Eurusd forum

Euro ne US dollar ke khilaf chauthe musalsal din mazbooti ikhtiyar kiya, Monday ke agle Asian trade mein 1.0765 ke aas paas uth raha tha. Ye izafa ek fori tor par tezi se girne wale US dollar ke darmiyan aaya, jo kam umeed shuda US rozi mandi ke data ki wajah se bhara tha. Jumma ko jaari hone wala nonfarm payrolls report ne kaam ke izaaf mein ek numaya dheemi girawat dikhaya, April mein sirf 175,000 naye muqamat shamil hue jab ke afwajat mein ek zyada tadad ki umeed thi. Is ke ilawa, tanqeedi inflation thandi ho gayi aur bay rozgari dar thori si izafa hua. Ye khamosh data Federal Reserve ke is saal ke akhir mein ek moghe interest dar kaatne ke imkanat ko barha diya hai. Ma'ashi bazaaron ne ab tak kareeban 90% daromadar ko September mein interest dar kaatne ka imkan hai, jo peechle haftay sirf 55% tha. Fed ka ek narm moqa US dollar ko kamzor karta hai aur Euro ko faida pahunchata hai. Agla, Eurozone se ahem ma'ashi daleelat aaj shaam ko jaari ki jaegi. Sarmaya ki aur Eurozone ki Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMI) par investors tez nazar rakhte hain jo manufacturing aur khidmat sektoron mein karobar ki gatividhi ko napte hain. Eurozone Producer Price Index (PPI) bhi agle hone wale hai. Kisi bhi in daleelaton mein kisi bhi mufeed hairaan kun taqat Euro ko mazeed mazbooti ikhtiyar kar sakti hai.



Waqi, EUR/USD jodi agle data ke ishq baazi par dobarah bechani ka shikaar hai agar anay wale data mayoos kun hota hai. April ke 10th inflation report ne Euro mein ek tezi se girawat ko janam diya tha, jo ke 2024 ke 1.0693 ke naye minimum tak le gaya. Jab ke jodi ne kuch madad 1.0600 ke aas paas, ek ahem paanch maah ka naya minimum, mila, ek mustaqil downtrend ise us level tak le ja sakta hai. 1.0600 ke nichle qatton ko toorna faisla karna gehra support zones ko izhaar kar sakta hai jo 2023 ke October aur November mein 1.0516 ke aas paas qayam kiye gaye the, aur shayad hi 1.0487 ke aas paas bhi jo September mein support ke taur par kaam aaya tha. Dosri taraf, agar mufeed data Euro ko manzil tak pahunchata hai, to isse shuru mein resistance 2024 mein pehle se hurdles ke tor par kaam karne wale ahem support areas par hoga, jaise ke 1.0693 aur 1.0722. In rukawaton ko paar karne se 1.0795 ki taraf ek imtehan ka darwaza khul sakta hai, jo saal bhar mein support aur resistance ke taur par kaam kiya hai.

EURUSD jodi ka tajziya rozana wakt ke fraim mein.

Pichle hafte ke end par EURUSD jodi ka karobar ab bhi kharidaron ke control mein tha jo bikri ke koshishon ka muqabla karke kharidaron ne karobar ko qaboo mein rakha aur 1.0730-1.0735 ke qeemat par support area ko mazboot banaya jis ne qeemat ko bearish se mazboot bullish harkat mein badal diya.

Daily time frame mein Moving Average indicator ke istemal se dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ya candle ko kharidaron ne qaboo mein rakha jo ke qeemat ko Yellow MA 200 aur Red MA 50 areas ke aas paas qaim rakha 1.0795-1.0798 ke qeemat par jo ke haqeeqatan imtehan kiye gaye lekin abhi tak kamiyabi se nahi toorna. Halankeh, kharidaron ke liye mouqa ab bhi kafi kholi hai kyunki EURUSD jodi ab bhi mazboot bullish candlestick se mukhalif hai is liye qeemat ke barhne ka mouqa ab bhi mojood hai Red 50 MA aur Yellow 200 MA areas ko torne ka shart hai takay Blue 100 MA area tak pohanch sake jo ke nichlay 1.0835-1.0845 ke qeemat par hai.

Asian market session mein peer ko karobar dekha gaya jo ke kharidaron ke mukhalif mazbooti ko barqarar rakne ki koshishon se nazar andaaz nahi kiya gaya jis ne ke qeemat ko mazboot bullish harkat mein barkaraar rakha 1.0795-1.0800 ke qeemat par. Agar ye kamiyab tor par kiya gaya to EURUSD jodi ki qeemat aur bhi buland hogi jis ka nishana supply resistance area tak pohanchega jo ke 1.0830-1.0845 ke qeemat par hai. Magar agar ye nakam hota hai to qeemat bikri tor par sahi ho jaegi jis ka target kharidaron ke support area ko tor kar 1.0740-1.0730 ke qeemat par aayega.

Nateeja:

Kharid ya kharid trading options ko amal mein laaya ja sakta hai agar qeemat kharidar ke mukhalif ka resistance area tor leti hai jis ke liye pending order buy stop area 1.0790-1.0800 ke qeemat par rakh jaye ga jahan TP area 1.0830-1.0840 ke qeemat par hoga.



Farokht ya farokht trading options ko amal mein laaya ja sakta hai agar qeemat kharidar ka support area tor leti hai jis ke liye pending sell stop order 1.0735-1.0730 ke qeemat par rakh jaye ga jahan TP area 1.0685-1.0680 ke qeemat par hoga.

Aaj, Germany aur EU mein Services PMI data ke doosre tajziyat jaari kiye jayenge. Ye doosri daleelat hai jo ke market par koi khaas asar nahi daal sakti.

EUR/USD ne Jumma ko apni bulandi ka aghaz kiya. Pichle haftay, dollar ke liye kuch ahem waqiyat hue aur bazaar ne unhe istemal kiya dollar ko bechne ke liye. Yeh lagbhag 80% waqt sahi tha, kyunki lagbhag tamam sab se ahem macroeconomic reports US se mayoos nikle. Bay rozgari dar barhi, GDP tez ho gaya, Nonfarm Payrolls ke tadad ka umeed se kam nikla, ISM karobar ki gatividhi ke indices 50 se neeche gir gaye, aur JOLTs job openings figure tawaqo se kam nikla. Sirf ek waqia dollar ko izafa kar sakta tha - FOMC ki guftagu, lekin market ne is par dhyan nahi diya.

Is liye, bulandi ka trend mukhtalif hafton se barqarar hai, halankeh pehle yeh ek correction hone ka maqsood tha. Trend asar andaz hai kyunke pehle neeche ki harkat zyada thi. Correction kayi martaba khatam ho sakta tha, lekin US ne do mukhtalif hafton tak kamzor macro data jaari kiya hai, jo dollar ko buland hone se rokta hai. Ghantay ke chart par, EUR/USD jodi ek tehqiqi marhala se guzar rahi hai. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke darmiyanay muddat mein kami shuru ho jani chahiye, kyunke euro nisbatan buland hai, aur aam tor par, global trend neechay ki taraf muntaqil hai. Bunyadi background ab bhi US dollar ke favor mein kaam karta hai, aur taaza FOMC ki guftagu is ko support karti hai - ab Powell ko bhi yeh nahi maloom ke monetary policy easing kab shuru hogi.



Peer ko, traders ko jodi ko bechnay ka ghoor sawar ho saktay hain, kyunke qeemat ne Jumma ko 1.0785-1.0797 ke area se rebound kiya tha, aur bulandi ka trend zyada lamba barqarar reh chuka hai. Magar, is area ko paar karne se traders ko dobaara intraday kharid ki tafteesh karne ki ijaazat mil sakti hai jis ka nishana 1.0838-1.0856 hai.

Mozi market mahol mein, EUR/USD trend aglay haftay mein mazeed barhne ki sambhavanaon ke liye taiyar nazar aata hai, bullish jazbaat ke saath. Haal ki keemat ki harkaat naye umeedon ki taraf ishara karti hai, jahan keemat 1.07670 ki taraf barhne ki sambhavana hai, jo mojooda bullish trend ke saath milta hai. Chhoti neeche ki sudhroon ke bawajood, kharidaron ne zyadatar raasta tay kiya hai, jo uptrend mein mazbooti ko darshaata hai.

Aaj ka market activity kuch neeche ki sudhroon ke saath guzri, haalaanki kharidaron ne EUR/USD ki harkat par qaboo rakha. Candlestick patterns ek bejura nazar ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo upar ki raftar mein ek waqtanfarzi rukawat aur majmooay ka mauqa dete hain. Magar, bullish tezi dobara shuru hone ki mumkin sambhavana hai, khaaskar 1.07720 ke ibratnak sath ki madad se, jo aane wale haftay mein 1.07700 ki taraf barhne ka zahir karta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders EUR/USD pair mein mazeed upar ki harkat ka intezar kar sakte hain jab tak uptrend jaari rahe. 1.07720 ke aaspaas majmooa aik markazi nukta hai traders ke liye, dakhil aur nikalne ke tajziay ke liye hawala faraham karte hue. Kharidaron ka faelan qaim rahne ke sath, 1.07700 tak pohanchne ka tajarba mumkin hai. Traders ko moazi market dynamics ki nigrani mein rahna chahiye, apne strategies ko tabdeel karke trading ke mauqe ka faida uthane ke liye jo mojooda bullish jazbaat mein mojood hai.

Aaj ke chhote nuqsanat ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ke liye overall outlook musbat hai, mazeed upar ki tezi ki mumkin sambhavana ke saath. Hoshmandi zaroori hai jab tak kharidaron ko qareebi harkat ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz karte hain, jari bullish harkat ke signs ke liye keemat ko achi tarah monitor karte hue, apni positions ko accordingly adjust karke munafa hasil karne ke liye jo tawana mahol mein.

Bazari halaat aur tez raaye ke naate, EUR/USD ka uptrend agle haftay mein mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Haal ki keemat ka amal yeh darust kar raha hai ke qeemat moqarar trend ke saath barh rahi hai. Aj ke market activity mein neeche ke correction dikhai gaye, lekin buyers ne EUR/USD ke qeemat ko barhaane mein qaboo rakha, jo ke uptrend ki buniyadi taqat ko darust karti hai.

Aaj ke market ki activity ko neeche ke correctionon ke saath dekha gaya hai, lekin buyers ne EUR/USD ki qeemat ka raasta barqarar rakha hai. Candlestick patterns jo ke ek mamooli stance darust karti hain, waqtan-fa-waqtan ke liye barhne ki rukawat ka ishaara deti hain, jo ke ikhrajat ke liye moqa faraham karte hain. Lekin, bullish momentum ka waqtan-fa-waqtan barqarar rehne ka khayal hai, khaaskar 1.07720 ke asbab se. Jab ke buyers market mein active rehte hain, to iska tasawur hai ke qeemat agle haftay mein 1.07700 ke qareeb ja sakti hai.

Agley barhaav ka imkan hai ke traders EUR/USD pair mein mazeed uthaao dekh sakte hain jab ke uptrend jaari rahe. 1.07720 ke asbab ke ird gird consolidation ek ahem point ki tarah kaam karta hai, traders ko dakhil aur nikalne ke points ke liye mukhtalif sooraton mein reference faraham karte hue. Jab ke buyers market mein mojood hain, to rasta 1.07700 ke taraf mumkin hai. Lekin, traders ko bazari dynamics ke taqazaat ke jawab mein alert rehna zaroori hai taake wo trading opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

Bullish sentiment ke hawi hone ke natayej mein, traders ko qeemat ka amal nazdeek se dekhte rehna chahiye taake mohtamim munafa hasil kar sakein.

EUR/USD pair ne US dollar ki taqat ke peechay tezi ke mahol mein maazi ke 1.06396 ke qareeb naoorun par girne ki wajah se khaas tor par nichle dabao ka samna kiya hai, jo naye darjat ke naye low ko darsata hai. Is niche ke rukh ko mukhtalif factors se jora ja sakta hai, jin mein pehli baat US dollar ki mazbooti ka jaari rehna hai. Karobarion ne Federal Reserve ki istaqlalat ko dobara ghoorna shuru kiya hai, special interest rates par qadmon ka moqa par roshni dalte hue. Federal Reserve, jise amooman sirf "Fed" kehte hain, America ke monetary policy ka nigrani karne wali authority hai. Jab bhi Federal Reserve interest rates ko tabdeel karta hai, ya uske dar ko modify karta hai, to iska asar dollar ki keemat par padta hai. Kam interest rates dollar ko kamzor kartay hain, jabke unka barhna iski mazbooti ko barhata hai. Is dafa, Federal Reserve ne interest rates par izafa kiya, jo dollar ki mazbooti ko darust karne mein madadgar sabit hua. Is ke ilawa, siyasi hawalaat bhi iske neeche makhsoos role ada kar sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions, trade agreements, aur bazaar mein kisi muddat ke doraan kuch bhi naya aane wala hona, sab is currency pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Brexit jaise bade se bade geopolitical events ya phir America aur Europe ke darmiyan ke taqat ke muamlat is currency pair ke liye mazi mein significant asrat dikhate hain.


Mukhtalif deson ke economic indicators bhi is currency pair ke movement ko asar andaz ho sakte hain. Jab Europe ya America mein economic indicators strong hote hain, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, ya phir consumer confidence, tab currency pair mein taraqqi dikh sakti hai. Technical analysis bhi is situation ka hissa hai. Traders aur investors ek number of technical indicators aur chart patterns ka istemal karte hain taake woh market trends aur price movements ko samajh sakein. Moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur chart patterns jaise ki head and shoulders ya double tops, sab is analysis ka hissa hote hain.
Aakhri tor par, market sentiment bhi aham factor hai. Jab market mein pessimism hai, ya investors ne dollar ke liye kam confidence dikhaya hai, tab ye pair niche ki taraf jhuk sakta hai. Ye sentiment political, economic, aur social factors par depend karta hai. In sabhi factors ka milaap ek saath EUR/USD pair ke movement ko determine karta hai. Isliye, traders aur investors ko market conditions, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events par chaukanna nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake woh sahi aur munasib trading decisions le sakein.

Filhal, EUR/USD pair aik tight range mein phansa hua hai jab ke investors umeed se intezar kar rahe hain ke March ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data jari hoga. Ye data ahem wazan rakhta hai kyun ke ye maeeshat ke inflation levels par qeematdar insights faraham karta hai, jo ke central banks, jaise ke Federal Reserve, ke faislon par asar daal sakta hai. Charts par, pair 50, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke markazi levels ke darmiyan gumrah hai. Ye moving averages traders ke liye ahem tools hote hain jo market ke raaste ko mukhtalif timeframes par samajhne ke liye istemal karte hain. Traders CPI data release ke liye intezaar karte huye, keenly EUR/USD pair ko in markazi moving average levels ke sath kis tarah se interact karta hai, isay teht-o-taarah nazar rakhte hain. Pair ke rawayyaat in SMAs ke sath market sentiment aur raah ke potential shifts ke bare mein kuch hints de sakta hai.
Jab market CPI data aur ECB meeting ka intezar karta hai, EUR/USD pair zyada tar apne mojooda range ke andar ehtiyaat ke sath trade karta rahega. Magar, jab ye events unfold honge, hum mazeed volatility aur pair ke raaste mein potential shifts ka intezar kar sakte hain. Traders ko hoshyaar rehna hoga aur apne strategies ko is market-moving events ke jawab mein mutabiq adjust karna hoga. Is asset ke liye daily chart ka analysis challenging hai qyunke confusing candlestick formations mojood hain. Ye candlesticks aik clear trend ko pehchanna mushkil banate hain. Mazeed, asset ek liquidity zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke masla ko mazeed complicated banata hai. Is liquidity zone ke andar, higher prices ka inkaar dikhane wali candles hain (up price rejection) aur aik downtrend line hai jo qeemat par downward pressure dalti hai. Agar qeemat in rukawaton ko paar na kar sake, to ye ek selling opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai. Magar, agar qeemat in bearish barriers ko tor le, to ye investors aur traders ko buy positions kholne ke liye attract kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum, EUR/USD apni chhoti se izafa ko dekh kar 1.0750 ke qareeb ek tang channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai jo ke peer ko chhote muqarrar hone ke baad hai. Germany se aae factory orders ke mayoos kun data ne euro ke izafe ko roka jabke investors central bankers ke comments par nazr rakhte rahe. 4 ghantay ke chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 60 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo nazdeeki muddai se izafe ka nuqsan dikhata hai. Neeche, 1.0750 (200-period simple moving average, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) ko aham support ke tor par line up kara gaya hai pehle 1.0720 (50-period SMA) aur 1.0700 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) ke baad. Muqablay 1.0790-1.0800 (Fibonacci 50% retracement), 1.0830 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) aur 1.0900 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) par mojood hain. EUR/USD ne Monday ko high-level data releases ke mojoodgi mein rahar nahi payi. Jabke risk sentiment mein behtar hone se US dollar ko talash karne mein mushkil hui, Federal Reserve ke afsoos karne se dollar ne apne nuksan ko had se zyada karne se roka. Mazeed taqatwar rozgar market ke baabat, Fed ko abhi bhi yeh samajhne ke liye waqt hai ke kya inflation uski 2% target ki taraf girega, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne kaha. Iske ilawa, NY Fed President John Williams ne note kiya ke jab mahinayana inflation print buland aate hain toh ye pareshani ka baabat hai. Din ke pehle hisse mein, Germany se aane wale data ne dikhaya ke factory orders March mein mahinayana buniyadi bunyadon par 0.4 percent gir gaye. Ye reading market ki 0.5% izafe ke liye umeedein se behtar nahi aayi aur euro par bhaari pad gayi. Behtar stock index futures ke isteemaal mein, early European session mein US ke stock index futures barabar trade kar rahe hain. Agar bade Wall Street indices Monday ke izafe ko bardasht kar paate hain, toh USD ko apne competitors ke khilaf qaim rehne mein mushkil hogi aur EUR/USD ko buland jaane dene diya ja sakta hai.

Outlook for USDX
USDX meri tawaqqoaat ko pura karne me nakam raha kiyunkeh maine nichli satah ki ek aur tazah kari ki peshan goi ki thi ta keh ham 2 me wave 3 dekh sakein. Halankeh, aisa lagta hai keh wave ne apni taskil khatam kar di hai. Yahi wajah hai keh qimat dobara badhne lagi. Iske pas ek nayi bulandi tak pahunchne ka har mauqa aur haalat maujud hain. Is tarah, mujhe C me 3 me m wave ke taur par izafe ki tawaqqo thi. Khas taur par, wave waqai me badi ho sakti hai. Halankeh, mujhe nahin lagta hai keh index 125.00 tak chadha jayega, lekin iske pas 120.00 tak pahunchne ka har mauqa hai. Agar qimat ek nayi nichli satah par pahunch jati hai to, isme girawat jari rahne ka imkan hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound sterling ne hamein hairan nahin kiya, jaisa keh maine kayi bar zikar kiya hai keh qimat 1.2530 se niche gir jayega. Mayusi sirf yah hai keh mai chote order kholne me nakam raha. Qimat na sirf zikar kardah satah se settle ho gayi hai, balkeh yah pahle hi 25 ke aidad o shumar se niche trade kar rahi hai. Iske alawa, maindi ka dawab barqarar hai. Isme me koi hairat ki bat nahin hai kiyunkeh Americi dollar ka qadar ab bhi badh raha hai.
Meri tejarati hikmat amli wahi rahti hai. Mai abhi bhi mandi ke mauqe ki tawaqqo kar raha hun. Agar qimat kam az kam 1.2575 tak pahunch jati hai to, mai ek bar fir short jane ki koshish karunga.

EUR/USD D1 Timeframe:

Maujooda EUR/USD jodi ki harkat ko ya to 1.0806 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ya phir 1.0865 ke resistance level ki taraf barhne ki ragbat dikhayi jati hai. Ye ahem satahain ek munasib trading setup ki pehchan ke liye sabar ka talabgar hoti hain, jo agle trading rukh ka tasleem karna mein ahem kirdar ada karegi. Halankeh ye sambhavna hai ke ye resistance satahain paar ho jayein aur 1.9007 tak ooncha maqsad nishana banayein, lekin aise halat par mukhtalif factors ka bohot bara asar hota hai, jin mein market ki halat aur prices ka mukhtalif doorbeen nishanaon par pratikriya shamil hai, khaaskar chalti hui khabro ke nateejay mein. Ek doosre manzar mein, agar price 1.0696 ke support satah tak pohanchti hai, to ek doosra mumkin rasta ye ho sakta hai ke ye satah ke neeche ek jamawar daur mein aa jaye, aur phir neeche ki rukh ki jaari rahe. Ye doosra mansooba pehchanata hai ke prices jamawar bana sakein aur urja jama kar sakein, phir apni southward harkat ko dubara jaari karein. Agar price 1.0657 ke support satah tak pohanchti hai, to doosra mumkin manzar ye ho sakta hai ke price is satah ke neeche jamawar bana le, phir apni neeche ki rukh ki taraf jaari rahe. Traders ko mutaharrik market dynamics aur price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko barabar karne aur adapt karne ki zaroorat hai.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe:

Dusri taraf, price ke movement ke liye ek doosra manzar ye ho sakta hai ke jodi 1.0611 ke support level tak pohanch jaye. Is manzar mein, traders ko price ke is satah ke neeche jamawar bane rehne ki sambhavna ka tayyar rehna chahiye, phir shayad neeche ki rukh jaari rahe. Ye ehtiyaat bhari approach traders ko mutaharrik market dynamics ke mutabiq adapt hone aur mukhtalif haalaat par raaye istemal karne ki izazat deta hai. Agar price 1.0449 ke support level tak pohanchti hai, to neeche ki rukh ki jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai, jisme price ke is satah ke neeche jamawar banne ke baad phir neeche ki taraf jaari rahe. Market ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna aur price harkaton mein potental tabdiliyon ke mutabiq trading strategies ko adjust karna ahem hai.

EUR/USD pair ke tafseeli tajziya se saaf hota hai ke iski qeemat par mutada aur lambi muddat mein farq hai. Chand turi mein, EUR/USD pair ka supply area 1.0900 se guzra nahi, jo ke bullish momentum ki kamzori ka saboot hai. Yeh ishaara hai ke market mein taqat kamzor ho rahi hai aur mazeed neechay rawana ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 150 dinon ki moving average MA line ka istemal bazaar ke ehsas mein numindari ka bara tabadla darust karta hai. Agar yeh line sakhti se guzarti hai, to yeh bearish trend ka ishara hai aur market mein mazeed kami ka saboot hai. Yeh numindagi ka barah-e-rast aur barah-e-mandaraz hota hai ke kis raaste ki taraf market rawana ho rahi hai. Mumkinah taqat ko dekhtay hue, agar EUR/USD pair ka supply area 1.0900 ko paar nahi karta, to yeh dawa kiya ja sakta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh tajziya tijarati faislon ko samajhnay mein madadgar hota hai aur investors ko sahi samay par apni strategies ko tabdeel karne ki salahiyat deta hai. Is tafseeli tajziya se maloom hota hai ke EUR/USD pair ke qeemat mein tabdiliyan hone ki sambhavna hai aur traders ko market ke mukhtalif hawalaat ka ehtemal rakhta hai. Raqamati ufuq aur bazaar ki karkardagi ko samajh kar, traders apni trading strategies ko sahi kar sakte hain aur nuqsan se bach sakte hain.

Yeh tajziya bazaar ke halat aur trend ko samajhnay mein madadgar hai aur investors ko sahi faislon mein madad faraham karta hai. Taqat aur kamzoriyon ka tajziya karke, traders apni trading positions ko behtar banate hain aur market ki liye behtareen mouqaat talash karte hain.

Outlook for EUR/USD
Char-ghante ke chart par euro/dollar ke jode ka rujhan niche ki taraf ho gaya hai. Traders ko is haqiqat ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Maine short positions kholne ke liye kayi ishare diye. Mai un me se aap ko do dunga. Ek bar fir, RVI indicator niche ki taraf ulat gaya, jabkeh OsMA sabz ilaqe ko chor kar surkh me dakhil ho gaya. 1.0650 ki satah ko paar karne ke bad qimat me kami ka andazh lagaya ja sakta hai. Agar qimat is faasle ke nasf se zyada ko paar kar jati hai to, khole gaye chote orders munafa laa sakte hain. Stop-loss order ko breakeven point par le jana behtar hai.

مئی 8 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، کرنسی مارکیٹ میں خطرے کی بھوک بڑھانے کی کوئی مجبوری وجوہات نظر نہیں آئیں اور، اگرچہ اسٹاک مارکیٹیں بڑھ رہی تھیں، یہ پیر کی بلندیوں سے پیچھے ہٹ گئی۔ یورو میں 15 پپس کی کمی ہوئی۔ پیر کی صورت حال نے خود کو دہرایا – قیمت بیلنس اشارے لائن سے گر گئی۔ 16 اپریل کو شروع ہونے والی اصلاح کا امکان ختم ہو گیا ہے، اور اب یورو درمیانی مدت میں کمی کو دوبارہ شروع کرنے کی تیاری کر رہا ہے۔



ایک بار جب قیمت 1.0724 پر قریب ترین سپورٹ کی خلاف ورزی کرتی ہے، تو یہ 1.0636/56 کی ہدف کی حد تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ اگلا، ہم قیمت کے حد سے تجاوز کرنے اور جوڑے کے 1.0567 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف آنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ اس وقت، مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی حرکت کو روک رہا ہے – اس کا الٹ جانا غیر یقینی لگتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن 1.0724 پر سپورٹ تک پہنچ گئی۔ یہ ممکنہ طور پر کمی میں ممکنہ سست روی کی وجہ ہے، کیونکہ سطح کو حمایت حاصل ہوئی ہے۔ اس کے علاوہ، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن ڈاؤن ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری کی حد تک پہنچ گئی۔ حمایت کی خلاف ورزی کرنے کے لیے ایک اچھی وجہ کی ضرورت ہے۔ آج، تین ایف. او. ایم. سی. ممبران (جیفرسن، کولنز، کک) کی تقریریں اور 10 سالہ امریکی حکومتی بانڈز کی $42 بلین کی نیلامی تحریک فراہم کر سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD pair ka ab tak ka taaruf USD ki taqat ke muqablay mein giravat se guzarta hua hai. Pichle 1.06396 ke qareeb darjat par giravat ne isay naye darjat ke naye low tak le gaya hai. Is nichle rukh ko samajhne ke liye, kuch mukhtalif factors ka jhoota lagta hai, jin mein pehli baat to yeh hai ke US dollar apni mazbooti ka sabab ban raha hai. US dollar ki mazbooti mein izafa hone ka sabab ye ho sakta hai ke Federal Reserve ne apni monetary policy ko tight karne ki tawajjo di hai, jo ke investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Iske ilawa, economic data jo ke US ki recovery ko darust karte hain, bhi dollar ko taqat deta hai.

Doosra factor ho sakta hai geopolitical tensions ya global economic uncertainty, jo ke dollar ki safe haven status ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Jab global markets mein uncertainty hoti hai, log dollar ki taraf rujoo karte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Teesra, Eurozone ki khud ki economic conditions bhi is giravat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Eurozone mein kisi bhi tarah ki economic slowdown ya political instability, Euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko nichayi le ja sakta hai.

Aakhri tor par, forex market ki speculation bhi is giravat mein kirdar ada kar sakti hai. Jab traders ya investors mehsoos karte hain ke dollar ki qeemat barhne wali hai, woh apne positions ko dollar ki favor mein adjust karte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. In tamam factors ke milne se, EUR/USD pair ne nichle dabao ka samna kiya hai, aur is giravat ka ant abhi tak nahi nazar aata. Ye nichle rukh mukhtalif dynamics se jura ho sakta hai, lekin asal tor par, US dollar ki mazbooti aur global economic conditions is ke peechay badi roshni dalti hain.