eur/usd

der ke liye gira, jo ke mixed economic indicators aur market expectations ki wajah se hua, jis se special PCE inflation report Federal Reserve ke decision-making process ke liye central ban gayi. Kal ke data ne dikhaya ke US unemployment data expectations se zyada tezi se gira aur May durable goods orders thoda barh gaye, halanki core PCE kam ho gaya.

Q1 2024 ke latest GDP estimates thodi si revise hui hain, jo darshaati hain ke US thodi zyada growth karne wala hai. Economy 1.4% se grow hui compared to pehle estimated 1.3%, jabke Q4 2023 mein 3.4% growth hui thi. US Treasury yields bhi thodi kam hui, jis se dollar mein thodi der ke liye retreat dekhne ko mila. Lekin market dynamics tabdeel ho rahe hain jab zyada tawajju aaj ke financial releases, including key PCE data, personal income aur spending, aur University of Michigan May Consumer Sentiment Index par di ja rahi hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

EUR/USD 1.0666 tak neeche gaya aur wapas 1.0715 tak correct hua. Abhi market 1.0655 ko target kar raha hai aur ek aur neeche ki wave bana raha hai. market mein aik mushkil surat-e-haal ka samna kar raha hai. Haal hi mein yeh 1.0689 level ke neeche gira, jo aik ahem nuqta hai aur jisne analysts aur traders ki tawajju hasil ki hai. Is harkat se euro ke liye mustaqbil mein volatility ka ishara milta hai aur iska agla rasta kafi discussion ka mawzo bana hua hai.

Halanki euro filhal 1.0670 ke key support level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha hai, market dynamics yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh support hamesha ke liye barqarar nahi rahega. Yeh level ahem hai kyunke yeh traders aur investors ke liye ek psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh tut gaya, toh sentiment mein tabdeeli aur aik zyada maqil girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Kai factors hain jo euro ke naazuk surat-e-haal mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, Eurozone se aane wale economic data mixed hain, kuch mulkon mein recovery ke asar hain jabke doosre mulk abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. Yeh uneven economic performance Eurozone ki economy aur euro ki taqat par uncertainty paida karti hai.

Aane wale dinon mein economic data releases aur geopolitical events bhi is currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Eurozone aur US se aane wale economic indicators aur central bank policies pe bhi traders ko nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar koi unexpected event hota hai, to yeh price ko sharply move kar sakta hai.

Akhir mein, current technical indicators bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain, aur traders ko price levels aur key indicators pe closely nazar rakhni chahiye taake apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kar saken.

EUR/USD pair ki price dramatically plummeted hui, jiske natijay mein daily chart par ek substantial aur formidable bearish candle bani. Yeh candle sirf ek minor fluctuation nahi thi; Yeh bears ki overwhelming strength aur market mein unki dominance ka proof thi. Is bearish candle ka size aur shape significant aur decisive move downward indicate karta hai, jo ke selling pressure ki intensity ko reflect karta hai.

Aaj Trading Updates EURUSD's

H4 waqt frame



Market ke shuruaati sharaayat ke mutabiq, EurUsd market bearish side ki taraf janib ja raha hai, jahan upar ki movement ne buyers ki dominance ko tor diya jo pichle mahine prices ko bullish move karwane mein kamyab rahe the. June trading period ke shuruaati dino mein candlestick lagbag teen hafte tak bearish halat mein thi. Magar uske baad candlestick phir se chad gaya aur 1.0667 ke lowest position se door chala gaya. Agar aap June ki market situation dekhte hain, to wahan kisi na kisi tareeke se ek drastik Downtrend nazar aata hai.

Candlestick ke position ki taraf dekhte hue pichle June ke end tak, lag raha hai ke ek kaafi bada upward correction hua hai jo ek indication hai ke abhi tak koi seller support nahi hai prices ko neeche lene ke liye. Agar pichle hafte ke movement ki tendency ko dekhte hain jo upward correction tha, to current upward trend ko lamba samay tak chalne ka mauqa hai ya keh sakte hain ke market ka bullish safar jaari hai. Pichle haftay ki market conditions jo 1.0712 par band hui, 4 ghante ka waqt frame dekhte hue clearly buyers ke asar ko dikhate hain jo prices ko upar le jaane mein kaamyaab rahe hain. Aaj subah market mein ek bullish gap tha jo candlestick ko upar le gaya pichle haftay ki market closing position ko pichey chor kar.

Market trend ki taraf ishaara karte hue, jo ke bullish side ki taraf ja raha hai, to EurUsd pair ka agla price barhne ka tajziya karte hue samjha ja sakta hai. Agar buyer price ko 1.0748 tak le kar sakte hain, to agle bullish journey ka target 1.0788 price zone ke aas paas predict kiya ja sakta hai. Magar ek Buy position khulne ke liye, behtar hai ke ek stop loss set kiya jaye kyunki pichle mahine ka bearish trend jaari rehne ka bhi khatra hai. Haftay ke shuru ki market situation kuch kamzor hai, isliye transactions karne mein jaldi na karen.

Transaction Options:

1.0749 area mein Buy karein, Take Profit: 1.0787, Stop Loss: 1.0715.

Subah ki tashkeel mein, maine 1.0701 ke satah ko zikr kiya aur is par trading faislon ko is par base karne ka irada kiya. Chaliye 5-minute chart par dekhte hain aur samajhte hain ke wahan kya hua. 1.0701 ke breakout aur uske baad ki dobara test, kamzor German statistics ke baad short positions mein dakhil hone se jodi ki 20 points ki giravat hui, lekin ham ne 1.0672 ke maqsad satah tak pohancha na. Din ke doosre hisse ke liye technical nazar, be tabdeel rahi.
EUR/USD par long positions khulwane ke liye, nichay likhiye shara'it zaroori hain:
Jabardast German data aur European Central Bank ke ek raeeyai sada e daram aroojon ki dabaav mein izafa kiya hai, jo ke euro par doosre musalsal dinon ke liye izafa kiya hai. Amrici session ke dauran, US mein naye home sales ke data, jo ke bazaar ke liye dilchaspi ka mozu hai, agar shumar economists ki tawaan ke mutabiq ho, to euro ki talab lautne ka imkaan hai. Yeh isliye ke mahine ke minimum ke aas paas kam bechne wale ho sakte hain. Sirf 1.0672 ke aas paas ka jhoota breakout long positions ke liye munasib dakhil nuktah ho sakta hai, jis ke liye 1.0701 ki taraf retest kiya jata hai—jo pehle din ke shuruaat mein satah tha.

Is satah ke ooper chalne wale averages, bechne wale ke haq mein fazool. Is wajah se, is pemaan se breakout aur uske baad giravat, jodi ko taqat denge 1.0733 ki taraf urooj hone ka imkaan hota hai. Aakhri maqsad 1.0761 ke aghlab ki taraf hai, jahan par munafa lena ho ga. Is satah ko test karne se khareedne wale ko faida ho ga. Agar EUR/USD kam hota hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0672 ke aas paas koi karwi giraish na ho, to bechne wale mukamal malkiat lenge, jo ke dono taraf ka karwi giraish tor khol ke hai, jo ke kam mumkin hai. Is mamle mein, main sirf 1.0642 ke agle support ke aas paas ek jhoota breakout ke baad dakhil hoga. Long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye seedha 1.0601 se shuru karne ka irada hai, jo din ke andar ek upri sudhar 30-35 points ka maqsad hai.

EUR/USD par short positions khulwane ke liye, nichay likhiye shara'it zaroori hain:
Bechne wale apne apko kaafi achche dikhaye hain, aur ab zaroori hai ke 1.0701 ke nichay rehna hai. US data ke bullish bazaar reaction ke douran, jo ke naqabil e tanqeed hai, 1.0701 par resistance ko bachane aur wahan jhoota breakout hone par short positions ke liye munasib dakhil nuktah ho ga, jis ka maqsad pair ki mazeed giravat 1.0672 ke support ki taraf hoti hai, jo ke side channel ke ek qisam ka niche boundary ka kam karta hai. Is pemaan se breakout aur is range ke nichay qaim hone ke pechay, mazboot Amrici real estate market statistics ke sath, sath se mukhalif tor se test hoga, ek aur bechne wale ki taraf se dakhil nuktah dene ke sath, jahan mein 1.0642 ki taraf mazeed active bullish rawaiya dekhne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD Jumeraat ke ibtedai dour mein apni position barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai, Thursday ko munafe par band hone ke baad 1.0700 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar 1.0670 ki support level ko toorna na mumkin hai, to yeh jora mazeed gir sakta hai. Market mein khatrat se bachne ke natayaj mein US dollar (USD) ki taqat afzaai ne Thursday ko EUR/USD ke liye mazeed nuqsanat ka bai's bana diya. Jismani data German aur eurozone ki PMI ki umeedain se kam nikle, jo ke euro ko early Friday ko support dene mein mushkilat ka baais bana. Germany ke HCOB composite PMI June mein 52.4 se 50.6 tak gir gaya, jabke eurozone ke HCOC composite PMI 52.2 se 50.8 tak gir gaya. Dono figures analysts ki expectations se kam nikle, jis se niji sector ki karobar mein mazeed isteadad ki soorat-e-haal ko dikhaya gaya. Hamburger Commerzbank ke chief economist Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia ne kaha: "PMI survey ke natayaj ke mutabiq, HCOB PMI ECB ko July mein interest rates ko mazeed kam karne ka koi bhi sabab nahi deta."

Dusri taraf, S&P Global ne US manufacturing aur services PMIs ke preliminary data ko publish karne ka irada kiya hai. Agar US PMI report tawaqqu ke mutabiq mazboot nikle, to US dollar ko weekend ke dauran mazeed taqat mil sakti hai, jis se EUR/USD kamzor ho sakta hai. Lekin manufacturing ya services PMI data mein bara girao US dollar ke faiday ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

Aaj EU par musalsal manfi asar nazar aaye, lekin Euro ka girao kaafi kamzor raha. Mujhe lagta hai yeh is wajah se hai ke US ke paas agle teen din ka weekend hai, aur jora pehle bhi is se baray had tak gir chuka tha. Is liye ab is par sudhar ke liye thora waqt darkar hai. Is ke ilawa, aaj US se musbat khabrein aayi, lekin market ne is par bhi tawajjo nahi di. Dollar mein koi zyada izafa nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai wajah yehi hai ke joray ko girne aur dollar ko izafa hone ke liye waqt darkar hai. Shayad agle hafte ke darmiyan hi pata chalega ke girao kab aur kis level se jari hoga. Technically bhi yehi hal hai. Yeh samajh mein nahi aata ke kya hum abhi ke level se gir

ain ge jahan tak kam se kam 1.06 tak ho sakta hai, ya phir jora 1.0760 par sudhre ga aur us ke baad girao jari rahe ga. Mujhe jawab nahi hai; dono scenarios mumkin hain. Main pair mein izafa sirf tab ghor karunga jab tak ke 4-hour chart par upward channel ko toorna na mumkin ho. Lekin abhi tak yeh bhi ghor nahi kiya gaya hai. Trading trend par mabni honi chahiye, har shakhs apni marzi ke mutabiq bechna chahiye.

EUR/USD Jumeraat ke ibtedai dour mein apni position barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai, Thursday ko munafe par band hone ke baad 1.0700 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Agar 1.0670 ki support level ko toorna na mumkin hai, to yeh jora mazeed gir sakta hai. Market mein khatrat se bachne ke natayaj mein US dollar (USD) ki taqat afzaai ne Thursday ko EUR/USD ke liye mazeed nuqsanat ka bai's bana diya. Jismani data German aur eurozone ki PMI ki umeedain se kam nikle, jo ke euro ko early Friday ko support dene mein mushkilat ka baais bana. Germany ke HCOB composite PMI June mein 52.4 se 50.6 tak gir gaya, jabke eurozone ke HCOC composite PMI 52.2 se 50.8 tak gir gaya. Dono figures analysts ki expectations se kam nikle, jis se niji sector ki karobar mein mazeed isteadad ki soorat-e-haal ko dikhaya gaya. Hamburger Commerzbank ke chief economist Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia ne kaha: "PMI survey ke natayaj ke mutabiq, HCOB PMI ECB ko July mein interest rates ko mazeed kam karne ka koi bhi sabab nahi deta."

Dusri taraf, S&P Global ne US manufacturing aur services PMIs ke preliminary data ko publish karne ka irada kiya hai. Agar US PMI report tawaqqu ke mutabiq mazboot nikle, to US dollar ko weekend ke dauran mazeed taqat mil sakti hai, jis se EUR/USD kamzor ho sakta hai. Lekin manufacturing ya services PMI data mein bara girao US dollar ke faiday ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

Aaj EU par musalsal manfi asar nazar aaye, lekin Euro ka girao kaafi kamzor raha. Mujhe lagta hai yeh is wajah se hai ke US ke paas agle teen din ka weekend hai, aur jora pehle bhi is se baray had tak gir chuka tha. Is liye ab is par sudhar ke liye thora waqt darkar hai. Is ke ilawa, aaj US se musbat khabrein aayi, lekin market ne is par bhi tawajjo nahi di. Dollar mein koi zyada izafa nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai wajah yehi hai ke joray ko girne aur dollar ko izafa hone ke liye waqt darkar hai. Shayad agle hafte ke darmiyan hi pata chalega ke girao kab aur kis level se jari hoga. Technically bhi yehi hal hai. Yeh samajh mein nahi aata ke kya hum abhi ke level se gir

ain ge jahan tak kam se kam 1.06 tak ho sakta hai, ya phir jora 1.0760 par sudhre ga aur us ke baad girao jari rahe ga. Mujhe jawab nahi hai; dono scenarios mumkin hain. Main pair mein izafa sirf tab ghor karunga jab tak ke 4-hour chart par upward channel ko toorna na mumkin ho. Lekin abhi tak yeh bhi ghor nahi kiya gaya hai. Trading trend par mabni honi chahiye, har shakhs apni marzi ke mutabiq bechna chahiye.

Traditional Public Meeting party (RN) ko itwaar ko honay walay French elections ke pehle round mein jeetne ka imkaan hai, lekin inke paas hukumat banane ke liye kafi seats nahi hain. Teen jadeed surveys ke mutabiq, RN ko 31.5% se 35% tak votes milne ki umeed hai. People's Front, jo ke aik left-leaning alliance hai, doosre number pe aayi hai aur inke votes 28% se 29.5% ke darmiyan hain. Ye tasavvur kiya ja raha hai ke President Macron ke alliance ko 19.5% se 22% tak votes milen ge. Hukoomat mein mojooda ruling party teesre number pe hai, jiska asar na sirf French assets balke aane walay dinon mein Euro par bhi hoga. Itwaar, 7 July ko, France mein doosra aur akhri vote hoga. EUR/USD FX pair, jo sab se zyada trade hoti hai, haal hi mein US dollar ki taqat aur Euro ki kamzori ki wajah se gir gayi hai. Kisi waqt pehle shaam mein, aakhri US Q1 GDP data aur latest US extreme product data pesh kiya jaye ga. Dealers is haftay ke end ke liye Friday ke US core PCE report ka intezar karen ge, halan ke yeh dono reports bhi US dollar ko move kar sakti hain. EUR/USD dealers ke liye, is haftay ke French elections aur gher yaqeeni US data se aik volatile setting banegi. EUR/USD pair phir se 1.0774 ke neeche hai aur isay upar uthne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Agar April 16 ka multi-month low toota, to jo pattern December ke aakhir mein shuru hua tha, jismein high points aur low points niche ja rahe thay, wo barqarar rahe ga. Agla target downside ke liye 1.0610 ke double low ka hai, jo ke October 2023 ke aakhir mein bana tha. Initial resistance 1.0884 ke region ke aas paas hai. Retail merchants ke data ke mutabiq, 66.18% brokers net-long hain, aur dealers ke darmiyan ratio long aur short ke darmiyan 1.96 to 1 hai. Net-long dealers ki quantity kal se 14.14% zyada aur pichle hafte se 25.04% zyada hai, jab ke net-short merchants ki quantity kal se 14.48% kam aur pichle hafte se 22.26% kam hai. Hum aam tor par crowd sentiment ko aik antagonist tareeqe se dekhte hain, aur yeh ke merchants EUR/USD net-long hain, yeh show karta hai ke prices gir sakti hain. Mojooda sentiment aur haal hi ke tabdeeliyon ki wajah se, humare pass EUR/USD-bearish contrarian trading bias mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. Brokers kal aur pichle hafte se ziada net-long hain

currency pair ka timeframe chart par tajziya kuch interesting dynamics ko zayar karta hai jo is waqt unfold ho rahe hain. Notably, yeh pair ab tak 1.08030 level ko nahi choon saka, jo ek significant price point hai jise traders bohot qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh observation yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke price is key level ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai, ab tak isne isse test ya break karne ka faisla nahi kiya. Furthermore, intraday pivot levels ka tajziya dikhata hai ke yeh bohot zyada compressed hain. Yeh compression yeh indication hai ke market consolidation aur low volatility ke period se guzar rahi hai. Jab pivot levels tightly packed hotay hain, yeh aksar ka matlab hota hai ke price bohot narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai. Doosre lafzon mein, market participants ek state of indecision mein hain, aur kisi catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo price ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sake. Low volatility aur tight consolidation ke periods ko ek coiled spring se mushaba kiya ja sakta hai. Jitni der tak price ek narrow range mein rehti hai, utna hi significant breakout hota hai jab yeh finally occur karta hai. Traders aur analysts aksar anticipate karte hain ke aise compression ka period substantial price movement lead karta hai jab market ek direction ka faisla karti hai. Is liye, jabke EUR/USD pair is waqt low volatility experience kar rahi hai, yeh situation zyada der tak nahi rehti.EUR/USD pair mein observed consolidation phase suggest karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se result ho sakte hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein changes. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo upcoming news events aur doosre market-moving factors ke baare mein informed rahen jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. External factors ko monitor karne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo next significant move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar consolidation phase ke dauran chart patterns jaise triangles, flags, ya pennants mojood hon to yeh potential breakout direction ka hint de sakte hain.EUR/USD ne finally ek local downward trend form karna shuru kiya. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke pair 1.0600, 1.0450, aur shayad 1.0200 levels tak drop karegi. Lekin, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh targets sirf kuch hafton mein nahi pohoch sakte; yeh medium-term hain. Misal ke taur par, pair freely is hafte ke doran ek corrective phase se guzar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, hum medium-term mein euro ke rise hone ki koi wajah nahi dekhte.Wednesday ko traders ek bullish correction ke continuation expect kar sakte hain kyunki price ne 1.0726-1.0733 area breach kar liya hai. Lekin, is hafte ki volatility kam ho sakti hai.

Subah ki tashkeel mein, maine 1.0701 ke satah ko zikr kiya aur is par trading faislon ko is par base karne ka irada kiya. Chaliye 5-minute chart par dekhte hain aur samajhte hain ke wahan kya hua. 1.0701 ke breakout aur uske baad ki dobara test, kamzor German statistics ke baad short positions mein dakhil hone se jodi ki 20 points ki giravat hui, lekin ham ne 1.0672 ke maqsad satah tak pohancha na. Din ke doosre hisse ke liye technical nazar, be tabdeel rahi. EUR/USD par long positions khulwane ke liye, nichay likhiye shara'it zaroori hain:
Jabardast German data aur European Central Bank ke ek raeeyai sada e daram aroojon ki dabaav mein izafa kiya hai, jo ke euro par doosre musalsal dinon ke liye izafa kiya hai. Amrici session ke dauran, US mein naye home sales ke data, jo ke bazaar ke liye dilchaspi ka mozu hai, agar shumar economists ki tawaan ke mutabiq ho, to euro ki talab lautne ka imkaan hai. Yeh isliye ke mahine ke minimum ke aas paas kam bechne wale ho sakte hain. Sirf 1.0672 ke aas paas ka jhoota breakout long positions ke liye munasib dakhil nuktah ho sakta hai, jis ke liye 1.0701 ki taraf retest kiya jata hai—jo pehle din ke shuruaat mein satah tha.

Is satah ke ooper chalne wale averages, bechne wale ke haq mein fazool. Is wajah se, is pemaan se breakout aur uske baad giravat, jodi ko taqat denge 1.0733 ki taraf urooj hone ka imkaan hota hai. Aakhri maqsad 1.0761 ke aghlab ki taraf hai, jahan par munafa lena ho ga. Is satah ko test karne se khareedne wale ko faida ho ga. Agar EUR/USD kam hota hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0672 ke aas paas koi karwi giraish na ho, to bechne wale mukamal malkiat lenge, jo ke dono taraf ka karwi giraish tor khol ke hai, jo ke kam mumkin hai. Is mamle mein, main sirf 1.0642 ke agle support ke aas paas ek jhoota breakout ke baad dakhil hoga. Long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye seedha 1.0601 se shuru karne ka irada hai, jo din ke andar ek upri sudhar 30-35 points ka maqsad hai.

EUR/USD par short positions khulwane ke liye, nichay likhiye shara'it zaroori hain:
Bechne wale apne apko kaafi achche dikhaye hain, aur ab zaroori hai ke 1.0701 ke nichay rehna hai. US data ke bullish bazaar reaction ke douran, jo ke naqabil e tanqeed hai, 1.0701 par resistance ko bachane aur wahan jhoota breakout hone par short positions ke liye munasib dakhil nuktah ho ga, jis ka maqsad pair ki mazeed giravat 1.0672 ke support ki taraf hoti hai, jo ke side channel ke ek qisam ka niche boundary ka kam karta hai. Is pemaan se breakout aur is range ke nichay qaim hone ke pechay, mazboot Amrici real estate market statistics ke sath, sath se mukhalif tor se test hoga, ek aur bechne wale ki taraf se dakhil nuktah dene ke sath, jahan mein 1.0642 ki taraf mazeed active bullish rawaiya dekhne ki umeed hai.

currency pair ka timeframe chart par tajziya kuch interesting dynamics ko zayar karta hai jo is waqt unfold ho rahe hain. Notably, yeh pair ab tak 1.08030 level ko nahi choon saka, jo ek significant price point hai jise traders bohot qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh observation yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke price is key level ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai, ab tak isne isse test ya break karne ka faisla nahi kiya. Furthermore, intraday pivot levels ka tajziya dikhata hai ke yeh bohot zyada compressed hain. Yeh compression yeh indication hai ke market consolidation aur low volatility ke period se guzar rahi hai. Jab pivot levels tightly packed hotay hain, yeh aksar ka matlab hota hai ke price bohot narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai. Doosre lafzon mein, market participants ek state of indecision mein hain, aur kisi catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo price ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sake. Low volatility aur tight consolidation ke periods ko ek coiled spring se mushaba kiya ja sakta hai. Jitni der tak price ek narrow range mein rehti hai, utna hi significant breakout hota hai jab yeh finally occur karta hai. Traders aur analysts aksar anticipate karte hain ke aise compression ka period substantial price movement lead karta hai jab market ek direction ka faisla karti hai. Is liye, jabke EUR/USD pair is waqt low volatility experience kar rahi hai, yeh situation zyada der tak nahi rehti.EUR/USD pair mein observed consolidation phase suggest karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se result ho sakte hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein changes. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo upcoming news events aur doosre market-moving factors ke baare mein informed rahen jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. External factors ko monitor karne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo next significant move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar consolidation phase ke dauran chart patterns jaise triangles, flags, ya pennants mojood hon to yeh potential breakout direction ka hint de sakte hain.EUR/USD ne finally ek local downward trend form karna shuru kiya. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke pair 1.0600, 1.0450, aur shayad 1.0200 levels tak drop karegi. Lekin, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh targets sirf kuch hafton mein nahi pohoch sakte; yeh medium-term hain. Misal ke taur par, pair freely is hafte ke doran ek corrective phase se guzar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, hum medium-term mein euro ke rise hone ki koi wajah nahi dekhte.Wednesday ko traders ek bullish correction ke continuation expect kar sakte hain kyunki price ne 1.0726-1.0733 area breach kar liya hai. Lekin, is hafte ki volatility kam ho sakti hai.

Market ke shuruaati sharaayat ke mutabiq, EurUsd market bearish side ki taraf janib ja raha hai, jahan upar ki movement ne buyers ki dominance ko tor diya jo pichle mahine prices ko bullish move karwane mein kamyab rahe the. June trading period ke shuruaati dino mein candlestick lagbag teen hafte tak bearish halat mein thi. Magar uske baad candlestick phir se chad gaya aur 1.0667 ke lowest position se door chala gaya. Agar aap June ki market situation dekhte hain, to wahan kisi na kisi tareeke se ek drastik Downtrend nazar aata hai.

Candlestick ke position ki taraf dekhte hue pichle June ke end tak, lag raha hai ke ek kaafi bada upward correction hua hai jo ek indication hai ke abhi tak koi seller support nahi hai prices ko neeche lene ke liye. Agar pichle hafte ke movement ki tendency ko dekhte hain jo upward correction tha, to current upward trend ko lamba samay tak chalne ka mauqa hai ya keh sakte hain ke market ka bullish safar jaari hai. Pichle haftay ki market conditions jo 1.0712 par band hui, 4 ghante ka waqt frame dekhte hue clearly buyers ke asar ko dikhate hain jo prices ko upar le jaane mein kaamyaab rahe hain. Aaj subah market mein ek bullish gap tha jo candlestick ko upar le gaya pichle haftay ki market closing position ko pichey chor kar.

Market trend ki taraf ishaara karte hue, jo ke bullish side ki taraf ja raha hai, to EurUsd pair ka agla price barhne ka tajziya karte hue samjha ja sakta hai. Agar buyer price ko 1.0748 tak le kar sakte hain, to agle bullish journey ka target 1.0788 price zone ke aas paas predict kiya ja sakta hai. Magar ek Buy position khulne ke liye, behtar hai ke ek stop loss set kiya jaye kyunki pichle mahine ka bearish trend jaari rehne ka bhi khatra hai. Haftay ke shuru ki market situation kuch kamzor hai, isliye transactions karne

Monday ko Euro ne ek zabardast boost hasil kiya jab France ke parliamentary elections mein kuch positive developments dekhne ko milin. Opinion polls ne yeh dikhaya ke far-right leader Marine Le Pen ki National Rally party ne utni achi performance nahi di jitni umeed thi. Yeh party phir bhi kaafi seats jeetne ki umeed rakhti hai, lekin absolute majority se door rehne ki wajah se Eurozone mein political instability ke concerns kam ho gaye hain. Is positive sentiment ki wajah se EUR/USD pair mein 0.5% ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke do hafton se ziada waqt mein apni highest level 1.0770 par pohonch gaya.



Political headlines ke ilawa, technical factors ne bhi Euro ki ascent mein important role play kiya. Currency pair ko ek key technical level par strong support mila – ek bullish trendline jo ke past several months ke chart par bani thi. Yeh trendline Euro mein future gains ki potential ko suggest karti hai. Iske ilawa, market momentum ko gauge karne ke liye jo indicator use hota hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI), wo bhi middle ground ke qareeb hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market na to overbought hai na hi oversold, aur kisi bhi direction mein breakout ke liye tayar hai. Halaanki, overall sentiment near term mein Euro ke liye cautiously optimistic hai
Aane wale waqt mein, ek key factor jo dekhna zaroori hoga wo European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy decisions hain. ECB se wide expectation hai ke wo rising inflation ke response mein monetary policy tighten karega, lekin iske exact timing aur pace abhi uncertain hain. Yeh ambiguity Eurozone markets mein kuch volatility introduce kar sakti hai aane wale mahino mein. Investors closely follow karenge kisi bhi signals ko jo ECB se mil sakte hain, jo unke interest rate hikes aur doosri policy measures ke plans par clarity provide kare
Conclusion mein, Monday ko Euro ka rise positive political developments aur supportive technical factors ki wajah se tha. Jab ke ECB ki upcoming policy decisions Euro ke future trajectory par kuch uncertainty daalti hain, immediate outlook cautiously optimistic hai. Aane wale hafton aur mahino mein political developments aur ECB ki monetary policy pronouncements par nazar rakhna bohot important hoga, jo ultimately Euro ka path forward determine karengi.

EUR/USD Analysis aur Trading Ke Mauqe

Haalat ka Jaiza

Pichle do hafton mein EUR/USD pair ne upar ka trend dikhaya hai. Yeh price ascending price channels ke andar trade ho rahi hai, jo upar ke trend ke continuation ko darsha raha hai. Price pichle hafte ka high todne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh kamiyab hoti hai, to upward trend jari rahega. Agar high todne mein nakami hoti hai, to ek downward correction ho sakti hai pehle ke rise dobara shuru ho. Red channel ki lower line se weekly resistance level 1.0780 tak ka movement mumkin hai agar price channel line tak girti hai aur phir upward rebound hoti hai.



Doosra Upside Potential

Ek direct rise bina correction ke. Ispar bharosa kiya ja sakta hai agle 4-hour chart candle ke duran, jo pichle candle ke highest price ko todne par zahir hoga. Immediate Purchase: Maujooda level se kharidari karein. Target ko weekly resistance level 1.0750 se thoda neeche set karein. Jab price red channel ki lower line tak girti hai aur phir wapas up hoti hai, to buy karein. Breakdown par bechna: Agar price price channels ko todti hai to sale karein. Iske ilawa, agar price weekly pivot level 1.0810 todti hai to sale ko confirm karein. Yeh strategies anticipated price movements aur technical setups ke mutabiq hain. Gold bechne ka bhi mumkin hai jab price girti hai, monthly pivot level up ja sakta hai, aur day ka candle close hota hai, jahan target monthly support level 1.0710 tak move kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ko kharidna mumkin hai jab price monthly pivot level se rebound hoti hai aur blue channel ki middle line ke upar wapas aati hai. Is tarah, daily chart par ek price bottom form hota hai.

EUR/USD Pair Price Analysis On The H4 Chart

EUR/USD currency pair abhi H4 chart par 1.0729 level ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Price baar baar 1.0678 support level se upar gayi hai, jo iski ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai. Iske bawajood, maujooda price 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche hai, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke is point par buy position lena kaafi risky ho sakta hai. Agar price apna upward movement jari rakhti hai, to agla target chart par previous high 1.0844 ho sakta hai. Magar, main kisi bhi entry lene se pehle price ke 1.0678 support level ke neeche break karne aur confirmation dene ka intezar karne ki salah deta hoon.

Yeh breakout aur confirmation potential trades ke risks ko kam karne ke liye zaroori hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) 14 indicator abhi buy signal dikha raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price dobara previous high test kar sakti hai. Is buy signal ke bawajood, ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai. 50 aur 100 SMAs ke neeche trade karne ke bearish implications ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. In technical factors ke intersection ke madde nazar traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur zyada definitive signals ka intezar karna chahiye pehle trading decisions lene se.



Summary:
Jabke EUR/USD pair kuch bullish signals dikha rahi hai, maujooda technical setup ehtiyat baratne ki salah deta hai. Price ko 50 aur 100 SMAs ke upar break karne ki zaroorat hai ek clearer bullish trend ke liye. Tab tak, 1.0678 support level ek critical point bana rahega. Ek confirmed breakout is level ke neeche ek potential bearish trend ka signal hoga, jabke maujooda levels ke upar sustained rise 1.0844 high ko target kar sakti hai. Traders ko sabar se kaam lena chahiye aur clearer signals ka intezar karna chahiye taake unnecessary risks se bacha ja sake. Yeh analysis technical indicators ko combine karne ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai taake trading decisions well-informed ho sakein. Support levels, SMAs, aur RSI signals ke interplay se market ka comprehensive view milta hai, jo traders ko EUR/USD pair ke movements ki complexities ko navigate karne mein madad deta hai.

EUR/USD Price Activity

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karna hai. Jab rollback ka zikr hota hai, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh kyun kaamyaab ho sakta hai. Dollar fundamentals itne disruptive nahi hain ke sab kuch derail kar den. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agar specific decline pattern possible hai, to uski corrective phase bhi likely hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh scenario plausible hai ya nahi. Main kai euro pairs ke movements mein nahi jaunga jo euro ko upar drive karne ke liye poised hain, kyunke yeh movements EUR/USD ke bullish direction par depend karti hain. Jab EUR/USD upwards trend mein aayegi, to doosre pairs bhi likely follow karenge. Iss tarah, current setup kuch euro pairs ke liye favorable lagta hai, aur EUR/USD se push milne par sab kuch bullish direction mein jaa sakta hai.

Agar bulls ek pullback correction execute karte hain aur price daily level 1.07305 par ruk jaati hai aur trading stagnant ho jaati hai, to yeh situation bullish weakness indicate kar sakti hai aur shorts ke liye entry point ho sakti hai. European currency ko growth ke liye fundamental aur technical support chahiye, isliye euro mein nayi growth unlikely hai. Isliye, trading focus EUR/USD pair ke sales par hona chahiye. Market realities se align hone wali strategy follow kar ke, trading successful aur profitable ban sakti hai.



Agar price daily level ko surpass kar ke thodi higher internal level par rukti hai, to yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry considered ho sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karti hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo corrective pullback indicate karta hai. Isliye, ab bearish trading advisable hai. Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline show karti hai, eurozone ki economic health significantly United States se piche hai, jo sell-off support karti hai. Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend evident hai. Four-hour scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement show karta hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment signify karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Isliye, recommendations solely sales par inclined hain.

H4 Trading Chart on EURUSD:

H4 period chart - EURUSD currency pair. Guzishta hafta sellers jeet gaye. Hafta ke pehle hissay mein buyers ne upward push karne ki koshish ki, ek upward correction hui, MACD aur CCI indicators se growth signal processed hua, aur in par ek bullish divergence bani - jo growth ke liye ek strong signal tha. Lekin general trend ab bhi downward hi hai, wave structure apna order downwards banati hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai aur phir se apni signal line ke neeche gira hua hai.

Growth ke dauraan, price ne horizontal resistance level 1.0730 ko chhuwa aur aisa laga ke usne is level ko push through kiya, lekin yeh breakout sirf ek false signal tha. Agar aap is level ko daily chart par closing prices se mark karain, to koi breakout nazar nahi aata. Mukhtasir mein, unhone sirf ek false breakout kiya, jo khud mein ek sell signal hai. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose karein, to aapko ek potential downward target - level 161.8 nazar aata hai. Yeh significant low 1.0600 par hai, jo practically coincide karta hai. Yeh low mid-April mein shuru hone wali daily rally ka aaghaz hai.



Agle hafta, main sirf intraday downward trading ki tactic apnaunga, pullbacks aur sell formations ke formation par kaam karunga. Mujhe laga tha ke yeh guzishta hafta ka minimum update karenge, lekin kisi wajah se price yeh nahi kar payi. Kam az kam thoda sa minimum ke beyond jaa sakti thi, lekin aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne is hafta ka minimum almost wahi banaya jo guzishta hafta ka tha. Iska matlab yeh hai ke yeh level most likely update hoga, kam az kam, kyunki is level ke peeche shayad bahut saare stop orders hain.