eur/usd

EUR/USD: Price Patterns ke Sath Mauqe
Aaj hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. Jaisa ke aap dekh saktay hain, girawat ka manzar samne nahi aaya. Magar, ab tak qeemat 1.0839 ke resistance level se upar nahi gayi, isliye breakthrough ki imkaan kam hai. Yahan se bullish break mumkin hai, lekin yeh kam imkaan hai. 1.0869-89 tak pohanchna zyada mumkin hai, jab tak koi breakdown nahi hota, kyunki yeh 10th figure tak le ja sakta hai. Agar primary scenario samne aata hai, to hum 1.0869-89 se ek reversal aur girawat dekh sakte hain, jiska pehla target 1.069 hoga. US dollar ko shayad samundar ke paar se pre-election turbulence ki wajah se farq par sakta hai. Mera rasta 1.0879 tak clear hai, daily scale ko dekh kar, jo ke 9th figure range se aage badhne ki gunjaish dega.

Isliye, agle hafte mai EUR/USD ka buyer banne ka imkaan hai. 1.0819 resistance se bohot logon ne EUR/USD pair ko sell kiya hoga, jaise ke maine bhi iss level se sell karne ki koshish ki thi. Magar, 1.0837 ke closing price ke sath, hum shayad 1.0819 se kaafi neechay gir jayenge jab sabse aggressive traders likely honge, jo ke growth ko 1.0909 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh un logon ke daaway ko ghalat sabit karega jo kehte hain market chaotic aur uncontrollable hai. Qeemat 1.0815 se 89 points move karne ke imkaan hai aur shayad usse bhi zyada. Growth ka raaj Monday ko continue rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar buyers 1.0849 range se break through karke upar rehte hain, to yeh ek buying opportunity signal karega. Agar qeemat 1.0799 tak girti hai, to hum wahan se bhi ek increase dekh sakte hain. Agar local maximum range 1.0849 ko breach karte hain, to growth continue reh sakti hai. 1.0850 ke upar consolidate karna further medium-term growth ko confirm karega. Stochastic indicators ke mutabiq, ek downward correction abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki hum overbought range mein hain. Is correction ke baad, growth phir se resume hone ka imkaan hai.

EUR/USD Forecast 06 July 2024
EUR/USD currency pair forex market mein sabse ziada dekha jata hai. Yeh pair Euro ki Dollar ke khilaaf qeemat ko dikhata hai. Yeh pair filhal 1.0692 se neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye ahem implications rakhta hai.

EUR/USD pair market participants ke liye is liye ahem hai kyunki dono euro aur US dollar ka economic significance hai. Euro Eurozone ki official currency hai, jo ke European Union ke 27 members mein se 19 ko shamil karta hai. Yeh US dollar ke baad duniya ki sabse ziada traded currency hai. Jab ke US dollar duniya ka primary reserve currency hai aur international transactions mein wide use hota hai.

Kya factors EUR aur USD exchange rate ko badal sakte hain? Yeh factors mein economic indicators shamil hain jaise ke GDP growth rate, inflation rate aur employment figures. Misal ke taur par, agar Eurozone strong economic growth report karta hai, to yeh euro ke dollar ke muqable mein appreciate hone ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar US strong economic growth report karta hai, to dollar euro ke muqable mein mazboot ho sakta hai.

Filhal EUR/USD pair ka bearish trend yeh dikhata hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh trend mukhtalif factors ki wajah se badal sakta hai. Eurozone ki economic performance ke muqable mein US ki economic performance ek important factor hai. Agar US economy Eurozone se behtar perform karti hai, to investors US dollar ko euro par tarjeeh de sakte hain, jis se euro ki qeemat gir sakti hai.

1.0692 ke current level par, EUR/USD pair yeh zahir karta hai ke ek euro keematan taqreeban 1.0692 US dollars ke barabar hai. Forex market ke dynamic nature ki wajah se yeh exchange rate constantly badal raha hai. Traders aur investors apni currencies ko khareedne ya bechne mein in changes par nazar rakhte hain taake behtareen faisle kar sakein.

EUR/USD Price Action
Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ke analysis par markooz hogi. Mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ka bullish se bearish mein tez tabdeel hone ka imkaan kam hai. Qeemat descending fan ke central angle ke upar hai, jo ke higher levels par consolidation ko zahir karti hai agar yeh angle likely hai. Hum Friday ke high ka update aur false resistance breakout ko pehli impulse zone 1.0842 aur resistance zone 1.0859 ke darmiyan rule out nahi kar sakte. Market ka reaction support 1.0819 par depend karega. EUR/USD ke do primary supports liquidity consolidation level 1.0789 aur Bullish start line par hain, jahan se quotes reverse ho sakte hain. Yeh upward momentum tabhi conclude ho sakta hai jab bullish start line 1.0774, jo ke daily order ke support level hai, ke neechay breakdown aur firm consolidation hoti hai. Bears ke kuch umeedain French elections ke natayij par hain, magar yeh zyada wildcard hai aur iska market opening par asar abhi bhi mumkin hai.

Filhal, Bulls initiative ko hold karte hain. 1.0851 ka level rebound aur pullback ke liye suitable hai, magar shak hai ke pullback already news spike ke sath 1.0798 tak ho chuka hai, jo ke is stage par bullish development ko halt karne ka indication hai. Sunday ko, European Parliament elections ka final stage hoga, jo ke ek aur leap upward ko spark kar sakta hai. 1.0851 tak pohanchna insignificant ho sakta hai. Hum phir area 1.0915 ke ird gird dekh sakte hain, opening se gap ke sath. Magar, market makers aksar in expectations ko counter karte hain. Agar hum pullback ke liye ready hain, Friday ke news spike ko exclude karte hue, to reaction opposite ho sakta hai—a pullback followed by an upward move again jab tak qeemat 1.0798 ke neechay nahi girti. Is tarah, movement options speculative hain bina kisi absolute certainty ke. News fluctuations kabhi kabhi deposit par negative impact dal sakte hain.

EUR/USD PAIR REVIEW
Is hafte ke darmiyan se, EUR/USD ki qeemat ek tezi se upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur 1.0828 resistance level tak pohonch gayi hai, jo ke ek bullishe weekly close ka mauqa hai, khaaskar agar aaj ke US job numbers sab expectations se kam aaye. Reliable trading companies ki platforms ke mutabiq... Euro/Dollar ki qeemat aik mahine ke highest level par hai, jabke France mein voting ke risks ko kam samjha ja raha hai. Yeh currency pair ziada tar gains ko barqarar rakhte hue US jobs report ke intezar mein hai jo Friday ko aayegi aur France elections ke intezar mein hai jo Sunday ko hain, jo ke abhi bhi downside risk paish karte hain
Trades aur influence factors par tabsira karte hue, Convera ke analysts ne report diya: “Kal US dollar ne teen hafton mein apni sab se bari daily decline dekhi, Treasury yields 3-mahine ke lowest levels ke qareeb thi jabke stocks apni all-time highs ke qareeb thi. Aur kyun? …Ek series of weaker-than-expected US economic data, khaaskar services sector se – jo ke US economic growth ka engine hai, ne Fed ka case mazid mazboot kiya ke September mein interest rates cut karne ka aghaz karein.
Pehle round ke elections jo Sunday ko hue, uske baad 221 third-placed candidates ne race se withdraw kar liya taake Marine Le Pen ki National Rally party ko majority hasil karne se roka ja sake. 94 triathlons aur ek quad abhi bhi expected hain. Magar abhi bhi ek had tak uncertainty hai kyunke kai centrist voters ko far-left aur far-right options ke darmiyan choose karna parega, given ke kai centrists ne Emmanuel Macron ki party se withdraw kar liya. Ifop Institute ke latest opinion poll - jo mid-week release hui - ne yeh reveal kiya ke 37% French voters chahte hain ke National Rally party National Assembly mein absolute majority seats jeete. Yeh percentage pehle round mein unki votes se ziada hai (33.15%)
Berenberg Bank ke financial markets department ke head Arne Christian Rahner ne kaha: “Jo bhi nateeja ho, yeh wazeh hai ke France ko govern karna ziada mushkil hoga.” “Expectations due to the upcoming political change in direction in France abhi bhi euro ko headwinds ke sath threaten karti hain. Magar yeh worth noting hai: Ek election ke baad, uncertainty decrease hoti hai aur volatility decrease hoti hai – aksar regardless of the outcome
EUR/USD forecast today
Daily chart ke neeche wale performance ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein EUR/USD ne 1.0800 resistance ke upar move kiya, jo ek upar move karne ka mauqa deta hai, magar bulls ka move towards resistance levels 1.0875 aur 1.0930 confirm karne ke liye. Dusri taraf, isi time period mein, 1.0730 level ki taraf move bears ke control ko trend par return karne ke liye encourage karega. Hamein aaj US job numbers ke announcement aur France elections ke results se pehle cautiously move karna chahiye agle hafte ke trading ke shuru hone se pehle

USD/JPY Ruslan, shab bakhair! Dekha jaye to yeh ek correction nahi, balkay USDJPY pair ka rollback ka ek koshish hai. 160.90 mark kaafi dair tak nahi di gayi, magar aakhir mein isay push through kar dia gaya, aur foran hi dollar/yen pair ki qeemat 159.95-160.35 ke support level par mil gayi. Isliye, haan, ek attempt hai rebuild karne ka, magar, jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha tha, pehle humein above support level ko overcome karna hoga, phir qeemat decline local rollback se historical maximums tak ek full-fledged correction mein barh sakti hai. Aur is surat mein, poora chance hai ke yeh 158 figure tak pohanch sakte hain, aur bohot mumkin hai ke 156 ko break through karne ka koshish karain.

Filhal, yeh rollback, jo unho ne support ke pehle organize kiya, sirf ek rollback reh sakta hai, within the framework of another set of volumes, aur subsequent growth ke sath maximums ka renewal kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, woh sellers jo 158 figure se neechay baithay hain unko exit karne nahi diya jayega, plus fresh fuel from pair sellers, jo Friday ke decline ko ek deeper price movement ke signal ke tor par le sakte hain dollar/yen ke south mein, aur pair ko is hisaab se sell karain, jo aakhir mein growth ke liye fuel provide karega.

Maine faisla kiya ke humare USD/JPY par wapas aaya jaye aur H4 chart par situation ko dekha jaye, aur, mukhtasir taur par, main 100% aap se agree karta hoon regarding the priority downward movement for this pair.
To, chart par hum dekhte hain ke pair moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur 160 figure mein hai, aur kai dafa growth resume karne aur 161 par wapas aane ka koshish ki hai. Magar yeh koshishain sirf koshishain reh gayi hain, aur dollar-yen ne kal ka trading 160.75 par close kiya. To, priority hai - southern direction, target benchmarks hain 160.26 aur 159.40, magar mujhe nahi pata ke koi aur layout hoga enter karne ke liye sale mein? Maine apne do takes close kar diye (main keh sakta hoon ke maine achi tarah close kiya), magar iske baad koi reliable heights aur attractive layout nahi mila sale mein enter karne ke liye. Main kal ke price jump ko 161.33 par payrolls ke wajah se nahi loonga, aap aur main hamesha news par aise jumps ko ignore karte hain, magar kuch aur nahi tha short karne ke liye...

test kiya aur phir correction start hui. Aaj yeh resistance 1.0774 ki taraf rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aane wale US inflation data figures expected se lower aate hain, to hum ek upward impulse dekh sakte hain jo levels 1.0804-1.0819 tak ja sakte hain, uske baad potential price pullbacks ho sakte hain. Ek doosra impulse Fed ke rate announcement aur press conference ke baad ho sakta hai. Kal market ne ek strong upward trend ka indication diya, significant liquidity accumulation aur projected performance ko surpass karte hue. Favorable trading conditions ke bawajood, maine participate nahi kiya aur potential profits miss kar diye. Agar aap euro ki rise expect karte hain, to higher time frames me reversal pattern ka wait karein. 4-hour chart par, euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein consolidate ho raha hai lower band ke along move karne ke baad. Even though it’s open to the outside, price drop ke liye ek strong signal lower band ke active approach ka zaroorat hai. Assess karein ke bands open outward hain ya remain unresponsive. Price drop ka target nearest fractal down hai. Breaking aur consolidating below this price ko May 9 fractal level 1.0724 tak le jaane dega. Nearest fractal up door hai, isliye humein closer fractal formation ki zaroorat hai jo potential price growth ko support kar sake.
EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye, yeh shara'it zaroori hain:
Jermany se kamzor data aur European Central Bank ke ek rehnuma ke khule aitraf ne euro par dabao barhaya hai, jo ke doosre roz ke liye grow karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Amrici session mein, US mein naye ghar ki sale ki data, market ke liye dilchaspi ka mozo hai, agar figures muqabla karte hain to euro ki darkhwast lautne ki ummeed hai. Is wajah se mahine ke minimum ke aas paas bechne wale kamzor honge. Sirf 1.0672 ke aas paas jhoota breakout long positions ke liye munasib entry point hoga, jo ke target 1.0701 ki taraf ho ga—jo pehle din mein resistance ke tor par support ka kaam kar raha tha.
Is level ke ooper moving averages hain, jo ke sellers ke faidemand hain. Is liye, is range se breakout aur iske baad girawat pair ko mazbooti deta hai, jis ke baad pair 1.0733 ki taraf barhne ka imkaan banata hai. Aakhir ka maqsad 1.0761 par hai, jahan par main apne munafa le lunga. Is level ko test karne se buyers ko faiyda hoga. Agar EUR/USD girta hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0672 ke aas paas koi gati nahi hai, to sellers ko poora control mil jayega, jo ke sideways channel se bahar nikalne ka baad karne ka soch raha hoon. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.0642 ke aglay support ke aas paas jhoota breakout ke baad dakhil hoonga. Long positions ke liye seedhe rebound par dakhil hone ke liye, main 1.0601 se shuru karne ka irada karta hoon, jahan din ke andar ek 30-35 points ki upward correction ka nishana hai.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke is waqt 1.0739 pe trade kar raha hai, noticeable bearish trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh value mein decline macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur prevailing market sentiments ka combination hai jo euro aur US dollar dono ko affect kar rahe hain.

Kayi macroeconomic indicators EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. Misal ke tor pe, Eurozone ka economic performance United States ke muqable mein relatively lackluster raha hai. Recent data ne slower-than-expected growth rates dikhayi hain, sath hi kuch Eurozone countries mein persistently high inflation bhi dekhi gayi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne monetary policy ke mamle mein cautious stance maintain kiya hai, jo gradual rate hikes opt kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke more aggressive approach se contrast karta hai. Fed ke series of interest rate hikes ka maqsad inflation ko curb karna hai, jisne US dollar ko bolster kiya hai, isse investors ke liye zyada attractive banaya hai aur is wajah se EUR/USD pair pe downward pressure aaya hai.

Geopolitical events bhi currency markets ko influence karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Ukraine mein ongoing conflict ne far-reaching economic repercussions diye hain, khaaskar Europe ke liye. Eurozone ki proximity to the conflict aur uski heavy reliance on Russian energy supplies ne economic uncertainties aur disruptions ko lead kiya hai. Energy prices soar hui hain, jo inflation ko contribute kar rahi hain aur economic recovery efforts ko slow down kar rahi hain. Iske contrast mein, United States, jab ke global economic shifts se bhi affect hota hai, ne conflict se utni direct economic impact face nahi ki jitni Europe ne ki hai. Yeh relative stability ne US dollar ko euro ke against strengthen kiya hai.

Moreover, Eurozone aur United States ke beech ke trade dynamics bhi currency pair ko impact karte hain. Trade tensions, tariffs mein changes, aur shifting trade policies exchange rate mein fluctuations la sakti hain. Is waqt, US aise policies pursue kar raha hai jo domestic production aur exports ko favor karti hain, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakti hain. Conversely, Eurozone ki trade policies Brexit aur doosri internal market challenges se affect hui hain, jo euro ki weakness ko badhati hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ka bearish trend, jo ke is waqt 1.0739 pe trade kar raha hai, macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments ke confluence ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Eurozone aur United States ke economic performance aur monetary policies, geopolitical tensions jaise ke Ukraine ka conflict, aur shifting market perceptions yeh sab current exchange rate ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Jese jese yeh factors evolve hote hain, yeh future mein bhi EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko undoubtedly influence karte

Bilkul, main aapki analysis se mutafiq hoon. Technically, EUR/USD market ka trend bullish chal raha hai, aur yeh trend agay bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Agar price mein kami hoti hai to yeh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai taake price naye higher area ki taraf ja sakay. Is haftay market ka safar long bullish moment dikhata hai, hafta ke aghaz se hi buyers ne prices ko barhane ki koshish ki hai. Pichlay haftay ke end par bhi price ne upar janay ke asaar dikhaye hain.Pehle bhi bullish safar 1.0843 area ko touch kar saka, lekin uske baad thodi si bounce down hui aur market correction mein chali gayi. Agar market ka yeh halat dekha jaye to lagta hai ke price abhi bhi upar janay ki koshish kar rahi hai aur upar wale zone ko retest karna chahti hai. Hafta ke aghaz se hi candlestick weekly opening zone se upar uth chuki hai. Increasing price fluctuations ka mauqa hai, matlab yeh ke bullish trend ka agla hafta bhi imkaan hai.

Agar pichle mahine candlestick ka position bearish zone mein tha, is haftay buyers ne control hasil kiya hai. Agle hafta ke EUR/USD market potential ke bare mein mera andaza hai ke agar buyer 1.0809 zone se upar stability barqarar rakhta hai to bullish chal sakta hai. Agar price bearish hoti hai to most probably yeh area 1.0701 zone tak ja sakta hai, lekin bearish ka chance bullish ke muqable mein kam hai.

Friday ko zyada volatility nahi thi, main umeed kar raha tha ke euro niche jayega, lekin aakhir mein buyers ne price ko aur barha diya. Abhi ke liye immediate target 1.08517 mark hai. Agar hum is level pe merge ho jate hain to agay 1.09010 level tak growth ka imkaan hai. Abhi yeh clear nahi ke sales kahan par ho sakti hain, hum 1.07978 mark pe pin par rely kar sakte hain. Agar yeh level break hota hai aur merge hota hai, to decline 1.07771 level tak ja sakta hai.
Friday ko ek buying entry point ka forecast tha 1.08328 level se, doosri koshish par price ne is level ko zyada actively break kiya, dekhte hain trading ke start mein yeh 1.08706 target tak pahunch sakta hai ya nahi.

1. Agar bands ki situation dekhi jaye to upar wali band ki taraf move karke price wapis central zone mein aayi hai. Naye price increase signal ke liye, upper band se active exit ka wait karna chahiye aur dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya nahi.
2. AO indicator ne naye active growth ko positive zone mein form kiya hai. Pehla peak kab form hoga yeh abhi clear nahi hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price growth agay barh sakti hai.
3. Buying entry point 1.08706 level par consider kiya ja sakta hai, price increase 1.08963 aur 1.09306 points tak ja sakti hai.
4. Selling 1.08328 level par place ki ja sakti hai, price decline 1.08052 aur 1.07861 points tak expected hai.

EUR/USD pair ne hourly descending channel ke lower boundary aur local minimum 1.0719 ko test kiya aur phir correction start hui. Aaj yeh resistance 1.0774 ki taraf rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aane wale US inflation data figures expected se lower aate hain, to hum ek upward impulse dekh sakte hain jo levels 1.0804-1.0819 tak ja sakte hain, uske baad potential price pullbacks ho sakte hain. Ek doosra impulse Fed ke rate announcement aur press conference ke baad ho sakta hai. Kal market ne ek strong upward trend ka indication diya, significant liquidity accumulation aur projected performance ko surpass karte hue. Favorable trading conditions ke bawajood, maine participate nahi kiya aur potential profits miss kar diye. Agar aap euro ki rise expect karte hain, to higher time frames me reversal pattern ka wait karein. 4-hour chart par, euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein consolidate ho raha hai lower band ke along move karne ke baad. Even though it’s open to the outside, price drop ke liye ek strong signal lower band ke active approach ka zaroorat hai. Assess karein ke bands open outward hain ya remain unresponsive. Price drop ka target nearest fractal down hai. Breaking aur consolidating below this price ko May 9 fractal level 1.0724 tak le jaane dega. Nearest fractal up door hai, isliye humein closer fractal formation ki zaroorat hai jo potential price growth ko support kar sake.
EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye, yeh shara'it zaroori hain:

Jermany se kamzor data aur European Central Bank ke ek rehnuma ke khule aitraf ne euro par dabao barhaya hai, jo ke doosre roz ke liye grow karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Amrici session mein, US mein naye ghar ki sale ki data, market ke liye dilchaspi ka mozo hai, agar figures muqabla karte hain to euro ki darkhwast lautne ki ummeed hai. Is wajah se mahine ke minimum ke aas paas bechne wale kamzor honge. Sirf 1.0672 ke aas paas jhoota breakout long positions ke liye munasib entry point hoga, jo ke target 1.0701 ki taraf ho ga—jo pehle din mein resistance ke tor par support ka kaam kar raha tha.
Is level ke ooper moving averages hain, jo ke sellers ke faidemand hain. Is liye, is range se breakout aur iske baad girawat pair ko mazbooti deta hai, jis ke baad pair 1.0733 ki taraf barhne ka imkaan banata hai. Aakhir ka maqsad 1.0761 par hai, jahan par main apne munafa le lunga. Is level ko test karne se buyers ko faiyda hoga. Agar EUR/USD girta hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0672 ke aas paas koi gati nahi hai, to sellers ko poora control mil jayega, jo ke sideways channel se bahar nikalne ka baad karne ka soch raha hoon. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.0642 ke aglay support ke aas paas jhoota breakout ke baad dakhil hoonga. Long positions ke liye seedhe rebound par dakhil hone ke liye, main 1.0601 se shuru karne ka irada karta hoon, jahan din ke andar ek 30-35 points ki upward correction ka nishana hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS UPDATED

H4 time frame chart par EURUSD pair ka jaiza lete hue, jabse price ne Budhwar ke trading mein 1.0776 ke Resistance level ko tor diya hai, price increase is haftay ke trading ke end tak jari hai, aur girawat ka koi asar nahi hai. Bollinger bands indicator period 24 par dekha jaye to Bollinger bands abhi bhi kaafi wide nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke trading volatility ke abhi bhi kaafi high hone ka ishara de rahe hain.

Simple Moving Average indicator period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 ke mutabiq trend direction abhi bhi Bullish trend path par hai, jo hum price position ko dono SMAs ke upar dekh kar samajh sakte hain. RSI indicator period 5 aur RSI period 14 ke mutabiq, dono RSI abhi bhi Overbought zone mein hain.

Trading data ke mutabiq, mein personally Bearish signal support milne ke baad reversal ka momentum aur Sell orders ka intezar karunga, chahe RSI indicator period 5 ho ya RSI period 14. Agar agle haftay ke trading mein price mazeed increase karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to jo area meri tawajjo mein hoga woh Resistance level 1.0852 hai. Lekin, price increase ki condition jo main dekh raha hoon kaafi high hai, mujhe umeed hai ke price Resistance level 1.0852 ko breakout nahi karega, taake hum ek kaafi ideal area mein Enter Sell kar saken.



Technical Reference:
Buy jab tak 1.08020 ke upar ho
Resistance 1: 1.08345
Resistance 2: 1.08415
Support 1: 1.08095
Support 2: 1.08020

EURUSD ke paas aaj raat ke US trading session mein mazeed strong hone ka mauqa hai (5/7/24), kyunki currency pair ne daily resistance ko tor diya hai aur abhi ek uptrend mein hai kyunki price "bullish channel" mein hai. Iske ilawa, MACD jo positive area mein solid hai, wo bhi bullish signal ko mazboot karta hai.

Upar diye gaye 15 M chart ke mutabiq, EURUSD bhi increase ka mauqa de raha hai kyunki prices bhi bullish channel mein hain. Iske ilawa, MA indicator jo ke upar ki taraf hai, further increases ka reason hai. Agar upar diye gaye scenario ke mutabiq hota hai, to EURUSD ke paas 1.08415 ke resistance level tak jane ka mauqa hai.

Euro ne is haftay trading mein kuch positive momentum dikhaya hai, jo zyada tar Jerome Powell ke comments aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke stance ki wajah se tha. Powell ke is proposal ne ke U.S. economy sahi direction mein ja rahi hai, yeh speculation barhayi ke Federal Reserve year ke end tak rate cut kar sakta hai. Is figure ne euro ko kuch optimism diya, lekin overall iski performance abhi bhi relatively subdued hai.

Yeh vibrant activity barqarar rakhi ja sakti hai. Weekly chart dikhata hai ke euro har 100 points ke gap par react karta hai. Yeh pattern fall 2022 se relatively stable hai, jo suggest karta hai ke market short term mein significant growth ke liye poised nahi hai. Long-term traders ke liye, euro ke actions U.S. ki performance ka secondary indicator ho sakte hain. Dollar doosri currencies ke against move kar raha hai.

Lambe muddat ke trading perspective se, euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan interest rate differentials stable trading opportunity create karne ke liye kafi nahi hain. Is large gap ki kami euro ko lambe muddat ke positions ke liye kam attractive banati hai. Iske bajaye, conventional traders euro market mein dominate karte hain bina kisi clear long-term direction ke.

In reasons ki wajah se, mera euro par position neutral hai. Current policy arrangements is view ko confirm karte hain, suggesting ke kisi major move ke liye koi strong case nahi hai. Natija yeh hai ke chote changes ko implement karne wale logon ke liye short-term opportunities ho sakti hain, lekin euro is waqt strong long-term performance strategy present nahi karta.



Summary mein, euro ki recent rally zyada tar U.S. economy budgets aur price reductions ke speculation ki wajah se thi. Lekin overall iski performance lackluster hai, aur market abhi bhi predictable periodic behavior dikhata hai. Yeh pattern likely hai ke jari rahega, euro ko short-term trade deals ke liye zyada suitable banata hai compared to long-term investments. Conventional traders is environment mein opportunities dhoondh sakte hain, lekin zyada tar traders ke liye, euro broader foreign market mein secondary consideration hi rahega.

EUR/USD Analysis

Jo maine dekha hai, EURUSD currency pair ke daily timeframe chart par candlestick movement se, yeh nazar aata hai ke is haftay ki price movement ne pichlay haftay se zyada significant increase dekha hai. Agar hum trending market ke direction ko dekhein jo is haftay ek bullish trend ki taraf move kar raha hai, lagta hai ke price ek strong bullish phase experience kar raha hai, to overall is haftay ke trend direction mein Monday se Friday tak afternoon tak ek wide range ke sath increase hoti rahi hai.

Is haftay ki market movement ne increase start ki 1.0730 ke level se aur Thursday night tak market session par 1.0825 tak pohanch gayi. Abhi bhi yeh consistently 1.0823 ke level ke aas paas move kar rahi hai. Yeh afternoon bhi market bullish direction mein move kar rahi hai. Yeh dekh kar nazar aata hai ke Thursday night trading ka closing price level Monday ke opening price level se higher tha. Is haftay ke trend conditions jo predominantly bullish hain, iska matlab hai ke abhi bhi EURUSD currency pair ke wapas upward move karne ka potential hai taake increase ko continue kar sake.

Agle, tools ko monitor karte hain jo market ko analyze karte hain, jese ke MACD indicator (12,26,29), yeh dekhne mein aata hai ke dotted yellow line upward turn hone lagi hai. Histogram bar ka position bhi zero level ke upar rise hone ka signal de raha hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime Line ka position jo pehle level 30 ke near tha, ab level 50 ko penetrate kar gaya hai jo indication hai ke daily timeframe mein market trend bullish direction mein move kar raha hai.

H4 timeframe par movement:

H4 timeframe chart par EURUSD price movement trading mein pichlay haftay se bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai. Is haftay bhi bullish trend ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar June ke end mein candlestick yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche thi, magar is haftay yeh uspe rise kar gayi. Yeh condition price movement ko rozana higher position par close hone ka cause banata hai, jo pichlay haftay ke highest price level se bhi exceed kar gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke market conditions consistently bullish move kar rahi hain. Yeh sabit hota hai ke Thursday tak buyer's strength price ko upar push kar sakti thi.

Technical analysis ke ilawa, main dekhta hoon ke Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ka lime line level 70 par hai, jo ke bullish market signal hai. Histogram bar zero level ke comfortably upar hai aur MACD indicator (12,26,29) ka dotted yellow line bhi upwards point kar rahi hai, jo ke signal hai ke market bullish move kar raha hai, yeh condition daily timeframe par dekhi gai condition se match karti hai.



Conclusion:

EURUSD currency pair se market monitoring ke results dikhate hain ke market zyada bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai, jo ke ek upward trend indicate karta hai aur expected hai ke rise continue karega. Mere khayal se, BUY trading position open karna ek moment ho sakta hai jo profit generate karne ka opportunity de sakta hai, magar yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke ideal candlestick position ke liye transaction karna tab tak wait karna chahiye jab tak price 1.0845 level tak rise na kar jaye. Agla bullish target 1.0890 level par rakha ja sakta hai aur stoploss level 1.0815 price level par.

EUR/USD Analysis

Yeh pair apne immediate resistance level 1.0850 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke early Asian session mein ek bullish start ke baad hua. Abhi, yeh pair 1.0829 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, aur 1.0850 region par ek strong barrier bana raha hai. Yeh level pair ki recent movements ko shape karne mein pivotal raha hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Euro pressure mein raha hai jab se French President Emmanuel Macron ne snap election ka call dia. Yeh faisla uske Centralist alliance ki Marine Le Pen's National Rally (RN) ke European Parliament elections mein shikast ke baad aaya. Investors ko yeh fikar hai ke agar RN-led government bani, toh yeh EU ke second-largest economy mein financial crisis ko trigger kar sakta hai. RN ka manifesto includes lower retirement age, energy price cuts, increased public spending, aur "France first" economic policies ke promises.

European Central Bank (ECB) near-term mein steady interest rates maintain karne par zor de raha hai. Policymakers aggressive policy-easing approach se wary hain kyun ke yeh price pressures ko dubara ignite kar sakti hai. June mein, ECB ne apni Deposit Facility Rate ko 25 basis points (bps) se reduce kiya, jo ke 2019 ke baad pehli dafa hua. Yeh faisla Covid-19 pandemic aur Russia-Ukraine war ke wajah se high price pressures ke waja se liya gaya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne recently 1.0850 confluence ko break kiya, jo ke 100-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ko include karta hai. Yeh breakdown bearish traders ke liye ek fresh trigger dekha ja raha hai. Daily chart oscillators negative territory mein hain aur oversold zone se door hain, jo negative outlook ko reinforce karte hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye least resistance ka path downside par hai.



Pair apne fall ko 1.0700 support zone tak accelerate kar sakta hai. Ek aur decline 1.0600 mark tak drop kar sakta hai, jo April mein Year-to-Date (YTD) low touch kiya tha. Continued selling pressure recent downtrend ko extend kar sakti hai jo past do hafton se observe ki gayi hai, starting from levels just above 1.0900 round figure.

EUR/USD Market Analysis

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair sab ko!

Aaj EUR/USD market mein kaafi volatility hai. Aaj ka US Non-Farm aur Unemployment rate market direction ko determine karenge. Saath hi Average Hourly Earnings bhi market ko affect karega. Halanki current environment buy orders initiate karne ke liye conducive lagta hai, traders ko caution exercise karna chahiye aur overbought conditions ke potential ko mind mein rakhna chahiye jo future mein sellers ko favor kar sakti hain. Traders ko adaptable aur responsive rehna chahiye changing conditions ke sath. Ek flexible strategy adopt karna aur proactive approach toward risk management rakhnay se market volatility ke challenges navigate karne mein madad milti hai.

EUR/USD market likely hai ke resistance zone of 1.0845 cross kar le. Fundamentally, prevailing sentiment EUR/USD mein buyers ki taraf lean kar raha hai, jahan euro resilience show kar raha hai aur US dollar ke against steadily appreciate ho raha hai. Yeh trend zarurat ko underscore karta hai ke prevailing market dynamics ke sath align hone wali strategic approach ko apnaya jaye, jisme trend direction recognize karna aur effective risk management techniques deploy karna shamil hai trading decisions mein.

Euro ki resilience suggest karti hai ke filhal market long positions favor kar raha hai; lekin yeh sudden shifts ke possibility ko exclude nahi karta jo sellers ko benefit kar sakti hain, especially agar pair overbought ho jata hai. Risk management is strategic approach ka critical component hai. Stop-loss orders utilize karna, trading portfolios diversify karna, aur realistic profit targets set karna potential losses ko mitigate karne aur unexpected market movements se safeguard karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain.



Balanced perspective maintain karke aur overly aggressive positions avoid karke, traders apni capital ko protect kar sakte hain aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye position kar sakte hain. Aaj Friday hai aur EUR/USD market 1.0845 zone ko cross kar sakti hai sooner or later.

Have a successful trading day!

Euro/Dollar Pair Analysis: Possible Movement

Kal Euro/Dollar pair ne apna upward trajectory continue rakha, jo yeh batata hai ke downward movement ka potential filhaal sirf choti local declines tak limited hai. Daily chart par price ne Bollinger Bands channel ke bullish zone mein close kiya. Lekin agar price reverse karti hai aur agle kuch dinon mein bearish zone mein wapas aati hai, to hum ek zyada significant downward movement dekh sakte hain.

Hourly chart par indicators ab bhi upward pointing hain. Interesting baat yeh hai ke kal ka close Bollinger Bands channel ke outer band ke upar tha, jo ek strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Aaj, pair ne middle band ko upar se approach kiya hai as part of a corrective move. Agle kuch sessions crucial honge future direction determine karne ke liye. Agar price middle band ko break karti hai, to yeh further bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price wapas bounce karti hai, to yeh current correction ke continuation ko indicate kar sakti hai.

4-hour chart bhi similar outlook present karta hai. Iss time frame par indicators continued upward movement suggest karte hain. Lekin, Bollinger Bands channel restructuring ke signs show kar raha hai, jo typically ek possible local correction ko suggest karta hai. Additionally, ek basement indicator ne bearish divergence show kiya hai, jo ek short-term move to the south ko hint karta hai. Yeh bearish divergence yeh batata hai ke jab price higher highs bana rahi thi, indicator ne nahi banaya, jo weakening momentum ko signal karta hai.

In technical signals ke madad se, ek short-term move downside ki taraf plausible lagti hai. Is move ka target shayad previously broken upper boundary of the triangle pattern ka test hoga. Yeh level support ke taur par act karega agar price is tak pahunchti hai.

Broader market context ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai. Euro/Dollar pair ke movements various factors se influenced hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies. Recent economic indicators from the Eurozone aur United States pair ke direction ko impact kar sakte hain. Eurozone se positive economic data Euro ko strengthen kar sakta hai, pair ko higher push karta hai, jabke strong US economic data iska opposite effect de sakta hai. Central bank policies bhi crucial role play karti hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ka Euro/Dollar pair par significant influence hota hai. Interest rates ya monetary policy mein changes ke hints se pair mein substantial movements aa sakti hain. ECB aur Fed officials ke statements ko traders aur investors closely monitor karte hain future policy actions ke clues ke liye.

Geopolitical developments, jaise ke trade negotiations, political events, aur international conflicts, bhi Euro/Dollar pair ko impact kar sakti hain. For example, major economies ke beech tensions ya trade agreements ke around uncertainties forex market mein increased volatility lead kar sakti hain.

Fundamental factors ke ilawa, technical analysis tools jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko potential support aur resistance levels, trend reversals, aur trades ke entry aur exit points identify karne ke liye use kiya jata hai. Bollinger Bands aur divergence indicators ko in tools ke saath combine karke market ka zyada comprehensive view mil sakta hai.

Summary mein, jabke Euro/Dollar pair ne apni recent upward movement ke sath strength show ki hai, various technical signals short-term correction ka possibility suggest karte hain. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur economic data, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events ke driven potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. Informed rehkar aur technical aur fundamental analysis ke combination ko use karke, traders market ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur zyada informed trading decisions le sakte hain.