eur/usd

EUR/USD Analysis:

Time frame H4:
European currency achi tara se hold kar rahi hai, jabke US dollar index mein thora sa rise hai. Good morning Vadim, successful trading aur acha din guzray! Kal ke trading ke doran, EUR/USD pair ke prices decline hue, aur aj ke din prices 4-hour chart pe 1.0866 level ke neeche wapas aa sakti hain, jo bears ke liye downward trend ko continue karne ka acha mauka faraham karti hain taake yeh pair 1.0815 level ko cross karein aur decline continue rakhein. Support level 1.0765 pe kaam karte hue.. Kal, Federal Reserve System ke kai representatives ne zyada monetary policy ki baat ki, jo kuch investors ka enthusiasm thanda kar gaya jo US inflation slowdown se khush the aur refinancing rate ke qareebi decline ko predict kar rahe the.

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke pair upward trend maintain kar rahi hai, aur alternative scenario develop hone ka possibility ko rule out nahi karna chahiye. Agar prices 1.0866 ke upar wapas aati hain, to bulls ek aur koshish karenge is level ko break karne ki. Blue moving average ke upar movement continue hogi aur resistance level 1.0929 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Aaj economic calendar mein koi aisi news nahi hai jo foreign exchange market pe significant impact dal sake, to high probability hai ke trading day calm aur low volatility ke sath guzaray. Price ascending channel border ke bottom tak gir gayi hai 1.0860 level tak. Yeh price is level se upar move kar sakti thi, magar aisa nahi hua aur pair ne channel ko neeche se break kiya, ab yeh possible hai ke price neeche move karti rahe aur target level 1.0824 ho.

Profit Potential: EUR/ USD Price Movement

I have analysed the behaviour of the EUR/USD currency pair and would like to discuss my findings. The current market scenario for the EUR/USD pair is unusual, calling for a fresh and unbiased perspective. I have used a neural network to simulate movements for the next two days. An upward trend will likely occur based on the latest market price signals. The neural network analysis indicates a potential movement towards the significant resistance level at 1.0999. However, a bearish price retest is possible before the anticipated bullish upturn. Despite the positive momentum, there is a possibility of sellers gaining control and potentially causing a reversal in the pair's direction.


The current price at 1.0863 indicates a further decline if it fixes below the support at 1.0854. The targets for this downturn include the lower minimum at 1.0854, which means historical market reversal attempts. That is a selling opportunity, especially considering the favourable EUR/USD swap rates. Whether the price breaks through the resistance zone of 1.0895-1.0945 or forms another local volume set around 1.0822-1.0839 will determine future movements. A price break below will change the picture, possibly driving the price towards the critical support zone of 1.0723-1.0757 and beyond. Long-term selling prospects were previously likely daily, targeting a decline from figures 9-10 to support Figure 5. However, if resistance at figures 9-10 is possible, an upward price move towards the upper range limit at figures 12-13 may occur, presenting long-term selling opportunities with targets at the lows of figures 3-4

EURUSD. Sab ko naye trading din mein khushamdeed. Guzishta 24 ghantay hamare instrument ke liye farokht karne walon ke haq mein rahe hain. Bears ne qeemat ko neeche dhakela, halan ke ziada nahi. Filhal, EURUSD currency pair ke liye qeemat 1.0855 ke had tak pohonch kar ruk gayi hai. Iss waqt, hourly chart par indicators mein ghair yaqini hai. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke hamare instrument ke liye junubi rukh shomali rukh se ziada haavi rahega. Mujhe lagta hai ke bears EURUSD currency pair ki qeemat ko 1.0800 tak ya shayad is se bhi thoda neeche dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Aaj koi aham khabren nazar nahi aati, to hum dheere dheere junubi rukh mein barh rahe hain.

Aaj ke trading din mein hum dekh rahe hain ke EURUSD pair bechne walon ke liye afzaiyat rakhta hai. Pehle 24 ghantay mein, bears ne qeemat ko thoda neeche dhakela, lekin kuch khas giraawat nahi hui. Filhal, quotes 1.0855 ke level par hain aur wahan ruk gayi hain. Hourly chart par indicators mein ghair yaqini ka mahaul hai, jo shayad aagey ki raah ko mushkil bana raha hai.

Mera khayal hai ke junubi rukh filhal shomali rukh se ziada haavi rahega. Mujhe lagta hai ke bears apni koshish jaari rakhenge aur EURUSD ki qeemat ko 1.0800 tak ya shayad is se bhi thoda neeche lana chahenge. Aaj koi aham khabren nazar nahi aa rahi hain, to mujhe lagta hai ke hum dheere dheere junubi rukh mein barh rahe hain.

Indicators ki ghair yaqini ke bawajood, mera ye maan-na hai ke junubi rukh haavi rahega. Agar bears apni koshish mein kamyab ho jate hain, to qeemat 1.0800 tak ya shayad is se thoda neeche bhi jasakti hai. Har surat mein, aaj ke trading din mein koi aham khabren nahi hain jo ke bazar ko bharak sakti hain, to hum dheere dheere junubi rukh mein chal rahe hain. Trading par nazar rakhte huye, agle kuch ghanto mein qeemat ke rawaye ko samajhna zaroori hoga taake hum behtareen trading faisle kar saken.

EUR/USD: Price Action Ka Kirdar
Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka analysis kar rahe hain. Market sentiment strongly further buying ko favour karta hai, jab ke 70 percent se zyada traders sales mein hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke significant players ka intent buying continue karne ka hai, jo bearish sentiment ko stop-loss orders ke zariye counter kar rahe hain. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi bhi significant news nahi hai, is liye traders ka focus technical analysis par shift ho gaya hai.

Half-hour chart par, EUR/USD pair ne ek price triangle (bullish wedge) form kiya hai, jo shayad bearish direction mein break kare. Ek downward wave evident hai, jo resistance line 1.0882 ke qareeb se rebound karne ke baad initiate hui, aur correction target support line 1.0854 ke aas paas hai. Trading week uneventfully shuru hua, EUR/USD daily price ne persistently local maximum resistance 1.0881 ko test kiya. Ek technical correction ho sakta hai jo narrow support range ki taraf le jaaye, khaaskar jab efforts currency ke value ko weakening US dollar ke against increase karne ke hain.




Jab ke selling tempting ho sakti hai, cautious risk management exercise karna essential hai taake profits maximize kiye ja sakein. Complex strategies ki zaroorat nahi, liquid zones par focus best hai. Hum apni EUR/USD market analysis ko continue karte hain aur daily chart ko examine karte hain. Pehle, ek robust downward price channel breach hua tha, pair 1.0903 tak surge kar gaya tha pehle retrace karne se pehle. Current trading level 1.0875 par, ek corrective decline ki expectation hai. Pair overbought hai aur nayi ascending price channel ke andar position mein hai. Likely hai ke correction support line ki taraf ho, jo 1.0823 ya 1.0836 ke aas paas intersect karti hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, ek corrective decline essential hai.

Technical & Fundamental Analysis

EUR/USD jora barh gaya hai, 1.0894 ko choo gaya hai, jab ke sarmaiya kaar FOMC minutes aur Eurozone aur US ke aaghaz PMIs ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh euro ki qeemat mein izafa ECB ke rate-cutting cycle ko June ke baad jaari rakhne ke bara mein barhtee hui shak ki buniyad par hai. Bazaar ke mushahid karne walay FOMC minutes ka ghoor se jaiza le rahe hain, kyun ke Federal Reserve ke officials ne kaha hai ke 2% ke maqsood inflation rate par wapas aanay ke liye zyada madhum inflation data ki zaroorat hai. Inflation trends ke ird gird mojud ghair yaqeeni ne policymakers ko ehtiyat baratne par majboor kiya hai, jisse agay ke monetary policy ke faislay karte waqt ehtiyat se kaam liya ja raha hai.

Isi doran, ECB ke rate-cut cycle ko agay barhane ke hawalay se shak o shubha paida ho raha hai. June ke baad mazeed rate reductions ke mumkinat ke bara mein tawaku thi, magar hal hi mein honay walay waqiat ne is imkaan par shak daal diya hai. ECB ka ihtiyat se kam lena economic recovery aur lambay arsay tak ke accommodative monetary measures ke asar ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko zahir karta hai.


ECB aur Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches currency markets ko asar andaz kar rahe hain, jo ke EUR/USD exchange rate mein utar chadhaav ka sabab ban rahe hain. Traders central bank communications aur economic data releases par qareebi nazar rakhe hue hain future policy directions ke hints ke liye, jo ke currency markets mein volatility ko barha rahe hain. EUR/USD exchange rate ko FOMC minutes aur ECB ki monetary policy stance ke hawalay se spekulasyon ke darmiyan upward trend ka samna hai. Magar, dono central banks ki policies ke mustaqbil ka raasta ke hawalay se ghair yaqeeni ab bhi barqarar hai, jo ke currency markets mein volatility ka sabab ban rahi hai. Investors ab bhi hoshiyar hain aur currency movements par rehnumai ke liye mazeed developments aur economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Main EUR/USD pair ko ghantay ke chart par dekh raha hoon. Bilkul haal hi mein, taaza tanaza afraadat ki tasdeeqat jaari hui, jis mein ek kami ka izhar hua. Ye afraadat dekh kar ehsas nahi hua ke pair ka daam kisi aur tarah mutaharik hua ho. Jab afraadat ehsas hui to daam wohi tha jahan woh tha jab afraadat jaari hui. Doosri baaton mein, na koi izafa hua aur na hi kami. Afraadat mein kuch kami zaroor thi, magar woh bohot zyada nahi thi aur ye pair ke mustaqbil ki taraf koi asar nahi dalta.

Afraadat ke mutabiq, inflation mein zyada farq nahi aaya tha. Inflation ke afraadat ke ikhtitam se pehle, pair barhne laga tha. Shayad ummedein thi ke inflation ke afraadat mein bohot zyada kami hogi, lekin aisa nahi hua. Iska matlab hai ke market participants inflation ke afraadat se bohot zyada ummed laga rahe thay, lekin jab actual afraadat aaye, to woh un ummeedon par poora nahi utre.

Zahir hai, berozgari ke afraadat ke baad, ummed thi ke inflation ke afraadat mein bhi achi kami hogi, lekin ye nahi hua. Inflation ke afraadat mein zyada kami na hone ki wajah se, EUR/USD pair ne apni position ko maintain rakha aur koi significant movement nahi hui.

Ghantay ke chart par dekha jaye to EUR/USD pair chaar ghantay ke upper boundaries ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek strong resistance area ke qareeb hai jahan se reversal ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Main samajhta hoon ke agar pair is upper boundary ko break nahi kar pata, to neechay ki taraf movement jaari rahegi. Price action ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke sellers market mein waapis aa sakte hain aur price ko neeche ki taraf push kar sakte hain.

Neeche ki taraf pehla support level 1.1000 par hai aur agar yeh level tod diya jata hai, to agla support 1.0950 par ho sakta hai. On the other hand, agar pair upper boundary ko break kar leta hai, to bullish momentum barh sakta hai aur price 1.1100 tak ja sakti hai.

In sab baaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke current scenario mein market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai aur price action ko dekhte hue trading decisions lena chahiye. Market sentiment aur afraadat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein abhi bhi downside potential hai.

EUR/USD: Price Action ka Kirdar

Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka tajziya KO rahe hain. Market sentiment mein mazeed kharidari ka rujhan hai, jahan 70 feesad se zyada traders sales mein hain. Yeh yeh batata hai ke ek bara player mazeed kharidari ka irada rakhta hai, bearish sentiment ko stop-loss orders ke zariye counter karte hue. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi bara news nahi hai, is liye traders apna focus technical analysis par shift kar rahe hain. Half-hour chart par, EUR/USD pair ne ek price triangle (bullish wedge) banaya hai, jo ke shayad bearish direction mein break kare. Ek downward wave zahir hai, jo resistance line 1.0882 se rebound hone ke baad initiate hui, jiska correction target support line ke qareeb 1.0854 hai. Trading week ke aghaz mein koi khaas activity nahi thi, aur EUR/USD daily price lagatar local maximum resistance 1.0881 ko test kar raha tha. Ek technical correction hosakti hai jo narrow support range tak le jaye, khaaskar jab koshishen ho rahi hain ke currency ki value ko mazid barhaya jaye against ek kamzor hoti hui US dollar.

Yeh sell karne ke liye tempting hosakta hai, lekin cautious risk management ikhtiyar karna zaroori hai taake munafa maximize ho sake. Complex strategies ka istemal is surat mein mumkin nahi, is liye liquid zones par focus karna behtareen hai. EUR/USD market analysis ko jari rakhtay hue, chaliye daily chart ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle, ek mazboot downward price channel breach hua tha, jahan pair 1.0903 tak surge karke wapas retrace hua. Maujooda trading level 1.0875 par, ek corrective decline ka imkaan hai jald hi. Pair overbought hai aur naye ascending price channel mein positioned hai. Ek correction ka imkaan hai support line ki taraf, jo ke 1.0823 ya 1.0836 ke qareeb intersect karti hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, ek corrective decline zaroori hai.

EURUSD pair ka technical analysis
4 ghantay ka chart

Sideways trading aur neeche ki taraf tend karte hue, price ne weekly pivot level aur ascending price channels ko tor diya hai. Is hafte ka trading ascending price channels ke andar shuru hua, jo ke guzishta do hafton ke doran price movement ki direction ko represent karte hain, magar aisa lagta hai ke is hafte price neeche ki taraf direction change karne ki koshish karegi.

Ab price weekly support level 1.0790 ki taraf barh rahi hai, aur is support se agle direction ka taayun kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price is level se support le kar wapas weekly pivot level tak pohanchti hai aur phir se neeche bounce karti hai, to iska matlab hai ke selling retest pattern kamyab ho gaya hai. Lekin agar price barhti hai aur aakhri price peak ke upar trading karti hai, to iska matlab hoga ke upward trend wapas aa gaya hai.

Economic side par, is hafte ke trading shuru hone ke baad se economic calendar mein koi ahem aur asarandaz releases nahi hain, jo ke euro/dollar price movements ko kamzor kar rahe hain. Agar support 1.0790 tor di jati hai to isko recently formed ascending channel se exit mana jaye ga jo Euro/Dollar price ke liye bani thi, jo ke recent US inflation numbers ki kamzori se support karti hai, jiske nateeje mein ye resistance level 1.0895 tak barh gaya, jo ke do mahine ka sabse uncha level hai.

Overall, bazaar ka trading week kuch rocky start hua amid low liquidity trading. France, Germany, Switzerland aur Canada jaise financial centers public holidays par the. Ab tak likhne ke waqt, indices increasingly trading kar rahe hain aur sab major currencies +/- 0.3% range ke andar US Dollar ke muqable mein trading kar rahe hain. Aaj economic data kam hone ke bais, focus prominent central bankers ke comments par hai, jin mein Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson ka zikar hai. Unhon ne apne dovish data-driven outlook ko echo karte hue kaha ke abhi "bohat jaldi" hai ye kehna ke disinflation process ka recent slowdown long-lasting hoga, lekin April mein lower inflation reading ek positive sign thi.

Overall, woh cautiously optimistic lag rahe the ke Fed ek soft bearish economy achieve karne ki raah par hai, jahan inflation Fed ka 2% target achieve karegi bina kisi significant slowdown ke economy mein.

EUR/USD Price Action Reviewin
Main is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya kar raha hoon. EURUSD pair ke liye, yeh aaj 1.0830 tak pohanch sakta hai aur is level ko surpass bhi kar sakta hai. Ek slight upward pullback mazeed selling ka potential opportunity dikhata hai. Asian session se pehle 1.0806 support level ke aas paas sell karna ab bhi ek viable option ho sakta hai. Main is week further downward movement anticipate karta hoon aur kuch dinon mein ek final downward turn expect karta hoon, depending on US se aane wali evening news. Ongoing downtrend tab tak persist karegi jab tak bearish momentum mein significant disruption na aaye, jo ke US news developments ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Hum ek behtareen price pattern ke liye wait kar sakte hain entry ke liye.

Filhaal, EUR/USD pair 1.0837 par hai, jo 4-hour chart par 50-period moving average ke niche hai magar 200-period moving average ke upar hai. Yeh short-term uncertainty dikhata hai magar long-term uptrend ke signs maintain karta hai. Support 1.0754 ke aas paas hone ke chances hain, aur resistance 1.0907 ke aas paas hai. Agar resistance ke upar breakout hota hai to uptrend continuation ka indication milta hai, jab ke support ke niche break hone se price decline ka suggestion mil sakta hai. RSI neutral zone mein hai, jo koi clear directional bias nahi dikhata. MACD ab bhi long-term uptrend confirm karta hai. Upward movement ke confirmation ke saath positions open karne par ghor karein, stop-loss orders ke sath risk management ke liye. Key levels par price dynamics aur market reactions ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair potential long-term uptrend continuation suggest karta hai despite short-term uncertainty. Market changes ke liye prepare rahna aur stop-loss measures implement karna crucial hai capital ko protect karne ke liye.

### EUR/USD Pair Analysis in Roman Urdu
EUR/USD pair ek complex landscape navigate kar raha hai jo diverging economic policies aur indicators se shape ho raha hai. Fed ka hawkish stance aur ECB se anticipated rate cuts traders ke liye ek dynamic environment create kar rahe hain. Upcoming economic data aur policy announcements par close attention dena crucial hoga pair ke future direction ko determine karne ke liye.

### Central Bank Perspectives: Rate Cut Forecasts and Economic Outlooks

ECB policymaker aur Bank of Greece ke Governor Yannis Stournaras ne recently Greek media interview mein kaha ke wo is saal teen rate cuts dekh rahe hain. Stournaras ne suggest kiya ke July mein ek rate cut probable hai, aur pehli quarter mein stronger-than-expected economic rebound ne three-cut scenario ko four-cut se zyada likely bana diya hai. Eurozone economy ne expectations ko outperform kiya, January-March period mein 0.3% growth hui compared to anticipated 0.1% growth.

Minneapolis Fed Bank ke President Neel Kashkari ne highlight kiya ke ek weakening job market rate cut ko justify kar sakta hai. Iske bawajood, wo current interest rate framework ko saal bhar maintain karne ke haq mein hain. Kashkari ne inflation ko 2% target tak reduce karne mein slow progress par concerns express kiye, especially given the robust housing market.

### H1 Chart Technical Analysis: Key Resistance and Support Levels for EUR/USD

Pair 1.0851 region ke aas paas key resistance face kar raha hai, jo 100-day EMA aur descending trend channel ke upper boundary ke sath coincide karta hai. Aur significant resistance levels April 9 high at 1.0886, March 21 high at 1.0944, March 8 high at 1.0983, aur crucial psychological barrier at 1.1000 se marked hain.

#### Key Resistance Levels
- 1.0851: 100-day EMA aur upper boundary of descending trend channel
- 1.0886: April 9 high
- 1.0944: March 21 high
- 1.0983: March 8 high
- 1.1000: Crucial psychological barrier

#### Key Support Levels
Initial target May 9 low 1.0722 ke kareeb hai. Agar pair apni downward trajectory continue karta hai, to yeh May 2 low 1.0651 tak pohanch sakta hai, followed by April 16 low 1.0600. Is level ke niche breach hone se EUR/USD pair 1.0500 tak descend kar sakta hai, jo descending trend channel ka lower boundary hai.

#### Potential Downside Targets
- 1.0722: May 9 low
- 1.0651: May 2 low
- 1.0600: April 16 low
- 1.0500: Lower boundary of descending trend channel

EUR/USD Ke Keemat Ka Jaiza:

Main ab EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat ke harkaat ka jaiza kar raha hoon. EUR/USD pair aaj 1.0830 tak pohanch sakta hai aur ye level paar bhi kar sakta hai. Thori upar ki taraf ka pullback mazeed farokht ke liye aik moqa zahir karta hai. Asian session se pehle 1.0806 support level ke qareeb farokht karna bhi aik mufeed option ho sakta hai. Main is haftay aur aane wale kuch dino mein mazeed neechay ki taraf ka movement ka imkan dekh raha hoon, jo ke US ke evening news par munhasar hoga. Maamooli taur par, ye neechay ki raftar jari rahegi agar koi numainda US ki khabron mein koi numainda tabdeeli na ho, jo ke mukhtalif news developments ke zariye ho sakti hai. Hum entry ke liye behtar keemat pattern ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Halan ke, EUR/USD pair 1.0837 par hai, 4-hour chart par 50-period moving average ke neeche lekin 200-period moving average ke ooper hai. Ye chhoti-muddat mein ghumraahgi ki nishani hai magar lambi-muddat ke trend ke isharaat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Support 1.0754 ke qareeb muntazir hai, jab ke resistance 1.0907 ke qareeb hai. Resistance ke ooper nikalna uptrend ke jari rehne ka ishara deta hai, jab ke support ke neeche nikalna keemat giravat ka ishara kar sakta hai. RSI neutral zone mein hai, jo ke koi wazeh rehnumai ki taraf ishara nahi karta. MACD ab bhi lambi muddat ke trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Uper ki raftar ke tasdeeq ke sath positions kholne ka tajziyah karen, risk management ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal karen. Keemati darjat aur market ke jawabi harkaat ka monitoring lazmi hai. Takneeki tajziyah ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair lambi muddat ke uptrend ke jari rehne ka imkan zahir karta hai, halan ke chhoti-muddat mein ghumraahgi hai. Bazaar ke tabdeelion ke liye tayyar rehna aur capital ko hifazat ke liye stop-loss measures ka amal lazmi hai.

Riding the Waves: EUR/USD Prices in
EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya hamari aaj ki conversation ka main topic hoga. Aaj, EUR/USD pair ne daily resistance zone ki lower line se rebound kiya, jo ek potential downward reversal ka suggestion de raha hai. Magar, US data release se pehle pair dheere dheere retract hona shuru ho gaya. Downward trend ka continuation mainly US ke evening data ke release par depend karega. Hum news ka wait karenge aur uske baad pair ki price direction ko assess karenge. Narrow flat trend ek concern hai, kyun ke yeh sideways movement lead kar sakti hai, jo scalping ko M15 time frame par resemble karti hai. Aaj ka target 1.0830 ka test aur thoda lower hai. Trend bearish rahega ya nahi, yeh uncertain hai, magar 1.0848-58 ke niche, selling ka hope ho sakta hai, depending on hamara approach H1 resistance level par. Asian session mein, humein bullish direction mein further retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

### Triangle Price Pattern and Trend Continuation

EUR/USD par triangle price pattern evident tha aaj din ke main event aur shayad Fed minutes ke release se pehle. Flag pattern breakdown hua, magar uptrend intact raha. Ab buyers evening protocols aur new flag pattern ke breakout ka wait kar rahe hain taake trend continuation confirm ho sake. Magar, is growth ko sustain karna uncertain hai, especially kyun ke four-hour EUR/USD time frame ya to bullish flag ya phir equidistant descending channel indicate kar raha hai, jo latter ki taraf zyada lean karta hai. Upper channel boundary 1.0866 ka test karna crucial hai. Agar yeh level ke upar return hota hai to yeh bullish trend continuation ka signal de sakta hai towards 1.0929.

### Key Levels and Patterns

- **Resistance Levels**:
- 1.0848-58 (crucial for selling prospects)
- 1.0866 (upper boundary test)
- 1.0929 (potential bullish target)

- **Support Levels**:
- 1.0830 (immediate test target)
- Lower levels depend on news impact and price reaction

### Price Action Summary

1. **Rebound and Retract**: Pair ne resistance zone ki lower line se rebound kiya aur US data release se pehle dheere dheere retract hua.
2. **Dependence on US Data**: Downward trend ka continuation mainly US ke evening data par depend karega.
3. **Triangle and Flag Patterns**: Triangle pattern evident tha, flag pattern breakdown hua magar uptrend intact raha.
4. **Critical Levels**: Upper channel boundary ka test 1.0866 par crucial hai, jo bullish trend continuation ka signal de sakta hai agar return hota hai.

Aaj ka analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, especially upcoming US data aur key technical levels par. Trading decisions ko news impact aur price action ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Taira-e-Mukhalifat: EUR/USD Ke Qeemat
EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ki tajziyaat humari guftagu ka markazi mawad hoga. Aaj, EUR/USD pair ke liye, humne daily resistance zone ke lower line se rebound kiya, jo ke ek mumkin downward reversal ka ishara hai. Magar, US data ka izhaar hone se pehle, pair dheere-dheere wapas chalne laga. Niche ki taraf ka trend jari rakhna mainly US mein shaam ke data ka izhaar par munhasir hoga. Hum khabron ka intezar karenge aur uske baad pair ki qeemat ka rukh tehkik karenge. Narrow flat trend ek pareshani hai, kyunke yeh sideways movement ko janam de sakta hai, M15 time frame par scalping ki misaal mein. Aaj, maqsad 1.0830 aur thoda aur niche ka imtehan hai. Kya trend mazeed bearish rehta hai yeh mushkil hai, lekin 1.0848-58 ke neeche, bechne ka umeed ab bhi hai, hamare H1 resistance level ke nazdeeki ke tareeqe par munhasir hai. Asian session mein, hum bullish rukh mein mazeed wapas chalne ka imkaan dekh sakte hain.

EUR/USD par triangle price pattern aaj waziha tha din ke baray mein aham waqia se pehle aur shayad Fed minutes ke izhaar se bhi pehle. Flag pattern toot gaya, lekin uptrend barkarar raha. Ab, buyers shaam ke protocols ka intezar karte hain aur naye flag pattern ka tootna trend ka jari rahne ko tasdeeq karne ke liye. Magar, is izafa ko barkarar rakhna mushkil hai, khas tor par jab 4 ghantay ka EUR/USD time frame ya to ek bullish flag ya ek equidistant descending channel ko dikhata hai, jo ke doosre ko jhuka raha hai. Upper channel boundary par 1.0866 ka imtehan ahem hai. Is level ke upar lautna bullish trend ka jari rahne ka ishara ho sakta hai 1.0929 ki taraf.

Meri tajziye ke mutabiq EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemati harkat ka muaina karte hue, maine yeh dekha hai ke Fed rate hike par ghour kar raha hai magar ek mehdood miqdaar mein. Aisa is liye hai ke haal hi mein mehngai mein halka sa kami dekhne ko mili hai. Agar Fed ab rate hike ka signal deta hai to market unki credibility par shak kar sakta hai. Isliye, woh sirf wohi baatein dohra rahe hain jo pehle se maaloom hain: mehngai zyada hai, kami dheere hai, aur current rate barqarar hai. Lekin, naye mehngai ke data ke aane se unka lahja badal sakta hai.

Haal hi mein pair ne 1.0829 ka high touch kiya jo 1.09 ke level ki taraf ke upar jane ko rokh diya. Agar yeh pair 1.0843 ka level wapas hasil karne mein naakami hoti hai, to kal yeh 1.08 ka level test kar sakti hai.

Meri system analysis ke mutabiq, resistance trend line 1.0893 par break ho chuki hai aur hum ek significant support level ki taraf barh rahe hain. Pehla support level qareebi local low 1.0816 par hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh jaldi break hoga, aaj ya kal. Jab ke US session ke doran kuch khabrein temporary bullish pullback la sakti hain, lekin overall trend downward lag raha hai. Agar 1.0868 ka breakthrough hota hai to uptrend extend ho sakta hai, jab ke correction aane se pehle aur growth ho sakti hai. Agar 1.0882 ka level toot jata hai to yeh continued growth ka ishara hoga aur 1.0895 agla resistance level hoga.

Mujhe 1.0945 ke breakthrough ke sath confirmed buy signal ki umeed hai. Isi tarah, agar 1.0884 ka break aur hold hota hai to mazeed buying indicate hoti hai, aur 1.0850 se growth ki tawakko hai. Chote motey dip ke bawajood, exchange rate ka rujhan 1.0895 ko paar karne ke baad upward trend mein rahega. Kul mila kar, prevailing bias positive movement ke haq mein lag raha hai.

Is tanazur mein, humein yeh dekhna hoga ke aane wale dino mein nayi financial reports aur economic data ka kya asar hota hai. Lekin ab tak ke analysis se yeh lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair ke upward movement ka strong potential hai, jo ke market dynamics aur fundamental indicators ke sath mutabiqat rakhta hai.

EURUSD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

1-Hour Chart






Price abhi aik achi buying zone mein trade kar rahi hai, kyun ke price ko weekly pivot level 1.0843 aur broken channels se support mil raha hai.
Aaj price ne descending price channels ke andar trading shuru ki, jo ke pichle do dinon ke price movement ko represent karte hain.
Price ne weekly pivot level ke neeche bhi trade kiya. Pehle price upar gayi, phir neeche aayi, aur channel lines se support mila, jahan upper lines of the channels ko break karne mein kamyab hui.
Teeno consecutive candles ke buying zone mein stable rehne se further rise ka signal milta hai, aur 1.0920 level agla target consider kiya ja raha hai.
Economic side pe traders monetary policy expectations ko evaluate kar rahe hain. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke last meeting ke minutes aur kuch Fed officials ke comments hawkish stance ko indicate karte hain aur yeh suggest karte hain ke US interest rates kuch arsa tak high rahengi, kyun ke inflation ko control karne mein abhi itna progress nahi hua.
Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) june mein borrowing costs reduce kar sakti hai. Bank Governor Lagarde ne recently indicate kiya ke June 6 ko action lene ke strong chances hain agar economic data se confidence mile ke inflation medium term mein 2% pe aa jayegi. Eurozone inflation abhi 2.4% hai, jo ECB ke target 2% ke bohot kareeb hai aur pichle saal ke 7% se kaafi neeche hai.

European Central Bank ka agla meeting June 6 ko hoga aur bohot high chances hain ke interest rates cut kiye jayenge. New Eurozone GDP estimates bhi confirm karte hain ke economy first quarter mein recession se bahar aa gayi hai, aur European Commission ke new forecasts ab bhi soft landing scenario ko point karte hain.