eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt ek mushkil soorat-e-haal ka samna kar raha hai, jo kai anasir se mutasir hai. Ek bara asar jo is pair par ho raha hai wo ye hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo jaldi interest rates me kami ka elan karay ga. Sarmaayakaar is potential rate cut ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain kyun ke low interest rates aksar currency ko kamzor karte hain. Euro pehle hi doosri bari currencies ke muqable mein mushkilat ka shikar hai, aur agar ECB rate cut karta hai toh yeh rujhan barqarar reh sakta hai. ECB ke is faislay ke peechay Eurozone mein mehengai ka ahista hona aik bari wajah hai. Tajziya karnay walay kehtay hain ke mehengai, jo Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke zariye naapee jati hai, mazeed thandi parh sakti hai. August ka HICP umeed hai ke 2.3% tak giray ga, jab ke core inflation, jo zyada volatile components ko nikal deta hai, 2.8% tak girne ka imkaan hai. In figures ka matlab hai ke ECB ko economy ko sahara denay ke liye rates mazeed kam karte rehna par sakta hai.
Eurozone ki bari economy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi nawaazishat se bharpur nahin hai, jo Euro ke liye soorat-e-haal ko aur bhi paicheeda bana deta hai. Halaanki haal ka data thoda behtari ka ishara karta hai, utasalar France mein, jahan Paris Olympics ki wajah se kuch afzaish dekhne ko mili, lekin yeh behtari arzi samjhi ja rahi hai. Eurozone ki overall economic soorat-e-haal abhi bhi ehteyaati hai, kamzor growth ke imkaanaat Euro ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. ECB ke chand aham afrad bhi yeh tashweesh zahir kar rahe hain ke mehengai ko qaboo karne ki jo koshishain ho rahi hain wo kitni der paayda rehengi. Is goondegi ke sath, traders apni trading strategies mein in tashweeshat ko shaamil kar rahe hain. European Union ka Main Refinancing Rate ka elan bhi aane wale Thursday ko bazaar mein mazeed utaar chadhaav la sakta hai, kyun ke yeh rate ECB ki future monetary policies ke hawale se aur zyada clues faraham karega. EUR/USD Technical Overview: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye toh EUR/USD aik ahem moqa par trade kar raha hai. Yeh pair aik ahem support level 1.1010 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bazaar mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Kai technical indicators, jese ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), yeh darsha rahe hain ke market mein bearish trend hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bazaar qareebi mustaqbil mein mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh pair aur zyada girta hai, toh agla ahem support level 1.0999 ke qareeb hai, jo aik psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh toot jata hai, toh is se mazeed selling trigger ho sakti hai aur qeemat mein aik tez girawat dekhne ko mil sakti

EUR/USD market ka situation dekha aur H4 timeframe par chart ka analysis kiya, jo mujhe kaafi interesting laga. Kal raat ke market trend ko dekh kar laga ke ek bar phir se increase ka mauka nazar aane laga hai. Ek reversal signal dekha gaya, jahan aakhri kuch dinon se market mein price movement sellers ke control mein thi jo niche move karne ki koshish kar rahe the. Lekin chart par dekha gaya ke bearish attempt 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar paayi, jo is haftay ke liye support ke roop mein kaam aa sakta hai. Iska matlab hai agar seller support area ko penetrate nahi kar pata, to trend upar move karne ki sambhavana hai.
Isliye, main ek mature trading plan banane ki soch raha hoon taake estimate kiya ja sake ke price kab upar move karna shuru hogi aur agla destination kahan hoga H4 timeframe ke situation ke hisaab se. Main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi le raha hoon. H4 timeframe ke chart par EUR/USD ki price movement ek reversal signal dikhati hai pichle bearish correction candlestick shape se. Daily timeframe par bhi dekha gaya, jahan pichle haftay ki trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue nahi kar paaye, kyunki seller pressure ke entry ne market ko niche move karne ka sabab bana.

Is haftay ka bearish attempt abhi bhi chal raha hai, lekin last Thursday ko achi buying interest dekhi gayi, jo candlestick position ko increase karne mein madadgar sabit hui aur market ko bullish rally ki taraf rasta khol diya, jo August ke end mein dekha gaya trend ke jaisa hai. Phir additional analysis ke liye stochastics ka istemal kiya, jahan signal line 80 zone tak pohnch gayi hai, jo market ke phir se increase hone ka indication hai. Buyers ko EUR/USD prices mein aaj bhi momentum mil sakta hai increase continue karne ke liye

Main ne 1.1131 level par focus kiya aur apne trading decisions ko is par base kiya. 5-minute chart ko dekhne ke liye, yeh dekhte hain ki kya hua. Upward movement hua, lekin 1.1131 level par false breakout nahi hua, so mere paas koi entry points nahi the.

EUR/USD par Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:

Eurozone statistics ki lack aur euro ki recent overbought condition market ko trend continue karne se rok rahi hai. FOMC meeting minutes ka release second half of the day mein expected hai. Is document se kuch naya reveal hone ki ummeed nahi hai, so dollar ko sell karne aur euro ko buy karne ka outlook hai, lekin yeh actions highly unbalanced market mein li jani chahiye, kyunki volatility return karne ki ummeed nahi hai.

Current conditions mein, euro ki overbought condition ke saath, decline par act karna best hai aur 1.1102 support level par false breakout ke baad, jahan moving averages hain, bulls ko favor karte hain. Yeh long positions kholne ke liye favorable condition hoga, anticipating further euro growth aur bullish trend ko strengthen karne ke liye.




EUR/USD par Short Positions Kholne Ke Liye:

Sirf very hawkish FOMC minutes release hi euro sellers ko pair mein correction karne ki chance dega, jo ki long overdue hai. Euro growth ki attempts mein, main sellers ko 1.1131 resistance level par expect karta hoon, jahan hum first half of the day mein nahi pahuche. False breakout yahan short positions kholne ka reason hoga, targeting decline towards 1.1102 support

pair ne Jumay ko ek aam harkat dikhayi. Price puri European trading session mein stagnant rahi, aur phir US session ke aghaz par ek jazbaati tezi expected thi. Us waqt, US ne NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment rates, aur average earnings ke reports publish kiye. In reports ko wazeh tor par interpreter karna mushkil tha kyun ke unemployment rate thoda kam hua magar forecast ke andar hi raha; NonFarms ki tadaad forecast se thodi kam thi magar pehli value se zyada thi; wages mein izafa hua, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se monetary policy ke aggressive easing ke chances ko kuch kam karta hai. Market ne in data ko “shara'iti tor par positive” samjha, aur dollar thoda barh gaya. Lekin yeh reports dollar ke liye koi khaas achay prospects nahi kholte. Labor market aur unemployment ke data ab bhi umeedon par pura nahi utarte, jo ke Fed ko kam az kam ek ya do dafa key rate kam karne par majboor karenge. Market ne in "ek ya do dafa" ke rate cuts ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai, magar ab bhi zyadatar aggressive policy easing ka intezar kar raha hai. Jumay ko 5-minute time frame par pehle poori flat thi, phir turbulence dekha gaya. US trading session ke dauran, naye traders sirf do sell signals par kaam kar sakte thay jo ke level 1.1132 ke qareeb aaye, kyun ke yeh sabse accurate thay. Magar macroeconomic background ka asar kafi zyada tha, toh 1.1132 ka level surpass ho sakta tha. 1.1091 ke level par ek hi waqt mein chaar trading signals bane, magar sabhi inaccurate aur contradictory thay.
**Monday ko kaise trade karein:**
Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ne apni ascending trend line ke neeche consolidation ki hai, aur pehli dafa bohat arsay baad ek downward trend banane ka mauqa hai jo logical aur tamam analysis factors ke mutabiq hoga. Lekin afsos ke sath, illogical dollar sales jaldi se dobara shuru ho sakti hain downward correction ke baad, kyun ke kisi ko nahi pata ke market kab tak Fed ki monetary policy easing ko price mein shamil karta rahega, jo ke ab tak shuru nahi hui. Market ab tak takreeban tamam aane wale rate cuts ko price mein shamil kar raha hai, aur US ke macroeconomic data zyada tar disappoint hi karte

Haal hi mein EUR/USD ne apne kuch losses ko recover kiya hai, aur abhi 1.1070 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jisse 3 dinon ki girawat ka silsila khatam hua hai, yeh sab Australia mein Friday ke early session ke dauran dekhne ko mila. Magar, significant gains ke liye scope abhi bhi constrained hai, kyunke traders abhi bhi ehtiyaat barat rahe hain aur kuch ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Khaas tor par, market participants Eurozone ke July Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) aur US July Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke flash estimate ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is waqt EUR/USD 1.1073 ke level ke qareeb hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein potential rate cuts ke bare mein speculation barh gayi hai, Eurozone mein lagataar price pressures ke kam hone aur maeeshat ki kamzor surat-e-haal ke hawalay se. August ke liye flash HCOB PMI report ne bhi yeh tasdeeq ki hai. Magar, recent data kuch complex picture pesh kar raha hai. Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator, Industry Confidence aur Services Sentiment ne August ke liye expectations ko surpass kiya hai. Iske baraks, Consumer Confidence -13.5 par gir gaya, jo pichlay release se thoda bura tha aur forecasted -13 se neeche tha.

America mein, revised Q2 GDP report ne ek mazboot annualized growth rate 3% dikhaya, jo pehle wale estimate 2.8% se zyada tha. Is stronger-than-expected GDP growth ne US recession ke hawalay se worries ko kam kar diya hai. Iske ilawa, PCE inflation report se umeed hai ke July mein annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jaye gi, jo June mein 2.6% thi. Har mahine core PCE mein 0.2% ka mustaqil izafa dekhne ko mila hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Filhal, yeh pair Thursday ko banayi gayi range mein trade kar raha hai, aur critical resistance level 1.1100 ke neeche stabilize ho gaya hai. Near-term outlook abhi bhi positive hai, kyunke short se lekar long-term tak ke Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) upward slope dikhate hain. Iske ilawa, pair ne daily chart par Rising Channel formation ka breakout barqarar rakha hai.




Support aur Resistance:

1.1000 ke psychological level ke qareeb support expected hai jo pair ko cushion provide karega. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 60.00 ke neeche girawat dekhi hai, jabke yeh overbought conditions ke qareeb 75.00 par tha, jo yeh indication de raha hai ke pair ki movement mein abhi pause ya consolidation dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Aaj European currency ke liye ek bohot ahem event hone wala hai. ECB (European Central Bank) ke meeting ke dauran refinancing rate mein ek significant reduction ki umeed hai, jo 4.25% se kam karke 3.65% kiya ja sakta hai. Halankeh, hafta ke aakhir mein experts ne rate ko sirf 4% tak kam karne ka andaza lagaya tha. Ab woh keh rahe hain ke inflation rate mein bohot zyada slowdown aur economic growth ki bohot dheemi raftaar ECB ko monetary policy mein baray badlaon ke zariye nayi strategy apnane ka moqa de sakti hai.

Ab agar hum EUR/USD pair par nazar daalein jo daily chart par samney aayi hai, to hum dekhte hain ke kuch dino se quotes bohot low activity dikhate hue current trading range ki lower boundary ke neeche hain, aur abhi bhi uncertainty barqarar hai. Yahan ek baat note karni zaroori hai ke downward slope abhi bhi mojood hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ke imkaanaat ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Red moving average zone mein position barqarar rehna upward correction ka izhaar karta hai, jahan resistance level 1.1039 ko break karne ka imkaan hai. Halaat dekhte hue, abhi ke levels par buying risky lagti hai, isliye mein is waqt market mein remain karne ka soch raha hoon.




Selling Strategy:
Main sirf us surat mein selling consider karoonga agar price 1.0989 ko break kar ke uske neeche daily candle close karti hai. Agar mere expectations theek sabit hue aur 1.0989 ka breakout hua, to main market mein 1.0939 aur 1.0867 ke targets ke sath enter karoonga. Ek reversal signal tab samjha jata hai jab market indicator ki cloud ke upar merge karta hai. Lekin, agar golden cross banta hai jo ek buying signal deta hai, to wo cloud ke asar mein dobara break bhi ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ko aglay teen mahinon tak kareeb 1.1100 ke aas-paas trade karne ka andaza hai. Market analyst Foley ke mutabiq, exchange rate mein halia breakout aur Federal Reserve ke naye policy cycle ke aghaaz se ek naya trading range ubhar raha hai. Magar Foley ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke agar September ke aghaz mein U.S. ka economic data expectations se behtar sabit hota hai, to EUR/USD mein pullbacks hote hue 1.1200 tak jaane ka imkaan hai.

Geopolitical Tensions aur Market Par Asar:

Hali mein kuch geopolitical developments hui hain, jisme Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan firing ka tabadla dekha gaya, jo zyada escalate nahi hui. Dusri taraf, Hamas ne Israel ke saath Egypt mein hui negotiations mein naye ceasefire sharaait ko reject kar diya hai. Hamas ka mutalba hai ke Israel ko U.S. President Joe Biden aur UN Security Council ke tay karda sharaait par amal karna chahiye. Yeh tensions seedha currency markets par asar nahi daal rahe, lekin investor sentiment ko zaroor mutasir karte hain.

Federal Reserve ki Policy Outlook:

San Francisco Federal Reserve ki President Mary Daly ne Bloomberg TV ke zariye kuch insights share ki hain. Daly ka kehna hai ke ab yeh waqt sahi ho sakta hai ke interest rates ko kam kiya jaye. Daly ne is baat ka ishara diya hai ke Fed quarter percentage point ke hisaab se rates ko kam karna shuru kar sakta hai. Agar inflation dheemay hoti hai aur labor market mazboot rehti hai, to monetary policy mein tabdeeli reasonable hogi, jo EUR/USD pair par significant asar daal sakti hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) ka Mauqif:

ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne Eurozone ki maeeshat ke bare mein comments diye hain. Rehn ne yeh highlight kiya hai ke inflation mein lagataar slowdown aur Eurozone ki kamzor maeeshat ke hawalay se borrowing costs ko aglay mahine kam karne ka imkaan barhta ja raha hai. Traders ghair yeh dekh rahe hain ke Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ECB policies ko kaise mutasir karte hain. Ahem economic indicators, jaise ke GfK Consumer Confidence Survey aur GDP data, mazeed insights faraham kar sakte hain.

H4 Chart Short-Term EUR/USD Movements:

Short-term mein, yeh pair 1.1050 level par wapas aane mein mushkilat ka shikar ho sakta hai, kyunke U.S. data ke kami se dollar ko kuch support mil sakta hai. 1.1100 ke support level ka retest bhi ek possibility hai. Overbought conditions ke wajah se kuch dinon ke liye consolidation ka imkaan hai, lekin jab tak crucial support level 1.1171 breach nahi hota, outlook EUR ke liye positive hai.




Wednesday ke din spot price mein rally dekhne ko mili, jisme kareeb aadha percent ka izafa hua, jab investors trading week ka aghaaz nai umeed ke sath kar rahe the. Pair ne 1.1050 level ko cross kiya aur 1.1110 handle ka retest karne ke liye raasta bana raha hai. Yeh positive momentum broader market trends aur euro ke performance mein investor confidence ko reflect karta hai.

EUR/USD H4 Market Analysis

Assalam-o-Alaikum,

Pichle hafte ke trading session mein, EUR/USD pair ki price bearish rahi. Market ka halat aisa lag raha hai ke yeh aur neeche gir sakta hai, aur simple moving average line bhi 100 position ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke ek ahem support level hai. Agar simple moving average line 100 period ke neeche chali gayi, to iska matlab hai ke market is mahine downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Filhaal ek upward correction dekhne ko mil raha hai, lekin agar hum SELL signal ki baat karein, to humein sirf ek mazboot fundamental momentum ka intezar hai taake market ke girne ka silsila jari reh sake.

August ke end se hi EUR/USD pair ki price ek bearish situation mein chal rahi hai, aur is hafte bhi ye mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Jaise ke pichle hafte ke aghaz mein market ke halat the, waisa lagta hai ke price ab bhi upward correction kar rahi hai. Agle dino ke liye umeed hai ke sellers price ko neeche layne ki koshish karte rahenge. Kal candle neeche gir gayi thi aur ab tak downtrend ko continue karne ki koshish ho rahi hai. Main abhi bhi market par focus kar raha hoon jo ke plan ke mutabiq neeche ja rahi hai.




Jab tak hum mazeed flexibility ke sath market ko dekh sakte hain, is hafte ka bearish movement agle mahine ke aghaz mein downward trend ka catalyst ban sakta hai. Shayad kuch aur fundamentals is trend ko support karen. Mera khayal hai ke agle kuch dino mein SELL trading option ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Market mein agle kuch dino tak bearish trend jari rehne ke ache chances hain. Achha signal confirm karne ke liye, humein intezar karna hoga ke sellers price ko 1.30012 tak push karen. Agle downside target ke liye, candlestick 1.2964 ke price area ke neeche break kar sakti hai.

Yeh jo currency pair hai, yeh haal hi mein 1.1100 ke mark se neeche aa gaya hai, jo Germany aur Spain mein mehngai ki rates ke tez girawat ki wajah se hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Spain ka saalana Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) 2.4% tak slow ho gaya hai, jo is saal ka sabse dheere dar hai. Saath hi, Germany ka saalana HICP 2% tak gir gaya hai, jo teen saalon mein sabse kam hai, jo pehle ke andazay 2.3% aur pichli release ke 2.6% se kam hai. Germany ka maheenay ba-maheenay HICP bhi 0.2% ka deflation dikhaya, jabke stability ki umeed thi.

ECB Rate Cuts ki Market Mein Umeed:

Financial markets mein din-ba-din yeh umeed barh rahi hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) apne key borrowing rates ko September mein phir se kam karegi. Halanki ECB ne June mein policy normalization phase mein transition kiya tha, August mein interest rates ko unchanged rakha. Lekin ab, jab Germany ki inflation rate 2% par wapas aa gayi hai—jo teen saalon mein nahi dekhi gayi—market ki umeed ke ECB rate cut ke khilaf hai. Germany ki economy bhi technical recession ka samna kar rahi hai, jo second quarter mein 0.1% se contracted hui hai, aur iski economic outlook bhi mushkil mein hai. France aur Spain jaise doosre Eurozone mulkon mein bhi August mein inflation rates mein significant girawat dekhi gayi hai.

U.S. GDP Estimates ke Upward Revision ka Asar:

ECB ke potential rate cut ki umeed ko U.S. se aaye naye economic data bhi farq de rahe hain. Thursday ko U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report kiya ke economy ne second quarter mein annualized rate par 3% growth dikhayi, jo pehle ke estimate 2.8% se zyada hai. Yeh mazboot growth figure Eurozone monetary policy par kuch attention shift kar raha hai, aur U.S. aur Eurozone ke darmiyan economic conditions ke farq ko highlight kar raha hai.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis of EUR/USD:

In recent economic developments ke baad, currency pair mein bearish pullback dekha gaya hai. Pair ab 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.1060 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Halanki EUR/USD ab bhi 200-day EMA ke 1.1022 ke upar hai, yeh saal ke highs se kaafi gir gaya hai jo pehle hafte mein dekha gaya tha. Current bearish momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ko aage aur downward pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Technical Resistance Analysis for EUR/USD:

EUR/USD pair ko foran resistance ka saamna hai 1.1186 par, jo August 28 ko dekha gaya tha. Agar yeh pair is level ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh agla resistance upper boundary of the Bollinger Band par milega, jo 1.1231 par set hai. Agar is resistance ko bhi decisive break milta hai, toh yeh pair 1.1276 ki taraf rally kar sakti hai, jo July 18 ko record kiya gaya high hai.

EUR/USD pair Wednesday ko 1.1175 ke new high se 1.1130 par aa gaya hai. US Dollar (USD) rise hua hai lekin 2024 ke new low par hai, central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko six other major currencies ke relative measure karta hai, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Fed apne first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karta hai ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, continued easing of inflationary pressures ke liye. Yeh market speculation ko Fed interest rate cuts ke liye strengthen karta hai.




FOMC minutes ne reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July mein interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke address ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium par Friday ko 14:00 GMT se dekhenge, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed ke potential reductions ko dekhenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se dekhenge, jo scheduled hai release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data indicate karta hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par drop hua hai.

Price Evaluation

Investors ke attention Fed Powell ke address par JH Symposium par Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high near 1.1775 par hai, isko four-day winning streak extend karne ki expectation hai. Standard currency pair previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate karte hain, upward pointing hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki likelihood hai. Bulls euro mein round-level resistance 1.1200 ko retake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 ke clear break ke baad. Round-level number 1.1100 downside par significant support zone serve karega

EURUSD Price Dynamic

Aaj hum EURUSD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. Jo bearish candle phir se bani hai, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke EURUSD market pair abhi bhi kaafi strong negative potential mein hai, aur bearish target ke liye tayar hai. Daily time window par dekha jaye to price ya candle abhi bhi red MA 50 level ke upar chal rahi hai jo 1.0960-1.0970 ke price par hai, aur yeh kaafi kareeb hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko red MA 50 tak le jane ki koshish karein. Agar price is level ko breach kar leti hai, to agla target Blue MA 100 region hoga, jo filhal 1.0870 aur 1.0890 ke beech trade ho raha hai.

Aaj ki market session mein price dheere dheere move kar raha hai, lekin yeh baat wazeh hai ke buyers price position ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake price ko pehle wale buyer support area 1.0990 ke upar rakha ja sake. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price upward correction mein move kar sakta hai, jisme target price 1.10543 ho sakti hai, jo ke pehle ka resistance area hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to EURUSD pair ke price mein mazeed izafa ki umeed hai, jahan 50-period Moving Average ke upar aur izafa hoga.




H4 Time Period Analysis

H4 time period mein dekha jaye to EURUSD pair ka market is haftay ke trading ke liye kaafi strong bearish pattern mein hai. Agar hum H4 timeframe par moving average indicator ka istemal karein, to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke price abhi bhi seller ke control mein hai, jinhon ne candle ya price ko 50-period moving average ke neeche rakha hai, aur consistent movement ho rahi hai. Abhi bhi selling pressure ka achi chance hai, aur agla bearish target pehle ka support area 1.0990 hoga.

EUR/USD trading instrument ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Is haftay hum dheere dheere gir rahe hain aur price ne pichle haftay ka minimum update kiya hai. Is senior period par wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai. MACD indicator, halanke yeh upper purchase zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ek correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, girawat khatam nahi hui hai, price ab bhi mushkil se gir rahi hai; Pehle ki growth bahut asaan thi, yeh upar baar baar chal gayi thi. Qareeb aur main target horizontal support level 1.0950 hai jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Mera kehna hai ke hum aakhir mein is tak pohnch jayenge; Yeh na sirf daily level hai, balke weekly bhi hai. Pichle haftay price ne girawat se upar ki taraf correction banayi aur mirror level 1.1150 tak pohnch gayi, jo ek bohot powerful sales zone hai. Friday ko USA se aayi news par price tezi se upar gayi thi, lekin utni hi tezhi se neeche bhi gir gayi thi. Mera maan na hai ke pichle mahine ke itne zyada growth ke baad, ek downward correction model kam az kam teen waves tak hoga. Agar hum pehli downward wave ke size ko superimpose karain, to price movement kaafi hai 1.0955 level tak pohnchne ke liye jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Price aksar aise cycle mein chalti hai jahan pehli wave aur teesri wave ka size qareeb hota hai, aur yeh mukhtalif periods par hota hai, lekin yeh ek pattern hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh girawat yahin se jaari rahegi. Yahan Fibonacci target grid bhi pehli wave par superimpose kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin asal mein, yeh zaroori nahi hai, target ab bhi 1.0950 level hai. Aaj raat se hum 1.1013 support level se rebound kar rahe hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh temporary phenomenon hai aur jald hum phir se neeche jaayenge specified target tak. Aaj ki news jo note ki jaani chahiye: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA ka Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) mahine aur saal ke hisaab se. Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi USA ka mahine aur saal ke hisaab se

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas

Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai


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Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai