یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Euro Ki Ubharti Raftar Jama Rahti Hai Jab Dollar Thak Jata Hai, ECB-Fed Rate Mukhālif Nazar Aata Hai:
Euro ke mukabley Amriki Dollar (EUR/USD) ne apna upar ka rukh barqarar rakha, Monday ko 1.0765 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke currency markets mein kamzor hone wale Amriki Dollar (USD) ki wajah se tha. Ye izafa muhimat ke economic indicators aur markazi bank ke strategies ke ird gird ghoomti rahe speculations ke sath aya. April ke liye riport ki gayi amriki naukriyon mein dher saari tezi Euro ki taqat ko barqarar rakhte hue ek ahem factor tha. Data ne ek itwaar ke mawafiq kamzor se muntakhib tezi ko kharij kiya, jo ke September tak shayad ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke qeemat ko kamiyat hone ka sabab bana sakta hai. Analysts ne is rukhsat hone ko aik mumkin economic hurdles ka ishara samjha, jis ne unko yeh sochne par majboor kya ke Fed taqatwar monetary measures ko barhane ke liye zyada lenient ho sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Fed ke darmiyan maeeshat polisiyon ke mukhālif honay ki qareebi ihtimam ne EUR/USD dynamics ko aur bhi ahem bana diya. Muaqqibeen ne note kiya ke jabke Fed tarmeemati policy ki taraf maeel lagta hai, ECB ka tawajju ka aapzai ho sakta hai. Is tarmeem ke intekhab ke mukhālif dene ka farq currency values par asar dal sakta hai. Euro ke haalat ko dekhte hue, kuch economists ne ECB ke Fed ke rate cuts ke sath mawafiq hone ki na-khushgawariyon ko Eurozone currency ke liye challange samjha. Euro ke is majmooe ke darmiyan ki bardaasht ishaara deta hai ke bazaar ke hissedaron ne markazi bank ke faislon aur economic data ke izhaarat ko mazid chakhtan rakha hai future currency trends ke pehloo par.

Euro Ko Pehle Mazbooti Ka Samna Hota Hai Phir Bhaari Raftar Dikhaati Hai
Euro apni maujooda position mein chal rahe hain to do aur resistance levels ka muqabla karte hue, jo ke ye dikhata hai ke ye dono barriers ko paar karne ke liye tayyar hai. Filhaal, 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) qeemat ke neechay hai, jo ke asasaat ko qareebi resistance points ki taraf barhane mein madad faraham karta hai.






Niche dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke 1.06005 par support ka amal muqarrar hai jo ke neeche ki harkat se bachane mein kaaragar sabit ho raha hai. Magar, aham lamha woh hota hai jab asasaat EMA-50 aur downtrend resistance line ke upar chadhti hai, jo ke iske upar ka rukh mazboot bana dega agar kehna hota hai ke selling pressure barqarar rahe.

dollar ke muqable mein mustaqil hone ki alaamat dikhayi, bawajood kuch fluctuations ke. Maqwi ma'ashiyati data se pehle se aameer currency ko taqwiyat mili, jo ke pichle din ke nuqsanat ko bahaal karne mein madad faraham ki. Magar, euro ne apni jagah qaim rakhne ka kaam kiya, thora sa 1.0600 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye mustaqilgi aai jabke amreeki ma'ashiyati khabron ke bawajood aai. Durable goods orders March mein expected se zyada barh gaye, jis se amreeki manufacturing mein musalsal izafa ka ishara mila. Mazeed, amreeki ma'ashiyat ko 2024 ke pehle quarter mein aik munasib izafa dar jari rakhna tawaqqa kiya ja raha hai, haalaanki peechle quarter se thoda dhimi raftar se. Magar, aise bhi nishaanat thay jo amreeki dollar ki izafa ko kam kar sakti hain. Barhne wale amreeki bond issuance ne thori si Treasury yields ko ooper ki taraf daba dia, aur core inflation ki tawaqqa hai ke mustaqil ya mazeed kam ho. Ye dollar ko investors ke liye kam kashish banane ka sabab bana sakta hai jo ziada returns ya inflation ke khilaaf hedge ki talaash mein hain. Agay dekhtay hain, EUR/USD ke liye ahem satah 1.0700 hai. Agar euro mustaqil tor par is satah ke ooper band kar sakta hai, to ye aik potential izafa ki taraf ishara hosakta hai 1.0750 aur us se bhi aage. Mukhtalif taur par, 1.0700 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyabi na milne se saal ke kamzor tajurba ki dohraai aur shayad hi 1.0448 tak giravat ho sakti hai, aik aham support satah. Ikhtitaar mein, euro aur dollar ab tug-of-war mein shamil hain. Jabke mustaqil US data ne pehle dollar ko taqwiyat di, euro ne mazbooti dikhayi. Anay wale ma'ashiyati indicators, khaaskar inflation data, is currency pair ke mustaqbil ki raah ka tayyun karne mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Isey mukhtasir tor par, EURUSD pichle kai sessions se rangebound raha hai, lekin momentum indicators se nazar andaaz hota hai ke bears ka abhi bhi asar hai. Aik taaza dhimi lehar shuru ki ja sakti hai, magar agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) aik death cross mukammal kar lein.

Euro Ki Ubharti Raftar Jama Rahti Hai Jab Dollar Thak Jata Hai, ECB-Fed Rate Mukhālif Nazar Aata Hai:
Euro ke mukabley Amriki Dollar (EUR/USD) ne apna upar ka rukh barqarar rakha, Monday ko 1.0765 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke currency markets mein kamzor hone wale Amriki Dollar (USD) ki wajah se tha. Ye izafa muhimat ke economic indicators aur markazi bank ke strategies ke ird gird ghoomti rahe speculations ke sath aya. April ke liye riport ki gayi amriki naukriyon mein dher saari tezi Euro ki taqat ko barqarar rakhte hue ek ahem factor tha. Data ne ek itwaar ke mawafiq kamzor se muntakhib tezi ko kharij kiya, jo ke September tak shayad ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke qeemat ko kamiyat hone ka sabab bana sakta hai. Analysts ne is rukhsat hone ko aik mumkin economic hurdles ka ishara samjha, jis ne unko yeh sochne par majboor kya ke Fed taqatwar monetary measures ko barhane ke liye zyada lenient ho sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Fed ke darmiyan maeeshat polisiyon ke mukhālif honay ki qareebi ihtimam ne EUR/USD dynamics ko aur bhi ahem bana diya. Muaqqibeen ne note kiya ke jabke Fed tarmeemati policy ki taraf maeel lagta hai, ECB ka tawajju ka aapzai ho sakta hai. Is tarmeem ke intekhab ke mukhālif dene ka farq currency values par asar dal sakta hai. Euro ke haalat ko dekhte hue, kuch economists ne ECB ke Fed ke rate cuts ke sath mawafiq hone ki na-khushgawariyon ko Eurozone currency ke liye challange samjha. Euro ke is majmooe ke darmiyan ki bardaasht ishaara deta hai ke bazaar ke hissedaron ne markazi bank ke faislon aur economic data ke izhaarat ko mazid chakhtan rakha hai future currency trends ke pehloo par.

Euro Ko Pehle Mazbooti Ka Samna Hota Hai Phir Bhaari Raftar Dikhaati Hai
Euro apni maujooda position mein chal rahe hain to do aur resistance levels ka muqabla karte hue, jo ke ye dikhata hai ke ye dono barriers ko paar karne ke liye tayyar hai. Filhaal, 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) qeemat ke neechay hai, jo ke asasaat ko qareebi resistance points ki taraf barhane mein madad faraham karta hai.






Niche dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke 1.06005 par support ka amal muqarrar hai jo ke neeche ki harkat se bachane mein kaaragar sabit ho raha hai. Magar, aham lamha woh hota hai jab asasaat EMA-50 aur downtrend resistance line ke upar chadhti hai, jo ke iske upar ka rukh mazboot bana dega agar kehna hota hai ke selling pressure barqarar rahe.

EUR/USD H4


Hum euro/dollar ka chaar ghanton ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab 1.0980 ke darje par ek maqami zyada aala takmeel ke baad, asal major ne dakhil kar diya aur aik pur sukoon nichi qeemat ka safar shuru hua, jis mein aik mazboot taqatwar murattab qeemat ka channel bana, jo dakshin ki taraf mazboot phailta hai. Ek aur support line se dobara peechay hatne ke baad darje 1.0600 (euro/dollar ke liye maqami kam se kam) ke, jis ke baad major ne correct growth ki taraf rukh kiya aur ab dakshini channel ke andar teesra shumali lehr hai. Is ke ilawa, growth ka correct wave ascending channel ke andar ho raha hai aur ab, jab ke 1.0710 ke darje par is ke ooper border se uchhal kar, joda dakshin ki taraf chala gaya hai aur ek correct decline ke liye support line - darja 1.0660 ki bulandiyon ki bulandi se bukhar aa raha hai. Us se, inqilab ka intizaar hai aur upper border ke continued growth tak, jo ke darje 1.0750 par takhminan ho gi. Is tarah, hum darja 1.0660 se lekar darje 1.0750 tak khareedte hain. Ooper, maine euro/dollar pair ke liye H4 chart par situaati ka tajziya kiya hai, aur ab main nisbatan adha ghanta ka chart kholna chahunga. Us par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par aik mazboot maqami kam se kam hai, jise bear ne kai martaba toorna ki koshish ki (kam az kam teen martaba tak), us ke baad pair north ki taraf muda aur phir aik ascending price channel bana, jismein euro/dollar 1.0696 par tijarat kiya jata hai. Moujooda darje se, hum zyadatar sahi direction mein girtay hain takay channel ke neeche ke border tak correct decline, jo ke darje 1.0680 par takhminan hota hai. Chart M30: Kal ek kaafi zyada ahem ma'asharti khabron ka din hai. Moscow waqt ke 15.00 par US GDP jari kiya jata hai aur is nisbatan 3.4 feeasadi se 2.5 feeasadi tak kami ka imkaan hai. Isi waqt, ibtidai apleekashan ke liye darkhwaston ki tadad jari ki jati hai aur is nisbatan 212K se 214K tak izafa ka imkaan hai. Jaise ke hum dekhte hain, US ki maeeshat ke dawat ka imkaan hai, aur is kamzori ke intizaar par, major currencies barh rahi hain.

Market for the Euro (EUR) versus the US Dollar (USD), jo ke EUR/USD ke naam se mashhoor hai, Monday ko ghair independent tha. Keemat din khatam hone ke qareeb 1.0720 ke qareeb thi baad az fluctuating within a limited but volatile range. Ye bechaini barhti hui hai investors ki taraf se jo ke US Federal Reserve ki speech ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Jahan zyadatar log is haftay interest rates ko wahe rakhte hain, traders ko umeed hai ke FED ne kab interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai is ke bare mein kuch hint de. Mojudah tajziayat ke mutabiq September mein interest rate kaatne ka 58% chance hai. Bazaar ki pareshaniyon mein shamil honay ke liye, Germany ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) April mein 0.5% tak barh gaya compared to the previous quarter. Ye 0.4% se izafah hai mahine ke pehlay, lekin phir bhi umeed se kam hai 0.6%. Year-on-year inflation bhi Germany mein thori si barh gayi, jo ke 2.4% tak pohanch gayi hai compared to predictions of 2.3%. Mazid mixed news ke bawajood, EUR/USD Monday ko 1.0700 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye mukhtalif taqreer ke baad technical correction hai jab ke keemat 200 hourly exponential moving average (EMA) se bounce hui aur 1.0700 ke qareeb chali gayi. Magar 1.0750 ko paar karna mushkil nazar aata hai, aur muzid dabao ke bawajood keemat ko neechay le ja raha hai dheere dheere. Overall, EUR/USD abhi bhi apni haal ki zyada uchi keemat se 2.5% kam hai jo ke 1.0980 thi. Nazdeeki mustaqbil ke liye 1.0600 pe ek qeemat ka farsh hai. EUR/USD pair ne April 10th ke inflation report ke baad bohot zyada farokht dekhi thi jo ke expectations se zyada thi, aur 2024 ke liye 1.0600 ke naye low pe gir gaya tha. Halan ke is ne thori bohot nuqsanat ko hasool kiya hai us waqt se lekin indicators ab bhi ek mumkin farokht ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar keemat dobara barhne lagti hai to pehla rukawat nazdeeki samar ke tor pe 1.0752 ke qareeb hogi. Is rukawat ko paar karne se bull 1.0795 ko nishana bana sakte hain, jo ke 2024 mein support aur resistance ke tor pe kaam karta raha hai aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath milta hai. Is zone ke upar nikalna ek raasta kholega ek chadhav ke liye September ki unchi ki taraf ka 1.0884. Dusri taraf, agar girti rahay to foran February ke low 1.0694 pe support mil sakta hai. Agar keemat mazeed gir gayi, to ye nazdeeki support level 1.0673 ko test kar sakti hai. Aur is se bhi neeche, paanch mahine ka low 1.0600 zaroor qareebi tor pe nazar andaz kiya jayega.

Hum euro/dollar ka char ghanton ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab 1.0980 ke darje par ek maqami zyada se zyada ban gaya, tab bazaar south ki taraf chala gaya aur aik pur sukoon nichi qeemat par aik mazboot niche ki taraf aik namiadar keemat ka channel ban gaya. Ek aur support line se ek aur rebound ke baad 1.0600 ke darje par (euro/dollar ke liye maqami minimum), jis ke baad major tajwezati urooj ke liye chala gaya aur ab southern channel ke andar teesra shumali lehar hai. Is ke ilawa, tajwezati urooj ka wave channel ke andar ho raha hai aur ab, jab ke is ne 1.0710 ke darje par is ke ooper ke border se rebound kiya, to pair south ki taraf chala gaya hai aur aik tajwezati girawat ke liye 1.0660 ke darje tak buhat zyada imkan hai. Is se, in turn, main umeed karta hoon ke 1.0660 ke darje se aik rebound hoga aur ooper ke urooj ke liye barqarar rahay ga, jiska milaap takreeban 1.0750 ke darje par hoga. Is tarah, hum 1.0660 ke darje se 1.0750 ke darje tak kharidenge.

Ooper, maine euro/dollar pair ke liye H4 chart par halaat ka tajziya kiya, aur ab main nisf ghante ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Is par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par aik mazboot maqami minimum hai, jise bhaluon ne toorna chaar baar koshish ki (kam az kam teen baar), us ke baad pair north ki taraf mud gaya aur phir aik ascending price channel ban gaya, jismein euro/dollar 1.0696 par trade ho raha hai. Mojooda darje se, hum zyada tar tajwezati girawat ko channel ke nichlay border tak jari rakhenge, jiska milaap takreeban 1.0680 ke darje par hoga. Chart M30: Kal aik kaafi ahem maqami news ka din hai. Moscow ke waqt 15.00 baje par, US GDP jaari kiya jata hai aur yeh indicator 3.4 percent se 2.5 percent tak kam honay ka imkan hai. Usi waqt, ibtidai roozana ki darkhwastat ki tadad jaari ki jati hai aur yeh indicator 212K se 214K tak barhne ka imkan hai. Jaisa ke hum dekhte hain, US ki maeeshat ke data kamzor hone ki umeed hai, aur yeh kamzor data ki umeed par hi majeed barh rahe hain.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Jumah ke badhe hue utar-chadhaw ke bad, aaj ka din khamsoh rahne wala hai. Yah dekhte hue keh Peer ka macroeconomic calendar kisi bhi aham khabar ki release se khali hai jiska market ke jazbat par shadid asar pad sakta hai, tejarati sargarmi khamosh rahne ka imkan hai.
Jaisa keh tawaqqo ki gayi thi, euro/dollar ke jode ne hafte ki shuruaat sust chalon ke sath ki hai. Is tarah, mujhe lagta hai keh market me dakhil hone ka koi matlab nahin hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh European currency 1.0735 ya 1.0700 ke nishan ki satah tak gir jayega, jahan short positions par gaur kiya ja sakta hai. Maujudah satah se short jana munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqah nahin hai.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, euro primarily sideways range mein trade hua. 1.0755 ke range ceiling ka asafal retest ke baad, price rebound hua aur tezi se giravat shuru hui. Yeh 1.0519 level ko chhoo gaya, jo phir se support pradaan kiya aur neeche jaane ki koshish ko dikhaayi. Isse wajah yeh hui ki mentions apni asli jagahon par laut gayi. Yeh ek aur koshish kiya range ke upper boundary ko todne ki. Isi dauraan, price chart green zone mein enter kar raha hai, jo dikhata hai ki maujooda halat mein buyers ke haath mein initiative ka tabadla ho sakta hai. Price higher-low pattern mein floating hai. Lagta hai ki yeh apne peechle resistance level ko chhoone waala hai. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:



Pair abhi thoda upar trading kar raha hai range ke top par 1.0697 par. Haftay ka chart neutral hai. Price ne signal zone ko paar kiya, apni integrity ko tod diya. Yeh yeh change in the priority vector towards upside ko indicate kar sakta hai. Yeh current levels par price fixing se confirm hoga. Isi dauraan, agar yeh aur bhi neeche jaata hai, toh 1.0519 tak girne ki sambhavna abhi bhi kafi hai. Har haal mein, is area ya uske upar ek safal retest bounce ka mauka dega. Ek candle stick pattern chart ke peeche follow karta hai price ko 1.0803 tak dhakelne ke liye. Yeh aur directional momentum ki growth ko target karta hai 1.0758 aur 1.0803 ke beech ke area mein. Agar support ko todata hai aur reversal level 1.0631 ke neeche jaata hai, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Faide ko badhane ke liye, European session ke aaghaz tak bulls ko qimat ko 1.0729 ki satah se ooper dhakelne ki zarurat hai. Is surat me, euro/dollar ke jode ke pas 1.0741 ke nishan ko todne aur 1.0745 par 38.2% Fibonacci level tak pahunchne ka mauqa hoga. Iske bad, qimat wapas niche lautne se pahle 1.0769 ke ilaqe tak badhne ka imkan ha.
Agar qimat 1.0729 se ooper mustahkam hone me nakam rahti hai, lekin 1.0723 aur 1.0724 ki satah par ausat yaumiyah balance se niche fix ho jati hai to, euro mumkena taur par 1.0680 par pahle yaumiyah balance par wapas aa jayega, jahan is ne kal 30-minute ke chart par debt levels chor diya. Filhal yahi sab se zyada imkani scenario hai. Aakhir kar, 1.0729 ka nishan sirf 10 pips se toot gaya th, aur ek hi bar me 50 pips niche gir gaya tha. Iska matlab yah hai keh bears abhi bhi market ke control me hain aur woh 1.0640 ki support satah dobara test karne ke liye qimat ko niche khinchne ki koshish karenge.
Iske alawa, haftawar ikhteyarat ki miyaad Jumah ko khatam ho jati hai, lehaza is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.0673-1.0680 ke raqbe tak gir jaye.

EURUSD H4

Sab ko salaam! Kal, market khulega, aur Asian session ke doran kai mansubay ho sakte hain. Tawajjo girne ki taraf hogi, haan ke hum ne channel mein mukhtalif manzil tak pohanchne ka irada nahi kiya. Magar, ek tezi se rukhne ki hadd hai jo pehle bhi imtehan ki gayi hai, aur agar hum is se girne lagte hain, to yeh hilne ka jawab hoga haal ki barhti hui izafat ka, jo channel ke southern boundary se bahar nikalne ki asal mansooba ban jayegi. Hafta harkat ki lehron ke lihaz se kaafi peshkash tha, kyunke Federal Reserve ki meeting ke doran, kisi khaas rukh ke bajaye, hum ne ek raasta dekha. Is ke liye humein tayyar rehna chahiye tha, kyunke yeh ek beech ka mulak tha, aur hume munsif ka mukhtalif andaaz-e-bayan ka intezar tha, jo ke shanivar tak rukawat ka bani rehne ka pehla sabab ban gaya. Agar upar ki taraf rukh hota hai, to hume 1.0830-50 kshetra ki taraf chalna hoga aur phir dakshin ki taraf, kyunke main yeh yaqeen nahi rakhta ke upri harkat be-rok hogi, aur zyada tar, ham mukhtalif haqaiq par mushtamil southern trend mein hain. Agar mahine mein CPI izafa hota hai, to Federal Reserve ke diye gaye tajziay ko poori tor par bigad diya jayega, aur EUR/USD giray ga, shayad halkey se, lekin yeh silsila asal trend hoga.


Jab tak hum kal market ke khulne ka intezaar karte hain, zaroori hai ke hum Asian session ke doran mukhtalif mansubayon ka tawajjo se ghoor karein jo ho sakte hain. Sab se zaroori tawajjo ek mumkinah rukh ki taraf hai, haan ke hum ne abhi tak trading channel ke bade mansoobe mein zikar ki gayi manzil tak nahi pohancha. Magar, ek ahem rukh ki note ki gayi hai jo pehle se imtehan ki gayi hai. Agar hum is point se niche ki taraf chalein, to yeh haal ki market ke hilne ka jawab hoga, jo trading channel ke southern boundary ke zariye nikalne ki mukhtalif mansoobe ko mad-e-nazar banayega.

Pichle haftay ke market ki dynamics ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke harkat mein chalna khas tor par uljhan daalne wala tha. Federal Reserve ki meeting ne ek hairat angez raasta pesh kiya, saaf rukh ki bajaaye. Is be-pesh-kash ho jane ki nazar ko le kar tayyar rehna zaroori tha, kyunke yeh beech ka mulak tha, aur munsif ke alfaaz mein nuqsaan ki nayi shakal ki umeed thi, jo aakhir mein shanivar tak market ki rukawat ka barhawa ban gaya.

Agar upar ki taraf rukh hota hai, to humara irada 1.0830-50 range ki taraf chalne ka hoga phir dakshin ki taraf murnay ka. Yeh hoshiyarana taur par shorishon ke mutasir hone ki wajah se hai jo bazaar ke be-rok izaafat ki muktalif daleelat ke saath milte hain. Magar, aane wale haftay mein Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein izafa ho sakta hai, agar aisa hota hai to yeh Federal Reserve ke qayam ki qaayam ko rad kar dega, haan ke mumkin hai halkey taur par, lekin yeh bazaar ka mukhtalif vector qayam karega.

In mukhtalif mansubon ko hoshiyarana soorat mein mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, hum apne aap ko barhne wale market ki surat-e-hal ke mutabiq darust faislay karne ke liye behtar tarah se taiyar kar sakte hain. Agar mazeed madad ki zaroorat ho ya mazeed shaoor chahiye ho, to barah-e-karam der na karein.

EUR/USD

Meri aaj ki tajziya hai EURUSD pair ke liye, jahan agar hum dobara dekhein big trend ke rukh ko jo ho raha hai, to wazeh hai ke sellers khud hi buyers ko rukawat faraham kar rahe hain jo peechle kuch dinon se kaafi fa'el aur lag bhag koi trend correction na hone ke saath tha.

Magar, agar hum dekhein H1 time frame candle ki harkat ko jo agle haftay ke trading mein mujhe pehle se trend ka bunyadi markaz banana hai, to lagta hai ke qeemat ne 720 muddat wale moving average ko tor diya hai jo main is haftay ke bade trend ka ek base markaz ke tor par istemal karta hoon jo main follow karunga. Candle ne tor diya aur ab tak ki unchi 1.08120 ke qeemat range mein banai.


Magar, agar main dobara ek candle dekho jo neeche ja raha hai aur aaraam se wapas moving average period ke neeche 720, to maine faisla kar liya hai ke main dobara EURUSD pair mein bade paimane par bechnay ko agle haftay ke trading mein support karunga. Lagta hai ke hum peechle unchi had tak gire hue qeemat ke saath chal sakte hain jo 1.08120 ya kuch pips oopar thi.

Magar, pehla take profit ka nishana banane ke liye, main ab bhi umeed karta hoon ke qeemat wapas 1.07324 ki support range tak gir jaye gi agar kisi ulte pulte mouqa ya ulatne ka mauqa milta hai, to main support limit ke andar ek kharidari position rakhunga.

EURUSD trading plan = BECHNA

To yeh tha is dafa ka Ultraman daily journal update. Tamam trading plans sirf shakhsi raayeon ka natija hain aur mojooda har khatra beshak har ek trader par wapas aayega kyunke forex market mein kuch bhi yaqeeni nahi hai siwaye un khatra hadood ke jo hum shuru mein muntakhib karte hain. Sab ko kamyabi ki duaen.

EUR USD Outlook Technical Analysis:
Jab ke kaam ka bazar nuqsan dar hai, to market ke hissedaron mein yeh umeed barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve mazid asool darusti ke liye karza daromad ke izafay ke intizamat ko jaldi kar sakta hai.


Magar, aham hai ke analists ke darmiyan tafawut-e-ray ka itiraf kiya jaye. Kuch kehte hain ke maandi jobs data mukhtasir rokaavat ko darust nahi karti, is liye Federal Reserve se fori jawab ki zarurat nahi. Wo doosre dalail jese ke active sarfeen ki kharch mein izafa aur mazboot corporate earnings ko darusti ke saboot ke tor par pesh karte hain jese ke Amreeki maeeshat ki mazbooti ka suboot. Magar, mojooda rai market ke andar zyadatar Federal Reserve se zyada munsifana stand ko tasleem karti nazar ati hai.

Federal Reserve, United States ka markazi banking system, qaum ki maaliyat ka ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Is ka asal maqsad ziada rozgar, mustaqil qeemat aur munasib lambi muddat ke izafay ko barhawa dena hai. Is maqsad ko haasil karne ke liye, Fed mukhtalif aalaat ka istemal karta hai, jese ke federal funds rate ko tabdeel karna, jo sarfeen aur karobaron ke liye karza daromad ko mutasir karta hai.

Kamzor hone wale kaam ka bazar ke manzar ke sath, tawajju Federal Reserve ki mumkin jawab par zyada tawajju ho rahi hai. Market ke hissedaron ne maqrooz maeeshat ke dawaon ke bare mein maeeshati deta aur policy makers ke bayanat ko nazar andaaz kiya hai Federal Reserve ke iradon ke bare mein.





Haal hi mein kaam ka bazar ki nuqsan dar nishandahi ne ye tasawur paida kiya hai ke Federal Reserve maeeshati izafon ke khatron ko kam karne ke liye pahlay karza daromad ke izafay ko chun sakta hai. Aise izafay karza daromad aur tijarat ko janib darust kar sakta hai, is tarah active sarfeen ki kharch aur karobar ki gatish ko barhawa de sakte hain.

Magar, tamam analists ek hi satah ki itminan naak hawas ko nahi share karte. Kuch kehte hain ke mojooda kamzor jobs indicators ka naye daldal ka pehla bataur dekh nahi hai. Unka kehna hai ke doosre ahem asbaab jese ke active sarfeen ki pent-up demand aur karkardagi ke tareeqon se mazboot corporate munafaat ka samna karte hain.

EUR/USD takneeki jaiza

Aaj ki tajziya mein aapka khush amdeed. Aaj saturday hai, is liye market do dinon ke liye band rahega. Is waqt ke doran anay wali trading week ke liye hamare iradon ko tay kar sakte hain. Jab tak aap market ki tafseelat ko gehri tor par janchte hain, waqt zaya karne ka koi maqam nahi. EURUSD currency pair ki meri takneeki jaiza ke istemal ke zariye, main aaj ke post ke liye apne khayalat ko share karna chahunga. Jaise aapko maloom ho sakta hai, EURUSD ne apni bearish trend ko 1.0710 par shuru kiya, aur yeh apne daily low 1.0750 tak gir gaya lekin akhir mein kuch taqat hasil ki, aur yeh 1.0795 par band hua, is doraan lagbhag 120 pips gir gaya.

H4 waqt frame takneeki manzar:

EURUSD pair mein hum dekh sakte hain ke pair ne neeche chalne ka irada kiya hai. Magar agar hum H4 waqt frame par dekhte hain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke pair ne 1.0760 ke support area ke neeche rehne mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke pair ab bhi bullish trend banane ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar, jab ke USD index Jumma ko musbat taur par chala gaya, to wazeh hai ke future mein USD phir se taqat hasil kar sakta hai. USD index mein izafa USD index ki kamzori tak le aaye ga aur kam az kam jab tak USD index gir na jaye, EURUSD pair ko 1.0700 daily tak girayega, aur kam az kam 1.0730, daily support level tak. Is pair par ek support target se deal karne ki bajaye, main agle haftay ke liye is pair ko khareedne ka irada bana raha hoon. Ek khareedne ka order rakhne ke liye, main intezar karunga jab tak ke qeemat qareebi support level tak na pohanche, phir ek khareedne ka order kholunga.

. US dollar ki taqat, jo ki global reserve currency hai, uski mukhtalif factors se muntaqil hoti hai. Euro, jo ki US dollar ke mukhtalif parvesh par aham asar rakhta hai, uske qareebi moqarrarat aur arzi siyasi ya ma'ashiyati waqiyat bhi iske asraat mein shamil hote hain. EUR/USD pair ka taaruf aham hai, kyunki yeh do bade tajiriyati markazon, Eurozone aur United States, ke darmiyan ek mukhtalif tareeqay se munsalik hai. Jab USD ki taqat barhti hai, EUR/USD pair kaafi barh jata hai, aur jab USD kamzor hota hai, Euro uske muqable mein taqat hasil karta hai. Maazi mein, 1.06391 ke qareeb nauun par giravat ki wajah se Euro ki keemat mein tezi ka dabeeron mein zahir hona aam hai. US dollar ki taqat ke peechay kuch mukhtalif asraat hote hain. Fori siyasi aur ma'ashiyati waqiyat, jese ke chunav, policy decisions aur arzi amraz, uski qadriyat par asar andaz hoti hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, dollar ki qadar ko mutasir karne ka bara sabab hai. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko barha raha hai ya GDP growth expectations ko barha raha hai, to yeh aam tor par USD ko mazbooti deta hai. Euro ki bhi apni taqat hoti hai. Eurozone ke maqami aur international siyasi waqiyat, sath hi Euro ki monetary policy, iski qadar mein tabdeeli la sakti hai. ECB (European Central Bank) ki monetary policy, jese ke interest rates aur quantitative easing programs, Euro ki keemat ko seedha mutasir karte hain. Eurozone ke arzi masail, jese ke Brexit ya maqami siasati intesharat, bhi EUR/USD pair par asar andaz hote hain. Euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan ke mabain taqat ka samraaj aksar forex traders aur analysts ke liye ek aham pechida masla hai. Yeh ek tarah ki roshni hai jo global economic health aur geopoliitical tensions ke jhalak deta hai. Isliye, EUR/USD pair ke barhne ya girenne ka samajhna ek aham skill hai jo traders ko mukhtalif tajiriyati faislon mein madad deta hai. In conclusion, EUR/USD pair ka taaruf, US dollar ki taqat aur Euro ki keemat ke darmiyan ek mukhtalif taluqat ko numaya karta hai. Iski keemat ke barhne ya girenne mein mukhtalif factors, jese ke siyasi waqiyat, monetary policies aur tajiriyati tajawuzat, shamil hote hain.

EUR/USD

Euro/dollar ke liye qeemat 1.06477 trading level tak pohanchi. Phir ye nishaan tor diye gaye, level tor diya gaya aur is level ke neeche jam ho gaya. Ye ek farokht signal tha, ye 1.053302 tak gaya. Ye farokht signal kaam nahi kiya. Qeemat is pro-trading level ke oopar gayi aur is ke oopar band hui, aur ye farokht ka rad-e-amal hai, aur yahan is mamlay mein 1.07335 ke aas paas pro-trading level ki taraf kharidne ke lehaaz mein relevant ho jaata hai. Ye signal bhi ghalat tha, qeemat is level tak gayi, is tak nahi pohanchi, wapas aayi, aur phir se is level ko oopar se tor diya gaya. Phir se is level ke neeche mazid bandish thi, aur ye pehle farokht signal tha, aur ye farokht signal bhi kaam nahi kiya. Kyunki qeemat foran is level ke oopar gayi aur ye pehle se hi ek kharidne ka signal tha, aur ye kharidne ka signal pehle se hi kaam kar gaya tha. Ye nishaan is nishaan par mude, aur qeemat ne neeche trading level tak gaya. Nishaan 1.06477, phir se upri trade level tak gaya, yahan ek andaruni bearish bar pehle se aa gaya, aur ye neeche trade ke lower level ki taraf girne ka ishaara karta hai, lekin ye neeche level tak nahi pohancha, subah ki taara pattern aayi, ye ek uparward trend ka ishaara hai aur seedha is pattern ke baad pro-trading level 1.07475 ko tor diya, qeemat is level ke oopar jam ho gayi, bas ab is ka wapas hone ka intezar karna hai aur ye pehle se hi ek kharidne ka signal tha pro-trading level tak, jo ke 1.08255 par hai. Ye signal maqbool hai; ek andaruni bullish candlestick pattern aaya hai. Aur ye ek uparward trend ka ishaara hai, ye ek mazeed kharidne ka signal hai aur shumali maqamat, ye trading level hai 1.08228 aur ye pehla maqsood hai. Dosra maqsood level 1.09053 hai, baad mein jab aur agar 1.08344 ka level guzra gaya aur, of course, in levels ke oopar bandish ke baad.