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EUR/USD H4 ANALYSIS

Market Overview

EURUSD pair filhal H4 timeframe pe strong bullish trend dikhari hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo ke upward momentum ka indication hai.



**Key Levels**
Immediate Support: 1.1178 - Ye level pehle se strong support ki tarah kaam karta raha hai aur agar ek temporary pullback hota hai toh ye potential entry point ban sakta hai long positions ke liye.
Strong Support: 1.1100 - Ye level ek gehra support zone represent karta hai aur yeh ek significant level ho sakta hai bullish reversal ke liye.
Immediate Resistance: 1.1235 - Ye level resistance ke taur pe kaam kar raha hai, lekin current bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, ye jaldi break ho sakta hai.
Strong Resistance: 1.1235 ke upar clear resistance level nazar nahi aa raha, jo ke further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

**Indicators**
RSI (14): Filhal 67.48 pe hai, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo ke upward momentum ke exhaust hone ki taraf indication de raha hai. Lekin, RSI is level pe kaafi der se hai, jo ke strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai.
MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo ke bullish trend ko confirm kar raha hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

**Order Blocks**
Potential Order Block: 1.1178 - Ye level potential order block ban sakta hai long positions ke liye agar price is level tak retrace kare aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhaye. Lekin, current bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, ye kam mumkin hai.
Potential Order Block: 1.1235 - Ye level potential order block ban sakta hai short positions ke liye agar price is level tak retrace kare aur bearish reversal ke signs dikhaye. Lekin, overall bullish trend ko dekhte hue, ye bhi kam mumkin hai.

**Best Areas for Buying and Selling**
Buy: Ek potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 1.1178 support level tak pullback kare aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhaye, jaise ke ek bullish engulfing candle ya ek higher low.
Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain strong bullish trend ki wajah se. Lekin, ek potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price ek new resistance level pe bearish engulfing pattern form kare, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate karega.

**Additional Considerations**
EURUSD pair ek strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions pe focus karna chahiye sath hi proper risk management ke saath. RSI ko monitor karna zaroori hai divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye. Order blocks pe bhi nazar rakhi jaye potential trading opportunities ke liye.

EURUSD H4 Analysis

Market Overview:
EURUSD pair iss waqt H4 timeframe par ek strong bullish trend dikha raha hai. Price action higher highs aur higher lows bana raha hai, jo ke sustained upward momentum ki nishani hai.

Key Levels:

- Immediate Support: 1.1178 - Ye level pehle bhi strong support ka kaam kar chuka hai aur agar koi temporary pullback aata hai, toh ye ek achi entry point ho sakti hai long positions ke liye.

- Strong Support:1.1100 - Ye ek deeper support zone hai aur significant level ho sakta hai jahan bullish reversal ki potential dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

- Immediate Resistance: 1.1235 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke dekhte hue, ye jaldi break ho sakta hai.

- Strong Resistance:1.1235 ke upar koi clear resistance level evident nahi hai, jo ke further upside ka potential dikhata hai.

Indicators:

- RSI (14): Iss waqt 67.48 par hai, jo overbought territory main hai. Ye upward momentum ki potential exhaustion ka ishara de raha hai, lekin RSI ka kaafi time se is level ke aas paas rehna strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

- MACD (12,26,9):MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm kar raha hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ka ishara hai.

Order Blocks:

- Potential Order Block: 1.1178 - Ye level ek potential order block ka kaam kar sakta hai long positions ke liye agar price is level tak retrace karta hai aur bullish reversal ke signs show karta hai. Lekin current bullish momentum ke dekhte hue, ye kam mumkin lagta hai.

- Potential Order Block: 1.1235 - Ye level ek potential order block ka kaam kar sakta hai short positions ke liye agar price is level tak pohanchti hai aur bearish reversal ke signs show karti hai. Lekin overall bullish trend ke madde nazar, ye bhi kam mumkin hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling:

- Buy: Ek potential buy entry consider ki jaa sakti hai agar price 1.1178 support level tak pullback karti hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikhata hai, jaise ke bullish engulfing candle ya ek higher low.

- Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin ek potential sell entry consider ki jaa sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern form kare, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

ConsiderationAdditional Considerations:
EURUSD pair ek strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions par focus karna chahiye sahi risk management ke sath. RSI ko monitor karna zaroori hai for signs of divergence, aur MACD ko dekhna chahiye for any potential bearish signals. Order blocks par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai for potential trading opportunities.

EURUSD Pair ki Technical Analysis

4-hour chart par, iss hafta ki trading ka aghaz ek upward pattern mein hua hai. Price channels ko dekha jaye toh upward trend dikh raha hai, jo ke pichlay do hafton ke dauran price movement ko represent karta hai.

Price upper line ke qareeb aayi aur wahan se neeche ki taraf rebound kiya. Ab yeh umeed hai ke price channels ki lower line tak pohanche gi aur wahan se dobara upper line tak rebound kare gi.

Is hafta ka sabse aham support level weekly pivot level 1.1138 par ho ga. Agar price iss level se upar rebound karay, toh hum iss ko ek upward trend ka signal samajh saktay hain. Lekin agar price weekly pivot level ko tor kar neeche trade karay aur yeh do ghantay tak is level ke neeche rahe, toh phir buying cancel kar kay selling ki taraf jaana munasib ho ga.






Economic side par dekha jaye, toh pichlay hafta ke akhir mein US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke ab waqt aa gaya hai ke US ka main interest rate cut kiya jaye. Unhon ne yeh bhi confirm kiya ke aglay mahine borrowing costs ko reduce karna officials ka maqsad ho ga, taake labor market mein aur zyada slowdown ko roka ja sake. Is baat ka EURUSD pair ki price par positive asar hua aur price resistance level 1.1200 tak barh gayi. Kuch Fed officials ne ishara diya ke agar September 6 ko aane wala jobs report employment mein aur zyada slowdown dikhata hai, toh half-percentage point rate cut ke chances barh sakte hain.

Apni aakhri policy decision mein, Powell ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar US mein inflation girti rahi, toh aglay Fed meeting mein rate cut “table par ho sakta hai.”

Somwaar ko, jo jorhi thi apne haal ke high se wapas gayi aur 1.1200 ke mark se niche aayi jab investors ne foreign exchange market ke naya flows ko adjust kiya. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke izafi raftar ke expectations ki wajah se, currency pair ko pullback dekhne ko mila. European economic data, jo Tuesday ko release hui, ka zyada asar nahi pada, kyunke market ka focus ab bhi aane wale U.S. monetary policy decisions par tha.

**EUR/USD Ka Pullback Aur Eurozone Ke Economic Masail:**

Currency pair ki girawat ko US opening bell par ek lamha ke liye roka gaya, jab pair ne 1.1210 level ko test karne se pehle rebound kiya. Pair apne peak 1.1204 se wapas aayi jab recession ke khauf ne Asia ke equity market mein crisis create kiya, jahan major Japanese indices, Nikkei aur Topix, ek hi din mein 10% se zyada gir gaye. Tuesday ko markets ne recovery shuru ki, aur US Dollar (USD) ne apne peers ke muqable mein ground hasil kiya, jo Monday ke losses ko kuch had tak offset kar gaya.

Eurozone mein business activity ka sharp decline dekha gaya hai, khaaskar Germany mein, jo additional interest rate cuts ki speculation ko janam de raha hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Germany ka Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) July mein ghata, Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) ne 48.7 ka preliminary PMI report kiya, jo chaar mahine ka lowest hai. Germany ne pichle saal recession se bach gaya tha lekin 0.3% contraction dekhne ko mili.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:**

1.1200 se upar rahe jaane ki koshish ke baad, EUR/USD prices ne pullback kiya aur lagta hai ke ye consolidation mein rehne wala hai ek descending channel ke andar chaar ghante ke chart par. 2024 ke dauran, pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas choppy consolidation dekhi hai, aur aaj kal ke trends suggest karte hain ke ye pattern continue ho sakta hai jab short-term momentum bearish hota hai.

Ab dhyan 1.1180 region mein moving averages par hai, khaaskar 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par jo 1.0998 par hai. Ye level pehle bhi significant raha hai. Short-side targets ab 1.1100 par hain, jahan sellers is level ko breach karne aur major swing low jo 1.1000 se niche hai, ko phir se test karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD Analysis Update

Aaj, Monday ko, hum D1 period ka EURUSD currency pair ka chart dekhain ge. Wave structure upward direction mein hai, aur MACD indicator bhi upper purchase zone mein barh raha hai, signal line se upar. Guzishta trading hafta ne bears ko koi mauqa nahi diya. Din ke dauran jo choti corrections aayi, woh bhi mushkil se hui. Market ek dum upar push ho raha tha, jaise koi jack ke zariye utha raha ho. Lagta tha ke ab neeche girne ka waqt aa gaya hai, magar Wednesday ki candle itni choti thi ke lagta tha ke yeh girawat ka signal hai. Agle din girawat ko develop karne ki koshish hui, magar dekhain ke kya anjaam hua. Pure din halki si girawat ke sath market ruk gayi aur lagta tha ke kafi sellers ne yeh socha ke ab price itni height se zaroor neeche aayegi. Magar phir Friday ko jab US ki ahem news aayi, toh sab kuch badal gaya.

US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ki speech hui aur saath hi nayi housing sales ke data ne market ko hila diya. Is news ke baad price achanak aur taqat se upar chali gayi. Shayad kaafi logon ke accounts is move se jal gaye, kam az kam bohot logon ke stops lag gaye. Sirf euro ke muqable mein hi nahi, US dollar pooray market mein kamzor hua.

Agar hum first wave ke bottom par Fibonacci grid lagain, toh dekh sakte hain ke target poora ho chuka hai - 161.8 ka level hit ho gaya hai aur ab shayad hum 200 level tak pohanch sakain. Jab ke minimum target poora ho chuka hai, aur price pichlay saal 2023 ke aakhri maximum se aagay nikal gayi hai, toh yeh aik potential sales zone ho sakta hai. CCI indicator ab upper overheating zone mein hai aur wahan se bahar nikalne ke liye tayyar hai. Yahan hum mirror level ki formation dekh sakte hain choti period par, misal ke tor par H1 chart par.

Waisay bhi, guzishta hafton mein US dollar kafi kamzor hua hai aur market mein ek correction ka intezar hai. Doosri currency pairs bhi apni strong support ya resistance zones par hain. Agar hum choti, yani 4-hour chart par dekhein, toh MACD indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai.

**EURUSD**

26.08.2024

Euro FOREX market ki sabse liquid trading instruments mein se ek hai. Isliye sirf analysis karna nahi balke usko confirm bhi karna zaroori hai. Aaj itwaar hai aur raat ka waqt ho raha hai, jo matlab hai ke Monday ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye jab trading open hogi. Jo log der raat tak jagte hain ya subah jaldi uthte hain, wo pending orders place kar sakte hain euro kharidne ke liye jab market open hogi.

Jumeraat ko, humne hourly timeframe pe ek buy signal dekha. Jab main signal ke baare mein baat karta hoon, to mera matlab exponential moving averages se hai. Pehle chart pe red rectangle mein is signal candle ko mark kiya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke growth bina pullback ke bhi chal sakti hai, matlab market open hone par yeh upar ki taraf chalti reh sakti hai. Is surat mein, pair sirf 1 to 1 ka risk to reward ratio achieve kar sakti hai. Lekin, pending orders ko levels 1.11477 aur/ya 1.11332 pe place kiya ja sakta hai. Pehle case mein, potential ratio 1 to 2 achieve kiya ja sakta hai, aur doosre case mein - 1 to 3. Lekin hourly timeframe pe is tarah ke setups ke statistics ke madde nazar, zyada tar 1 to 1 ka outcome hota hai. Phir bhi, try karne ke layak hai aur buy limit order place karna chahiye.

Daily chart pe bhi hum wahi situation dekh rahe hain, lekin yeh puri tarah se yahan nazar aa rahi hai. Fibonacci grid percentage line ke tor par stretch ki gayi hai, jahan signal level 50% level hai. Hamari bullish idea mein, stop ko 0.0% level ke peechay place kiya jata hai, yani 1.10979 ke mark ke peechay. Yeh zaroori hai ke isme spread gap bhi rakha jaye, jo har trader ke liye alag ho sakta hai. Jaisa ke aapne andaza lagaya, target levels is line ke basis pe 100% mark par hain, yani price level 1.12475. Buying tab bhi mumkin hai agar market signal level ke paas phir se aati hai, lekin us surat mein ratio 1 to 1 hoga. Aise ratios market mein aksar dekhe jate hain, aur ratios 1 to 2 ya usse zyada kam hi hote hain.

Currency pair EUR/USD ab 1.1202 ke aas-paas girti-girti nazar aa rahi hai, Federal Reserve ke recent comments ke baad jo ke interest rates ke hawale se the. Fed ka rawaya kaafi samjhdari ka tha, jo rate cuts ke hawale se ehtiyaat ko darshata hai. Yeh ehtiyaat ka rawaya kai market participants ke liye naya tha, jo zyada decisive action ki umeed rakh rahe the. Filhal EUR/USD 1.1181 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur recent constraints se nikalne mein pareshani ka shikar hai.

**EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:**

July ke liye inflation data ne economic outlook ko aur bhi complex bana diya hai. Eurostat ke mutabiq, Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% year-over-year barh gayi, jo June mein 2.5% thi aur expected 2.4% se zyada thi. Yeh inflation ka izafa European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential rate cuts ke hawale se sawal utha raha hai. Is wajah se Euro ne kuch buying interest dekha hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate cut ke chances ko dobara se assess kar rahe hain.

Market sentiment ab ek tightrope par chal raha hai, jahan economic data rate-cut expectations par significant pressure daal raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 18 September ko Fed se quarter-point rate cut ko puri tarah se price in kar rahe hain, aur 50-basis-point cut ke liye ek-in-paanch chances hain. Lekin, agar economic data itna kamzor ho jaye ke ek severe economic downturn ka sanket mile, to rate cuts ki umeed kam ho sakti hai. Investors ab ek mushkil position mein hain, jahan wo softer data ki umeed kar rahe hain jo rate cuts ko support kare, bina kisi gehri economic crisis ke sanket diye.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technical taur par, pair ek critical juncture par hai. Agar descending channel ke upper boundary, jo ab 1.1220 ke aas-paas hai, ke neeche break hota hai, to bullish sentiment ko madad mil sakti hai aur pair 1.1170 level ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo shayad throwback support ka kaam de. Yeh potential shift pair ko stabilize karne aur upar ki taraf trend karne ke liye zaroori momentum de sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek key momentum indicator hai, abhi neutral 50 level ke neeche hai, jo EUR/USD ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, agar RSI 50 ke paas move karne lage, to yeh current bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur pair ko kuch support de sakta hai. Yeh movement traders ke liye ek important sign hogi jo reversal ke potential ko dekh rahe hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

Bulls euro mein round-level resistance ko retake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain 1.1200 par, clear break ke baad December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se. Round-level number 1.1100

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai

Technical Analysis of Foreign Exchange EUR/USD

Pichle hafte ke trading ke akhir mein, US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke ab waqt aa gaya hai ke key US interest rate ko kam karna chahiye, jo ke ummeed ko confirm karta hai ke officials agle mahine se borrowing costs ko kam karna shuru kar denge aur unki yeh niyat hai ke labor market ki further slowdown ko roknay ke liye kuch karein. Iske natije mein, euro ke muqablay mein US dollar EUR/USD 1.1200 ke resistance level tak barh gaya, jo is currency pair ka ek saal se zyada ka sabse high level hai. Currency pair apni gains ke kareeb close hua.

Jerome Powell ne Friday ko Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City ke annual conference mein Jackson Hole, Wyoming mein kaha, “Policy ko adjust karna waqt hai.” Unhone inflation mein recent progress aur labor market mein “clear” slowdown ko acknowledge kiya. General taur par, Wall Street markets Powell ke speech ka intezar kar rahe the, ummeed karte hue ke Fed ke inflation aur US interest rates ke position par clarity milegi. Stock market mein positive reactions se yeh darshaya gaya ke investors ne Powell ke comments ko ek zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf ek kadam ke taur par samjha.

Kuch Fed officials ne suggest kiya hai ke agle jobs report, jo ke 6 September ko aayega, agar hiring mein aur signs of slowdown dikhata hai to ek half-point rate cut zyada mumkin ho sakti hai. Apni latest policy decision mein, Powell ne kaha ke agar US inflation lagatar kam hoti rahi, to ek rate cut “table par ho sakta hai” agle Fed meeting ke liye September mein.

Lekin, kuch kamzor German data ne euro ke gains ko undermine kar diya, halankeh overall eurozone data zyada positive thi. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, German manufacturing PMI 43.2 se gir kar 42.1 tak aagaya, jo ke consensus expectations se neeche hai. Services sector bhi expand ho raha tha, lekin expectations ko pura nahi kar paaya aur yeh bhi ek five-month low par chala gaya. “Yeh numbers ek real mess hain,” Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commerzbank ne kaha. Germany ke manufacturing sector mein recession August mein gehra gaya, bina kisi recovery ke asar ke. Asal mein, naye orders pichle mahine ke muqablay mein tezhi se gir gaye, jo ke aage ke liye aur zyada problems ka izhaar karta hai.

Isi waqt, Eurozone services PMI zyada encouraging thi, 53.3 tak barh kar, pichle 51.9 se, aur consensus expectations ke 51.7 se upar. Eurozone ke liye, output prices pichle chaar mahine mein sabse tez rate se barh gayi, jo European Central Bank mein kuch concern ka sabab banegi.

EUR/USD Forecast Today

**Daily Chart Analysis of EUR/USD**

Daily chart ke mutabiq, Euro ke muqablay mein US Dollar EUR/USD ek upward trajectory par hai aur jab tak markets aur investors Eurozone ke inflation figures aur US Federal Reserve ke pasandida US inflation reading ka announcement ka react nahi karte, yeh apni gains ke aas-paas reh sakta hai. Yeh dekhte hue ke recent gains ne technical indicators ko strong overbought levels tak push kar diya hai, agar US inflation expected se zyada strong hota hai, to Euro Dollar ko strong profit-taking operations ka samna karna pad sakta hai.

Agar current uptrend break hona hai, to support level 1.0975 ke neeche move karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD H4 Euro - US Dollar Analysis

Heiken Ashi candlestick patterns ka Heiken Ashi indicator, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ke sath Euro - US Dollar currency pair/instrument ka analysis karte hue yeh samajh ata hai ke market ka rujhan abhi price ke barhne ki taraf hai aur buyers ki strength bhi kafi zyada hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator market ka jazba dikhata hai aur chart par noise ko smooth out karta hai, jis se technical analysis asan hota hai aur trading decisions zyada accurate hote hain. TMA channel indicator (jo red, blue, aur yellow rang ki lines par mabni hota hai) support aur resistance lines banata hai, jo twice-smoothed moving averages par mabni hote hain aur current instrument ki movement ki boundaries dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath bohot accha kaam karne wala ek aur useful oscillator RSI indicator hai, jo market sentiment ko achi tarah se dikhata hai.




Is analyzed pair ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke candles blue ho gayi hain, jo ke bulls ki taqat ko dikhati hain. Price ne lower channel boundary (red dashed line) ko cross kar liya hai aur minimum price level se rebound hone ke baad wapas apni middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf ja rahi hai. Saath hi, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko poori tarah se confirm kar raha hai, kyun ke iski curve upar ki taraf ja rahi hai aur abhi overbought level ke kareeb nahi hai. Is liye yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke yeh ek acchi opportunity hai profitable long position mein enter karne ki, jisme upper channel boundary (blue dashed line) par 1.12395 ke price level tak target set kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS UPDATE

Aaj, Monday ko, hum D1 period ka chart dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Wave structure upar ki taraf order bana raha hai, MACD indicator upar ke purchase zone mein badh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle trading week ne bears ko kisi bhi success ka mauka nahi diya, din ke dauran jo bhi minimal corrections hui, wo bahut mushkil se hui. Bears upar push kar rahe the jaise jack ki tarah aur lag raha tha ke neeche jana ka waqt aa gaya hai. Wednesday ko candle itni choti thi jaise ek top - jo decline ka signal tha aur agle din unhone decline develop karne ki koshish ki, magar aap dekh sakte hain ke kaise khatam hui. Poore din slight decline ke sath khade rahe aur zahir hai ke unhone ek bunch of sellers ko accumulate kar liya jo ummed kar rahe the ke itni height se price zaroor downward correction karegi. Lekin important news aane tak wait karna pada jo Friday ko US mein aayi. Us din US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech tha aur sath hi US mein new housing sales bhi the. Is news ke wajah se price tez aur majboot upar gayi aur shayad bahut se accounts is movement mein burn ho gaye, kam se kam bohot logon ne stop loss catch kiya aur ek se zyada baar. Lekin US dollar na sirf euro ke khilaf kamzor hua, balki market spectrum ke tamam pairs ke khilaf tezi se gira. Agar aap Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave ke bottom par lagayein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke target reach ho gaya hai - level 161.8 par aur shayad level 200 tak bhi pohnch sakte hain. Chuki minimum target achieve ho gaya hai, aur price last year 2023 ke significant maximum se bhi aage nikal gayi hai, to yahan ek potential sales zone ho sakta hai. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend ho raha hai aur isse exit hone ke liye tayaar hai. Yahan aap H1 par short period mein growth ke edge par mirror level ki formation expect kar sakte hain. General taur par, US dollar pichle hafton mein kaafi kamzor hua hai aur market mein jaldi correction ki umeed hai, doosre pairs strong support ya resistance zones mein hain. Chhote four-hour chart par, MACD indicator mein bearish divergence hai.

EUR/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Is waqt hum EUR/USD ke price behaviour ka analysis kar rahe hain. Abhi hum 1.1224 ke level par hain, jahan se agar price rebound hoti hai, tou yeh sell ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, hum market ke opening ko closely dekhain ge, kyun ke ek bearish price gap ka imkaan hai, jo Hezbollah ke Israel par hamlay ke sabab ho sakta hai. Har surat mein, Monday ko price 1.1134 tak decline karne ka chance hai. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke growth 1.1224 se barh jayegi ya nahi, khas tor par jab ke yeh yearly high nahi hai. Aisi growth jo sirf anticipation par mabni ho, aur jisme na U.S. ki positivity reflect ho aur na Europe ki negativity, wo sirf speculation lagti hai. Magar, yeh speculation ziada lambi muddat ka khel hai.

Pichlay haftay EUR/USD ne upar ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya. Friday ko Jackson Hole ke annual economic symposium mein Powell ke remarks ko questionable samjha gaya. Lekin Powell dono taraf se khelnay ki koshish kar rahe hain, Democrats aur Republicans dono ko khush karna chahte hain.






Powell ne kaha ke market ab un se sab se zaroori cheez ki umeed kar rahi hai - aur wo yeh ke ab rate cut ka waqt hai. Powell ne sirf September mein rate cut ka ishara diya, aur Friday ko bhi wahi kaha. Is liye, EUR/USD pair ne Powell ki speech ke doran 1.12 level ko test kiya aur mujhe dar hai ke yeh pair ke growth ka aakhri daur nahi hai. Filhal, jo cheez dollar ke mazid weakening ko rok sakti hai, wo sirf Middle East mein tensions ka agla daur hai, jahan Israel aur Hezbollah ne phir se missile strikes ka tabadla kiya hai. Yeh risk aversion ko ignite kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD ek southern correction ki taraf ja sakta hai. Hum is bare mein European meeting ke doran maloom karain ge. Aaj UK mein chhutti hai, is liye daily fluctuations kam ho sakti hain, aur hume apne overseas doston ka intezaar karna paray ga. Daily support 1.1165 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai tou aur ziada declines ka rukh 1.11 ki taraf hoga. Target north mein wohi hai - 1.1270.

EUR/USD

Chalo baat karte hain ke EUR/USD currency pair ki price kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is analysis se humein kya samajh aata hai. Producer Price Index mein kami dekhi gayi, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke inflation aglay dino mein kam ho sakti hai. Yeh outcome thoda unexpected tha, lekin itni sharp move ka andaaza nahi tha. Hum dekh rahe hain ke pehle ke high ke aas-paas, jo ke 1.1009 ke qareeb hai, price barh rahi hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke baghair kisi khaas news ke, is pair ka bullish momentum 18:59 par start hua, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh movement speculative interest ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Filhal 1.1004 ka level ek resistance bana hua hai, aur hum 1.099 ke level se rebound dekh rahe hain, jahan support 1.0969 par hai. Buy zone 1.0934 aur 1.0914 ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh pair kal 10th figure mein chala jata hai aur mazeed 79-99 points gain karta hai, toh bearish momentum bilkul khatam ho sakta hai. Waisay, agar 1.1011 break ho gaya, toh ek pullback bhi aa sakta hai.






Is pair ka critical resistance 1.0991 ke level par hai, jo ke descending fan ke last angle ke saath coincide kar raha hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, toh pehle ka high jo ke 1.1008 hai, us tak pohanchna sirf waqt ki baat hai. Is pair ka primary support 1.0959 par hai, jahan se EUR/USD ya toh wapis bullish pivot kar sakta hai, ya phir aglay support levels ki taraf girawat jaari rakh sakta hai, jo ke 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 par hain. Aaj ke growth ke bawajood, euro-dollar ka technical outlook abhi tak unchanged hai, aur kal ke fundamentals par kaafi kuch depend karega. H1 time frame par, yeh currency pair/instrument medium-term movement predict kar ke profit generate karne ka potential rakhta hai. Humari koshish hai ke higher H4 time frame ko accurately identify kar sakein.

Monday ko, EUR/USD pair apne recent high se retreat hui, 1.1200 mark se neeche aa gayi jab investors ne foreign exchange market flows mein haali tabdiliyon ka adjust kiya. Ab Fed ke taraf se September mein rate cuts ka pace barhane ki umeedain ho rahi hain, jis wajah se yeh currency pair pullback ka shikar hui. European economic data jo Tuesday ko release hui, uska market par koi khaas asar nahi pada, kyun ke focus zyada tar aane wali U.S. monetary policy decisions par tha.

EUR/USD Pullback aur Eurozone ke Economic Masail:

Pair ka decline temporarily US opening bell par ruk gaya, jab yeh 1.1210 level test karne se pehle hi rebound kar gaya. Yeh currency pair apne 1.1204 ke peak se wapis aa gayi, recession fears ki wajah se, jo ke Asia ke equity markets mein crisis ka sabab bane. Japanese indices jaise ke Nikkei aur Topix ne ek hi din mein 10% se zyada ka loss dekhne ko diya. Tuesday ko markets recover karne lage, aur US Dollar (USD) ne apni position wapis gain ki, jis ne Monday ke losses ko thoda offset kar diya.

Eurozone ne business activity mein kafi zyada girawat dekhi, khaaskar Germany mein, jahan economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye mazeed interest rate cuts ka speculation barh gaya hai. German Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ne July mein unexpected contraction dekha, Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) ke mutabiq preliminary PMI 48.7 par aaya, jo ke chaar mahine ka lowest level hai. Germany ne guzishta saal recession ko mushkil se avoid kiya, lekin 0.3% contraction ka shikar raha.





EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:

1.1200 ke upar gains sustain karne ki koshish fail hone ke baad, EUR/USD prices pullback hui hain aur four-hour chart par descending channel ke andar consolidate karne ki umeed hai. 2024 ke dauran, yeh pair 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas choppy consolidation mein stuck hai, aur current trends suggest karte hain ke yeh pattern abhi continue ho sakta hai jab short-term momentum bearish ho gaya hai.

Ab focus moving averages ke taraf shift ho gaya hai jo ke 1.1180 ke qareeb hain, khaaskar 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.0998 par hai. Yeh level pehle ke periods mein bhi significant raha hai. Short-side targets ab 1.1100 par set hain, aur sellers is level ko breach karne ki koshish karenge, aur mazeed major swing low ko retest karne ka plan hai jo ke 1.1000 ke neeche hai.