یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

مئی 9 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو ایک پرسکون حالت میں تھا، جیسا کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر نے درست طور پر خبردار کیا تھا، آہستہ آہستہ روزانہ چارٹ پر گر رہا تھا۔ امریکی ٹریژری کی نیلامی سے ڈالر مضبوط نہیں ہوا۔



صورت حال وہی ہے - قیمت 1.0724 پر سپورٹ پر قابو پانے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے، جبکہ مارلن نیچے کی طرف جانے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے، جس سے یورو کو 1.0636/56 کی ہدف کی حد تک پہنچنے میں مدد ملے گی۔ اس حد کو عبور کرنے سے 1.0567 کا ہدف کھل جائے گا۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس (سرخ) اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. (نیلے) انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی سمت طے کر چکا ہے اور قیمت کو نیچے لانے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.0724 پر سپورٹ سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ جوڑی کی کمی کو تیز کر سکتا ہے۔


.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Mazid se mazid darusti se zyada mazid umeedon ko paish karte hue, jo ke maamlaat ko US markazi bank ki siyasat ko poora karne ki nishandahi hai jab tak tareef shuda muamlat par kifayat shuru nahin hoti, aise ma'amoolat ne mad-e-nazar 1.0726 tak EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat mein bhedaal paida kiya, juma ke trading mein, pehle se hi euro ke liye is haftay ka sab se ahem waqea qarar dekar. Euro/dollar ke keemat ke faide hafte ki ibteda mein, jo ke 1.0885 tak rukaavat tak pahunch gaye, America mein tareef parhne ke baad gaayab ho gaye. Unite mad-e-nazar kar ke us United States mein buland tareef ne Europer Central Bank ko june mein khaarij kar diya. America mein zyada tareef ki mukhtalif maoishiyati ashnaai ke khatrat se mad-e-nazar ke upar dabaao barh raha tha, jabke European Central Bank ko umeed thi ke yeh waqt par kam ho jaayega.
Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, America ke tareef ke mutabiq, dollar ke keemat ne baqi saray aham currencies ke muqablay mein shadeed izafa kiya. United States mein tareef ne March mein mahinay ke hisaab se 0.4% record kiya, jo ke saalana tabdil ko 3.5% tak le gaya, jo ke pehle se 3.2% se upar tha February mein. Core components, "super core" aur khidmatat ne dikhaya ke ghar ki tareef par upar ke dabaao barh rahe hain, America ke Federal Reserve ne ummeed ki thi ke yeh waqt par ghat jaayega.

Forex trading ke mutabiq, market ke sab se mashhoor currency pair ki nuqsaan tareef is waqt tak barh gayi hai, jabke tareef ke baad asliyat, market ne America ke Federal Reserve ke siyasat ke baare mein ek interest dar ke khatir kam kar diya. Haqeeqat mein, tareef ke July mein bhi kam hui hai, jabke September sab se zyada mutawaqqa tareek hai shuru karne ke liye. Aam tor par, future market show karta hai ke investors ab saal ke aakhir tak kareeb 45 basis points ki kami ka daam laga rahe hain, jabke yeh figure sirf ek din pehle kareeb 70 basis points tha.

Aaj ke Euro ke baray mein Umeedain US dollar ke mutabiq:

Jaisa ke main pehle keh chuka hoon, Euro ke keemat ka movement US dollar ke khilaaf 1.0800 ke nafsiyati level ke neeche bears ke trend ko mazboot karega. Main ne America ki tareef aur US Federal Reserve Bank ki aakhri meeting ke minutes ka ishtirak aur tanqeed ki kafi zikr kiya hai. Haqeeqat mein, dollar ke liye momentum zyada tha aur ab yeh nahi hai. Agla sahara 1.0700 hai, jo ke bears ke position ko mazboot karta hai, aur agar European Central Bank aaj apne sakht hone ka andaza chhod deta hai, to support levels 1.0655 aur 1.0580 ki taraf chalne ke mauqe ho sakte hain, jo ke mukhtalif technical indicators ko mazboot oversold saturation ke level tak le jaayega.

Main abhi bhi yakeen rakhta hoon ke eurodollar ke liye kisi bhi faide ka samay mehdood hoga aur lambi der tak nahi chalega.

EUR/USD ka rate teesri session tak gir sakta hai, Thursday ke Asian session mein 1.0750 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. America ki Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko buland rakhne ki umeed par dollar qeemat mein izafa ho raha hai. Uper ki taraf, EUR/USD ke samne pehla resistance May ki unchi par 1.0812 hai (May 3), jo ke mid-100-day SMA 1.0834 se pehle ata hai. aur April ki unchi 1.0885 (April 9). Iske upar March ki unchi 1.0981 (March 8) hai, pehle weekly ki unchi 1.0998 (January 11), sab se pehle psyhological level 1.1000 se pehle. Niche dekha jaye to, 2024 ki kamzor 1.0601 ki tor par guzarna November 2023 ki kamzor 1.0516 (November 1) ki taraflautne ka ishara de sakta hai. Jab ye ilaqa clear ho jaye, to spot weekly ki kamzor 1.0495 (October 13, 2023) aur 1.0400 ke round milestone se pehle challenge kar sakta hai 2023 ki kamzor 1.0448 (October 3). 4 ghanton ki chart mein ye jora kuch stable range mein dakhil ho raha hai. Iss ke sath, pehla upar ka barrier 1.0812 par hai, jo ke 1.0885 ke baad ata hai. Intehai pehla support 1.0735 pesh karta hai 1.0649 aur 1.0601 ke samne. Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum ko khoya aur sub-50 zone mein wapas aya hai. America ke mukhtalif maturities ke bond yields ne dollar ko ek musbat session mein lead kiya jab ke investors Federal Reserve ke hal hukam ko samajh rahe thay ke woh interest rates ko barqarar rakhe, sath hee ba



karta hai 1.0649 aur 1.0601 ke samne. Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum ko khoya aur sub-50 zone mein wapas aya hai. America ke mukhtalif maturities ke bond yields ne dollar ko ek musbat session mein lead kiya jab ke investors Federal Reserve ke hal hukam ko samajh rahe thay ke woh interest rates ko barqarar rakhe, sath hee bank easing ke sath. September ke era ki bhi aik mumkinat hai. Baad mein, CME Group ke FedWatch tool ne September 18 ki meeting mein 25 bps rate cut ke 50% ke qareeb chance ko dekha. Keematon ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed ke sath, Federal Reserve ne rate adjustments ke liye apni khuliyaat ka izhar kiya, darustagi aur ma'ashiyati mustahkamiat kebarqarar rakhe, sath hee bank easing ke sath. September ke era ki bhi aik mumkinat hai. Baad mein, CME Group ke FedWatch tool ne September 18 ki meeting mein 25 bps rate cut ke 50% ke qareeb chance ko dekha. Keematon ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed ke sath, Federal Reserve ne rate adjustments ke liye apni khuliyaat ka izhar kiya, darustagi aur ma'ashiyati mustahkamiat ke mumkin khatron ke bare mein pareshaniyon ki bunyad par. Is ke ilawa, markazi bank ne balance sheet ko kam karne ke raftar mein dhimi honay ka ishara diya, Chair Jerome Powell ne ek rate hike ko namumkin qarar diya

EUR/USD: Price outlook

EUR/USD pair ab 1.0736 par trade ho raha hai, jis mein ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai jo ek dhire dhirey market ke harekatein darust kar raha hai. Magar, ishaaraat keh rahe hain ke aane waale dino mein aik ahem harekatein ho sakti hain. Maamlaat jaise ke maaliyat ke data releases, siyasi waqiyat, aur markazi bankon ki policies is harekatein par asar daal sakti hain. Karobarion ko in taraqqiyan qareeb se dekhna chahiye taake wo market mein kisi bhi ahem tabdili ka andaza laga sakein aur uska jawab dein.

Is haftay ke shuru se aik numaya taraqqi hui hai aur southern rukh ki qeemat ki dynamics mein ausat hissa: mojooda waqt mein josh shuru mein kami ke shuru mein ziada hai. Tawaqo ki ja rahi hai ke aaj currency pair specifically southern rukh mein mude ga, jo ke final daily candle mein currency pair ka acha giravat ke tor par tasdeeq kiya jayega. Qareebi support level 1.07 ke gol star par aur 1.0685 par bhi waqe hain, dono hi maamlat target giravat ke liye intezar kiye ja rahe hain, jo aaj tawaqo ki ja rahi hai.



Humare liye yeh agle keemat darjey par hota hai: 1.07269. Main market mein dakhil hota hoon mojooda waqtframe par ya market ke daaman ko khareedne se pehle ek chhoti si keemat wapas layne ke liye ek minute ka intezar karta hoon. Munafa ke liye, main woh classic risk-reward ratios ka saath deta hoon jo asar daar sabit hue hain: 1/2 ya 1/3, aur main unhein doosri techniques ke saath pura karta hoon. Maslan, haliyat market volatility aur aggression par depend kartay huay position ko behtar karne ke liye trailing stop ka istemal karta hoon. Bunyadi baat yeh hai ke waqt par tabdeel hone wali shuruaati sharaaiton ko apna liya jaye. Stop loss ko market ke akhri intehai se kam se kam pandrah pips par set karta hoon, kabhi kabhi main ise paanch pips se barha sakta hoon, lekin zyada nahi. Sabhi colleagues ko badi munafa ki tamanna karta hoon.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD pair ab 1.0736 par trade ho raha hai, jo ek bearish trend aur dheemi market movement ka ishara hai. Magar, isharay aane wale dino mein kisi ahem harkat ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Factors jaise ke ma'ashiyati data releases, siyasi o ijtimai waqiat, aur central bank policies is harkat par asar daal sakte hain. Traders ko in taraqqiyan nazar andaz karne aur market mein kisi bhi mumkinah tabdeeliyon ka jawab dene ke liye in taraqqiyan ko nazdeek se monitor karna ho sakta hai.

Bilkul. Ma'ashiyati indicators, siyasi o ijtimai waqiat, aur central bank actions par qareebi nazar rakhna traders ke liye ahem hai taake woh potential market fluctuations se agay reh sakein. Ye proactive approach unhe apni strategies ko mutabiq tarteeb dene aur tabdeeli hui market dynamics ke jawab mein maloomat par mabni faisley lene ki ejazat deta hai.



Bilkul sahi. Agahi aur tabdili mein la tadaad hone ke sath traders financial markets ke complexities mein pur umeed daakhil ho sakte hain. Ye proactive approach unhe market movements ka intezar karne mein madad karta hai aur unhe apni strategies ko mutabiq tarteeb dene ki ejazat deta hai, aakhir mein unki kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barhata hai.

Hum yahan shayad kuch waqt tak is tang range mein kaat rahe honge, yahan positions ikhata ho rahi hongi mazeed harkat ke liye. Aap is ke kareeb darja 1.0756 ko kharid nahi sakte, aur na hi support par bech sakte hain. Yeh samajhna hai ke abhi aapko bazaar ke bahar rehna chahiye aur waqiaat ki taraqqi ka intizaar karna chahiye. Agar 1.0756 ke breakout ke surat mein, zyada taur par ek izaafa ki lehar aane ka imkaan hai, jo is dafa phir bhi target Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq darja 161.8 tak pahunchegi. 1.0737 ke neeche keemat ka theek karna yeh dikhayega ke zyada taur par keemat neeche jaegi ek ascending line ki taraf jo ke do waves ke do neechon se draw ki gayi hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:
USD/EUR ki keemat mei girawat ke mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se, Wednesday ke European trading session ke shuruaati marahil mein 1.0725 ke qareeb qaim rahi. Haal hi mein, is shadiyon ne ek janib dhaal rahi rahi, jo economic data ki taqseem se le kar central banks ki izhaar kiye gaye jazbaat tak ke kai factors ke ek aghaz se mushtamil hai.

EUR/USD ki Bunyadiyat:

Mukhtalif central banks ke tajziyat ke izharat se, America aur Europe ke services sector mein ziddi keemat ke moment ne Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate cuts ke muntazir hony ke waqt ko nihayat mutasir kiya hai. Jab ECB ke afraad June mein ECB ke base lending rate ko kam karne ka ittefaq ko manind mante hain, to Fed ke afraad ke rukh ka waqt guzarne ke bare mein shak hai. Is central bank ke jazbaat mein ikhtilaf ki nashriyat ne haal hi mein US Dollar ka kamyabi se bahar nikalne ka asal sabab ban gaya hai aur EUR/USD pair ke bearish momentum ko phukne ka sabab ban gaya hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

EUR/USD ke pairing ne ahem mark 1.0700 ke par kar ke surprise Bear Flag pattern ke hone ka sawaal uthaya hai. Ye ghaflat se kiye gaye departure ne market sentiment mein be ittefaqi ka mahaul daala hai. Tawaqqo ki jaa rahi bearish pattern ka paydaishi na hona, aik palat ki sambhavana ko taqwiyat deta hai. Ye shift short-covering maneuvers ke aghaz se fuel ki ja rahi hai, jo pair ke prospects mein ek taaza surat-e-haal ko jaga sakta hai.

Agla target pichli kam high se resistance par hai, jahan pe ek ibtidaati target 1.0755 par tay kiya gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) daily chart par 1.0805 par ahem resistance pesh karte hain, jo upar ki harkat ke liye potenti hurdles ki alaamat hain. Magar, 16 April ki kam se kam 1.0600 ke neeche girne ke saath, Bear Flag hypothesis ko tasdeeq karega, jo ek neeche ki manzil ka aghaz ka elaan karega.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD pair ab aik ahem mor par hai, jahan
1.0710 ke darjaat pivotal point ke tor par ubhar rahe hain. Agar yeh level paar ho gaya toh sambhav downward movements ke liye ahem asar rakhta hai. Magar, 1.0600 ke upar ek faisla mand daily band hone ki soorat mein bullish upswing ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jahan tak tasavvur kiye gaye maqasid 1.0780 par set hain. Ehmiyat hai ke yeh bullish momentum key moving averages se takrao ka samna kar sakta hai, jo filhal 1.0826 ke aspaas mojood hain. Haal hi mein 1.0750 tak ki girawat ne jodi mein neeche ke movement ki qaimiyat par shak paida kiya hai. Tasavvur se mukhtalif Bear Flag pattern ke intezar se ghafil hone ne market ki jazbat mein anjaan pan ka silsila shamil kiya hai. Tasavvur ki gayi bearish shakl ke na zahir hone se, jodi ke rukh mein mukhalifat ka isharah hota hai. Karobari afraad nazar rakhte hain, market dynamics mein tabdili ke imkanat ka jaiza lete huye, aur apne strategies ko mutabiq kar rahe hain. Yeh ghumil aur naqabil e itminan doar forex
market ke manzar nama par mutazad hai.



Haal hi mein 1.0750 par giravat ne pair ki neechay ki manind gati ke mustaqbil par shak paida kiya hai. Mansoobah Bear Flag pattern se ghair mutawaqqa intizamiyat ne market sentiment mein ek lafz gari daal di hai. Intezar kiya gaya mutawaqa bearish pattern haqeeqat mein sabit nahi ho raha hai, pair ke rukh mein ek mukhtalif intezam ke liye barh raha hai. Karobari yeh halat ke karibi nazar rakh rahe hain, jismei bazar ki dynamics mein tabdeeli ka imkan hai aur apni strategies ko mutabiq kar rahe hain. Yeh shadeed halat ka dor talash aur tabdeel hone ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karti hai.

EUR/USD ka rate teesri session tak gir sakta hai, lekin ismein kai factors ka asar hota hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Thursday ke Asian session mein 1.0757 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, lekin is tarah ke predictions karna challenging hota hai. Ek reason hai ke economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates, currency pairs ke movements ko influence karte hain. Agar koi negative economic data release hota hai, toh USD strong ho sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD rate gir sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency pairs ko affect karte hain. For example, agar koi major political instability ho ya koi international conflict hota hai, toh investors risk ko avoid karne ke liye safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ki taraf move kar sakte hain. Market sentiment bhi important hai. Agar traders ko lagta hai ke Eurozone ki economy weak hai ya phir koi uncertainty hai, toh woh EUR sell kar sakte hain, jis se EUR/USD rate gir sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi traders ke liye important hoti hai. Price charts aur indicators ka istemal karke, traders support aur resistance levels ko identify karte hain, jin se woh potential price movements predict karte hain. Agar Thursday ke Asian session mein EUR/USD rate 1.0757 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, toh iska matlab hai ke market mein already kuch factors priced in hain. Lekin, yeh koi guarantee nahi hai ke rate teesri session tak waisa hi rahega. Market dynamics bahut hi fluid hote hain aur kuch bhi ho sakta hai. To conclude, EUR/USD ka rate teesri session tak gir sakta hai, lekin exact prediction karna mushkil hota hai. Economic data, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sabhi factors ko consider karna important hai agar kisi bhi currency pair ka future movement predict karna hai.

EURUSD, yaani Euro ka American Dollar ke muqablay mein exchange rate, aam taur par volatile hota hai lekin is din kisi khaas traction ko dekhne mein kami rahi. Jodi ka rate ek din mein 1.073 tak pahuncha, jo ki ek andaruni uchchai thi, lekin din ke aakhir mein vah apne vartaman star ke qareeb khatam hui. Is din ki movement ko samajhne ke liye, kuch mukhtasir factors ko ghor karna zaroori hai. Pehle toh, global economic conditions ka asar hota hai. Economic indicators, jaise ki GDP growth, employment rate, aur inflation, currency pairs ke rates par seedha asar daal sakte hain. Is din, kisi bhi mukhya economic news ya events ka asar kam lagta hai, jis se EURUSD ka rate stable raha. Dusra factor hai geopolitical tensions aur central bank policies. Kisi bhi desh ki political stability aur uski monetary policies currency rates par asar daalte hain. Is din, kuch mukhya geo-political events ya central bank announcements nahi hue, jis se EURUSD ka rate stable raha. Teesra factor hai trading volumes aur market sentiment. Agar trading volumes high hote hain aur market sentiment positive hai, toh currency pair ka rate tezi se badh sakta hai. Lekin agar volumes low hain ya market sentiment mixed hai, toh rate stable rehta hai. Is din, trading volumes aur market sentiment normal se kam the, jis se EURUSD ka rate stable raha. Chotha factor hai technical analysis. Technical analysis traders ko support aur resistance levels ke basis par trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai. Agar kisi currency pair ka rate kisi resistance level par aa jata hai, toh wahan se reverse ho sakta hai. Is din, EURUSD ka rate 1.073 tak pahuncha, jo ki ek resistance level tha, aur phir wapas neeche aa gaya. In sab factors ko mila kar dekhte hue, is din EURUSD mein zyada traction nahi hua. Market stability aur lack of major economic events aur geopolitical tensions ne rate ko stable rakha. Traders ko aise dino mein patience rakhna zaroori hota hai aur short-term fluctuations ko ignore kar long-term trends par focus karna chahiye.

Paschim ki Euro/Dollar (EUR/USD) jodi ne aik silsile ke baad 1.0725 ke qareeb qaim reh kar shuruati marhaley mein Wednesday ke Europi trading session mein taiz rahi. Halqat ke kuch pichle dino mein, ye jodi ek rastay ko tay karte hue dakheel hui hai jo ke maeeshat ke data ke phelane se le kar central banks ke izhar kiye gaye jazbaat tak ki aik milti julti numaindgi se bana hai.

EUR/USD ke Bunyadi Asaasat:

US aur Europe ke services sector ke andar ziddi qeemat ki momentum ne Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke base lending rate ke intezami rate cuts ke tajwiz ka samay ko intehai tor par asar andaz banaya hai. Halanke ECB ke afraad ECB ke base lending rate ko June mein khatam karne ka ittefaq par hain, to Fed ke afraad ke nazriya ke maamle mein na-pakistani mojud hai. Ye central bank ke jazbaat mein yeh ikhtilaf aik bunyadi sabab ban gaya hai jo US Dollar ke faida ko barhane wale primary tareeqay ke tor par samne aya hai aur haal ke hafton mein EUR/USD jodi ke bearish momentum ko barhane mein madad faraham kar raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD jodi ne 1.0700 ke ahem moqa par taraqqi kar ke, is ke neeche ka rasta sehat ka mutalaba utha diya. Is na-mutawaqqa rehnumai se market sentiment mein bebayani ka hawa maahol ban gaya hai. Mutawaqqa bearish pattern ka paish nazar na aana, aik rukh ki surat mein, aik ulti ki surat mein tabdeeli ke liye mumkinat ko hosla diya. Ye tabdeeli short-covering maneuvers ke aghaz ke zariye fuel hui hai, jo ke jodi ke imkaanat mein taraqqi ke jazbat ko jaga sakti hai.





Agla target peechli kam unchi se milta julta, jahan pehla target 1.0755 par set kiya gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) 1.0805 par ahem rukawat faraham karte hain, jo ke oopar ki harkat ke liye aik sancha deta hai. Magar, April 16 ke kam se kam low 1.0600 ke neeche ja kar bearish flag ki haisiyat ko tasleem karega, jo ke aik neeche ki rukh ki ibtida ka ishara deta hai.

Assalam o alaikum friends
Is haftay mein euro, US dollar ke khilaf mehfooz kiya, jab ke amreeki currency mukhtalif taur par kamzor hui. Ye kami us waqt aayi jab amreeki nayi jobs ki claimat mein izafa hua, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke umeedon ko phir se jaga diya. US mein naye be-rozgaar hone ki daleel se, investoron ka risk uthane ka jazba barh gaya jab ke amreeki mazdoori market mein kamzori ke nishaan nazar aaye. Ab rate cut ke liye market ki tawaqqaat darust hain, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke September ke intezaar mein 25 basis point ka khatra 70% hai. Saal ke ikhtitaam tak doosri khatra bhi buland hai, jo ke 67% hai. Euro khud bhi is haftay mein qeemat mein izafa karke 1.0790 tak pohanch gaya aur 200 dinon ka moving average test kiya. Lekin, euro ke haal ki chadhao ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators agle rukawaton ki ishaarat dete hain. 1.0788 resistance level ke qareeb daily candlestick chart ke mutabiq, mazeed urooj ki sargarmi ke liye mukhtalifon ka samna hai. Pair ko apni haal ki rukh ko jari rakhne mein bhi mushkilat hoti hai, jo ke haal ki 1.0600 ke qareeb ki harkat se mukhtalif hai. Dosri taraf, ek andaaza hai ke euro waqtan-fa-waqtan kum keemat par hai. EUR/USD ke liye aam trend 2023 mein ooper ki taraf raha hai, jabke 1.05 ke qareeb ek kamzori thi. Pichle mahine 1.06 tak ka giravat aise lagta hai ke ehtiyaat se khareedne walon ko mutasir kiya hai.

Technical manzar kuch mushkil hai. Jab ke euro ab key moving averages ke nichayi hai jo ke nichayi rukh ki taraf bhi hain, bullishon ki koshishen is rukawat ko torne ki hoti hain. Ye naye urooj ki mumkinat ko darust karta hai. Agay dekhte hue, EUR/USD mein lambay aur chhotay positions ke darmiyan mojooda toqyat ke sabhi nazren pair ke agle rukh par hain. Donon taraf 1% ke kisi numaya harkat ne lambi dair tak ka trend shuru karne ka ishara de sakti hai. Agar euro 1.0850 ke ooper nikalta hai, toh ye 1.1050 ki taraf barh sakta hai mazeed faiday ke sath. Ulta, agar 1.0650 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh khareedne walon ko phir se ikhata karne par majboor kar sakta hai aur mazeed kami ka bais bhi ho sakta hai.

Market mein price action ko nazar andaaz kiya ja raha hai, khaaskar 1.10328 ke resistance level ke ird gird, jahan aik ahem pin bar bana hai. Ye ishara karte hai ek mukhtalif moor par ya kam az kam aagey ki rukawat ka izhar. Agay dekhte hue, agar hafta 1.07564 ke critical level ke neeche mukammal hojata hai, to ye agle haftay mein mazeed neeche ki taraf rawanae ka manzar tayar kar sakta hai. Ye manzar zyada tarat resistance ke tor par amal kar chuka horizontal support 1.0736 ko dobara test karne ko dekhega, jahan price pehle upar jane se pehle gir gaya tha. Ye ahem hai ke 1.0675 ke support level ka zikar kiya jata hai, kyunke isne guzishta mein apni taqat ko sabit kiya hai ke price action ke liye ek ahem level hai. Ye level buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan aik ahem muqabla ho sakta hai, jiske bade trend ke liye asarat ho sakte hain. Traders in ahem levels ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain market ke rukh aur potential trading opportunities ke liye.

Resistance level 1.0736 mazeed price movement ke liye aik ahem rukawat sabit ho raha hai. Magar mazeed manazir ko ghor karne ki zaroorat hai. Agar price is resistance ko tor leti hai, to ye ek potential uptrend ki nishaani ho sakti hai, jo mazeed izafa ki taraf le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar resistance qaim rehta hai, to 1.0736 ke neeche breakdown ho sakta hai, jisse price mein kami ho sakti hai. Halqa resistance level ke oopar mojud horizontal resistance level ke saath, price abhi dabochayi position mein nazar a rahi hai. Traders in levels ko nazar andaaz kar rahe hain market ke agle rukh ko janna ke liye.

Retracement ke liye mazeed neeche rawanae ka fayda uthane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Magar bulls 1.06011 support level ke aas paas himmat dikha rahe hain, aik ulta isharay ki taraf. Ye manzar haal hi mein dekhe gaye barhne wale uptrend ke sath milta julta hai, jahan buyers ne mukhtalif support levels ko istiqamat se defend kiya hai. 1.06011 ke neeche girne ka ishara mazeed gehri retracement ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai agle baray support level 1.0550 tak, jahan mazeed buying interest nazar a sakti hai. Dosri taraf, mojooda levels se bounce hone ka manzar mojood hai jo intraday resistance levels ko 1.0690 aur 1.0726 pe dubara test kar sakta hai. Indicators ke hawale se, Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral territory ke qareeb hai, jo aik barabar market sentiment ki nishaani hai. Magar traders ko kisi bhi farq ya overbought/oversold conditions pe nazar rakhni chahiye jo potential momentum mein tabdili ke ishara kar sakti hain. Overall, pair ke liye nazar cautious bullish hai, agar key support levels jari rakhti jayein. Magar traders ko mutawazi rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko dyan mein rakhte hue adapt karna chahiye taake dynamic price action ko samajh sakein.

Post jo aap ne share kiya hai, forex market mein EURUSD jodi aur mumkinah harkaton par guftagu kar raha lagta hai. Yahan ek khulasa hai:

1. EURUSD Jodi Ka Tahlil:

• Kharidari krishan Euro ko 1.07 ke oopar qaim rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jabke farokht karne walon ko rukawat ka saamna hai.
• Mazeed upri harkat dekhne ke liye, kharidaron ko 1.08117 ke local maximum ke oopar majbooti hasil karni hogi.
• Is darjaat ko tor kar aur is par jamav ko barqarar rakhte hue mazeed izafa 1.08844 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
• Dollar par manfi data is upri harkat ko tezi se barha sakta hai.

1. Takneeki Tahlil:

• Qeemat ab bands ke darmiyan ilaqe mein hai, jo ek wazeh signal ke liye intezaar ka ishara deta hai.
• Fractal tahlil qeemat ki harkaton ke liye mumkinah maqamat ka zikr karta hai, haal hi ke fractal darjaat ko tor kar aur us par jamav ko barqarar rakhte hue mazeed upri harkat ke liye tawajjo ki darkaar hoti hai.
• Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke musbat ilaqe mein izafa ke intahi koshishen hain, lekin zyada tezi ke liye ek mazboot signal ki zaroorat hai.

Tahlil qeemat ki harkaton ke mumkinah raaste aur EURUSD jodi ke liye traders ke liye ahem darjaat ki tajwezat faraham karta hai.




EUR/USD H1 waqt frame

Main aapke post mein pure nizaam ke data ko shamil kar sakta hoon jo yahi kuch keh raha hai, medium-term level 1.0800 ka toot jaana matlab hai ke trend mein tabdeeli aa gayi hai. Lekin main isay zyada wazehi se tasdeeq kar sakta hoon. Jab hum ek neeche ki correction karte hain, to pehla level toota hua level 1.0800 ka imtehan hota hai, aur phir, jaise hi card girata hai, neeche aur ek peela level 1.0787 hota hai, jahan pe wapas chahiye hota hai. Aur yeh ke neeche kuch chheen ne ka waqt nahi mila, yahan main kuch aur shamil nahi kar sakta. Kyunki neeche mujhe kuch lautane ke liye nahi lagta, sirf 1.0800 ka darkhwast level hai, lekin yeh aapke level se uncha hai. Iske liye, main intezaar kar raha hoon ke hum 1.0800 ke darkhwast level ko le jaayein, aur phir agar hum 1.0787 ko bhi abhi tak le sakte hain, toh achha hoga aur hum keh sakte hain ke din kamiyab tha aur technical taur par sab kuch scheme ke mutabiq kaam kiya gaya. Main graph par dikhaoonga ke musalsal yeh hosakta hai, yeh itna gehra nahi hai, lekin yeh bhi na ho, aur uttar ko na torde.

EUR/USD

Bechne walon ne mojooda market scenario mein kharidne walon ko shikast de di hai. Is liye behtar hai ke market ke jazbat ko behtareen taur par pehchanen. Mazeed, bechne walay aane wale ghanton mein support zone ko tor sakte hain. Khas tor par, US trading session ke doran hum apna nafa nisbatan asani se hasil kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, market ke jazbat bechne walon ke favor mein lagte hain. Is liye apna trading plan mutabiq tayar karen.
Aur, bechne walay qaimati tor par apni qeemat ko barqarar khote ja rahe hain. Main is pair par 20 pips ka short target rakhte hue aik khareedari order afzal samjhta hoon. Is liye aik farokht position ko 1.0752 ke agle target ke sath tariq par pasand karta hoon. Yaad rakhen ke hum EUR/USD par trading karte waqt mukhtalif techniques istemal kar sakte hain kyunke stochastic oscillator doosra technical analysis tool hai jo traders ko EUR/USD market mein potential overbought aur oversold shorat ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai.

Relative strength index (RSI) doosra technical analysis tool hai jo traders ko EUR/USD market mein potential trend reversals ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai. Is ke ilawa, moving averages doosra mashhoor technical analysis tool hain jo traders ko EUR/USD market mein potential support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain.

Traders ko EUR/USD market mein kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye risk management principles ka majboot understanding hona chahiye. Jazbati control traders ke liye EUR/USD market mein kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ek zaroori sifat hai. Position sizing, yaani har trade par lagane ke liye munasib paisay ka intikhab karna, EUR/USD market mein risk management ka ek ahem pehlu hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur oscillators, trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain EUR/USD pair mein. News releases, jaise ke non-farm payrolls report, EUR/USD pair mein nami ke buland urooj mein wafir bharakat ka sabab ban sakte hain. Siyasi waqiat, jaise ke intikhabat ya referendum, EUR/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain. Kul mila kar, main aaj ke liye EUR/USD par bechne ki position ko 1.0762 ke chhote target ke sath pasand karta hoon.

Ek kamyabi se bhara Jumma mubarak ho.

EUR/USD ne din ke adhe hisse ke liye apni upri harkat jaari rakhi, jo kisi bhi wajah se manzoor nahi thi. Humne pehle bhi aapki tawajjo is baat par dilai hai ke is haftay zyadatar reports aur waqiat dollar ko madad faraham karne wale the. Jesa ke dekha gaya hai, bazaar ne euro ko bina kisi khaas wajah se khareedne ki apni pasandida fardani shuruh kar di hai. Khushqismat hai ke neechay ki janib jhukay waley trend line ne euro ki upri harkat ko rok diya. Abhi haal mein, lagta hai ke qeemat ne is nishan se muraad par ghatkar paitar dastiyab kiya hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke nichli harkat abhi tak mazboot hai aur jodi ne dobara neeche ki taraf rawana harkat jari rakh sakti hai. Kal, koi bhi ahem maasharti ya bunyadi waqiat nahi hue. Agar bazaar bas ek naye lambi dawam se kamzor harkat ke pehle momentum ikattha kar raha tha, toh yeh ya toh aaj ya Monday shuru ho jaye ga. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh jodi ek upri rukh par chale gi, aur hum dobara euro ko be-wajah izafa karne ka intezar kar sakte hain. 5-minute ke timeframe par kai trading signals utpann hue, lekin hareefiyat kaafi dilchasp thi. Ibtida mein, 1.0838 ke darjaat ko tor dia gaya, aur naye traders ko is signal par long positions kholne ke liye mouqa mila. Baad mein, jodi ne 1.0856 ke darjaat ko par kiya, lekin agle nishan tak nahi pohanch saki, is liye long position ko sham ke kisi bhi waqt manvai tor par band kar diya ja sakta tha. Munafa kuch kareeb 20 pips ka tha, jo ke din ke hareefiyat sirf 44 pips the, is liye yeh ek khush-haal nateeja tha. Jumeraat ko trading ke tajaweezat: Hourly chart par, nichli harkat qaim hai, lekin EUR/USD teesre din se upar sahi hui hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro aur girna chahiye, kyun ke qeemat ab bhi zyada hai, aur duniyawi trend nichi hai. Naqad bazaar hamesha jodi ko ek logic ke taur par na dekhna chahta hai, aur kabhi kabhi, yeh be-wajah izafa dikhata hai. Is haftay ke zyadatar bunyadi aur maasharti factors jodi par bhari hona chahiye. Aaj, qeemat trend line se takra gayi hai toh phir bearish tijarat karna mohtaj ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh nichli harkat tor di jaye gi, aur jodi pehle wapis hat sakti hai phir izafa karte hue.