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EUR/USD D1 time from

EUR/USD jodi ka agla data agar mayoos kun hota hai, toh market mein dobara bechaini ka mahol ban sakta hai. April ke 10th inflation report ne Euro mein tezi se girawat ko janam diya tha, jo 2024 ke 1.0693 ke naye minimum tak le gaya. Agar jodi ne 1.0600 ke aas paas, ek ahem paanch maah ka naya minimum, ko toor diya, toh yeh ek mustaqil downtrend ko us level tak le ja sakta hai. 1.0600 ke nichle qatton ko toorna faisla gehra support zones ko izhaar kar sakta hai jo 2023 ke October aur November mein 1.0516 ke aas paas qayam kiye gaye the, aur shayad hi 1.0487 ke aas paas bhi jo September mein support ke taur par kaam aaya tha.




Dosri taraf, agar mufeed data Euro ko manzil tak pahunchata hai, toh isse shuru mein resistance 2024 mein pehle se hurdles ke tor par kaam karne wale ahem support areas par hoga, jaise ke 1.0693 aur 1.0722. In rukawaton ko paar karne se 1.0795 ki taraf ek imtehan ka darwaza khul sakta hai, jo saal bhar mein support aur resistance ke taur par kaam kiya hai.EUR/USD ka movement, jaise ke aapne kaha, 1.0806 aur 1.0865 ke resistance levels ki taraf dikh raha hai. Ye levels ek acchi trading setup ka indication hain aur agle trading move ke liye important hai. Halankeh, yeh bhi hosakta hai ke ye resistance levels cross hojaein aur 1.9007 tak ka target set ho, lekin ispar market ki conditions aur prices ka bohot bara asar hoga, khaaskar chalti hui khabron ke asar mein. Itna bara maqsad nishana sirf sahi samay aur strategy ke saath mumkin hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ka tajziya karte hue, aaj ke haalaat mein 1.0795 ke mark par numaya muzahira mukhaalifana rukawat ka shikaar hai, jo 1.0749 ki taraf muntaqil hone ki isharaat deta hai, jahan ek baad mein target 1.0723 par hai, jo EMA 50 ke saath milta hai, jo milaap ki umeed rakhta hai. Is had se neeche girna iske haal ke uptrend ko asar-andaaz kardega, is tarah bechne ko ahem strategy banayi jayegi. Peshguftagu ke mutabiq is pair ko darmiyani muddat mein barabar le jane ka rasta taraqqi par hai, halankeh is haftay ke khabron mein Amreeka se zyada tawajjo europe aur Britain se aane wale iqtisadi statistics par hai.
Tareekhi pattern ki roshni mein dekhte hue, pichle das saalon mein ek bar phir yeh baat saamne aati hai ke dono euro aur pound may mein US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hotay hain. Lekin mojooda market ka mahaul traditional qaidon ko mukhalif dikhata hai, jisey Amreeki mazdoor market ke asarat ka kuch hissa samjha jata hai.

EUR/USD ke daam ki mojooda surat-e-haal ko tajziya karte hue, waazeh ishaaraat 1.0797 ke rukawat se numaya faraib par ishaaraat karti hain, khaaskar rozana ki trading shua'rat ko tawajjo mein rakhte hue. 1.0774 ke had se neeche band hone par EMA50 mojooda keemat ke oopar hoga, is tarah aane wale urooj ke liye dawaat ko mazid mazbooti milti hai. Yeh paishgoi ek bearish trend reversal ke sathi hai, jahan shuruati nazar ki fookt 1.0728 par hai. Pair ke liye 1.0555 ki taraf girne ki paishgoi aagey ki ore bhaari taur par uth rahi hai, darmiyani muddat mein barabar ki khatraakne wali hai.

Aise paishgoiyo ke andar chhupi ghair yaqeeni ko maante hue, currency market ke tabdeeliyat mein mustaqil hona zaroori hai. Agar trading shua'rat 1.0773 ke mark ke neeche stabil hojaye, to qareebi muddat mein 1.0749 ki taraf ek price movement ka imkaan barh jata hai. Mojooda daam ki range abhi 1.0794 aur 1.0748 ke darmiyan harkat karti hai, jo currency market ke din ba din tabdeel hone wale manzar mein faisley karte waqt ahem rehnumaai ke liye markazi hawala points ke tor par kaam aati hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki market ki halat par ek guftagu jaari hai, jis mein iski haal ki qeemat ka tajziya ho raha hai, haal hi mein iska behavior dekha gaya hai. Forex trading mein, tajawuzkar aur mutabiqati raay rakhna bohot zaroori hai, kyunke tajziyat mein yaqeeni pan ka bohot kam hota hai. Kamiyabi aksar is tarah ke nazariye par mabni hoti hai. Haal hi mein EUR/USD quotes ka rawaya hamesha ke liye 1.0798 ke maqsood resistance ko torne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka, jo rozana ke trend line ko test karne ke baad 1.0754 ke darmiyanai darje par wapas chalagaya. Halankeh Marlin oscillator mukhtasar doran ke liye musbat shehrat mein daakhil hua, magar ek neeche ki taraf mudawamat ke nishaan zahir ho gaye, jo neeche ki taraf phir se chalne ki alamat theen, jo 1.0754 ke neeche girne ki mumkin surat mein hain. Is tajziye ke mutabiq, mojooda darjaat se foran farokht ke order mumkin honge.
Aaj, pair pehle to charha, chadhti hui channel ke ooperi border ke liye aim kiya. Magar yeh is maqsood tak puhancha na, jis se palat aur baad mein giravat ka silsila shuru hua. Main ne aik chadhti hui rawayat pehchan li hai aur umeed hai ke chand giravat taqreeban 1.0764 tak ho sakti hai. Is ke baad, aik palat mojooda ho sakti hai, jo ke qeemat ko ooper chala sakti hai. Warna, agar pair apni charhai ko jari rakhta hai, to woh 1.0827 tak puhanch sakta hai. Mutasir tor par, neeche ki taraf trend line ka toot janib ek giravat ke liye le jaye ga jo ke channel ke ooperi boundary tak 1.0725 par girne ka nateeja de sakta hai. EUR/USD ke mojooda market ki halat ka tajziya karte hue, neural network ki idaraat ke nezaar mutabiqana rai par amal karna zaroori hai. Hamara neural network signals ke mutabiqat 1.0858 ke maqsood tak ki bullish movement ki taraf isharaat dete hain, haan lekin ek dafa ke liye ghirawat ka mukhtalif rawaya bhi mumkin hai phir se ooper ki taraf rawaya ko barhate hue. Market ko technical aur fundamental factors ka asar mantar bhi dynamic mana jana chahiye, jo na sirf bull aur bear dono ke liye mohtajyat faraham karta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ka tajziya karte hue, aaj ke haalaat mein 1.0795 ke mark par numaya muzahira mukhaalifana rukawat ka shikaar hai, jo 1.0749 ki taraf muntaqil hone ki isharaat deta hai, jahan ek baad mein target 1.0723 par hai, jo EMA 50 ke saath milta hai, jo milaap ki umeed rakhta hai. Is had se neeche girna iske haal ke uptrend ko asar-andaaz kardega, is tarah bechne ko ahem strategy banayi jayegi. Peshguftagu ke mutabiq is pair ko darmiyani muddat mein barabar le jane ka rasta taraqqi par hai, halankeh is haftay ke khabron mein Amreeka se zyada tawajjo europe aur Britain se aane wale iqtisadi statistics par hai. Tareekhi pattern ki roshni mein dekhte hue, pichle das saalon mein ek bar phir yeh baat saamne aati hai ke dono euro aur pound may mein US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hotay hain. Lekin mojooda market ka mahaul traditional qaidon ko mukhalif dikhata hai, jisey Amreeki mazdoor market ke asarat ka kuch hissa samjha jata hai.

EUR/USD ke daam ki mojooda surat-e-haal ko tajziya karte hue, waazeh ishaaraat 1.0797 ke rukawat se numaya faraib par ishaaraat karti hain, khaaskar rozana ki trading shua'rat ko tawajjo mein rakhte hue. 1.0774 ke had se neeche band hone par EMA50 mojooda keemat ke oopar hoga, is tarah aane wale urooj ke liye dawaat ko mazid mazbooti milti hai. Yeh paishgoi ek bearish trend reversal ke sathi hai, jahan shuruati nazar ki fookt 1.0728 par hai. Pair ke liye 1.0555 ki taraf girne ki paishgoi aagey ki ore bhaari taur par uth rahi hai, darmiyani muddat mein barabar ki khatraakne wali hai.
Click image for larger version


Aise paishgoiyo ke andar chhupi ghair yaqeeni ko maante hue, currency market ke tabdeeliyat mein mustaqil hona zaroori hai. Agar trading shua'rat 1.0773 ke mark ke neeche stabil hojaye, to qareebi muddat mein 1.0749 ki taraf ek price movement ka imkaan barh jata hai. Mojooda daam ki range abhi 1.0794 aur 1.0748 ke darmiyan harkat karti hai, jo currency market ke din ba din tabdeel hone wale manzar mein faisley karte waqt ahem rehnumaai ke liye markazi hawala points ke tor par kaam

EUR-USD H4 Technical Analysis

Subah ki doosri guftagu EURUSD pair par jaari hai, jo kareeban GBPUSD par jo hai, waisi hi hai. Is pair mein bhi saaf nazar aa raha hai ke kal ye badi bullish harkat kar paya hai, haan aur agar hum dekhen to abhi EURUSD ka maqam peer ke sab se oonche maqam se kaafi door hai, agar yeh sach hai to EURUSD aur ooncha bhi ja sakta hai, jahan is kharid ki qareebi maqsood shayad pichle haftay ka resistance area tor sakta hai. Yeh 1.086 par hai, to agar yeh area tor sakta hai to kharidne ka mouqa EURUSD pair mein behtareen tor par khula hoga. Agar woh buyers hain, to unhe H4 oscillator par bhi waqai ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, jahan is waqt hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat phir se overbought maqam par aa gayi hai, to is waqt se mazeed girawat ka bhi imkaan hai. Agar aisa ho bhi, to yeh ab bhi thoda risky lagta hai agar hum sirf isay zabardasti koshish karenge.

Shayad EURUSD ko bechna chahunga, main apni iraada bhi chhodne ki koshish karunga, haan, aur maujooda taraqqiyat ko nazarandaz karunga jo behtar hoga agar, masalan, dekha jaaye ke EURUSD 1.086 ke resistance ko tor sakta hai ya nahi, aur agar yeh tor nahin paata, to main dobara bechnay ki koshish karunga, jisme mukhtasir maqsad EMA50 ke ahem ilaqa hoga. EURUSD market pair abhi bhi kal ke trading ke baad mumkinah tor par bullish hai, keemat ko kharidar ne kaabu mein rakha jis ne bearish farokht darust rakhne walon ko rokne mein kamyabi haasil ki jis ne keemat ko upar ki taraf bullishly qayam rakh diya.

Rozana waqt ke jhootay istemal ka doran Moving Average technique ke istemal se dekha jaaye to nazar aata hai ke kharidare EurUsd market pair mein trading mein bhari hain jinhone keemat ko Peeli 200 MA ke ilaqa ke upar torne mein kamyabi haasil ki, sath hi kharidar ki kamyabi ne aik mazboot bullish candlestick ko banaya, jo ke keemat ko aur zyada buland jaane ke imkaanat ko mazeed barha deta hai. keemat ko kharidar ka EMA100 ke ilaqa ke neeche jaane ka maqsad. Haalankay, abhi bhi bearish correction hosakti hai aur kharidar isay kharidne ke dabaav ke ilaqon ki talash kar sakte hain.

EUR-USD H4 Technical Analysis

Subah ki doosri guftagu EURUSD pair par jaari hai, jo kareeban GBPUSD par jo hai, waisi hi hai. Is pair mein bhi saaf nazar aa raha hai ke kal ye badi bullish harkat kar paya hai, haan aur agar hum dekhen to abhi EURUSD ka maqam peer ke sab se oonche maqam se kaafi door hai, agar yeh sach hai to EURUSD aur ooncha bhi ja sakta hai, jahan is kharid ki qareebi maqsood shayad pichle haftay ka resistance area tor sakta hai. Yeh 1.086 par hai, to agar yeh area tor sakta hai to kharidne ka mouqa EURUSD pair mein behtareen tor par khula hoga. Agar woh buyers hain, to unhe H4 oscillator par bhi waqai ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, jahan is waqt hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat phir se overbought maqam par aa gayi hai, to is waqt se mazeed girawat ka bhi imkaan hai. Agar aisa ho bhi, to yeh ab bhi thoda risky lagta hai agar hum sirf isay zabardasti koshish karenge.

Shayad EURUSD ko bechna chahunga, main apni iraada bhi chhodne ki koshish karunga, haan, aur maujooda taraqqiyat ko nazarandaz karunga jo behtar hoga agar, masalan, dekha jaaye ke EURUSD 1.086 ke resistance ko tor sakta hai ya nahi, aur agar yeh tor nahin paata, to main dobara bechnay ki koshish karunga, jisme mukhtasir maqsad EMA50 ke ahem ilaqa hoga. EURUSD market pair abhi bhi kal ke trading ke baad mumkinah tor par bullish hai, keemat ko kharidar ne kaabu mein rakha jis ne bearish farokht darust rakhne walon ko rokne mein kamyabi haasil ki jis ne keemat ko upar ki taraf bullishly qayam rakh diya.

Rozana waqt ke jhootay istemal ka doran Moving Average technique ke istemal se dekha jaaye to nazar aata hai ke kharidare EurUsd market pair mein trading mein bhari hain jinhone keemat ko Peeli 200 MA ke ilaqa ke upar torne mein kamyabi haasil ki, sath hi kharidar ki kamyabi ne aik mazboot bullish candlestick ko banaya, jo ke keemat ko aur zyada buland jaane ke imkaanat ko mazeed barha deta hai. keemat ko kharidar ka EMA100 ke ilaqa ke neeche jaane ka maqsad. Haalankay, abhi bhi bearish correction hosakti hai aur kharidar isay kharidne ke dabaav ke ilaqon ki talash kar sakte hain.

H1 timeframe par mukhtalif rehnumaiyon ke khilaaf bechnay ka shauq nahi rakhta, lekin is currency pair mein ab yeh mauqa mojood hai. Bechne ka factor M15 chart par linear regression channel hai. Kyunke channel dakshin ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, yeh sellers ki taqat ko wazeh karta hai, jo 1.07406 tak neechay daba dena chahenge, jahan buyers mojood hain. Main 1.07586 par upper channel boundary se bechnay ka tawazon kar raha hoon. Bechne ke positions ka toorna izaafa ki taraf madad karega, jo izafa ke raste mein guzarna hai, jo channel ko mukhalif rukh mein palat sakta hai. Bears 1.07586 ke qareeb apni manzil ko faa'il taur par defend karenge. Woh sirf mutallaq nahi honge un k tajwezat par balke unhein is ke neechay qaim bhi karne ki koshish karenge, jo sellers ki taqat ko wazeh karta hai.

Ghanton ki chart par, linear regression channel upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo buyers ki taqat ko wazeh karta hai. Channel ki position ke mutabiq, ek bullish trend qaim hai. Trend ko kamzor hone ka khatra M15 timeframe par bears ki mojoodgi ki wajah se hai. Farokhtayein ghanton ki channel ki nichli hissay tak 1.06859 ke darje par ki jati hain. Bears ka kaam yeh hai ke is darje ko toorna, taake farokhtayein mansookh kar dein. Bulls, dosri taraf, is giraavat ko barqarar rakhne ka maqsad rakhte hain taake unhein mazeed izaafa ke raste mein 1.08131 par chalne ka silsila jari rahe. Diye gaye level tak farokht ka mauqa mojood hai. Agar 1.07406 ke darje se bullish rad-e-amal hota hai, to main khareedne ka tawazon karunga. Is level ke neeche ikhtalafat hone par market ke dilchaspi mein tabdeeli ka ishara hoga, jise sellers ki taraf se dekha jaega.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Technically, price ab support level 1.0716 ke oopar hai. Pair ne safal taur par 1.0709 ke support floor ko tor diya hai, jo ab ek role reversal resistance level ban gaya hai. Moving average se aane wala negative pressure ka intersection 1.0637 par bearish movement ko badha deta hai. Is tarah, bearish continuation ka khayal valid aur effective hai. Hum ek mazboot support 1.0515 ke clear aur mazboot tootne ka intezaar karenge. Yeh 1.0699, pehla target, aur phir 1.0676, agla official extension point tak girne ke imkaanat ko barha deta hai. Upar ki nazar se, 1.0889 ke upar ek price break turant sujhav diya gaya hoga aur EURUSD ko 1.0959 par dobara test kiya jayega. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:



Euro ne pichle trading week se correction mein raha hai, aakhirkaar downtrend ko tor diya. Price 1.0625 ke darmiyan ek area tak giri. Is area se rebound hui aur grow hone lagi, khuch nuksan ko cover karke aur lagbhag 1.0759 ke aas-paas ek level tak pahunch gayi. Phir wapas key resistance 1.0837 ke neeche gir gayi aur retest kiya. Isi waqt, price chart ne super trend ke green zone mein dakhil hua hai, jo buyers ki taraf se dabav ko darust karta hai. Pair abhi apne haftay ke uchit qareeb trading kar raha hai. Magar, overall movement vector zyadatar neeche ki taraf hai. 1.0837 ke final tootne se aur zyada girawat ki iraada ko tasdeeq mil jayegi. Yeh ek aur manfi momentum paida karne ka mauka hoga, jo 1.0651 ke darmiyan ke area ko nishana banayega.

EUR/USD: Price Study
Main aaj EUR/USD currency pair aur uska qeemat ka warayaan tafseel se guftagu karunga. Kal, euro/dollar pair ne apna urooj darust rakha, jo 1.0796 ki mazboot rukawat par 50% Fibonacci level ko paar kar gaya. Magar, bullish warayaan ko roka gaya jab 100 dino ka moving average aur triangle ki nichli trend line D-1 time-frame par tor di gayi, jis se 1.0763 ki taraf tajawuz hui. Lekin fikar na karen; trading taqreeban triangle ka darmiyan wapas laut gayi, aur bullish trend ka silsila jaari raha, jo khabron ke impulse par kharidne wale ki reaction ke sath chala, 1.0748 ki oopri had ko tor diya. Main mazeed urooj ki taraf ka tareeqa umeed karta hoon 1.0835 ki agli manzil tak, jo 61.8% Fib projection ko numaya karta hai. Halaat ko dekhte hue, jin mein nuqsan-deh berozgari ke data aur mayoos kun US GDP figures shamil hain, yeh sujhaav dete hain ke America ki mukhtalif tor par Europe ke mufeed bharakar mein tezi se slow down ho raha hai. Yeh farq pair ki raah ka uncertainty barha raha hai. Lekin agar pair 1.0823 ke upar support sthapit karta hai, toh urooj ka manzar mukhtalif ho sakta hai. In tawajoat ke bawajood, mazboot izafa mojoodah dor mein naqabil-e-yaqeen nazar ata hai. Keemat MA-200 moving average ke oopar hai, jo bullish jazbaat ko ishaara karta hai. Kal, pair ne din ka opening mark se upar trade kiya aur buland bandar Bollinger ko qareeb se chhu liya, jis se jaari urooj ki tawajjuh hai. Main 14-din ki setting ke sath RSI indicator ko nigrani karta hoon, jis mein overbought ya oversold halat ko dikhane wale positions se bachta hoon. Mojudah dor mein, RSI kharidne ki faaliyat ko support karta hai, qaboolyah mein mumtaz hai. Ye maloomat aapko EUR/USD currency pair ka qeemat ka varayaan samajhne mein madadgar hai. Agar aapke koi mazeed sawalat ya pareshaniyan hain, toh mujhse fikarmandi se poochein.

EURUSD

Adaab. Euro ke liye, kharidari walon ne Jumma ki khabar ke baad koi urooj nahi banaya. Aur pichle do dinon se, bikri karne walon ne ek girawat banane ki koshish ki hai. Qareebi nishana girawat ke liye 1.07234 ka darja hai; agar aap iske peechay ek girawat ke doran kisi ke paas qadam rakhte hain, to aap 1.06733 ke darja tak girawat ke jaari rehne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar hum ek urooj ke aghaz ka tasavvur karte hain, to kharidari walon ko 1.07485 ke darja ko paar karke ek qadam pakarna hoga; agar kharidari walon ko yeh karna kaamyaab hota hai, to hum 1.07866 ke darja ke jaari urooj par guzar sakte hain.

EURUSD jodi M30:

1 - Kal Euro ke liye bikri ke dakhil hone ke liye ek taqseem ka tajwez tha 1.07567 ke darja se, keemat is darje se guzri, ek dobara munsif hone ke doran, dekhte hain kya hum aakhirkaar pehla nishana 1.07265 tak pohanch sakte hain ya nahi.

2 - Agar hum taar par mojooda halat ko tawjoh dete hain, to keemat taaron ke darmiyanee ilaqe mein hai, aur taar khud horizontal hain. Humen ek nai signal hasil karne ke liye keemat mein izafa ya girawat ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhen ke taar kya bahar khulte hain ya koi reaction nahi hai.

3 - AO indicator manfi ilaqe mein kamzor ho raha hai, agar hum zero ke through guzrta aur musbat ilaqe mein fa'al izafa dekhte hain, to humen keemat ke urooj ke liye taqatwar signal milega. Manfi ilaqe mein nai fa'al girawat ka ek signal dega.

4 - Kharidari ke dakhil hone ka taqseem darja 1.07567 se tasleem kiya ja sakta hai; girawat aur ittehad ke doran keemat ki ummeed 1.07861 aur 1.08052 ke darja tak ho sakti hai.

5 - Bikri ke dakhil hone ka taqseem darja 1.07265 se kiya ja sakta hai; keemat 1.06967 aur 1.06657 ke darja tak gir sakti hai.

Euro (EUR) ab lagbhag 1.0750 ke aas paas thahar gaya hai, haal hi ki aamadni mein wapas aakar aur haftay ki shuruaat mein shuru hui range ke andar rah raha hai. Yeh tab aaya jab European markets ko Thursday ko chhutiyo ki wajah se khamoshi ki umeed hai, jabke US ne Jumma ko ek ahem consumer confidence report ke aage chhote data jaari kiya. Wednesday ko kuch shuruaati khareedari ke bawajood, EURUSD ko kisi maayne mein zyada traction haasil nahi hua. Jodi ne ek din mein 1.0757 ki andaruni uchchai tak pahunchi lekin din ke aakhir mein apne vartaman star ke qareeb khatam hui. Daily charts par technical indicators ko mazeed niche ki dabav ki alaamat hain, jab EURUSD 1.0788 par 200-day moving average ko paar karne mein asafal raha. Agar downtrend jaari rahe, to currency pair apni haal hi ki kam se kam 1.0600 ki tasalli par phir se a sakta hai. Nazdeek se dekhte hue, chhoti-muddat ke technicals bhi thodi si bearish mudav par hain. EURUSD dono 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke nichle ja rahe hain. Magar, buyers ne hilne ki koshish ki hai is resistance ke upar haal hi mein, pichle haftay aur is haftay ke shuruaat mein, jo kharidaron aur farokhton ke darmiyan chalti hui mehfooz ke roshni mein ek jaari jang ke khilaf parda uthata hai.
Abhi EURUSD market mein lambi aur chhoti bets ke darmiyan ek nisbatan barabar halat hai. Anay wale dinon mein agli harkat ka faisla karna ahem ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi taraf 1% ke qareeb ek tay karne wala break, lambi muddat ke trend ka aghaaz ishaara kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.0850 ke ird gird ek harkat 1.1050 ki taraf barhne ka darwaza khol sakti hai aur shayad mazeed bhi. Baraks, 1.0650 ke neeche ek girawat kharidaron ko 1.0500 ke aas paas ikattha karne par majboor kar sakta hai aur mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers ke Thursday ko taqreer denay ka imkan hai, investors unki tafseeli raayein future monetary policy faislay ke bare mein kisi bhi ishaare ke liye kareebi nazar se dekhenge. Magar, chhutiyo ki susti ki wajah se, ye taqreerain bazaar ko kisi bada market disturbance ka sabab nahi banayengi. America mein, tawajjuh initial jobless claims data par hogi jo May 3rd ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye hai. Analysts naye claims mein halki izafa ka tajziya karte hain 210,000 tak, muqablay mein pichle haftay ki 208,000 ke. Zada ahem University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Jumma tak na hone wala hai. Aam tor par, EURUSD khud ko ek holding pattern mein paya hai, jahan dono bulls aur bears ek catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo tarazoo ko uthane ke liye kaafi hai. Aane wale dinon mein data releases aur central bank commentary ka mix pesh karega, jo market ko apni mojooda range se bahar nikalne ke liye zaroorat hai.

EUR/USD H4



Subah bakhair! Lekin EURUSD currency pair ke maamlay mein halat abhi tak ghair wazeh hain. Wednesday ke trading ke baad, Wednesday ek bearish candle ke saath khatam hui, jo ke chhota to tha lekin iske neeche ek bhaari saaya tha. Ye bechnay walon ke liye ek kamzori dikhata hai aur kharidne walon ke liye ek faida. Agar keemat 1.0756 par resistance ko tor deti hai, to hum mazeed izafa dekhenge. Ek kharid ka nishan ghante ke chart par ban raha hai. Pehla target level Fibonacci grid par, 161.8, ke qeemat 1.0818 par aata hai. Dusra Fibonacci grid target 261.8, 1.0870 par aata hai. Teesra target level 423.6 Fibonacci grid par, 1.0954 ke qeemat ke muqablay me hai. Pehla aur doosra maqasid bohot waqaiq lagte hain. Shayad ye hafta nahi. Salam. Khushiyon bhari chhuttiyan!! Jis darja par aapne ishara kiya hai, yaani ke 1.0732 darja par, EMA50 barh rahi hai aur aaj bhi aur kal bhi ye ahem support ka kaam kiya. Halankeh ab EURUSD bhi kaafi mazboot moving average EMA200 ke saath trade kar raha hai. Bearon ke liye sab se ahem cheez yeh hai ke yeh moving average ke upar trade na kare, jo ke 1.0750 par hai, halankeh yahan order volumes ko shumar kiya gaya hai aur 1.0755 aur 1.0750 ke darmiyan kafi bearish volume hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke volume 1.0730 aur usse neeche se kafi bullish raha hai. Bearish hissas barhte hain jab ke open interest for sells vs. buys 53/47 ke barabar hai, halankeh oversold levels itne shadeed nahi hain aur agar pair 1.0730 ke neeche gir jaaye to woh khatam ho sakte hain. Isliye, main aapke saath ittefaq karta hoon ke 1.0733 ke neeche ek hareef izaafa kardega, is tarah 6th number ka hisaab lagaya jaa sakta hai. Chalein dekhte hain.

EUR/USD
Ab bhi mazboot imkaan hai ke trend ke peeche izafa izafa hota rahe ga, halaanki sudharne wale giravat ke baad bhi. Kharidari karne wale behtar shaffaf fariyad ke liye talaash kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0800 ke local minimum se dobara chadh kar izafa hota hai aur wahan se izafa hota hai, to izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Is ke saath hi, wahan bhi ek mehdood quantity ki kharidari ki hukumat thi. Is market ke daraje ka bhi yeh ek pro-trading mahol hai. Giravat mojoodah se aage bhi ja sakti hai, lekin agar mojoodah se giravat jaari rahe, to kharidari phir bhi ki ja sakti hai. Agar hum jald hi 1.0865 ke local maximum ke upar se todte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to yahan ek achha signal milne par hum kharidari shuru kar sakte hain. Izafa mumkin hai agar mojoodah staron se halki sudhar ke baad jaari rahe. Agar hum 1.0950 ke upar tod sakte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to hume mazeed dekhna chahiye, kyun ke hum agar is ke upar tod sakte hain.

Agar 1.0867 ke local maximum ke range ka jhoota breakout hojata hai, to yeh keemat hai ke aap apni behtari ko bechna chahte hain. Mojudah trend jald hi jaari rahega, jise chhodkar, jald hi 1.0950 ke range tak ja sakte hain, agar mojoodah trend jaari rahe. Agar share ki keemat dobara 1.0800 ke range tak gir jati hai, jahan trade mojood hai, to izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur keemat phir se chadh sakti hai. Jab market ke keemat 1.0865 ke range ke doran chhoti sudhar ke doran aas pass aaye, to ek kharidari signal nazr ayega jab market ke harkat se kharidari signal utpann hoga. Signal bullish hai jab ye 1.0965 ko par kar ke uske upar jam hojata hai. Ek indication bhi hai ke keemat jald hi girne wali hai, jo ke 1.0920 ke aas paas ke local maximum range se ek jhoota breakout hoga. Halaanki, is waqt, yeh option pehle se hi peechey reh jayega.

Market mein price action ko nazar andaaz kiya ja raha hai, khaaskar 1.10328 ke resistance level ke ird gird, jahan aik ahem pin bar bana hai. Ye ishara karte hai ek mukhtalif moor par ya kam az kam aagey ki rukawat ka izhar. Agay dekhte hue, agar hafta 1.07564 ke critical level ke neeche mukammal hojata hai, to ye agle haftay mein mazeed neeche ki taraf rawanae ka manzar tayar kar sakta hai. Ye manzar zyada tarat resistance ke tor par amal kar chuka horizontal support 1.0736 ko dobara test karne ko dekhega, jahan price pehle upar jane se pehle gir gaya tha. Ye ahem hai ke 1.0675 ke support level ka zikar kiya jata hai, kyunke isne guzishta mein apni taqat ko sabit kiya hai ke price action ke liye ek ahem level hai. Ye level buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan aik ahem muqabla ho sakta hai, jiske bade trend ke liye asarat ho sakte hain. Traders in ahem levels ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain market ke rukh aur potential trading opportunities ke liye.

Resistance level 1.0736 mazeed price movement ke liye aik ahem rukawat sabit ho raha hai. Magar mazeed manazir ko ghor karne ki zaroorat hai. Agar price is resistance ko tor leti hai, to ye ek potential uptrend ki nishaani ho sakti hai, jo mazeed izafa ki taraf le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar resistance qaim rehta hai, to 1.0736 ke neeche breakdown ho sakta hai, jisse price mein kami ho sakti hai. Halqa resistance level ke oopar mojud horizontal resistance level ke saath, price abhi dabochayi position mein nazar a rahi hai. Traders in levels ko nazar andaaz kar rahe hain market ke agle rukh ko janna ke liye.

Retracement ke liye mazeed neeche rawanae ka fayda uthane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Magar bulls 1.06011 support level ke aas paas himmat dikha rahe hain, aik ulta isharay ki taraf. Ye manzar haal hi mein dekhe gaye barhne wale uptrend ke sath milta julta hai, jahan buyers ne mukhtalif support levels ko istiqamat se defend kiya hai. 1.06011 ke neeche girne ka ishara mazeed gehri retracement ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai agle baray support level 1.0550 tak, jahan mazeed buying interest nazar a sakti hai. Dosri taraf, mojooda levels se bounce hone ka manzar mojood hai jo intraday resistance levels ko 1.0690 aur 1.0726 pe dubara test kar sakta hai. Indicators ke hawale se, Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral territory ke qareeb hai, jo aik barabar market sentiment ki nishaani hai. Magar traders ko kisi bhi farq ya overbought/oversold conditions pe nazar rakhni chahiye jo potential momentum mein tabdili ke ishara kar sakti hain. Overall, pair ke liye nazar cautious bullish hai, agar key support levels jari rakhti jayein. Magar traders ko mutawazi rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko dyan mein rakhte hue adapt karna chahiye taake dynamic price action ko samajh sakein.

EUR/ USD Price Move
EUR/USD currency pair ki price ka current behavior analysis karte hain. Halankeh yeh ek downtrend hai, lekin yeh chhota hai, jismein price movement ka potential hai agar hum aaj daily candle ko 1.0758 minimum ke neeche band karte hain. Yeh bearish pattern formation ka raasta bana sakta hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke corrective growth ho sakti hai lekin naye bearish targets bhi ho sakte hain. Descending channel ke nichle hudood ka bharhna iske nichle boundary se gehri correction ka raasta banane ke imkanat hain aur ek naya channel bearish direction mein bhi ban sakta hai. Pehle aaj ek forecast ne 1.0794 aur 1.0818 tak ki ek mumkin barhavat ka izhar kiya tha. Kal ke liye bullish forecast munsif na ho sakti hai kyunke daily time frame par 14 trading days ke baad ek bearish pattern ban raha hai, jo 1.0795 aur 1.0818 tak pahunchne ko rok sakta hai. Agar ek bearish pattern zahir hota hai, to sab se hal tak ke data ke mutabiq ek bearish forecast samne aata hai, haal hi ki price movements ko madde nazar rakhte hue.

US ka rozi roti ka market mutasir karne wale news ke baad, Jumeraat ko US dollar kamzor hua, jahan kaam ka report October se sab se kam job increase ko darust karta hai. Halankeh euro teen hafton se bullish trend mein hai, mukhtalif moving averages sab bearish slope dikhate hain. MACD histogram zero ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko tasdeeq karta hai. Price ne supply zone 1.0777-1.0799 tak pohanch gaya, jahan 100th aur 50th moving averages thori unchi trade karte hue hain, jo 1.0646 ki taraf downward trajectory ki ibteda ko darust karte hain. US session ke ikhtitam tak, US dollar mazboot hona shuru hua, euro par downward pressure dalte hue. Kal ka daily candle, jisme ek numaya upward shadow hai, market ka bearish sentiment darust karta hai, jo aaj ek bearish candle ke band hone tak pahunch sakta hai. Kal, euro ko mazeed kami ki taraf jaane ka imkan hai 1/2 zone 1.0727-1.0718 tak. Ek potential selling opportunity correction se nikal sakti hai.