Eurusd forum

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karain ge. Pehle toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke ascending channel abhi tak break nahi hua; chart abhi bhi trend ke andar adjust ho raha hai. Friday ka upward momentum is liye critical hai kyun ke iss se ascending channel mein growth barqarar reh sakti hai, aur 11th figure ke qareeb jo support level hai, wo buyers ke liye bohot important hai. Yeh level ascending channel ke andar akhri clear reference minimum ko represent karta hai. Agar kal ke din mein accumulation se maximum mein bara update hota, sirf kuch points ka nahi, toh ek naya minimum establish hota ascending channel mein. Magar yeh nahi hua, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke channel pressure mein hai, lekin ab tak break nahi hua. Ek rebound, preferably triangle formation ki taraf, channel ko break karna asaan kar dega aur ek solid reversal pattern establish kar dega.

Agar hum EUR/USD pair ke daily chart ka jaiza lain, toh pair kayi dinon se sideways move kar raha hai, aur aaj bhi yeh range ke andar move kar raha hai. Ab yeh dekhna hoga ke aage situation kaise develop hoti hai, yeh sideways trend continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhein, toh moving averages neutral hain, lekin technical indicators strongly sell ki taraf ishara karte hain. Overall recommendation sell ki hai, lekin humein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur sahi moment ka intezaar karna hoga. Aaj US se aane wali essential news negative lean karti hai, jo ke pair ko affect kar sakti hai. 5 saal ke US Treasury notes ka auction chal raha hai, aur Euro group meeting khatam ho chuki hai, magar euro zone se koi significant news nahi aayi. Is context mein, pair downward trend karne ke chances hain, aur yeh support level ke qareeb 1.1099 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, ek brief rise bhi ho sakta hai resistance level ke qareeb 1.1129 tak.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Hello, traders. Kiya hal hay ap logo ka . kal unemployment ka data ay ga jo hamay achi trade profit ma de jay ga. Pichlay trading week mein Euro ne 1.1198 ka high touch kiya, lekin yahan resistance face kiya aur downward correction shuru hui. Price 1.1033 tak gir gayi, jo signal zone ki boundary ke neeche thi. Is development ka expected scenario toh pura nahi hua, magar target area abhi bhi intact hai. Aaj ke technical outlook mein, 4-hour chart par dekhain toh simple moving average price par negative pressure daal raha hai, jo daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Agar 1.1040 ke support level ka clear aur strong break hota hai, toh downtrend resume hone ke chances hain, jisse pehla target level 1.0990 ho sakta hai, jo 1.0950 tak descend kar sakta hai.



Upar ki taraf dekha jaye toh agar price 1.1100 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh pair normal trading range mein aa jaye ga, aur positive trading session start ho sakta hai jisme targets 1.1140 se start ho sakte hain. Iss waqt pair apne weekly lows se neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area par kaafi pressure hai, magar ab tak yeh intact hai, jo upward movement ko favor karta hai. Agar price 1.1121 ke upar consolidate karti hai, jahan main support area hai, toh yeh ek nayi upward move ka signal de sakti hai, jiska target area 1.1283 aur 1.1373 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar price 1.1033 ke reversal level se neeche girti hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Pichlay trading haftay euro ne 1.1198 ki bulandi ko chua, jahan usay muzahimat ka saamna karna para aur wo neeche ki taraf chala gaya. Qeemat signal zone se neeche gir kar 1.1033 tak pohanch gayi. Is se ummiad ki jaany wali mustahkam taraqqi nahi hui, lekin target area abhi bhi mojud hai. Is waqt, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi prices ko roke huay hain.

Aaj ke technical moamlaat ko 4-hour chart par dekhain tou simple moving average abhi bhi price par manfi dabao dal raha hai, jo ke rozana ke neechey ki taraf jany wale trend ki tasdeeq karta hai. Isi liye agar qeemat 1.1040 ke support level ko saaf aur mazboot taur par tor deti hai, tou mumkin hai ke neechey ki taraf ki correction dobara shuru ho jaye aur pehle rasmi level 1.0990 tak pohanch kar us ke baad 1.0950 tak barh sakti hai. Ooper se, agar qeemat 1.1100 ke upar trading consolidation karti hai tou pair normal halat mein wapis aa sakta hai aur hum aik musbat trading session ka mushahida karenge jahan targets 1.1140 se shuru honge. Abhi pair apne weekly lows se kafi neeche trade kar raha hai. Ahmiyat ka support area mazboot dabao mein hai lekin abhi tak apni integrity barqarar rakhe hue hai, jiss se uptrend ko faida hota hai. Harakat jari rakhne ke liye qeemat ko recover karke 1.1121 level ke upar mazbooti se consolidate karna hoga. Aik kamyab retest aur wapis uchhal se upar jane ka mauqa milega, jiss ke target 1.1283 se 1.1373 ke darmiyan honge.

Agar qeemat 1.1033 ke reversal level se neeche girti hai, tou current scenario mansookh ho jayega.

EUR/USD ki current situation yeh dikhati hai ke yeh pair neeche ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai. Dynamics ki base par yeh nazar aa raha hai ke sales volume mein kamee aur buying mein izafa ho raha hai, lekin halaat abhi bhi naazuk hain. Price ne ab tak 1.0960-1.1015 support zone ko touch nahi kiya, aur 1.1030-50 support level bhi abhi tak breach nahi hua. Is liye, euro/dollar pair ke aage barhne ke chances abhi bhi mojood hain.

Agar yeh 1.1030-50 level ko tod deta hai aur specified support zone tak pohanch jata hai, toh market participants ke reaction par depend karega. Agar buying barh jati hai, toh southern movement jaari reh sakti hai, jis ka next target 1.0895-1.0920 hoga.

Aaj US dollar ko mazboot karne ke liye zyada significant factors ki zarurat hai, kyun ke dollar abhi bhi EUR/USD ka engine hai. Baghair aise factors ke, EUR/USD ke cheaper hone ke chances kam nazar aa rahe hain. Abhi buyers mushkil se apni positions hold kar rahe hain, aur mazeed instability unhe market se exit karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Kamzor demand se trend mein zyada severe change aane ke chances barh jate hain, jo ke EUR/USD ki value 1.1100 se neeche aane par shuru hua tha.

Aaj ke Europe aur US ke economic news ka intezar karte hain, kyun ke ahem macroeconomic data releases expected hain. Summary yeh hai ke northward movement EUR/USD ke 1.1100 se upar majboot hone par depend karti hai, jab ke southward trajectory abhi bhi priority hai, aur decline ka target 1.1000 level hai.

EUR/USD ke liye outlook
Maujudah suratehal kafi penchidah hai, khas taur par stock market me, jis ne guzishtah roz ISM PMI data ke jari hone ke bad tez girawat darj ki.
Kal, American session ke dauran, maine kuch trade kiye. I tarah, maine Americi dollar ke muqable euro aur pound sterling ko bech diya. Nichle time frame par kuch dilchasp setup the, lehaza maine jaldi se faida uthaya.
Aaj, euro/dollar nhi meri nazar me, nichle time frame par farokht ke liye ummid afza lag raha hai. Mai 1.1065 se farokht karne ke liye taiyar hun, jiska hadaf kal ki kam tarin satah ko todna aur qimat ko 1.10 range me pahunchana hai.
Aaj bahut sare data samne aa rahe hain, in me se koi khas taur par aham nahin hai. Halankeh, kal ke bazar ke radde amal ke bad, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh kisi bhi aidad o shumar ko zyadah hasasiyat ke sath dekha jayega. JOLTS report aur factory orders jo aaj baad me America me jari hone wale hain, market me kuch josh paida kar sakte hain.

Maujudah suratehal kafi penchidah hai, khas taur par stock market me, jis ne guzishtah roz ISM PMI data ke jari hone ke bad tez girawat darj ki.
Kal, American session ke dauran, maine kuch trade kiye. I tarah, maine Americi dollar ke muqable euro aur pound sterling ko bech diya. Nichle time frame par kuch dilchasp setup the, lehaza maine jaldi se faida uthaya.
Aaj, euro/dollar nhi meri nazar me, nichle time frame par farokht ke liye ummid afza lag raha hai. Mai 1.1065 se farokht karne ke liye taiyar hun, jiska hadaf kal ki kam tarin satah ko todna aur qimat ko 1.10 range me pahunchana hai.
Aaj bahut sare data samne aa rahe hain, in me se koi khas taur par aham nahin hai. Halankeh, kal ke bazar ke radde amal ke bad, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh kisi bhi aidad o shumar ko zyadah hasasiyat ke sath dekha jayega. JOLTS report aur factory orders jo aaj baad me America me jari hone wale hain, market me kuch josh paida kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko ek rise experience kiya, aur 1.1060 range mein trade kar rahi thi. Yeh upward movement zyada tar Federal Reserve ke ek significant rate cut ki umeed ki wajah se thi, jis ne euro ko dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot banaya. US mein lower interest rates greenback ko foreign investors ke liye kam attractive banati hain, jisse capital inflows kam hote hain aur US dollar par pressure padta hai. Iske baraks, euro apni strength ko barqarar rakha hua hai kyun ke eurozone mein interest rates ke lambe arsay tak elevated rehne ki umeed hai, jo wage growth ke barhane ke wajah se European Central Bank ko rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada ehtiyaat karne par majboor karta hai. Jab tak traders US interest rates ke future direction ko assess karte rahenge, euro ne dollar ke muqablay mein ground gain kiya hai. Fed ne is baat ka ishara diya hai ke September 18 ki meeting mein 0.50% rate cut ki probability 30% se zyada hai, jab ke 0.25% rate cut ki bhi kaafi significant likelihood hai. Market ne ek "significant rate cut" ko fully price in kar diya hai jo ke US dollar ke liye ek headwind bana hua hai aur EUR/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Recent US inflation data jo Friday ko release hui thi, usne kuch relief diya kyun ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index July mein 2.5% par barqarar raha, aur Core PCE price index bhi 2.6% par tha. Yeh figures expectations ke mutabiq thay aur shayad US economy ke potential hard landing ke concerns ko kam kar diya. Magar investors ko additional economic data ka intezaar karna hoga, jisme is haftay ka US employment data bhi shamil hai, taake Fed ke possible actions ka ek confident assessment kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD pair ne 1.1200 ke 13-mahinay ke high se recovery ki hai jab ke us ne teen consecutive sessions mein losses dekhe. Price is waqt 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 ke support area ke kareeb hai. Technical oscillators bhi improvement dikhate hain, jisme Stochastic oversold zone mein upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 50 level se thoda upar hai. Agar market apni bullish structure ko maintain karta hai aur 1.1050 level ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh previous high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Bulls shayad July 2023 ke peak 1.1275 ko bhi surpass kar lein. Agar downside dekha jaye, toh ek deeper decline market ko 1.0870 level tak neeche le ja sakta hai, jisme 200-day moving average ka test 1.0850 par ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne phir se Tuesday ko low volatility ke sath trade kiya. Lagta hai ke purane din wapas aa rahe hain jab pair sirf 30-40 pips ka daily movement karta tha. Umeed hai ke aisa nahi hoga. Monday ko koi khaas events nahi huay, lekin Tuesday ko U.S. mein ISM business activity index release hua jo ke aik important indicator samjha jata hai. Is liye U.S. session ke doran kuch theek thaak movement ki umeed ki ja sakti thi.

Lekin, yeh index na idhar ka tha na udhar ka. August mein iska value 47.2 points tak bara, jo July se zyada tha lekin forecasts se kam. Nateeja yeh hai ke market ko samajh nahi aya ke is report par kaise react karein. Afsos ke sath, hafte ka pehla U.S. report ek bar phir se traders ki expectations ke neeche raha. Agar baqi reports bhi disappoint karti hain, to dollar ki winning streak jaldi khatam ho sakti hai. Price ne puray din ke doran 5-minute time frame mein sideways trade kiya, is liye 1.1048 level ke aas paas ke teen trading signals heran kun nahi hone chahiye. Teenon false sabit huay, lekin isme level ka koi kasoor nahi, balki dollar ki unwillingness thi ke wo upar jaye, jab ke sab grounds maujood the. Hum ne pehle bhi warn kiya tha ke is hafta ka daromadar U.S. data par hoga, aur pehla report hi mediocre tha.

Wednesday ko kaise trade karein:
Hourly time frame mein, EUR/USD pair ne ascending trend line ke neeche settle kiya hai aur pehli baar lambay arsay ke baad aik downward trend banane ka chance mil raha hai, jo ke tamaam factors aur analysis ke sath logical hai. Lekin, illogical dollar sales phir se resume ho sakti hain downward correction ke baad, kyun ke koi nahi janta ke market kab tak Federal Reserve ki monetary policy easing ko price-in karta rahega, jab ke wo ab tak shuru bhi nahi hui. Lekin haqeeqat yeh hai ke market ab tak lag bhag tamaam future Fed rate cuts ko dollar mein price kar chuka hai.

Wednesday ko, naya traders phir se decline ki umeed kar sakte hain, kyun ke price ne 1.1048 level ke neeche settle kiya hai. Lekin, shayad pair mein koi bara girawat na ho. Hum abhi tak buying ke hawalay se skeptical hain.

Key levels jo 5M time frame par consider karne chahiye wo hain: 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1191, aur 1.1275-1.1292. Wednesday ko Eurozone ki taraf se August Services PMI ka final estimate release hoga. U.S. mein, JOLTs report on job openings for July, jo ke zyada significant hai, publish hogi.

**Euro Mein Itni Zyada Utar Chadhav Nahi Dekhi Gayi**

Euro ke hawale se, Monday se zyada utar chadhav mein koi khas izafa nahi dekha gaya. Lekin yeh jaan lena zaroori hai ke currency pair ne nichey ki taraf ke targets ko expect ke mutabiq hasil kar liya hai, aur 1.10335 ki satah ko chhoo liya gaya hai.

Ab, aayein yeh samjhen ke yeh downside targets kahan se aaye. H4 timeframe par sell signal ko dekhte hue, yeh targets asal mein umeed se pehle hi hasil ho gaye thay, jise mein waqt par mention nahi kar saka, aur iska koi maqsad bhi nahi tha. Mojooda targets ko upward impulse ke 161.8% level ke taur par pehchana gaya tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Fibonacci grid neeche ki taraf stretch hui hai, upar ki taraf nahi. Is impulse ne kaafi buyers ko attract kiya, jin mein mein bhi shamil tha, jo ke 61.8% level ke aas paas buy kar rahe thay. Maine buyer area ko orange rang mein mark kiya hai, jo aam tor par 38.2% se 61.8% ke darmiyan hota hai. Classical level 50% par hota hai. Is liye, agar buys kaamyaab nahi hoti, toh buyers ko aam tor par 161.8% level tak dhakel diya jata hai, magar nuksan ke sath. Yeh bhi zaroori hai keh target level 1.10335 week ke pehle wale haftay ka opening level hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke hum sirf ek muqami girawat ke mukammal hone ka mushahida nahi kar rahe jo sellers ke targets par mabni hai, balke weekly timeframe par technical support bhi dekh rahe hain. Is wajah se mujhe ummeed hai ke kuch aham reaction upar ki taraf dekhnay ko mil sakta hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke aisa ho, main yeh nahi keh raha ke yeh 100% hoga.

Iske ilawa, bade chadhti hui channel ki beech ki line ko support ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Jab tak market is beech ki line se upar hai, buyers ke paas taqat hai. Agar market is line se neeche girta hai, toh bears zyada sakriya ho sakte hain. Lekin ehtiyat se react karna chahiye kyun ke yeh sirf is channel line ka ek jhoota breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Isliye, medium term mein, hum ek growth zone mein hain aur yahan bechna munasib nahi. Mukhtalif zaviye se dikhai dene wali support ko dekhte hue, chahay woh technical hi kyu na ho, mein tawakku karta hoon ke pair mein kuch growth hogi. Chahe woh sirf ek muqami izafa ho, hum zyada nahi maang rahe. Nazariyat ke tor par, main do levels ko muqami growth ke tor par mark karoon ga, jo hain 1.10926 aur phir 1.11132.

EUR/USD ko dabao ka samna karna par raha hai jab Euro ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ke bawajood kamzor hota hai. Eurozone ki kamzor ma'eeshat ECB ke September ke liye rate cut ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

ستمبر 4 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، 3 ستمبر، کافی اہم تھا: ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 2.12% نیچے تھا، تیل 4.78% نیچے تھا، ڈالر کا انڈیکس 0.07% اوپر تھا، اور 5 سالہ امریکی حکومتی بانڈز پر پیداوار 2.09% سے 3.63% تک گر گئی تھی۔ واقعات کے اس موڑ کو دیکھتے ہوئے، ایمبیڈڈ گرین پرائس چینل لائن کی حمایت سے یورو کے الٹ جانے کا امکان بہت کم ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ 1.1010 پر سپورٹ کی خلاف ورزی ہو جائے گی اور 1.0950 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ جائے گی۔ یومیہ ٹائم فریم پر مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں داخل ہو گیا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن یومیہ آسیلیٹر کے رجحان کے خلاف بڑھ رہا ہے اور اس نے قیمت کے ساتھ ہلکا سا ہم آہنگی بھی تشکیل دی ہے۔ یہاں دو ممکنہ منظرنامے ہیں: مارکیٹ کے الٹ جانے کا پیٹرن یا معیاری محدود اضافہ — مزید کمی سے پہلے آسیلیٹر تناؤ کا ایک مختصر اجرا۔ الٹ یا تو صفر کی لکیر پر یا اس سے تھوڑا اوپر ہو سکتا ہے، مثبت علاقے میں غلط بریک آؤٹ بناتا ہے۔

تاہم، جو چیز ہمیں اب سب سے زیادہ دلچسپی رکھتی ہے وہ ہے مارکیٹ کو تبدیل کرنے کا نمونہ۔ سی. ایف. ٹی. سی .کے اعداد و شمار کے مطابق، موجودہ سال کی سب سے بڑی یورو پوزیشن گزشتہ ہفتے جمع ہوئی تھی۔ جمعہ کو تازہ رپورٹ جاری کی جائے گی۔ اگر بڑے کھلاڑی مارکیٹ کے باقی شرکاء کو ناک آؤٹ کرنے کا ارادہ رکھتے ہیں، تو وقت بالکل درست ہے۔

آنے والی اہم ریلیزز میں سے ایک اگست کے لیے امریکی لیبر رپورٹ ہے، جس کی وجہ پرسوں ہے۔ پیشن گوئی جولائی میں 114,000 کے مقابلے میں نئی ملازمتوں میں 160-164,000 تک اضافے اور بے روزگاری کی شرح میں 4.3٪ سے 4.2٪ تک کمی کی تجویز کرتی ہے۔ بلاشبہ، اس طرح کے اعداد و شمار فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح میں کمی کی رفتار کے حوالے سے اب بھی جارحانہ مارکیٹ کی توقعات کو کم کر دیں گے، اور اس کے نتیجے میں یورو کی خریداری بند ہو سکتی ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis ek discussion ka topic hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair abhi downward trend mein hai, aur price ne haftay ke aakhir mein apne lowest point par end kiya hai. Yeh price is point ki taraf move karegi, jahan abhi tak around 69 points aur baki hain further testing ke liye. Yeh mumkin hai ke iss line par reversal ho, lekin yeh abhi tak yaqeen nahi hai. Lekin chances significant hain ke pair aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, kyun ke recent highs se iska considerable distance dikha raha hai ke market mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Overall, price mein aur zyada decline ki umeed hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, mujhe ek possible attempt of growth ki umeed hai, magar market ki direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke kuch din intazaar karein aur Wednesday tak dekhain ke halat kis tarah unfold hoti hain. Aane wale maheene mein bahut saari economic data releases expected hain, is liye market Monday ko sideways trade kar sakti hai anticipation mein. Haal hi ki daily sessions mein, chaar consecutive candles jo 1.1188 level ke neeche trade hui hain, unhone euro ke liye ek strong sell indication di hai, jis ne bearish pressure push kiya aur teen seedhe declines ka sabab bana. Friday ko, bearish daily stochastic ne oversold territory mein enter kiya, aur price Bollinger Band ke midpoint ko chhoya. Yeh potential bullish correction ki taraf ishara karta hai, is liye abhi mazeed sales ko pause karna prudent hoga. Weekly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi form hua hai. Kuch log yeh argue karenge ke yeh poora engulfing pattern nahi hai, lekin kuch choti discrepancies, jaise ke kuch points, iss context mein negligible hain—khusoosan 129-point ke decline ko dekhte hue, jo ke mein traditionally fourth decimal place use karke calculate karta hoon. Yeh significant drop is point ko signal karta hai jahan se reversal unlikely hai, aur agla target level around 1.1008 ho sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi neeche, jahan minor corrections expect kiye jaa sakte hain 1.1029 area