Eur/usd

EUR/USD pair ke M30 timeframe chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi market mein thoda complex pattern ban raha hai. Recent price movement ne kuch significant levels touch kiye hain, jo traders ke liye achi opportunities create kar sakte hain.
Sabse pehle, chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne 1.0973 ke resistance level ko touch kiya tha, magar uske baad downward movement start hui aur price 1.0912 ke support level tak pohanch gayi. Yeh significant drop ke baad price ne phir se recover kiya aur 1.0965 tak wapas aayi. Lekin, yeh bhi notice karna zaroori hai ke yeh movement zigzag pattern mein ho rahi thi, jo ki bullish aur bearish waves ko represent karta hai.

Chart par annotations se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke kuch key points hain jahan pe price reversals dekhi gayi hain. Yeh points important hote hain kyunki yahan pe price action ka behaviour predict karna thoda easy ho jata hai. Jaise ke, agar price 1.0968 tak wapas jati hai aur uske baad reversal hoti hai, to yeh indication ho sakti hai ke market mein phir se downward pressure aayega.

Isi tarah, agar price 1.0945 tak niche aati hai aur phir se upar jati hai, to yeh support level confirm hota hai. Aise scenarios mein buy positions lena achi strategy ho sakti hai, lekin proper risk management ke sath.

Chart ke analysis se yeh bhi lagta hai ke next major resistance level 1.1004 par ho sakta hai. Agar price us level ko break karti hai, to upward momentum barh sakta hai aur further gains possible hain. Lekin, agar price fail hoti hai us level ko break karne mein, to phir downward correction ka chance barh jata hai.

Overall, yeh chart analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke market abhi volatile hai aur price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Entry aur exit points ka dhyan rakhna aur market signals ko follow karna successful trading ke liye essential hai.

Umeed hai yeh review aapke liye helpful hoga aur trading decisions lene mein madad karega. Hamesha apni strategies ko market ke mutabiq adjust karen aur safe trading practices follow karen.

EUR/USD currency pair ka analysis karte waqt rollback ki potential ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. Rollback ka matlab hota hai ke price apne previous level par wapas aati hai. Yeh phenomena markets main kaafi common hai aur different factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai.

Sabse pehle, technical analysis ka role bohot important hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels, traders ko price ke rollback hone ke signals de sakte hain. Jab price in key levels ke aas-paas pohchti hai, toh reversal ya rollback hone ka chance barh jata hai.

Dusra, fundamental factors bhi rollback ki potential ko influence karte hain. For example, agar European Central Bank (ECB) ya Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates main changes announce karein, toh yeh EUR/USD ki price movements ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Agar economic data, jaise GDP growth, unemployment rate, ya inflation, expected se different aata hai, toh bhi price rollback hone ki chances hoti hain.

Teesra, market sentiment bhi ek key factor hai. Agar investors ka mood bullish se bearish ya vice versa ho jaye, toh price rollback hone ki chances badh jati hain. News events, political changes, aur global economic trends, sab market sentiment ko impact karte hain. Agar sentiment bohot strong ho, toh yeh price movements ko dramatic tarike se change kar sakta hai.

In sab factors ko milake, EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko predict karna asan nahi hai, magar technical analysis, fundamental factors, market sentiment, liquidity, aur risk management strategies ko consider karke, traders better decisions le sakte hain aur rollback ki potential ko utilize kar sakte hain. Accurate analysis aur informed trading decisions se hi successful trading ki ja sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek trading channel develop kiya hai, jo ek accumulation phase ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab hai ki price ek defined range ke andar move kar rahi hai jab traders currency ko relatively stable levels par khareedte aur bechte hain. Daily chart par downward trend hone ke bawajood, kisi bhi strong downward movement ki koi significant indication abhi tak nahi hai. Abhi lag raha hai ki market apne trend ko continue karne ke liye wait kar rahi hai.
Ek important point hai jo dekhna hai, wo trading channel ka lower boundary hai jo 1.0669 par hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, to yeh ek strong bearish move ko indicate karega. Is scenario mein, price ka expected hai ki wo further drop karega 1.0686 se lekar 1.0674 tak ke range mein. Yeh area ek support zone ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan se price bounce back ya phir direction change karne ki possibility hai.
Monthly chart ki taraf dekhte hue, ek pattern hai jo ek long-term decline ko suggest karta hai, chahe price kabhi kabhi increase ho. Is pattern ko "the well" bhi kaha jata hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ki short-term increases hone ke bawajood, overall trend downward rehta hai. Ek significant range bhi hai jo monitor karne layak hai, 1.0680 se lekar 1.0720 tak. Agar price is upper boundary ko break karti hai, to shuru mein wo rise kar sakti hai aur naye high tak pahunch sakti hai. Lekin yeh breakout temporary ho sakta hai, aur jald hi price reverse ho kar apne downward movement ko continue kar sake. Yeh possible scenario suggest karta hai ki chahe short-term gains ho sakte hain, lekin long-term outlook abhi bhi decline ko point karta hai.
EUR/USD pair ab ek accumulation phase mein hai jo ek defined trading channel ke andar hai. Daily chart par ek downward trend dikh raha hai, lekin is trend ko confirm karne ke liye abhi tak koi strong movement nahi hua hai. Key levels jo dekhne layak hain, wo 1.0669 neeche aur 1.0680-1.0720 upar hai. Agar price 1.0669 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh aur declines ko indicate kar sakta hai, jabki upper boundary ko break karna short-term gains laa sakta hai phir downward trend ko continue karte hue.
Monthly chart par ek long-term bearish outlook hai, chahe potential short-term fluctuations bhi ho sakte hain. Traders ko in critical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taaki unhe market ke movements ke aadhar par informed decisions leni mein madad mile.

EUR/USD currency pair ne is subah mazbooti dikhayi hai, 1.0670 level ke upar trade karte hue. Market analysts aur traders is movement ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, khaaskar recent news ke hawale se jo ke United States se aa rahi hain. Yeh developments US dollar ko kamzor kar sakti hain, jisse EUR/USD pair mein ek significant upward trajectory dekhi ja sakti hai
Agar hum US ke mojooda economic landscape ko ghor se dekhen toh kaafi mix factors hain jo ke dollar ki potential kamzori mein contribute kar rahe hain. Key economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates, employment statistics, aur fiscal policies par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. Misal ke taur par, agar inflation barh rahi hai bina Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein izafa ke, toh US dollar ki purchasing power kam ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, agar employment figures expectations par poora nahi utarte, toh yeh economy mein underlying weaknesses ka ishara de sakti hain, jo ke dollar ki strength ko aur zyada affect kar sakti hain
Geopolitical tensions aur trade policies bhi currency values ko influence karne mein ahm kirdar ada karti hain. Koi bhi negative news ya international trade agreements ya political stability ke hawale se uncertainties investor confidence ko impact kar sakti hain, jisse USD mein fluctuations aa sakti hain. Investors aur traders aise waqt mein safe-haven currencies jaise ke Euro ko talash karte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko upar drive kar sakti hain.



In potential scenarios ko madde nazar rakhte hue, agar US dollar ki position significantly weaken hoti hai, toh EUR/USD pair mein rapid rise dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, is rise ke materialize hone ke liye aur pair ko 1.0830 level tak pahunchne ke liye, kaafi technical levels ko overcome karna hoga. 1.0774 level ek critical zone ke tor par samjha jata hai. Yeh level sirf ek random figure nahi hai, balki aksar significant resistance level mana jata hai jise price ko breach karna hoga pehle ke koi further upward movement sustain ho sake
Aaj kal, US economy ke baray mein mix indicators hain. Inflation agar barh raha hai bina interest rates ke izafa ke, toh yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Employment figures agar expectations par poora nahi utarte, toh economy mein underlying weaknesses ka ishara de sakti hain, jo ke dollar ki strength ko aur zyada affect kar sakti hain
Geopolitical tensions aur trade policies bhi currency values ko influence karne mein ahm kirdar ada karti hain. Koi bhi negative news ya international trade agreements ya political stability ke hawale se uncertainties investor confidence ko impact kar sakti hain, jisse USD mein fluctuations aa sakti hain. Investors aur traders aise waqt mein safe-haven currencies jaise ke Euro ko talash karte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko upar drive kar sakti hain
In sab ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair agar rapid rise dekhta hai toh uske liye zaroori hoga ke technical levels ko overcome kiya jaye. 1.0774 level ek critical zone hai. Yeh level aksar significant resistance level mana jata hai jise price ko breach karna hoga pehle ke koi further upward movement sustain ho sake.

Jummah ko, EUR/USD ka rujhan neechay ki taraf tha, aur yeh 1.0686 ke aas paas chal raha tha ek choti si rukawat ke baad.
Dollar ne thodi dair ke liye girawat dekhi, jo ke America ke mixed economic indicators aur market expectations ki wajah se tha. Yeh sab special PCE inflation report ko Federal Reserve ke decision-making process ke liye central bana rahe the. Kal ke data ne yeh dikhaya ke US mein berozgaari data umeed se ziada gira aur May ke durable goods orders thode se barhe, halan ke core PCE mein girawat dekhi gayi.

Q1 2024 ke latest GDP estimates ko thoda sa revised up kiya gaya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke America ki economy thodi behter ho rahi hai. Pehle estimate ki gayi 1.3% growth ke muqable mein economy 1.4% barhi, jab ke Q4 2023 mein 3.4% growth thi. U.S. Treasury yields bhi thodi si giri, jis se dollar ne thodi dair ke liye retreat liya. Magar market dynamics ab tabdeel ho rahe hain kyun ke aaj ke financial releases par ziada tawajju di ja rahi hai, jin mein key PCE data, personal income aur spending, aur University of Michigan May Consumer Sentiment Index shaamil hain.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis EUR/USD ka forecast yeh hai ke yeh 1.0666 tak gira aur phir 1.0715 tak correct hua. Filhal market ka target 1.0655 hai aur ek aur downward wave bana raha hai. Agar yeh level reach ho gaya, to yeh kam az kam 1.0690 tak wapas aa sakta hai pehle ke apni downside ko 1.0577 tak continue kare. Yeh bearish outlook MACD indicator se support hoti hai, jo ke abhi bhi zero ke neeche hai aur strong downward trend dikhata hai.

EUR/USD Forecast H1 chart par, EUR/USD 1.0690 ke aas paas strong ho raha hai. Ek move neechay isay further decline tak le ja sakti hai 1.0655 tak. Iske baad ek correction 1.0640 tak expected hai, aur phir ek aur drop 1.0640 tak dekha ja sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator jo ke 20 ke kareeb hai, is se yeh andaza hota hai ke ek aur decline ho sakta hai pehle ke 80 recover ho, jo ke short-term move instability dikhata hai.

Is waqt euro foreign exchange market mein challenging situation ka samna kar raha hai. Hali mein, yeh 1.0689 level se neeche gir gaya, jo ke ek notable point hai aur isne analysts aur traders ki tawajju hasil ki hai. Yeh movement euro ke future trajectory ke bare mein potential volatility ka signal deti hai aur is par bohot ziada speculation ho rahi hai.
Abhi ke liye, euro ne key support level 1.0670 ke ooper rehne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, magar market dynamics suggest karte hain ke yeh support hamesha ke liye nahi reh sakta. Yeh level significant hai kyunke yeh traders aur investors ke liye ek psychological threshold ko represent karta hai. Agar yeh breach ho gaya, to yeh sentiment mein ek shift ka signal de sakta hai aur potentially ek zyada sustained decline ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Kayi factors euro ki precarious position mein contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, Eurozone se aane wala economic data mixed hai, kuch countries recovery dikhati hain jabke doosri abhi bhi struggle kar rahi hain. Yeh uneven economic performance Eurozone economy ki overall health ke bare mein uncertainty create karta hai aur, iske extension mein, euro ki strength ke bare mein bhi.

Iske ilawa, doosre major currencies, khaaskar US dollar ki relative strength bhi ek important consideration hai. US dollar recently kaafi strong raha hai, positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ke expectations ki wajah se. Ek strong dollar aam tor par ek weak euro ko mean karta hai, kyunke yeh dono currencies aksar inversely correlated hoti hain.

Short term mein, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke euro ko additional downside risks ka samna ho sakta hai. Traders support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur doosre technical indicators ko closely monitor karte hain potential price movements ko gauge karne ke liye. Agar euro 1.0670 support level ke ooper rehne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh further selling pressure ko prompt kar sakta hai, jo ke ek more pronounced decline tak le ja sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke currency markets inherently unpredictable hain, jo ke economic, political, aur psychological factors ke complex interplay se influenced hote hain. Jabke euro ka current outlook challenging lag raha hai, unexpected developments hamesha landscape ko alter kar sakti hain. For instance, Eurozone se positive economic data, geopolitical tensions ka resolution, ya central bank policies mein shift euro ko support provide kar sakti hain aur uske downward trend ko potentially reverse kar sakti hain.

Akhir mein, euro is waqt ek precarious position mein hai, 1.0689 level se neeche gir gaya hai aur further declines ka possibility face kar raha hai. Jabke key support level 1.0670 ab tak breach nahi hua, market conditions suggest karte hain ke yeh threshold near future mein test ho sakta hai. Investors aur traders closely economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur central bank actions ko watch karenge euro ke next moves ko gauge karne ke liye. Jaise ke hamesha, foreign exchange market ek dynamic aur unpredictable environment hai, jahan fortunes multiple factors ki wajah se rapidly change ho sakti hain.

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD currency pair ke price action par hamari investigation aur discussion focus hogi. EUR/USD ke girawat ne ek wide cost channel mein shape liya hai, aur yeh price ko is medium-term hall ke lower limit tak le gaya. Yeh descending momentum shayad weekly trading ke end tak complete ho sakti hai. EUR/USD is decline passage ke support limit tak pohncha aur thoda rebound karne laga, trading week ko 1.0701 ke aas paas close kiya, jo ke cost channel ke support limit se thoda upar hai. Is technical situation ke madde nazar, hum anticipate kar sakte hain ke pair mein further price correction ho sakti hai, khaaskar ek growing pullback movement current corridor ke andar.

EUR/USD ka daily chart week ke start mein uncertainty dikhata hai, jahan euro-dollar ke paas kuch chances hain ke apni upward movement ko continue kare. Weekend ke liye, EUR/USD levels ka technical markup medium-term price chart aur four hours chart par kuch is tarah se lagta hai:




Lekin, jab price Kijun line ke neeche gir gayi aur negative "dead cross" ko confirm kar diya, to descending energy continue hui, jisne negative course ko weekly aur daily frames mein dominant banaya. EUR/USD ko 1.0731 par significant resistance ka samna hai cloud ke lower border ke saath. Agar trend break ho gaya to bulls apna pullback extend kar sakte hain upper cloud border tak jo ke 1.0791 par hai; lekin yeh trading ke dauran zyada clear hoga. Price support zone 1.0629/1.0589 ya shayad usse neeche continue karegi ek possible pullback ke baad.

EUR/USD trajectory ko effectively navigate karne ke liye, yeh development suggest karta hai ke intraday levels aur market indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Ongoing technical indicators aur cost patterns kehtay hain ke descending trend continue karegi, lekin changes aur corrections bhi possible hain. Traders agar in factors ko closely watch karein, to well-informed decisions le sakte hain, opportunities ko seize kar sakte hain, aur risks ko manage kar sakte hain is ever-changing market mein.

Currency Market Overview
Aaj ka din currency market mein ek interesting din hone ka wada karta hai, jahan nuanced movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Halanki ek minor retracement hui hai, lekin further upward momentum ka potential compelling lagta hai. Filhal sab ki nazrein 1.0740 ke pivotal price level par hain, jo ek significant resistance point ka kaam karta hai. Observers bade keen hain ke market is critical zone mein kaise respond karega.

Recent trading sessions mein, currency pair ne resilience dikhai hai, jo underlying strength ko hint karti hai. Yeh resilience ek series of supportive factors ki wajah se bolstered hui hai, including robust economic data releases aur evolving geopolitical developments. Aise factors ne market ki cautious optimism ko contribute kiya hai, despite periodic fluctuations.

Traders aur analysts dono hi closely key technical indicators ko monitor kar rahe hain potential bullish continuation ke signals ke liye. 1.0740 mark ke around behavior particularly crucial hai, kyun ke yeh further upward movement ke liye ek launchpad ka kaam kar sakta hai. Market sentiment cautiously optimistic hai, aur aane wale sessions mein sustained momentum ki expectations hain.

Iske ilawa, broader economic landscape bhi current market dynamics ko depth deti hai. Central bank policies aur global economic data releases investor sentiment aur currency valuations ko influence karti rehti hain. Yeh factors ek comprehensive approach ko underline karti hain market analysis ke liye, jo ke technical aur fundamental perspectives dono ko incorporate karti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko advised kiya jata hai ke evolving market conditions ko response mein vigilant aur adaptable rahen. Strategy mein flexibility paramount hogi jab currency pair potential volatility ko navigate karega. Risk management strategies essential hain taake unforeseen market events ko mitigate kar sakein aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein.

Conclusion mein, aaj ka market outlook challenges ke sath saath astute traders ke liye opportunities bhi offer karta hai. Focus strategic price levels ko navigate karne par rahega, with a keen eye on developments around critical resistance at 1.0740. Jaise jaise market dynamics unfold hoti hain, proactive decision-making aur market sentiment ki nuanced understanding key hogi potential upward movements ko capitalize karne ke liye.

Trading Updates
EUR/USD pair ka price action bar bar rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin consistently nahi ho pa raha. Hatta ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan close crossover bhi hua jo golden cross signal ka indicator ban sakta tha. Magar sellers ki dominance ne price ko decline continue karne par majboor kar diya. Agar dekhein, to correction stage ke dauran price jo rise hui thi, woh FR 61.8 – 1.0716 se FR 70.5 – 1.0723 tak complete hui. For example, agar upward correction phase FR 78.6 – 1.0730 ya us se zyada tak pohanchti, to downward rally ko continue karna mushkil hota. Is waqt, price EMA 50 ke neeche FR 23.6 – 1.0686 ko test karegi taake lower low-lower high pattern ko 1.0667 lows ke neeche continue kar sake.




Awesome Oscillator (AO) volume histogram par uptrend momentum weak hoti hui dikhai de rahi hai, jo downward rally ko largely support kar rahi hai. Safe side par rehne ke liye, red histogram ka volume 0 level ya negative area ke neeche hona chahiye. Lekin, Stochastic indicator price ko upward correction support karne ke liye inclined hai kyun ke parameters oversold zone ko cross karke 50 level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar assume karein ke upward correction phase zyada dominant hai aur price FR 23.6-1.0686 ko paar nahi kar sakti, to iska matlab yeh hai ke high prices 1.0727 par structure breakout ka dusra mauka ho sakta hai.

Entry Position Setting:

Bearish trend ke direction ko follow karte hue trading plans ab bhi SELL moment ka wait kar rahe hain. Entry position tab place ho sakti hai jab price dubara upward correction kare FR 61.8 – 1.0716 area mein, jo SMA 200 ke saath coincide karti hai. Confirmation yeh hai ke Stochastic indicator parameters ka crossover 50 par ho, jaise ke pehle bhi dekha gaya hai. AO indicator ko negative area mein histogram ke through downward trend ke impulse ko show karna chahiye. Low prices 1.0647 take profit ke main targets hain aur stop loss CHF 78.6-1.0730 se CHF 88-1.0737 ke darmiyan range kar raha hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
EUR/USD currency pair ne ek trading channel develop kiya hai, jo ek accumulation phase ko indicate karta hai. Iska seedha matlab yeh hai ke price traders ke dwara ek defined range ke andar move kar raha hai jab wo currency ko relatively stable levels par buy aur sell karte hain. Daily chart par downward trend hone ke bawajood, abhi tak kisi strong movement ki nishani nahi hai jo ek powerful downward push ko suggest kare. Filhal yeh lag raha hai ke market apne trend ko continue karne ke liye wait kar raha hai.

Ek important point jo dekhna hai wo trading channel ka lower boundary hai, jo 1.0669 par hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek mazboot bearish move ko lekar chal sakta hai. Is scenario mein, price ki further drop ki ummeed hai jo 1.0686-1.0674 range tak ho sakti hai. Yeh area ek support zone ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan price bounce back kar sakta hai ya phir direction puri tarah se reverse bhi ho sakta hai.

Monthly chart par dekhte hue, ek pattern hai jo ek long-term decline ko suggest karta hai, hatta ke occasional price rises ho sakti hain. Yeh pattern, jo kabhi-kabhi "the well" ke naam se jaana jaata hai, yeh dikhata hai ke chhoti-moti badhotriyon ke bawajood overall trend downward hai. 1.0680 aur 1.0720 ke beech mein ek significant range hai jo monitor karni chahiye. Agar price is upper boundary ko break karta hai, to shuruat mein price ek naya high tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin yeh breakout temporary ho sakta hai aur price jaldi hi reverse ho kar apna downward movement continue kar sake. Yeh potential scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke chhoti-moti gains ho sakti hain, lekin long-term outlook abhi bhi decline ki taraf ishara karta hai.




EUR/USD pair abhi ek accumulation phase mein hai ek defined trading channel ke andar. Daily chart par downward trend dikhai de raha hai, lekin is trend ko confirm karne ke liye koi strong movement nahi hua hai abhi tak. Critical levels jaise ke 1.0669 neeche aur 1.0680-1.0720 upar, inhe closely monitor karna hoga. 1.0669 ke neeche break ek aur decline ko lekar ja sakta hai, jabki upper boundary ke break se short-term gains ho sakte hain phir downward trend ko continue karte hue. Monthly chart long-term bearish outlook ko support karta hai, chaahe chhoti-moti fluctuations ho sakte hain. Traders ko market ke movements ke base par informed decisions lene ke liye in critical levels par dhyaan dena chahiye.

Euro ne Thursday ko kuch umeed afza alamat dikhai magar ihtiyati se kaam liya. Currency ki harkat par asar andaz hone wala ahem factor Friday ko aane wale US inflation data ka tha. European economic data jo is haftay ke dosray nisf mein jaari hua tha, woh average tha, jo market ki tawajjo ko Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index ki taraf muntaqil kar diya. US data ke izhaar se pehle, European data thora sa weak Euro ki taraf mael ho raha tha. Jumeraat ko German berozgari dar ki announcement mein umeed thi ke is mahine ke naye berozgari daaway pichlay mahine se kam hoenge. Is douran, America se mazboot khabrain bhi aayi. America ke andar khalai (GDP) expectations se zyada thi, jis se pehle quarter ke liye thora sa izafa ho gaya. Core personal consumption expenditures bhi pehle quarter mein thora sa barh gaye. Ek mazeed tafreeh ki taraf izafa, Thursday ko anay wale presidential debate se investor ki dilchaspi ki umeed thi jab ke woh candidates ke policy announcements ka jaiza lenge. Tawajjo sakhti se Friday ke US PCE inflation data par thi. Investors ummid rakhte the ke US inflation mein thanda trend jari rahega jo Federal Reserve (FED) ko interest rate cuts par sochnay par majboor karega. May ke liye core PCE price index mein 0.2% se 0.1% tak mazeed girawat ka imkan tha.




Euro ne technical tor par ek mix picture paish ki. Momentum indicators mein koi saaf short-term direction nahi tha. Jabke RSI thora sa 50 ke ooper tha, MACD negative territory mein bana hua raha. Aik mumkin pullback Euro ko aglay support level tak laa sakta hai jo 1.0647 par hai, phir 1.0600 ke paanch mahine ke low par test ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, haal hi ki kamzor ke baad bounce Euro ko pehlay peak 1.0720 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan ke 1.0770 aur 1.0790 ke qareeb resistance levels ko challenge kar sakta hai. Ahem rukawat, phir bhi, 1.0800 mark par thi. Is level ke ooper kaamyabi se Euro ko is waqt ke negative trend se bahar nikalne aur 1.1000 mark tak pohanchne ke liye zaroorat thi. Overall, Euro ke liye US Dollar ke khilaf short-term outlook neutral tha lamha-e-ikhtitami pullback trend line ki wajah se. Euro ki overall market sentiment ihtiyati rahi, jo aane wale US inflation data release se gehri asar andaz ho sakti thi.

EUR/USD pair

As the pair hovers around 1.0690 in early Asian trading on Friday, market remains subdued amidst anticipation surrounding European parliamentary elections. Ye be-yakeeni ne sarmaya daro ko aane wale waqeaat par nazar rakhne par majboor kiya hai jaise ECB ke president Christine Lagarde ka taqreer aur pehlay se US Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for June. Tajiron ko zarooree technical levels aur aane wale economic indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market movements ke potential insights hasil kar sakein. Ahm waqeaat ke baad ke updates ka intezar rahein jo EUR/USD pair ke near-term trajectory ko shape kar sakti hain.

EUR/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Producers aam tor par demand trends ke jawab mein prices adjust karte hain, aur filhal, aik naram demand environment ke umeedaat market sentiment ko mutasir kar rahi hain. Ye adjustment inflation par ek tehqiqat hai, ke bawajood recent concerns ke. Lekin, US Dollar (USD) apni taqat barkarar rakhta hai, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mustaqil hawkish stance ki wajah se, jo easing inflation prospects par ghalib hai. Khaaskar, US Dollar Index (DXY) ek ahem resistance level 105.00 ke qareeb hai, jo is waqt ke bullish momentum ko reflect karta hai.

Chaar ghante ka Technical Outlook:

Technically, EUR/USD pair apne 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0741 par consolidation phase ka samna kar raha hai. Recent bearish pressures ne pair ko is saal ki peak 1.1150 ke qareeb descending trendline par wapas introduce kar diya hai. Halankeh short-term resistance barqarar hai, khaaskar 1.0750 ke qareeb, downside risks loom kar rahi hain, jo is haftay ke lows near 1.0666 ko wapas visit kar sakti hain.


Fauri nafsiati support 1.0660 par hai. Agar ye level toot gaya to downward pressure mazeed barh sakta hai, jise secondary support ke qareeb 1.0602 par target kiya ja sakta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi is bearish sentiment ko support karta hai, jo 50 level ke neeche positioned hai, aur yeh current market dynamics ko underscore karta hai jo EUR/USD traders ke liye ehtiyaati approach ko favor karta hai.

EURUSD H1
Salam sab ko, kaisa chal raha hai aap ka trading din? Kya aapne ab tak koi munafa kamaya hai? Yahan par meri tafseeli tehqiqi report hai EURUSD currency pair ke mutalliq, jis par H1 timeframe chart ke istemal se base kiya gaya hai. Halat ki tasawwur ke mutabiq trend abhi bullish nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke keemat 50-period MA line aur daily pivot point jo 1.0720 par hai se ooper hai. Pichle din is currency pair ki mazeed buland harkat ke baad, keemat ka taqseemati kami pehlay pivot point ki taraf mujarrab ho sakti hai. Pivot point level par, hum aik buy position shuru karne ka tajziya kar saktay hain, jahan pehla maqsad resistence level 1 jo 1.0758 par hai, rakh sakte hain. Agar keemat is level ke ooper band ho jaati hai, toh is ke baad mazeed izafa mumkin hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ki average volatility pichle paanch trading dinon mein June 25 ke mutabiq 48 pips hai, jo aam tor par kam value samjha jata hai. Hum Tuesday ko pair ko 1.0680 se lekar 1.0776 ke darmiyan harkat karne ki umeed rakhte hain. Higher linear regression channel ne ooper ki taraf mudaawin kiya hai, lekin global downtrend barqarar hai. CCI indicator oversold area mein dakhil hua hai, lekin is waqt hum mazboot izafa ka intezar nahi kar rahe hain.




EUR/USD pair global downtrend ko barqarar rakhta hai, aur 4-hour timeframe mein moving average ke qareeb hai. Pehle ki reviews mein, hum ne long positions ko nahi shamil kiya tha aur downtrend ke jari rakhne ka intezar karne ki salahiyat par zor diya tha. Is waqt bhi short positions 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke maqsad ke saath valid hain. 1.0681 se bounce ne ek mazeed upward correction ki taraf mohim chalai. Hum euro ki khareed ko mashwara nahi dete, kyun ke hum yakin rakhte hain ke global downtrend dobara shuru ho chuka hai, aur single currency ke koi mawazin izafa nahi hain. Magar keemat correctio ke andar barh sakti hai.

Chalte hain daily MA resistance ki taraf. Mujhe yaqeen nahi hai ke girawat wali tawwur sahi hai. Is pair ke liye tawwur ka pesh gumaan karna kaafi mushkil ho jata hai, kyun ke hum opposite direction mein chal rahe hain, aur shayad humein is rukh par zyada tawajjo deni hogi. Faisla kun resistance level 1.0915 hoga, lekin 1.0786 ko todna hoga taake 1.0854 ki taraf barhne ki koshish ki jaa sake aur hum aik complete reversal ki taraf daikhein. Is trend mein pehla qadam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke is haftay ke mojooda trading week mein buhat kam waqt baqi hai, aur shayad humein is se faida uthane ka moqa na milay. Shumooli north entry level 1.0722 par support kiya jayega, aur is point par north position mein shamil hone ka sochna zaroori hai.

EURUSD H1
EUR/USD pair mein Jumeraat ko thori si upri taraf ka pullback ke baad, keemat ne rukh badal kar sharminda hokar dakheel ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek uncertainty candle banayi gayi jisme thora sa bearish faida tha, jiska southern shadow qareeb qareeb nazdeek tar support level tak pohancha, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.06675 par hai. Aane wale hafte mein, main poora ummid karta hoon ke sellers designated support level ko kaam par lagaenge aur is ke qareeb, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.06711 par hai, wahaan par harkat ke do scenarios paida ho saktay hain. Pehla scenario reversal candle ki shakal mein hai aur upri keemaat ki harkat ko dobara shuru karne ka. Agar yeh plan amal mein laya jata hai, toh main keemat ko resistence level par wapas lote hone ka intezar karunga jo 1.08522 par aur ya phir 1.09160 par hai. Jab keemat in resistence levels ke ooper band ho jaye, toh main mazeed upri harkat ka intezar karunga, takay resistence level jo 1.09812 par hai, tak pohanch sakti hai. Is resistence level ke qareeb, main trading setup ki shakal mein intezar karunga jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tajziya karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke designated door ke northern targets ki taraf harkat ke doran southern pullbacks bhi ho saktay hain, jinhe main mazeed bullish signals ki talash mein istemal karne ka irada rakhta hoon, qareeb tar support levels se aur upri keemaat ki harkat ko dobara shuru karne ka.

Ek alternative scenario ke mutabiq keemat ke harkat ke doran jab support level 1.06675 ya phir support level 1.06711 ko test kiya jaye ga, woh plan ke sath keemat in levels ke neechay band ho jaye aur mazeed dakheel harkat ho. Agar yeh plan amal mein laya jata hai, toh main keemat ko support level jo 1.05211 par hai ki taraf harkat karte hue intezar karunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main mazeed bullish signals ki talash mein jari rakhunga, upri keemaat ki harkat ko dobara shuru karne ka intezar karte hue.




Aam tor par, agar seedhi baat ki jaye toh, main khud ke liye aglay hafte mein kuch dilchasp nahi dekhta. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke harkat ki dobara shuru hone ki koshish ho sakti hai, is liye main qareeb tar support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon. Taaza data ne Average Hourly Earnings mein izafa dikhaaya, jo mukhtasir ma'aashrat ke wage inflation ka aik ahem jazeera hai, jis mein saalana 4.1% tak izafa hua. Yeh pehlay ki tawaqqaat 3.9% aur pehlay ke figure 4.0% (jo 3.9% se izafa kiya gaya tha) se zyada tha. Maahana wage growth bhi tawaqqaat se behtar thi, jis mein 0.4% izafa kiya gaya tha jabke tawaqqa 0.3% aur pehlay ke reading 0.2% thi. Yeh figures susti inflation ke hawale se pareshaniyan ko barhata hain, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke timeline ke baray mein market ki expectations ko tezi se dobara dekhne ka sabab bane hain. US Non-Farm Payrolls report ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein interest rate cut ki imkaan 54.4% se 68% par kam ho gayi jab EURUSD ne ek tezi se kami dekhi.

June 7 ko, EURUSD pair ki keemat ne shadeed tareeqay se girawat ki, jis se daily chart par aik substantial aur formidable bearish candle ki formation hui. Yeh candle sirf aik minor fluctuation nahi thi; balkay is waqt ke market mein bears ki overwhelming strength aur dominance ka saboot hai. Is bearish candle ke size aur shakal ne shadeed aur faisla kun niche ki taraf harkat ko zahir kiya, jis mein selling pressure ki intensity ko darshaata hai.

EUR/ USD Price Activity
EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat ki harkat par maujooda tafseeli tehqiqi tawajjo ka markaz hai. Yahan mukhtalif muddaton par guftagu ho rahi hai. Meri short-term trend bearish hai, jise H1 time frame ke hawale se wazeh tor par zikr kiya gaya hai. Jab medium-term trend ko gaur karne ka sochta hoon, toh main daily time frame par tawajjo di jaati hai. Is ke ilawa, H4 aur D1 muddaton ko daikh kar overall flow ka bhi jayeza leta hoon. Jabke H4 bhi bearish raftar ko numayan karta hai, to D1 bullish ya kam az kam saaf shuda sa upward inclination ke saath nazar aata hai. Aam tor par, medium-term tasawwur mein safai nahi hai. Kal ka daily candle Monday ke safed candle ke neechay band hua. Yeh ishara deta hai ke D1 ki taraf nichlay retracement ka intezar abhi khatam nahi hua hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke EURUSD April ke local low jo 1.0619 par hai ko test kare ga. Agar hum bearish trend ka khatma aur upri rukh ki mukhalfat ki mumkinat ko gaur karte hain, to moving average MA37 sab se qareebi maqsad hai.




Filhaal keemat 1.0724 ke aas paas nichay ki taraf jaari hai. Agar keemat is level ke ooper qaim rahegi, toh yeh mumkin hai ke wo upri taraf resistence level 1.0905 tak barh sakti hai. Is resistence ko tor dena medium-term bullish trend ko tasdeeq kare ga. 1.1141 tak pohanchne se broader bearish trend ko challenge kiya jaega, jo haftawar ki nichli harkat ko kam az kam rokna nazar aayega, agar puri tarah se bullish reversal nahi hua. Magar aisi global reversal barasrat waqt ke chotay time frames se pehlay mumkin hai, aur in signals ki mojoodgi abhi bhi zaroorat hai. Is liye, main is pair ke decline ki taraf bias ke saath trade jaari rakhta hoon.

Keemat 100-point range ke andar tezi se tabdeel hoti hai aur abhi tak 1.0670 support level ko torne ki koshish mein lagi hui hai. Aaj ke events momentum provide karain ge. Khaas tor par calendar par mojood ma'ashiyati khabrein jazbat mein izafa kar sakti hain. Keemat ne daily pivot level 1.0690 ko tor diya hai aur is ke ooper qaim hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Ab humein dekhna hoga ke aage kya hota hai. Magar yeh mumkin nazar ata hai ke keemat control resistence 1.0742 ke ooper barhne ka muamla mumkin nahi hai. Aam tor par, tasawwur kiya jata hai ke Figure 6 ke shuru mein decline jari rahe ga.