Eurusd forum

Profit Potential in EUR/USD Prices

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karna ek dilchasp mozo hai. Kai choti choti levels hain jo 1.0776 tak ja sakti hain, lekin hum kahan tak pahunch sakte hain, yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai. Abhi tak kisi khaas girawat ka samna nahi hua; sirf bullish pressure mein aik pause hai. Jaise hi hafta shuru hota hai, mujhe umeed hai ke ek bullish pullback hoga jo 1.1111-1.1116 tak ja sakta hai, aur ek koshish ho sakti hai ke lower intraday level 1.1063 ko breach kiya jaye. Agar yeh kaamyab hoti hai, to ek bearish move ka rasta khul sakta hai jo ke lower support levels ko target karega. Agar yeh pullback 1.1133 se upar jata hai, to bearish outlook ko nuksan ho sakta hai, kyunke yeh Friday ke U.S. session ka high tha, aur 1.1153 ka breach hone se bearish scenario mazeed kamzor ho jayega. Mera strategy yeh hai ke Fed meeting se pehle, jo 17 September ko hai, ek modest decline ka intezar karoon jo 1.0919 tak jaye, aur phir dekhoon ke bears kitne aggressive hote hain. Agar Fed is meeting mein rates cut karta hai, to yeh ek surge trigger kar sakta hai jo 1.1504 tak ja sakta hai, aur yeh mazeed barh sakta hai jab hum U.S. presidential election ke qareeb pohonch rahe hain jo 4 November ko hai.



Ek aur possibility yeh hai ke Fed meeting ke qareeb market mein stagflation rahe, aur narrow range mein trade kare jo 1.1063-1.1153 ho, jisme kareeb 99 points ki fluctuation ho sakti hai dono taraf. Magar meri pehli umeed yeh hai ke 1.1063 ke neeche bearish breakout ho. Friday ki downward correction broader pullback ka hissa ho sakti hai. Daily chart par MACD bullish movement ko continue karta dikhai de raha hai aur nayi highs banana bulls ke haq mein ja raha hai. Upside ka target yeh hai ke H4 high 1.1152 ko cross kare aur extreme peak 1.1274 tak exceed kare. Agar hafta bhar market active rehti hai, to yeh growth ho sakti hai. Phir bhi, northern trend tab tak barkarar rahegi jab tak bears 1.1024 ka level todh kar neeche support establish nahi karte, jo southern correction ko 9.997 ke range tak le ja sakta hai, aur targets 1.0979 aur 1.0984 ke beech ho sakte hain. Is liye risks ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD Market Analysis aur Upcoming Considerations

Market Observations:

Mere hisab se, pehle 1.0445 ke neeche drop hoga phir 1.1278 par rise hoga. Lekin pair ne 1.1278 ko cross kar liya hai 1.0445 ko test karte hue. Daily chart par, jo wedge lag raha tha woh triangle nikla hai, potentially ABC structure ko indicate karta hai triangle wave B mein aur extension wave C mein 1.1278 ke upar.

Current Price Action:

Pair ko minor correction ho raha hai 25 pips ka, jo lead kar sakta hai:

Simple correction 1.11-1.1120 par, phir uptrend ki resumption.

Complex correction 1.1050-1.1070 par, phir further upside potential.

Significant drop 1.0445 par probability ab bahut kam hai, less than 10%, especially current environment mein dollar ko widely sold kiya ja raha hai.

Powell’s Speech ka Impact:

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech Friday ko bahut important hogi. Unke interest rates ke liye comments critical honge:

Agar Powell pause ya slower pace rate cuts ko suggest karta hai, yeh aggressive expectations ko temper kar sakta hai aur market sentiment ko affect kar sakta hai.

Agar woh dovish signals ko indicate karta hai, yeh EUR/USD ko further drive kar sakta hai, potentially 1.1278 ke upar push kar sakta hai.

Trading Strategy:

Currently, buying unattractive lag raha hai clear pullback ke bina. Strong sell signals bhi nahi hain. Market ki direction Powell ki remarks par depend karti hai, jo clarify karegi ki EUR/USD 1.1279 ya 1.18 ke levels ko test karegi.

Summary:

EUR/USD ne 1.1278 ko cross kar liya hai, minor corrections possibly further gains ko lead kar sakti hai. Powell ki upcoming speech pair ki next move ko determine karegi. Currently, buy ya sell ke liye strong inclination nahi hai further clarity economic developments se

Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD

Chalien EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ko discuss karte hain aur yeh dekhte hain ke iska kya analysis ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye aap ka target jo ke 1.1374 ke qareeb hai, bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar jab ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals ke mutabiq hote hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke kaun se aanewale events prices ko itna ooper push kar sakte hain—shayed aanewale elections ka kirdar ho sakta hai, jis se humein is point tak trade karne ka moka mile bina kisi significant chart disruptions ya invalid candle patterns ke. Mein aam tor par is broader projection se mutafiq hoon, lekin yeh yaad rakhein ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche jaa sakte hain, aur yeh 1.1024 tak bhi pohonch sakta hai. Filhal, mera rujhan selling ki taraf hai, kyun ke mujhe aisa koi mazboot foundation nazar nahi aata jo pair ko significantly uper push kar sake, lekin forex market mein kuch bhi yaqini nahi hota. Yeh levels approx hain, lekin mein technical analysis par focus rakhta hoon, aur jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche hai, mera bias bearish hai.



Karibi aur main target horizontal support level 1.0950 hai jo ke candles ke closing prices par bana hai. Mera andaza hai ke hum eventually is point tak pohonchenge, aur yeh na sirf aik daily level hai, balke weekly level bhi hai. Guzishta chand dinon mein, price ne decline se ek upward correction banaya aur mirror level tak pohonchi jo growth ka edge 1.1150 tha, aur yeh ek bohat mazboot sales zone hai. Jumme ke din USA se aanewali khabron par price ko wahan tez taraqqi hui, lekin itni hi jaldi wahan se wapas bhi aayi. Mera khayal hai ke itni taqatwar growth ke baad, jo pichlay mahine hui, ek correction model kam az kam teen waves ka neeche banega. Agar hum pehli wave ke barabar ek teesri wave neeche apply karen, to price movement takreeban 1.0955 tak pohonch sakti hai jo candles ke closing prices par based hai. Price aksar aise cycle mein move karti hai jahan pehli wave teesri wave ke barabar hoti hai, aur yeh mukhtalif periods mein hota hai. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh descent yahan se continue hoga. Target Fibonacci grid ko yahan apply kiya ja sakta hai pehli wave par, lekin asal mein iski zarurat nahi, target ab bhi 1.0950 ka level hai. Baqi bade pairs bhi qareebi future mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki taraf focused hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price movement ka analysis humari guftagu ka mauzo hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm se yeh pata chalta hai ke price 1.1140 ke resistance level tak upar jaa sakti hai. Buyers kaafi taqatwar lag rahe hain aur price ko aur upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain, is liye yeh scenario mumkin hai. Yeh forecast ek clear upward trajectory ka izhar karta hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke upar apni position bana lete hain, to humein ek sustainable upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke buying ka forecast confirm karegi. Lekin agar buyers yeh momentum qaim nahi rakhte, to sellers control le sakte hain. Aik false breakout ka possibility bhi hamesha hoti hai, jo ke in situations mein aam hota hai. Jabke primary outlook successful upward move ka hai, ek alternative scenario bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar buyers neechay girte hain, to sellers price ko ek significant support level tak le jaa sakte hain, jahan se trend dobara upar jaane ka imkaan hoga.



Agar hum 4-hour time frame ka jaiza len, to do zones of interest hain: resistance 1.1209 par aur support 1.1030 par, jahan current price in dono levels ke darmiyan positioned hai. EUR/USD pair abhi overbought territory mein hai, kafi arsa se upar move kar rahi hai. Mumkin hai ke instrument support zone 1.1030 ka retest kare.




Haal hi mein currency pair ne thodi upward movement dikhayi hai, lekin medium term mein price ke 1.0946 tak neeche jaane ki umeed hai. Asset abhi tak ascending northern channel ke lower boundary se kaafi door hai, jo ek bearish correction ki zarurat ko zahir karta hai, jo ke moving average Bollinger line ke saath align kar sakta hai weekly hourly chart par. Phir bhi, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke local upward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, jiske zariye currency pair ko kai mahine se upar ki taraf dhakel rahi hai.

EUR/USD currency pair, forex market mein sabse zyada trade kiya jata hai, current mein 1.11448 par position mein hai. Trend notably bearish hai, lekin market slow pace mein move kar raha hai, consolidation ya uncertainty ka period dikha raha hai. Lekin, various factors ke base par, strong belief hai ki EUR/USD mein significant movement aane wale dinon mein hoga.

Current Market Overview

EUR/USD, "fiber" ke naam se trading circles mein jana jata hai, Eurozone aur United States ke economic health ka key indicator hai. Abhi, currency pair bearish trend mein hai. Yeh downward trajectory often economic data releases, geopolitical tensions, ya central bank policies ke combination ke result mein hota hai. Recent trend suggest karta hai ki Euro U.S. Dollar ke against ground khote ja raha hai, lekin market ka slow pace potential buildup of momentum ko hint karta hai.




Factors Influencing the EUR/USD

Kuch factors current bearish trend mein contribute kar sakte hain:

1. *Economic Data*: Recent economic reports Eurozone se weaker-than-expected growth, inflation, ya employment figures dikha sakte hain, Euro mein confidence decrease karne ke liye. U.S. economy resilience dikha sakti hai, Dollar ko further strengthen karne ke liye.

2. *Monetary Policy*: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) EUR/USD ke movement mein crucial roles play karte hain. Agar ECB Fed ke compared dovish lagta hai, yeh Euro ko weaker kar sakta hai.

3. *Geopolitical Tensions*: Eurozone ko affect karne wale geopolitical issues, conflicts ya political instability, bhi Euro ko weaker kar sakte hain. Investors safe-haven assets jaise U.S. Dollar seek karte hain uncertainty ke times mein, bearish trend mein contribute karte hain.

4. *Market Sentiment*: Market participants ka overall sentiment Euro aur Dollar ke towards bhi significant role play karta hai. Agar traders believe Euro overvalued hai ya U.S. economy outperform karegi, yeh Euros ko Dollars ke against sell karne ke liye more likely honge, EUR/USD ko lower push karte hain.

Potential for a Big Movement

Current bearish trend aur market ka slow pace ke bawajood, big movement ke possibility hai aane wale dinon mein. Yeh potential kuch factors ke base par attributed kiya ja sakta hai:

1. *Technical Indicators*: Technical charts analyze karne par, key support aur resistance levels approaching dikha sakte hain. Pair significant support level ke near ho sakta hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, yeh sharp downward move ko trigger kar sakta hai traders long positions se exit karne ke liye. Conversely, agar support hold karta hai, yeh strong rebound ko lead kar sakta hai, swift move upside mein.

2. *Upcoming Economic Events*: Major economic events ya data releases, jaise Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) U.S. mein ya ECB interest rate decision, catalysts ke liye big movement ko act kar sakte hain. Yeh events often increased volatility ko lead karte hain traders news ke react karne ke liye, sharp price movements ko cause karte hain

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**EUR/USD 1-Day Chart Analysis:**

EUR/USD ka 1-day chart jo ke is waqt takreeban 1.10756 par trade kar raha hai, ek broader uptrend ko dikhata hai jo key demand liquidity zone (D-Liq) ke aas-paas 1.06000 par bounce hone ke baad mazid momentum hasil kar chuka hai. Yeh pair ne is area ko 2023 ke aghaz se kai martaba test kiya hai, jo isey ek mazboot support zone banata hai. Jaise hi price barhti hai, usne ek fair value gap (FVG) ka saamna kiya jo ke 1.08000 ke aas-paas hai, jisne thodi der ke liye upward momentum ko slow kiya. Magar buyers ne phir se control hasil kar liya aur price ko key resistance level ke qareeb 1.12000 par le gaye, jo ke abhi tak test kiya gaya hai magar abhi tak break nahi hua. Yeh level ek aham supply liquidity (S-Liq) zone se mutabiqat rakhta hai jahan sellers active hain, jisse price rejection ka saamna hai.

**Mid-2023 mein Bullish Momentum:**

2023 ke darmiyan, is pair ne strong bullish momentum dikhaya, jahan multiple FVGs close kiye gaye jabke demand zones banaye gaye jo ab support ka kaam de rahe hain. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila qaim rakha hai, jo ke overall market sentiment ko bullish dikhata hai. Magar 1.12000 par rejection se yeh maloom hota hai ke yeh level ek mazboot resistance bana hua hai, aur market ko break-out se pehle mazid liquidity ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

**Agar Price 1.12000 ko Break Karne Mein Nakam Hoti Hai:**
jabke failure ka matlab short-term retracement ho sakta hai towards lower support zones. Ahem levels jo monitor karne chahiye unmein 1.08000 aur 1.06000 downside par hain, jabke 1.12000 aur 1.14000 upside par hain. Liquidity zones aur fair value gaps price action ko chalane mein aham kirdar ada karenge.

Agar price 1.12000 ko convincingly break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to hum ek retracement dekh sakte hain 1.09000 ke aas-paas, jahan ek naya FVG bana hai. Yeh area, aur 1.08000 ka demand zone support aur buying interest faraham kar sakte hain, jo further downside ko roknay mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar bulls kaafi strength jama kar lete hain aur 1.12000 ka resistance todte hain, to agla target liquidity zone ke qareeb 1.14000 ho sakta hai, jo 2022 ke peechlay highs se bhi mutabiqat rakhta hai.

**Key Levels Aur Market Structure:**

Haal ka market structure dekhte hue, traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price 1.12000 ke resistance level ke saath kis tarah interact karti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh continued bullish move ki taraf ishara karega aur higher levels ki taraf signal dega, jabke failure ka matlab short-term retracement ho sakta hai towards lower support zones. Ahem levels jo monitor karne chahiye unmein 1.08000 aur 1.06000 downside par hain, jabke 1.12000 aur 1.14000 upside par hain. Liquidity zones aur fair value gaps price action ko chalane mein aham kirdar ada karenge.

**EUR/USD Pair Analysis:**

ECB se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh apni September 2024 ki meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points tak kam karega, jo ke iss saal ka doosra cut hoga, pehle June mein aisa hi cut kiya gaya tha. Isse main interest rate ko funding operations par wapas 4% par la diya jayega, deposit facility rate ko 3.5% par, aur marginal lending rate ko 4.25% par. Yeh move Eurozone ki inflation ke 2.2% tak girne ke baad aa raha hai, jo July 2021 ke baad ka sabse lowest level hai, aur core inflation bhi 2.8% tak ease hui hai. Wage growth slow ho gayi hai aur Q2 ka GDP growth revise hoke 0.2% par aa gaya hai. Investors future ECB action aur mazeed interest rate cuts ke isharaat dhoond rahe hain, aur bohot se predict kar rahe hain ke ECB har quarter mein 25 basis points ka cut karega agle saal September tak. Iske ilawa, naye economic forecasts bhi release honge.

**Price Action Aur Market Movement:**

Price mein thoda recovery ho sakta hai, lekin koi bara tabdeel nahi dekha ja raha. Price abhi bhi weekly range se neeche hai, isliye focus selling opportunities ko identify karna aur unko capitalize karna hai. Upcoming news se market mein volatility expected hai. Agar price 1.1003 se upar jata hai, to yeh 1.11339 ke aas-paas pohanch sakta hai, lekin agar sales trend continue karta hai, to price 1.08739 ki taraf move karega. Yeh abhi ke liye key levels hain, lekin volatility inko badal sakti hai.

Currency pair ne ek critical support level 1.1010 ko break kiya hai, jo ke market weakness ko dikhata hai. Kaafi technical indicators, jaise ke MACD aur RSI, bearish trend dikhate hain, jiska matlab hai ke market near future mein girta rahega. Agar pair mazeed neeche jata hai, to agla significant support 1.0999 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke ek psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh zyada selling ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur shayad price mein aik bara girawat bhi aa sakti hai.
significant support 1.0999 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke ek psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh zyada selling ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur shayad price mein aik bara girawat bhi aa sakti hai.

Lekin kuch traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke ek chhoti upward correction ho sakti hai, kyun ke price important moving averages ke qareeb hai, jaise ke 50-day EMA, jo ek chhota rebound la sakta hai, uske baad downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, price weekly range se neeche trade kar raha hai, aur traders short-selling opportunities dhoond rahe hain, khaaskar ECB ke rate decision se pehle. Agar price 1.1003 se bounce back karta hai, to yeh 1.11339 ki taraf barh sakta hai; agar bearish pressure news ke baad bhi barqarar re
Lekin kuch traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke ek chhoti upward correction ho sakti hai, kyun ke price important moving averages ke qareeb hai, jaise ke 50-day EMA, jo ek chhota rebound la sakta hai, uske baad

downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, price weekly range se neeche trade kar raha hai, aur traders short-selling opportunities dhoond rahe hain, khaaskar ECB ke rate decision se pehle. Agar price 1.1003 se bounce back karta hai, to yeh 1.11339 ki taraf barh sakta hai; agar bearish pressure news ke baad bhi barqarar rehta hai, to pair 1.08739 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders in key levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur apni positions ko upcoming developments ke hisaab se adjust kar rahe hain.

**EUR/USD H4 Market Analysis:**

4-hour time frame chart ke monitoring results dikhate hain ke pichlay hafta EUR/USD ka market situation bullish tha, lekin is haftay ke market par sellers ka pressure hai, jo ke price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. Yeh range mein hain aur downtrend ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake doosray sellers se support mil sake aur price 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche rahe. Pichlay weekend ki trading session mein buyers ne ek tez correction ki, jisne bearish trend ko rok diya aur price ko ek temporary upward correction ka samna karna pada bearish trend se.
ki taraf move karta nazar aa raha hai. Aik mauqa hai ke sellers aglay haftay bearish trend ko continue karain. Agar aap sell position kholna chahte hain, to intizaar karein ke price 1.1042 area ki taraf neeche aaye taake aapko ek signal mil sake. Upward correction ko dekhte hue hoshyar rehna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh bearish reversal ban sakta hai. Jabke
Weekly candlestick pattern abhi bhi downtrend ki taraf move karta nazar aa raha hai. Aik mauqa hai ke sellers aglay haftay bearish trend ko continue karain. Agar aap sell position kholna chahte hain, to intizaar karein ke price 1.1042 area ki taraf neeche aaye taake aapko ek signal mil sake. Upward correction ko dekhte hue hoshyar rehna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh bearish reversal ban sakta hai. Jabke market ki conditions upward move kar rahi hain aur sellers control mein hain, market apna downward journey jari rakhta hai.

EurUsd pair mein price movement ka abhi bhi ek mauqa hai, jo ke pichlay haftay ke market conditions ke mutabiq neeche jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agle haftay ke aaghaz mein, market ka situation pehle ki tarah ek upward correction ka samna kar sakta hai, isliye position kholte waqt be-parwah na hoon. Stochastic indicator ne 80 zone ko breakout kar liya hai, jo dikhata hai ke market girawat ka silsila jari rakhega. Yeh mumkin hai ke long-term bearish trend aglay haftay bhi continue kare. Lekin jo kuch mein ne bayan kiya hai, yeh sirf aik prediction hai aur yeh ho bhi sakta hai aur nahi bhi ho sakta. Har trader ko trading mein risk control apply karna chahiye.

**Felicitations aur Good Morning sab ko!** Buyers kal stable thay aur US dollar apni qeemat lagataar kho raha tha. Natijatan, EUR/USD ki price kal 1.1075 zone tak pohanch gayi. Isliye, agle dinon mein bhi buyers ko madad mil sakti hai ke woh 1.1145 ke agle zone ko jald cross kar lein. Iske ilawa, dealers apni capability ko optimize kar sakte hain taake request ke oscillations ko navigate kar sakein aur dynamic EUR/USD trading environment mein mauqon ka faida utha sakein. Hum ek buy order open kar sakte hain taake hum apni position ko strategically place kar sakein aur EUR/USD ke dynamic geography mein mauqon ka faida utha sakein.

30 pips ka take profit objective aur 15 pips ka stop loss lagana ek disciplined approach ko zahir karta hai jo profitability ko compound karne ke liye design kiya gaya hai, aur saath hi adverse market movements ke khilaf hifazat karne ka kaam karta hai. Yeh strategic alignment market dynamics ka ek bariki se samajhne ka saboot hai aur ek visionary risk management approach ka hissah hai jo shifting market sentiment aur evolving price dynamics ke environment mein trading efficiency ko enhance karta hai.

Mukhtasir mein, haali market sentiment jo EUR/USD pair mein sellers ko favor karta hai, yeh dealers ke liye ek compelling opportunity pesh karta hai ke woh short-term trading strategies ko current trends ke sath harmonize karein. Ek disciplined approach par amal karte hue aur strategic risk management principles ko use karte hue, dealers apni capacity ko optimize kar sakte hain taake market ko theek tareeke se navigate kar sakein.
4-hour time frame chart ke monitoring results dikhate hain ke pichlay hafta EU
R/USD ka market situation bullish tha, lekin is haftay ke market par sellers ka pressure hai, jo ke price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. Yeh range mein hain aur downtrend ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake doosray sellers se support mil sake aur price 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche rahe. Pichlay weekend ki trading session mein buyers ne ek tez correction ki, jisne bearish trend ko rok diya aur price ko ek temporary upward correction ka samna karna pada bearish trend se.
Iske ilawa, current geography of EUR/USD market mein ek ahem sentiment dekhne ko mil raha hai jo recent trading sessions mein sellers ke haq mein gaya hai. Yeh sentiment ka shift yeh reflect karta hai ke sellers ne buyers par notable dominance hasil ki hai, aur yeh trend immediate future mein jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka market buyers ke haq mein nahi jaye ga agle hafton mein, aur hum apne sell positions ko exit karke buy orders open kar sakte hain. Aapko ek kamiyab weekend mubarak ho!

EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ka jaiza hai. Asian high 1.1069 ko chhune ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se ground khona shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya lekin pair abhi bhi 1.1021 ke support level ke upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar barqarar rakh sakte hain, to mujhe umeed hai ke price northward move karega local trend line 1.1059 tak, jahan ek potential breakthrough ho sakta hai jo isay mazeed strengthen karte hue bulls ke liye agla resistance level 1.1096 tak le yes. Agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hota hai, to pair ka girna jaari rahega aur yeh 1.0986 tak ja sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level qaim hai, buyers mazboot hain, lekin agar yeh break hota hai to trend shift kar sakta hai. Dono levels aaj ke din ke liye possible the, jisse outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line buying ke haq mein hai. Buyers mazed strength tab hasil karenge jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi unko halka sa faida hai. Hum EUR/USD pair mein bearish correction aur ek local reversal dekh rahe hain. Aaj ke din price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur yeh bears ka is haftay ka aakhri target nahi ho sakta. US stock markets ne kafi losses ka samna kiya hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen aur franc ko mazbooti de raha hai, jo ke risk se dour hone ki nishani hai. Weak US PMI/ISM Index data ne bhi in concerns ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke ek potential recession ka dar paida kar raha hai. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh movement jaari rahegi, jo channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak ja sakti hai. Wapas 11th-floor levels tak pohanchna nonfarm payroll report par mabni hai, jo ke is Friday ko aayegi. Agar yeh surat-e-haal barqarar rehti hai to strong buying opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jisme pehla target 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta haihai

European Main Refinancing Rate aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy EUR/USD currency pair ko bohat zyada influence karti hain, khaaskar un buyers ke liye jo 1.1055 zone cross karna chahte hain. ECB ka ye key rate Eurozone mein lending conditions ko directly affect karta hai, jo economy ko tezi ya slow down kar sakta hai, aur issi tarah EUR/USD exchange rate ko bhi impact karta hai. Buyers aksar ECB Press Conference ka intezaar karte hain kyun ke ye event market mein bohat zyada volatility le kar aata hai. Iss conference mein ECB ke officials future monetary policies aur economic outlook ke hawale se insights dete hain, jo market sentiment par asar dalte hain.
Dusri taraf, US dollar ki movement bhi high-impact news events, jaise ke Unemployment Rate aur Core Producer Price Index (PPI) data se bohat zyada mutasir hoti hai. Ye indicators US economy ki sehat ka strong reflection dete hain. Rising unemployment aksar dollar ko weak karta hai, aur PPI mein tabdeeliyan inflation expectations ko influence karti hain. Aaj ke market ko uncertain samjha ja raha hai kyun ke dono taraf se conflicting news events aa rahe hain. Trading ke hawale se, mein EUR/USD par buy order place karna pasand karunga, aur short-term resistance 1.1055 ko target karunga. Key economic events ka ye confluence ek acha mouqa bana sakta hai jahan pair ko higher move karne ka chance milay, khaaskar agar data US dollar ko weak karta hai ya ECB ki taraf se dovish stance aata hai. Ideal outcome yahi hoga ke market buyers ko favor karte hue EUR ko 1.1055 target tak momentum de.
Lekin yaad rakhnay ki baat ye hai ke events jese ECB Press Conference ya US economic data releases market sentiment ko aasani se shift kar sakte hain, jo sudden reversals ya increased volatility create kar sakte hain. Isliye, jab initial bias bulls ke haq mein hai, phir bhi ehtiyat aur flexibility zaroori hai, kyun ke in events se market direction din ke aakhri hissay mein badal bhi sakti hai.

buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai. Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. US Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain

ECB ka September 2024 meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karne ka imkaan hai, jo ke is saal ka dosra cut hoga, pehla cut June mein hua tha. Is cut ke baad main interest rate funding operations ke liye 4% par aa jayega, deposit facility rate 3.5% hoga, aur marginal lending rate 4.25% ho jayega. Ye faisla Eurozone mein inflation ke 2.2% par girne ke baad liya ja raha hai, jo July 2021 ke baad ka sab se kam level hai, jab ke core inflation bhi 2.8% tak aa gayi hai. Is ke sath sath wage growth bhi slow hui hai aur GDP growth Q2 ke liye 0.2% tak revise ki gayi hai.
Investors ECB ke future action aur mazeed interest rate cuts ka andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain, bohot se log ye predict kar rahe hain ke main deposit rate har quarter mein 25 basis points kam hoti rahegi jab tak September aglay saal nahi aata. Is ke ilawa, naye economic forecasts bhi release honge.

Price mein slight recovery ka imkaan hai, lekin koi khaas tabdeeli anticipate nahi ki ja rahi. Price weekly range se neeche hai, is liye focus selling opportunities par hai. Aane wali news se volatility aane ka imkaan hai. Agar price 1.1003 se upar jati hai, to 1.11339 tak ja sakti hai, lekin agar selling trend jari rehti hai, to price 1.08739 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Ye key levels hain, lekin volatility inhe badal sakti hai.

Currency pair ne critical support level 1.1010 ke neeche gir kar market weakness ka indication diya hai. Multiple technical indicators, jaise ke MACD aur RSI, bearish trend ka ishara de rahe hain, jo market mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai. Agar pair aur girta hai, to next significant support 1.0999 par hai, jo ek psychological level hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to zyada selling ho sakti hai aur price mein aur tez girawat ka imkaan hai.

Kuch traders expect kar rahe hain ke ek chhoti upward correction ho sakti hai, kyunke price important moving averages, jaise ke 50-day EMA, ke qareeb hai. Is se ek rebound ho sakta hai pehle ke downward trend phir se shuru ho. Haal filhaal, price weekly range ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, aur traders short-selling opportunities dhoond rahe hain, khaaskar ECB ke rate decision se pehle. Agar price 1.1003 se wapas bounce karti hai, to ye 1.11339 tak barh sakti hai; lekin agar bearish pressure news ke baad bhi jari rehti hai, to pair 1.08739 level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Traders in key levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur apni positions adjust kar rahe hain upcoming developments ke mutabiq.

Agar price 1.12000 ko convincingly break nahi kar paayi, to ek retracement 1.09000 region ki taraf ho sakti hai, jahan ek naya FVG (Fair Value Gap) form ho chuka hai. Ye area, aur 1.08000 demand zone, support aur buying interest provide kar sakte hain, jo further downside ko rok sakte hain.

Doosri taraf, agar bulls apni taqat jama kar lete hain aur resistance ko 1.12000 par break kar lete hain, to agla target liquidity zone hoga 1.14000 ke qareeb, jo ke 2022 ke highs ke sath coincide karta hai. Halaat ke mutabiq, traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price 1.12000 resistance level ke sath kis tarah interact karti hai. Agar price break hoti hai, to continued bullish move ka signal milega higher levels ki taraf, jabke failure ek short-term retracement ka ishara dega lower support zones ki taraf. Key levels jo monitor karne chahiye unmein 1.08000 aur 1.06000 downside par, aur 1.12000 aur 1.14000 upside par shamil hain, jabke liquidity zones aur fair value gaps price action ko drive karte rahenge.

Aaj ke weekend mein hum dobara EUR/USD currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, D1 period chart ke zariye. Iss haftay price ne pichlay haftay ka minimum update kar liya hai aur expected target, yani support level 1.1015, tak pohanch chuki hai. Wave structure abhi bhi senior period mein ascending (upar jaane wala) order mein bana hua hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, jo ke buying ke zone ko dikhata hai.

Qareebi aur main target, jo ke horizontal support level 1.1015 hai, candles ki closing prices par banaya gaya tha, ab work out ho chuka hai, aur ye saaf hai ke is level se kaafi strong growth shuru hui hai. CCI indicator kal lower overheating zone mein tha aur upar jaane ke liye tayar tha, jo ke growth ke imkaan ko barhane ka hint de raha tha, aur exactly yehi hua.

Ab hum ek crossroads par hain, ya to yeh growth ek achi rebound tak mehdoood rahegi aur phir decline ka silsila shuru hoga, ya upward trend ka silsila continue rahega aur hum August ke maximum ko update karne ka prospect dekh rahe hain.

Khaas tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ke tezi se growth ke baad kuch rollback hoga, yani price wapas gir kar 1.1047 ke area mein aa sakti hai, jo ke younger four-hour chart mein zyada behtar dikhai dega. Halanke, decline ne ab tak zyada important level 1.0955 ko touch nahi kiya, jo ke daily aur weekly level hai. Nazariyat ke tor par, yeh level touch hona chahiye, aur wahan ka prospect bura nahi lagta. Magar yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya downward direction mein kaam karna theek hoga ya nahi.

Agar level 1.1047 neeche ki taraf break hota hai, to mein expect karta hoon ke price aur zyada downward trend ke sath chali jaye gi. Half September guzar chuki hai, lekin price kaheen zyada move nahi hui, yeh takreeban wahi hai jahan month open hua tha.

EUR/USD pair mein do din ki uptrend ke dauran bears ke liye koi critical cheez nahi hui. Technical standpoint se, humne phir se December ke daily resistance zone ko retest kiya aur wapas neeche aaye hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke humare EUR/USD par sales abhi bhi valid hain. Candlestick analysis bhi is idea ko support karta hai, kyon ke hume resistance zone se ek bearish Pin Bar rejection mila hai. 1.1070 se neeche yeh pattern pending order ke sath sell kiya ja sakta hai.

Is liye, is waqt candlestick, technical, aur indicator analysis sabhi EUR/USD ke liye selling ki taraf lean kar rahe hain. Magar, yeh sirf meri rai hai.

EUR/USD

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair! Buyers ne kal market mein apni position ko mazboot rakha aur US dollar (bone) ki qeemat mein lagataar girawat dekhi gayi. Iska natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD ki qeemat 1.1075 zone tak pohonch gayi. Isliye, aane wale dino mein bhi yeh mumkin hai ke buyers aglay zone 1.1145 ko jaldi cross kar lein. Iske ilawa, dealers apni capabilities ko optimize kar ke market ke oscillations ko samajh sakte hain aur EUR/USD ke dynamic trading environment mein potential opportunities se faida utha sakte hain. Hum ek buy order khol kar khud ko strategic tor par position kar sakte hain taake hum in opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

Ek 30 pips ka take profit objective aur 15 pips ka stop loss lagana ek disciplined approach ko zahir karta hai jo profitability ko barhane ke sath sath negative market movements se bacha sakta hai. Yeh strategic alignment market ke dynamics ko samajhne ki nuqushidah approach ka hissa hai aur ek proactive risk management strategy hai jo ke trading efficiency ko barhata hai jab ke market sentiment aur price dynamics tabdeel ho rahe hote hain.

Mukhtasir mein, jo halat EUR/USD market mein hai wo short-term trading strategies ke liye ek behtareen moqa paish karta hai. Agar hum ek disciplined approach ko apna kar risk management ke principles ka sahara lein, to hum apni trading capacity ko optimize kar sakte hain.

Is waqt ke EUR/USD market mein prevailing sentiment sellers ke haq mein hai, jo ke recent trading sessions mein zaahir hua hai. Yeh sentiment ek aisi dynamic ko zahir karta hai jahan sellers buyers par haavi hain, aur yeh trend agle chand hafton tak jaari rehne ke imkaanat hain. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD market filhaal buyers ke haq mein nahi chalegi, aur hum apne sell positions ko exit kar ke buy orders khol sakte hain. Aap sab ke liye ek successful weekend ki duaa hai!