tor par qeemat mein mazeed tezi se girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai Iske bawajood, kuch tajaray aik muktasar upar ki taraf islah ki mumkinat ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Yeh is liye hai kyunke qeemat abhi bhi aham moving averages, maslan 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ke kareeb hai, aur wahan se aik choti si bounce ho sakti hai is se pehle ke qeemat dobara neeche ki taraf apni rujhaan mein lautay. Abhi ke liye, qeemat apni haftawari range se neeche trade ho rahi hai aur tajaray ECB ke sood ki sharah ke faislay se pehle short-selling ke mauqay dhoond rahe hain. Agar qeemat 1.1003 se wapas uthti hai, toh yeh 1.11339 tak barh sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar bearish pressure khabron ke baad bhi qayim rehta hai, toh yeh jori 1.08739 ke level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is liye, tajaray in ahem nuqtay par bariki se nazar rakh rahe hain aur aane wali taja tor par apni position adjust kar rahe hain

ECB ka September 2024 meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karne ka imkaan hai, jo ke is saal ka dosra cut hoga, pehla cut June mein hua tha. Is cut ke baad main interest rate funding operations ke liye 4% par aa jayega, deposit facility rate 3.5% hoga, aur marginal lending rate 4.25% ho jayega. Ye faisla Eurozone mein inflation ke 2.2% par girne ke baad liya ja raha hai, jo July 2021 ke baad ka sab se kam level hai, jab ke core inflation bhi 2.8% tak aa gayi hai. Is ke sath sath wage growth bhi slow hui hai aur GDP growth Q2 ke liye 0.2% tak revise ki gayi hai. Investors ECB ke future action aur mazeed interest rate cuts ka andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain, bohot se log ye predict kar rahe hain ke main deposit rate har quarter mein 25 basis points kam hoti rahegi jab tak September aglay saal nahi aata. Is ke ilawa, naye economic forecasts bhi release honge.

Price mein slight recovery ka imkaan hai, lekin koi khaas tabdeeli anticipate nahi ki ja rahi. Price weekly range se neeche hai, is liye focus selling opportunities par hai. Aane wali news se volatility aane ka imkaan hai. Agar price 1.1003 se upar jati hai, to 1.11339 tak ja sakti hai, lekin agar selling trend jari rehti hai, to price 1.08739 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Ye key levels hain, lekin volatility inhe badal sakti hai.

Currency pair ne critical support level 1.1010 ke neeche gir kar market weakness ka indication diya hai. Multiple technical indicators, jaise ke MACD aur RSI, bearish trend ka ishara de rahe hain, jo market mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai. Agar pair aur girta hai, to next significant support 1.0999 par hai, jo ek psychological level hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to zyada selling ho sakti hai aur price mein aur tez girawat ka imkaan hai.

Kuch traders expect kar rahe hain ke ek chhoti upward correction ho sakti hai, kyunke price important moving averages, jaise ke 50-day EMA, ke qareeb hai. Is se ek rebound ho sakta hai pehle ke downward trend phir se shuru ho. Haal filhaal, price weekly range ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, aur traders short-selling opportunities dhoond rahe hain, khaaskar ECB ke rate decision se pehle. Agar price 1.1003 se wapas bounce karti hai, to ye 1.11339 tak barh sakti hai; lekin agar bearish pressure news ke baad bhi jari rehti hai, to pair 1.08739 level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Traders in key levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur apni positions adjust kar rahe hain upcoming developments ke mutabiq.

Agar price 1.12000 ko convincingly break nahi kar paayi, to ek retracement 1.09000 region ki taraf ho sakti hai, jahan ek naya FVG (Fair Value Gap) form ho chuka hai. Ye area, aur 1.08000 demand zone, support aur buying interest provide kar sakte hain, jo further downside ko rok sakte hain.

Doosri taraf, agar bulls apni taqat jama kar lete hain aur resistance ko 1.12000 par break kar lete hain, to agla target liquidity zone hoga 1.14000 ke qareeb, jo ke 2022 ke highs ke sath coincide karta hai. Halaat ke mutabiq, traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price 1.12000 resistance level ke sath kis tarah interact karti hai. Agar price break hoti hai, to continued bullish move ka signal milega higher levels ki taraf, jabke failure ek short-term retracement ka ishara dega lower support zones ki taraf. Key levels jo monitor karne chahiye unmein 1.08000 aur 1.06000 downside par, aur 1.12000 aur 1.14000 upside par

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka vasaar deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek zafa izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

Price puri European trading session mein stagnant rahi, aur phir US session ke aghaz par ek jazbaati tezi expected thi. Us waqt, US ne NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment rates, aur average earnings ke reports publish kiye. In reports ko wazeh tor par interpreter karna mushkil tha kyun ke unemployment rate thoda kam hua magar forecast ke andar hi raha; NonFarms ki tadaad forecast se thodi kam thi magar pehli value se zyada thi; wages mein izafa hua, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se monetary policy ke aggressive easing ke chances ko kuch kam karta hai. Market ne in data ko “shara'iti tor par positive” samjha, aur dollar thoda barh gaya. Lekin yeh reports dollar ke liye koi khaas achay prospects nahi kholte. Labor market aur unemployment ke data ab bhi umeedon par pura nahi utarte, jo ke Fed ko kam az kam ek ya do dafa key rate kam karne par majboor karenge. Market ne in "ek ya do dafa" ke rate cuts ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai, magar ab bhi zyadatar aggressive policy easing ka intezar kar raha hai. Jumay ko 5-minute time frame par pehle poori flat thi, phir turbulence dekha gaya. US trading session ke dauran, naye traders sirf do sell signals par kaam kar sakte thay jo ke level 1.1132 ke qareeb aaye, kyun ke yeh sabse accurate thay. Magar macroeconomic background ka asar kafi zyada tha, toh 1.1132 ka level surpass ho sakta tha. 1.1091 ke level par ek hi waqt mein chaar trading signals bane, magar sabhi inaccurate aur contradictory thay. **Monday ko kaise trade karein:**
Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ne apni ascending trend line ke neeche consolidation ki hai, aur pehli dafa bohat arsay baad ek downward trend banane ka mauqa hai jo logical aur tamam analysis factors ke mutabiq hoga. Lekin afsos ke sath, illogical dollar sales jaldi se dobara shuru ho sakti hain downward correction ke baad, kyun ke kisi ko nahi pata ke market kab tak Fed ki monetary policy easing ko price mein shamil karta rahega, jo ke ab tak shuru nahi hui. Market ab tak takreeban tamam aane wale rate cuts ko price mein shamil kar raha hai

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein US dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, utasalar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch US inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi. Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; Neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein

EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. European currency ke interest rate cut ke baad jo limited decline dekha gaya, usse yeh sabit hota hai ke market ne is event ka pehle se hi andaza lagaya tha. Is anticipation ne rate cut ke impact ko kam kar diya. Agle kuch dinon mein jo news US se aayegi, woh market ko zyada significant tareeqe se influence kar sakti hai. Agar koi bade surprises nahi hue, toh EUR/USD pair naye highs tak pahunch sakta hai.
Maine dekha hai ke aap optimistic lag rahe hain potential decline ke baare mein, lekin technical indicators filhal EUR/USD ke liye growth ko support kar rahe hain. Recent aur older data ke beech koi significant discrepancies nahi hain jo kisi aur scenario ka indication de rahi ho. Main 1.1060 ke support level ke aas-paas buying opportunity dekh raha hoon. Price abhi bhi strong aur bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

EUR/USD ka situation abhi bhi complex hai, aur immediate targets abhi clear nahi hain. Hum 1.10 ke neeche nahi gir paaye, lekin pair ne 1.11 ke upar chadhne ke baad us level ko maintain karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Recent market action, jismein pin bar formation bhi shamil hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke age further declines ho sakte hain. Dollar ki direction agle hafte, utsalar Fed ke decisions ke saath, bahut crucial hogi. Main abhi sell karne ka soch nahi raha, lekin agar pair 1.1025 ke neeche girta hai toh buying ke liye open hoon.

Main specific support aur resistance levels pe itna rely nahi karta, balki broader support aur resistance zones pe focus karta hoon jo trend changes par base hote hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye, agar December daily resistance zone se rebound hota hai, toh yeh sell opportunity ka signal ban sakta hai. Mera perspective chart mein illustrate kiya gaya hai, jahan bearish pattern indicate karta hai potential selling points

EURUSD ke currency pair ka chand maamooli tajziya hai. Din ki shuruat upar ki taraf ke aik correction se hui aur ab price 1.1100 ke qareeb hai. Ijmali taur par dekha jaye to downward movement ka general picture ab bhi barqarar hai, jo 26 August se shuru hui thi aur 1.12011 ke level se chal rahi hai. Daily chart pe dekha jaye to sab se qareeb aur behtareen target jo downward movement ke liye hai, wo 38.2% Fibonacci level pe hai jo ke 1.0980 ke qareeb hai. Yeh price is level ko torne ki koshish kar sakti hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke downward movement ke silsile ko aage barhawa milega aur 1.0980 ke level ko torne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Lekin is se pehle, ek aur upward correction bhi ho sakti hai. Yeh correction 1.1100 ke level ko tor kar 1.1200 ke qareeb bhi ja sakti hai.

Upward correction ke baad agar price 1.1200 tak pohnchti hai, to yeh downward trend ko aur zyada taqat de sakti hai jab ke price wapas neeche aayegi. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke upward correction ke doran 1.1100 ka level torh kar price thodi dair ke liye 1.1200 tak bhi chale. Magar, overall trend ab bhi downward hi dikhayi de raha hai.

Is waqt sab se aham cheez yeh hai ke trader ko market ke movement ko dheere dheere samajhna hoga aur har ek price movement ko monitor karna hoga. Agar price upward correction ke doran 1.1200 tak pohnchti hai, to wahan se phir downward movement shuru ho sakti hai aur target 1.0980 ke level tak pohochne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders ko in sab potential movements ko madde nazar rakhtay hue apne trading decisions lein.

Halaanki, aaj ki date ke hisaab se, downward movement ka trend sab se dominant hai aur agar upward correction ke bawajood bhi price 1.1200 tak nahi pohnchti, to downward trend ka continue hona zaiya mumkin hai. Is liye, sab se behtareen strategy yeh hai ke downward movement ko follow karte hue 1.0980 ke target ki taraf dekha jaye, lekin upward correction ka bhi khayal rakha jaye jo ke 1.1100 aur 1.1200 ke darmiyan ho sakti ha