Eur/usd

EUR/USD?




**EUR/USD: Current Trends and Analysis in the Forex Market**
The EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair is one of the most widely traded pairs in the forex market, reflecting the exchange rate between the euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, and the US dollar, the world's primary reserve currency. Traders and investors closely monitor this pair due to its liquidity, volatility, and its influence on global financial markets.

### Current Market Dynamics

As of recent analysis, the EUR/USD pair has shown various trends influenced by economic indicators, geopolitical events, and central bank policies:

1. **Economic Indicators**: Key economic data such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and employment figures from both the Eurozone and the United States significantly impact the pair. Strong economic performance in the Eurozone relative to the US typically strengthens the euro against the dollar, and vice versa.

2. **Monetary Policy**: Policies set by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) play a crucial role. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing programs, and forward guidance statements can cause significant movements in the EUR/USD exchange rate. Divergence in monetary policies between the ECB and the Fed often leads to volatility.

3. **Political Events**: Geopolitical events such as elections, trade agreements, and geopolitical tensions affect market sentiment and can lead to fluctuations in the currency pair. For instance, uncertainty surrounding Brexit negotiations or trade disputes between the US and the EU can impact the EUR/USD exchange rate.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment and risk appetite also influence the EUR/USD pair. During periods of economic uncertainty or financial market volatility, investors often seek the safety of the US dollar, leading to a stronger USD and a weaker euro.

### Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, traders analyze price charts and technical indicators to forecast future movements in the EUR/USD pair:

- **Support and Resistance Levels**: These are key price levels where the pair tends to find buying or selling pressure. Breakouts above resistance or below support levels can indicate potential trends.

- **Moving Averages**: Traders use moving averages such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages to identify trends and potential reversals in the EUR/USD exchange rate.

- **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: This momentum oscillator helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market, signaling potential reversals.

### Trading Strategies

Traders employ various strategies based on their analysis of fundamental and technical factors:

- **Trend Following**: Traders follow trends identified through technical analysis, aiming to profit from sustained movements in the EUR/USD exchange rate.

- **Range Trading**: Traders identify support and resistance levels and execute trades within the range, buying near support and selling near resistance.

- **Breakout Trading**: Traders watch for breakouts above resistance or below support levels, entering trades in the direction of the breakout.

### Conclusion

The EUR/USD currency pair remains a cornerstone of the forex market, driven by a complex interplay of economic fundamentals, geopolitical events, and technical analysis. Traders and investors utilize a range of strategies and tools to navigate its volatility and capitalize on trading opportunities. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for anyone looking to engage in forex trading involving the euro and the US dollar.

EUR/USD Analysis

Hello. Euro ke price channel ki neeche wali boundary tak girne ki umeed hai jo aapne draw ki hai. Is scenario ko confirm karne ke liye, hume pehle level 1.06666 par breakdown aur consolidation dekhna hoga. Phir target mark 1.06484 hoga, aur agar hum iske beyond consolidate karne mein kamyab ho jayein, to hum price ke girawat ka silsila level 1.06 tak jaane ki umeed kar sakte hain. Agar price growth resume hone ka option consider karein, to hume lower halves mein reversal pattern ka formation dekhna hoga. Lekin har surat mein, buyers ko level 1.07608 par anchor karna padega agar wo kisi serious upward movement ki umeed rakhtay hain.

EUR/USD H4 Analysis:

1. 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Euro 4-hour chart par bands ke central area mein hai, lower band ke saath move karne ki koshish ke baad. Is situation mein price drop ke liye nayi high-quality signal pane ke liye, hume lower band ke active new approach ka intezar karna hoga, aur ek clear touch ke baad dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya nahi. Agar hum fractals ke current situation ko dekhein, to price fall ka target nearest downward fractal hai; is fractal ka breakdown aur consolidation price ko 1 May ke fractal ki taraf move karne dega jo level 1.06484 par hai. Upward movement ke formation ka goal nearest upward fractal hai; is fractal ka breakdown aur consolidation price ko 19 June ke fractal ki taraf move karne dega jo level 1.07526 par hai.



2. AO Indicator Analysis:
AO indicator negative zone mein increase form kar raha hai, abhi tak yeh clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke price fall aage continue kar sakti hai. Price growth ke liye behtar signal pane ke liye, hume zero mark ki taraf active attenuation ka intezar karna chahiye.

Eur-usd مجموعہ کی جائزہ

امریکی سیشن میں، جب قیمت نے 1.0769 کے مزید بڑھنے کے کوشش کی، اچانک دباؤ محسوس ہوا۔ خریداروں کے لیے یہ قیمت کو ایم اے 633 h1 سے گذرنے کے بعد بلند تر لانے میں ناکامی ہوئی۔ اب ذخیرہ کار شمع نے ایم اے کو گزرنے کے بعد اور قیمت کو آج کے مارکیٹ کھلنے کے علاقے کی طرف سلنگ دکھایا۔ اگر دباؤ مستقل رہے اور ایم اے 200 پر بریک آؤٹ ہوا جو روزانہ کھولنے اور اس کے قریب ترین سپورٹ 1.0709 کے درمیان ہے، تو قیمت کا دوبارہ دخولی عرصہ میں واپس جانے اور مزید کمزوری ہو سکتی ہے۔

میری ٹیکنیکی تجزیہ کے مطابق، آج eurusd کرنسی جوڑ کی حرکت اب بھی 1.07820 کی قیمت کی طرف بڑھنے کی پیشینگی ہے۔ یہ اس وجہ سے ہے کہ h1 ٹائم فریم میں eurusd کرنسی جوڑ کی حرکت نے ایک بلشنگ اینگلفنگ شمع بنائی ہے جو buy eurusd کے لیے بہت مضبوط اشارہ ہے 1.07820 کی قیمت تک آج۔ البتہ، ہمیں آج eurusd میں نیچے کی تصحیح کے وجود کا بھی احساس ہونا چاہیے کیونکہ rsi 14 انڈیکیٹر پر مشاہدات کے مطابق، eurusd کی قیمت 1.07700 پر اوورباہٹ یا rsi 14 انڈیکیٹر کے حجم کے 70 کے اوپر پہنچ چکی ہے، لہذا بہت ممکن ہے کہ آج شام کو eurusd 10-40 پپس کے درمیان بہت گہری طرح کم ہو جائے۔ sell eurusd اشارہ بھی snr اور فیبوناچی میتھڈز کے استعمال سے مدد حاصل ہوتا ہے کیونکہ جب eurusd کی قیمت 1.07700 میں گئی، تو یہ sbr علاقہ یا سپورٹ بن گیا ہے جس کی وجہ سے بہت ممکن ہے کہ آج eurusd دوبارہ 1.07400 کی قیمت تک واپس آ جائے۔

میرے ٹیکنیکی تجزیہ کے نتائج کے مطابق، آج eurusd کرنسی جوڑ کی حرکت کے لیے، میں نے فیصلہ کیا ہے کہ 1.07400 کی قیمت پر sell eurusd کریں۔

EUR/USD H1 Analysis

Chaliye seedha baat par aate hain. Agar aap weekly time frame par EUR/USD chart dekhein, jaise ke upar wali tasveer mein hai, to pichle haftay ki trading downward direction mein move karne mein kamyab rahi. Is se yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke pichle haftay ki EUR/USD trading seller camp ne dominate ki. Yeh weak movement agle haftay ki trading par zaroor asar dalaygi. Isliye aapko EUR/USD currency pair mein trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

Agar aap pichle haftay ki EUR/USD price movement ka jaiza lein, to currency pair jo 1.0705 ki price par open hui thi, wo highest trading price 1.0762 par maintain nahi kar saki. Jab price highest level ko hit karti hai, to EUR/USD currency pair seller ke pressure ki wajah se weak hone lagti hai. Yeh downward movement tab tak jaari rehti hai jab tak yeh lowest trading level 1.0672 ko touch nahi kar leti. Lowest trading level ko touch karne ke baad EUR/USD strong hone lagti hai aur aakhir mein trading 1.0692 ki price par close hoti hai.

Daily Chart Analysis
Upar humne euro/dollar ka daily chart dekha, jahan technically sab kuch decline ke continuation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Ab chaliye m30 chart open karte hain. Half-hour timeframe par pehle ek corrective upward price channel break hua tha, jiske baad euro/dollar pair south ki taraf ghoom gayi aur ek southern channel draw kiya, jisme major 1.0692 level par trade kar raha hai. Technically, market ke opening se hum pehle north ki taraf ja sakte hain, jahan hum 1.0700 ke round level se resistance line se rebound hasil karenge, jiske baad decline ka silsila jaari rahega aur bears ka target local minimum 1.0670 tak girawat hoga.




H1 Chart Analysis
Aur aakhir mein, main market sentiment chart open karna chahunga. Buy aur sell transactions ke ratio ke graph par humare paas 67 percent traders purchases mein hain aur 33 percent traders sales mein hain. Jaisa ke hum dekhte hain, buyers ke side mein clear advantage hai, iska matlab major player selling kar raha hai aur bulls ko stop loss par throw karta rahega.

EUR/USD Trading Week Analysis

Jab nayi trading week ka aghaz hota hai, EUR/USD pair bullish rebound ke signs dikhata hai, jo ke Monday Asian session se shuru hota hai. Yeh pair 1.0710 region ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle observe ki gayi 1.0715 mark se thoda upar hai. Yeh primarily U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ke weakening ki wajah se hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Euro ko recent EU Parliamentary elections ki wajah se headwinds ka samna hai, jo ke market mein uncertainty aur instability le aayi hai. Elections ne parliament mein reshuffling ka sabab bana, jo policymaking ke liye near-term risks paida kar raha hai aur Euro par pressure daal raha hai. Is haftay ke economic calendar mein EU ke liye koi khaas events nahi hain, bas Wednesday ko German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) figures release hongi. Is dauran, broader markets upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) rate decision aur Fed ke dot plot summary of interest rate projections par focus kar rahe hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne do din ka decline experience kiya, 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir gaya jo 1.0801 par hai. Yeh drop pair ko descending trendlines ke kareeb le aaya hai jo 2024 ke peak bids 1.1141 ke aas-paas hain. Abhi, pair 1.0750 mark ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, Friday ke 1.0721 level se sharp decline ke baad. Market mein consolidation aur potential rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai agar current trend jaari rehta hai.



Long-term Outlook:

Long-term outlook pair ke liye negative turn ho gaya hai jab yeh 100-day EMA ke neeche gir gaya jo ke 1.0785 par trade kar raha hai. Is decline ko 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke significant drop ne compound kiya hai, jo sharp gir kar 40.00 par aa gaya hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, to further bearish momentum trigger ho sakta hai, jo aur downside potential indicate karta hai.

EUR/USD Takniki Tahlil (2-7-2024):
Price action aglay trading session mein market ko neeche le jayega. Aap 1.0777 aur 1.0740 ke darmiyan ek bech order khol sakte hain. Agar market 1.0778 level ko upar torey? Toh yeh short-term bearish outlook manzoor nahi hoga.
Is short-term bearish outlook ka maqsad qareeb 1.0687 level hai. Aap apni trading position ko 1.0720 level par band kar sakte hain safe trading ke liye.
Daily Tahlil:
Kal, market 1.0730 par khula aur 1.0740 par band hua. Isliye market ka sentiment bearish hai. Yeh 1.0777 tak pohnch gaya aur 1.0720 tak gir gaya. Isliye kal ka trading range kareeb 57 pips tha. Abhi yeh daily pivot level 1.0734 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Aglay trading dino mein daily support level S1 aur S2 tak pohanch sakta hai.

H4 Tahlil:
Pair ne 1 June 2024 se kam hone wale chhoto aur chhote dino ka silsila shuru kiya hai. Meri taknik ke sab indicators bhi ek bearish bias darust kar rahe hain.
Market ne kal haftai resistance level 1.0748 par touch kiya.
RSI 14 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai overbought condition ke baad.
Ek engulfing pattern aya, jise ek aur bearish candlestick ne confirm kiya ke market mein bearish strength hai.
Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Yeh market ki bearish strength ko darust karta hai.
Hourly Tahlil:
Pair ne uske baad bear move shuru kiya, uske baad,
Yeh ek sideway range mein move kar raha hai.
Yeh EMA30 ke neeche move kar raha hai.
Yeh daily pivot levels ke neeche move kar raha hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Monday ko Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against struggle kiya, halaanke pehle ke losses se thoda recover kiya. Pair European trading ke shuruat mein 1.0700 mark ke aas-paas hover kar raha tha, Eurozone mein chal rahi concerns ki wajah se. Pehli baat, political uncertainty, khaaskar upcoming French elections, investors ko cautious rakh rahi hai. Nayi government ke Eurozone ke second-largest economy par negative impact ka darr Euro ke liye enthusiasm ko kam kar raha hai. Dusri baat, stronger US dollar pressure add kar raha hai. Friday ke positive US PMI data ne USD ko boost kiya, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye headwinds create kar raha hai. Yeh data US mein continued economic growth suggest karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke further interest rate hikes ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo USD ko investors ke liye aur bhi attractive bana deta hai.

Technically, EUR/USD ka outlook bearish hai. Pair apne key 100-period EMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai 4-hour chart par, jo downward trend indicate kar raha hai. Is bearishness ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne reinforce kiya hai jo 40.0 ke near hover kar raha hai oversold territory mein, jo further decline ka potential suggest karta hai. Resistance perspective se dekha jaye, to EUR/USD ek major hurdle ka samna kar raha hai 1.0762 par. Yeh level 100-period moving average aur Bollinger Bands ke convergence ko represent karta hai. Is point ke upar break hone ke liye significant bullish momentum chahiye hoga.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

Agar upar dekha jaye to June 15th high 1.0815 hai, jo next resistance barrier hai jo overcome karna hoga. Support side par, agar 1.0700 ke neeche break hota hai to pair May low 1.0650 ko retest kar sakta hai. Yeh sharp decline tab trigger hua jab bulls trend line support 1.0850 aur 200-period SMA ko surpass karne mein fail hue. Pehle ka resistance level 1.0745 ke aas-paas additional downward pressure provide kar raha tha.



Glimmers of Hope:

Lekin, EUR/USD ke liye kuch umeed bhi hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators abhi oversold territory mein hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ko aane wale sessions mein kuch short-term stability mil sakti hai. Additionaly, previous uptrend ka 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0666 ke near hai, jo ek support zone act kar sakta hai. Furthermore, initial support trend line jo 2023 aur 2024 lows ko connect kar rahi hai, bhi 1.0650 ke aas-paas positioned hai, jo May low ke sath coincide karta hai. Agar EUR/USD is combined support area ke upar hold karne mein successful hota hai, to yeh 1.0600 level ki taraf further slide ko prevent kar sakta hai.

Overall Position:

Overall, EUR/USD apni position mein precarious hai. Jabke immediate future bearish lagta hai, oversold indicators aur key support levels short-term reprieve ka chance offer karte hain.

Euro aur US Dollar ka Muqabla

Euro abhi tak US dollar ke against struggle kar raha hai, aur early May ke baad apni lowest point par pohanch gaya hai. Yeh is waqt 1.0700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, lekin analysts ko darr hai ke yeh aur neeche ja sakta hai. Iski weakness ke pichay kai factors hain. Sab se pehle, France mein aanay wale elections ko le kar concerns hain. Right-wing National Front Party opinion polls mein lead kar rahi hai, aur unki proposed spending plans eurozone ke second-largest economy mein financial crisis ka darr paida kar rahe hain. French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire ne bhi warning di hai ke agar right ya left wing jeeti, to mulk ko financial turmoil ka samna karna par sakta hai.

Doosra factor US dollar ka recent rise hai jo euro par additional pressure daal raha hai. Yeh uske baad hua jab US Consumer Prices Index (CPI) data ne inflation ke potential slowdown ka signal diya, jis se US dollar ko boost mila.



Friday ko buyers significant advance kar sakte the. Price trading day ke doosray half mein narrow range mein rahi. Four-hour chart par, candlesticks ke shadows chhoti thi, jo upper side pe horizontal resistance dikhati hai 1.0699-1.0700 par, jise price cross nahi kar saki. Ek triangle pattern bana hai, jo potential breakout upwards ka signal de raha hai. Friday ke mutabiq, target 1.0751 hai. Yeh pattern sellers ke liye bhi favorable ho sakta hai, lekin pehle ka low 1.0669 ko surpass nahi kar paya, jo buyers ke liye support hai. Yeh weak sellers aur accumulating buyers ka situation lagta hai. Agar price resistance 1.0700 ko overcome kar le aur seventh figure mein stabilize ho jaye, to yeh long positions open karne ka moqa hoga.

Bulls breakout level ko intrachannel correction ke liye support ke tor par use kar sakte hain, jis se descending channel resistance line (trend line) tak exit ho sake. Jab tak yeh movement nahi ho raha, southern scenario ko main samjha jata hai.

EUR/USD Pair Ki Takneeki Tashkeel

1 Ghantay Ka Chart

Aaj, pair ki keemat 1 ghantay ke chart par bearish price channels mein trading shuru hui, jo keemat ke movement ki taraf is haftay ke do trading dinon mein ki gayi.

Keemat ko mid-channel lines se support mila, aur upper direction mein, channels ko upar ki taraf toorna mein kaamyaab raha, aur ab keemat ko haftay ka pivot level 1.0708 se resistance ka samna hai, jo din ke dauran keemat ki taraf kaarobari hoga.

Agar keemat haftay ka pivot level tode aur us se upar 1 ghanta tak trade kare, to aap kharidne ke liye daakhil ho sakte hain. Maqsad level haftay ke resistance level 1.0744 ke neeche tay kiya ja sakta hai.

Jahan tak bechnay ka mouqa hai, wo maujood hai jab keemat ek price peak banaye haftay ke pivot level ke saath, aur bechnay ka mouqa 1 ghantay ki mumkin hai agar channels ke andar phir se candle band ho jaye.

Maliyaati pehlu par, Europe mein jaari siyasi pareshaniyon aur central banks ke policy ke mustaqbil ke izhaar mein farq ke baawajood, pair ki keemat teesray haftay mein teesri bar muntazir hai, jismay se hissa nuqsaan hone ka bhi hai. Yeh partly is liye ke disappointing economic survey ne dikhaya ke June mein maqami momentum ki kami hai.



Maliyaati calendar ke natijay ke mutabiq... Standard & Poor’s Global ne apne Purchasing Managers’ Index survey ke zariye Eurozone ki maeeshat ka teji se bahaal hone ka pata lagaya, jo ke ek saal ke dosre qame mein is ke peechay daa daur se hua hai. Headline composite PMI reading 50.8 thi, jo ke May mein 52.2 se nichay thi aur 52.5 ke consensus estimate se kam thi. Manufacturing sector 45.6 (Expect: 47.9, Pre: 47.3) ke andar contraction territory mein reh gaya. Services economy ko chalane ke liye jaari hai, jo 52.6 par expansion de raha hai (Expect: 53.5, Pre: 53.2).

European Central Bank ke policy ke mustaqbil ke hawalay se... Isabel Schnabel ke mutabiq naye inflationary shocks ke khatre ke wajah se European Central Bank ko interest rates par narmi rakhna zaroori hai. “Hum naye price shocks se khatray mein aa sakte hain,” Schnabel ne Kiel, Germany mein awards ceremony ke dauran kaha. “Isi liye hum alert hain aur pehle se fix price path par commit nahi hain, lekin hum data par bharosa karte hain.”

EUR/USD Jumma ko aahista aahista ek girte hue channel mein jari raha. Hum is giravat ko puri tarah se support karte hain, kyun ke humein yakeen hai ke euro ko taqatwar izaafa dikhane ke koi bunyadi asbaat nahi hain. Is ke ilawa, yeh pair do mahinon se upar ki taraf tajweez kar raha hai; ab global downtrend ke daire mein ek ziada ahmiyat wali giravat shuru honi chahiye.

Jumma ko, European Union aur Germany mein khidmati aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices shaya kiye gaye. In chaar indices mein se tamam tajweezat aur pichle mahine ke muqablay mein kamzor nikle. Is liye euro ka subah ke pehle hisse mein girna koi hairat angez baat nahi hai. Halaanki, hamare khayal mein, yeh single currency in reports ke bila wajah madad ke baghair bhi gir rahi thi. Din ke doosre hisse mein, US ne bhi mukhtalif business activity indices shaya kiye, jo pichle mahine ke muqablay mein behtar sabit hue. Is wajah se dollar mazeed mazboot ho sakta tha. Lekin, qeemat ne 1.0678 ke mazboot support level se muqabla kiya, jis se pehle bounce hua tha, aur is ne isey mazeed girne se rok diya.

5-minute timeframe par, qeemat ne 1.0678 ke level se chaar martaba bounce kiya. Yani, chaar khareedne ke signals jari hue. Pichle din, qeemat ne 1.0726-1.0733 ke area mein do bechne ke signals banaye thay. Is liye, traders ko Thursday se short positions mein qaim rehna chahiye tha. Dhyan den ke kai mahinon se volatility bohot kam hai, is liye agar aap intraday trade karte hain toh achi munafa ki umeed na rakhein. Jumma ko khareedne ke signals ke hawale se, woh sab ek doosre ko nakal kar rahe thay. Isi wajah se, naye traders ko sirf ek long position kholna chahiye tha, jis se unhone behtareen surat-e-haal mein 10 pips tak kama liya ho sakta tha.

Trading tips Monday ke liye:
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne aakhir kar ek muqami nichlay trend ka aghaz kiya. Hum ab bhi ummeed karte hain ke pair 1.0600, 1.0450 aur shayad hi 1.0200 ke darjay tak giray ga. Lekin yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke qeemat in nishanat tak foran nahi pohanchegi; yeh darmiyani arzi muddat ke hain. Misal ke tor par, pair ek haftay tak mazeed taqseem phase se guzar sakta hai, kyun ke pair ne 1.0678 ke level tak pohancha nahi hai. Hum darmiyani arzi muddat mein euro mein izafa karne ke koi wajah nahi dekhte hain.



Monday ko, traders ko ek naye upar ki movement ki umeed hai, kyun ke 1.0678 ke level ne bearish dabav ke khilaf qaim reh gaya. Lekin yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke pair phir se bohot kam volatility se guzar sakta hai.

5M chart par ahmiyat ke darje 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981 hain. Monday ke liye koi ahmiyat ke events ya reports munaqid nahi hain. Sirf Germany mein IFO Business Climate Index par roshni dal sakte hain, lekin yeh puri tarah secondary report hai.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Kal ki koshishen jo giravat par khareedari ki set up ki gai thin, woh kaam kar gayi. Hum ne qeemat ko 1.0670 ke darjay tak giraya aur ab is se rate ko barha rahe hain. Agar local maximum jo 1.0720 par hai us ki hadod ko tor diya jaye, toh mazeed izafa jari rah sakta hai. Jab 1.0760 ke level ki toot ho, toh yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga. Jab humein 1.0760 ke level ke tootne aur is ke mazboot ikhtitam ke upar bharosemand consolidation mil jaye ga, toh yeh rate ke izafe ko darmiyani arzi muddat mein tasdeeq kare ga. Agli haftay, 1.0720 ke level ke tootne ke saath rate mein mazeed izafa mumkin hai, jo khareedne ke jari signals ko jari rakhne ke liye ek aur nishanat hoga. 1.0760 ke level ke tootne aur is ke mazboot ikhtitam ke upar consolidation bhi aapko mazeed khareedari aur positions par munafa izafa karne ki ijazat dega. 1.0760 ke tootne aur is ke upar ikhtitam ke consolidation ke maamle mein, market mein rate ko izafe ke liye dakhil hone ka ek signal hoga. Achha hoga agar is waqt mein trend ka ulta dikh jaye. Lekin mein H1 par trend ka ulta hone ke liye minimum ya maximum ke tootne ka intezar karna padega. Aur is tarah, euro/dollar bears ne support aur 1.0708 ke minimum ko toor diya, aur is ke baad bharosemandi se 1.0666 ke naye low par gaye. Lekin ant mein hum ne 1.0670 ke darjay tak pohanchne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, aur wahan par maine le liya. Shukriya un logon ka jo aaye aur mujhe pareshan kiya. Jab mere paas waqt aya toh maine terminal khol liya, aur wahan 1.0670 ke level par, maine turant bech diye, intezaar na kiya. Beshak, Jumma bina kisi lauq tak ho sakta tha, lekin yeh market hai, jo bhi de rahe hain, usko qabool karna behtar hai. Abhi tak euro ke liye south mein taqat hai.

EUR/USD TRADING DISCUSSION

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Aaj market ek chhota sa gap ke saath khula tha, jo ab band ho gaya hai aur Asian session mein, khareedari karne wale abhi tak Jumma ke daily range ke band hone ke positions mein hain, haalaanki aam taur par aaj mein tasleem karta hoon ke nazdeek ke support level, jo mere marking ke mutabiq hai, 1.06675 par shuru hone ki sambhavna hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kai baar kaha hai, is support level ke nazdeek maujood maahol ke vikas ke liye do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar ek muddat candle ke banne se jura hai aur upar ki qeemat ki movement ko dobara shuru karna. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, toh main qeemat ko intezar karunga ke woh resistance level ki taraf jaaye, jo 1.08522 par maujood hai. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke upar tikti hai, toh main mazeed uttarward movement ka intezar karunga, 1.09160 ya phir 1.09812 par maujood resistance level tak. Main is resistance levels ke nazdeek ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke mazeed rukh ko tay karnay mein madad dega. Beshak, yahan par ek door ki uttarward maqsad ko pura karnay ka intezar hai, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 1.11393 par hai, lekin yahan par aap ko maahol ko dekhna hoga aur sab kuch is par nirbhar hoga ke kis tarah ke khabar ka bayaan qeemat ke istar ke saath aur is ke door ki uttarward maqsad ke asar ko kaise react karta hai. Aaj ke support level 1.06675 ke test ke doran qeemat ke liye ek mukhtalif intezar hai ke yeh plan price ki umeed ki taraf jaari ho aur is level ke neeche consolidate ho ke aur mazeed southward movement ho. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, toh main qeemat ko intezar karunga ke woh support level ki taraf jaaye, jo 1.06011 par maujood hai. Main is support level ke nazdeek bullish signals ki talash mein rahunga, upar ki qeemat ki movement ko dobara shuru hone ke intezar mein. Aam taur par, ek jumla mein kahoon toh aaj ke liye mein locally kuch dilchasp nahi dekhta hoon. Aam taur par, mein tasleem karta hoon ke uttarward movement dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur is liye mein nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals ki talaash mein hoon.

THE CURRENCY PAIR EUR-USD

Asian session mein euro-dollar currency pair bilkul kamzor tareeqay se move kar raha hai, is liye is par serious ghor o fikar karne ka koi khaas maqsad nahi hai, khas tor par jab market khula hota hai. Yahan tak ke gap appear ho, jaise ke haal hi mein hua tha, lekin yeh kam mumkin hai kyunki hafta ke maqboozaat mein koi bohot ahmiyat ka event nahi hua aur chunancha elections ke doran ek mazboot expected jump tha, is liye weekend ke liye chhoti muddat ke transactions ki mashwara nahi diya jata hai.

Aam taur par, mein yahan par south ki taraf dekhta hoon; kuch wajahat hain. Khas tor par, MA ke neeche bilkul set ho gaye hain; yahan set ho jane ke baad koi sawal nahi kiya gaya. Lekin yeh baat ke woh yahan par neeche feel kiya tha ek dafa mujhe thoda pareshan karta hai, aur mein ab short-term transactions mein itna dilchaspi nahi rakh raha hoon, chahe woh pasandeeda kyun na hon.

Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh unhein yahan par thoda aur sink hone denge, lekin bulls ke liye koi acha end nahi hoga; dollar ne haftay ke end mein pehle se hi kafi taqat hasil kar li hai, lekin yahan par EU elections ke natayej ab bhi Europeans par dabaav daal rahe hain, is liye Europeans par kuch dabaav rahe ga.

Isi wajah se, hafte ke liye ya iske ibteda mein 1.0645 ki taraf slow giravat sab se zyada mumkin manzar hai.



Lekin 1.0715 se ooper jaana bohot mushkil lag raha hai. Aur agar wahan tak pohanch gaye, toh mein iski mukhalif taraf bechunga. Lekin dakhil hone ke liye yakeeni hone ke liye, 1.0680 ke just neeche jaana behtar hai. Maqsad nishanat ko bhi bohot door na lena behtar hai. Is doran slip belts 1.0665, 1.0645, aur 1.0615 par line mein hain. Mujhe lagta hai agar kal humein is raste par le jayein, toh hum kah sakte hain ke din bekaar nahi gaya tha. Asian shift ke riwayat ko jaan kar, is pair ko circulation mein na lena. Mujhe yakeen hai ke asal harkat European session mein hi ho gi. Abhi ke liye, yeh mera mukhya kaam plan hai. Sabko apna waqt nikal kar aur dakhilayon ko pakadne ki dua hai.

Subha bakhair. Kal Euro ke liye dilchaspi wala din raha. Kharidar kal unchaai par tezi se badhne lage thay, aur gap ke saath, mujhe laga ke ab is tezi ke saath jaldi unchaai ho jayegi. Lekin ant mein unhone apni positions qaim rakhne mein kamyabi nahi haasil ki aur bikriyon ne sab is tarraqi ko wapas le liya. Ab agar humein dobara kuch oopar ki taraf banane ki koshish karni hai, toh 1.07755 ke level par consolidation dekhna zaroori hai, jahan pehla target quotes ki barhne ka 1.08156 mark hoga. Bikriyon ke liye, zyada active girawat ke liye, 1.07191 ke level ko toorna aur is par jamana zaroori hai. Agar unhe yeh kamyaab ho gayi, toh girawat ki jari rakhne ki maqsad mark 1.06843 ho jayegi. Pair EURUSD D1:

1- Bikriyon ko kal trading ke rukh ko badalne mein kamiyabi mili, jis se unhone din ko, chahe thodi bahut hi, apne hawaale kar liya, aur aaj wo apni tehreek ko mazboot karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar hum taaron par halaat ki taraf baat karein, toh keemat taaron ke central area mein hai aur taarey khud andar ki taraf jamaa ho rahe hain. Keemat ke liye ek achha signal paane ke liye jo upar ya neeche ki taraf active approach ho, uske baad dekha jaye ke taarey bahar khulenge ya koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum current fractals ke baare mein baat karein, toh kal nazdeeki fractal par mazbooti haasil karne mein kamiyab nahi rahe, aur keemat ki taraf badhne ke liye kuch hone ki ummeed hai, toh ek naya nazdeeki fractal ke appearance ka intezaar karna chahiye. Nazdeeki neeche ka fractal bhi door hai, aur keemat ki taraf girne ke liye kuch hone ki ummeed hai, toh behtar hoga ke ek naya nazdeeki neeche ka fractal dekha jaye.

2- AO indicator ab zero mark ki taraf damping banane mein jari hai, jo Euro ki mazeed barhne ki mumkin nishani deti hai. Keemat ki taraf girne ke liye ek behtar signal paane ke liye, negativity area mein active izafa ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD Takniki Tahlil (2-7-2024):
Price action aglay trading session mein market ko neeche le jayega. Aap 1.0777 aur 1.0740 ke darmiyan ek bech order khol sakte hain. Agar market 1.0778 level ko upar torey? Toh yeh short-term bearish outlook manzoor nahi hoga.
Is short-term bearish outlook ka maqsad qareeb 1.0687 level hai. Aap apni trading position ko 1.0720 level par band kar sakte hain safe trading ke liye.
Daily Tahlil:
Kal, market 1.0730 par khula aur 1.0740 par band hua. Isliye market ka sentiment bearish hai. Yeh 1.0777 tak pohnch gaya aur 1.0720 tak gir gaya. Isliye kal ka trading range kareeb 57 pips tha. Abhi yeh daily pivot level 1.0734 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Aglay trading dino mein daily support level S1 aur S2 tak pohanch sakta hai.



H4 Tahlil:
Pair ne 1 June 2024 se kam hone wale chhoto aur chhote dino ka silsila shuru kiya hai. Meri taknik ke sab indicators bhi ek bearish bias darust kar rahe hain.
Market ne kal haftai resistance level 1.0748 par touch kiya.
RSI 14 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai overbought condition ke baad.
Ek engulfing pattern aya, jise ek aur bearish candlestick ne confirm kiya ke market mein bearish strength hai.
Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Yeh market ki bearish strength ko darust karta hai.
Hourly Tahlil:
Pair ne uske baad bear move shuru kiya, uske baad,
Yeh ek sideway range mein move kar raha hai.
Yeh EMA30 ke neeche move kar raha hai.
Yeh daily pivot levels ke neeche move kar raha hai.