Eur/usd

### EUR/USD Analysis and Trading Recommendations
#### Overview of Recent Movement:
In recent days, the EUR/USD pair has exhibited a sideways movement, fluctuating between the nearest support and resistance levels. However, on Friday, the release of NFP data caused a significant drop in the pair, falling around 90 pips from 0.6180 to 0.6095. This decline broke the nearest support at 0.6174, and the pair is now positioned in the demand area.

#### H1 Timeframe Analysis:
- **Demand Area:** The current candle is struggling to penetrate the demand area at 0.6095. As long as this area holds, there is a potential for a corrective rise in EUR/USD.
- **Bearish Trend:** The break of the 0.6174 support level indicates a possible shift to a bearish trend. The expected correction could push EUR/USD back up to the 0.6174 level (an 80-pip move) before continuing its downward trend.

#### Ichimoku Indicator Analysis:
- **Candle Position:** The candle is clearly below the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines, which signifies a bearish outlook. Previously, these lines often crossed each other due to the sideways market.
- **Correction Indication:** The significant gap between the lines and the candle suggests a correction is likely before further decline. If the demand area is breached, a correction is less probable.

#### Stochastic Indicator Analysis:
- **Oversold Condition:** The stochastic lines have touched the 20 level, indicating an oversold condition. This suggests a potential reversal and correction in the near term.
- **Potential Reversal:** A reversal is expected as the stochastic lines turn upwards and intersect, although this hasn't occurred yet.

#### Conclusion and Trading Recommendations:
- **Monday's Outlook:** EUR/USD has the potential to rise on Monday, aiming for a correction due to the deep decline on Friday and the supportive stochastic indicator.
- **Buy Position:** Traders are advised to focus on opening buy positions. The take profit target can be set at 0.6171, and the stop loss can be placed around 0.6071.
- **Sell Position:** If the demand area at 0.6095 is breached, traders can consider opening sell positions.

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### EUR/USD Analysis and Trading Recommendations (Roman Urdu Translation)

#### Hal Hi Mein Movement Ka Jaiza:
Kuch dinon se, EUR/USD pair ne sideways movement dikhayi hai, nearest support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan fluctuate karte hue. Lekin, Friday ko NFP data ke release ne pair ko significant drop dikhaya, takriban 90 pips ka girawat 0.6180 se 0.6095 tak. Is girawat ne nearest support 0.6174 ko tor diya, aur pair ab demand area mein hai.

#### H1 Timeframe Analysis:
- **Demand Area:** Current candle demand area 0.6095 ko tor nahi pa rahi. Jab tak yeh area hold karega, EUR/USD mein correction rise ki potential hai.
- **Bearish Trend:** 0.6174 support level ka break hone ka matlab hai ke bearish trend ka indication hai. Expected correction EUR/USD ko wapas 0.6174 level tak push kar sakti hai (80-pip move) before further downward trend.

#### Ichimoku Indicator Analysis:
- **Candle Position:** Candle clearly Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko signify karta hai. Pehle, yeh lines aksar cross hoti thi sideways market ki wajah se.
- **Correction Indication:** Lines aur candle ke darmiyan significant gap correction ka likelihood dikhata hai pehle further decline se. Agar demand area breach hota hai, correction kam probability hoti hai.

#### Stochastic Indicator Analysis:
- **Oversold Condition:** Stochastic lines ne 20 level ko touch kiya, jo ke oversold condition dikhata hai. Yeh potential reversal aur near term mein correction ka suggestion deta hai.
- **Potential Reversal:** Reversal expect kiya ja raha hai jaise hi stochastic lines upar turn hoti hain aur intersect karti hain, lekin yeh abhi nahi hua.

#### Conclusion aur Trading Recommendations:
- **Monday's Outlook:** EUR/USD Monday ko rise hone ki potential rakhta hai, correction ke aim se, Friday ki deep decline aur supportive stochastic indicator ki wajah se.
- **Buy Position:** Traders ko advised kiya jata hai ke buy positions open karen. Take profit target 0.6171 pe set kiya ja sakta hai aur stop loss 0.6071 ke aas paas place kiya ja sakta hai.
- **Sell Position:** Agar demand area 0.6095 breach hota hai, traders sell positions open karne ka consider kar sakte hain.

### EUR/USD H4 Analysis
#### Current Trend:
- The upward trend continued on Tuesday.
- EUR/USD has settled below the ascending channel twice without significant declines, showing a steady upward movement with frequent pullbacks.
- The movements are characterized by low volatility, making it crucial for beginners to understand the type of movement they are dealing with.

#### Fundamental and Macroeconomic Background:
- Despite the upward trend, there is no strong fundamental reason for the EUR/USD to rise as the European Central Bank is expected to lower the key rate on Thursday.
- The upward movement is supported by disappointing US macroeconomic reports over the past two months.
- One trading signal was observed during the European session when the price settled below the 1.0888-1.0896 area, leading to a minor fall and potential small profit.

#### Trading Tips for Wednesday:
- **Hourly Chart:** The bullish correction remains intact, though the medium-term outlook suggests a decline as the overall trend is downward.
- **Market Sentiment:** The market seems reluctant to buy the dollar, preventing a break out of the ascending channel. A new downward trend might form if the price consolidates below the ascending channel.
- **Expectations:** Beginners can expect a rise in the pair on Wednesday, especially with upcoming US labor market and business activity reports, which are likely to be weak, possibly causing a fall in the dollar. Conversely, stronger reports could strengthen the dollar slightly.
- **Key Levels:**
- Support Levels: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804.
- Resistance Levels: 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981.
- **Upcoming Data:**
- **Eurozone:** Secondary data on the services sector for May and the producer price index.
- **US:** Crucial reports on the ISM services sector and the ADP's changes in private sector employment.

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### EUR/USD H4 Analysis (Roman Urdu Translation)

#### Mojooda Trend:
- Tuesday ko upward trend jaari raha.
- EUR/USD ne ascending channel ke neeche do martaba settle kiya bina kisi significant decline ke, steady upward movement aur frequent pullbacks ke saath.
- Movements low volatility ke sath hain, jo beginners ke liye samajhna zaroori hai ke wo kis type ki movement deal kar rahe hain.

#### Fundamental aur Macroeconomic Background:
- Upward trend ke bawajood, EUR/USD ke rise hone ka koi strong fundamental reason nahi hai kyun ke European Central Bank Thursday ko key rate ko lower karne ka imkaan hai.
- Upward movement ko past do mahine ke disappointing US macroeconomic reports support kar rahe hain.
- Ek trading signal European session ke dauran dekha gaya jab price 1.0888-1.0896 area ke neeche settle hui, jo minor fall aur potential small profit ka sabab bani.

#### Trading Tips for Wednesday:
- **Hourly Chart:** Bullish correction ab bhi intact hai, halaan ke medium-term outlook decline suggest karta hai kyun ke overall trend downward hai.
- **Market Sentiment:** Market dollar khareedne mein reluctant hai, jo ascending channel ko break hone se rokti hai. Ek new downward trend tab form ho sakti hai agar price ascending channel ke neeche consolidate kar jaye.
- **Expectations:** Beginners Wednesday ko pair mein rise expect kar sakte hain, khaaskar upcoming US labor market aur business activity reports ke saath, jo shayad weak hongi, possibly dollar ka fall cause karengi. Stronger reports dollar ko thoda strengthen kar sakti hain.
- **Key Levels:**
- Support Levels: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804.
- Resistance Levels: 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981.
- **Upcoming Data:**
- **Eurozone:** Secondary data on the services sector for May aur producer price index.
- **US:** Crucial reports on the ISM services sector aur ADP's changes in private sector employment.

EUR/USD/D1
Is haftay mein EURUSD pair ek rollercoaster safar par raha hai, idhar udhar daurte hue lekin taqat se 1.0900 ka ahem resistance level paar karne mein nakam raha. Is hafte wada karta hai keh yeh data bhara hoga, Eurozone aur United States dono se mukhtalif aham maali releases ke saath jo ke exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Eurozone ki taraf se, tawajjo Germany ki maali sehat par hogi. Ahem data points shamil hain manufacturing aur services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs), labor market report, aur retail sales figures. Germany, Eurozone ka sab se taqatwar hissa, ka mazboot dikhawa Euro ki qeemat ko barha sakta hai. Mazeed, Eurozone ke poore quarter ka GDP growth figures release honge, jo ke region ki maali karobari ka performance ka ek jhalak faraham karega. Jabke samundar paar, America ka kaam ka bazaar markazi manzar par hoga. ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing PMI, aur intehai intezar shuda non-farm payrolls report ke release ko investors nazar andaaz karenge. Muzboot US ka kaam ka bazaar Euro ke muqablay mein US Dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Agley haftay mein EURUSD pair ke liye ek santulan ka amal hoga. Agar Eurozone ke data dilchasp na ho aur America ki maashi kamzori ka silsila jari rahe, to Euro kamzor ho sakta hai aur muhimati support level 1.0814 ke neeche gir sakta hai. Ye ek mazeed girawat ko shuru kar sakta hai jo ke 1.0765 area tak ja sakti hai, jo 20-day moving average se mark ki gayi hai. Magar, Eurozone se ek musbat chaunka ya phir America ka kaam ka bazaar mein tezi se giraawat Euro ko 1.0895 ke upar chadh sakti hai aur shayad 1.0940 resistance level ko dobara test karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Is level ka taayun tora se upar janay ka darwaza khol sakta hai jo Euro bull ke liye aham rukawat hai. Kul milake, is haftay mein EURUSD traders ke liye ek aham moqa hai jahan wo dono taraf se mukhtalif maali data releases ki wajah se hosakne wale jolts ka faida utha sakte hain.

Mukhtasir mein, EURUSD currency pair ek khaas muddat ke liye ek samaiti range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan keemat 1.0831 par char ghanton ke chart par moving average ko test karne wali hai. Ye technical level pair ke liye aham ho sakta hai, jo shayad ek correction ko signal kare 1.0830-1.0810 area ki taraf. Maaloomat hasil karke aur mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal karke, traders market mein behtar tarah se safar kar sakte hain aur is potenti al ke dauran faislay kar sakte hain.

Euro kam hui jabke U.S. dollar mei kami ayi, jab jobs report muntakhib se behtar aaya, jo traders ko darr sa ghara diya ke Federal Reserve kisi bhi mumkin rate cuts ko taal sakta hai. Ye manzar yeh darust kar raha hai ke U.S. dollar qareebi muddat mein mazboot reh sakta hai. Magar phir bhi, EUR/USD jodi kuch arse se range-bound rahi hai, jis se koi foran is mein tabdili ka pata nahi chal raha.

1.08 darja ek ahem support zone hai jis par bohot saare traders tawajjo se dekh rahe hain. Is level ke neeche girna overall market ka jazbaat badal sakta hai. Lekin aise manzar ko is waqt namumkin samjha jata hai. Yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke traders aksar hafta ke agle dinon mein badi karwaiyon se guraiz karte hain, khaaskar jab bohot zyada market ki shor o ghul hai.

Is manzar ke tahat, short-term kharidne ka moqa hosakta hai, lekin market apni range mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar euro 1.08 ke neeche jaata hai, to agla nishana 1.07 ho sakta hai. Ye market tez o tawar aur mobile rehgi zyadatar saal ke liye, is ke overall trends ke mutabiq. Halan ke ECB ne haal hi mein darjaton ko kati hai, lekin Federal Reserve ki aham umeedein is saal ke akhri maheenon mein karna ja rahi hai.

Saransh mein, euro ki qadar kam hone ke baad U.S. dollar mei baqiyat ka optimism ko mazboot kiya gaya hai. Qareebi muddat mein dollar ki mazbooti ka aqeedah Baraey Farokht Ke Itehad Ko Taqwiyat Deta Hai. Primary support level 1.08 ko nihayat ahmiyat hasil hai; Is ke neeche girne se mazeed kami ke liye nishane 1.07 ho sakte hain. Magar, is ke khaas khasiyat ke bais, market tez o tawar aur nisbatan mustaqil rehne ka imkaan hai. ECB ke darjaton ke bawajood, bohot saare traders aik mumkin darjaton ki kati ki umeed kar rahe hain Federal Reserve ke taraf se is saal ke aakhri maheenon mein. Is liye, kisi bhi significant market ki harkat ko naapne ke liye ihtiyaat baratni chahiye, jabke aam tor par aik range-closed fitrat ko qaim rakha jaye.

EUR/USD H4

Mangal ke din eur/usd ka upward trend barqarar raha. Humne jaan bujh kar hourly timeframe ka scale reduce kiya hai taake poora movement dikhaya ja sake jo ek mahina aur aadha mahina pehle shuru hua tha. Baat yeh hai ke EUR/USD ne do martaba ascending channel ke neeche settle kiya, lekin dono martaba humne pair ko girta nahi dekha. Yeh ahista ahista upar jaa raha hai magar aksar piche hatt jaata hai. Impulsive upward jumps choti hoti hain, aur subsequent pullbacks bhi choti hoti hain. Pair mukhtalif directions mein move karta hai, magar yeh tab hota hai jab volatility kam hoti hai. Isliye, beginners ko yeh baat samajhni chahiye ke is waqt kis type ke movement se wo deal kar rahe hain. Fundamental perspective se, pair ke pass upar jaane ka koi wajah nahi hai kyunki European Central Bank Thursday ko key rate ko kam karega. Macroeconomic background upward movement ko support karta hai, kyunki do mahine se US ke reports disappointing aaye hain. Phir bhi, hum nahi samajhte ke macroeconomics fundamentals se zyada important hai.

Ek trading signal . timeframe pe form hua tha. European session ke doran, price 1.0888-1.0896 area ke neeche settle hui, uske baad yeh karib 18 pips gir gayi, jo Stop Loss set karne ke liye kaafi tha lekin zyada nahi. Beginners ne US session ke doran trade ko profit ke sath close kar sakte the jab US ne ek aur report (JOLTs) release ki thi, jo expected se kam value rakhti thi. Isliye, traders kal choti si profit bana sakte the.


Trading tips on Wednesday:
Hourly chart pe bullish correction barqarar hai. Hum ab bhi yeh samajhte hain ke medium term mein euro ko decline hona chahiye, kyunki overall trend downward hai. Magar market naamaloom wajah se dollar ko khareedne se inkar karta hai aur price ascending channel se bahar nahi aa paati. Ek naya downward trend tab form ho sakta hai jab price ascending channel ke neeche consolidate ho jaye. Wednesday ko beginners expect kar sakte hain ke pair upar jaye, kyunki US labor market aur business activity pe reports publish karega. Yeh reports weak hone ke high probability hai, jo dollar ke nayi girawat ko provoke karega. Warna, dollar thoda aur strengthen ho sakta hai.

US docket mein crucial reports hongi ISM services . aur ADP ke private sector employment ke changes pe.

EUR/USD pair ne hal hi mein US dollar ke weakening ki wajah se ek significant upswing dekha hai. Is upswing ka mukhya karan hai Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein kuch changes ke expectations, jo ki investors ko dollar se bharosa kam kar raha hai. Iske alawa, Eurozone ki economic data mein kuch improvement bhi is upswing ko support kar rahi hai.

Ab, EUR/USD pair lagbhag 1.0868 area ke aas-pass hover kar raha hai. Is level ka mahatva hai, kyonki yeh ek crucial support zone hai. Agar pair is area ke upar rehta hai, to yeh ek bullish trend ka sign ho sakta hai, jabki agar yeh area toot jata hai, toh bearish momentum ka indication ho sakta hai. Is upswing ko samajhne ke liye, hamein US dollar ke recent performance ko dekhna zaroori hai. US dollar ki kamzori ke peechhe kuch factors shamil hain, jaise ke Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, jismein unhone stagflation ke khadshan ko zikr kiya, aur expectations ke according, wo interest rates ko stable rakhein ge ya phir kisi had tak decrease kar sakte hain. Isi tarah se, US economic data bhi thoda kamzor raha hai, jo ki dollar ko pressure mein dal raha hai. Ek aur mukhya factor Eurozone ke economic conditions ka hai. Eurozone mein economic recovery ke signs dikh rahe hain, jaise ke manufacturing sector mein growth aur unemployment mein thodi kamzori. ECB ke monetary policy ke support se, Eurozone ki economy mein stability aur growth ke expectations badh rahi hain, jo ki Euro ko strong kar raha hai. Is waqt, market sentiment bhi EUR/USD pair ke movement par asar daal raha hai. Investor sentiment mein kisi bhi change ke liye, geopolitical tensions aur global economic conditions ka bhi zikr kiya jata hai. Agar market sentiment positive raha, toh EUR/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ki EUR/USD pair ab crucial support level ke paas hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh bullish momentum ko aur bhi strengthen kiya ja sakta hai. Moving averages aur other technical indicators bhi yeh suggest kar rahe hain ki short-term mein upward movement expected hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ke recent upswing mein multiple factors ka asar hai, including US dollar ki kamzori aur Eurozone ki economic recovery. Ab, 1.0868 area ka support level ek important point hai, jise observe kiya ja raha hai, aur market sentiment aur technical analysis ke saath mila kar is pair ka future direction decide kiya ja sakta hai.

Bullish sentiments towards the dollar dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain kyunki American economy thandi pad rahi hai. Pehle quarter mein, USA ne sirf 1.6% GDP growth dekhi, jo expected 2.3% se neeche thi. Iske ilawa, April retail sales bhi kisi tarah ki growth nahi dikhayi. Yeh sab kuch general aur core CPI index ki slowdown ke sath ho raha hai. Friday ko May ke inflation ka report aayega. Iss hafte koi important reports schedule nahi hain. European currency ke liye inflation report itni important nahi hai kyunki inflation pehle hi 2.4% tak kam ho chuki hai, aur umeed hai ke yeh downward trajectory pe hi rahegi. Yeh zaroori nahi ke indicator har mahine decrease ho; yeh kabhi barh bhi sakta hai aur phir kam ho sakta hai. Lekin, koi bhi abhi inflation ke acceleration ki umeed nahi kar raha. Indicator mein kami sirf pehle se mushkil situation ko aur bura banayegi. Hali mein, Philip Lane ne suggest kiya ke regulator ko timely rate kam karna accha hoga. Unka maanna hai ke June monetary policy ko ease karna shuru karne ke liye ek munasib mahina hai. ECB abhi bhi dovish hai, jo European currency ke demand ko reduce karna chahiye.

Friday ko price poore din barhti rahi. Na koi support test hua aur na hi resistance, isliye Monday ko maine range ke andar trading ko prioritize kiya. Maine anticipate kiya ke price 1.08646 aur 1.08010 ke range mein trade karegi. Dusre alfaz mein, maine recommend kiya ke resistance se sell karein aur support se buy karein. Jab tak resistance break nahi hota, selling relevant hai. Aaj price 1.08646 ke level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, isliye kal ke liye main decline ko prioritize karunga.

Wednesday ko information background ne bear traders ko waise support nahi kiya jaise unhone chaha tha. Abhi European currency moderately decline ho rahi hai, lekin jaldi hi ECB meeting ke results maloom honge, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde aadhe ghante mein bolne wali hain. Rate cut pehle hi EUR/USD pair mein price ho chuka hai, lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke aaj regulator monetary policy ko soften na kare. Main is option ko exclude nahi kar sakta. Agar aaj rates kam nahi kiye gaye, toh bull traders phir se offensive par chale jayenge. Agar Christine Lagarde aaj "hawkish" rhetoric ko adhere karti hain, toh yeh bhi euro ko support karega. Aur "hawkish" rhetoric kya ho sakta hai? Lagarde keh sakti hain ke agla rate cut jaldi nahi hoga aur yeh zaroori hai ke inflation ke decline ko continue kiya jaye.

4-hour chart par, pair ne Fibonacci level 50.0%–1.0794 se rebound kiya aur European currency ke haq mein reverse kiya. Ek nayi "bullish" trend line form hui hai, toh upward process agle corrective level 23.6%–1.0977 ki taraf continue ho sakta hai. Ab, European currency mein declines tabhi expect kiye ja sakte hain jab quotes trend line ke neeche consolidate ho jayein. Aaj kisi indicator ke liye koi emerging divergences observe nahi hui.

Meri bullish outlook ko further confirm karta hai EURUSD market par 4 hours trading diagram. Relative Strength Index, although downside ki taraf turn karne ki koshish kar raha hai, 50.00 level ke upar hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price aane wale periods mein barhegi. Bulls most likely 1.0890 ke round mark ko target karenge aur iske break hone par further advances suggest hote hain, jo 1.0940 level ko target karenge, followed by 1.0980 level par attack. Downside par, price 1.0830 level ki taraf gir sakti hai. Is level ke neeche successful break sellers ko 1.0800 level ko target karne par majboor karega, followed by 1.0760 level par attack. Is level ke qareeb 1.0710 level hai. Jo bhi ho, abhi, main is market mein buying opportunities dekhne ka subscribe karta hoon kyunki risks upside ki taraf hain. Dekhte hain ke aane wale trading sessions mein kya hota hai. Sab ko best of luck! Aur aapka trading din accha guzre!

Traders jo EUR/USD currency pair ka H1 (aik ghantay) chart tajziya kar rahe hain, woh ab ek shumali correction ko dekh rahe hain. Yeh upar ki harkat ahem hai, kyun ke pair aik ahem darje par 1.08884 par mojood hai. Aise correction mein currency pair ki temporary palat ya peechay hatne ki soorat hai jo peechlay downtrend se aai hai, yeh darust karta hai ke euro amreeki dollar ke khilaf taqat hasil kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair forex market mein sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se aik hai, aur iski harkat ko traders aur investors puri duniya mein tawajju se dekhte hain. Aik shumali correction, jaise ke mojooda dekhi ja rahi hai, aksar ek giravat ya mustawali muddat ke baad ati hai. Is correction ke peeche mukhtalif factors hote hain, jinmein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke tabdeel hone ka asar shamil hai.
Jab EUR/USD pair ko H1 chart par tajziya karte hain, to traders potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko pehchanne ke liye mukhtalif technical indicators aur tools ka istemal karte hain. In tools mein moving averages, trend lines, aur Fibonacci retracement levels shaamil hote hain. Mojooda darja 1.08884 par ahem hai kyun ke yeh aik resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan qeemat pehle se palat sakti hai ya mustawali muddat ke liye stable ho sakti hai phir mazeed harkat ke liye. Market sentiment dusra ahem factor hai jo EUR/USD pair par asar dalta hai. Sentiment mukhtalif factors se chal sakta hai, jaise ke investor confidence, risk appetite, aur overall market conditions. Euro ke liye zyada behtar umeed ya dollar par cautious stance ki taraf ek shift shumali correction ka sabab ban sakta hai, jaisa ke mojooda hai.

Ikhtisar mein, EUR/USD currency pair H1 chart par ek shumali correction ka samna kar raha hai, jahan pair 1.08884 par mojood hai. Yeh upar ki harkat ek temporary palat ko darust karta hai peechlay downtrend se, aur iska asar mukhtalif factors jaise economic data, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment par hota hai. Traders ko is tarah ke dynamic market environment mein maloomati tajziya tools ka istemal karna chahiye aur relevant khabron se mutaliq raaye jaan'ne ke liye raabta banaye rakhna chahiye. In factors ko samajhna aur unke asar ko pehchan'na traders ko forex market mein behtar tareeqay se safar karne aur EUR/USD currency pair ke harkat ko faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.
EUR/USD pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.07443 ke darjoo par pohanchaya. Magar, jab hafte ka aakhir qareeb aya, aik sannata profit lene ke fa'il hone laga, jo pair ko 1.0870 tak le aya. Ye late-week movement mukhtalif maqoolat aur markazi bankon ki policies ke maamlat mein jaari volatality aur market ke hassas hone ka aik misaal hai.

EUR/USD/D1

EURUSD pair ne is hafte ek jhoolay ki sawari ki hai, idhar-udhar urrte hue lekin taqat se 1.0900 ka ahem resistance level torne mein kamiyab nahi ho saki. Is hafte data bhara hone ka wada hai, jahan Eurozone aur United States dono se kai maeeshat se mutasir hone wale releases honge jo tanasub ka imtiaz kar sakte hain. Eurozone ki taraf se, Germany ki maeeshati sehat par tawajjo hogi. Ahem data points mein shamil hain manufacturing aur services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs), labor market report, aur retail sales figures. Germany, Eurozone ka taqatwar, ka numainda mazbooti ka Euro ke qeemat ko barha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, pehle saal ke GDP growth figures Eurozone ke mukhtalif hisson ki maeeshat par aik jhalak faraham karenge. Wahi Atlantic ke doosri taraf, US job market mukhya role ada karta hai. ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing PMI, aur intehai intizar shuda non-farm payrolls report ki release ko investors kareebi nazar se dekhenge. Mazboot US jobs market Euro ke muqablay mein US Dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai.



Aanay wale hafte mein EURUSD pair ke liye ek mushtael karna hoga. Agar Eurozone ka data mayoos kun hota hai aur US ki maeeshat ki taaqat jaari rahti hai, to Euro kamzor ho sakta hai aur 1.0814 ka ahem support level ke neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh ek mazeed kamiyabi ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai jo 1.0765 ilaqe tak ka nataa'ij de sakti hai, jo ke 20-day moving average ke zareye mark kiya gaya hai. Halaanki, Eurozone se ek musbat surpirze ya US job market ki rukawat Euro ko 1.0895 ke upar chadhne aur shayad 1.0940 ka resistance level dobara test karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. Is point ke tezi se torr ne se darwaza khul sakta hai Euro bulls ke liye 1.0980-1.1000 ilaqa ki taraf, jo Euro ke liye aik ahem rukawat hai. Kul milake, yeh hafte EURUSD traders ke liye aham mouqa pesh karta hai ke wo dono janib se aane wale ahem maeeshati data releases ke zor par potential ghair mutawaqqi chalao ke faide utha sakte hain.

Mukhtasir mein, EURUSD currency pair ne ek khaas arse tak ek flat range mein trading ki hai, jahan qeematain chaar ghanton ke chart par mojudah moving average ko 1.0831 par test karne ki surat mein hain. Yeh technical level pair ke liye aham hosakta hai, shayad pair ko 1.0830-1.0810 ilaqa ki taraf tajwiz karta hai. Maaloomat hasil kar ke aur mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal kar ke, traders bazar mein behtar tarah se safar kar sakte hain aur is potential qeemat ke harkat ka intezar kar ke aqalmand faislay kar sakte hain.

Traders jo EUR/USD currency pair ka H1 (aik ghantay) chart tajziya kar rahe hain, woh ab ek shumali correction ko dekh rahe hain. Yeh upar ki harkat ahem hai, kyun ke pair aik ahem darje par 1.08884 par mojood hai. Aise correction mein currency pair ki temporary palat ya peechay hatne ki soorat hai jo peechlay downtrend se aai hai, yeh darust karta hai ke euro amreeki dollar ke khilaf taqat hasil kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair forex market mein sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se aik hai, aur iski harkat ko traders aur investors puri duniya mein tawajju se dekhte hain. Aik shumali correction, jaise ke mojooda dekhi ja rahi hai, aksar ek giravat ya mustawali muddat ke baad ati hai. Is correction ke peeche mukhtalif factors hote hain, jinmein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke tabdeel hone ka asar shamil hai.
Jab EUR/USD pair ko H1 chart par tajziya karte hain, to traders potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko pehchanne ke liye mukhtalif technical indicators aur tools ka istemal karte hain. In tools mein moving averages, trend lines, aur Fibonacci retracement levels shaamil hote hain. Mojooda darja 1.08884 par ahem hai kyun ke yeh aik resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan qeemat pehle se palat sakti hai ya mustawali muddat ke liye stable ho sakti hai phir mazeed harkat ke liye. Market sentiment dusra ahem factor hai jo EUR/USD pair par asar dalta hai. Sentiment mukhtalif factors se chal sakta hai, jaise ke investor confidence, risk appetite, aur overall market conditions. Euro ke liye zyada behtar umeed ya dollar par cautious stance ki taraf ek shift shumali correction ka sabab ban sakta hai, jaisa ke mojooda hai.

Ikhtisar mein, EUR/USD currency pair H1 chart par ek shumali correction ka samna kar raha hai, jahan pair 1.08884 par mojood hai. Yeh upar ki harkat ek temporary palat ko darust karta hai peechlay downtrend se, aur iska asar mukhtalif factors jaise economic data, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment par hota hai. Traders ko is tarah ke dynamic market environment mein maloomati tajziya tools ka istemal karna chahiye aur relevant khabron se mutaliq raaye jaan'ne ke liye raabta banaye rakhna chahiye. In factors ko samajhna aur unke asar ko pehchan'na traders ko forex market mein behtar tareeqay se safar karne aur EUR/USD currency pair ke harkat ko faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.
EUR/USD pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.07443 ke darjoo par pohanchaya. Magar, jab hafte ka aakhir qareeb aya, aik sannata profit lene ke fa'il hone laga, jo pair ko 1.0870 tak le aya. Ye late-week movement mukhtalif maqoolat aur markazi bankon ki policies ke maamlat mein jaari volatality aur market ke hassas hone ka aik misaal hai.

Hum jaante hain ke recent dinon mein EUR-USD ki movement sideways rahi hai. Us waqt, candle sirf qareebi support aur resistance ke ird gird upar neeche hoti rahi. Magar, yeh baat Jumma ke din par sadq nahi aati kyun ke NFP data release hone ke baad EUR-USD ne bohot zyada girawat dekhi. Mera hisaab hai ke currency pair takriban 90 pips gira. Candle ne 0.6180 se 0.6095 area tak move kiya. Is girawat ka nateeja yeh hua ke ab qareebi support 0.6174 par break ho chuka hai. Ab candle ki position demand area mein phansi hui hai.

Agar hum H1 timeframe se analysis karein, toh abhi candle demand area par 0.6095 ke price ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Jab tak yeh area penetrate nahi hota, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke wapas upar jane ka chance hai. Magar, yeh increase sirf ek correction hogi kyun ke EUR/USD ka trend bearish hota nazar aa raha hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke qareebi support 0.6174 ke price par break ho chuka hai. Mera scenario yeh hai ke agar market ne wapas EUR/USD ko 0.6174 ke price tak le jaana hai, toh usay takriban 80 pips ka safar karna hoga. Magar, SBR zone 0.6174 ke price par pohanchne ke baad, girawat mazeed gehri ho sakti hai.

Agar hum Ichimoku indicator se analysis karein, toh candle ki position bohot clearly tenkan sen aur kijun lines ke neeche hai. Yeh is baad ke baad hua ke Jumma ko EUR/USD ne bohot gehri girawat dekhi. Pehle, tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines aksar cross karti thi kyun ke market abhi bhi sideways tha. Kyun ke lines aur candles ke darmiyan faasla bohot zyada hai, mujhe aur bhi yakeen hai ke pehle ek correction hogi phir EUR/USD mazeed girayega. Magar agar demand area foran breach ho jata hai, toh correction hone ka imkaan kam hai.

Wahin, stochastic indicator bhi EUR/USD ke rise ko strongly support karta hai kyun ke line ne level 20 ko touch kiya hai, jo ke over sold zone mein dakhil hone ka matlab hai. Ho sakta hai ke kareeb waqt mein ek reversal ho. Correction bhi kaafi high expected hai kyun ke pehle ki girawat bhi bohot gehri thi. Humein bas intezar karna hoga ke line upar ki taraf dekhe aur ek intersection ho kyun ke abhi tak yeh nahi hua.

Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke Monday ko EUR/USD ke rise hone ka mauqa hai, jo ke ek correction ke tor par hoga. Jumma ki girawat bohot gehri thi. Stochastic bhi bohot supportive hai kyun ke line lower level, yani 20, ko penetrate kar chuki hai. Is liye, main dosto ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke pehle buy positions par focus karein. Magar agar demand area penetrate ho jata hai, toh aap sell position open kar sakte hain. Take profit target usual ke tor par 0.6171 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 0.6071 ke price range par rakh sakte hain.

Dollar ke liye bullish jazbat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain jab American maeeshat thand par gayi hai. Pehle quarter mein, USA ne 1.6% ki kamzor GDP izafah kia, jis se ummeed thi ke 2.3% ho ga. Iske ilawa, April mein retail farokht mein koi izafah nahi dekha gaya. Yeh sab sath sath am aor bunyadi CPI index ki rok tham ka samay bhi hai. Jumeraat ko, May ke liye aik inflation report aayega. Is haftay koi ahem report mukarrar nahi hai. Inflation report European currency ke liye abhi bohot zyada ahem nahi hai, kyun ke inflation pehle se 2.4% tak kam ho chuki hai, aur zahir hai ke is ka silsila aage bhi jaari rahega. Beshak, kisi bhi maheene mein ishara kam ho sakta hai; yeh izafah bhi ho sakta hai phir kam ho sakta hai. Lekin kisi bhi had tak is wakilat ka raazdar hona ke liye koi ummeed nahi hai. Is ihaatat se sirf muskilat ko mazeed barha dena hoga. Haal he mein, Philip Lane ne mashwara diya ke waqt par rate kam karna regulator ke liye acha hoga. Unka khayal hai ke June aik munasib maheena hai monetary policy mein halka karna shuru karne ke liye. ECB dovish rehti hai, jo European currency ke liye tawazun kam karega.

Jumeraat ko, keemat din bhar bulandiyaan payi. Na toh support ko test kiya gaya aur na he resistance ko, isliye Monday ko maine trading range ke andar trading par tawajjo di. Maine umeed ki ke keemat 1.08646 aur 1.08010 ke darmiyan range mein trading karegi. Dusron alfaz mein, maine resistance se farokht karna aur support se kharidari ki peshkash ki. Jab tak resistance ko tod diya nahi jata, farokht karna mawaqo hai. Kyunki aaj ke din keemat 1.08646 ke level ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, kal main farokht par tawajjo di jaegi. Information background budhwar ko phir se bear traders ka sath nahi diya jaisa ke woh chahte the. Halan ke, European currency halki si giravat dikha rahi hai, lekin jald he ECB ke intikhabat ke natayej maloom ho jaenge, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde ek adhi ghante mein guftagu karengi. Rate cut ab pehle se EUR/USD pair ke andar value me shamil hai, lekin ho sakta hai ke regulator aaj monetary policy ko narm na kare. Mein is tajwez ko tark nahi karta. Agar rates aaj kam nahi hote toh, phir se bull traders hamla kar sakte hain. Agar Christine Lagarde "hawkish" rhetoric ka samarthan karte hain aaj, toh yeh bhi euro ko support karega. Aur "hawkish" rhetoric kya hosakti hai? Lagarde keh sakti hain ke agle rate cut jaldi nahi hoga aur mahangai ke giravat ko jari rakhna zaroori hai.

4 ghante ka chart, pair ne Fibonacci level of 50.0% – 1.0794 se rebound kia aur isko mukhya tor par European currency ke faiday mein badal dia. Aik naya "bullish" trend line bana hai, isliye upar ki taraf ka process mazeed jari reh sakta hai agli correctively level of 23.6% – 1.0977 ki taraf. Ab, European currency ke giravat ko dekha ja sakta hai jab ke quotes trend line ke neeche mazboot ho jayen. Aaj kisi bhi indicator ke liye koi naya tanazur dekha gaya. Meri bullish nazar-e-aqeedat ko aur bhi tasdeeq karte hue, EURUSD market ka 4 ghante ka trading diagram hai. Relative Strength Index, jaise he ulte ko murne ki koshish karta hai, 50.00 ke level ke oop

EUR/USD pair ke haal hi mein char ghantay ke chart mein breakout ne traders aur analysts ke darmiyan khas tor par dilchaspi ko barhaya hai, jo is qeemat ke amal aur mustaqbil ke bazaar ke rujhanat ke liye tafseeli tajziya ki taraf le gaya hai. Mazid range se bahar nikalne se market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishaara hai jis ke kai traders ke liye aham asraat hain. Pehle to yeh tajweez karta hai ke mojooda bullish jazba, kharidaron ke qeemat ke harkaat par zyada asar dal raha hai. Yeh Euro/USD pair ke baray mein barh rahi investor ki umeed ki nashonuma hai, jo mukhtalif ma'ashi hawalaat, siyasi halaat, ya bazaar ki rujhanat mein tabdeeliyon ke natayajay par mabni ho sakti hai. 1.0879 ke bar resistance level se bahar nikalna ek moghe ko ishara deta hai. Traders isay lambi positions mein dakhil karne ka signal samajh sakte hain, ummeed hai ke pair ki qeemat mein mazeed urooj ka mojood hai. Lekin, ye zaroori hai ke ehtiyat baratna aur doosri technical alamaat aur bunyadi factors ko tasleem karna ke liye is bullish nazar ki tasdeeq karna aur is ke sath juray khatron ko kam karna.

Breakout ke ilawa, doosri technical alamaat aur chart patterns EUR/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rujhanat ke baray mein qabil-e-qadar nishanay faraham kar sakti hain. Analysts moving averages, oscillators, aur trend lines ko dekh kar ahem support aur resistance levels ko pehchante hain, momentum ka andaza lagate hain, aur mukhtalif ulat-palat patterns ko paichan sakte hain. Mukhtalif technical tools aur methodologies ka istemal kar ke traders apni samajh ko bazaar ke dynamics mein mazeed buland kar sakte hain aur zyada agah trading faislay kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, currency pairs jese ke EUR/USD ke tajziyaat mein bahtar wazeh ma'ashi aur siyasi context ko shamil karna zaroori hai. Central bank policies, macroeconomic data releases, siyasi tensions, aur bazaar ki rujhanat jese factors currency ke qeemat par asar dal sakte hain aur qeemat ke harkaat ko tezi de sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko maqool khabron aur tajurbaat ko mutalba karna chahiye taake wo mumkinah bazaar ki ulat-palat ko paishgoi kar sakein aur apni trading strategies ko mutabiq karsakein.

Agla kadam dekhne ke liye, traders EUR/USD pair ke qeemat ke amal ko tawajju se dekhte rahenge taake is ke mustaqbil ke rujhanat ke bare mein mazeed clues hasil kar sakein. Agar bullish momentum jari rahe, to pair ko urooj darajat jese ke aglay psychological level 1.0900 ya pehle swing high par resistance ka samna kar sakta hai. Mukhalif, agar pair apne urooj darajat ko barqarar nahi rakh sakta, to wo pehle ke support levels ki taraf lot sakta hai ya ek naye range ke andar ikhtetam ho sakta hai. Char ghanton ke chart par, EUR/USD ke qeemat abhi bhi peeli moving average ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, is ka matlab hai ke thora sa shadeedgardi hai. Maqami darjat se, qeemat buland ya past par ja sakti hai. Lekin, main ek qeemat ka pichharna sab se zyada moqaddas manata hoon. Agar qeemat peeli moving average ke neeche wapas jati hai, to main 1.0815 ke support level tak ek pichharna ka imkan samjhta hoon. Har din ke chart par, EUR/USD pair ne ek bearish candle banai hai jiske chhote se jism se, dakshin aur zyada hoti hai. Ye candle urooj mein ikhtetam ke jari rahne ka tasawar hai aur yeh euro ki qeemat ko dollar ke muqable mein mazeed izafa ke lie ek ishara bana sakta hai. Meri trading plans mein, main abhi bhi uttarward rujhan par tawajju dena jaari rakhta hoon.

Magar, EUR/USD pair ke mustaqbil ka rukh abi ghair yaqeeni hai. Jabke Euro abhi ek mustaqbil ke positive jazbe ke lehar par sawar hai, Europe Central Bank (ECB) ke aane wale monetary policy meeting ka June mein bara asar hai. Garm inflation ECB ko interest rate cuts ke liye zyada ehtiyaat ke sath qarar ko lena par majboor kar sakta hai, jo Euro ke upside ko had mein rakh sakta hai. Yeh waqt mein khareedne ka signal abhi faa'el nahi hai, lekin ghante ke chart par isharaat abhi bhi mashriq ki taraf jari hain. Jab ke pair middle Bollinger Band ko test karne ke qareeb ja raha hai, agle harkat ko support ke sath milega, jo ke 1.0848 level par bechnay walon ke idhar hai. Meri trading strategy mein shamil hai ke 1.0845 par ek kharidari position kholi jaaye, pehla munafa target 1.0967 aur stop loss 1.0815 par rakha jaaye. Agar price 1.0810 ke neeche band ho jaaye, toh hum doosray mansubon ko ghor karenge. Haalanki haal ki ghairatmandi buyers ki dominanse ke bawajood, jald hi ek neeche ki trend shuru ho sakti hai. Purani muddat mein overall lehar structure ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Haal hil ke descending trend line ke upar utarne ka tajurba dar keh raha hai ke pair ke daam ka faisla rebound ya breakout se hoga. Lekin, yeh tajwez ghalat hai, kyunke daam ab zyada tar seedha nahi chal rahe hain; woh be-



tarteeb hain. Kal ke koshish ko 1.0886 ke resistance level ko todne ka tez giravat ne mila, jo ke shiddat se bechnay walon ke dabao ko dikhata hai. Halanki yeh theek tha ke daam haal ki uchit had tak pohunch jaye, magar yeh nahi hua. Bohat saare traders ke liye yeh rukh muntazir tha aur unhone apne faide ko mehfooz karne ke liye taiyar kiya tha, lekin price zaayada tareef tak nahi pohanchi. Ab, wo khareedne wale jo apni positions ko lagbhag band kar chuke hain, unhe ummeed hai ke ek aur upar ki harkat hogi, jo shayad na ho, aur is se neeche ki dabao paida ho sakti hai. Yeh scenario yeh sujhaata hai ke jo log apni kharidari positions ko band rakhte hain, unhe trend ka change ho gaya hai aur unhe apni positions ko band kar dena chahiye. Mujhe lagta hai ke zyada phelne wala US dollar market dynamics euro/USD pair ko neeche kheenchega, kyunke dollar ab appears to be overbought.
ki nishandahi ki hai, jo Euro ke liye positive signal hai. Germany, jo Eurozone ki sb se bari economy hai, ke GDP growth rate aur employment data improve hue hain. Is ke ilawa, ECB (European Central Bank) ne bhi interest rates ko stable rakha hai, jo ke kharidaron ke liye aik acha signal hai kyonke low interest rates ka matlab hota hai ke borrowing aur spending increase hoti hai. Dusri taraf, US me bhi kuch challenges samnay aaye hain. Federal Reserve (Fed) ne apni monetary policy me koi significant change nahi kiya, jo ke market expectations ke against tha. Is wajah se Dollar thoda weak hua hai. Iske ilawa, US me inflation ki concerns barh rahi hain, jo Dollar ki strength ko undermine kar rahi hain. Yeh sab factors mil kar Euro ki strength aur Dollar ki weakness ko contribute kar rahe hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain.Technical analysis par agar wapas aain, to 1.0848 ka level cross karna aik significant breakout tha. Is breakout ke baad next major resistance levels 1.0900 aur 1.0950 ke qareeb hain. Agar market in levels ko bhi cross kar jati hai, to phir yeh indication hogi ke long-term bullish trend start ho gaya hai. Moving averages, jese ke 50-day aur 200-day, bhi upward direction me hain, jo ke ek positive sign hai. Trading volume bhi increase hui hai is breakout ke saath, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke market participants ne is move ko support kiya hai. Higher volume ka matlab hai ke market me