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  • #661 Collapse

    Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) ka tabadla dar (EUR/USD), jo traders ke darmiyan "fiber" ke naam se mashhoor hai, Budh ke din 1.0700 ke aas paas ek pehchana jaane wala trading range mein qaim raha. Yeh isthirata juma ko anay wale data dump ke pehle aati hai, jo tajarbat karnewalon ko ehtiyat barqarar rakh raha hai. Wednesday ko kisi maayni tareen arthik khabar ki kami ne nisbat qaim trading ka natija diya. Sirf German GfK Consumer Confidence survey ka nai tajziya ke izhar ka waqia tha, jise tajziyat ne -20.9 se -18.9 tak ka halka of tahqiqana behtar hone ka izhaar kiya tha. European Central Bank ke sarbrah economist Philip Lane ka bhi ek taqreer mein shamil tha, lekin isse kisi nayi baat ka izhar anay ki umeed nahi thi. Doosri taraf, US ko apne bank stress test ke natayej jaari karne ka irada tha. Magar, ECB ke Lane ke tajziyat ki tarah, ye natayej pehle ke tests se bhatak nahi jaane ki umeed thi. Stress test high ghairmiqdar rukh ke imkaanat ke sath aik khayali scenario ko simmulate karta hai jisme buland be-rozgari, ahem market ki idaare ghairmojoodi, aur zaika real estate ke markers ko judge karta hai.


    Aage dekhte hain, Jum'a ke data releases currency traders ke liye buniyadi maqam hai. German retail sales figures for May aur US PCE inflation index for the same period ka nigahe tajziya kiya jayega. PCE inflation index US Federal Reserve ke liye ek ahem factor hai, aur investors umeed karte hain ke iska silsilaari ghata dekhne ko mile jisse September mein Federal Reserve ke plan ki hui interest rate cuts ko support mile. Takneekan, EUR/USD pair aik consolidation zone mein qaim hai. 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA) 1.071 pe baitha hai jo intraday price action mein asar andaz hota hai. Jab ke 1.0680 ke aas paas takneeki support hai, daily charts indecision dikhate hain. Haal ke price action se lagta hai ke aik sambhav downward move hai, jahan pair 200-day moving average (1.0798) ke karib tairta hai magar kafi bullish momentum hasil nahi kar pata hai taake iska toorna ho sake. Agar Euro mazeed kamzor hota hai, to woh haal hal recent lows jo 1.0600 ke aas paas the revisit kar sakta hai.
       
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    • #662 Collapse

      EUR/USD Price Action
      ​​​​​​
      EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis hamari conversation ka main mudda hoga. Euro/dollar currency pair ki bullish correction jaise ke expected tha, wo khatam ho chuki hai. Murray indicator ka istemal karke, correction regression channel ke darmiyan 1.0743 level par test karte waqt ruk gayi hai. Yeh hamare previous analyses ke saath align hota hai jo is currency pair ke liye dusre technical assessment methods ka istemal karte hain.

      Situation yeh hai ke char ghante ka stochastic jo ke already indicate kar raha hai ke pair overbought hai, ab downward turn shuru kar raha hai. Isi tarah, hum EUR/USD ke price mein pehle regression channel ke bottom ki taraf girne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Lekin, Murray indicator ke mutabiq, bears zyada push karne ki sambhavna hai, jahan wo 1.0682 mark ke qareeb 2/8 reversal level ko target kar sakte hain. Iske alawa, yeh bears ke liye third attempt hoga is level ko breach karne ka, jo ek market pattern emerge karne ki taraf ishara karta hai, jisse breakdown ki taraf le ja sakta hai.



      Bila shuba, yeh scenario is par depend karta hai ke kya fundamentals US dollar ko support karte hain ya nahi. Agar karte hain, toh hum ek zahir downward movement dekh sakte hain. Agar nahi karte hain, toh pair apne current positions par wapas aa sakte hain, jisse ek sideways movement Murray reversal level 1.0682 aur regression channel ke middle 1.0743 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Yeh pattern indicate karta hai ke agar underlying fundamentals unchanged rehte hain, toh ek potential range-bound market ho sakta hai.

      Maujooda technical indicators aur market patterns EUR/USD pair mein likely decline ko suggest karte hain, jahan 1.0682 aur 1.0743 critical levels next move determine karne mein pivotal roles play karte hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye potential breakouts ya reversals ke liye, market sentiment aur economic fundamentals ke shifts ke dependant.
         
      • #663 Collapse

        Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
        Euro ne pichle kaam karne wale hafte mein thoda sa gir gaya, pehle ke growth trend ko correct karte hue. Is waqt, price 1.0837 level se thoda niche toot gayi, jo ke ek key support tha. Is support ko todne ke baad, price ne apne losses ko wapas jeetne ki koshish ki aur 1.0837 ke upar wapas aa gayi, jahan yeh apne aap ko mazbooti se banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Pichle scenario mein jo expect kiya gaya tha, target area ko nahi pohanch sakte. Waqt guzarte hue, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers hedging kar rahe hain.

        Technical analysis ke nazariye se, aaj, 4-H pe ghoor se dekhte hue, negative simple moving average crossover price ko upar se suppress kar raha hai. Yahan se, downtrend ka imkaan hai, extended resistance 1.0875 aur 1.0900 ke niche day trading ke saath, kyun ke 1.0800 ke niche move hote hi aage losses ka rasta khulega towards 1.0730. Doosri taraf, 1.0900 ke upar trading stability expected bearish scenario ko rok sakti hai, jahan EUR/USD temporary recovery experience kar sakta hai, pehle 1.0970 tak barhte hue. Neeche chart dekhen:


        Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif direction mein trade kar raha hai aur hafte ke aghaz ke muqable mein thoda slow move kar raha hai. Central support zone test hui aur intact rahi, rebound ka sabab banti hai, jo ke preferred upward vector ki relevance ko dikhata hai. Price ko abhi current 1.0837 price area ke qareeb consolidate karni chahiye, jo ke central support area ke qareeb hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent bounce aur ek move higher ka mauka provide karega, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke beech mein.

        Agar support break hoti hai aur further 1.0763 pivot level ke niche girti hai, to current situation ulat jayegi.
           
        • #664 Collapse

          EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karne par hai. Jab rollback ki potential baat hoti hai, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh kyun successful ho sakti hai. Dollar fundamentals itne disruptive nahi hain ke sab kuch derail kar dein. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar specific decline pattern likely hai, to uski corrective phase bhi hone ka high likelihood hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh scenario plausible hai ya nahi. Main numerous euro pairs pe discuss nahi karunga jo euro ko upwards drive karne ke liye poised hain, kyunke yeh movements EUR/USD ke bullish direction pe depend karte hain. Jab EUR/USD upwards trend karega, to baqi pairs bhi likely follow karenge. Is tarah, current setup kuch euro pairs ke liye favorable lag raha hai, aur EUR/USD ka push sab kuch bullish direction mein propel kar sakta hai. Agar bulls ek pullback correction execute karte hain aur price daily level 1.07305 pe halt karti hai, aur trading stagnant rehti hai, to yeh situation bullish weakness indicate kar sakti hai aur shorts ke liye entry point serve kar sakti hai.
          EUR/USD pair mein observed consolidation phase suggest karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se result ho sakte hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein changes. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo upcoming news events aur doosre market-moving factors ke baare mein informed rahen jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. External factors ko monitor karne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo next significant move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar consolidation phase ke dauran chart patterns jaise triangles, flags, ya pennants mojood hon to yeh potential breakout direction ka hint de sakte hain. Isi tarah, technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), ya Bollinger Bands market ke momentum aur potential price targets ke baare mein valuable insights de sakte hain. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh traders ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai ke wo aisi strategies employ karein jo low-volatility environments ke liye well-suited hon. In strategies mein range trading shamil ho sakti hai, jahan traders support levels par buy karte hain aur resistance levels par sell karte hain within the narrow range. Alternatively, traders breakout strategies consider kar sakte hain, jahan wo apne aap ko position karte hain taake consolidation phase ke khatam hone ke baad significant price movements se capitalize kar saken.


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          • #665 Collapse

            EUR/USD currency pair ka timeframe chart par tajziya kuch interesting dynamics ko zayar karta hai jo is waqt unfold ho rahe hain. Notably, yeh pair ab tak 1.08030 level ko nahi choon saka, jo ek significant price point hai jise traders bohot qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh observation yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke price is key level ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai, ab tak isne isse test ya break karne ka faisla nahi kiya. Furthermore, intraday pivot levels ka tajziya dikhata hai ke yeh bohot zyada compressed hain. Yeh compression yeh indication hai ke market consolidation aur low volatility ke period se guzar rahi hai. Jab pivot levels tightly packed hotay hain, yeh aksar ka matlab hota hai ke price bohot narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai. Doosre lafzon mein, market participants ek state of indecision mein hain, aur kisi catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo price ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sake. Low volatility aur tight consolidation ke periods ko ek coiled spring se mushaba kiya ja sakta hai. Jitni der tak price ek narrow range mein rehti hai, utna hi significant breakout hota hai jab yeh finally occur karta hai. Traders aur analysts aksar anticipate karte hain ke aise compression ka period substantial price movement lead karta hai jab market ek direction ka faisla karti hai. Is liye, jabke EUR/USD pair is waqt low volatility experience kar rahi hai, yeh situation zyada der tak nahi rehti.
            EUR/USD pair mein observed consolidation phase suggest karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se result ho sakte hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein changes. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo upcoming news events aur doosre market-moving factors ke baare mein informed rahen jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. External factors ko monitor karne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo next significant move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar consolidation phase ke dauran chart patterns jaise triangles, flags, ya pennants mojood hon to yeh potential breakout direction ka hint de sakte hain.
            EUR/USD ne finally ek local downward trend form karna shuru kiya. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke pair 1.0600, 1.0450, aur shayad 1.0200 levels tak drop karegi. Lekin, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh targets sirf kuch hafton mein nahi pohoch sakte; yeh medium-term hain. Misal ke taur par, pair freely is hafte ke doran ek corrective phase se guzar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, hum medium-term mein euro ke rise hone ki koi wajah nahi dekhte.
            Wednesday ko traders ek bullish correction ke continuation expect kar sakte hain kyunki price ne 1.0726-1.0733 area breach kar liya hai. Lekin, is hafte ki volatility kam ho sakti hai.


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            • #666 Collapse

              Aaj US dollar do medium-impact news events se influenced hai jo Prelim Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations se related hain. Issi dauran, ECB President ka speech buyers ko support karne ka anticipation hai, jo euro ki value increase kar sakti hai. Wednesday ko volatile scenario ke baad, EUR/USD market abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Iske bawajood, agle kuch ghanton mein price ke 1.0775 zone cross karne ka potential hai.
              Trading purposes ke liye, main EUR/USD pe buy order place karne ka inclined hoon with a short-term target point set at 1.0845. Yeh strategy is expectation pe based hai ke ECB President ka speech euro ko positive momentum dega, jo US news events ke effects ko counterbalance karega. Prelim Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations data significant hain, lekin unka medium impact suggest karta hai ke market pe unka influence moderate hoga. Is liye, euro supportive remarks se benefit le sakta hai jo ECB de sakta hai, buyers ko edge de sakta hai.

              Is liye, trade karte waqt carefully trade karna crucial hai aur evolving market sentiment ke saath adapt karna zaroori hai. Recent volatility indicate karta hai ke market quickly shift ho sakti hai, jo essential banata hai informed rehna aur new information pe responsive rehna. A cautious approach, ECB ke speech aur US data pe attention ke saath, current trading environment navigate karne mein vital hoga.

              Overall, jab tak EUR/USD market sellers ke control mein hai, price ke 1.0775 zone cross karne ka potential ek opportunity open karta hai buy order ke liye. ECB President ka speech ek key factor hai jo euro ko higher drive kar sakta hai, making a target of 1.0845 achievable. Cautiously trade karte hue aur latest market sentiment ke saath strategies align karte hue, traders apne aapko position kar sakte hain taake potential upward movements EUR/USD market mein advantage le sakein. Dekhte hain agle kuch ghanton mein
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              • #667 Collapse

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                Euro/USD (EUR/USD) ke currency pair ka technical analysis aaj kuch khaas trends ko zahir kar raha hai. Daily trading ke douran, currency pair ne apna resistance level 1.0840 ko paar karne ki koshish ki thi, magar wo kamiyab nahi ho paya. Yeh resistance level ke neeche rehne ka matlab yeh hai ke sellers abhi bhi control mein hain aur price ko neeche ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

                H1 chart pe, hum dekh sakte hain ke price abhi 1.0738 ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai, jo ke ek significant level hai. Yeh level paar karne pe upward trend ka chance barh sakta hai. Magar, agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh ek bearish signal ho sakta hai, aur price 1.0650 ke target ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Is level pe pohonchne ke baad, agar selling pressure continue rehta hai, to price agle support level 1.0665 tak gir sakti hai.

                Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur Bollinger Bands bhi is movement ko support kar rahe hain. Price ne Bollinger Bands ke neeche ke band ko touch kiya hai, jo ke ek aur bearish signal ho sakta hai. Moving averages bhi downward trend ko support kar rahe hain, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi mazboot hai.

                Is waqt RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi neutral zone mein hai, magar agar yeh 50 level ke neeche aata hai to yeh ek aur bearish signal ho sakta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi bearish divergence ko zahir kar raha hai, jo ke price ke neeche girne ka imkaan zyada karta hai.

                In sab factors ko dekhte hue, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price 1.0738 ke upar close hoti hai, to upward trend ka chance barh sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.0650 ya 1.0665 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh selling signal ho sakta hai aur price further decline kar sakti hai.

                Aane wale dinon mein economic data releases aur geopolitical events bhi is currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Eurozone aur US se aane wale economic indicators aur central bank policies pe bhi traders ko nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar koi unexpected event hota hai, to yeh price ko sharply move kar sakta hai.

                Akhir mein, current technical indicators bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain, aur traders ko price levels aur key indicators pe closely nazar rakhni chahiye taake apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kar saken.
                   
                • #668 Collapse

                  H4 Trading Chat On EURUSD

                  Aaj hum phir se chart ke chaar ghantey ke period ko dekhenge. Yeh hafta Monday ko khula aur aahista aahista barhna shuru hua, pehle dheere dheere, aur Europe mein kaam ke din ke aghaz pe, price upar ki taraf barh gayi aur Monday ko barhti rahi. Jab ke wave structure abhi bhi neeche ki taraf order bana raha hai, MACD indicator bhi abhi tak lower sell zone mein hai. Kal, CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche ki taraf move karne ke liye tayar tha, jo ke general downward trend ke doran, decline ke liye bura signal nahi hai, jo yahan se shuru hua. Ab tak, mazeed decline ko 1.0721 ke support level ne roka hai, jis ke upar kal price consolidate hui thi aur hatta ke decline aur rebound dekar yeh dikhaya ke yeh level dekha hai. Jab tak price is level ke upar rehti hai, yeh mumkin hai ke growth pehle wave ke high se barh jaye, khaaskar kyun ke downward line ko upar ki taraf break kar diya gaya hai. Agar price successfully support level 1.0697 ke neeche consolidate kar leti hai, jo ke hourly chart par zyada clearly nazar aata hai, to mein samjhta hoon ke decline develop hoga, pichle hafte aur us se pehle wale hafte ke low ko update karte hue. Ajib baat hai, yeh low almost ek jese hi hain. Aur agar aap barhte hain, to yeh nice cheez hai ke is low spot ko match karna, yeh bohot khoobsurat lagta hai, do identical bottoms, mujhe lagta hai ke price inhe anqareeb touch karna chahegi. General tor par, agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose karte hain, to aap ek potential downward target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8. Yeh precisely significant low 1.0600 par located hai, levels practically coincide karte hain. Yeh low mid-April mein shuru hone wale daily rally ka aghaz hai. Aaj ke economic calendar se main khabar 17-00 Moscow time pe USA mein naye housing sales hain. Baaki kuch khaas ahem nahi
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                  • #669 Collapse

                    Agle EU session mein, EUR/USD pair ne zabardast kamzori dekhaayi, aur foran support 1.0683 ko chhoo raha tha. Euro ki ye girawat France mein ek achanak siyasi halchal ki wajah se hui. President Emmanuel Macron ka ghair-maamooli faisla ke wo parliament ko todenge aur snap election karwaenge ne market mein uncertainty peda ki, jo ke siyasi stability ko undermine kar rahi hai.

                    Eurozone mein siyasi adam itminan

                    Eurozone ka siyasi manzar Macron ke is qadam se zabardast tor pe disturbed hua, jo ke National Rally ki far-right party ke Jordan Bardella se haarne ke baad aya. Ye siyasi halchal Euro pe sayaa daal rahi hai, isko doosri bari currencies ke muqable mein kamzor bana rahi hai. France ke aney wale elections ke hawale se uncertainty, Euro pe bharri asar daal rahi hai.

                    Federal Reserve ka moqaf

                    Is ke saath, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke ehtiyaati rate cuts stance ne mazid mazbooti di hai. Fed policymakers ne kaha hai ke disinflation process mein mustaqil progress zaroori hai pehle ke kisi bhi rate cut ko consider kiya jaye. Agar rate cut jaldi kiya gaya, to inflationary pressures dobara ubhar sakte hain. Is ehtiyaati approach ne US Dollar ki appeal ko barhawa diya hai, aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ne apne gains ko crucial 105.00 support level ke ooper maintain kiya hai.

                    EUR/USD Technical Analysis

                    Ye pair risk mein hai ke agle significant support level 1.0655 ke kareeb drop ho jaye, aur mumkin hai ke 1.0600 mark tak bhi pohanch jaye, jo ke April mein is saal ka low tha. Agar ye level decisively break hota hai, to recent downtrend ka extension dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafte se shuru hoke 1.0900 mark ke just ooper tha.
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                    Pair ne ek V-shaped recovery ki hai, jab ke ye 1.0710 ke kareeb takriban five-week low pe plunge hua tha. Long-term outlook positive hogaya jab ye 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke ooper rebound hua, jo ke abhi 1.0719 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. 14-period Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ne 40.00 ke kareeb support liya aur stable rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek likely consolidation period ko indicate kar raha hai.
                       
                    • #670 Collapse

                      naya trading hafta shuru ho gaya hai aur hum phir se period D1 ke chart par nazar daalenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Pichle haftay ke doran Jumma tak, keemat maximum tak pohanch chuki thi, jahan takreen aur talaqat ki mukhtalif qism ke jhaale ban rahe thay, yahan wahan ja rahi thi, yeh tasveer din ke andar chhotay arse mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Sab kuch Jumma ko hal ho gaya. Aham khabron ka aik silsila America mein aya aur keemat tezi se buland ho gayi. Is khabar se America mein keemat tezi se buland ho gayi, lekin sirf American dollar hi nahi, yeh market ke poore shuay mein mazid mazboot ho gaya. America ke non-agricultural sector mein munsif logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli aayi aur woh peshgiyon se bilkul behtar sabit hui, jo American currency ko mazbooti dene ke liye acha hai. Lekin doosra indicator, be-rozgar ki dar, mukhalif taur par barh gayi, jo dollar ke liye manfi hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh khabrein aapas mein tawazun banana chahiye thi, lekin kisi wajah se dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya. Shayad is wajah se ke aik technical tasveer thi zyadatar asli aalaaton ke liye. Yahan tak ke jaldi girne ki nishaaniyan bhi thien, aur sab se pehle, yeh bearish divergence ke mojoodgi thi jo MACD aur CCI indicators mein istemal hoti hai. Lambe arse tak keemat ne neeche nahi jana chahti thi aur phir sab kuch khabron par hua. Hal hi mein keemat ne neeche ki taraf aik price gap ke sath kholi, mujhe kehna chahiye ke yeh gaps lambi muddat se nahi thay, aam tor par woh jagah par kholta thi jahan hafta band hota tha, lekin yahan woh khaas zyada bara nahi tha, lekin neeche ki taraf ka gap girte raha. Mustaqbil mein keemat aik oonchi hui rekha tak pohanch sakti hai jo neeche se guzarti hai. Lekin aik neeche ki taraf qareebi mojoodgi ko barhane ke baad lena chahiye; yeh keemat banne wala gap band karne aur 1.0800 ke resistance level ko test karne ka buland ihtimal

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                      • #671 Collapse

                        Aik naya trading hafta shuru ho gaya hai aur hum phir se period D1 ke chart par nazar daalenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Pichle haftay ke doran Jumma tak, keemat maximum tak pohanch chuki thi, jahan takreen aur talaqat ki mukhtalif qism ke jhaale ban rahe thay, yahan wahan ja rahi thi, yeh tasveer din ke andar chhotay arse mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Sab kuch Jumma ko hal ho gaya. Aham khabron ka aik silsila America mein aya aur keemat tezi se buland ho gayi. Is khabar se America mein keemat tezi se buland ho gayi, lekin sirf American dollar hi nahi, yeh market ke poore shuay mein mazid mazboot ho gaya. America ke non-agricultural sector mein munsif logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli aayi aur woh peshgiyon se bilkul behtar sabit hui, jo American currency ko mazbooti dene ke liye acha hai. Lekin doosra indicator, be-rozgar ki dar, mukhalif taur par barh gayi, jo dollar ke liye manfi hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh khabrein aapas mein tawazun banana chahiye thi, lekin kisi wajah se dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya. Shayad is wajah se ke aik technical tasveer thi zyadatar asli aalaaton ke liye. Yahan tak ke jaldi girne ki nishaaniyan bhi thien, aur sab se pehle, yeh bearish divergence ke mojoodgi thi jo MACD aur CCI indicators mein istemal hoti hai. Lambe arse tak keemat ne neeche nahi jana chahti thi aur phir sab kuch khabron par hua. Hal hi mein keemat ne neeche ki taraf aik price gap ke sath kholi, mujhe kehna chahiye ke yeh gaps lambi muddat se nahi thay, aam tor par woh jagah par kholta thi jahan hafta band hota tha, lekin yahan woh khaas zyada bara nahi tha, lekin neeche ki taraf ka gap girte raha. Mustaqbil mein keemat aik oonchi hui rekha tak pohanch sakti hai jo neeche se guzarti hai. Lekin aik neeche ki taraf qareebi mojoodgi ko barhane ke baad lena chahiye; yeh keemat banne wala gap band karne aur 1.0800 ke resistance level ko test karne ka buland ihtimal
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                        • #672 Collapse

                          EUR/USD
                          Jerman ki maali surat-e-haal behtar hone ki ummeedain kamzor maang ke atraaf se kamzor hone ki wajah se barh rahi hain, is wajah se ummeedain barh rahi hain ke ECB (European Central Bank) ne musalsal rate cuts ka elaan kare ga. Peer ko data ne zahir kiya ke Jerman ki IFO Expectations Index aam tor par 91.0 se kam hokar 89.0 par gir gayi, jabke pehle ki jariye 90.3 (jo keh 90.4 se nichle darjey par revise ki gayi thi) thi. Is data ke jawab mein, IFO ke president Clemens Fuest ne kaha, "Jerman ki maaliyat stagnation ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai."

                          Wednesday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair 1.0700 ke gol level support ke neeche gir gaya hai. Euro ki short-term outlook mein izafa hone ke imkaanat kum ho gaye hain jis ki wajah se ECB ke agle rate cuts ke aas paas shak-o-shuba barh rahe hain. EUR/USD pair ne mukhtalif maaliat ke neeche pivotal 1.0700 support level ke neeche chhapa hai. Yeh mukhtasar currency pair daily chart ke 1.0750 mark ke qareeb bechnay wale dabao ke qareeb hai, jo ke 28 December 2023 ke 1.1140 se draw ki gayi symmetrical triangle ki downward-sloping edge hai.

                          Pair mein 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trading ho rahi hai, jo keh negative short-term outlook ko darshata hai. EURUSD ke daam mein kal neeche ki taraf dabao tha, jab 1.0720 ke level se neeche gir gaya. Ab yeh stochastic par positively overlap karne laga hai, jo keh ishara hai ke daam tayyar hai keh intraday basis par muntazir bullish trend ko dobara shuru kare. Daam ka intezar hai keh 1.0750 ko paar karke seedha 1.0840 ki taraf tezi se chalay.

                          Is natijay mein, hum apne agle time frame ke liye bullish trend ki tavsiyat par qaim rahenge, jahan 1.0675$ ko paar hona tay karega keh muntazir faida ka khatma aur daam ki giravat shuru ho jayegi.
                             
                          • #673 Collapse

                            EUR/USD pair ke liye. Is liye, meri tarjeeh agle hafte EUR/USD bechne ki hai. Magar, mein mojooda levels par nahi bechunga; mein intezar karunga ke price 1.0885 ya is se upar tak jaaye. Technically, yeh imkaan dikh raha hai. Agar price 1.0885 se upar jaati hai, to yeh 1.09 range tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan par strong resistance hai, jo short trades ke liye moqay faraham karta hai. Agar price 1.0860 range ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh aane wale rate increase ka signal hoga. 1.0810 range par false breakout continued growth ko confirm kar sakta hai. Filhal, mein umeed karta hoon ke rate barhega aur 1.0860 range ko tor kar upar nikal jayega. Agar price 1.0880 range ko tor deti hai, to mazeed growth likely hai, aur us waqt purchases ko consider kiya ja sakta hai.
                            Mein 1.0945 range ka breakout bhi expect kar raha hoon, aur is ke upar consolidation buying ka signal hoga. Agar price 1.0890 ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh buying opportunities ka indarajat karegi. 1.0810 range se growth barhati rahegi. Price confidentally upar gayi hai ek strong bullish impulse ke sath, aur ek full bullish candle banayi jo 1.08850 resistance level ke upar close hui. Mojooda scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement continue reh sakti hai, agle objectives 1.09425 aur 1.09812 par target karte hue. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla, agar price in levels ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh 1.11393 resistance level ki taraf barh sakti hai. Is maqam par, mein trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga taake next direction ka pata chal sake. Dousra, agar reversal candle 1.09425 ya 1.09812 resistance levels ke qareeb banegi, to price downward movement resume kar sakti hai. Is surat mein, mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.08850 ya 1.07882 support levels par wapas aa sakti hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dekhunga, aur upside recovery ki umeed karunga. Halanki, mazeed dour ke southern objectives ka target karna mumkin hai, magar filhal mein in ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki immediate prospects nahi hain. In summary, mujhe lagta hai ke price upward move karti rahegi aur next bullish objectives ko target karegi. Wahaan se, mein market conditions ko assess karun
                            EUR/USD currency pair 1.0745 ke resistance ko break nahi kar payegi, balki wahan se rebound karegi aur price south ki taraf jayegi. Minimum ko update karegi ya nahi, abhi clear nahi hai. Magar main minimum update karne ke haq mein hoon aur ise 1.0630-1.0620 tak reduce karne ke liye. Purchasing targets hourly chart par form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.0720 value pe hai. Dusra target level 261.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.0744 value pe hai. Teesra target level 423.6 Fibonacci grid par 1.0781 value ke mutabiq hai.
                            Click image for larger version

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                            • #674 Collapse

                              EUR/USD pair ke liye. Is liye, meri tarjeeh agle hafte EUR/USD bechne ki hai. Magar, mein mojooda levels par nahi bechunga; mein intezar karunga ke price 1.0885 ya is se upar tak jaaye. Technically, yeh imkaan dikh raha hai. Agar price 1.0885 se upar jaati hai, to yeh 1.09 range tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan par strong resistance hai, jo short trades ke liye moqay faraham karta hai. Agar price 1.0860 range ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh aane wale rate increase ka signal hoga. 1.0810 range par false breakout continued growth ko confirm kar sakta hai. Filhal, mein umeed karta hoon ke rate barhega aur 1.0860 range ko tor kar upar nikal jayega. Agar price 1.0880 range ko tor deti hai, to mazeed growth likely hai, aur us waqt purchases ko consider kiya ja sakta hai.
                              Mein 1.0945 range ka breakout bhi expect kar raha hoon, aur is ke upar consolidation buying ka signal hoga. Agar price 1.0890 ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh buying opportunities ka indarajat karegi. 1.0810 range se growth barhati rahegi. Price confidentally upar gayi hai ek strong bullish impulse ke sath, aur ek full bullish candle banayi jo 1.08850 resistance level ke upar close hui. Mojooda scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement continue reh sakti hai, agle objectives 1.09425 aur 1.09812 par target karte hue. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla, agar price in levels ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh 1.11393 resistance level ki taraf barh sakti hai. Is maqam par, mein trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga taake next direction ka pata chal sake. Dousra, agar reversal candle 1.09425 ya 1.09812 resistance levels ke qareeb banegi, to price downward movement resume kar sakti hai. Is surat mein, mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.08850 ya 1.07882 support levels par wapas aa sakti hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dekhunga, aur upside recovery ki umeed karunga. Halanki, mazeed dour ke southern objectives ka target karna mumkin hai, magar filhal mein in ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki immediate prospects nahi hain. In summary, mujhe lagta hai ke price upward move karti rahegi aur next bullish objectives ko target karegi. Wahaan se, mein market conditions ko assess karun
                              EUR/USD currency pair 1.0745 ke resistance ko break nahi kar payegi, balki wahan se rebound karegi aur price south ki taraf jayegi. Minimum ko update karegi ya nahi, abhi clear nahi hai. Magar main minimum update karne ke haq mein hoon aur ise 1.0630-1.0620 tak reduce karne ke liye. Purchasing targets hourly chart par form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.0720 value pe hai. Dusra target level 261.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.0744 value pe hai. Teesra target level 423.6 Fibonacci grid par 1.0781 value ke mutabiq hai.


                              Click image for larger version

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                              • #675 Collapse

                                EUR/USD


                                EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke is waqt 1.0739 pe trade kar raha hai, noticeable bearish trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh value mein decline macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur prevailing market sentiments ka combination hai jo euro aur US dollar dono ko affect kar rahe hain.

                                Kayi macroeconomic indicators EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. Misal ke tor pe, Eurozone ka economic performance United States ke muqable mein relatively lackluster raha hai. Recent data ne slower-than-expected growth rates dikhayi hain, sath hi kuch Eurozone countries mein persistently high inflation bhi dekhi gayi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne monetary policy ke mamle mein cautious stance maintain kiya hai, jo gradual rate hikes opt kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke more aggressive approach se contrast karta hai. Fed ke series of interest rate hikes ka maqsad inflation ko curb karna hai, jisne US dollar ko bolster kiya hai, isse investors ke liye zyada attractive banaya hai aur is wajah se EUR/USD pair pe downward pressure aaya hai.

                                Geopolitical events bhi currency markets ko influence karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Ukraine mein ongoing conflict ne far-reaching economic repercussions diye hain, khaaskar Europe ke liye. Eurozone ki proximity to the conflict aur uski heavy reliance on Russian energy supplies ne economic uncertainties aur disruptions ko lead kiya hai. Energy prices soar hui hain, jo inflation ko contribute kar rahi hain aur economic recovery efforts ko slow down kar rahi hain. Iske contrast mein, United States, jab ke global economic shifts se bhi affect hota hai, ne conflict se utni direct economic impact face nahi ki jitni Europe ne ki hai. Yeh relative stability ne US dollar ko euro ke against strengthen kiya hai.

                                Moreover, Eurozone aur United States ke beech ke trade dynamics bhi currency pair ko impact karte hain. Trade tensions, tariffs mein changes, aur shifting trade policies exchange rate mein fluctuations la sakti hain. Is waqt, US aise policies pursue kar raha hai jo domestic production aur exports ko favor karti hain, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakti hain. Conversely, Eurozone ki trade policies Brexit aur doosri internal market challenges se affect hui hain, jo euro ki weakness ko badhati hain.

                                Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ka bearish trend, jo ke is waqt 1.0739 pe trade kar raha hai, macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments ke confluence ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Eurozone aur United States ke economic performance aur monetary policies, geopolitical tensions jaise ke Ukraine ka conflict, aur shifting market perceptions yeh sab current exchange rate ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Jese jese yeh factors evolve hote hain, yeh future mein bhi EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko undoubtedly influence karte rahenge.

                                   

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