یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Asian session ke dauran Wednesday ko, currency pair negative territory mein trade kar raha hai aur 1.1047 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh halki girawat Greenback ke liye consolidation ke dauran ho rahi hai. Market participants angle economic reports ki taraf dhyan de rahe hain jo currency valuations ko affect kar sakti hain. Khaaskar, aaj ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) ki release investors ke liye ek major point ban gayi hai.
PPI report ke July ke liye inflationary pressures ke thoda kam hone ki ummeed hai. Headline PPI ke 0.1% month-over-month hone ki umeed hai, jo ke pehle ke 0.2% se kam hai. Core PPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, ke 2.7% year-over-year hone ki forecast hai, jo June ke 3.0% se kam hai. Yeh figures broader inflation trends ko reflect karengi jo US economy ko affect kar rahi hain.

Upcoming US CPI Data aur Federal Reserve Policy Expectations

Investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain. Economists ko 0.2% ka increase headline aur core CPI mein ummeed hai, aur annual inflation rates thoda dheere hone ka bhi estimate hai. Headline CPI ke 2.9% tak dheere hone ki ummeed hai, jabke core CPI 3.2% tak pohnchne ka estimate hai. Yeh inflation metrics Federal Reserve ke future policy actions ko assess karne ke liye zaroori hain.

Filhal, market expectations Federal Reserve ke key borrowing rates ko September tak kam karne par focus kar rahi hain. Fed policymakers ko lagta hai ke inflation 2% ke targeted rate ki taraf trend kar rahi hai. Lekin, labor market mein emerging downside risks ke concerns bhi badh rahe hain jo future monetary policy decisions ko affect kar sakte hain.

Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Bullish Momentum aur Key Levels to Watch

Yeh pair strong bullish trend mein hai, aur 200-week moving average (MA) ko 1.1111 par cross kar gaya hai. Pair ek multi-week high 1.1203 ke kareeb hai. Oscillators different time frames par bullish alignment dikhate hain, jo EUR ke upward momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Lekin, short-term mein potential correction ya consolidation ka risk bhi hai, kyunki intraday aur daily directional movement indices (DMIs) stretched lag rahe hain. 1.1000 psychological level EUR/USD pair ke liye ek critical support point hai

Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.
Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai

buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.
Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. US Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain

EUR/USD Analysis

Currency pair EUR/USD. Hum dheere dheere gir rahe hain aur price aakhri hafte ke minimum ko update karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Is senior period ki wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein build ho rahi hai. MACD indicator, halankeh ye upper purchase zone mein hai, apne signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ke correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Meri raaye mein, girawat khatam nahi hui hai, price abhi bhi mushkil se gir rahi hai, jabke growth bahut aasan thi, jaise yeast upar gayi thi. Sabse nazdeek aur main target horizontal support level 1.0950 hai jo ke closing prices ke candles par build hua hai, mujhe lagta hai hum aakhirkar is tak pohnchenge, ye sirf daily level nahi hai, balki weekly level bhi hai. Pichle kuch dinon mein, price ne girawat se ek upward correction kiya aur mirror level 1.1150 tak pohnch gayi, jo ek bahut hi powerful sales zone hai. Friday ko USA se aaye news ke baad price tezi se wahan upar gayi, magar itni hi tezhi se wahan se neeche bhi aayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke itni powerful growth ke baad pichle mahine, downward correction model kam se kam teen waves ka hoga. Agar hum directly pehli downward wave ke size ko teesri wave par impose karain, to price movement lagbhag itni hi hai jo ke level 1.0955 tak pohnchne ke liye kafi hai jo ke closing prices ke candles par build hui hai. Price aksar aise cycle mein move karti hai jahan pehli wave ka size teesri wave ke size ke barabar hota hai, aur ye alag alag periods par hota hai, magar aisa pattern hota hai. To mujhe lagta hai ke yahan se girawat aage bhi chalegi. Yahan par target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par impose kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin asal mein, ye zaroori nahi hai, target abhi bhi level 1.0950 hai. Dusre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain aane wale waqt mein. Isliye, abhi ke liye intraday periods par sirf downward movement ka priority hai jab bhi rollbacks aur formations sales ke liye hon, ye halat kam se kam specified target level tak rahega. Uske baad shayad ek corrective wave of growth ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD ka price movement ka tajziya karte hue, dekhne mein aa raha hai ke EUR/USD pair ka price is waqt Ichimoku indicator ki Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen lines ke beech move kar raha hai. Pichlay aath saalon mein, yeh pair is range ke andar fluctuate karta raha hai, aur lagta hai ke agle chand dino mein ek bearish cross ban sakta hai. Hum H1 time frame tak pohnch gaye hain, aur H4 chart par trading Kijun-Sen line ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo upcoming candlesticks mein cross-shift ka ishara karti hai.

H4 time frame mein price ek important support zone ke ooper tha, jo qareeban 1.0999 par hai. Agar yeh support break ho jaye, to yeh ziada bearish move ka ishara de sakta hai. Yeh analysis ek potential target ko qareeban 1.0776 ke aas paas dikhata hai, lekin yeh abhi tak speculative hai. Agar yeh 1.1074 se neeche gir jata hai, to support zone mein aur gehra move hosakta hai, aur possible targets 1.0959 aur 1.1014 ke darmiyan hosakte hain.

EUR/USD abhi bhi buyers ke haq mein hai kyunki EUR/USD ne contracting triangle pattern ko break kiya hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke price 1.1274 ka high test kar sakta hai. Immediate objectives aur price action ko dekhte hue, halanki M30 se H1 time frames par 1.1074 ke neeche ek dip dekha gaya, lekin abhi tak koi sustained downward trend confirm nahi hui, kyunki price is level ke neeche hold nahi kar saka—sirf candle wicks dikhayi di hain 1.1074 ke aas paas kai koshishon ke bawajood.

Monday ka price action bohot important hoga, jo haftay ke pehle hisson ke liye tone set karega. Khaas taur par, euro/dollar pair ne Friday ko kaafi koshishon ke bawajood 1.1124–1.1149 ke range ko cross nahi kiya. Iska aik sabab yeh ho sakta hai ke Friday ko trading dynamics end-of-week adjustments ki wajah se alag hotay hain, jisse euro ka level zyada high nahi laga. U.S. ki mixed economic data ne bhi pair ki direction mein ambiguity daal di. Halaat yeh hain ke price 1.1074–1.1104 support range ke neeche gir gaya hai.

Euro ne trading week ke doran halka sa recovery dekha, aur 1.11 level tak pohnch gaya. Lekin, yeh movement kuch zyada impactful nahi thi, aur noisy price action ka shikaar thi. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko jaldi cut karne ki ummeed hai, lekin 1.12 mark ke upar ek significant level of resistance hai. Is barrier ko todne ke liye kaafi effort ki zaroorat hogi, jo shayad euro ko near term mein sideways trade karne par majboor kare. Agar market 1.10 level ke neeche break hoti hai, to hum 200-week EMA ka test aur phir 1.09 support level tak movement dekh sakte hain.
Dusri taraf, agar euro resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to shayad 1.1240 level ko todne ke liye kai attempts ki zaroorat pade. Yeh area significant hai kyunki early 2022 mein yahan bade sell-off huye the. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate decisions ke sath, market ka movement in policies ke outcomes par depend karta hai. Federal Reserve se expected rate cuts ki number abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur traders Fed ke September decision ke baad press conference, khas taur par Jerome Powell ke statement, ko closely watch karenge.

Filhal, euro apne trading range ke upar ke end ke qareeb hai jahan yeh kaafi saalon se trade kar raha hai. Technical aur fundamental factors ke madde nazar, significant gains achieve karna mushkil ho sakta hai jab tak economic conditions ya policy mein major shift na aaye. Ab ke liye, euro ko resistance levels aur cautious market sentiment se struggle karna pad sakta hai

Agar meri samajh sahi hai, to aapka expectation hai ke price 1.1169 se niche jayegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke price itni high tak ja sakti hai ya nahi. Mera maanna hai ke hamari currency pair 1.1120–1.1140 tak upar ja sakti hai, jaisa ke maine pehle predict kiya tha. Maine 1.1120 se pending sale order place kiya tha. Ab, agreement thoda positive hai. Chuki lot choti hai, agar price significantly barh bhi jaye—jaise weekly maximum se upar—mujhe itna concern nahi hoga.
Asset ko reduce karna main idea hai. Main 1.0822 pe daily channel ka lower border par trade ko hold karunga. Maan leta hoon ke agar price channel ke lower edge tak girti hai, to yeh thodi movement dekhne ko milegi aur aur bhi choti ho sakti hai. Filhal, daily chart ka moving average green hai, jo buyers ko sellers se upar indicate karta hai. Lekin, moving average eventually sellers ki superiority ko highlight karne lagayegi.

Agar ek single sale breakeven stop par end hoti hai to theek hai. Lekin, maine kal EUR/USD ko 1.1108 se ek baar phir becha, aur is baar bhi zyada shorts breakeven par end hue. CME ne Friday, September 6 ke liye Volatility Range extend kiya hai aur dono non-farm payrolls aur unemployment ki preparation mein hai.

Technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain ke pair ek substantial move ke qareeb ho sakti hai. 4-hour chart fluctuation ko major support aur resistance levels ke beech dikhata hai, jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se guzarti hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke around multiple FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke market abhi recent developments ke sath adjust ho rahi hai aur ek pronounced directional move ke liye tayaar ho sakti hai.

Technical factors ke sath-sath fundamental aspects bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone aur US mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious stance rakha hai jab ke Federal Reserve ne zyada dovish stance adopt kiya hai. Monetary policy expectations ke is divergence ne current market dynamics ko contribute kiya hai, jahan euro ne zyada strength gain kiya hai amid a more accommodating Fed outloo

EUR/USD pair ne ek bearish phase dekha, jahan price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 ke qareeb aa gayi. Is decline ke dauran kai FVGs form hui jo baad mein market ke balance hone ke saath fill ho gayi. May mein price action ne clear bearish sentiment dikhaya, jahan price 1.1000 ke key resistance ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi thi, jo daily liquidity (DLiq) zones ke presence se capped thi. June mein pair support aur resistance levels ke beech oscillate karta raha, jahan 1.0800 area critical support level ke taur par kaam kar raha tha. Is dauran, price ne 1.0900 level ko multiple times test kiya, lekin DLiq zones ke qareeb aate hi selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. June ka consolidation phase market ki liquidity absorb karne ki preparation ke roop mein tha. July ne momentum mein shift ka signal diya, jab EUR/USD pair ne apni previous lows se recovery shuru ki. Price steadily 1.1100 ki taraf badhi, aur is raaste mein kai FVGs aur DLiq zones ko break kiya. Yeh rally short-covering aur fresh buying interest ki combination se fuel hui, kyunke market participants ne key resistance level ke upar breakout ki anticipation ki. August mein, pair ne 1.1100 level ke upar break kiya aur 1.1270 ke qareeb high reach kiya. Lekin, yeh move short-lived raha, kyunke price ne 1.1250 ke around ek naye DLiq zone ke form mein resistance ka saamna kiya. 1.1200 ke upar gains ko sustain na karne ki wajah se price 1.1000 level ki taraf retrace hui, jahan pair ne ek pehle established DLiq zone par support paaya.

Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo recent volatility ke baad consolidation ke signs dikhata hai. 1.1050 ke aas-paas FVGs ki presence se pata chalta hai ke market abhi bhi recent move ko digest kar rahi hai aur agle step ke liye prepare kar rahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq, 1.1100 level abhi bhi key resistance hai, jabke 1.1000 crucial support act karta hai. Summary mein, EUR/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko reflect karta hai jo liquidity zones aur FVGs ke interactions se driven hai, aur pair abhi key levels ke beech mein phansa hua hai. Agar 1.1100 ke upar sustained move hota hai to further gains ki raah khul sakti hai towards 1.1200 aur beyond, jabke 1.1000 ke neeche break hone par deeper retracement towards 1.0900 ka signal mil sakta ha

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein US dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, utasalar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch US inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi. Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; Neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya

Monday ko EUR/USD market pair par trading sellers ke dominance mein rahi, jo buyers ko bullish tareeqe se ladne ka mauka nahi diye. Sellers ne bade market mein enter karke price ko bearish tareeqe se niche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke sellers ke resistance area 1.1090-1.1088 se door hua aur bullish rate phir se fail ho gaya. Sellers ne bearish pressure barhaya, jo ke price ko kaafi gehra niche le gaya.

Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par dekhte hue, price ya candle ab bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0958 ke price range mein hai. Yeh distance jo ke dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, yeh darshata hai ke EUR/USD market pair mein price weakening ko market se ab bhi support mil raha hai, kyunki candles ab bhi bearish candlesticks se dominated hain. Is wajah se sellers ko price ko niche le jane ka zyada mauka mil raha hai, aur is hafte ke liye MA 50 Red area tak pahunchne ka target hai.

Tuesday ko Asian market session se lekar European session tak, price buyers ke dominance mein nazar aayi jo bearish sellers ke pace ko block kar rahe hain aur dynamic support area ko strengthen kar rahe hain. Bullish correction ka target kam se kam sellers ke resistance area 1.1070-1.1073 ki taraf hai. Agar buyer is area ko penetrate kar le, to yeh higher bullish opportunity ko open karega, jiska agla target sellers ke Supply resistance area 1.1112-1.1115 ki taraf hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy Trading Options: Agar price sellers ke resistance area ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, to pending buy stop order 1.1070-1.1073 ke price area par place kiya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.1112-1.1115 hoga.

Sell Trading Options: Agar price buyers ke support area ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, to pending sell stop order 1.1015-1.1013 ke price area par place kiya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.0955-1.0953 hoga.

EUR/USD

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Euro/Dollar pair dheere dheere gir raha hai aur ab 1.10 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai; is ke ilawa, aaj ke United States ke statistics ke baad lamba girawat ka bhi mumkin hai, jisme manufacturing sector mein PMI ki significant kami dekhi gayi. Yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke government statistics jo US economy ke growth rate ko show karte hain aur manufacturing sector ki halat mein ek imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ki refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ki khwahish ko kam kar sakta hai. Yeh factor dollar quotes ko positive impact de sakta hai. Bears ab bhi market mein hain aur EUR/USD ko niche trade karte rahenge. Euro/Dollar ab 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai; technical nazariye se, iska probability high hai ke decline aaj Asia mein bhi dekhne ko milegi, jo pichle levels 1.1070 tak wapas aa rahi hai, aur breakdown test kar rahi hai, breakdown ke baad continued growth ke liye.

Four-hour chart par halat zyada tabdeel nahi hui; quotes lagatar bearish direction mein chal rahi hain aur aaj ke US statistics is decline ko roknay mein naakam rahe. Mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke round level 1.1000 tak pohanchna zaroori hai, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke barabar hai jo is period ke dauran stretch kiya gaya hai; agar quotes isse neeche break karte hain, to hum lambi movement expect kar sakte hain jo Fibonacci grid ke average border 1.0938 ke area mein work out ho sakti hai. Daily chart upar tha, aur ab main half-hour time frame ko dekhna chahunga. Ek strong downward price channel pehle dheere dheere develop ho raha tha, jis ke dauran EUR/USD pair kafi lamba trade hota raha. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke bearish price channel break ho gaya tha, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1065 par resistance line ko break kiya, lekin strong US economic data ke release ke baad, EUR/USD pair girawat ko continue kar raha hai.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Euro ne pichle kaam karne wale hafte mein thoda sa gir gaya, pehle ke growth trend ko correct karte hue. Is waqt, price 1.0837 level se thoda niche toot gayi, jo ke ek key support tha. Is support ko todne ke baad, price ne apne losses ko wapas jeetne ki koshish ki aur 1.0837 ke upar wapas aa gayi, jahan yeh apne aap ko mazbooti se banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Pichle scenario mein jo expect kiya gaya tha, target area ko nahi pohanch sakte. Waqt guzarte hue, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers hedging kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, aaj, 4-H pe ghoor se dekhte hue, negative simple moving average crossover price ko upar se suppress kar raha hai. Yahan se, downtrend ka imkaan hai, extended resistance 1.0875 aur 1.0900 ke niche day trading ke saath, kyun ke 1.0800 ke niche move hote hi aage losses ka rasta khulega towards 1.0730. Doosri taraf, 1.0900 ke upar trading stability expected bearish scenario ko rok sakti hai, jahan EUR/USD temporary recovery experience kar sakta hai, pehle 1.0970 tak barhte hue. Neeche chart dekhen:


Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif direction mein trade kar raha hai aur hafte ke aghaz ke muqable mein thoda slow move kar raha hai. Central support zone test hui aur intact rahi, rebound ka sabab banti hai, jo ke preferred upward vector ki relevance ko dikhata hai. Price ko abhi current 1.0837 price area ke qareeb consolidate karni chahiye, jo ke central support area ke qareeb hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent bounce aur ek move higher ka mauka provide karega, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke beech mein.

Agar support break hoti hai aur further 1.0763 pivot level ke niche girti hai, to current situation ulat jayegi.

**EUR/USD Ka Price Forecast: Technical Nazariya**

EUR/USD ne 1.1100 ki support level ko clear karne ke baad losses extend kiye hain, aur ECB se 12 September ko 25 basis points ki rate cut ki umeed hai. Wall Street ne Monday ki session ko green me close kiya, jo ek upbeat risk appetite ka asar hai, aur is hafte US me inflation data ke release ki umeed hai. Dusri taraf, aksar analysts ka kehna hai ke ECB 25 basis points ki rate cut kar sakti hai.

BBH ke analysts ka kehna hai ke ECB apne cautious easing guidance ko barqarar rakhega, jo ke yeh hai ke "wo policy ko itna restrictive rakhega jitna zaroori ho" aur data par depend karega. ECB apni economic projections ko unveil karega, jo ke economic growth aur inflation ke downward revision ko shamil karegi. Money market traders ab tak is saal ke end tak 50 se 75 basis points ke cuts ko price in kar rahe hain.

Data ke hawale se, Eurozone economic docket me Tuesday ko German Inflation data aayega, aur Friday ko EU ka Industrial Production report release hoga. US front pe, New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations 3% threshold par anchored hain. Is hafte ke aage, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August ke 2% ke goal ki taraf dip karne ki umeed hai.

Agar CPI thoda kam hota hai, to Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke rate cut ka chance barh jayega. Warna, gradual adjustments to monetary policy pehle se price in hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis points ke rate cut ka chance 70% hai, jabke 50 basis points ke rate cut ka chance 30% hai.

Technical nazariya se, EUR/USD ka trend neutral se upward bias hai, lekin agar September 3 ke low 1.1026 ke neeche decisive break hota hai to downside ke liye aur door khul sakti hai. Key support levels, jaise ke 1.1000 mark, expose honge, jiske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.0958 tak pohncha ja sakta hai. Agar is level ka breach hota hai to pair 100 aur 200-DMAs ke confluence ko 1.0867/58 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur phir August 1 ke swing low 1.0777 tak gir sakta hai.

Bullish resumption ke liye, buyers ko pair ko September 9 ke high 1.1091 ke upar le jana hoga.

Technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain ke pair ek substantial move ke qareeb ho sakti hai. 4-hour chart fluctuation ko major support aur resistance levels ke beech dikhata hai, jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se guzarti hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke around multiple FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke market abhi recent developments ke sath adjust ho rahi hai aur ek pronounced directional move ke liye tayaar ho sakti hai.
Technical factors ke sath-sath fundamental aspects bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone aur US mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious stance rakha hai jab ke Federal Reserve ne zyada dovish stance adopt kiya hai. Monetary policy expectations ke is divergence ne current market dynamics ko contribute kiya hai, jahan euro ne zyada strength gain kiya hai amid a more accommodating Fed outlook.

Aage chal kar, EUR/USD pair ka behavior upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments se influence hoga. Significant movement ka potential in factors ke interplay par depend karega. Agar pair key resistance 1.1100 ko break kar sakti hai aur is level ke upar sustain kar sakti hai, to yeh further upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo 1.1200 ya usse upar test kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar support levels, especially 1.1000, ke upar hold nahi karte, to deeper retracement ka indication mil sakta hai, aur lower levels jaise 1.0900 tak