Eurusd forum

EUR/USD pair mein hal hi ki upar ki taraf movement ek temporary maneuver lagta hai, jo ek significant breakout ka stage set kar raha hai. Humne 1.0914 aur 1.09314 ke darmiyan solid support range identify ki hai, jo 1.0944 tak extend karti hai. Yeh levels bullish trend direction ko reinforce kar rahi hain, yeh suggest karte hue ke hamari strategy market movements ke saath achi tarah align ho rahi hai. Pehle uncertain direction ab shape le rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke hamari strategic approach ek crucial juncture tak pohanch gayi hai.

Current analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD 1.0896-1.0938 range tak barhegi. Yeh expectation hamari successful breakout se underpinned hai jo 1.09266-1.0942 support zone se hui hai, signaling a potential rally. Yeh movement ongoing trend ki structural integrity ke mutabiq hai, halan ke precise endpoint ko determine karna challenging hai. Trend ka conclusion 1.0972-1.0950 mark ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.

Jo support levels identify kiye gaye hain—1.0914, 1.09314, aur 1.0944—yeh bullish momentum ko maintain karne mein critical role play karte hain. Yeh levels market sentiment ke crucial indicators hain aur recent price actions ke zariye validate hue hain. Jab hum in support points ko observe karte hain, overall market structure upward trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, halan ke kuch volatility ke saath.

Hamari strategy, jo in key support zones par focused hai, market ke uncertainties ko navigate karne mein effective rahi hai. 1.09266-1.0942 range ke upar breakout ek significant milestone mark karta hai, providing a robust foundation for anticipating further gains. Current movement sirf ek reactionary spike nahi hai, balki ek calculated advance hai within a well-defined trend framework.

Jab ke is rally ka endpoint elusive rehta hai, trend ke structural dynamics indicate karte hain ke 1.0972-1.0950 range ek plausible target hai. Yeh potential conclusion historical resistance levels ke saath align karta hai, suggesting ke market ko in figures ke around kuch resistance face karna par sakta hai. Phir bhi, overall bullish sentiment intact nazar aati hai, bolstered by supportive price actions observed at key levels.

EUR/USD pair bullish momentum par hai, supported by key levels ranging from 1.0914 to 1.0944. Recent breakout from 1.09266-1.0942 support zone indicates a readiness for further upward movement, targeting 1.0896-1.0938 range. Jab ke exact endpoint ko pinpoint karna challenging rehta hai, trend 1.0972-1.0950 mark ke aas-paas conclude ho sakta hai. Hamari strategy in support zones par focused rehti hai, navigating the market with an eye on structural integrity aur potential resistance levels.





4o

EUR/USD
Aage dekhte hue, pair expected hai ke support level 1.0808-1.0783 ke around decline start kare. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya consolidation ko signal kar sakta hai within the current range. Dusri taraf, agar price is support ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further declines ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh level crucial hoga monitor karne ke liye kyunke yeh next steps for EUR/USD pair ko dictate kar sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ke ird gird price action ko closely observe karna chahiye taake market sentiment ko gauge karke informed trading decisions le sakein. Jab tak exact outcome uncertain hai, yeh support level ek critical point serve karta hai un traders ke liye jo potential movements ka faida uthana chahte hain.
Bari context mein, US dollar strength show kar raha hai aur apni upward direction continue kar raha hai. Yeh trend contrast karta hai oil market ke sath, jahan oil quotes expected hain decline continue karne ke liye. Ongoing strength of US dollar despite oil prices ke decline ke noteworthy hai. Typically, ek strong US dollar commodities priced in dollars, jaise ke oil, par downward pressure daal sakta hai, jo unhe dusre currencies ke holders ke liye mehenga banata hai aur demand ko potentially reduce karta hai. Lekin, current scenario ek interesting dynamic indicate karta hai . Jo log EUR/USD trade kar rahe hain unhe yeh consider karna chahiye ke yeh broader market trends kaise currency pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Additionally, yeh samajhna ke factors driving US dollar ki strength aur oil prices ki weakness kya hain, valuable insights provide kar sakta hai strategic trading decisions lene ke liye. Jaise hamesha, informed rehna aur market conditions ke sath adapt karna successful trading ke liye crucial hai.
EUR/USD ke relative strengths ko impact karte hain.
Pair ko immediate technical challenges ka samna hai. Key resistance levels mein shamil hain 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0855 aur recent range ke upper boundary ke kareeb 1.0870. Agar yeh levels decisively breakout ho jaye, toh further upside ke liye rasta khul sakta hai descending channel ke upper boundary ke aas paas 1.0880, jo potentially psychological barrier at 1.0900 ko target kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD chart ek persistent downward trend dikhata hai. Kal ek potential rebound model promising lag raha tha, lekin shaam tak price flatten ho gayi aur sideways chalti rahi. Yeh sideways movement pair ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, impulse resistance bullish path ko limit karta hai, jo ke shayad sirf significant statistics se hi breach ho; neeche ki taraf, kal ka minimum ek barrier bana hua hai jo hone ya na hone ka mumkin hai. Is trading week mein, euro ne US dollar ke khilaf decline shuru kiya, aur round support level 1.087 ke qareeb pohnch gaya. Apne reduction targets ko meet karne ke baad, maine zyada extended periods ko review kiya.
kare. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya consolidation ko signal kar sakta hai within the current range. Dusri taraf, agar price is support ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further declines ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh level crucial hoga monitor karne ke liye kyunke yeh next steps for EUR/USD pair ko dictate kar sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ke ird gird price action ko closely observe karna chahiye taake market sentiment ko gauge karke informed trading decisions le sakein. Jab tak exact outcome uncertain hai, yeh support level ek critical point serve karta hai un traders ke liye jo potential movements ka faida uthana chahte hain.
Bari context mein, US dollar strength show kar raha hai aur apni upward direction continue kar raha hai. Yeh trend contrast karta hai oil market ke sath, jahan oil quotes expected hain decline continue karne ke liye. Ongoing strength of US dollar despite oil prices ke decline ke noteworthy hai. Typically, ek strong US dollar commodities priced in dollars, jaise ke oil, par downward pressure daal sakta hai, jo unhe dusre currencies ke holders ke liye mehenga banata hai aur demand ko potentially reduce karta hai. Lekin, current scenario ek interesting dynamic indicate karta hai jahan oil consumption actually increase kar sakti hai despite higher dollar value. Yeh various factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, including economic policies, global demand shifts, ya market expectations.
Traders aur market participants ke liye, yeh juxtaposition between rising US dollar aur declining oil prices challenges aur opportunities dono present karti hai. Jo log EUR/USD trade kar rahe hain unhe yeh consider karna chahiye ke yeh broader market trends kaise currency pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Additionally, yeh samajhna ke factors driving US dollar ki strength aur oil prices ki weakness kya hain, valuable insights provide kar sakta hai strategic trading decisions lene ke liye. Jaise hamesha, informed rehna aur market conditions ke sath adapt karna successful trading ke liye crucial hai.

Is instrument ko purchase karna abhi bhi meri priority hai, kyunke current market conditions mein upward momentum ke continued rehne ke chances nazar aa rahe hain. Aaj ek downward correction 1.0892 tak hui hai, jo ke 1.0940 ke local high ke baad aayi. Yeh correction market mein ek behtar price par entry ka mauqa de rahi hai, jisse upward trend ke continue rehne ki umeed hai. Mera anticipation hai ke price steady rise karte hue key psychological resistance level 1.1000 tak pohch sakta hai. Yeh level significant hai, na sirf isliye ke yeh ek round figure hai jo aksar strong resistance point ke taur par act karta hai, balki isliye bhi ke yeh kaafi market attention ko attract karega.
Jab price 1.1000 level tak pohchegi, to mein apni strategy ko dobara assess karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Abhi focus primary buying par hai, magar main yeh bhi consider kar raha hoon ke pehli baar jab yeh resistance level touch hoga to ek sell-off ka potential ho sakta hai. Yeh consideration is base par hai ke jab yeh psychological threshold test hogi, to significant pullback hone ke chances hain, kyunke bohot se traders is point par profits lena chahenge ya short positions initiate karenge. Isliye agar price 1.1000 tak jati hai, to main sell karne par ghor kar sakta hoon, expecting ke ek notable downward correction ho sakta hai. Magar, yeh faisla akhir mein is baat par depend karega ke market is level par kaise react karti hai. Main price action aur trading volumes ko closely monitor karunga taake kisi bhi potential reversal ki strength ko gauge kar sakoon. Mera overall approach yeh hai ke ongoing uptrend se capitalize karoon, lekin saath hi market developments ke mutabiq flexible aur responsive rahoon.

Agar price 1.1000 ke level tak pohchti hai aur wahan se downward correction hota hai, to main apne profits ko secure karna aur potential pullback se faida uthana chahoon ga. Lekin, agar market is level par support dikhata hai aur upward trend ko continue rakhta hai, to main buying position ko maintain kar sakta hoon. Yeh strategy mujhe market ke har situation mein faida uthane ki flexibility deti hai, jo ke iss waqt ke volatile conditions mein zaroori hai.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz EUR/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko decode karna hai. Euro-dollar pair ne kal ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf move kiya, aur ek aur downward push di. Pair abhi locally consolidate kar raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye movement jald hi bearish direction mein continue karega. Hourly chart par indicators neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, lekin pair abhi consolidation phase ke doran middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai. Agli direction ka asar is baat par hoga ke ye is level ko break karta hai ya rebound. Main breakout aur further decline ki taraf jhuka hua hoon, lekin test ke natayij ka intezar karunga.
Four-hour chart par bhi indicators mazeed decline ki nishani de rahe hain, bawajood iske ke kuch basement indicators par bullish divergences hain. Bollinger Band expand kar raha hai jab pair decline kar raha hai, jo ke downward momentum ke continuation ki indication hai. Is liye, sales ko primary strategy ke tor par rakhte hue clearer signals ka intezar kar raha hoon jo is trend ke continuation ko confirm kar sake. Agar pair hourly chart par middle Bollinger Band ke neeche break karta hai, to ye ek strong downward move ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke four-hour chart par overall bearish outlook ke sath align hoga. Kuch lower indicators par bullish divergences ke bawajood, primary strategy selling opportunities par focused hai, anticipating further bearish momentum.In key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna trading ke agle steps ko determine karne mein crucial hoga. Bollinger Bands ke ilawa, doosray technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages ko dekhna bhi zaroori hai, jo pair ke potential movements ke additional insights provide kar sakte hain.Currently, hourly aur four-hour charts par RSI suggest kar Raha hai ke pair abhi oversold nahi hai, jo further declines ka room chhodta hai. Wahan Moving Averages bhi aise align ho rahe hain jo bearish trend ko support karte hain, jab ke shorter-term averages longer-term ones ke neeche cross kar rahe hain. Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ke recent movements downward trend ke continuation ko suggest karte hain. Pair abhi consolidate kar raha hai, middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai. Hourly chart par is level ke neeche breakout further declines ko confirm kar sakta hai, supported by expanding Bollinger Bands aur four-hour chart par bearish indicators ke sath. Kuch lower indicators par bullish divergences ke bawajood, primary strategy selling opportunities par focused hai, anticipating further bearish momentum. In key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna trading ke angle steps ko determine karne mein crucial hoga

Rozana channel ki resistance line (trend line) ko todne ke baad, bulls ne daily trend ko niche se upar badalne ka signal diya, aur uske baad agle local resistance par jo ke 1.09852 ke aas paas tha, attack kiya. Bulls ne target ko inertially achieve nahi kiya, aur mazeed liquidity ki zarurat thi. Market ne Friday ko move hona shuru kiya, jo ke current correction ke idea par based hai. Main is decline ko aise interpret karta hoon ke main ise long positions mein khareedunga. TF H4 par figure 9 ke support par bade buyers hone chahiye the taake breakout zone ki taraf reversal ho, lekin aisa nahi hua. Price ka figure 9 ke through push karne se agle correction zone ki raah khul gayi, jo ke previous daily channel ki resistance line ke breakout ke aas paas hai, jahan hourly chart par 200-day moving average ki dynamic support hai, jo 50MA ke saath "golden cross" par located hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls is zone ka use karenge: a) Bearish correction phase ko complete karne ke liye; b) Daily trend ko restore karne ke liye. Euro ke sath trading upward structure ko break kiye bina band hui. Signal bhi nahi mila, kyunki indicator signal tabhi consider kiya jata hai jab do candlesticks complete hoti hain, aur abhi sirf ek hai, isliye H4 par sell signal nahi hai. Abhi euro apni decline mein technical support ko test kar raha hai jo daily timeframe par ek bari blue line ke triangle ke form mein hai.

Yahan ek interesting baat hai ke hum do technical lines ke beech hain. Local traders shayad higher technical support ko notice na karein, aur sirf local trend aur uske neeche breakout ko dekhein. Wo isay breakout aur sell signal maan sakte hain, lekin ye galat ho sakta hai. Aise sell signal ko upward structure ke breakdown aur indicator signal ke confirmation ke sath hona chahiye. Filhal humare paas sirf local trend breakout hai aur ye zyada sellers ko north side play karne ko attract kar sakta hai
Ki


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Lekin, main rise par bhi zyada umeed nahi rakhta, kyunki rise ka target already achieve ho chuka hai aur potential D1 level se gir gaya hai. Theoretically, main chahta hoon ke euro aur neeche gire, maine 1.08287 par ek potential support level prepare kiya hai. Ye girawat lambi chal sakti hai, kyunki mere timeframe par ye gray zone mein aur is level par hona chahiye. Time scale dekhte hue, ye month ke end ke aas paas hai, specifically July 28 - jo ke itni choti distance ke liye zyada lamba hai. Daily aur weekly timeframes par, girawat rise ke continuation se zyada attractive lagti hai. Isliye, hum sell signal ka intezaar karenge aur purchases nahi karenge.

EUR/USD pair Tuesday ko ek hi jagah par qaim raha. Jaisa hum ne pehle warn kiya tha, European data ne traders se koi reaction nahi liya. Pichlay hafte ka U.S. GDP report, jo strong aur resonant tha, ne bhi market mein koi reaction nahi diya. Is liye, yeh naive tha sochna ke market actively European aur German GDP data pe react karega jab ke inki values minor thi.
Wohi baat German inflation report pe bhi lagu hoti hai. Germany mein Consumer Price Index July mein 2.3% tak barh gaya, jo kuch bhi nahi batata aur iska koi asar nahi hai. Yeh is liye ke European Central Bank pehle hi apne borrowing costs ko kam karna shuru kar chuka hai, aur overall Eurozone CPI German inflation rate se zyada significant hai jo sirf 27 mulkon mein se ek hai. Iss tarah, apni significant headlines ke bawajood, in teen European reports ne pair ki movement ko bilkul bhi influence nahi kiya, kam az kam European trading session ke dauran.

Pair U.S. session ke dauran girna shuru hua, lekin kya wajah ho sakti thi? Agar German inflation barh gaya, yeh zyada positive hota euro ke liye. Yeh matlab ke ECB current rate ko thodi dair aur barqarar rakh sakta hai aur future mein isay dheere dheere reduce karega. Initial estimate ke mutabiq, Eurozone GDP second quarter mein 0.3% barha, jab ke forecast +0.2% thi. Iss tarah, yeh report euro mein izafa karne ke liye zyada likely thi na ke decline. Yeh doubtful hai ke market ne weak German GDP report pe react kiya hoga jab ke Eurozone GDP aur German inflation ko ignore kiya.

Is liye, hum yeh samajhte hain ke EUR/USD pair ka decline wohi technical factors se driven tha jo hum ne pehle mention kiye. Pair pichlay saat mah se horizontal channel mein trade kar raha hai. Upper boundary ke qareeb ek reversal hone ke baad, hum yeh expect kar sakte hain ke pair lower boundary ki taraf move kare, jo ke 1.0600 level ke qareeb hai. Yeh level perfectly reach hona unlikely hai, kyun ke perfect scenarios market mein rarely hotay hain. Magar, hum kam az kam yeh consider kar sakte hain ke pair is level ke qareeb agay kaise move karega.

Long term mein downward trend qaim hai, jo ke exactly ek saal pehle last summer mein shuru hua tha. Is liye, jab current flat phase khatam hogi, hum euro ke decline resume hone ki umeed rakhtay hain. Jab tak yeh hota hai, Federal Reserve shayad apna rate kam karna shuru kar chuka hoga. Magar, ab hume yeh yaqeen nahi ke U.S. mein monetary policy ko ease karna U.S. dollar ke decline ki guarantee karega. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke market ne apni unrealized hopes for a rate cut ko year ke shuru se price in karna shuru kar diya tha. Shayad, 2 ya 3 rate cuts by the Fed pehle hi price in ho chuki hain. Is liye, hum pehle decline ko 1.0600 level tak expect karte hain, aur phir technical picture aur fundamental backdrop ko dekhenge. Agar dono ECB aur Fed simultaneously rates ko lower karte hain, yeh ab bhi single currency ke growth ko favor nahi karta.

EUR/USD pair global downward trend ko maintain kar raha hai; downward movement 4-hour time frame mein continue hai. Pechlay reviews mein, hum ne mention kiya tha ke hum sirf global downward trend ke continuation ko expect kar rahe hain. Hum nahi samajhte ke euro ECB ki monetary policy easing ke darmiyan ek new global trend shuru kar sakta hai, is liye pair kuch waqt ke liye 1.0600 aur 1.1000 ke darmiyan fluctuate karega. Chunki price abhi is range ke upper part mein hai, short positions with targets around Murray level "-1/8" - 1.0681 zyada valid hain.

Rozana channel ki resistance line (trend line) ko todne ke baad, bulls ne daily trend ko niche se upar badalne ka signal diya, aur uske baad agle local resistance par jo ke 1.09852 ke aas paas tha, attack kiya. Bulls ne target ko inertially achieve nahi kiya, aur mazeed liquidity ki zarurat thi. Market ne Friday ko move hona shuru kiya, jo ke current correction ke idea par based hai. Main is decline ko aise interpret karta hoon ke main ise long positions mein khareedunga. TF H4 par figure 9 ke support par bade buyers hone chahiye the taake breakout zone ki taraf reversal ho, lekin aisa nahi hua. Price ka figure 9 ke through push karne se agle correction zone ki raah khul gayi, jo ke previous daily channel ki resistance line ke breakout ke aas paas hai, jahan hourly chart par 200-day moving average ki dynamic support hai, jo 50MA ke saath "golden cross" par located hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls is zone ka use karenge: a) Bearish correction phase ko complete karne ke liye; b) Daily trend ko restore karne ke liye. Euro ke sath trading upward structure ko break kiye bina band hui. Signal bhi nahi mila, kyunki indicator signal tabhi consider kiya jata hai jab do candlesticks complete hoti hain, aur abhi sirf ek hai, isliye H4 par sell signal nahi hai. Abhi euro apni decline mein technical support ko test kar raha hai jo daily timeframe par ek bari blue line ke triangle ke form mein hai




Yahan ek interesting baat hai ke hum do technical lines ke beech hain. Local traders shayad higher technical support ko notice na karein, aur sirf local trend aur uske neeche breakout ko dekhein. Wo isay breakout aur sell signal maan sakte hain, lekin ye galat ho sakta hai. Aise sell signal ko upward structure ke breakdown aur indicator signal ke confirmation ke sath hona chahiye. Filhal humare paas sirf local trend breakout hai aur ye zyada sellers ko north side play karne ko attract kar sakta hai
Ki

اگست 8 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ دنوں کے دوران، یورو کے بنیادی خیالات میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں آئی، اور قیمت نے 1.0905 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کا فیصلہ کیا۔ تاہم، دن ایک سیاہ موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہوا، اور سپورٹ کو خود نچلے سائے سے آزمایا گیا، جس نے یورو کی طرف مندی کے جذبات کی نشاندہی کی۔



١.٠٩٠٥ پر سپورٹ کے نیچے مضبوط ہونا، مارلن آسیلیٹر سے جاری ڈائیورجن کے ساتھ، 1.0788 کے ہدف کی سطح (30 مئی کی کم ترین سطح) کا راستہ کھول دے گا۔ 1.0964 سے اوپر کی حرکت 1.1010 کے ہدف کو دوبارہ جانچنے کی اجازت دے گی۔ لیکن یہ ایک متبادل منظر نامہ ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نے کل کا سارا وقت نیوٹرل زیرو لائن پر گزارا، جو اس کے بیئرش ٹیریٹری میں جانے کے ارادے کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ 1.0905 پر قیمت سپورٹ سے نیچے جانے کے بعد، اس کا پہلا ہدف 1.0863 کے نشان کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن ہو گا۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hello. Darasal, Euro abhi bhi ek kaafi narrow sideways range mein khada hai, aur yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke yeh kis direction mein nikalne ki koshish karega. Aaj subah buyers kuch upar ki taraf formation ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin unhein local maximum 1.10081 ki taraf confidently move karne ke liye 1.09359 ke level ko break aur uske piche consolidate karna hoga. Agar sellers abhi bhi sideways range se niche ki taraf kuch formation ki koshish karte hain, to unhein 1.09029 ke level ko break aur uske piche consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh successful hote hain, to pehla target 1.08919 hoga, aur agar yahan bhi consolidate kar lete hain, to price further girawat ke saath 1.07764 ki taraf ja sakti hai.
Pair EURUSD M30:

1- Kal, Euro ke liye 1.09306 level se purchases ka forecast tha, price ne is level ko break kiya, lekin iske piche consolidate nahi kar paayi.

2- Agar hum current situation ko bands ke zariye evaluate karein, to price bands ke central area mein hai aur bands bhi narrow horizontal position mein hain. Is situation mein price ke upar ya neeche jane ke liye quality signal paane ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.

3- AO indicator zero mark ke aas-paas latka hua hai aur koi signal nahi de raha. Behtareen yeh hoga ke positive ya negative zone mein active increase ka intezar kiya jaye, jo price movement ke direction ko indicate kar sake.

4- Purchases ke liye entry point 1.09576 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke baad price increase 1.09917 aur 1.10350 tak ho sakti hai.

5- Sales ko 1.08963 level par place kiya ja sakta hai, jahan price girawat ke saath 1.08706 aur 1.08328 tak pohnch sakti hai.

### Euro aur US Dollar ke Darmiyan Halat

Budh ke din Euro ne US Dollar ke muqable mein thodi si barhoti dekhi, aur yeh 1.0900 level se thoda upar hover kar raha tha. Yeh consolidation phase pichlay haftay ke data error ki wajah se aayi volatility ke baad hai. Jab market intezar kar raha hai kuch aham economic indicators ka, jese ke US PPI aur CPI inflation data aur European GDP figures, investors ka focus ziada tar anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts par hai. Interest rate futures is baat ko strongly indicate karte hain ke September mein 50 basis point ka rate reduction hoga, aur mazeed cuts bhi year ke end se pehle expect kiye ja rahe hain. Yeh expectation EUR/USD pair ko primarily influence kar raha hai.

Technically, pair ka recent attempt ke woh 1.1000 resistance level ko break kare, fail ho gaya, jo suggest karta hai ke ek potential pullback ho sakta hai bearish channel ki taraf daily chart par. 200-day EMA ne 2024 ke dauran ek significant support level ka kaam kiya hai, aur pair is waqt is level ke ird gird consolidate kar raha hai.

### Short-Term Momentum aur Analysis

Short-term momentum bearish ho raha hai, aur sellers ka target 1.0800 level ho sakta hai as a potential entry point. Agar price rebound karti hai aur 200-day EMA ke neeche break hoti hai, to initial support recent uptrend ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level par hoga. Dosri taraf, agar sustained upward move hota hai to resistance 38.2% Fibonacci level par mil sakta hai, pehle ke 1.0947 par previous four-month high ko challenge karne se pehle.

### Summary aur Current Scenario

EUR/USD pair is waqt consolidate kar raha hai ek recent rally ke baad. Market participants closely monitor kar rahe hain economic data releases aur Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ke potential ko, jo pair ke future direction ko significantly impact karenge. Pichlay teen hafton mein, price ne higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhaya hai, lekin uski inability ke woh bullish channel ke upper band ke neeche close kare on the four-hour chart, yeh portend kar sakta hai ke ek bearish wave aane wali hai. Short-term weakness bhi rule out nahi ki ja sakti, given stochastic oscillator aur RSI ke negative turns.

### Technical Indicators

- **Heiken Ashi Candles:** Euro ki movement ko smooth aur average karti hain.
- **TMA (Triangular Moving Average) Channel:** Current support aur resistance lines ko indicate karta hai.
- **RSI Oscillator:** Overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai.

Yeh tools technical analysis ko enhance karte hain aur market entries mein ghaltiyon se bachne mein madadgar hote hain.

Yeh analysis batata hai ke short-term mein sellers ka dominance ho sakta hai, lekin overall direction depend karegi upcoming economic data aur Federal Reserve ke decisions par.

chart ko ek baar phir dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair. Yahan par wave structure ne apna order neeche banane ka aghaz kiya hai, MACD indicator ab nichle bechne wale zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle, do ya teen wave structures ke growth cycle ne upar ki taraf banaya gaya tha. Yeh pura cycle unchaiyon ke bahar nikal kar khatam ho gaya tha aur MACD indicator par standard parameters ke saath ek aur triple bearish divergence tha. Is divergence ne apna asar dikhaya aur price pehle dheere dheere niche gaya, phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko tor diya, aur saath hi saath upar jaane wale channel ko bhi neeche tor diya gaya, jismein price haal hi mein upar gaya tha. Iske baad, ab girawat ke zyada chances hain. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke girawat jari rahegi, kal raat jab market khula toh woh thoda sa badh gaya tha aur almost 1.0907 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kar liya, jo ki ek growth ke kinaare par ek darpan level ban gaya tha. Is muddat par yeh extreme hai, zaroor younger muddaton par growth ke kinaare par ek zyada extreme level hai. Price ne bhi 1.0875 ke support level par girne ko rok diya hai. Ek accumulation zone ban gaya hai, meri raay mein aur bhi zyada girawat hone ki kafi possibility hai. Agar aap daily chart dekhte hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke ek candlestick pattern ban chuka hai - bearish engulfing, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main khareedari ko nahi consider karta, shayad kuchh growth ho sakti hai, lekin woh clear taur par woh nahi hai jis par aap paisa kama sakte hain, shayad pehle woh price accumulation zone ke thoda upar daal de takay buyers ko action mein lana ho. Aap 1.0844 ke level par khareedari ko consider kar sakte hain. Aaj arthik calendar mein sirf aik important news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market ke sales. hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai. Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein US Treasury bond yields elevated rahein. Persistent high yields aur equity markets mein

Maine H4 timeframe chart par market movement ko dekhne ki koshish ki jahan se May ke aaghaz se candlestick bullish trend mein move kar raha hai. Candlestick ne Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar play karte hue aaram se upar ki taraf move kiya. Pichle mahine ke end mein ek downward correction zaroor aya tha, lekin is mahine mein price phir se upar jaane mein kaamiyab raha. MACD indicator par dotted yellow line ab bhi zero level ke neeche consistently move kar rahi hai, lekin histogram bar choti hoti ja rahi hai kyunki market Monday se sideways move kar raha hai. Is dauran, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ab bhi 50 level ke upar hai, jo is baat ki indication hai ke market trend ab bhi uptrend phase mein hai. Mere khayal mein, ye condition buyer army ki consistent buying volume ko show karti hai jo market par badhti hui asar daal rahi hai. H4 timeframe ka chart dekhne ke baad, ye nazar aa raha hai ke market conditions mein ab bhi bullish trend continue karne ki kafi potential hai.

**Nateejah:**

Technical data ko dekh kar, jo maine kuch indicators ke zariye EURUSD currency pair ki price movements ko analyze karte hue dekha, ye lagta hai ke zyada tar indicators ab bhi candlestick ke bullish trend mein move karne ki tasveer pesh kar rahe hain. Mere andazay ke mutabiq, agle market condition mein price agar 1.0910 level ko breakout karke upar jaane mein kaamiyab hoti hai, toh bullish movement mein mazeed izafa hoga. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, toh bullish target ke liye price range 1.0980 se 1.1000 tak buyer troops ka target level ho sakta hai.

kyunki price 133-period moving average se neeche hai, jo is trend ko confirm karta hai. Chote timeframe par bhi 133-period moving average ke neeche close hona note kiya gaya hai, jo is movement mein selling opportunities ko khol raha hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke price 1.0855 level tak pullback karega, uske baad is currency pair par selling trades ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Alternative scenario jo buying ke liye relevant hoga tabhi ho sakta hai agar price 1.0890 level ke upar close hota hai. Iss waqt, hourly chart par trend ke andar selling hi priority hai.

Agar hum iss downtrend ko aur detail mein dekhein, to humein dekhne ko milta hai ke market mein bears ka control hai. Jese he price 133-period moving average se neeche close hoti hai, yeh signal milta hai ke market mein selling pressure barh raha hai. Yeh situation un traders ke liye achi hai jo short positions lena chahte hain.

Agar price 1.0855 level tak wapas aati hai, to yeh ek acha entry point ho sakta hai selling ke liye. Is level par pullback expected hai aur yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price kis tarah se react karti hai. Agar price is level se neeche jati hai, to selling pressure aur barh sakta hai aur hum neche ke levels ko target kar sakte hain.

Lekin agar price 1.0890 ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh ek bullish signal hoga aur phir buying ko consider karna zaroori hoga. Yeh alternative scenario buying ke liye tabhi relevant hoga jab price is level ke upar sustain kar sake.

Iss downtrend ko samajhna aur iske mutabiq trade karna trading strategy ka ek ahem hissa hai. Humari priority hourly chart par selling hi rehni chahiye jab tak price 133-period moving average ke neeche hai aur 1.0855 ke level tak pullback ka wait karna chahiye. Agar market conditions change hoti hain aur price 1.0890 ke upar close hoti hai, to buying ko consider karna chahiye.

Yeh analysis un sab traders ke liye madadgar hoga jo EUR/USD pair mein trade kar rahe hain aur market ke current trend ke mutabiq apne trades ko adjust karna chahte hain. Trading mein hamesha apna risk management zaroor use karein aur market ke trends ko dekhte hue apni strategies ko adjust karein. Har ek ko trading mein kamiyabi mile. Shukriya.